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At least 289 records · Page 16

Coupled Cluster Theory for Nonadiabatic Dynamics: Nuclear Gradients and Nonadiabatic Couplings in Similarity Constrained Coupled Cluster Theory

Coupled cluster theory is one of the most accurate electronic structure methods for predicting ground and excited state chemistry. However, the presence of numerical artifacts at electronic degeneracies, such as complex energies, has made it difficult to apply the method in nonadiabatic dynamics simulations. While it has already been shown that such numerical artifacts can be fully removed by using similarity constrained coupled cluster (SCC) theory [J. Phys. Chem. Lett. 2017, 8(19), 4801–4807], simulating dynamics requires efficient implementations of gradients and nonadiabatic couplings. Here, we present an implementation of nuclear gradients and nonadiabatic derivative couplings at the similarity constrained coupled cluster singles and doubles (SCCSD) level of theory, thereby making possible nonadiabatic dynamics simulations using a coupled cluster theory that provides a correct description of conical intersections between excited states. We present a few numerical examples that show good agreement with literature values and discuss some limitations of the method.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

First-principles molten salt phase diagrams through thermodynamic integration

Precise prediction of phase diagrams in molecular dynamics simulations is challenging due to the simultaneous need for long time and large length scales and accurate interatomic potentials. Here, we show that thermodynamic integration from low-cost force fields to neural network potentials trained using density-functional theory (DFT) enables rapid first-principles prediction of the solid–liquid phase boundary in the model salt NaCl. We use this technique to compare the accuracy of several DFT exchange–correlation functionals for predicting the NaCl phase boundary and find that the inclusion of dispersion interactions is critical to obtain good agreement with experiment. Importantly, our approach introduces a method to predict solid–liquid phase boundaries for any material at an ab initio level of accuracy, with the majority of the computational cost at the level of classical potentials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Improving Subsurface Stress Characterization for Carbon Dioxide Storage Projects by Incorporating Machine Learning Techniques

The overall objective of this project is to develop a framework for reliable characterization and prediction of the state of stress in the overburden and underburden (including the basement) in CO 2 storage reservoirs using machine learning and integrated geomechanics and geophysical methods. Specifically, we propose to develop workflow encompassing of technologies and/or methods to predict stress and pressure changes due to CO 2 injection in an active tertiary recovery site and their impacts on subtle fault activation, fractures and occurrence of microseismic events and compare responses to field observations. In this project, we anticipate using dataset from the Farnsworth field Unit (FWU) which is operated by Purdure Petroleum. A novel elastic-waveform VSP inversion technique will be used to estimate high-resolution spatial and temporal changes of elastic moduli in CO 2 storage reservoirs, which will be combined with velocity-stress relationship derived from laboratory tests to obtain subsurface pressure and stress. Clustered microseismic data will be jointly inverted for improved focal mechanisms. Least-squares reverse-time migration of microseismic waveform data will be performed to directly image fracture/fault zones. Additionally, a deep neural network machine learning technique with convolutional and recurrent layers will be used for learning the spectro-temporal structures in microseismic waveforms. The results of this geotechnical data analysis will be integrated to develop a high-resolution 3D mechanical earth model extending from the overburden sealing formations to the underburden including the basement. Mechanical properties will be derived through integration of mechanical logs, tests, available results from chemo-mechanical laboratory tests, and elastic inversion of seismic data using a combination of Bayesian and stochastic methods as well as machine learning technique. Failure features (faults/fractures) will be represented and/or modeled based on seismic and core data analysis. A transient hydrodynamic-geomechanical model will be developed through coupling with the calibrated FWU reservoir simulation model. The full physics coupled model will be used to train a reduced order proxy model using machine learning algorithm for estimating stress which will then be used with appropriate constitutive relationships and forward seismological models to simulate pressure changes and induced microseismicity. An advanced optimization framework will be developed to perform a history match to minimize error between field observations and simulated. The history matched proxy model will be verified against the full-physics equivalent. The field observations that will be used in the coupled model calibration process include pressure/stress inverted from VSP, moment magnitude from microseismic analysis, real time downhole pressure measurements, production and injection data. Parameter sensitivity and uncertainty analysis will be performed to characterize the impact of model parameter uncertainty on stress estimates. The proposed project will have significant impact on future field implementation of the proposed technology. Because the project field site is an ongoing CO 2 EOR development, the value of the new technology will be demonstrated in an operational context and evaluated as a viable risk mitigation strategy. Cost/benefit will be evaluated together with the various commercial incentives for CO 2 sequestration available to oil and gas operators. The extensive available dataset and ongoing data acquisition under the SWP Phase III work plan provides flexibility for investigation of multiple approaches and reduces technical risk.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Liquid Phase Modeling in Porous Media: Adsorption of Methanol and Ethanol in H-MFI in Condensed Water

