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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1995

Winds in hot main-sequence stars near the static limit

This project began with the acquisition of short-wavelength, high-dispersion IUE spectra of selected late O- and early B-type stars that are near the main sequence in open clusters and associations. The profiles of the resonance lines of N(V), Si(IV), and C(IV) were studied, and we found that the C(IV) lines are the most sensitive indicators of mass loss (stellar winds) in stars of this type. The mass loss manifests itself as an extension of the short-wavelength absorption wing of the doublet, while there is no P Cygni-type emission on the long-wavelength side of the line profile. We investigated whether the short-wavelength extension could be caused by blended lines of other ionic species formed in the photosphere. Although blending is present and introduces uncertainty into the estimation of the precise location on the main sequence of the onset of the mass-loss signature, it is a crucial issue only in a few marginal cases. Mass loss certainly overwhelms blending in its influence on the spectrum between spectral types B0 and B1 (effective temperatures in the range 25,000-27,000 K). We defined a parameter called P(sub w), to describe the degree of asymmetry of the C(IV) resonance-line profile, and we studied the dependence of this parameter on the fundamental stellar parameters. For this purpose, we derived new estimates of the stellar T(eff) and log g from a non-LTE, line-blanketed model-atmosphere analysis of these stars (Grigsby, Morrison, and Anderson 1992). In order to estimate the stellar luminosities, we performed an exhaustive search of the literature for the most reliable available estimates of the distances of the clusters and associations to which the program stars belong. The dependence of P(sub w) on stellar temperature and luminosity is also studied.

Morrison, Nancy D.↗
NASA NTRS1998

Rossi X-Ray Timing Explorer Guest Investigator Program

Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer (RXTE) observations of the bright supernova remnant Cas A have revealed a hard power law component above 10 keV in addition to two thermal components inferred from ASCA measurements of the many line centroids from low-Z elements. The power law can be shown to be consistent with synchrotron emission from radio to hard x-rays by electrons of up to 4 x 10(exp 13) eV. Measurement of the 1157 keV line by CGRO (Compton Gamma Ray Observatory) from SC-44 in the chain of decay of Ti-44 predicts that the two Ti-44 lines at 68 and 78 keV should appear at the CGRO intensity. RXTE has placed upper limits on such lines that are marginally consistent with the CGRO measurement. Implications of these results on sites for cosmic ray acceleration and nucleosynthesis are discussed.

Lingenfelter, Richard E.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Spectrophotometry of Michigan-Tololo quasars

Emission-line quasar characteristics are confirmed for 80% of the objects observed, including at least four new quasars with spectral features indicative of supernova-like outflow. Approximately 73% of the redshifts predicted from the discovery plates are found accurate with a mean error in z of 0.03, and a large range of z (from about 0.1 to 3.16) is represented in the sample. The observed redshift distribution for quasars is marginally consistent with a constant co-moving quasar density above z approximately 2.0. The shape of the redshift distribution may be used as an isotropy probe with a cosmic time resolution of a few times one-hundred million years in the early universe; therefore, continued surveys of this sort are important even if accurate magnitudes are not determined.

Lewis, D. W.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Observations of far-infrared fine structure lines - Forbidden O III 88.35 microns and forbidden O I 63.2 microns

Results are presented for observations of the fine-structure lines of forbidden O III at 88.35 microns and forbidden O I at 63.2 microns in a number of sources by means of an airborne far-IR spectrometer. The sources M17, NGC 7538, and W51 are mapped in the forbidden O III line with a resolution of 1 arcmin, and the emission peak is found to coincide with the maximum radio continuum in all cases. The far-IR continuum is simultaneously mapped where possible; the continuum peak is shown to be distinct from the center of ionization in the same three sources. The forbidden O III line is also detected in W3, W49, and several positions in M42 (Orion). The forbidden O I line is detected in M17, in M42, and marginally in DR 21. An unsuccessful search for the J = 1-0 transition of HD at 112 microns in the direction of the Kleinmann-Low nebula is also reported.

