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DOE OSTI2025

Superspin renormalization and slow relaxation in random spin systems

We develop an excited-state real-space renormalization group (RSRG-X) formalism to describe the dynamics of conserved densities in randomly interacting spin-12 systems. Our formalism is suitable for systems with U(1) and Z2 symmetries, and we apply it to chains of randomly positioned spins with dipolar XX+YY interactions, as arise in Rydberg quantum simulators and other platforms. The formalism generates a sequence of effective Hamiltonians that provide approximate descriptions for dynamics on successively smaller energy scales. These effective Hamiltonians involve “superspins”: two-level collective degrees of freedom constructed from (anti)aligned microscopic spins. Conserved densities can then be understood as relaxing via coherent collective spin flips. For the well-studied simpler case of randomly interacting nearest-neighbor XX+YY chains, the superspins reduce to single spins. Our formalism also leads to a numerical method capable of simulating the dynamics up to an otherwise inaccessible combination of large system size and late time. Focusing on disorder-averaged infinite-temperature autocorrelation functions, in particular the spin survival probability Sp¯(t), we demonstrate quantitative agreement between our algorithm and exact diagonalization (ED) at low but nonzero frequencies. Such agreement holds for chains with nearest-neighbor, next-nearest-neighbor, and long-range dipolar interactions. Our results indicate decay of Sp¯(t) slower than any power law and feature no significant deviation from the ∼1/ln2(t) asymptote expected from the infinite-randomness fixed-point of the nearest-neighbor model. We also apply the RSRG-X formalism to two-dimensional long-range systems of moderate size and find slow late-time decay of Sp¯(t).

Zhao, Yi J↗

DOE OSTI2020

Bottom-Up Meets Top-Down: The Crossroads of Multiscale Chromatin Modeling

Chromatin can be viewed as a hierarchically structured fiber that regulates gene expression. It consists of a complex network of DNA and proteins whose characteristic dynamical modes facilitate compaction and rearrangement in the cell nucleus. These modes stem from chromatin's fundamental unit, the nucleosome, and their effects are propagated across length scales. Understanding the effects of nucleosome dynamics on the chromatin fiber, primarily through post-translational modifications that occur on the histones, is of central importance to epigenetics. Within the last decade, imaging and chromosome conformation capture techniques have revealed a number of structural and statistical features of the packaged chromatin fiber at a hitherto unavailable level of resolution. Such experiments have led to increased efforts to develop polymer models that aim to reproduce, explain, and predict the contact probability scaling and density heterogeneity. At nanometer scales, available models have focused on the role of the nucleosome and epigenetic marks on local chromatin structure. At micrometer scales, existing models have sought to explain scaling laws and density heterogeneity. Less work, however, has been done to reconcile these two approaches: bottom-up and top-down models of chromatin. Here, we highlight the multiscale simulation models that are driving toward an understanding of chromatin structure and function, from the nanometer to the micron scale, and we highlight areas of opportunity and some of the prospects for new frameworks that bridge these two scales. Taken together, experimental and modeling advances over the last few years have established a robust platform for the study of chromatin fiber structure and dynamics, which will be of considerable use to the chromatin community in developing an understanding of the interplay between epigenomic regulation and molecular structure.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Assessing density functionals for describing methane dissociative chemisorption on Pt(110)-(2×1) surface

In this work, we explore the suitability of several density functionals with the generalized gradient approximation (GGA) and beyond for describing the dissociative chemisorption of methane on the reconstructed Pt(110)-(2×1) surface. The bulk and surface structures of the metal, methane adsorption energy, and dissociation barrier are used to assess the functionals. A van der Waals corrected GGA functional (optPBE-vdW) and a metaGGA functional with van der Waals correction (MS PBEl-rVV10) are selected for ab initio molecular dynamics calculations of the sticking probability. Our results suggest that the use of these two functionals may lead to a better agreement with existing experimental results, thus serving as a good starting point for future development of reliable machine-learned potential energy surfaces for the dissociation of methane on the Pt(110)-(2×1) surface.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Measures of complexity and entanglement in many-fermion systems

