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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

PV Performance Modeling and Stakeholder Engagement (Final Technical Report)

This core capability project’s objective is to increase the value of photovoltaic (PV) performance models by improving their functionality, demonstrating, and quantifying their validity, and offering a wide range of stakeholder engagement opportunities. In FY22-24, we developed new and improved modeling algorithms and functions to represent PV performance more accurately in a variety of environments and conditions. The “Model parameter toolkit” was developed and includes functions to translate between different module temperature models, incidence angle modifier models, and single-diode models. A new modeling capability named “PV Atlas” was also developed leveraging Sandia’s High Performance Computing resources. This capability allows us to investigate several questions and provide climate-specific best practices and geographic data files; all these are hosted on an interactive website on Sandia’s GitHub and can be used for training, system optimization, or to provide best practices for uncertainty reduction. For model validation, we published high-quality PV performance, and weather data; these data are well documented, filtered, and processed for quality and include examples on how to run PV simulations. We also developed well documented, standardized methods for validating PV models and ran independent model validation and 2 blind modeling intercomparisons engaging with 49 organizations from 17 countries. We co-led and contributed to a growing, well documented and maintained suite of open-source functions for PV modeling (i.e., the pvlib-python) and we outreached to the PV modeling stakeholders via the PVPMC workshops and web resources. In addition, this project supported US representation and leadership for the International Energy Agency (IEA) PVPS Task 13; specifically, members of our team led and supported 3 subtasks on: 1) Best practices for the optimization of bifacial photovoltaic tracking, 2) Extreme weather events and their multiple impact on PV power plants: Risks, failure mechanisms and mitigation strategies, and 3) Best practice guidelines for the use of economic and technical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). This project resulted in the publications of 14 peer reviewed journal papers, 37 conference presentations, 6 SAND reports, 5 public datasets and 6 new webpages on the PVPMC website. It supported the release of 13 pvlib-python versions where 28 enhancements were from this PV Performance Modeling project. We co-organized 5 PVPMC workshops in FY22-24 with the participation of 214 unique institutions and around 700 participants. The PVPMC website was redesigned, and its reliability was improved; it receives over 50,000 visitors/year from 202 unique countries.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Anomalous Magnetoelectric Coupling in the Paramagnetic State of a Chiral and Polar Magnet

Abstract Chiral magnets are excellent platforms for studying intertwined spin, charge, orbit, and lattice degrees of freedom in solid‐state materials. In this work, the anomalous magnetoelectric behavior in a chiral magnet K 2 Co 2 (SO 4 ) 3 is demonstrated using comprehensive experimental probes. This material adopts a P 2 1 3 chiral cubic structure at room temperature. Based on the results of high‐resolution synchrotron X‐ray diffraction, this study shows that the low‐temperature (<130 K) crystal structure is a P 2 1 monoclinic phase, both polar and chiral. Magnetic and thermodynamic measurements reveal highly frustrated magnetic interactions and possible non‐collinear antiferromagnetic ordering at an extremely low temperature ≈0.6 K. Critically, anomalous magnetoelectric correlations are experimentally detected in its paramagnetic temperature regime, which can arise from the synergetic interplay between magnetoelastic and piezoelectric effects. These findings thus indicate that K 2 Co 2 (SO 4 ) 3 is a unique material, displaying multiple emergent structural and magnetic phenomena. This is attributed to both its overall crystallographic symmetry and the fact that its magnetic ions are located at low‐symmetry sites.