Zeolites are used in the chemical and separation industries for their exceptional selectivity, adsorption capacity, regenerability, and stability in gas and liquid phase processing. Here, we developed an explicit solvation method for predicting solvent/condensed phase effects on adsorption free energies in microporous media such as zeolites based on the hybrid quantum mechanical/molecular mechanical free energy perturbation (QM/MM-FEP) technique. Our explicit solvation method for zeolite systems, called eSZS, aims to capture site-specific interactions during the adsorption process at the Brønsted acid sites of H-MFI zeolite while still considering the diverse configuration space of the solvent molecules. This strategy is ideal for chemical reactions or adsorbates that interact with the microporous medium in few distinct adsorbate/transition state configurations, i.e., the harmonic or similar approximations are acceptable for the adsorbate/transition state while such approximations break down for the solvent molecules that require extensive configuration space sampling. In this way, our approach effectively overcomes the limitations of implicit solvation models and classical force field methods for describing solvation effects on chemical reactions within porous materials such as zeolites. Specifically, in this study, we investigated various aspects of our hybrid QM/MM approach, including QM cluster size dependencies in a periodic electrostatically embedded cluster model (PEECM), rules for link atoms at the QM/MM boundary, and functional and basis set considerations for converged and reasonably accurate gas and aqueous phase methanol and ethanol adsorption free energy predictions in H-MFI. For gas phase adsorption of methanol and ethanol in H-MFI at a Brønsted acid site in T12 position, we compute adsorption free energies at 298 K of −0.61 and −0.75 eV, respectively, using a PEECM containing 50 Si and 1 Al atom with ωB97x-D/def2-TZVP level of theory. For solvent effect calculations, we sample the aqueous phase using grand canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) simulations to (1) obtain a mean field of electrostatic interactions in the reaction system and (2) perform a rigorous free energy perturbation calculation. Similar to the experimentally and computationally observed endergonic solvation effects observed for hydrocarbon adsorption on metal surfaces, we also observe that a condensed aqueous environment destabilizes methanol and ethanol at these acid sites in H-MFI at 298 K. Specifically, the computed solvation free energies of adsorption (ΔΔG solv ) for methanol and ethanol are +0.44 and +0.54 eV, respectively. From this study, it is evident that adsorbates (methanol and ethanol) are competing with water for adsorption space inside the H-MFI zeolite, leading to an endergonic solvation effect. Here, we expect that the endergonic, aqueous solvent effect during adsorption in microporous zeolites is highly tunable by changing the pore size and hydrophobicity of the microporous material as this will affect the water density inside the pore structure.

Adsorption↗

Modeling Clustered DNA Damage by Ionizing Radiation Using Multinomial Damage Probabilities and Energy Imparted Spectra

Simple and complex clustered DNA damage represent the critical initial damage caused by radiation. In this paper, a multinomial probability model of clustered damage is developed with probabilities dependent on the energy imparted to DNA and surrounding water molecules. The model consists of four probabilities: (A) direct damage of sugar-phosphate moieties leading to SSB, (B) OH− radical formation with subsequent SSB and BD formation, (C) direct damage to DNA bases, and (D) energy imparted to histone proteins and other molecules in a volume not leading to SSB or BD. These probabilities are augmented by introducing probabilities for the relative location of SSB using a ≤10 bp criteria for a double-strand break (DSB) and for the possible success of a radical attack that leads to SSB or BD. Model predictions for electrons, 4He, and 12C ions are compared to the experimental data and show good agreement. Thus, the developed model allows an accurate and rapid computational method to predict simple and complex clustered DNA damage as a function of radiation quality and to explore the resulting challenges to DNA repair.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗

