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At least 289 records · Page 16

Load Forecasting for the Moroccan Electricity Sector

The Moroccan electricity sector is undergoing rapid transformation as it seeks to increase its utilization of renewable energy from its abundant domestic supply. Key to implementing variable renewable energy is understanding current electricity demand and forecasting this demand on the long, medium, and short timescales. This report leverages existing Moroccan electricity sector data to build basic load forecasts on these timescales. Taking these forecasts, the report recommends next steps in terms of additional algorithms, mathematical models, data collection, and scenarios (such as vehicle electrification or high levels of distributed generation) that should be examined for advanced load forecasts.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Hourly Electricity Demand Projections for Eight Combined Climate and Socioeconomic Scenarios

This dataset contains 40 years (1980-2019) of simulated historical hourly electricity demand (i.e., loads) and 80 years (2020-2099) of projected hourly loads for 54 Balancing Authorities (BAs) and 48 states plus the District of Columbia. Details about the scenarios and variables included in this dataset are in the readme.pdf file. The two primary models that created the dataset are a version of the Global Change Analysis Model with detailed sectoral resolution over the United States (GCAM-USA) and the Total ELectricity Loads (TELL) model. Links to the model source code and workflow for deriving the dataset are provided in an accompanying meta-repository: https://github.com/IMMM-SFA/burleyson-etal_2023_applied_energy. Projections are for four future climate scenarios that represent combinations of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 combined with two levels of climate model sensitivities: rcp45cooler, rcp45hotter, rcp85cooler, and rcp85hotter. The four climate scenarios are crossed with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 3 and 5 to yield eight different future load projections: rcp45cooler_ssp3, rcp45cooler_ssp5, rcp45hotter_ssp3, rcp45hotter_ssp5, rcp85cooler_ssp3, rcp85cooler_ssp5, rcp85hotter_ssp3, and rcp85hotter_ssp5. The climate scenarios are from the IM3 Thermodynamic Global Warming (TGW) dataset which is linked below in the related metadata. The related metadata also contains links to a repository containing the raw GCAM-USA output files.

Climate Change↗

Hourly Electricity Demand Projections for Eight Combined Climate and Socioeconomic Scenarios

This dataset contains 40 years (1980-2019) of simulated historical hourly electricity demand (i.e., loads) and 80 years (2020-2099) of projected hourly loads for 54 Balancing Authorities (BAs) and 48 states plus the District of Columbia. Details about the scenarios and variables included in this dataset are in the readme.pdf file. The two primary models that created the dataset are a version of the Global Change Analysis Model with detailed sectoral resolution over the United States (GCAM-USA) and the Total ELectricity Loads (TELL) model. Links to the model source code and workflow for deriving the dataset are provided in an accompanying meta-repository: https://github.com/IMMM-SFA/burleyson-etal_2024_applied_energy. Projections are for four future climate scenarios that represent combinations of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 combined with two levels of climate model sensitivities: rcp45cooler, rcp45hotter, rcp85cooler, and rcp85hotter. The four climate scenarios are crossed with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 3 and 5 to yield eight different future load projections: rcp45cooler_ssp3, rcp45cooler_ssp5, rcp45hotter_ssp3, rcp45hotter_ssp5, rcp85cooler_ssp3, rcp85cooler_ssp5, rcp85hotter_ssp3, and rcp85hotter_ssp5. The climate scenarios are from the IM3 Thermodynamic Global Warming (TGW) dataset which is linked below in the related metadata. The related metadata also contains links to a repository containing the raw GCAM-USA output files.

Climate Change↗

Performance Modeling of a Variable-Geometry Oscillating Surge Wave Energy Converter on a Raised Foundation

This paper analyzes the power capture potential, structural loadings, and costs associated with an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC) operating on a raised foundation. The raised OSWEC offers opportunities for reduced installation costs, improved energy production, and greater flexibility of deployment when compared with fixed-bottom models. In this investigation, we simulated several different foundation geometries using WEC-Sim to estimate power capture and structural loads. In an effort to maximize power capture, several cases in which flat plates of varying size were attached to the top of the foundation, under and parallel with the OSWEC, were also simulated. These plates were found to enhance power capture by preventing the wave-induced pressure from passing underneath the OSWEC, diverting this pressure toward the OSWEC instead. The OSWEC was simulated in the six Wave Energy Prize sea states, which were chosen as a representative sample of U.S. deployment sites. A first-order estimate of structural costs was calculated using the Wave Energy Prize ACE metric, with the foundation comprised predominantly of steel-reinforced concrete and the OSWEC comprised of A36 steel. Influence of foundation geometry on power capture, structural loadings, and ACE are topics of particular interest. This work has been inspired by advances in large-scale additive manufacturing techniques that have the potential to dramatically reduce the cost of subsea foundations. These advancements may enable cost-effective WEC systems to be deployed on raised foundations.