Xu, Xianghan↗
DOE OSTI2025

Unveiling the drivers contributing to global wheat yield shocks through quantile regression

Sudden reductions in crop yield (i.e., yield shocks) severely disrupt the food supply, intensify food insecurity, depress farmers' welfare, and worsen a country's economic conditions. Here, we study the spatiotemporal patterns of wheat yield shocks, quantified by the lower quantiles of yield fluctuations, in 86 countries over 30 years. Furthermore, we assess the relationships between shocks and their key ecological and socioeconomic drivers using quantile regression based on statistical (linear quantile mixed model) and machine learning (quantile random forest) models. Using a panel dataset that captures spatiotemporal patterns of yield shocks and possible drivers in 86 countries, we find that the severity of yield shocks has been increasing globally since 1997. Moreover, our cross-validation exercise shows that quantile random forest outperforms the linear quantile regression model. Despite this performance difference, both models consistently reveal that the severity of shocks is associated with higher weather stress, nitrogen fertilizer application rate, and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (a typical indicator for economic and technological advancement in a country). While the unexpected negative association between more severe wheat yield shocks and higher fertilizer application rate and GDP per capita does not imply a direct causal effect, they indicate that the advancement in wheat production has been primarily on achieving higher yields and less on lowering the possibility and magnitude of sharp yield reductions. Hence, in the context of growing extreme weather stress, there is a critical need to enhance the technology and management practices that mitigate yield shocks to improve the resilience of the world food systems.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Vapor Phase Infiltration of Titanium Oxide into P3HT to Create Organic–Inorganic Hybrid Photocatalysts

Herein, we report for the first time the use of vapor phase infiltration (VPI) to infuse conducting polymers with inorganic metal oxide clusters that together form a photocatalytic material. While vapor infiltration has previously been used to electrically dope conjugated polymers, this is the first time, to our knowledge, that the resultant hybrid material has been demonstrated to have photocatalytic properties. The system studied is poly(3-hexylthiophene-2,5-diyl) (P3HT) vapor infiltrated with TiCl 4 and H 2 O to create P3HT-TiO x organic–inorganic hybrid photocatalytic materials. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy analysis shows that P3HT-TiO x VPI films consist of a partially oxidized P3HT matrix, and the infiltrated titanium inorganic is in a 4+ oxidation state with mostly oxide coordination. Upon visible light illumination, these P3HT-TiO x hybrids degrade methylene blue dye molecules. The P3HT-TiO x hybrids are 4.6× more photocatalytically active than either the P3HT or TiO 2 individually or when sequentially deposited (e.g., P3HT on TiO 2 ). On a per surface area basis, these hybrid photocatalysts are comparable or better than other best in class polymer semiconductor photocatalysts. VPI of TiCl 4 + H 2 O into P3HT makes a unique hybrid structure and idealized photocatalyst architecture by creating nanoscale TiO x clusters concentrated toward the surface achieving extremely high catalytic rates. The mechanism for this enhanced photocatalytic rate is understood using photoluminescence spectroscopy, which shows significant quenching of excitons in P3HT-TiO x as compared to neat P3HT, indicating that P3HT acts as a photosensitizer for the TiO x catalyst sites in the hybrid material. This work introduces a new approach to designing and synthesizing organic–inorganic hybrid photocatalytic materials, with expansive opportunities for further exploration and optimization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO

Can multi-annual variations in the frequency of North Atlantic atmospheric blocking and mid-latitude circulation regimes be skilfully predicted? Recent advances in seasonal forecasting have shown that mid-latitude climate variability does exhibit significant predictability. However, atmospheric predictability has generally been found to be quite limited on multi-annual timescales. New decadal prediction experiments from NCAR are found to exhibit remarkable skill in reproducing the observed multi-annual variations of wintertime blocking frequency over the North Atlantic and of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) itself. This is partly due to the large ensemble size that allows the predictable component of the atmospheric variability to emerge from the background chaotic component. The predictable atmospheric anomalies represent a forced response to oceanic low-frequency variability that strongly resembles the Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability (AMV), correctly reproduced in the decadal hindcasts thanks to realistic ocean initialization and ocean dynamics. The occurrence of blocking in certain areas of the Euro-Atlantic domain determines the concurrent circulation regime and the phase of known teleconnections, such as the NAO, consequently affecting the stormtrack and the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Therefore, skilfully predicting the decadal fluctuations of blocking frequency and the NAO may be used in statistical predictions of near-term climate anomalies, and it provides a strong indication that impactful climate anomalies may also be predictable with improved dynamical models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Local cation order and ferrimagnetism in compositionally complex spinel ferrites

