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At least 307 records · Page 17

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DOE OSTI2021

The effects of microstructures and radiation damage on the deformation behavior of a HT-9 alloy using microtensile testing

Understanding the influence of radiation damage on the mechanical properties of HT-9 and other tempered martensitic alloys is part of the mission in developing radiation-tolerant materials for the next generation of nuclear reactors. Although there has been extensive data on the macroscopic mechanical properties of the irradiated HT-9 alloys and microstructural changes, it is not well-understood how radiation damage and the resulting microstructural changes influence the local mechanical properties. In this study, we utilized in situ SEM microtensile testing to investigate the deformation behavior of specific martensitic boundaries in 1 dpa proton-irradiated HT-9 and answered the question of what is the weakest link. Additionally, we provided the direct observation of the failure modes of microtensiles containing high angle and low angle martensitic boundaries. In the unirradiated condition, the deformation is ductile and no martensitic boundary failure is observed. In the irradiated condition, the high angle martensitic boundaries are more susceptible to radiation-induced boundary failure as compared to the low angle martensitic boundaries.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Assessing the vertical structure of Arctic aerosols using balloon-borne measurements

The rapidly warming Arctic is sensitive to perturbations in the surface energy budget, which can be caused by clouds and aerosols. However, the interactions between clouds and aerosols are poorly quantified in the Arctic, in part due to (1) limited observations of vertical structure of aerosols relative to clouds and (2) ground-based observations often being inadequate for assessing aerosol impacts on cloud formation in the characteristically stratified Arctic atmosphere. Here, we present a novel evaluation of Arctic aerosol vertical distributions using almost 3 years' worth of tethered balloon system (TBS) measurements spanning multiple seasons. The TBS was deployed at the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program's facility at Oliktok Point, Alaska. Aerosols were examined in tandem with atmospheric stability and ground-based remote sensing of cloud macrophysical properties to specifically address the representativeness of near-surface aerosols to those at cloud base. Based on a statistical analysis of the TBS profiles, ground-based aerosol number concentrations were unequal to those at cloud base 86 % of the time. Intermittent aerosol layers were observed 63 % of the time due to poorly mixed below-cloud environments, mostly found in the spring, causing a decoupling of the surface from the cloud layer. A uniform distribution of aerosol below cloud was observed only 14 % of the time due to a well-mixed below-cloud environment, mostly during the fall. The equivalent potential temperature profiles of the below-cloud environment reflected the aerosol profile 89 % of the time, whereby a mixed or stratified below-cloud environment was observed during a uniform or layered aerosol profile, respectively. In general, a combination of aerosol sources, thermodynamic structure, and wet removal processes from clouds and precipitation likely played a key role in establishing observed aerosol vertical structures. Results such as these could be used to improve future parameterizations of aerosols and their impacts on Arctic cloud formation and radiative properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Electron-mirror duality and thermality

Classical electromagnetic radiation from moving point charges is foundational, but the thermal dynamics responsible for classical acceleration temperature are poorly understood. We investigate the thermal properties of classical electromagnetic radiation in the context of the correspondence between accelerated electrons and moving mirrors, focusing on three trajectories with asymptotically infinite (Davies–Fulling), asymptotically zero (Walker–Davies), and eternally uniform acceleration. The latter two are argued not to be thermal, while the former is found to emit thermal photons with a temperature that depends on the electron’s speed. Thermal radiation occurs in the absence of jerk.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Strength and ductility of additively manufactured 316L stainless steel: Impact of neutron irradiation and data variability