There is no unique and widely accepted definition of the complexity measure (CM) of a many-fermion wave function in the presence of interactions. The simplest many-fermion wave function is a Slater determinant. In shell-model or configuration interaction (CI) and other related methods, the state is represented as a superposition of a large number of Slater determinants, which in the case of CI calculations reaches about 20 billion terms [Johnson, arXiv:1809.07869]. Although in practice this number has been used as a CM for decades, it is ill defined: it is not unique, and it depends on the particular type and the number of single-particle wave functions used to construct the Slater determinants. Further, the canonical wave functions and/or natural orbitals [Löwdin, Adv. Phys. 5, 1 (1956); Löwdin and Shull, Phys. Rev. 101, 1730 (1956); Bardeen et al., Phys. Rev. 108, 1175 (1957); N. N. Bogoljubov, Il Nuovo Cimento 7, 794 (1958); Valatin, Il Nuovo Cimento 7, 843 (1958); de Gennes, Superconductivity of Metals and Alloys (CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 1999); Ring and Schuck, The Nuclear Many-Body Problem, 1st ed. (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2004)] and their corresponding occupation probabilities are intrinsic properties of any many-body wave function, irrespective of the representation, and they provide a unique solution to characterize the CM. The non-negative orbital entanglement entropy, which vanishes for a Slater determinant, provides the simplest CM, while a more complete measure of complexity is the entanglement spectrum. We illustrate these aspects in the case of a complex nonequilibrium time-dependent process, induced nuclear fission described within a real-time density functional theory framework extended to superfluid systems, which can describe simultaneously the long-range and the short-range correlations between fermions. The orbital entanglement entropy of the fissioning nucleus illustrates the localization mechanism of the many-body wave function in Fock and/or Hilbert space. The (minimal) number of Slater determinants required to represent such a complex many-body wave function with a well-defined number of particles in the case presented here is about 10 500 . The realistic case of the highly nonequilibrium nuclear fission process illustrated here is equivalent to a system of 23.328×10 9 interacting quantum spin-1/2 particles, a very large system for the study of quantum entanglement.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Single-Molecule Kinetics of Styrene Hydrogenation on Silica-Supported Vanadium: The Role of Disorder for Single-Atom Catalysts

We report a theoretical approach for the study of supported atom catalysis is developed based on recent advances in the study of single-molecule kinetics. This view is particularly useful in exhibiting the role of disorder in single-atom and single-site catalysts on amorphous supports. The distribution of passage times (or waiting times) through a complex catalytic network originating from a set of coupled active sites is described by a probability distribution function (PDF), f(t), that reflects the local environment of the reaction center. An efficient algorithm is developed based on the linear algebra of the Markov transition matrix that produces f(t) or its moments. The kinetics of the hydrogenation reaction of styrene on an organovanadium(III) catalyst supported on amorphous silica is studied. A kinetic model consisting of three intertwined catalytic cycles emanating from three chemically distinct active sites is proposed to describe the chemistry. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations are employed to determine the free energy barriers of the reactions, which are used to construct the rate coefficient matrix. The disorder induced by the amorphous support material is divided into a low-dimensional short-range component reflecting the covalent structures near the reaction center and a weaker long-range component modeling the bulk randomness. The results are computed and analyzed for a wide range of concentration values and disorder scenarios. The unusual structure in the f(t) PDF is found to occur for certain cases that reveal the contribution of multiple catalytic pathways acting in concert.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Molecular Dynamics Simulation of Hygroscopic Aging Effects in Epoxy Polymer

The automobile industry is incorporating more lightweight content in car designs to boost fuel-economy. New structural adhesives are needed to mitigate the corrosion and thermal expansion issues associated with joining dissimilar lightweight materials, but adhesive developers lack a fundamental understanding of the chemistry that occurs in the adhesive as the joint ages. In this study, we developed structural adhesive molecular models and applied classical molecular dynamics simulations and density functional theory calculations to gain molecular insights into the influence of water molecules on the properties of epoxy-based adhesives (DGEBA + Jeffamine (JD230)). The simulations were complemented by experimental synthesis and characterization. Our work underscores the impact of water molecules on the local structure of the epoxy network as well as resulting mechanical properties. Water molecules were mainly coordinated with hydroxyls, primary amines and secondary amines, but also weakly coordinated with ether linkages, which were found most probable to be labile. Simulated stress–strain data indicates that increasing the water content deteriorates the mechanical properties. The Young’s modulus decreased by ~ 30% when the water content increased to 3 wt%. We conclude, this integration of molecular-level chemical insights with mechanical property simulations of the hydrated epoxy system and experimental validation holds the promise to advance lightweight joint technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Identification of hot water end-use process of electric water heaters from energy measurements