We present an exploration of a family of compositionally complex cubic spinel ferrites featuring combinations of Mg, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, Mn, and Zn cations, systematically investigating the average and local atomic structures, chemical short-range order, magnetic spin configurations, and magnetic properties. All compositions result in ferrimagnetic average structures with extremely similar local bonding environments; however, the samples display varying degrees of cation inversion and, therefore, differing apparent bulk magnetization. Additionally, first-order reversal curve analysis of the magnetic reversal behavior indicates varying degrees of magnetic ordering and interactions, including potentially local frustration. Finally, reverse Monte Carlo modeling of the spin orientation demonstrates a relationship between the degree of cation inversion and the spin collinearity. Collectively, these observations correlate with differences in synthesis procedures. This work provides a framework for understanding magnetic behavior reported for “high-entropy spinels,” revealing many are likely compositionally complex oxides with differing degrees of chemical short-range order—not meeting the community established criteria for high or medium entropy compounds. Moreover, this work highlights the importance of reporting complete sample processing histories and investigating local to long-range atomic arrangements when evaluating potential entropic mixing effects and assumed property correlations in high entropy materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

On Building Predictive Digital Twin Incorporating Wave Predicting Capabilities: Case Study on UMaine Experimental Campaign - FOCAL

The response of floating wind turbines (FWT) are susceptible to stochastic wave variations. For the optimal operation of FWT, a comprehensive understanding of the phaseresolved wave dynamics and the consequential system response is crucial for real-time monitoring and control. A multi-variate, multi-step, long short term memory (MLSTM), a type of recurrent neural network (RNN) is used to capture complex system dynamics for real-time application. Results indicate that the integration of a wave prediction-reconstruction (WRP) model substantially enhances prediction accuracy by 50% on average relative to the baseline model. The improvement is consistent across various wave extremity and prediction horizons, thereby significantly broadening the scope for timely and precise predictive capabilities.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Latched detection of zeptojoule spin echoes with a kinetic inductance parametric oscillator

When strongly pumped at twice their resonant frequency, nonlinear resonators develop a high-amplitude intracavity field, a phenomenon known as parametric self-oscillations. The boundary over which this instability occurs can be extremely sharp and thereby presents an opportunity for realizing a detector. Here, we operate such a device based on a superconducting microwave resonator whose nonlinearity is engineered from kinetic inductance. The device indicates the absorption of low-power microwave wavepackets by transitioning to a self-oscillating state. Using calibrated pulses, we measure the detection efficiency to zeptojoule energy wavepackets. We then apply it to measurements of electron spin resonance, using an ensemble of 209 Bi donors in silicon that are inductively coupled to the resonator. We achieve a latched readout of the spin signal with an amplitude that is five hundred times greater than the underlying spin echoes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Modest functional diversity decline and pronounced composition shifts of microbial communities in a mixed waste-contaminated aquifer

Background: Microbial taxonomic diversity declines with increased environmental stress. Yet, few studies have explored whether phylogenetic and functional diversities track taxonomic diversity along the stress gradient. Here, we investigated microbial communities within an aquifer in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA, which is characterized by a broad spectrum of stressors, including extremely high levels of nitrate, heavy metals like cadmium and chromium, radionuclides such as uranium, and extremely low pH (< 3). Results: Both taxonomic and phylogenetic α-diversities were reduced in the most impacted wells, while the decline in functional α-diversity was modest and statistically insignificant, indicating a more robust buffering capacity to environmental stress. Differences in functional gene composition (i.e., functional β-diversity) were pronounced in highly contaminated wells, while convergent functional gene composition was observed in uncontaminated wells. The relative abundances of most carbon degradation genes were decreased in contaminated wells, but genes associated with denitrification, adenylylsulfate reduction, and sulfite reduction were increased. Compared to taxonomic and phylogenetic compositions, environmental variables played a more significant role in shaping functional gene composition, suggesting that niche selection could be more closely related to microbial functionality than taxonomy. Conclusions: Overall, we demonstrated that despite a reduced taxonomic α-diversity, microbial communities under stress maintained functionality underpinned by environmental selection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Daily evapotranspiration changes during heatwaves at 32 NEON sites, 2019-2021