Here, this article presents the mechanical properties of additively manufactured (AM) 316L stainless steel processed via the laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) method, focusing on the effects of neutron irradiation on mechanical properties and the variability in strength and ductility data. The rapid melting-solidification process and multiple heating-cooling cycles inherent in LPBF typically result in a fine, metastable microstructure with significant local variability. AM 316L builds of varying thicknesses were fabricated, and SS-J3 miniature tensile specimens were machined from six different locations. These specimens were irradiated with fast neutrons to doses of 2 and 10 dpa at target temperatures of 300 °C and 600 °C. Post-irradiation tensile tests were conducted at room temperature, 300 °C, and 600 °C. Compared to conventional 316L stainless steel, AM 316L exhibited higher initial strength but lower ductility. Irradiation at 300 °C caused significant hardening and prompt necking at yield, with limited uniform ductility, although embrittlement was not observed up to 10 dpa. While neutron irradiation, particularly at 600 °C, increased the variability in strength and ductility data, no clear dependence of mechanical properties on build thickness or sampling location was found—contrary to the conventional perception that AM materials may exhibit high property variability. Furthermore, we observed that the variability in property data for LPBF-processed 316L was relatively low compared to that of wrought 316L stainless steel. This reduced variability in AM 316L steel may be attributed to its highly metastable, stress-containing microstructure, which is discussed in the context of general tensile property variations.

Additively manufactured 316L stainless steel↗

DOE OSTI2024

Electron irradiation effects on the optical properties of Hf- and Zn-doped β -Ga 2 O 3

Optical and electrical properties of Hf- and Zn-doped β-Ga 2 O 3 samples, which are n-type and insulating, respectively, were altered via high-energy electron irradiation at 2.5 or 0.5 MeV. The β-Ga 2 O 3 :Hf samples irradiated with 2.5 MeV electrons experienced a color change from blue to yellow and a large drop in conductivity, attributed to the creation of gallium vacancies, which compensate donors. This irradiation resulted in the absence of free carrier absorption and the presence of Cr 3+ photoluminescence (PL). PL mapping prior to irradiation revealed optically active ZnO precipitates that formed during the growth of β-Ga 2 O 3 :Zn. These precipitates have a 384 nm (3.23 eV) stacking fault emission in the core; in the outer shell of the precipitate, the PL blue-shifts to 377 nm (3.29 eV) and a broad defect band is observed. After 0.5 MeV electron irradiation, the defect band broadened and increased in intensity. The blue PL band (435 nm) of β-Ga 2 O 3 was enhanced for both Hf- and Zn-doped samples irradiated with 0.5 MeV. This enhancement is correlated with an increase in oxygen vacancies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Three-dimensional simulation of the University of Hawai‘i FEL oscillator with cavity desynchronization

In this paper, we present three-dimensional, time-dependent simulations of the University of Hawai‘i (UH) at Mānoa free-electron laser (FEL) oscillator. Using beam parameters from the UH facility, we study the pass-by-pass evolution of the radiation field, including its temporal, spectral, and transverse properties. At nominal bunch length, the radiation pulse develops temporal spiking near saturation, together with sideband formation and increased sensitivity to machine timing jitter. Our results show that modest cavity desynchronization can enhance the radiation energy by 63%. Large cavity desynchronization, on the other hand, can effectively suppress the spiking instabilities and improve robustness to timing fluctuations. Finally, we simulate a short-bunch operational mode with a bunch length comparable to the slippage length, which accelerates saturation and further amplifies the FEL power. Overall, these results provide a quantitative foundation for pulse control studies in the UH FEL oscillator and a critical benchmark for future experimental validation and machine optimization.

free-electron lasers↗

DOE OSTI2021

Fluoropolymer Aging Assessments

Fluoropolymer (FP) binders are commonly only a few percent of polymer bonded explosive compositions but they are essential for the mechanical integrity of the part. Because we are using newly manufactured binders, we need to understand how lot variations might affect processing, aging, and mechanical properties. Time, temperature and radiation induce phase changes in fluoropolymers. These phase changes can rearrange the polymer causing crystalline domains to nucleate and grow that can alter mechanical properties. These studies quantify the aging process so that it may be cross correlated with changes in the adhesion, strength, and other properties important for performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Using tabulated NLTE data for Hohlraum simulations

