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DOE OSTI2026

Sapphire Substrate Trenching to Advance Superconducting High-Coherence Quantum Devices

Achieving longer coherence times in superconducting qubits is essential for advancing quantum information processing and enabling scalable quantum computing. This work presents an innovative fabrication strategy focused on sapphire trenching of the substrate of superconducting high-coherence quantum devices, developed by the SQMS Nanofabrication Taskforce in collaboration with the materials characterization team. In this talk, we present a method to efficiently and consistently trench into the sapphire substrate, without compromising the surface roughness or profile of the etched sapphire. In the literature, trenching in the substrate has been shown to decrease losses, unwanted coupling and thermal stress. Sapphire’s strong covalent bonds make it harder to etch compared to silicon, yet it is more favorable for high-coherence quantum devices due to its lower dielectric losses. This innovative technique opens new possibilities for superconducting qubit fabrication: we fabricated high coherence qubit chips on sapphire substrates with trenching, to demonstrate that it will help pushing towards higher coherence times. By integrating this work with ongoing junction process optimization, design innovation, materials characterization and exploration, we outline a clear pathway toward transmon coherence times reaching millisecond scales and beyond.

Garattoni, S. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of Self-interrogation Safeguards Signatures for Pebble Bed Reactor Fuel

New reactor designs, such as pebble-bed reactors, present challenges for the safeguarding of fissile material. Due to the multi-pass fuel circulation design and the non-uniform path a pebble may traverse through a pebble-bed reactor, there will be variations in the irradiation history of spent fuel pebbles. The standard approach of estimating actinide quantities based on fission gamma spectra or neutron emission paired with depletion modeling may yield uncertainties too large for safeguards and material accountancy. This project investigated, through modeling and experimentation, the potential of neutron self-interrogation of spent fuel pebbles as an innovative method to implement materials accountability. As an example, our feasibility studies indicate that the mass of U-235, U-238, Pu-239 and Pu-241 can be predicted to 4.1, 0.86, 13 and 13 % accuracy, respectively, when measuring 100 closely packed end-of-life spent fuel pebbles over approximately 12 days using a 4π counting geometry.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NASA NTRS2017

NASA's Advanced TPS Materials and Technology Development: Multi-Functional Materials and Systems for Space Exploration

NASA's future missions will be more demanding. They require materials to be mass efficient, robust, multi-functional, scalable and able to be integrated with other subsystems to enable innovative missions to accomplish future science missions. Thermal protection systems and materials (TPSM) are critical for the robotic and human exploration of the solar system when it involves entry. TPSM is a single string system with no back-up. Mass efficiency and robustness are required. Integration of TPSM with the aeroshell is both a challenge and an opportunity. Since 2010, NASA's Space Technology Mission Directorate has invested in innovative new materials and systems across a spectrum of game changing technologies. In this keynote address, we plan to highlight and present our successful approaches utilized in developing four different materials and system technologies that use innovative new manufacturing techniques to meet mission needs. 3-D weaving and felt manufacturing allowed us to successfully propose new ways of addressing TPSM challenges. In the 3-D MAT project, we developed and delivered a multi-functional TPS materials solution, in under three years that is an enabler for Lunar Capable Orion Spacecraft. Under the HEEET project, we are developing a robust heat-shield that can withstand extreme entry conditions, both thermally and mechanically, for entry at Venus, Saturn or higher speed sample return missions. The improved efficiency of HEEET allows science missions entry at much reduced G'loads enabling delicate science instruments to be used. The ADEPT concept is a foldable and deployable entry system and the critical component is a multi-functional fabric that is foldable and deployable and also functions as a mechanical aeroshell and a TPS. The fourth technology we will highlight involves felt to address integration challenges of rigid ablative system such as PICA that was used on MSL. The felt technology allows us to develop a compliant TPS for easy integration. The above four technology developments have focused on mission infusion as the success criteria. These technologies are in different stages of mission infusion. These innovations have led to new mission concepts to be proposed in the future. In our keynote address we will present approaches we have employed throughout the project to create the bridge to transition from low TRL to mission infusion and to overcome the traditional TRL valley of death.

