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The National Transmission Planning Study: Chapter 6: Conclusions

The National Transmission Planning Study (NTP Study) was led by the U.S. Department of Energy's Grid Deployment Office, in partnership with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. The study sought to develop new national grid-scale planning tools and methods that can be used by industry, especially when planning for interregional transmission capacity needs; identify potential transmission solutions that will provide broad-scale benefits to electric customers under a wide range of potential futures; inform planning processes for regional and interregional transmission; and identify interregional and national strategies to maintain grid reliability as the grid transitions, including to a reliance on low- and zero-carbon energy resources. The NTP Study is presented as a collection of six chapters.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,POWER TRANSMI↗

The National Transmission Planning Study: Chapter 4: AC Power Flow Analysis for 2035 Scenarios

The National Transmission Planning Study (NTP Study) was led by the U.S. Department of Energy's Grid Deployment Office, in partnership with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. The study sought to develop new national grid-scale planning tools and methods that can be used by industry, especially when planning for interregional transmission capacity needs; identify potential transmission solutions that will provide broad-scale benefits to electric customers under a wide range of potential futures; inform planning processes for regional and interregional transmission; and identify interregional and national strategies to maintain grid reliability as the grid transitions, including to a reliance on low- and zero-carbon energy resources. The NTP Study is presented as a collection of six chapters.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,POWER TRANSMI↗

Unimolecular Dynamics of Partially Deuterated Hydroperoxyalkyl Intermediates (•QOOD) in Cyclohexane and Cyclopentane Oxidation

The hydroperoxyalkyl radicals (•QOOH) formed in cyclohexane and cyclopentane oxidation with carbon radical center at the β site relative to the hydroperoxy group have recently been observed through their infrared fingerprint and time- and energy-resolved unimolecular dissociation dynamics to hydroxyl (OH) radical and cyclic ether products. Partial deuteration shifts the IR transitions associated with OH/OD motion to lower frequencies, providing a new window on the IR spectroscopy and unimolecular dynamics of these transient intermediates. Specifically, the overtone OD stretch (2ν OD ) has been identified at 5215.0 cm –1 and 5216.0 cm –1 for the β-QOOD intermediates in cyclohexane and cyclopentane oxidation, respectively. Unimolecular decay rates of the •QOOD intermediates at these energies have been obtained from the time-resolved appearance of OD products. The experimental rates are compared with statistical microcanonical rates evaluated using RRKM theory, including heavy-atom tunneling associated with simultaneous O–O bond elongation and C–O–O angle contraction along the reaction pathway. The experimental rates provide a further test of the previously determined transition state (TS) barriers, which were computed utilizing a benchmarking approach that builds on higher-level reference calculations for the smaller ethane oxidation system. Here, the experimental rate measurements for both •QOOD intermediates agree well with the computed rates after accounting for small changes in zero-point energy and a minor empirical adjustment of the TS barriers in both systems.

Ethers↗

Elaborated thermochemical treatment of HF, CO, N 2 , and H 2 O: Insight into HEAT and its extensions

Here, empirical, highly accurate non-relativistic electronic total atomization energies (eTAEs) are established by combining experimental or computationally converged treatments of the nuclear motion and relativistic contributions with the total atomization energies of HF, CO, N 2 , and H 2 O obtained from the Active Thermochemical Tables. These eTAEs, which have estimated (2σ) uncertainties of less than 10 cm -1 (0.12 kJ mol -1 ), form the basis for an analysis of high-level ab initio quantum chemical calculations that aim at reproducing these eTAEs for the title molecules. The results are then employed to analyze the performance of the high-accuracy extrapolated ab initio thermochemistry, or High-Accuracy Extrapolated Ab Initio Thermochemistry (HEAT), family of theoretical methods. The method known as HEAT-345(Q), in particular, is found to benefit from fortuitous error cancellation between its treatment of the zero-point energy, extrapolation errors in the Hartree-Fock and coupled cluster contributions, neglect of post-(T) core-correlation, and the basis-set error involved in higher-level correlation corrections. In addition to shedding light on a longstanding curiosity of the HEAT protocol—where the cheapest HEAT-345(Q) performs comparably to the theoretically more complete HEAT-456QP procedure—this study lays the foundation for extended HEAT variants that offer substantial improvements in accuracy relative to the established approaches.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energy-resolved and time-dependent unimolecular dissociation of hydroperoxyalkyl radicals (˙QOOH)