Storey, J. W. V.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Einstein observations of the Vela supernova remnant - The spatial structure of the hot emitting gas

Spatially resolved (aproximately 1 arcmin) X-ray maps of the Vela supernova remnant have been constructed in two spectral bands, 0.2-1.0 keV and 0.8-2.0 keV, from a series of 36 separate observations with the Imaging Proportional Counter of the Einstein Observatory. The maps exhibit substantial structure on all angular scales. Spectral analysis shows that the emission from the remnant can be consistently described as thermal radiation from hot gas which is nonuniform in density and temperature, but which is in approximate pressure equilibrium. It is found that p/k is approximately 3-4 x 10 to the 5th/cu cm K. The soft X-ray emission exhibits a high degree of correlation with the optical filamentary structure, in the sense that the most prominent filaments either tightly surround or are coincident with the brightest X-ray regions. This suggests that the softest X-radiation may originate in 'warm' gas which is evaporated from the denser clouds responsible for the optical and ultraviolet filaments. Such an interpretation is quantitatively investigated, and shown to be only marginally consistent with the observations.

Kahn, S. M.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Ion Acoustic Wave Frequencies and Onset Times During Type 3 Solar Radio Bursts

Conflicting interpretations exist for the low-frequency ion acoustic (S) waves often observed by ISEE 3 in association with intense Langmuir (L) waves in the source regions of type III solar radio bursts near 1 AU. Two indirect lines of observational evidence, as well as plasma theory, suggest they are produced by the electrostatic (ES) decay L yields L(PRIME) + S. However, contrary to theoretical predictions, an existing analysis of the wave frequencies instead favors the electromagnetic (EM) decays L yields T + S, where T denotes an EM wave near the plasma frequency. This conflict is addressed here by comparing the observed wave frequencies and onset times with theoretical predictions for the ES and EM decays, calculated using the time-variable electron beam and magnetic field orientation data, rather than the nominal values used previously. Field orientation effects and beam speed variations are shown analytically to produce factor-of-three effects, greater than the difference in wave frequencies predicted for the ES and EM decays; effects of similar magnitude occur in the events analyzed here. The S-wave signals are extracted by hand from a sawtooth noise background, greatly improving the association between S waves and intense L waves. Very good agreement exists between the time-varying predictions for the ES decay and the frequencies of most (but not all) wave bursts. The waves occur only after the ES decay becomes kinematically allowed, which is consistent with the ES decay proceeding and producing most of the observed signals. Good agreement exists between the EM decay's predictions and a significant fraction of the S-wave observations while the EM decay is kinematically allowed. The wave data are not consistent, however, with the EM decay being the dominant nonlinear process. Often the observed waves are sufficiently broadband to overlap simultaneously the frequency ranges predicted for the ES and EM decays. Coupling the dominance of the ES decay with this frequency overlap provides support for a previous suggestion that fundamental emission occurs when the EM decay is stimulated by the ES decay product waves. The periods in which the ES and EM decays produce observable S waves are consistent with the observed and (independently) predicted times of fundamental and harmonic radio emission. This supports interpretation of fundamental emission as stimulated EM decay and harmonic emission as the coalescence L + L(prime) yields T of beam-generated L waves and L(prime) waves produced by the ES decay, where T denotes an electromagnetic wave at twice the plasma frequency. Analysis of the electron beam data reveals that the time-varying beam speed is consistent with ballistic beam propagation with minimal energy loss, implying that the beam propagates in a state close to time- and volume-averaged marginal stability. This confirms a central tenet of the stochastic growth theory for type III bursts.

Cairns, Iver H.↗
DOE OSTI2020

U-Pb zircon age constraints on the earliest eruptions of the Deccan Large Igneous Province, Malwa Plateau, India

Climate instability driven by emission of volatiles during emplacement of large igneous provinces (LIPs) is frequently invoked as a potential cause of mass extinctions. However, documenting this process in the geologic record requires a holistic understanding of eruption rates, the location of eruptive centers, and potential sources of climate-changing volatiles. We present new chemical abrasion–isotope dilution–thermal ionization mass spectrometry (CA-ID-TIMS) U-Pb zircon geochronology from Malwa Plateau basalts on the northern margin of the Deccan LIP, India. These basalts have been previously interpreted as either an extension of the province's main volcanic stratigraphy or as an independent eruptive center active up to millions of years prior to the main eruptive phase. Our data instead demonstrate that the lower Malwa Plateau basalts are temporally correlative with the first pulse of Deccan volcanism and provide new constraints on its initiation and duration. Paleomagnetic data further indicate that upper Malwa Plateau basalts may be age-equivalent to the second, third, and fourth pulses of Deccan volcanism. The relative thicknesses of age-equivalent packages of basalt are consistent with eruption of the Deccan LIP from a southward-migrating eruptive center. The first eruptive pulse is coeval with a ~200 kyr Late Maastrichtian warming event preserved globally in contemporaneous stratigraphic sections. We propose that the first pulse of Deccan magmatism was more voluminous in the north, where it erupted through organic-rich sedimentary rocks of the Narmada-Tapti rift basin. Thermal metamorphism of these sediments could have been a source of sufficient CO 2 to drive the Late Maastrichtian warming event, which if true would reconcile the apparent dampened warming signals associated with later Deccan eruptive pulses.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