Understanding fundamental effects of biofuel structure on ignition and physical fuel properties

The development of biochemicals and biofuels with advantaged properties of higher combustion efficiency at lower emission levels can be aided by a priori prediction of critical global characteristics based on molecular structure. Existing predictive techniques are incomplete for comprehensive ignition and physical fuel property prediction. Here this investigation focuses on filling this knowledge gap by developing a priori prediction techniques for predicting important ignition as well as physical fuel properties of promising advantaged biofuels. We demonstrate the utility of this a priori prediction technique on saturated (≤C 5 ) alcohols, both linear and branched in nature by correlating their molecular structure with both important ignition and physical properties of the fuels. This work utilizes a semi-automated method of predicting ignition characteristics via accurate fundamental-based calculations of the fuel radical cascades that govern low-temperature combustion. This numerical methodology is supported by the relevant fuel ignition delay time (IDT) and research octane number (RON) data experimentally measured by the Advanced Fuel Ignition Delay Analyzer (AFIDA). Phyiscal fuel property trends are also analyzed by correlating the molecular structure of the fuel to its physical characteristics. Based on their molecular structure, recommendations are made on an a priori method for selecting biofuels that have advantaged properties for the selected fuel application. Lastly, the utility of this investigation is extended beyond the subset of alcohols considered by analyzing the IDT trends of i-Pentanol and n-Hexanol, revealing the fidelity of the novel kinetic modelling approach and the accuracy of the predicted trends in this study.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Comparative and Cost Analysis of a Novel Predictive Power Ramp Rate Control Method: A Case Study in a PV Power Plant in Puerto Rico

One of the most important aspects that need to be addressed to increase solar energy penetration is the power ramp-rate control. In weak grids such as the one found in Puerto Rico, it is important to smooth power fluctuations caused by the intermittence of passing clouds. In this work, a novel power ramp-rate control strategy is proposed. Additionally, a comparison with some of the most common power ramp-rate control methods is performed using a proposed model and real solar radiation data from the Coto Laurel photovoltaic power plant located in Ponce, Puerto Rico. The proposed model was validated using one-year real data from Coto Laurel. The power ramp-rate control methods were compared in real-time simulations using the OP5700 from Opal-RT Technologies considering power ramp rate fluctuations, power ramp-rate violations, fluctuations in the state-of-charge, among other indicators. Moreover, the proposed power ramp-rate control strategy, called predictive dynamic smoothing was explained and compared. Results indicate that the predictive dynamic smoothing produced a considerably reduced Levelized Cost of Storage compared to other power ramp-rate control methods and provided a higher lifetime expectancy for lithium batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Data-driven prediction of geometry- and toolpath sequence-dependent intra-layer process conditions variations in laser powder bed fusion

Geometrical features and toolpath sequence are two important factors that cause process condition variations, such as variations in the meltpool temperature or meltpool size, that might lead to undesired material properties in the laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) process. Due to the high dynamics and complex physics of the LPBF process, it is difficult to predict variations in process conditions with simulations alone. Advances in measurement technology and computational technologies open up new possibilities for smart manufacturing. In this paper, a data-driven method to predict intra-layer variations in the processing conditions that source from the toolpath sequence and part geometry is presented. The approach is demonstrated using two-color on-axis pyrometer measurements. Three demonstration cases are presented in which it is demonstrated (1) how the trained predictive model can be used as a filter to ease the interpretation of process variations and discover patterns related to toolpath and part geometry, and (2) how to generate predictions that can be used for feedforward control, i.e., for adjusting laser power or scanning speed along the toolpath using a meltpool temperature prediction model generated based on on-axis measurements. Results show that the developed prediction model is able to meaningfully predict process variations resulted from toolpath sequence and geometry. Predictions are aligned with the results from the related work of others and for the case of 180° laser path turnarounds in our high-speed X-ray imaging experiments. In conclusion, the potential issues related to the current maturity status of the process and measuring equipment that could in practice affect the performance of the proposed solutions are also discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Simultaneous mitigation of density and energy errors in approximate DFT for transition metal chemistry (Final Technical Report)