This paper presents an algorithm for the identification of parameters for a stochastic hot water end-use process that drives a homogeneous population of thermostatically controlled electric water heaters (EWH). Usually, only metered interval consumption data (kWh) is collected and the hot water end-use process is unobservable to utility and aggregators. However, the availability of EWHs for demand response (DR) is closely coupled with the hot water end-use process. In this context, the hot water end-use process is modeled as a two-state Markov chain (Use / No use), which causes the thermostatic ON-OFF switching process to behave as a Markov renewal process (MRP). A set of first passage-time problems is developed to obtain the moments of the transition probability densities of the MRP. These problems are addressed by establishing a system of coupled partial differential equations characterizing the temperature evolution of the EWH population. A key quantity in the methodology for estimating the parameters is the total time an EWH is ON within a period of interest. It is referred to as the total busy time. Total busy time in this approach is a random variable for which analytical expressions of the moments are developed as a function of the metered window length. The latter expressions become the basis of a hot water demand model identification algorithm which is validated using agent-based simulations of EWHs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Uncovering the True Active Sites in Ni–N–C Catalysts for CO 2 Electroreduction

Understanding and designing active sites in single-atom catalysts (SACs) requires going beyond static models to capture their dynamic evolution under realistic electrochemical conditions. Here, in this work, we develop an integrated theoretical framework that accounts for operational conditions, by combining grand canonical density functional theory (GC-DFT) with machine-learning-accelerated sampling, to uncover structure–activity–stability relationships in Ni–N–C SACs for the CO 2 reduction reaction (CO 2 RR). A library of NiN x C 4–x (x = 0–4) motifs─representing coordination defects likely formed during high-temperature synthesis─was systematically evaluated. Under working conditions, these sites were found to undergo hydrogenation, and NiN 3 C 1_ H 1 was identified as the most probable active site. At reducing potentials, hydrogen adsorbs spontaneously at C–Ni bridge sites rather than Ni top sites, while subsurface hydrogen facilitates bent CO 2 adsorption crucial for activation. High CO 2 RR selectivity toward CO arises from site separation: Ni centers drive CO2RR, while the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) occurs at the C–Ni bridge or N sites and from thermodynamic suppression of HER at moderate hydrogen coverage. At more negative potentials, a shift in the CO 2 RR rate-determining process (RDP) and Ni out-of-surface displacement induced by coadsorption of H and H 2 O jointly reduce activity and selectivity. Thus, both the high CO2RR selectivity of Ni–N–C catalysts and its reversal with more negative potentials can be rationalized by accounting for hydrogenated surfaces. This highlights the necessity of modeling realistic; in situ conditions. This framework provides generalizable insights into the dynamic behavior of active sites in SACs, offering guidance for the rational design of active and robust catalysts for a wide range of electrochemical reactions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2024

On the statistical theory of self-gravitating collisionless dark matter flow: Scale and redshift variation of velocity and density distributions

The statistics of velocity and density fields are crucial for cosmic structure formation and evolution. Here, this paper extends our previous work on the two-point second-order statistics for the velocity field [Phys. Fluids 35, 077105 (2023)] to one-point probability distributions for both density and velocity fields. The scale and redshift variation of density and velocity distributions are studied by a halo-based non-projection approach. First, all particles are divided into halo and out-of-halo particles so that the redshift variation can be studied via generalized kurtosis of distributions for halo and out-of-halo particles, respectively. Second, without projecting particle fields onto a structured grid, the scale variation is analyzed by identifying all particle pairs on different scales $r$. We demonstrate that: (i) Delaunay tessellation can be used to reconstruct the density field. The density correlation, spectrum, and dispersion functions were obtained, modeled, and compared with the N-body simulation; (ii) the velocity distributions are symmetric on both small and large scales and are non-symmetric with a negative skewness on intermediate scales due to the inverse energy cascade on small scales with a constant rate $\varepsilon_u$; (iii) On small scales, the even order moments of pairwise velocity $\Delta u_L$ follow a two-thirds law $\propto{(-\varepsilon_ur)}^{2/3}$, while the odd order moments follow a linear scaling $\langle(\Delta u_L)^{2n+1}\rangle=(2n+1)\langle(\Delta u_L)^{2n}\rangle\langle\Delta u_L\rangle\propto{r}$; (iv) The scale variation of the velocity distributions was studied for longitudinal velocities $u_L$ or $u_L^{'}$, pairwise velocity (velocity difference) $\Delta u_L$=$u_L^{'}$-$u_L$ and velocity sum $\Sigma u_L$=$u^{'}_L$+$u_L$. Fully developed velocity fields are never Gaussian on any scale, despite that they can initially be Gaussian; (v) On small scales, $u_L$ and $\Sigma u_L$ can be modeled by a $X$ distribution to maximize the entropy of the system. The distribution of $\Delta u_L$ can be different; (vi) On large scales, $\Delta u_L$ and $\Sigma u_L$ can be modeled by a logistic or a $X$ distribution, while $u_L$ has a different distribution; (vii) the redshift variation of the velocity distributions follows the evolution of the $X$ distribution involving a shape parameter $\alpha(z)$ decreasing with time.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Optimizing Earthquake Nowcasting With Machine Learning: The Role of Strain Hardening in the Earthquake Cycle