This dataset provides partitioned evapotranspiration (ET, the combined loss of water from soil and plant surfaces) anomalies during heatwave events—soil evaporation (E) and transpiration (T)—for 268 heatwave events across 32 National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) flux sites in the contiguous United States from 2019–2021. Using an ensemble of four high-frequency turbulence methods (Flux-variance Similarity, Conditional Eddy Covariance [CEC], CEC with Water-Use Efficiency, and Conditional Eddy Accumulation; see Zahn and Bou-Zeid 2024), half-hourly transpiration-to-evapotranspiration (T/ET) ratios were derived from 20 hertz (Hz, cycles per second) eddy covariance measurements of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and water vapor (H₂O) concentrations. The dataset spans six vegetation types including evergreen and deciduous forests, grasslands, cultivated crops, shrublands, and emergent herbaceous wetlands. Data Package Contents: The dataset includes a single CSV (comma-separated values) file containing daily anomalies (deviations from baseline conditions) for transpiration (Delta_T), evaporation (Delta_E), total evapotranspiration (Delta_ET), and T/ET ratio (Delta_T_ET) during each day of identified heatwave events. The file also includes site codes, dates, heatwave event identifiers, and day-of-heatwave indicators. The CSV file can be opened with spreadsheet software (Microsoft Excel, Google Sheets) or programming environments (Python, R, MATLAB). This resource enables researchers to investigate ecosystem-specific responses to thermal extremes, validate land surface model partitioning of ET fluxes, and examine feedbacks between water cycling and surface energy balance during heatwaves. The dataset is particularly valuable for studies linking vegetation hydraulic strategies to climate resilience, as it captures the divergent responses of shallow-rooted versus deep-rooted ecosystems. Potential applications include improving drought early warning systems, informing irrigation management strategies, and advancing our mechanistic understanding of land-atmosphere interactions under extreme heat conditions.

Day of Heatwave↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dilute Paramagnetism and Non-Trivial Topology in Quasicrystal Approximant Fe4Al13

A very fundamental property of both weakly and strongly interacting materials is the nature of their magnetic response. In this work, we detail the growth of crystals of the quasicrystal approximant Fe4Al13 with an Al flux solvent method. We characterize our samples using electrical transport and heat capacity, yielding results consistent with a simple non-magnetic metal. However, magnetization measurements portray an extremely unusual response for a dilute paramagnet and do not exhibit the characteristic Curie behavior expected for a weakly interacting material at high temperature. Electronic structure calculations confirm metallic behavior but also indicate that each isolated band near the Fermi energy hosts non-trivial topologies, including strong, weak, and nodal components, with resultant topological surface states distinguishable from bulk states on the (001) surface. With half-filled flat bands apparent in the calculation, but an absence of long-range magnetic order, the unusual quasi-paramagnetic response suggests the dilute paramagnetic behavior in this quasicrystal approximant is surprising and may serve as a test of the fundamental assumptions that are taken for granted for the magnetic response of weakly interacting systems.