There were three major goals and objectives of this project: 1) Develop tools to understand density-driven errors in transition metal complexes, 2) Evaluate and minimize energy delocalization error and static correlation error through judicious functional choice, and 3) applying this workflow to machine-learning accelerated screening of redox couples. Over the reporting period, we developed a framework for eliminating flat plane errors. We introduced fully non-empirical coefficients. We demonstrated the approach on both molecules and solids. We investigated and eliminated density driven errors and demonstrated their impact on potential energy surfaces. We trained machine learning models both in a method-dependent fashion and to predict errors in method accuracy. We built large data sets of small molecule energetics and multi-reference character.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE STTR Phase I Final Report Report: Machine-learning Based Prediction of Thermal Limits for Conjugated Organic Materials

The SCANN-DT Phase I STTR project led by NLM Photonics and partnering with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) sought to apply machine learning techniques based on graph neural networks (GNNs) towards the prediction of decomposition temperatures (Td) of organic semiconductors, based on prior work on bond dissociation energy (BDE) prediction as implemented in NREL’s ALFABET prediction tool. Using a curated set of experimental decomposition energies, the project examined GNN-based, classical quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) based on DFT calculations, and combinations of both methods to predict Td. While the best MAEs in Td achieved were near 40°C, below project targets, the project led to improvements in the ALFABET model, improvements in cloud-based implementations of NWChem software, and a substantial dataset of calculations on medium-sized conjugated organic molecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energy and mechanical properties predictions in Fe-Ni binary system by ab initio calculations

Here, the fcc random solid solutions in Fe-Ni binary system were investigated using ab initio calculations. Density functional theory (DFT) was applied along with supercells generated by the Special Quasi-Random Structure (SQS) method to predict the enthalpy of mixing and magnetic and elastic properties. The results were compared with relevant experimental and computational data produced by other groups. The effect of SQS supercell size and relaxation procedure on the predicted properties of the alloys were also studied. Our calculations show that 16-atoms SQS model provides adequate approach to the mixing energy of the alloy. However, calculation of mechanical properties requires larger supercell. Excellent agreement between experimental and calculated elastic properties was found in fcc region of Fe-Ni system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning

Building thermal load prediction informs the optimization of cooling plant and thermal energy storage. Physics-based prediction models of building thermal load are constrained by the model and input complexity. In this study, we developed 12 data-driven models (7 shallow learning, 2 deep learning, and 3 heuristic methods) to predict building thermal load and compared shallow machine learning and deep learning. The 12 prediction models were compared with the measured cooling demand. It was found XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boost) and LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) provided the most accurate load prediction in the shallow and deep learning category, and both outperformed the best baseline model, which uses the previous day's data for prediction. Then, we discussed how the prediction horizon and input uncertainty would influence the load prediction accuracy. Major conclusions are twofold: first, LSTM performs well in short-term prediction (1 h ahead) but not in long term prediction (24 h ahead), because the sequential information becomes less relevant and accordingly not so useful when the prediction horizon is long. Second, the presence of weather forecast uncertainty deteriorates XGBoost's accuracy and favors LSTM, because the sequential information makes the model more robust to input uncertainty. Training the model with the uncertain rather than accurate weather data could enhance the model's robustness. Finally, our findings have two implications for practice. First, LSTM is recommended for short-term load prediction given that weather forecast uncertainty is unavoidable. Second, XGBoost is recommended for long term prediction, and the model should be trained with the presence of input uncertainty.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Continuous-time probabilistic models for longitudinal electronic health records

Analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record (EHR) data is an important goal for precision medicine. Difficulty in applying Machine Learning (ML) methods, either predictive or unsupervised, stems in part from the heterogeneity and irregular sampling of EHR data. Here, we present an unsupervised probabilistic model that captures nonlinear relationships between variables over continuous-time. This method works with arbitrary sampling patterns and captures the joint probability distribution between variable measurements and the time intervals between them. Inference algorithms are derived that can be used to evaluate the likelihood of future using under a trained model. As an example, we consider data from the United States Veterans Health Administration (VHA) in the areas of diabetes and depression. Likelihood ratio maps are produced showing the likelihood of risk for moderate-severe vs minimal depression as measured by the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Methods and systems for diagnosis of failure mechanisms and for prediction of lifetime of metal batteries