Non-local thermodyamic equilibrium (NLTE) atomic kinetics is necessary in inertial confinement fusion Hohlraum simulations for adequately modeling high-Z walls and dopants but is computationally very expensive. We present here an approach for tabulating NLTE material data in an economical manner. Material properties for an arbitrary radiation field are provided through tabulated data for a limited set of radiation fields plus derivatives with respect to components of those radiation fields. We have implemented this method in a radiation-hydrodynamics code and compare Hohlraum simulations done with inline NLTE calculations with those done with tables constructed from the same atomic data. The results demonstrate that NLTE tables can replace inline calculations in Hohlraum simulations without a significant loss of accuracy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Retrieving microphysical properties of concurrent pristine ice and snow using polarimetric radar observations

Abstract. Ice and mixed-phase clouds play a key role in our climate system because of their strong controls on global precipitation and radiation budget. Their microphysical properties have been characterized commonly by polarimetric radar measurements. However, there remains a lack of robust estimates of microphysical properties of concurrent pristine ice and aggregates because larger snow aggregates often dominate the radar signal and mask contributions of smaller pristine ice crystals. This paper presents a new method that separates the scattering signals of pristine ice embedded in snow aggregates in scanning polarimetric radar observations and retrieves their respective abundances and sizes for the first time. This method, dubbed ENCORE-ice, is built on an iterative stochastic ensemble retrieval framework. It provides the number concentration, ice water content, and effective mean diameter of pristine ice and snow aggregates with uncertainty estimates. Evaluations against synthetic observations show that the overall retrieval biases in the combined total microphysical properties are within 5 % and that the errors with respect to the truth are well within the retrieval uncertainty. The partitioning between pristine ice and snow aggregates also agrees well with the truth. Additional evaluations against in situ cloud probe measurements from a recent campaign for a stratiform cloud system are promising. Our median retrievals have a bias of 98 % in the total ice number concentration and 44 % in the total ice water content. This performance is generally better than the retrieval from empirical relationships. The ability to separate signals of different ice species and to provide their quantitative microphysical properties will open up many research opportunities, such as secondary ice production studies and model evaluations for ice microphysical processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Radiation hardness characterization of LKH-5 scintillating glass

Radiation hardness is an important property to examine in scintillators to help determine their expected lifetime in application cases where significant radiation dose is expected. Industrial imaging systems using 9 MV linear accelerators for x-ray radiography are one such application where significant radiation doses are expected to the scintillators used. Cadmium tungstate scintillators (CWO) and Thallium doped Cesium Iodide scintillators (CsI(Tl)) are used in some high energy cargo x-ray radiography systems. However, CWO has a high manufacturing cost for adequately uniform crystals and CsI(Tl) does not have sufficient radiation hardness. LKH-5 glass is being investigated as a potential low cost replacement for CWO and CsI(Tl). In this experiment 36 samples of a terbium doped silicate glass called LKH-5 were irradiated at doses up to 5 MRad using a 9 MV linear accelerator, and the change in their transmission properties was observed. Additionally, the glass was discovered to be a radiation hard glass due to the relatively small change in the transmission of the glass: less than 3% per cm at its emission peak of 550 nm and 5 MRad. This is similar to CWO which has a reported reduction in transmitted light of 2% per cm at 5 MRad and the emission peak of 475 nm and better than CsI(Tl) which is reported to have a reduction in transmitted light of 5% per cm at the emission peak of 550 nm and 4.2 MRad dose. Furthermore, an annealing procedure is described that returned the transmission of the glass to pre-irradiation values.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

MLClouds [SWR-24-24]

The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is NREL’s flagship solar data resource. With over 20 years of high-resolution surface irradiance data covering most of the western hemisphere, the NSRDB is a crucial public data asset. A fundamental input to accurate surface irradiance in the NSRDB is high quality cloud property data. Cloud properties are used in radiative transfer calculations and are sourced from satellite imagery. Improving the accuracy of cloud property inputs is a tractable method for improving the accuracy of the irradiance data in the NSRDB. For example, in July of 2018, an average location in the Continental United States is missing cloud property data for nearly one quarter of all daylight cloudy timesteps. This project aims to improve the cloud data inputs to the NSRDB by using machine learning techniques to exploit the NSRDB’s massive data resources. More accurate cloud property input data will yield more accurate surface irradiance data in the NSRDB, providing direct benefit to researchers at NREL and to public data users everywhere.