The TESS Phase Curve of KELT-1b Suggests a High Dayside Albedo

We measured the optical phase curve of the transiting brown dwarf KELT-1b (TOI 1476) using data from the TESS spacecraft. We found that KELT-1b shows significant phase variation in the TESS bandpass, with a relatively large phase amplitude of 234{sub −44}{sup +43} ppm and a secondary eclipse depth of 371{sub −49}{sup +47} ppm. We also measured a marginal eastward offset in the dayside hot spot of 18.°3 ± 7.°4 relative to the substellar point. We detected a strong phase-curve signal attributed to ellipsoidal distortion of the host star with an amplitude of 399 ± 19 ppm. Our results are roughly consistent with the Spitzer phase curves of KELT-1b, but the TESS eclipse depth is deeper than expected. Our cloud-free 1D models of KELT-1b’s dayside emission are unable to fit the full combined eclipse spectrum. Instead, the large TESS eclipse depth suggests that KELT-1b may have a significant dayside geometric albedo of A {sub g} ∼ 0.5 in the TESS bandpass, which would agree with the tentative trend between equilibrium temperature and geometric albedo recently suggested by Wong et al. We posit that if KELT-1b has a high dayside albedo, it is likely due to silicate clouds that form on KELT-1b’s nightside and are subsequently transported onto the western side of KELT-1b’s dayside hemisphere before breaking up.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS1997

Large-Scale Distributions of Tropospheric Nitric, Formic, and Acetic acids Over the Westerm Pacific Basin During Wintertime

We report here measurements of the acidic gases nitric (HNO3), formic (HCOOH), and acetic (CH3COOH) over the western Pacific basin during the February-March 1994 Pacific Exploratory Mission-West (PEM-West B). These data were obtained aboard the NASA DC-8 research aircraft as it flew missions in the altitude range of 0.3 - 12.5 km over equatorial regions near Guam and then further westward encompassing the entire Pacific Rim arc. Aged marine air over the equatorial Pacific generally exhibited mixing ratios of acidic gases less than 100 parts per trillion by volume (pptv). Near the Asian continent, discrete plumes encountered below 6 km altitude contained up to 8 parts per billion by volume (ppbv) HNO3 and 10 ppbv HCOOH and CH3COOH. Overall there was a general correlation between mixing ratios of acidic gases with those of CO, C2H2, and C2Cl4, indicative of emissions from combustion and industrial sources. The latitudinal distributions of HNO3 and CO showed that the largest mixing ratios were centered around 15 deg N, while HCOOH, CH3COOH, and C2Cl4 peaked at 25 deg N. The mixing ratios of HCOOH and CH3COOH were highly correlated (r(sup 2) = 0.87) below 6 km altitude, with a slope (0.89) characteristic of the nongrowing season at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere. Above 6 km altitude, HCOOH and CH3COOH were marginally correlated (r(sup 2) = 0.50), and plumes well defined by CO, C2H2, and C2Cl4 were depleted in acidic gases, most likely due to scavenging during vertical transport of air masses through convective cloud systems over the Asian continent. In stratospheric air masses, HNO, mixing ratios were several parts per billion by volume (ppbv), yielding relationships with 03 and N2O consistent with those previously reported for NO(y).