TPS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Critical Materials Institute (CMI) Year 10 Cumulative Report

This 40-page technical report summarizes the achievements and success of the first 10 years of the Critical Materials Institute (CMI). CMI is an Energy Innovation Hub created by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) that focuses on developing the technical innovations needed to address the supply chain of critical materials important to clean energy technologies. The report describe the CMI’s unique implementation of the Energy Innovation Hub model including sections on situational analysis and approach; critical materials challenges and technical achievements; and diverse impacts of the first 10 years of operations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1987

The Diffusion of Innovation

New ideas encounter obstacles on way to becoming products. Report examines process by which new ideas become products, processes, or accepted standards. Sequence of events called "the diffusion of innovation." Focuses on development of material processing in low gravity as case study in diffusion of innovation.

Earabino, Gerard J.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reduced diffusion and enhanced retention of multiple radionuclides from pore structure characterization of barrier materials for enhanced repository performance

Fluid flow and chemical transport in porous media are the macroscopic consequences of pore structure, which integrates geometry (e.g., pore size and surface area, pore-size distribution) and topology (e.g., pore connectivity). Low-permeability geological media whose pores are poorly interconnected will exhibit the characteristics of anomalous diffusion and sample size-dependent effective porosity, which will strongly impact long-term net diffusion and retention of radionuclides in geological repository settings involving different host rocks and barrier materials. A suite of innovative and complementary experimental approaches is utilized to study the microscopic pore structure and macroscopic fluid flow & chemical transport for a range of host rocks and barrier materials, in addition to standard clay minerals and reference rocks. With a particular focus on quantifying the presence and magnitude of “isolated” pores for a reduced effective porosity in low-permeability geomedia, the integrated methodologies for basic properties and pore structure characterization of these geomedia include X-ray diffraction, thin section petrography, grain size distribution, water immersion porosimetry after vacuum-pulling for full saturation, mercury intrusion porosimetry, nitrogen physisorption, scanning electron microscopy, X-ray computed tomography, and (ultra-)small angle neutron (X-ray) scattering. In addition, custom-designed gas diffusion, tracer recipe involving a range of anionic and cationic chemicals with subsequent analyses by laser ablation and inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry, along with batch sorption, column transport, and imbibition tests were conducted for coupled effects of pore structure and chemical retention/transport. From the perspectives of pore structure in conjunction with multiple and complementary approaches to examining a range of sample sizes under different observational scales, we find that the poor pore connectivity is prevalent in low-permeability media (mudstone and crystalline rock) that is related to geological processes (e.g., compaction, diagenesis and thermal maturation). For example, the deep and organic matter-rich mudstones have a much smaller effective porosity than the total porosity (as a result of poor pore connectivity) and associated diffusion coefficient, and the effective porosity & diffusion coefficients are also dependent upon the sample sizes used in the measurement. Similarly, most of the pore space in the shallow mudstone is also controlled by pore-throat diameters in the 5-50 nm range of intergranular pore types from its fine-grained nature, but with an overall good pore connectivity. However, the nm-sized pore space (physically pore-network architecture) and strong sorption capacities (chemical retention from clay minerals) of both shallow and deep mudstones lead to the synergistic retention of cationic radionuclides and their utilities as effective host rocks and barrier materials. Our unique approaches of studying how the micro-scale pore structure affect macro-scale fluid flow, diffusion & retention, and chemical transport produce improved mechanistic understanding, and realistic quantification, of diffusion and retention of typical radionuclides in a range of generic host rocks and barrier materials (clay/shale, salt, crystalline rock, and tuff), with the overall results leading to scientifically-based understanding of enhanced isolation (from both diffusion and retention) of radionuclides and improved confidence on the long-term performance of geological repository to store high-level radioactive wastes. In addition to the training of 25 undergraduates, graduates, and postdocs of UTA, the scientists (organizations) involved in performing this work (e.g., discussion, sample sharing, and operation of SANS and SAXS instruments) include Ed Matteo, Yifeng Wang, and Kristopher Kuhlman (Sandia National Laboratories), Jens Birkholzer, Liange Zheng, Tim Kneafsey, and Sharon Borglin (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory), Mavrik Zavarin (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory), Yukio Tachi and Yuta Fukatsu (Japan Atomic Energy Agency), Mieke de Craen (Euridice, Belgium), Markus Bleuel (NIST), Wei-Ren Chen, Gergely Nagy, Changwoo Do, William Heller, Larry Anovitz, and Kenneth Littrell (ORNL), as well as Jan Illvsky, Ivan Kuzmenko, Ju-Sang Park and Jon Almers (ANL). Key deliverables include a total of 13 peer-reviewed journal articles (nine published and three under review), 23 presentations at scientific conferences (AAPG, AAPG Southwest Section, AGU, Asian Clay Conference, GSA, GSA South-Central Section, IHLRWM, InterPore, International Conference on Chemistry and Migration Behavior of Actinides and Fission Products in the Geosphere, International Conference on Coupled Processes in Fractured Geological Media: Observation, Modeling and Application), and academic institutions (UTA, New Mexico State University; University of Poitiers, France; University of Helsinki, Finland; Uppsala University, Sweden; Istanbul Technical University, Turkey) and other organizations (Andra, France; Posiva Oy, Finland).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Microscopy and Characterization Suite (MaCS) and National Synchrotron Light Source-II (NSLS-II) FY 2025 Annual Report