Hydroperoxyalkyl radicals (˙QOOH) are transient intermediates in the atmospheric oxidation of volatile organic compounds and combustion of hydrocarbon fuels in low temperature (<1000 K) environments. The carbon-centered ˙QOOH radicals are a critical juncture in the oxidation mechanism, but have generally eluded direct experimental observation of their structure, stability, and dissociation dynamics. Recently, this laboratory demonstrated that a prototypical ˙QOOH radical [˙CH 2 (CH 3 ) 2 COOH] can be synthesized by an alternative route, stabilized in a pulsed supersonic expansion, and characterized by its infrared (IR) spectroscopic signature and unimolecular dissociation rate to OH radical and cyclic ether products. The present study focuses on a partially deuterated ˙QOOD analog ˙CH 2 (CH 3 ) 2 COOD, generated in the laboratory by H-atom abstraction from partially deuterated tert-butyl hydroperoxide, (CH 3 ) 3 COOD. IR spectral features associated with jet-cooled and isolated ˙QOOD radicals are observed in the vicinity of the transition state (TS) barrier leading to OD radical and cyclic ether products. Furthermore, the overtone OD stretch (2ν OD ) of ˙QOOD is identified by IR action spectroscopy with UV laser-induced fluorescence detection of OD products. Direct time-domain measurement of the unimolecular dissociation rate for ˙QOOD (2ν OD ) extends prior rate measurements for ˙QOOH. Partial deuteration results in a small increase in the TS barrier predicted by high level electronic structure calculations due to changes in zero-point energies; the imaginary frequency is unchanged. Comparison of the unimolecular decay rates obtained experimentally with those predicted theoretically for both ˙QOOH and ˙QOOD confirm that unimolecular decay is enhanced by heavy-atom tunneling involving simultaneous O–O bond elongation and C–C–O angle contraction along the reaction pathway.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Generator coordinate method for transition-state dynamics in nuclear fission

Since its beginnings, fission theory has assumed that low-energy induced fission takes place through transition-state channels at the barrier tops. Nevertheless, up to now there is no microscopic theory applicable to those conditions. We suggest that modern reaction theory is suitable for this purpose, and propose a methodology based on a configuration-interaction framework using the generator coordinate method (GCM). Simple reaction-theoretic models are constructed with the Gaussian overlap approximation to parametrize both the dynamics within the channels and their incoherent couplings to states outside the barrier. The physical characteristics of the channels examined here are their effective bandwidths and the quality of the coupling to compound-nucleus states as measured by the transmission factor T. We also investigate the spacing of GCM states with respect to their degree of overlap. We find that a rather coarse mesh provides an acceptable accuracy for estimating the bandwidths and transmission factors. The common numerical stability problem in using the GCM is avoided due to the choice of meshes and the finite bandwidths of the channels. Here, the bandwidths of the channels are largely controlled by the zero-point energy with respect to the collective coordinate in the GCM configurations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Projector‐Based Quantum Embedding Study of Iron Complexes

Projection‐based embedding theory (PBET) is used to calculate and assess the challenging spin‐crossover energies for a selection of small Fe‐containing systems by embedding the metal center into the frozen potential of the ligands. MP2, CCSD, and CCSD(T) are embedded in potentials from the SCAN and r 2 SCAN functionals and compared with the canonical values for the constituent methods and previously reported reference values. Considering the PBET calculations as a correction for the underlying DFT, the embedding calculations are able to provided improvement for most cases. In some cases, the PBET methods are able to compensate for limitations in the wave function methods and produce results similar to more rigorous calculations from the literature. For the systems with spin‐crossover energies near zero, the current methodology fails to provide consistent improvement. In conclusion, the isolated recalculation of the electronic structure around the metal center when embedded into a DFT treatment of the ligand field shows promise as a pragmatic and lower cost treatment compared to the canonical treatment of the whole system of the difficult class of spin‐crossover complexes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Pore‐Scale Modeling of Carbon Dioxide and Hydrogen Transport During Geologic Gas Storage

Abstract Geologic storage of CO 2 and H 2 are climate‐positive techniques for meeting the energy transition. While similar formations could be considered for both gases, the flow dynamics could differ due to differences in their thermophysical properties. We conduct a rigorous pore‐scale study of water/CO 2 and water/H 2 systems at relevant reservoir conditions in a Bentheimer rock sample using the lattice Boltzmann method to quantify the effects of capillary, viscous, inertial, and wetting forces during gas invasion. At similar conditions, H 2 invasion is weaker compared to CO 2 due to unfavorable viscosity ratios. Increasing flow rate, however, increases the breakthrough saturation for both gas systems in the range of capillary numbers studied. At isolated conditions of flow rate, viscosity ratio, and wettability, local inertial effects are found to be critical and show consistent increase in the invaded gas saturation. The effect of inertial forces persits for both gases across all field conditions tested.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Future Low-Carbon Technology Options for a 100 Percent Decarbonized Power Sector