Abstract Nowcasting is a term originating from economics, finance, and meteorology. It refers to the process of determining the uncertain state of the economy, markets or the weather at the current time by indirect means. In this paper, we describe a simple two‐parameter data analysis that reveals hidden order in otherwise seemingly chaotic earthquake seismicity. One of these parameters relates to a mechanism of seismic quiescence arising from the physics of strain‐hardening of the crust prior to major events. We observe an earthquake cycle associated with major earthquakes in California, similar to what has long been postulated. An estimate of the earthquake hazard revealed by this state variable time series can be optimized by the use of machine learning in the form of the Receiver Operating Characteristic skill score. The ROC skill is used here as a loss function in a supervised learning mode. Our analysis is conducted in the region of 5° × 5° in latitude‐longitude centered on Los Angeles, a region which we used in previous papers to build similar time series using more involved methods (Rundle & Donnellan, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001097 ; Rundle, Donnellan et al., 2021, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001757 ; Rundle, Stein et al., 2021, https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6633/abf893 ). Here we show that not only does the state variable time series have forecast skill, the associated spatial probability densities have skill as well. In addition, use of the standard ROC and Precision (PPV) metrics allow probabilities of current earthquake hazard to be defined in a simple, straightforward, and rigorous way.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Targeted Adaptive Design

Modern advanced manufacturing and advanced materials design often require searches of relatively high-dimensional process control parameter spaces for settings that result in optimal structure, property, and performance parameters. The mapping from the former to the latter must be determined from noisy experiments or from expensive simulations. Here, we abstract this problem to a mathematical framework in which an unknown function from a control space to a design space must be ascertained by means of expensive noisy measurements, which locate control settings generating desired design features within specified tolerances, with quantified uncertainty. We describe targeted adaptive design (TAD), a new algorithm that performs this sampling task efficiently. TAD creates a Gaussian process surrogate model of the unknown mapping at each iterative stage, proposing a new batch of control settings to sample experimentally and optimizing the updated expected log-predictive probability density of the target design. TAD either stops upon locating a solution with uncertainties that fit inside the tolerance box or uses a measure of expected future information to determine that the search space has been exhausted with no solution. TAD thus embodies the exploration-exploitation tension in a manner that recalls, but is essentially different from, Bayesian optimization and optimal experimental design.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

First-principles studies of the concentration-dependent tritium diffusion in the zirconium hydrides with and without Sn impurity

We performed first-principles calculations to study the 3 H diffusion in the zirconium hydrides with or without Sn impurity. Our results show that the formation of Zr 3 H x becomes preferable as the 3 H concentration increases. Based on the most stable configurations of Zr 3 H x (x = 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0), we studied the interstitial 3 H diffusion with or without Sn impurity. The results show that the interstitial 3 H diffusion becomes less probable in the hydrides with a higher 3 H concentration. When introducing a substitutional Sn impurity, the diffusion barriers increase. Therefore, the substitutional Sn in the diffusion pathway hampers the 3 H diffusion in Zr hydrides.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

STRIDES: Spectroscopic and photometric characterization of the environment and effects of mass along the line of sight to the gravitational lenses DES J0408–5354 and WGD 2038–4008