Buster, Grant↗

DOE OSTI2023

Coupled Experimental and High-Temperature Discrete-Element Method Modeling Studies of Aluminosilicate Particle Handling in Concentrated Solar Power Environments

Chemically inert, aluminosilicate based particles have been investigated as both a thermal transport and sensible energy storage medium for concentrated solar power facilities. These particles will experience a wide range of operating temperatures (300-1000 K) and handling conditions (dense to dilute falling particle curtains, dense granular flows, or dense structures), requiring specially-designed and optimized infrastructures. The relative influence of collisional and frictional interactions between particles varies based on temperature-dependent particulate properties and greatly impacts the bulk, granular flow behavior. These underlying physics are captured using discrete element method modeling tools. However, this modeling method is computationally expensive as each particle position and interaction is tracked during the simulation. These modeling methods are further complicated by introducing temperature-dependent particle properties, high-temperature radiative exchange, and directional irradiation sources experienced by granular flows in concentrated solar power environments. Coupled experimental and numerical studies of aluminosilicate particles in rotary kilns and dense particle curtains were performed for bulk temperatures up to 1073 K. The three particle types investigated included Carbobead HSP 30 /60, Carbobead CP 30/60, and Granusil 4030. Temperature, spatial, and velocity profile data were extracted from experimental runs using embedded K-type thermocouple probes and particle image velocimetry techniques. Experimental and numerical studies were compared using spatial temperature profiles, velocity fields, and shape profiles of the bulk, granular flows. Numerical models were developed using commercially available discrete element method modeling software, Aspherix®. Existing Aspherix® functionality was expanded by introducing coupled radiative exchange modeling tools. The laboratory-scale rotary kiln was developed to investigate the steady-state heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles based on particle type, bulk handling temperature, and wall roughness. The rotational speed of the rotary kiln was varied to control the relative impact of collisional and frictional effects upon the granular flow behavior. Heat and mass transfer performance was categorized based on the Froude number and the observed flow regimes of slipping, rolling, cascading, and centrifuging. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were used to evaluate the effects of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties upon bulk flow behavior and upon the relative effects of radiative, advective, and/or conductive heat transfer. A high-temperature (< 1073 K) falling particle curtain was similarly fabricated to investigate the heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles in particle handling situations dominated by inter-particle collisions. The impact of particle type, flow preheat temperatures (< 1073K), and bulk mass flow rates were investigated upon the particle curtain shape, temperature, and velocity profiles. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were performed to evaluate the varying impact of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties on the bulk flow behavior and the temperature profile of the particle curtain.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Simulation of decelerating streamers in inhomogeneous atmosphere with implications for runaway electron generation

The dynamics of positive and negative streamers is numerically simulated in atmospheric pressure air in the range of parameters corresponding to the streamer deceleration and termination in the middle of the discharge gap. A detailed comparison with experiments in air at constant and variable density demonstrates good agreement between the 2D simulation results and the observations. It is shown that positive and negative streamers behave in radically different ways when decelerating and stopping. When the head potential drops, the negative streamer transits to the mode in which the propagation is due to the forward electron drift. In this case, the radius of the ionization wave front increases, whereas the electric field at the streamer head decreases further and the streamer stops. Its head diameter continues to increase due to the slow drift of free electrons in the residual under-breakdown field. On the contrary, the only advancement mechanism for a positive streamer with a decreasing head potential is a decrease in the effective radius of the ionization wave, leading to a local increase in the electric field. This mechanism makes it possible to compensate for the reduction in the efficiency of gas photoionization at small head diameters. A qualitative 1D model is suggested to describe streamer deceleration and stopping for different discharge polarities. Estimates show that, during positive streamer stopping, the local electric field at the streamer head can exceed the threshold corresponding to the transition of electrons to the runaway mode when the head potential (relative to the surrounding space) decreases to~1.2 kV in atmospheric pressure air. In this case, pulsed generation of a beam of runaway electrons directed into the channel of a stopping positive streamer can occur. The energy of the formed pulsed electron beam depends on the intensity of photoionization in front of the streamer head. This energy can vary from 700 V (when increasing the photoionization rate by a factor of 10 with respect to the value in atmospheric pressure air) to 2.6 kV (when decreasing the photoionization rate by a factor of 1000). It is possible that this behavior of decelerating positive streamers can explain the observed bursts of x-ray radiation during the streamer propagation in long air gaps.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Aerosols from anthropogenic and biogenic sources and their interactions – modeling aerosol formation, optical properties, and impacts over the central Amazon basin