Recent studies have modeled 100 percent decarbonized or renewable power sectors and proposed technical solutions to address costs, reliability, and other challenges, specifically related to meeting the last 10 percent of energy demand and eliminating carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Here, this article summarizes multiple studies and provides references to the detailed and nuanced scenarios of reliably and cost-effectively operating 100 percent clean and/or renewable power systems. It also outlines future technology solutions that might be needed to meet this simply stated but deeply complex goal.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Predicting Melt Curves of Energetic Materials Using Molecular Models

Here, in this work, the solid–liquid coexistence curves of classical fully flexible atomistic models of α-RDX and β-HMX were calculated using thermodynamically rigorous methodologies that identify where the free energy difference between the phases is zero. The free energy difference between each phase at a given state point was computed using the pseudosupercritical path (PSCP) method, and Gibbs–Helmholtz integration was used to evaluate the solid–liquid free energy difference as a function of temperature. This procedure was repeated for several pressures to determine points along the coexistence curve, which were then fit to the Simon–Glatzel functional form. While effective, this method is computationally expensive. An alternative approach is to compute the melting point at a single pressure via the PSCP method, and then use the Gibbs–Duhem integration technique to trace out the coexistence curve in a more computationally economical manner. Both approaches were used to determine the coexistence curve of α-RDX. The Gibbs–Duhem integration method was shown to generate a melt curve that is in good agreement with the PSCP-derived melt curve, while only costing ~10 % of the computational resources used for the PSCP method. For α-RDX, the predicted melting temperature increases significantly more for a given increase in pressure when compared to available experimental data.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Eco-friendly passive radiative cooling using recycled packaging plastics

Passive daytime radiative cooling, requiring zero external energy consumption, is a promising cooling strategy achieved by simultaneously reflecting solar irradiance and thermally radiating heat into the cold outer space (~3 K) through the atmospheric transparency window. However, current materials for passive radiative cooling face huge challenges, such as complicated fabrication approaches, expensive raw materials, and environmental requirements for practical applications. In line with the urgent need for plastic recycling to curb global environmental pollution, the recycled plastics are used to fabricate a passive radiative cooling material. Herein, the foam-paper composite (FPC) with excellent self-cooling capability is fabricated by a simple crushing-and-mixing procedure using recycled polystyrene (PS) foam and printer paper. The superhydrophobic PS foam particles not only protect the FPC from water damage for field applications but also reinforce its solar reflectivity via their porous structure. The cellulose fibers in printer paper can efficiently emit infrared thermal radiation into the cold outer space and bond dispersed PS foam particles together, further increasing its mechanical strength. The combination of highly diffusely reflective PS foam particles and fiber-based printer paper results in a reflectivity of 96% in the solar spectrum, a sub-ambient cooling performance of 8.4 degrees C, and a maximum radiative cooling power of 90 W/m2 during a 24-h cycle. Meanwhile, the FPC with high humidity can maintain its high solar reflectivity, which promotes its application in humid subtropical areas. Further, the low material cost and ease of fabrication will provide a path for effective daytime radiative cooling, especially in less developed areas.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Physics-Informed Machine-Learning Prediction of Curie Temperatures and Its Promise for Guiding the Discovery of Functional Magnetic Materials

High-performance permanent magnets with a high Curie temperature, containing less critical materials, are integral to zero-carbon energy solutions. We built a machine-learning model trained over available experimentally measured Curie temperature values to predict the T C of multicomponent magnetic materials. We chose two compositions from a pseudo-binary (Zr 1–x Ce x )Fe 2 system, namely, (Zr 0.16 Ce 0.84 )Fe 2 and (Zr 0.94 Ce 0.06 )Fe 2 , to experimentally validate the ability of our model to predict the Curie temperature of novel compounds. We also provided a detailed discussion on the correlation of the Curie temperature with the de Gennes scaling factor in rare-earth intermetallic compounds and its breakdown below a certain rare-earth content. The electronic structure calculations (density of states and Fermi surface) were performed using the density functional theory on selected compounds (Zr 0.16 Ce 0.84 )Fe 2 and (Zr 0.94 Ce 0.06 )Fe 2 to understand the electronic origin of a strong magnetic exchange. We found that the change in the electronic density of states and electron/hole fillings at the Fermi level directly correlate with the Curie temperature. Notably, our model was able to capture these key electronic structure trends, which show that physics-informed machine learning can play a crucial role in designing new high-performance magnets with improved properties for environmentally sustainable applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Nuclear–Electronic Orbital QM/MM Approach: Geometry Optimizations and Molecular Dynamics