The Microscopy and Characterization Suite (MaCS) laboratory at the Critical Materials and Energy Systems Innovation Center (CMESIC), formerly the Center for Advanced Energy Studies (CAES) and the National Synchrotron Light Source-II (NSLS-II) at Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) partner with the Nuclear Science User Facilities (NSUF). These partnerships provide funding that allows researchers to access these facilities at no cost for studying irradiation effects on nuclear fuels and materials. Through NSUF, both MaCS and NSLS-II support post-irradiation examination (PIE) and irradiation activities for NSUF Rapid Turnaround Experiments (RTE) and NSUF Consolidated Innovative Nuclear Research (CINR) awards.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Advanced Moderation Module for High-Temperature Micro-Reactor Applications

Development and deployment of micro-reactors that provide competitive efficiency, prevailing compactness, and inherent safety is an immediate focus of the U.S. nuclear industry. For thermal neutron micro-reactors operating at elevated temperature for optimized efficiency, such as micro molten-salt reactors (MSRs), heat-pipe reactors, and very-high temperature reactors (VHTRs), high-performance moderator based on metal hydride can enhance the neutron economy and therefore achieve reduced weight and enhanced portability. As unclad metal hydride inevitably decomposes at elevated temperature, an enclosure is required for hydride moderator to deliver desired performance at elevated temperatures. Conventional moderator enclosure solutions based on high-temperature alloys introduce extraneous neutron penalty into the micro-reactor, affecting the neutronic benefits provided by the hydride moderator. Additionally, the compatibility between the high-temperature alloy enclosure and the micro-reactor matrix is also a potential issue. In this report, we disclose an Advanced Moderator Module (AMM) concept enabled by an innovative enclosure solution combining the advantages of refractory metals, ceramic matrix composites (CMCs), and advanced coating technology to serve as hydrogen permeation barrier up to very-high temperatures. A schematic description of the AMM structure is illustrated in Figure A1. The AMM contains a moderating material core made of metal hydride with high thermal stability, such as YH 2-x . The hydride core is enclosed by an H 2 barrier layer coated on a ductile refractory metal liner to minimize hydrogen loss during high-temperature operation. A ceramic matrix composite (CMC) cladding is adopted to provide further structural strength, especially during power transients. Between the CMC cladding and metal liner, an extra diffusion barrier coating is inserted to suppress the chemical interaction at elevated temperatures. Hence, based on a series of innovative material solutions, the AMM is capable of containing the metal hydride core at elevated temperature (>900oC) inside coated and lined CMC envelop with negligible hydrogen loss throughout the microreactor lifetime. The benefit of the AMM technology was assessed based on a comprehensive multi-stage reactor-physics analysis. Advanced moderation based on hydride metals (such as YH2-x) enables reaching optimum moderation with higher fuel content than traditional VHTR technology, which is required to design compact micro-reactor cores targeting long-life operation. The AMM enclosure technology provides lower thermal neutron absorption rates than traditional solutions (based on stainless steel or Mo-based alloy such as TZM), which reduces the fissile enrichment requirements by 6-8% on a TRISO-fueled design based on the EMPIRE core. Finally, combining the hydride moderator with neutron transparent enclosure solutions provides significant potential to boost neutronics performance of micro-reactors in terms of increased core lifetime or reduced size and weight by 30-50% on a micro-reactor based on the Holos Quad technology. The progress and plans for on-going development and demonstration efforts are also discussed in this report. The current demonstration of AMM is focused on the hydrogen diffusion barrier demonstration under thermal cycling, while radiation tolerance demonstration is planned. The next step of the demonstration plan will be the assembly of miniature AMM for high-temperature testing, which can be used as a prototype for future pilot scale demonstration.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Materials for Extreme Environments: Paving the Way for Lunar Exploration