The Green Ocean Amazon experiment – GoAmazon 2014–2015 – explored the interactions between natural biogenic forest emissions from central Amazonia and urban air pollution from Manaus. Previous GoAmazon 2014–2015 studies showed that nitrogen oxide (NO x = NO + NO 2 ) and sulfur oxide (SO x ) emissions from Manaus strongly interact with biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs), affecting secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation. In previous studies, ground-based and aircraft measurements provided evidence of SOA formation and strong changes in aerosol composition and properties. Aerosol optical properties also evolve, and their impacts on the Amazonian ecosystem can be significant. As particles age, some processes, such as SOA production, black carbon (BC) deposition, particle growth and the BC lensing effect change the aerosol optical properties, affecting the solar radiation flux at the surface. This study analyzes data and models SOA formation using the Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to assess the spatial variability in aerosol optical properties as the Manaus plumes interact with the natural atmosphere. The following aerosol optical properties are investigated: single scattering albedo (SSA), asymmetry parameter (g aer ), absorption Ångström exponent (AAE) and scattering Ångström exponent (SAE). These simulations were validated using ground-based measurements at three experimental sites, namely the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory – ATTO (T0a), downtown Manaus (T1), Tiwa Hotel (T2) and Manacapuru (T3), as well as the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Gulfstream 1 (G-1) aircraft flights. WRF-Chem simulations were performed over 7 d during March 2014. Results show a mean biogenic SOA (BSOA) mass enrichment of 512 % at the T1 site, 450 % in regions downwind of Manaus, such as the T3 site, and 850 % in areas north of the T3 site in simulations with anthropogenic emissions. The SOA formation is rather fast, with about 80 % of the SOA mass produced in 3–4 h. Comparing the plume from simulations with and without anthropogenic emissions, SSA shows a downwind reduction of approximately 10 %, 11 % and 6 % at the T1, T2 and T3 sites, respectively. Other regions, such as those further downwind of the T3 site, are also affected. The g aer values increased from 0.62 to 0.74 at the T1 site and from 0.67 to 0.72 at the T3 site when anthropogenic emissions are active. During the Manaus plume-aging process, a plume tracking analysis shows an increase in SSA from 0.91 close to Manaus to 0.98 160 km downwind of Manaus as a result of SOA production and BC deposition.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Device response principles and the impact on energy resolution of epitaxial quantum dot scintillators with monolithic photodetector integration

Abstract Epitaxial quantum dot (QD) scintillator crystals with picosecond-scale timing and high light yield have been created for medical imaging, high energy physics and national security applications. Monolithic photodetector (PD) integration enables the sensing of photons generated within the waveguiding crystal and allows a wide range of scintillator-photodetector coupling geometries. Until recently, these doubly novel devices have suffered from complex, high variance responses to monoenergetic sources which significantly reduces their precision and accuracy. The principles governing the overall device response have now been discerned and embodied by an expression derived within a geometrical optics framework which considers optical properties, surface roughness and photodetector coupling geometry. Response variation due to these factors was sufficiently reduced to obtain material-related energy resolution values of 2.4% with alpha particles. These findings place energy resolution alongside luminescence timescale, photon yield, and radiation hardness as outstanding properties of these engineered materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A machine learning approach to quantify degradation of nuclear fuels and the effects of fission products