Hybrid quantum mechanical/molecular mechanical (QM/MM) methods allow simulations of chemical reactions in atomistic solvent and heterogeneous environments such as proteins. Herein, the nuclear–electronic orbital (NEO) QM/MM approach is introduced to enable the quantization of specified nuclei, typically protons, in the QM region using a method such as NEO-density functional theory (NEO-DFT). This approach includes proton delocalization, polarization, anharmonicity, and zero-point energy in geometry optimizations and dynamics. Expressions for the energies and analytical gradients associated with the NEO-QM/MM method, as well as the previously developed polarizable continuum model (NEO-PCM), are provided. Geometry optimizations of small organic molecules hydrogen bonded to water in either dielectric continuum solvent or explicit atomistic solvent illustrate that aqueous solvation can strengthen hydrogen-bonding interactions for the systems studied, as indicated by shorter intermolecular distances at the hydrogen-bond interface. We then performed a real-time direct dynamics simulation of a phenol molecule in explicit water using the NEO-QM/MM method. Furthermore, these developments and initial examples provide the foundation for future studies of nuclear–electronic quantum dynamics in complex chemical and biological environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Analysis of Intermediates and Products from the Dehydrogenation of Mg(BH 4 ) 2

The thermodynamic properties of key compounds, Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , MgB 2 H 6 , MgB 10 H 10 , Mg(B 11 H 14 ) 2 , Mg 3 (B 3 H 6 ) 2 , and MgB 12 H 12 , proposed to be formed in the release of hydrogen from magnesium borohydride Mg(BH 4 ) 2 and uptake of hydrogen by MgB 2 , have been investigated using solid–state density functional theory (DFT) calculations. Further, more accurate treatment of cell–size effects to the entropies were also investigated, in order to improve the accuracy of the thermodynamic properties of complex borohydrides. We find that the zero–point energy corrections can lower the electronic energies of reaction by 20–30 kJ/(mol H 2 ) for these intermediates, while adding the thermal and entropy contributions results in the total decrease up to ~50 kJ/(mol H 2 ). Although our treatment lowers the calculated formation energy of Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , it is still too high to explain the experimental observation of B 3 H 8 – . We discuss possible reasons for this disparity and propose that the formation of B 3 H 8 – and H – in a disordered amorphous phase has a large energy difference compared to the phase–separated Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 and MgH 2 considered in calculations. Comparison of the experimental and NMR chemical shifts calculated within a DFT approach for known species Mg(BH 4 ) 2 , Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , Mg(B 11 H 14 ) 2 , MgB 10 H 10 and MgB 12 H 12 provides validation for predicting the chemical shifts of the other compounds which are yet to be confirmed experimentally. These include MgB 2 H 6 and the proposed tri–anion species Mg 3 (B 3 H 6 ) 2 that both have favorable thermodynamics for reversible hydrogen storage in Mg(BH 4 ) 2 without the formation of MgH 2 as a co–product which could phase–separate and inhibit rehydrogenation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Simultaneous Optimization of Nuclear–Electronic Orbitals

Accurate modeling of important nuclear quantum effects, such as nuclear delocalization, zero-point energy, and tunneling, as well as non-Born-Oppenheimer effects, requires treatment of both nuclei and electrons quantum mechanically. The nuclear–electronic orbital (NEO) method provides an elegant framework to treat specified nuclei, typically protons, on the same level as the electrons. In conventional electronic structure theory, finding a converged ground state can be a computationally demanding task; converging NEO wavefunctions, due to their coupled electronic and nuclear nature, is even more demanding. Herein, we present an efficient simultaneous optimization method that uses the direct inversion in the iterative subspace method to simultaneously converge wavefunctions for both the electrons and quantum nuclei. In conclusion, benchmark studies show that the simultaneous optimization method can significantly reduce the computational cost compared to the conventional stepwise method for optimizing NEO wavefunctions for multicomponent systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reaction Energetics and 13 C Fractionation of Alanine Transamination in the Aqueous and Gas Phases