cost↗

Investigation into the instantaneous centre of rotation for enhanced design of floating offshore wind turbines

The dynamic behaviour of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) involves complex interactions of multivariate loads from wind, waves, and currents, which result in complex motion characteristics. Although methods for analysing global motion responses are well-established, the time- and location-dependent kinematics remain underexplored. This paper investigates the instantaneous centre of rotation (ICR), a point of zero velocity at a time instance of general plane motion. Understanding and strategically positioning the ICR can reduce the dynamic motion in critical structural locations, enhancing the performance and structural robustness of FOWTs. The paper presents a method for computing the ICR using time-domain simulation results and proposes a statistical analysis approach suitable for design studies. Building on prior research, it examines the sensitivity of the ICR to external loading and design features, providing insights into how these factors influence motion response and how the motion response influences the statistics of the ICR, structural loads, and other performance metrics of interest. The study explores two FOWT configurations, a spar and a semisubmersible, identifying design variables that most effectively control the ICR statistics and identifying the ICR statistics most correlated with the responses of interest. Finally, through two case studies, we demonstrate how to apply these new insights in a practical design scenario. By adjusting the design variables most correlated with the ICR (fairlead vertical position and centre of mass for the spar and mooring line length and offset column diameter for the semisubmersible), we successfully modified the designs of the floating support structures to reduce the loads in the mooring lines, tower base, and blade roots, improving the ultimate strength and fatigue characteristics compared to the original designs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Effects of upstream rotor tilt on a downstream floating wind turbine

This work quantifies the relationship between the design tilt of an upstream rotor and the structural response of a spar floating offshore wind turbine located in its wake. Three wind speed scenarios are considered: below, at, and above rated operation. The inflow is generated with the Mann model and the wake and loads are simulated with FAST.Farm. As the upstream rotor tilt goes from 0° to 6°, we find that the mean wake is displaced upward by more than 0.2 rotor diameters (D) by a downstream distance of 7 D. The vertical velocities increase by up to 35 cm/s in the center of the wake. As a result, the downstream rotor is partially waked and experiences a rotated velocity vector. With a higher upstream rotor tilt, the velocities and moments on the downstream turbine increase their mean axial value and their lateral and vertical standard deviation. These changes affect the blade and tower loading and the floater motion primarily in the out-of-plane direction: the damage-equivalent loads for the tower pitch moment and blade-root moment increase by up to 10% because of higher variability at the first mode for the tower and at one blade passing frequency for the blade root. Lesser effects are observed for the roll moments and for floater sway and heave. When the joint effect of rotor tilt and platform motion is considered, the load response on the downstream system is amplified primarily for tower pitch and blade out-of-plane moment.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Achieving 5,000-h and 8,000-h Low-PGM Electrode Durability on Automotive Drive Cycles

Whereas total Pt loading in anode and cathode catalysts below 0.125 mg cm −2 is required to meet the stringent cost target for automotive fuel cell systems (FCS) for light duty vehicles, low-loaded cathode catalysts are susceptible to unacceptable aging-related performance losses at high current densities. A framework model, validated by accelerated stress test data, has identified cell voltage, relative humidity (RH) and temperature as the key operating variables that affect degradation of a high-activity d-PtCo/C cathode catalyst with 0.1 mg cm −2 Pt loading. Drive cycle simulations indicate that these can be controlled by properly selecting the minimum FCS power, compressor-expander module (CEM) turndown, and stack coolant temperature. The optimum system parameters are 4-kW e minimum power for an 80-kW e FCS, CEM turndown of 12.5, and 66 °C average coolant exit temperature that combine to limit the maximum cell voltage to 850 mV and outlet RH to 90%–100%. Depending on Pt loading, the mismatch between actual and allowable degradation for 10% power loss over 5,000-h lifetime requires the stack to be oversized by 2.4%–5%, resulting in 8.4%–41% lower Pt utilization and 7.1%–20.5% penalty in stack cost. The corresponding results for 8,000-h lifetime are 10.3%-14% stack oversizing, 23%–51.8% lower Pt utilization, and 24.1%–35.4% stack cost penalty.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Rotor and wake aerodynamic analysis of the Hybrid-Lambda concept - an offshore low-specific-rating rotor concept