Methods for diagnosing failure mechanisms and for predicting lifetime of metal batteries include monitoring rest voltage and Coulombic Efficiency over relatively few cycles to provide profiles that indicate, by the trends thereof, a particular failure mechanism (e.g., electrolyte depletion, loss of metal inventory, increased cell impedance). The methods also include cycling over relatively few cycles an anode-free cell, having the same cathode and electrolyte as the metal battery, but with a current collector instead of the anode. Discharge capacity is monitored and profiled, and a discharge capacity curve is fitted to the discharge capacity profile to discern a capacity retention per cycle. The lifetime of the metal battery is determined using the capacity retention per cycle discerned from the anode-free cell. Related systems include a metal-based battery and an anode-free cell or a battery cell reconfigurable between a metal-based and an anode-free cell.

Li, Bin↗

Pointing stabilization of a 1 Hz high-power laser via machine learning

Abstract High-power lasers are vital for particle acceleration, imaging, fusion and materials processing, requiring precise control and high-energy delivery. Laser plasma accelerators (LPAs) demand laser positional stability at focus to ensure consistent electron beams in applications such as X-ray free-electron lasers and high-energy colliders. Achieving this stability is especially challenging for the low-repetition-rate lasers in current LPAs. We present a machine learning method that predicts and corrects laser pointing instabilities in real-time using a high-frequency pilot beam. By preemptively adjusting a correction mirror, this approach overcomes traditional feedback limits. Demonstrated on the BELLA petawatt laser operating at the terawatt level (30 mJ amplification), our method achieved root mean square pointing stabilization of 0.34 and 0.59 $\unicode{x3bc} \mathrm{rad}$ in the x and y directions, reducing jitter by 65% and 47%, respectively. This is the first successful application of predictive control for shot-to-shot stabilization in low-repetition-rate laser systems, paving the way for full-energy petawatt lasers and transformative advances across science, industry and security.

Amodio, Alessio↗

Analytic Gradients for Equation-of-Motion Coupled Cluster with Single, Double, and Perturbative Triple Excitations

Understanding the process of molecular photoexcitation is crucial in various fields, including drug development, materials science, photovoltaics, and more. The electronic vertical excitation energy is a critical property, for example in determining the singlet-triplet gap of chromophores. However, a full understanding of excited-state processes requires additional explorations of the excited-state potential energy surface and electronic properties, which is greatly aided by the availability of analytic energy gradients. Owing to its robust high accuracy over a wide range of chemical problems, equation-of-motion coupled-cluster with single and double excitations (EOM-CCSD) is a powerful method for predicting excited state properties, and the implementation of analytic gradients of many EOM-CCSD (excitation energies, ionization potentials, electron attachment energies, etc.) along with numerous successful applications high- lights the flexibility of the method. In specific cases where a higher level of accuracy is needed or in more complex electronic structures, the inclusion of triple excitations becomes essential, for example, in the EOM-CCSD* approach of Saeh and Stanton. In this work, we derive and implement for the first time the analytic gradients of EOMEE-CCSD*, which also provides a template for analytic gradients of related ex- cited state methods with perturbative triple excitations. Here, the capabilities of analytic EOMEE-CCSD* gradients are illustrated by several representative examples.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Metastable Materials Discovery in the Age of Large-Scale Computation

Computational materials discovery has been successful in predicting novel, technologically relevant materials. However, it has remained focused almost exclusively on finding ground-state structures. Now that the lower-hanging fruit has been found in many fields of application, materials exploration is moving toward metastable materials: higher energy phases that are stable at practical time scales. Because of the challenges associated with predicting which phases are realistic, this class of materials has remained relatively unexplored, despite numerous examples of metastable structures with unmatched properties (e.g., diamond). This article highlights recent advances in developing computational and theoretical methods for predicting useful and realizable metastable materials. Topics discussed cover (1) the latest strategies for identifying potential metastable phases, (2) methodologies for assessing which phases can be realized experimentally, and (3) current approaches to estimate the lifetime of metastable materials.

amorphous materials↗