Talbot, R. W.↗
NASA NTRS2014

How Dusty Is Alpha Centauri? Excess or Non-excess over the Infrared Photospheres of Main-sequence Stars

Context. Debris discs around main-sequence stars indicate the presence of larger rocky bodies. The components of the nearby, solar-type binary Centauri have metallicities that are higher than solar, which is thought to promote giant planet formation. Aims. We aim to determine the level of emission from debris around the stars in the Cen system. This requires knowledge of their photospheres.Having already detected the temperature minimum, Tmin, of CenA at far-infrared wavelengths, we here attempt to do the same for the moreactive companion Cen B. Using the Cen stars as templates, we study the possible eects that Tmin may have on the detectability of unresolveddust discs around other stars. Methods.We used Herschel-PACS, Herschel-SPIRE, and APEX-LABOCA photometry to determine the stellar spectral energy distributions in thefar infrared and submillimetre. In addition, we used APEX-SHeFI observations for spectral line mapping to study the complex background around Cen seen in the photometric images. Models of stellar atmospheres and of particulate discs, based on particle simulations and in conjunctionwith radiative transfer calculations, were used to estimate the amount of debris around these stars. Results. For solar-type stars more distant than Cen, a fractional dust luminosity fd LdustLstar 2 107 could account for SEDs that do not exhibit the Tmin eect. This is comparable to estimates of fd for the Edgeworth-Kuiper belt of the solar system. In contrast to the far infrared,slight excesses at the 2:5 level are observed at 24 m for both CenA and B, which, if interpreted as due to zodiacal-type dust emission, wouldcorrespond to fd (13) 105, i.e. some 102 times that of the local zodiacal cloud. Assuming simple power-law size distributions of the dustgrains, dynamical disc modelling leads to rough mass estimates of the putative Zodi belts around the Cen stars, viz.4106 M$ of 4 to 1000 msize grains, distributed according to n(a) a3:5. Similarly, for filled-in Tmin emission, corresponding Edgeworth-Kuiper belts could account for103 M$ of dust. Conclusions. Our far-infrared observations lead to estimates of upper limits to the amount of circumstellar dust around the stars CenA and B.Light scattered andor thermally emitted by exo-Zodi discs will have profound implications for future spectroscopic missions designed to searchfor biomarkers in the atmospheres of Earth-like planets. The far-infrared spectral energy distribution of Cen B is marginally consistent with thepresence of a minimum temperature region in the upper atmosphere of the star. We also show that an Cen A-like temperature minimum mayresult in an erroneous apprehension about the presence of dust around other, more distant stars.

metallicities↗
NASA NTRS2019

The First NuSTAR Observation of 4U 1538-522: Updated Orbital Ephemeris and a Strengthened Case for an Evolving Cyclotron Line Energy

We have performed a comprehensive spectral and timing analysis of the first NuSTAR observation of the high-mass X-ray binary 4U 1538−522. The observation covers the X-ray eclipse of the source, plus the eclipse ingress and egress. We use the new measurement of the mid-eclipse time to update the orbital parameters of the system and find marginally significant evolution in the orbital period, with P(sub orb) / P(sub orb) = (-0.95 +/- 0.37) x 10(exp -6) yr(exp -1). The cyclotron line energy is found to be approximately 1.2 keV higher than RXTE measurements from 1997 to 2003, in line with the increased energy observed by Suzaku in 2012 and strengthening the case for secular evolution of 4U 1538−522's CRSF. We additionally characterize the behavior of the iron fluorescence and emission lines and line-of-sight absorption as the source moves into and out of eclipse.

Hemphill, Paul B.↗
NASA NTRS1974

A study of the effect of stratospheric aerosols produced by SST emissions on the albedo and climate of the earth

Hypothesized fleets of supersonic aircraft, flying at stratospheric altitude, may lead to a significant increase in the aerosol population of the stratosphere. Exact multiple scattering calculations have been carried out to determine the response of the earth's albedo to an increase of the stratospheric aerosol optical depth. It is found that a tripling of the aerosol population in the stratosphere, which represents an extreme upper limit to the effects of SST's, results in a 0.6% increase of the earth's reflectivity and a decrease of the mean surface temperature on the order of 0.3 K. Such changes could be marginally significant.