As humanity expands its ventures into lunar and planetary exploration, the demand intensifies for resilient materials capable of enduring extreme environmental and service conditions. The Moon’s surface presents numerous challenges, including ultra-high vacuum exposure, temperature extremes and intense radiation. Additionally, lunar regolith poses a significant threat to component durability and reusability due to its abrasive nature. Lunar dust particles scoring, adhering, or embedding into surfaces and within device-confined geometries, such as bearings, drive mechanisms and connectors, can cause premature component wear or failure. Furthermore, the interaction between the rocket plume and the surface during vehicle landings and ascents creates severe erosive conditions near critical vehicle components and adjacent infrastructure. A key barrier hindering materials discovery for lunar dust tolerant applications is a lack of standard laboratory methods to evaluate material properties and performance under representative operating conditions. A case will be presented for research activities supporting identification, processing and characterization of candidate materials in conjunction with innovations in standardized testing and qualification. Results will highlight current and emerging test methods for simulating lunar dust exposure and component degradation, paving the way for a new generation of robust materials and coatings for space exploration.

Lunar dust↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Dust-Proofing the Future: Materials Challenges for Lunar Exploration

As humanity expands its ventures into lunar exploration, the demand intensifies for materials capable of enduring extreme environmental and service conditions. The Moon’s surface presents numerous challenges, including ultra-high vacuum exposure, temperature extremes and intense radiation. Additionally, lunar regolith threatens component durability and reusability due to its abrasive nature. Lunar dust particles scoring, adhering or embedding into surfaces and within device-confined geometries, such as bearings, drive mechanisms and connectors, can cause premature component wear or failure. Furthermore, the interaction between the rocket plume and surface during vehicle landings and ascents creates severe erosive conditions near critical vehicle components and adjacent infrastructure. A key barrier hindering materials discovery for lunar dust tolerant applications is a lack of standard laboratory methods to evaluate material properties and performance under representative operating conditions. A case will be presented for research activities supporting identification, processing and characterization of candidate materials in conjunction with innovations in standardized testing and qualification. Results will highlight current and emerging test methods for simulating lunar dust exposure and component degradation, paving the way for a new generation of robust materials and coatings for space exploration.

lunar dust↗

DOE OSTI2020

Progress on TRANSCEND Theme 1: Integrated Waste Management - 20194

The management of radioactive waste includes mobilisation, processing, packaging, storage, transport and final disposal. Research in the Integrated Waste Management theme of TRANSCEND focuses on underpinning science and engineering in areas of relevance to hazard reduction and decommissioning and the objectives are to: (1) develop new materials for effluent decontamination; (2) demonstrate predictive modelling of sludge/slurry removal, underpinned by experimental data; (3) transform understanding of radiation-driven processes in nuclear waste sludges; and (4) provide underpinning studies to develop innovative processes and wasteform materials. This paper gives overviews of the 16 research projects that will be done over the next 3 years in this theme. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

Innovative Proton Conductive Membranes Based on Two-Dimensional Materials

The team of Oak Ridge National Laboratory, New Mexico State University, and General Graphene Corporation staff will develop and commercialize paradigm-shifting low-cost, high-performing, proton-conductive membranes made from abundant and durable 2D materials. Proposed membranes are expected to be an order of magnitude better in performance and cost compared with the current state-of-the-art formulation, Nafion, and thus are expected to eliminate huge roadblocks in proliferation of fuel cells and flow batteries. The major goal for this work is to develop a fundamentally new learning curve for novel proton exchange membranes needed for various applications. The new technology will overcome the shortcomings of the current state-of-the-art membranes that are based upon Nafion polymer by offering higher proton conductivities, the ability to operate at much lower external humidity levels and higher temperatures (>120°C), and negligible fuel and oxidant crossover through the membrane.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