The alanine transaminase enzyme catalyzes the transfer of an amino group from alanine to α-ketoglutarate to produce pyruvate and glutamate. Isotope fractionation factors (IFFs) for the reaction +H 3 NCH(CH 3 )COO – + – OOCCH 2 CH 2 C(O)COO – ↔ CH 3 C(O)COO – + + H 3 NCH(CH 2 CH 2 COO – )COO – (zwitterionic neutral alanine + doubly deprotonated α-ketoglutarate ↔ pyruvate + zwitterionic glutamate anion) were calculated from the partition functions of explicitly and implicitly solvated molecules at 298 K. Calculations were done for alanine (noncharge separated, zwitterion, deprotonated), pyruvic acid (neutral, deprotonated), glutamic acid (noncharge separated, zwitterion, deprotonated, doubly deprotonated), and α-ketoglutaric acid (neutral, deprotonated, doubly deprotonated). The computational results, calculated from gas phase- and aqueous-optimized clusters with explicit H 2 O molecules at the MP2/aug-cc-pVDZ and MP2/aug-cc-pVDZ/COSMO levels, respectively, predict that substitution of 13 C at the C2 position of alanine and pyruvic acid and their various forms leads to the C2 position of pyruvic acid/pyruvate being enriched in 13 C/ 12 C ratio by 9‰. Simpler approaches that estimate the IFFs based solely on changes in the zero-point energies (ZPEs) are consistent with the higher-level model. ZPE-based IFFs calculated for simple analogues formaldehyde and methylamine (analogous to the C2 positions of pyruvate and alanine, respectively) predict a 13 C enrichment in formaldehyde of 7–8‰ at the MP2/aug-cc-pVDZ and aug-cc-pVTZ levels. A simple predictive model using canonical functional group frequencies and reduced masses for 13 C exchange between R 2 C=O and R 2 CH–NH 2 predicted enrichment in R 2 C=O that is too large by a factor of two but is qualitatively accurate compared with the more sophisticated models. Our models are all in agreement with the expectation that pyruvate and formaldehyde will be preferentially enriched in 13 C because of the strength of their >C=O bond relative to that of ≡C–NH 2 in alanine and methylamine. 13 C/ 12 C substitution is also modeled at the methyl and carboxylic acid sites of alanine and pyruvic acid, respectively.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Is Deprotonation of the Oxygen-Evolving Complex of Photosystem II during the S 1 → S 2 Transition Suppressed by Proton Quantum Delocalization?

We address the protonation state of the water-derived ligands in the oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) of photosystem II (PSII), prepared in the S 2 state of the Kok cycle. We perform quantum mechanics/molecular mechanics calculations of isotropic proton hyperfine coupling constants, with direct comparisons to experimental data from two-dimensional hyperfine sublevel correlation (HYSCORE) spectroscopy and extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS). We find a low-barrier hydrogen bond with significant delocalization of the proton shared by the water-derived ligand, W1, and the aspartic acid residue D1–D61 of the D1 polypeptide. The lowering of the zero-point energy of a shared proton due to quantum delocalization precludes its release to the lumen during the S 1 → S 2 transition. Retention of the proton facilitates the shuttling of a proton during the isomerization of the tetranuclear manganese–calcium–oxo (Mn 4 Ca–oxo) cluster, from the “open” to “closed” conformation, a step suggested to be necessary for oxygen evolution from previous studies. Our findings suggest that quantum-delocalized protons, stabilized by low-barrier hydrogen bonds in model catalytic systems, can facilitate the accumulation of multiple oxidizing equivalents at low overpotentials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Regioselective On-Surface Synthesis of [3]Triangulene Graphene Nanoribbons

The integration of low-energy states into bottom-up engineered graphene nanoribbons (GNRs) is a robust strategy for realizing materials with tailored electronic band structure for nanoelectronics. Low-energy zero-modes (ZMs) can be introduced into nanographenes (NGs) by creating an imbalance between the two sublattices of graphene. This phenomenon is exemplified by the family of [n]triangulenes (n ϵ $\mathbb{N}$). Here, we demonstrate the synthesis of [3]triangulene-GNRs, a regioregular one-dimensional (1D) chain of [3]triangulenes linked by five-membered rings. Hybridization between ZMs on adjacent [3]triangulenes leads to the emergence of a narrow band gap, E g,exp ~ 0.7 eV, and topological end states that are experimentally verified using scanning tunneling spectroscopy. Tight-binding and first-principles density functional theory calculations within the local density approximation corroborate our experimental observations. Our synthetic design takes advantage of a selective on-surface head-to-tail coupling of monomer building blocks enabling the regioselective synthesis of [3]triangulene-GNRs. Detailed ab initio theory provides insights into the mechanism of on-surface radical polymerization, revealing the pivotal role of Au-C bond formation/breakage in driving selectivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