Pollack, J. B.↗
NASA NTRS2021

On-Orbit Calibration and Performance Assessments of Terra and Aqua Modis Thermal Emissive Bands

Terra and Aqua MODIS have successfully operated for more than 20 and 18 years, respectively, and far exceeded their designed lifetimes of 6 years. MODIS has 36 spectral bands, among which 16 are the thermal emissive bands (TEB) covering a wavelength range from 3.75 to 14.24 μm. Observations from the MODIS TEB have been used to generate a number of data products, such as surface/cloud/atmospheric temperatures, cloud top altitude, and water vapor properties. To a large extent, the quality of the MODIS L1B radiance product has been maintained through the entirety of each mission via extensive on-orbit calibration and validation efforts. MODIS TEB calibration uses a quadratic algorithm and is referenced to an on-board blackbody with its temperature measurements traceable to the NIST standard. We provide an overview of the MODIS instrument operations, key TEB calibration activities, and algorithms used in the latest L1B data Collection 6.1 (C6.1) and describe the TEB on-orbit performance for both Terra and Aqua MODIS. The TEB gain trends have been stable to within 5% over the Terra mission after 2003 under the same electronic configuration, except for bands 27 to 30, and within 3% over the Aqua mission. The Terra MODIS optical crosstalk correction implemented right after launch has been very effective in removing the ghost images in its photoconductive detector bands 32 to 36. Starting from C6.1, an electronic crosstalk correction algorithm has also been applied to the Terra MODIS photovoltaic detector long-wave infrared bands 27 to 30. The noise characterization performance remains stable with most TEB detectors continuously meeting their design requirements. A gradual loss of the Aqua MODIS radiative cooler margin reached its maximum in 2013 and has been slowly recovering since then. On-orbit changes in TEB response versus scan angle are extremely small based on pitch maneuver observations and assessments using vicarious approaches. The remaining challenges in TEB calibration and proposed improvements for the upcoming data collection with L1B data production and reprocessing are discussed.

Terra↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparison between Hayabusa 2 Spectral Measurements and Simulations

This paper compares recent Hayabusa 2 spectral measurements with state-of-the-art shock-layer radiation simulations resulting from the LAURA/HARA code suite. These simulations include coupled ablation, which accounts for the injection of ablation products into the flowfield, and coupled radiation, which accounts for radiative energy loss in the flowfield. To enable the coupled ablation simulations, a best-estimate model is developed for Hayabusa’s carbon-phenolic ablator, based on the limited available published information. The comparison between the simulations and measurements focuses on two atomic nitrogen lines and two atomic oxygen lines, as well as the CN Violet band system. For the atomic lines, the measurements and simulations agree within 25% over most of the trajectory. This excellent agreement is unprecedented for observed radiation measurements of atomic lines, where previous Stardust and Hayabusa 1 comparisons were significantly worse. The improved agreement for these Hayabusa 2 comparisons is both the result of improved measurement quality and enhanced flowfield/radiation modeling. To provide a link between these observed radiation measurements and the radiative heating to a vehicle surface, the recently developed flowfield property binning approach is used to identify flowfield properties that provide the dominant emission contribution to the measured spectrum. These identified flowfield properties are then shown to match those for the surface radiative heating to the currently developed Mars Sample Return (MSR) Earth Entry System (EES) at a specific trajectory point and surface location. This matching of flowfield properties indicates that this EES radiative heating and Hayabusa 2 observed radiation simulations are equivalent radiation problems. Therefore, the excellent agreement between Hayabusa 2 measurements and simulations may be leveraged to inform the radiation heating margin for the MSR EES.

Christopher O Johnston↗
DOE OSTI2020

Stringent constraints on neutron-star radii from multimessenger observations and nuclear theory

The properties of neutron stars are determined by the nature of the matter that they contain. These properties can be constrained by measurements of the star’s size. We obtain stringent constraints on neutron-star radii by combining multimessenger observations of the binary neutron-star merger GW170817 with nuclear theory that best accounts for density-dependent uncertainties in the equation of state. We construct equations of state constrained by chiral effective field theory and marginalize over these using the gravitational-wave observations. Combining this with the electromagnetic observations of the merger remnant that imply the presence of a short-lived hypermassive neutron star, we find that the radius of a 1.4 M⊙ neutron star is $R_{1.4M_⊙} = 11.0^{+0.9}_{-0.6} km$ (90% credible interval). Finally, using this constraint, we show that neutron stars are unlikely to be disrupted in neutron star–black hole mergers; subsequently, such events will not produce observable electromagnetic emission.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Metal concentration and leaf spatial distribution assessed by synchrotron µXRF in Brazilian nickel hyperaccumulators