High-Throughput Analysis of Materials for Chemical Looping Processes

Chemical looping is a promising approach for improving the energy efficiency of many industrial chemical processes. However, a major limitation of modern chemical looping technologies is the lack of suitable active materials to mediate the involved subreactions. Identification of suitable materials has been historically limited by the scarcity of high-temperature (>600 °C) thermochemical data to evaluate candidate materials. An accuratethermodynamic approach is demonstrated here to rapidly identify active materials which is applicable to a wide variety of chemical looping chemistries. Application of this analysis to chemical looping combustion correctly classifies 17/17 experimentally studied redox materials by their viability and identifies over 1300 promising yet previously unstudied active materials. This approach is further demonstrated by analyzing redox pairs for mediating a novel chemical looping process for producing pure SO2 from raw sulfur and air which could provide a more efficient and lower emission route to sulfuric acid. 12 promising redox materials for this process are identified, two of which are supported by previous experimental studies of their individual oxidation and reduction reactions. This approach provides the necessary foundation for connecting process design with high-throughput material discovery to accelerate the innovation and development of a wide range of chemical looping technologies.

chemical looping↗

NASA NTRS2011

Atomic Oxygen Fluence Monitor

This innovation enables a means for actively measuring atomic oxygen fluence (accumulated atoms of atomic oxygen per area) that has impinged upon spacecraft surfaces. Telemetered data from the device provides spacecraft designers, researchers, and mission managers with real-time measurement of atomic oxygen fluence, which is useful for prediction of the durability of spacecraft materials and components. The innovation is a compact fluence measuring device that allows in-space measurement and transmittance of measured atomic oxygen fluence as a function of time based on atomic oxygen erosion yields (the erosion yield of a material is the volume of material that is oxidized per incident oxygen atom) of materials that have been measured in low Earth orbit. It has a linear electrical response to atomic oxygen fluence, and is capable of measuring high atomic oxygen fluences (up to >10(exp 22) atoms/sq cm), which are representative of multi-year low-Earth orbital missions (such as the International Space Station). The durability or remaining structural lifetime of solar arrays that consist of polymer blankets on which the solar cells are attached can be predicted if one knows the atomic oxygen fluence that the solar array blanket has been exposed to. In addition, numerous organizations that launch space experiments into low-Earth orbit want to know the accumulated atomic oxygen fluence that their materials or components have been exposed to. The device is based on the erosion yield of pyrolytic graphite. It uses two 12deg inclined wedges of graphite that are over a grit-blasted fused silica window covering a photodiode. As the wedges erode, a greater area of solar illumination reaches the photodiode. A reference photodiode is also used that receives unobstructed solar illumination and is oriented in the same direction as the pyrolytic graphite covered photodiode. The short-circuit current from the photodiodes is measured and either sent to an onboard data logger, or transmitted to a receiving station on Earth. By comparison of the short-circuit currents from the fluence-measuring photodiode and the reference photodiode, one can compute the accumulated atomic oxygen fluence arriving in the direction that the fluence monitor is pointing. The device produces a signal that is linear with atomic oxygen fluence using a material whose atomic oxygen erosion yield has been measured over a period of several years in low-Earth orbit.

Banks, Bruce A.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Toward Multiscale, Multimaterial 3D Printing

Biological materials and organisms possess the fundamental ability to self-organize, through which different components are assembled from the molecular level up to hierarchical structures with superior mechanical properties and multifunctionalities. These complex composites inspire material scientists to design new engineered materials by integrating multiple ingredients and structures over a wide range. Additive manufacturing, also known as 3D printing, has advantages with respect to fabricating multiscale and multi-material structures. The need for multifunctional materials is driving 3D printing techniques toward arbitrary 3D architectures with the next level of complexity. In this paper, the aim is to highlight key features of those 3D printing techniques that can produce either multiscale or multimaterial structures, including innovations in printing methods, materials processing approaches, and hardware improvements. Several issues and challenges related to current methods are discussed. Ultimately, the authors also provide their perspective on how to realize the combination of multiscale and multimaterial capabilities in 3D printing processes and future directions based on emerging research.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