The low-specific-rating rotor concept Hybrid-Lambda introduces a blade design with nonuniform distribution of design variables (design tip speed ratio and axial induction) along the blade span to alleviate loads of the outboard section in strong winds. In this paper, we validate aerodynamic design calculations, which were carried out with the blade element momentum theory by comparing the results to free vortex wake investigations (FVW). Furthermore, we investigate the wake behaviour with FVW and large-eddy simulations. The results show good agreements between the blade element momentum theory and FVW for integrated rotor quantities (power and thrust). Small deviations are present when the gradients of axial induction along the span are large. The wake of the Hybrid-Lambda Rotor shows advantages in the near-wake region (up to 4 diameters [D] downstream), especially in the outer wake annulus and in low turbulence scenarios. For further downstream positions, the wake is comparable to that of the reference turbine.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Output Current Estimation and Control in Primary Side LCC Secondary Side Series Compensated Wireless Power Transfer System without Secondary Side Sensors

The estimation (and control) of the output variables is often challenging for wireless power transfer (WPT) systems. This paper presents a secondary side sensor-less closed loop estimation technique to estimate the output current in a primary side LCC and secondary side series compensated WPT system. Using information of primary side variables, the proposed estimation can estimate the output current over a wide range of load current variations. Results are presented to verify the efficacy of the proposed estimation.

Mukherjee, Subho [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000672297925)↗

Assessment of Electrode Contamination Mitigation at 0.5 MA Scale

The Z Machine at Sandia National Laboratories uses current pulses with peaks up to 27 MA to drive target implosions and generate high energy density conditions of interest for stockpile stewardship programs pertinent to the NNSA program portfolio . Physical processes in the region near the Z Machine target create electrode plasmas which seed parasitic current loss that reduce the performance and output of a Z experiment. Electrode surface contaminants (hydrogen, water, hydrocarbons) are thought to be the primary constituent of electrode plasmas which contribute to loss mechanisms. The Sandia team explore d in situ heating and plasma discharge techniques by integrating requisite infrastructure into Sandia's Mykonos LTD accelerator, addressing potential impacts to accelerator operation, and reporting on the impact of these techniques on electrode plasma formation and shot performance. The in situ discharge cleaning utilizes the electrodes of the accelerator to excite an argon-oxygen plasma to sputter and chemically react contaminants from electrode surfaces. Insulating breaks are required to isolate the plasma in electrode regions where loss processes are most likely to occur. The shots on Mykonos validate that these breaks do not perturb experiment performance, reducing the uncertainty on the largest unknown about the in situ cleaning system. Preliminary observations with electrical and optical diagnostics suggest that electrode plasma formation is delayed, and overall inventory has been substantively reduced. In situ heating embeds cartridge heaters into accelerator electrodes and employs a thermal bakeout to rapidly desorb contaminants from electrode surfaces. For the first time, additively manufactured (AM) electrode assemblies were used on a low impedance accelerator to integrate cooling channels and manage thermal gradients. Challenges with poor supplier fabrication to specifications, load alignment, thermal expansion and hardware movement and warpage appears to have introduced large variability in observed loss, though, preventing strong assertions of loss reduction via in situ heating. At this time, an in situ discharge cleaning process offers the lowest risk path to reduce electrode contaminant inventories on Z, though we recommend continuing to develop both approaches. Additional engineering and testing are required to improve the implementation of both systems. .

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluation of a Sulfate Solubility Limit Greater Than 0.65 Weight Percent in Sludge Batch 10 Glasses