In time-delay cosmography, three of the key ingredients are (1) determining the velocity dispersion of the lensing galaxy, (2) identifying galaxies and groups along the line of sight with sufficient proximity and mass to be included in the mass model, and (3) estimating the external convergence κ_ext from less massive structures that are not included in the mass model. We present results on all three of these ingredients for two time-delay lensed quad quasar systems, DES J0408–5354 and WGD 2038–4008 . We use the Gemini, Magellan, and VLT telescopes to obtain spectra to both measure the stellar velocity dispersions of the main lensing galaxies and to identify the line-of-sight galaxies in these systems. Next, we identify 10 groups in DES J0408–5354 and two groups in WGD 2038–4008 using a group-finding algorithm. We then identify the most significant galaxy and galaxy-group perturbers using the ‘flexion shift’ criterion. We determine the probability distribution function of the external convergence κ_ext for both of these systems based on our spectroscopy and on the DES-only multiband wide-field observations. Using weighted galaxy counts, calibrated based on the Millennium Simulation, we find that DES J0408–5354 is located in a significantly underdense environment, leading to a tight (width |$\sim 3{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$|⁠), negative-value κ_ext distribution. On the other hand, WGD 2038–4008 is located in an environment of close to unit density, and its low source redshift results in a much tighter κ_ext of |$\sim 1{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$|⁠, as long as no external shear constraints are imposed.

WGD 2038-4008↗

DOE OSTI2020

An extended moments model of quantum efficiency for metals and semiconductors

The complexity of photocathode designs and detector materials, and the need to model their performance for short pulse durations, response to high frequency photons, presence of coatings and/or thinness of the absorptive layer, necessitates modifications to three-step and moments models of photoemission that are used in simulation codes. Here, methods to include input from computationally intensive approaches, such as density functional theory to model optical properties and transfer matrix approaches to treat emission from the surface or transport past coatings, by means of parametric models are demonstrated. First, a technique to accurately represent optical behavior so as to model reflectivity and penetration depth is given. Second, modifications to bulk models arising from the usage of thin film architectures, and a means to rapidly calculate them, is provided. Third, a parameterization to model the impact of wells associated with coatings and surface layers on the transmission probably is given. In all cases, the methods are computationally efficient and designed to allow for including input from numerically intensive approaches that would otherwise be unavailable for simulations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2026

Spatial analysis of cell patterning to aid genetic and phenotypic understanding of grass stomatal density: A case study in maize

Biological processes involve complex hierarchies where composite traits result from multiple component traits. However, holistically understanding of how sets of component traits interact to underpin genotype-to-phenotype relationships is generally lacking. Stomatal density (SD) is a tractable model system for exploring how high-throughput phenotyping (HTP) data could be exploited by a new spatial analysis approach to better understand a developmentally and functionally important trait. SD is a composite trait, resulting from various components related to cell identity and size, which are themselves governed by a series of spatio-developmental processes. Data from 192 recombinant inbred lines of maize [Zea mays (L.)] were analyzed by a new stomatal patterning phenotype (SPP) to (1) describe the average spatial probability distribution of the nearest neighboring stomata; (2) derive a core set of component traits related to cell size, cell packing, and positional probabilities; (3) build a structural equation model of component traits underlying SD; and (4) identify stomatal patterning quantitative trait loci (QTL). The core set of SPP-derived traits explained 74% of the variation in SD. Analyzing SPP component traits allowed some loci previously identified as generic SD QTL to be recognized as specific to lateral versus longitudinal elements of stomatal patterning. Therefore, this study highlights how novel insights can be gained by decomposing a composite trait (e.g., SD) into a set of component traits that were present in HTP data but not previously exploited.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty-aware Continuous Implicit Neural Representations for Remote Sensing Object Counting

Many existing object counting methods rely on density map estimation (DME) of the discrete grid representation by decoding extracted image semantic features from designed convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Relying on discrete density maps not only leads to information loss dependent on the original image resolution, but also has a scalability issue when analyzing high-resolution images with cubically increasing memory complexity. Furthermore, none of the existing methods can offer reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the derived count estimates. To overcome these limitations, we design UNcertainty-aware, hypernetwork-based Implicit neural representations for Counting (UNIC) to assign probabilities and the corresponding counting confidence over continuous spatial coordinates. We derive a sampling-based Bayesian counting loss function and develop the corresponding model training algorithm. UNIC outperforms existing methods on the Remote Sensing Object Counting (RSOC) dataset with reliable UQ and improved interpretability of the derived count estimates. Our code is available at https://github.com/SiyuanXu-tamu/UNIC.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