Avers, Keenan E. (ORCID:0000000223441939)↗
DOE OSTI2022

Effect of Micro-Structural Dispersity of SiMo Ductile Iron on High Temperature Performance during Static Oxidation

High silicon and molybdenum (SiMo) ductile iron is commonly used for car exhaust systems, and its micro-structural dispersity depends on intrinsic parameters, which include alloy composition and inoculation efficiency, as well as extrinsic factors, such as casting wall thickness and molding material, which define cooling rate during solidification. Micro-structural dispersity is referred to as the degree of heterogeneity of sizes of structural constituencies within the microstructure. A variation in the micro-structural dispersity could impact the high temperature performance of SiMo ductile iron during static oxidation and transient thermo-mechanical loading conditions. In this study, static high temperature tests were performed on SiMo ductile iron solidified in a casting with varying wall thicknesses from 5 mm to 100 mm. The faster solidified specimens (taken from near chilled casting surfaces) had extremely high micro-structural dispersity as compared to the thicker section samples. After thermal exposure, each of the samples were characterized using 2D sections and 3D µCT images, and the results indicated an order of magnitude difference in graphite phase dispersity. The surface degradation was quantified after static oxidation experiments were implemented at temperature intervals between 650 °C and 800 °C. Non-destructive µCT 3D analysis and SEM/EDS were performed on cross sections and used to quantify the scale topology and structure. Carbon analysis was used to decouple the scale formation and decarburization phenomena that occurred within the samples. These methods enabled the quantification of the oxidation of the SiMo cast iron with different micro-structural dispersity levels after being exposed to high temperature static oxidation. Additionally, the complex material behavior during oxidation-assisted transient thermo-mechanical loading will be presented in a separate article.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Theoretical predictive screening of noble-metal-containing M 3 AuC 2 (M = Ti, V, and Cr) MAX phases

Using first-principles density functional theory (DFT), the ground state physical properties of the newly synthesized noble-metal-containing Ti 3 AuC 2 MAX phase have been investigated. The effect of transition-element Ti replacement (V and Cr) on physical properties, including structural, elastic, electronic, thermal, and optical are presented. The optimized lattice parameters of Ti 3 AuC 2 MAX phase are in good agreement with the experimental values and decrease when we replace Ti with V and then Cr. The magnetic properties of M 3 AuC 2 are predicted by using generalized gradient approximation (GGA) incorporating onsite electron correlation parameter (Hubbard U parameter) within DFT. Out of three studied MAX phases, V 3 AuC 2 and Cr 3 AuC 2 phases exhibit magnetism. The thermodynamical stability of M 3 AuC 2 (M = Ti, V, and Cr) phases is discussed by the formation enthalpy with respect to their most competing phases. The electronic structure reveals that these phases have metallic nature and are electrically anisotropic. The M-element replacement has an effect on the bonding properties of M 3 AuC 2 . The bonding between M-C is in the order of Cr 3 AuC 2 > V 3 AuC 2 > Ti 3 AuC 2 according to their peak positions and heights of density of states in the occupied site, which is also confirmed from the charge density distribution. The elastic properties indicate that M 3 AuC 2 phases are ductile, machinable, less stiff, and better resistant to thermal shock and are elastically anisotropic. To understand the properties of M 3 AuC 2 for the extreme environment, we employed a quasi-harmonic Debye model at the pressure and temperature range of 0–50 GPa and 0–1600 K, respectively. Additionally, we evaluated thermal conductivity and melting temperature to further understand the potential of these MAX phases in coating applications at elevated temperature. In relation to optical properties, these MAX phases have a reasonable absorption coefficient in the visible as well as in the ultra-violet regions. The reflectivity of M 3 AuC 2 phases is polarization dependent and of 45 % against the visible region, which reveals its potential as coating material to minimize solar heating.