3D printing of ceramics: Advantages, challenges, applications, and perspectives

Abstract 3D printing (3DP) technologies have transformed the processing of advanced ceramics for small‐scale and custom designs during the past three decades. Simple and complex parts are designed and manufactured using 3DP technologies for structural, piezoelectric, and biomedical applications. Manufacturing simple or complex geometries or one‐of‐a‐kind components without part‐specific tooling saves significant time and creates new applications for advanced ceramic materials. Although development and innovations in 3DP of ceramics are far behind compared with metals or polymers, with the availability of different commercial machines in recent years for 3DP of ceramics, exponential growth is expected in this field in the coming decade. This article details various 3DP technologies for advanced ceramic materials, their advantages and challenges for manufacturing parts for various applications, and perspectives on future directions. We envision this work will be helpful to advanced ceramic researchers in industry and academia who are using different 3DP processes in the coming days.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Synthesizing intermetallic thermoelectric materials using metal flux growth method

With zero energy poverty by 2050 goals, exploring innovative energy technologies is essential. Thermoelectric materials (TEMs) have the potential to harness waste heat and convert it to electricity (e.g., for spacecraft power, sensors, and cryogenic cooling). Two limitations of thermoelectric compounds are their low efficiency and limited pool of materials. Optimizing the efficiency of TEMs is challenging due to the interdependent relationship between electrical and thermal conductivity. A deeper understanding of electronic properties and lattice thermal conductivity is necessary to “understand, predict and ultimately control” the thermoelectric properties of TEMs. Understanding the influence of light-atom-doping and intrinsic defects on the electronic properties of the f-element containing TEMs are important questions that need to be answered to design and synthesize TEMs with optimal parameters. The purpose of this work is to understand how doping f-element based TEMs with light elements, such as carbon and boron, would impact the crystal structure, bond lengths, band gaps, and thermoelectric characteristics. High-quality f¬-element containing intermetallic single crystals are grown in metal flux media. In molten metal flux growth method, one or more low-melting metals such as aluminum, gallium, tin, and bismuth are used in excess as the reaction medium. As these are solution-state reactions, we can use lower temperatures than solid-state reactions and isolate the kinetic products instead of the thermodynamically stable compound. Then these are characterized using X-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, energy dispersive spectroscopy, magnetization, electrical and thermal conductivities, and thermoelectric power.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗

NASA NTRS2004

Scatter in Carbon/Silicon Carbide (C/SiC) Composites Quantified

Carbon-fiber-reinforced silicon carbide matrix (C/SiC) composites processed by chemical vapor infiltration are candidate materials for aerospace thermal structures. Carbon fibers can retain properties at very high temperatures, but they are known to have poor oxidation resistance in adverse, high-temperature environments. Nevertheless, the combination of CVI-SiC matrix with higher stiffness and oxidation resistance, the interfacial coating, and additional surface-seal coating provides the necessary protection to the carbon fibers, and makes the material viable for high-temperature space applications operating under harsh environments. Furthermore, C/SiC composites, like other ceramic matrix composites (CMCs), exhibit graceful non-catastrophic failure because of various inherent energy dissipating mechanisms. The material exhibits nonlinearity in deformation even at very low stress levels. This is the result of the severe matrix microcracking present in the as processed composite because of large differences between the coefficients of thermal expansion of the fiber and the matrix. Utilization of these advanced composites in next generation space vehicles will require innovative structural configurations, updated materials, and refined analyses. Structural safety issues for these vehicles are in direct competition with performance and cost. One would have to quantify the uncertainties associated with the design using formal probabilistic methods. Specifically four fundamental aspects on which analyses are based-- (1) loading conditions, (2) material behavior, (3) geometrical configurations, and (4) structural connections between the composite components and baseline structure--are stochastic in nature. A direct way to formally account for uncertainties is to develop probabilistic structural analysis methods where all participating variables are described by appropriate probability density functions. The present work, however, focuses on analyzing the stochastic material behavior of these advanced composites using formal probabilistic analysis methods. Often, some of the desirable property characteristics that allow composites to offer advantages over conventional structural materials (like tailoring of composite properties) and the complexity are in fact responsible for their greater statistical variability and the requirements for more characterization tests. Composite properties are anisotropic as well, having different properties in different directions. This means that characterization of a property such as stiffness--which will vary greatly depending on the orientation of the fiber relative to the direction of the testing--must be repeated for several different directions and loading conditions. The fabrication process for composites also introduces statistical variations in properties and geometry. A composite part is produced in a number of steps, each of which introduces statistical variability. The matrix is usually produced from a combination of raw materials; and the fiber, which has its own set of properties, is often coated or surface treated, introducing yet another source of variability.

Murthy, Pappu L. N.↗