A DECADE of dwarfs: first detection of weak lensing around spectroscopically confirmed low-mass galaxies

We present the first detection of weak gravitational lensing around spectroscopically confirmed dwarf galaxies, using the large overlap between DESI DR1 spectroscopic data and DECADE/DES weak lensing catalogs. A clean dwarf galaxy sample with well-defined redshift and stellar mass cuts enables excess surface mass density measurements in two stellar mass bins ($\log \rm{M}_*=[8.2, 9.2]~M_\odot$ and $\log \rm{M}_*=[9.2, 10.2]~M_\odot$), with signal-to-noise ratios of $5.6$ and $12.4$ respectively. This signal-to-noise drops to $4.5$ and $9.2$ respectively for measurements without applying individual inverse probability (IIP) weights, which mitigates fiber incompleteness from DESI's targeting. The measurements are robust against variations in stellar mass estimates, photometric shredding, and lensing calibration systematics. Using a simulation-based modeling framework with stellar mass function priors, we constrain the stellar mass-halo mass relation and find a satellite fraction of $\simeq 0.3$, which is higher than previous photometric studies but $1.5σ$ lower than $Λ$CDM predictions. We find that IIP weights have a significant impact on lensing measurements and can change the inferred $f_{\rm{sat}}$ by a factor of two, highlighting the need for accurate fiber incompleteness corrections for dwarf galaxy samples. Our results open a new observational window into the galaxy-halo connection at low masses, showing that future massively multiplexed spectroscopic observations and weak lensing data will enable stringent tests of galaxy formation models and $Λ$CDM predictions.

To, Chun-Hao [Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.;↗

DOE OSTI2020

Bayesian inference of nuclear symmetry energy from measured and imagined neutron skin thickness in Sn 116 , 118 , 120 , 122 , 124 , 130 , 132 , Pb 208 , and Ca 48

The neutron skin thickness Δr np in heavy nuclei has been known as one of the most sensitive terrestrial probes of the nuclear symmetry energy E sym (ρ) around $\frac{2}{3}$ of the saturation density ρ 0 of nuclear matter. Existing neutron skin data mostly from hadronic observables suffer from large uncertainties and their extraction from experiments are often strongly model dependent. While waiting eagerly for the promised model-independent and high-precision neutron skin data for 208 Pb and 48 Ca from the parity-violating electron scattering experiments (PREX-II and CREX at JLab as well as MREX at MESA), within the Bayesian statistical framework using the Skyrme-Hartree-Fock model we infer the posterior probability distribution functions (PDFs) of the slope parameter L of the nuclear symmetry energy at ρ 0 from imagined Δr np ( 208 Pb)=0.15, 0.20, and 0.30 fm with a 1σ error bar of 0.02, 0.04, and 0.06 fm, respectively, as well as Δr np ( 48 Ca)=0.12, 0.15, and 0.25 fm, with different 1σ error bar of 0.01 and 0.02 fm, respectively. The results are compared with the PDFs of L inferred using the same approach from the available Δr np data for 116, 118, 120, 122, 124, 130, 132 Sn from hadronic probes. They are also compared with results from a recent Bayesian analysis of the radius and tidal deformability data of canonical neutron stars from GW170817 and NICER. The neutron skin data for Sn isotopes gives L = 45.5 $^{+ 26.5}_{-21.6}$ MeV surrounding its mean value or L = 53 . 4 $^{+ 18.6}_{ -29.5}$ MeV surrounding its maximum a posteriori value, respectively, with the latter smaller than but consistent with the L = 66 $^{+ 12}_{-20}$ MeV from the neutron star data within their 68% confidence intervals. We found that Δr np = 0.17 –0.18 fm in 208 Pb with an error bar of about 0.02 fm leads to a PDF of L compatible with that from analyzing the Sn data. To provide additionally useful information on L extracted from the Δr np of Sn isotopes, the experimental error bar of Δr np in 208 Pb should be at least smaller than 0.06 fm aimed by some current experiments. In addition, the Δr np ( 48 Ca) needs to be larger than 0.15 fm but smaller than 0.25 fm to be compatible with the Sn and/or neutron star results. To further improve our current knowledge about L and distinguish its PDFs in the examples considered, even higher precisions leading to significantly less than ±20 MeV error bars for L at 68% confidence level are necessary.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