Nuclear fuel performance is critically dependent on understanding the evolution of fuel properties under operational conditions, a complex challenge driven by chemical changes and substantial radiation damage during fission. Traditionally, property evolution has been determined via empirical data collected following irradiation. However, these empirical correlations are limited in their applicability beyond the specific conditions in which they were obtained. This study explores a novel approach to address this challenge by applying materials informatics to develop a machine learning random forest (ML-RF) model that captures the effects of fission products on fuel compounds. The model predicts formation enthalpy (ΔH f ) by leveraging extensive quantum materials property data and correlating it with material descriptors such as composition, atomic and site features, and crystal lattice properties. This ML-RF model enables rapid interpolation across the compositional and structural spaces covered by the training data, thus supporting high-throughput screening and energetic ranking of candidate phases. The model demonstrates the ability to predict ΔH f with a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 0.1 to 0.2 eV/atom across a wide range of compounds, including key nuclear fuel systems (U-O, U-N, U-C, U-Si, and U-Mo). For example, it was used to assess shifts in stoichiometry for UO 2 (O/M) and UN (N/M) fuels, revealing their distinct tendencies in chemical potential variation and enabling preliminary convex hull analyses. Furthermore, the model provides insights into how individual fission products affect fuel properties. Results indicate that larger fission products (e.g., Nd, Pu, Ce) have a more pronounced impact on UO 2 , while lighter ones (e.g., Zr) strongly influence UN. Here, the model developed in this work can be used to support the Accelerated Fuel Qualification approach by facilitating preliminary evaluations prior to extensive materials modeling and experimentation. To this end, the trained model has been made available to the fuel community to support ongoing fuel development efforts.

Accelerated fuel qualification↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mapping of fracture and ionic conductivity changes in ion implanted solid electrolytes: Insights from molecular dynamics

Ion implantation emerges as a promising technique to address the persistent challenge of lithium (Li) filament growth in solid-state electrolytes as it can induce compressive stresses inhibiting crack growth and deflect dendrites, de facto mitigating early electrolyte failure. In this study, we examine the potential paradox of ion implantation: while aiming to enhance electrolyte performance, the radiation damage associated with implantation might inadvertently compromise both the ionic conductivity and the intrinsic fracture toughness of the material, rendering the material unsuitable for battery applications. Specifically, we employed molecular dynamics simulations to examine the scope of the downsides of ion implantation, specifically: (i) reduced ionic conductivity (due to radiation-induced amorphization) and (ii) mechanical stability (due to radiation-induced embrittlement) in ion-implanted Li 7 La 3 Zr 2 O 12 (LLZO) solid-state electrolytes. We explore how radiation damage impacts LLZO’s crystalline structure, Li-ion diffusion, and fracture properties at various temperatures and radiation damage levels. The study aims to provide insights into the competing effects of ion implantation and suggest potential engineering strategies for developing more robust solid-state electrolytes with improved conductivity and dendrite resistance.

Conductivity↗

DOE OSTI2021

Improving the prediction of DNI with physics-based representation of all-sky circumsolar radiation

Direct normal irradiance (DNI) is often interpreted differently in ground measurements and forecasts using numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, leading to substantial bias in DNI forecasting especially under cloudy-sky conditions. To mitigate the bias, we use the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar applications with DNI (FARMS-DNI) to conduct physics-based simulations of solar radiation in the circumsolar region. The DNI is quantified using the sum of the radiation along the sun direction and the scattered radiation within the circumsolar region. FARMS-DNI is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model with solar extensions (WRF-Solar) to predict day-ahead DNI in 9-km pixels over an extended domain covering the contiguous United States. The DNI forecasts for the entire year of 2018 are validated using surface-based observations at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) and Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) sites and a satellite-based solar radiation product developed by the procedure of the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB). The results show that the WRF-Solar coupled with the conventional Beer-Bouguer-Lambert law underestimes the overall DNI forecasts by 30%-60%, which is a joint effect of the uncertainties in computing the circumsolar radiation and forecasting cloud properties. This bias is significantly reduced by using FARMS-DNI.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