Previous laboratory-scale crucible testing with batch chemicals confirmed that the sulfate (SO 4 2- ) limit for Sludge Batch 10 (SB10) was 0.65 weight percent (wt.%) in glass. This limit signifies that 0.65 wt.% SO 4 2- can be retained in the glass without the formation of a sulfate phase. The Defense Waste Processing Facility imposes this constraint in the Material Tracking Program. Based on preliminary calculations to support the Material Tracking Program, it was anticipated that transfer volumes of the monosodium titanate/sludge solids (MST/SS) stream from the Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF) may need to be reduced to maintain projected sulfate concentrations below 0.65 wt.% in glass. Savannah River Mission Completion requested that the Savannah River National Laboratory perform additional sulfate testing to determine whether a sulfate solubility limit greater than 0.65 wt.% is feasible for SB10, which could allow for higher transfer volumes of the MST/SS stream. This report documents the results of the testing at higher sulfate concentrations for the glass composition region defined by the most recent SB10 projection (November 2022) and Frits 473 and 625. Frit 473 was recommended for SB10 and Frit 625 was used during SB9 processing and the SB9 to SB10 transition. A total of twenty-one glass compositions were developed based on the expected compositional variables, which include sludge-only (SO) and coupled processing with the SWPF, waste loading (WL), and frit composition. The target sulfate concentrations were varied from 0.65-0.85 wt.% at 32 and 40% WL. Each glass was prepared from reagent grade chemicals and melted at 1150 °C. Visual observations were used to confirm the presence of a sulfate salt phase on the cooled glass surfaces. Representative samples of each glass were submitted for chemical composition analysis by inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectroscopy and Cs analysis by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. Overall the majority of mean measured values are consistent with the target values for each major oxide of interest with less than 5% error. The percent errors for the measured SO 4 2- concentrations are generally less than 10%, which is comparable with previous sulfate solubility study measurements and acceptable. Only the SO glasses based on Frit 625 formed a sulfate phase at a 0.80 wt.% SO 4 2- target concentration at both 32 and 40% WL. The remainder of the glasses did not form a sulfate layer. Due to the formation of the sulfate phase, the limit is conservatively set at 0.70 wt.% based on the measured sulfate concentrations of 0.71 wt.% and 0.75 wt.% for these two glasses. None of the SO or coupled operation glasses based on Frit 473 formed a sulfate salt phase, which supports a sulfate limit of 0.80 wt.%. The following SO 4 2- concentration limits are recommended during SO and coupled SB10 processing: (1) 0.70 wt.% during processing with Frit 625, and (2) 0.80 wt.% during processing with Frit 473.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Tank Closure Cesium Removal Ion Exchange Column CST Characterization: SRNL-STI-2024-00072 (Rev.0) pdf

Savannah River Mission Completion (SRMC) recently suspended operation of the Tank Closure Cesium Removal (TCCR) system which utilized an ion exchange (IX) process to remove radioactive cesium from waste supernate. During the demonstration phase, a total of three batches of Tank 10H dissolved salt waste were processed through the original TCCR columns. Subsequently, dissolved salt waste from Tank 9H was processed through TCCR in a phase referred to as TCCR 1A with four new IX columns. All eight columns have now been moved to Interim Safe Storage (ISS). For each batch processed through the TCCR IX columns, SRNL performed a number of analyses on surface and variable depth samples as well as batch equilibrium contact tests (BECT) to determine equilibrium loadings of Cs on the crystalline silicotitanate (CST) IX media. The BECTs were performed by lowering “teabags” containing ~0.1 g of CST each into the tank for a period of at least 10 days. The teabags were then retrieved and sent to SRNL for digestion and analysis.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Advanced Oxygen-Free Electrolyzer for Ultra-Low-Cost H 2 Storage for Fossil Plants (Final Technical Report)

DOE’s Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management has determined that long-duration energy storage solutions co-located with fossil energy assets offer significant benefits to the fossil industry, electric utilities, and customers. T2M Global has developed an Advanced O 2 -Free Electrolyzer System (AES) Technology for low-cost, long-duration H 2 energy storage for fossil plants. The MW-class AES Module conceptual design aims to upgrade stranded assets (dilute/waste syngas streams, excess electricity, and waste heat) at fossil plants to higher value H 2 for additional revenue and greater sustainability. The H 2 energy storage equips fossil plants with the load following capability needed for the lucrative grid-support services market created by Variable Renewable Energy resources.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A Review of the Research and Development of Brayton Cycle Technology in Nuclear Power Applications with a Focus on Compressor Technology

This study reviews the integration of Brayton Cycle (BC) systems in nuclear power generation, emphasizing their potential to enhance thermal efficiency and operational flexibility over traditional Rankine Cycle (RC) systems. Key working fluids, such as helium (He), supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ), nitrogen (N 2 ), and air, are evaluated for their performance, efficiency, and compatibility with nuclear systems. He is recognized for its high thermal conductivity and inertness at elevated temperatures, while sCO 2 demonstrates advantages in compactness and efficiency in midrange temperatures. This article also highlights the importance of compressor designs in optimizing BC performance and reviews, available compressor technologies. Axial and centrifugal compressor designs enable efficient gas compression while managing the thermal and mechanical stresses associated with high-pressure operations in nuclear systems. Combined with variable geometry components and advanced materials, these technologies address the challenges posed by varying load conditions. Despite the promising features of BC systems, several challenges persist, including high leakage rates and material degradation under extreme conditions, which necessitate robust sealing technologies and thorough testing. The insights gained from operational experiences at facilities, such as the Oberhausen II plant and the High-Temperature He Test Facility (HHV), underscore the complexities involved in designing high-temperature gas turbines for nuclear applications. This review concludes that as the nuclear industry evolves, BC systems hold significant promise for contributing to a sustainable energy future, particularly in the context of small modular reactors (SMRs) and microreactors. Further exploration of combined cycle configurations that combine BCs with RCs may enhance overall efficiency and flexibility in power generation.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