Background and Aims: The limited number of known hyperaccumulator species in tropical regions, including Brazil, has hampered the development of nickel (Ni) agromining. In addition, the mechanisms underlying metal accumulation and distribution in these species remain poorly understood, despite their pivotal role in identifying species with economic potential. Furthermore, this study assessed the accumulation potential and foliar spatial distribution of metals in three Brazilian hyperaccumulator species (Pfaffia sarcophylla, Justicia lanstyakii, and Lippia lupulina) growing in one of the world’s largest mafic–ultramafic complexes. Methods Concentrations of Ni and other metals in leaves were determined using portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) and inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES). Synchrotron-based X-ray microfluorescence (SR-µXRF) was employed to map the spatial distribution of metals across intact leaves. Results: The results revealed leaf Ni concentrations ranging from 320 to 1,950 mg kg⁻ 1 in P. sarcophylla, 1,640 to 6,810 mg kg⁻ 1 in L. lupulina, and 1,990 to 4,900 mg kg⁻ 1 in J. lanstyakii. Nickel, Mn, and Co exhibited similar distribution patterns, concentrating mainly in the leaf margins and veins across all species, while Ca, K, and Mg co-localization suggests regulatory mechanisms for adaptation. Conclusion: Although these plants exhibited Ni hyperaccumulation, our findings suggest limited commercial potential for agromining. Further research on genetic variability and nutrient assimilation, particularly in P. sarcophylla, is recommended to elucidate the mechanisms underlying Ni accumulation and intraspecific variability.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

A multi-product landscape life-cycle assessment approach for evaluating local climate mitigation potential

Increasing demand for land-based climate mitigation requires more efficient management of agricultural landscapes for competing objectives. Here we develop methods for assessing trade-offs and synergies between intensification and carbon-sequestering conservation measures in annual crop production landscapes using the DayCent ecosystem model and the Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Technologies (GREET) life-cycle assessment (LCA) model. We compiled county-scaled crop yields, fertilizer application rates, and tillage intensity for a corn–soybean farming case study landscape in the US state of Iowa. Using DayCent, we estimated a baseline soil organic carbon (SOC) accrual rate of 0.29 Mg C ha -1 y -1 driven by historical increases in crop productivity and reductions in tillage intensity. We then simulated the effects of management interventions targeted toward intensification (stover removal) and SOC sequestration (tillage intensity reduction and winter cover crop addition) individually and in combination. We propose a new multi-product landscape–LCA approach that analyzes marginal changes in corn grain, corn stover, and soybean production from the landscape in terms of their value for biofuel production (corn ethanol, soy biodiesel, and cellulosic ethanol from stover) and associated net displacement of conventional fossil-derived fuel use. This enables us to evaluate both intensification and sequestration effects in common CO 2 -equivalent mitigation units. We also used DayCent-simulated yields under the different land management scenarios to estimate farm-level costs and revenues. Our results show that intensification via collecting 30% of corn stover for biofuel production would increase the total greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential of this landscape by 0.93 Mg CO 2 e ha -1 y -1 and provide $49 ha -1 y -1 of additional net revenue from biomass sales, but would reduce the baseline SOC accumulation rate by approximately 40%. In contrast, integrated approaches that include co-adoption of winter cover cropping and/or tillage intensity reduction would result in increased rates of SOC accumulation above the baseline, achieving simultaneous improvements in both farm profits and the overall GHG mitigation potential of the landscape.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of carbon neutrality for light-duty vehicle sector in China

China’s progress in decarbonizing its transportation, particularly vehicle electrification, is notable. However, the economically effective pathways are underexplored. To find out how much cost is necessary for carbon neutrality for the light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector, this study examines twenty decarbonization pathways, combining the New Energy and Oil Consumption Credit model and the China-Fleet model. We find that the 2060 zero-greenhouse gas (GHG) emission goal for LDVs is achievable via electrification if the battery pack cost is under CNY483/kWh by 2050. However, an extra of CNY8.86 trillion internal subsidies is needed under pessimistic battery cost scenarios (CNY759/kWh in 2050) to eliminate 246 million tonnes of CO 2 -eq by 2050 ensuring over 80% market penetration of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2050. Moreover, the promotion of fuel cell electric vehicles is synergy with BEVs to mitigate the carbon abatement difficulties, decreasing up to 34% of the maximum marginal abatement internal investment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