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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 289 records · Page 16
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Data-driven Mori–Zwanzig modeling of Lagrangian particle dynamics in turbulent flows

The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly nontrivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models that can reproduce these trajectories without incurring the high computational cost of direct numerical simulations of the full Eulerian field. This task is particularly challenging because reduced-order models typically lack access to the full set of interactions with the underlying turbulent field. Novel data-driven machine learning techniques can be powerful in capturing and reproducing complex statistics of the reduced-order/surrogate dynamics. In this work, we show how one can learn a surrogate dynamical system that is able to evolve a turbulent Lagrangian trajectory in a way that is point-wise accurate for short-time predictions (with respect to Kolmogorov time) and stable and statistically accurate at long times. This approach is based on the Mori–Zwanzig formalism, which prescribes a mathematical decomposition of the full dynamical system into resolved dynamics that depend on the current state and the past history of a reduced set of observables, and the unresolved orthogonal dynamics due to unresolved degrees of freedom of the initial state. We show how by training this reduced order model on a point-wise error metric on short time-prediction, we are able to correctly learn the dynamics of Lagrangian turbulence, such that also the long-time statistical behavior is stably recovered at test time. This opens up a range of applications, for example, for the control of active Lagrangian agents in turbulence.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Scalable computations for nonstationary Gaussian processes

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with conventional dense linear algebra. In addition, derivative-free or even first-order optimization methods can be very slow to converge when estimating many spatially varying parameters. In this paper, we present a computational framework which couples an algebraic block diagonal plus low-rank covariance matrix approximation with stochastic trace estimation to facilitate the efficient use of second-order solvers for maximum likelihood estimation of Gaussian process models with many parameters. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these methods by simultaneously fitting 192 parameters in the popular nonstationary model of Paciorek and Schervish using 107,600 sea surface temperature anomaly measurements.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Adiabatic quantum linear regression

Abstract A major challenge in machine learning is the computational expense of training these models. Model training can be viewed as a form of optimization used to fit a machine learning model to a set of data, which can take up significant amount of time on classical computers. Adiabatic quantum computers have been shown to excel at solving optimization problems, and therefore, we believe, present a promising alternative to improve machine learning training times. In this paper, we present an adiabatic quantum computing approach for training a linear regression model. In order to do this, we formulate the regression problem as a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problem. We analyze our quantum approach theoretically, test it on the D-Wave adiabatic quantum computer and compare its performance to a classical approach that uses the Scikit-learn library in Python. Our analysis shows that the quantum approach attains up to $${2.8 \times }$$ 2.8 × speedup over the classical approach on larger datasets, and performs at par with the classical approach on the regression error metric. The quantum approach used the D-Wave 2000Q adiabatic quantum computer, whereas the classical approach used a desktop workstation with an 8-core Intel i9 processor. As such, the results obtained in this work must be interpreted within the context of the specific hardware and software implementations of these machines.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Feasibility of a multigroup Boltzmann–Fokker–Planck solution for electron beam dose calculations

Legacy nuclear-reactor Boltzmann solvers start clinical deployment as an alternative to Monte Carlo (MC) codes and Fermi–Eyges semiemprical models in radiation oncology treatment planning. Today’s certified clinical solvers are limited to photon beams. In this paper, ELECTR, a state-of-the-art multigroup electron cross sections generation module in NJOY is presented and validated against Lockwood’s calorimetric measurements, EGS-nrc and GEANT-4 for 1–20 MeV unidirectional electron beams. The nuclear-reactor DRAGON-5 solver is upgraded to access the library and solve the Boltzmann–Fokker–Planck (BFP) equation. A variety of heterogeneous radiotherapy and radiosurgery phantom configurations were used for validation purpose. Case studies include a thorax benchmark, that of a typical breast Intra-Operative Radiotherapy and a high-heterogeneity patient-like benchmark. For all beams, 100% of the water voxels satisfied the American Association of Physicists in Medicine accuracy criterion for a BFP-MC dose error below 2%. At least, 97.0% of adipose, muscle, bone, lung, tumor and breast voxels satisfied the 2% criterion. The average BFP-MC relative error was about 0.56% for all voxels, beams and materials combined. By irradiating homogeneous slabs from Z = 1 (hydrogen) to Z = 99 (einsteinium), we reported performance and defects of the CEPXS mode [US. Sandia National Lab., SAND-89-1685] in ELECTR for the entire periodic table. For all Lockwood’s benchmarks, NJOY-DRAGON dose predictions are within the experimental data precision for 98% of voxels.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Physics-informed machine learning of the correlation functions in bulk fluids