312 MAX phases↗
DOE OSTI2023

The microstructure and He + ion irradiation behavior of novel low-activation W-Ta-Cr-V refractory high entropy alloy for nuclear applications

Microstructure and nanohardness of a nearly equimolar W-Ta-Cr-V high entropy alloy (HEA), as well as its irradiation response under He + irradiation, were investigated. The single-phase body-centered cubic nanostructured alloy with a 1 µm thick layer was fabricated on a silicon substrate using a magnetron sputtering method. The HEA film has a complex microstructure consisting of micrometric domains that exhibit internal nanostructure controlled by their crystal orientation. The measured nanohardness of the W-Ta-Cr-V alloy is 13 ± 2 GPa, which significantly exceeds the hardness of nanocrystalline tungsten as a result of the high solid-solution strengthening effect. In order to evaluate the irradiation resistance of the HEA film, the material was irradiated with 200 keV He + ions at room temperature, with two different ion fluences: 1 × 10 16 and 5 × 10 16 ions/cm 2 . Using transmission electron microscopy, a high density of extremely fine He bubbles is observed that were uniformly distributed in the matrix. The increase of He + ion fluence increased the density of bubbles, whereas their size remained at a similar level, which indicates that the damage proceeds by the nucleation of additional He bubbles, not by their growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

CLASS: Coronal Line Activity Spectroscopic Survey

We conduct the first systematic survey of a comprehensive set of the twenty optical coronal lines in the spectra of nearly 1 million galaxies observed by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Data Release 8 catalog. This includes often overlooked high ionization potential lines such as [Ar x] λ5533, [S XII ] λ7609, [Fe XI ] λ7892, and [Fe XIV ] λ5303. We find that, given the limited sensitivity of SDSS, strong coronal line emission is extremely rare, with only ~0.03% of the sample showing at least one coronal line, significantly lower than the fraction of galaxies showing optical narrow line ratios (~17%) or mid-infrared colors (~2%) indicative of nuclear activity. The coronal line luminosities exhibit a large dynamic range, with values ranging from ~10 34 to 10 42 erg s –1 . We find that a vast majority (~80%) of coronal line emitters in dwarf galaxies (M $\star$ < 9.6 × 10 9 M ⊙ ) do not display optical narrow line ratios indicative of nuclear activity, in contrast to higher mass galaxies (~17%). Moreover, we find that the highest ionization potential lines are preferentially found in lower mass galaxies. These findings are consistent with the theory that lower mass black holes found in lower mass galaxies produce a hotter accretion disk, which in turn enhances the higher ionization coronal line spectrum. Future coronal line searches with 30 m class telescopes or JWST may provide a pathway into uncovering the intermediate mass black hole population.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Regional and Temporal Variability of Atmospheric River Seasonality: Influences of Detection Algorithms and Moisture Transport Dynamics

Abstract Understanding the regional and temporal variability of atmospheric river (AR) seasonality is crucial for preparedness and mitigation of extreme events. While ARs were thought to peak in winter, recent research shows they exhibit region‐specific seasonality and are heavily influenced by the chosen detection algorithm. This study examines the link between the year‐to‐year consistency of peak‐AR activity to the presence of a dominant seasonal pattern, considering both location and algorithm choice. Regions are categorized by their temporal characteristics: consistent patterns (e.g., East Asia), patterns with occasional outliers (e.g., British Columbia coast), and regions lacking a clear dominant peak season (e.g., South Atlantic, parts of Australia). Hence, not all regions display a consistent seasonal cycle of AR activity. This study quantifies the extent to which a region experiences a dominant peak season of AR activity (or lacks one) and offers insights to enhance decision‐making in water management, natural hazard preparedness, and forecasting. Furthermore, given our finding that detection algorithms influence the peak season of AR activity, we also examine two diagnostic variables representative of moisture transport to corroborate our results. Integrated vapor transport, which captures meridional and zonal moisture transport, and Moist Wave Activity, representing moisture intrusions from lower to higher latitudes, are examined. Our analysis indicates that inconsistencies in the seasonal cycle of AR activity are not solely due to discrepancies in detection algorithms but also arise from changes in moisture transport. Plain Language Summary Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are critical weather phenomena that can cause extreme events like heavy rainfall and flooding. Understanding when and where ARs are most likely to occur throughout the year is essential for preparing and responding to these events. Traditionally, ARs were thought to peak in winter, but recent studies show this varies by region. Our study helps address the challenge decision‐makers face in anticipating and preparing for AR events by providing insights into the consistency of peak seasonal patterns across different areas. Some regions, like East Asia, and the British Columbia coast, show a consistent peak season, while others, like the South Atlantic and parts of Australia, have significant year‐to‐year variations, making it hard to identify a dominant season. To better understand these changes over time, the study also examines how moisture moves in the atmosphere, using Integrated Vapor Transport (which looks at moisture movement in various directions) and Moist Wave Activity (which tracks moisture shifts from lower to higher latitudes). The findings suggest that inconsistencies in AR patterns are due not only to detection methods but also due to changes in moisture transport. Key Points The peak season of atmospheric river activity can change depending on the year in some areas Interannual variations in the peak season can make identifying a dominant season challenging for some regions Frequent shifts in peak season across years reflect inconsistencies tied to detection algorithms and to underlying dynamics