California Time-of-Use (TOU) Transition: Effects on Distributed Wind and Solar Economic Potential

Time-of-use (TOU) retail energy rates price electricity differently by the time of day, communicating to consumers the costs of supplying electricity diurnally. This study evaluates the impact of Decision D.15.07-001, which mandates a transition in 2020 to default TOU rates for residential ratepayers in California, on the economic viability of behind-the-meter distributed wind and solar systems. Previous studies have demonstrated that increasing wind and solar generation will materially affect the diurnal cost of wholesale electricity. As retail and wholesale prices become more aligned, this could affect the inter-technology economic viability of distributed generation. We assess economic viability through 'economic potential,' or the amount of generation capacity that exceeds a rate of return of 5.4%. In addition, we identify sensitivities of economic potential to capital costs and other techno-economic factors as well as the specific counties and sectors with substantial economic potential. We find that TOU implementation is projected to moderately increase economic potential of distributed wind and marginally decrease that of distributed solar. Over the long-term as variable renewable energy penetration increases in California, particularly utility-scale solar, net peak load and thus peak prices will shift later in the evening. To the extent that retail rates continue to evolve with wholesale prices, we find the changes could positively affect the value of wind generation more than that of solar generation. Over the scenarios considered, model results indicate realistic pathways to reaching a robust distributed wind market in California though solar economic potential was found to be substantially larger than that of wind.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Performance Modeling of a Variable-Geometry Oscillating Surge Wave Energy Converter on a Raised Foundation: Preprint

This paper analyzes the power capture potential, structural loadings, and costs associated with an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC) operating on a raised foundation. The raised OSWEC offers opportunities for reduced installation costs, improved energy production, and greater flexibility of deployment when compared with bottom-fixed models. In this investigation, several different foundation geometries were simulated using WEC-Sim to estimate power capture and structural loads. In an effort to maximize power capture, several cases in which flat plates of varying size were attached to the top of the foundation, under and parallel with the OSWEC, were also simulated. These plates were found to enhance power capture by preventing the wave induced pressure from passing underneath the OSWEC, diverting this pressure towards the OSWEC instead. The OSWEC was simulated in the six Wave Energy Prize sea states, which were chosen as a representative sample of U.S. deployment sites. A first-order estimate of structural costs was calculated using the Wave Energy Prize ACE metric, with the foundation comprised predominantly of steel-reinforced concrete and the OSWEC comprised of A36 steel. Influence of foundation geometry on power capture, structural loadings, and ACE are topics of particular interest. This work has been inspired by advances in large scale additive manufacturing techniques that have the potential to dramatically reduce the cost of subsea foundations. These advancements may enable cost effective WEC systems to be deployed on raised foundations.

50 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Water (EE-4↗

Performance Evaluation of Three RTU Energy Efficiency Technologies

This project was part of an effort by CLEAResult and ComEd to evaluate the energy saving potential of emerging technologies in the Chicago area. This project focused on evaluating emerging technologies related to rooftop units (RTUs). An RTU with a single-stage compressor and a constant-speed fan with an induction motor was selected as the baseline for technology comparison. Three retrofit strategies were investigated. The first two involved replacing the single-stage compressor of an RTU by either a two-stage or variable-speed compressor and adding a variable frequency drive (VFD) to the constant speed fan. The use of a multi-/variable-stage compressor improves the part-load efficiency of the compressor which will ultimately result in annual energy savings as well as peak demand shaving in some cases where the design capacity of the RTU is larger than the maximum cooling load of the building space that it is serving. The third technology was the use of a high rotor pole switched reluctance motor (SRM) as a replacement for the constant-speed supply fan. The SRM was applied in single-speed, two-stage and variable-speed compressor RTUs. SRM motors run via reluctance torque. Their stator poles are driven by direct current (DC) power and require an inverter as well as active control when using alternating current (AC) power. This inherent property results in high efficiency over a range of operating conditions. It also exhibits higher efficiency compared to variable frequency drives (VFDs) since its switching frequency is much slower (SCE, 2018).The three technologies investigated are summarized below: 1) Replacing the single-speed compressor with a two-stage compressor and adding a VFD to the supply fan. 2)Replacing the single-speed compressor with a variable-speed compressor and adding a VFD to the supply fan. 3) Replacing the constant-speed induction motor of the supply fan with a high rotor pole SRM. DOE’s building simulation platform EnergyPlus and its graphical user interface OpenStudio were used to evaluate the energy-saving potential of upgrading RTUs, by leveraging experimental data from previous research.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