Kamnani, Diya↗
DOE OSTI2022

Tropical extreme droughts drive long-term increase in atmospheric CO 2 growth rate variability

The terrestrial carbon sink slows the accumulation of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) in the atmosphere by absorbing roughly 30% of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions, but varies greatly from year to year. The resulting variations in the atmospheric CO 2 growth rate (CGR) have been related to tropical temperature and water availability. The apparent sensitivity of CGR to tropical temperature ( ${{{{{{\rm{\gamma }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{CGR}}}}}}}^{{{{{{\rm{T}}}}}}}$ ) has changed markedly over the past six decades, however, the drivers of the observation to date remains unidentified. Here, we use atmospheric observations, multiple global vegetation models and machine learning products to analyze the cause of the sensitivity change. We found that a threefold increase in ${{{{{{\rm{\gamma }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{CGR}}}}}}}^{{{{{{\rm{T}}}}}}}$ emerged due to the long-term changes in the magnitude of CGR variability (i.e., indicated by one standard deviation of CGR; STD CGR ), which increased 34.7% from 1960-1979 to 1985-2004 and subsequently decreased 14.4% in 1997-2016. We found a close relationship (r 2 = 0.75, p < 0.01) between STD CGR and the tropical vegetated area (23°S – 23°N) affected by extreme droughts, which influenced 6-9% of the tropical vegetated surface. A 1% increase in the tropical area affected by extreme droughts led to about 0.14 Pg C yr -1 increase in STD CGR . The historical changes in STD CGR were dominated by extreme drought-affected areas in tropical Africa and Asia, and semi-arid ecosystems. The outsized influence of extreme droughts over a small fraction of vegetated surface amplified the interannual variability in CGR and explained the observed long-term dynamics of ${{{{{{\rm{\gamma }}}}}}}_{{{{{{\rm{CGR}}}}}}}^{{{{{{\rm{T}}}}}}}$ .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Plausible indication of gamma-ray absorption by dark matter in NGC 1068

NGC 1068 is the brightest extragalactic source in high-energy neutrinos as seen by IceCube, yet the accompanying gamma-ray flux is orders of magnitude weaker. It has been argued that this indicates that the bulk of neutrinos and gamma rays are emitted in the innermost vicinity of the central supermassive black hole, which is transparent to neutrinos, but opaque to gamma rays. Even in such extreme scenarios for the acceleration of cosmic rays, astrophysical models typically overestimate the low-energy gamma-ray flux and/or require some fine-tuning in the physical parameters. Here, in this work, we suggest instead that the dark matter surrounding the supermassive black hole may absorb the gamma rays, inducing the observed deficit. We show that for a dark matter–photon scattering cross section in the range σ DM−γ /m DM ≃ 10 −28 −10 −30 cm 2 /GeV, Fermi-LAT measurements can be well reconciled with IceCube data. We also present some simple particle physics examples that achieve the correct spectral energy dependence while respecting complementary constraints.

Active Galactic Nuclei↗