The Ornstein–Zernike (OZ) equation is the fundamental equation for pair correlation function computations in the modern integral equation theory for liquids. In this work, machine learning models, notably physics-informed neural networks and physics-informed neural operator networks, are explored to solve the OZ equation. The physics-informed machine learning models demonstrate great accuracy and high efficiency in solving the forward and inverse OZ problems of various bulk fluids. The results highlight the significant potential of physics-informed machine learning for applications in thermodynamic state theory.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

nautilus : boosting Bayesian importance nested sampling with deep learning

ABSTRACT We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested sampling (NS) or Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, importance sampling techniques can use all likelihood evaluations for posterior and evidence estimation. However, for efficient importance sampling, one needs proposal distributions that closely mimic the posterior distributions. We show how to combine INS with deep learning via neural network regression to accomplish this task. We also introduce nautilus, a reference open-source python implementation of this technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation. We compare nautilus against popular NS and MCMC packages, including emcee, dynesty, ultranest, and pocomc, on a variety of challenging synthetic problems and real-world applications in exoplanet detection, galaxy SED fitting and cosmology. In all applications, the sampling efficiency of nautilus is substantially higher than that of all other samplers, often by more than an order of magnitude. Simultaneously, nautilus delivers highly accurate results and needs fewer likelihood evaluations than all other samplers tested. We also show that nautilus has good scaling with the dimensionality of the likelihood and is easily parallelizable to many CPUs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Information Scrambling and Loschmidt Echo

We demonstrate analytically and verify numerically that the out-of-time order correlator is given by the thermal average of Loschmidt echo signals. This provides a direct link between the out-of-time-order correlator—a recently suggested measure of information scrambling in quantum chaotic systems—and the Loschmidt echo, a well-appreciated familiar diagnostic that captures the dynamical aspect of chaotic behavior in the time domain, and is accessible to experimental studies.

0-dimensional systems↗
DOE OSTI2024

An acoustic investigation of the near-surface turbulence on Mars

The Perseverance rover is carrying out an original acoustic experiment on Mars: the SuperCam microphone records the spherical acoustic waves generated by laser sparks at distances from 2 m to more than 8 m. These N-shaped acoustic waves scatter from the multiple local heterogeneities of the turbulent atmosphere. Therefore, large and random fluctuations of sound travel time and intensity develop as the waves cross the medium. The variances of the travel times and the scintillation index (normalized variance of the sound intensity) are studied within the mathematical formalism of the propagation of spherical acoustic waves through thermal turbulence to infer statistical properties of the Mars atmospheric temperature fluctuation field. The comparison with the theory is made by simplifying assumptions that do not include wind fluctuations and diffraction effects. Two Earth years (about one Martian year) of observations acquired during the maximum convective period (10:00–14:00 Mars local time) show a good agreement between the dataset and the formalism: the travel time variance diverges from the linear Chernov solution exactly where the density of occurrence of the first caustic reaches its maximum. Moreover, on average, waves travel faster than the mean speed of sound due to a fast path effect, which is also observed on Earth. To account for the distribution of turbulent eddies, several power spectra are tested and the best match to observation is obtained with a generalized von Karman spectrum with a shallower slope than the Kolmogorov cascade, φ(k)∝(1 + k 2 L 2 ) -4/3 . It is associated with an outer scale of turbulence, L, of 11 cm at 2 m above the surface and a standard deviation of 6 K over 9 s for the temperature. These near-surface atmospheric properties are consistent with a weak to moderate wave scattering regime around noon with little saturation. Overall, this study presents an innovative and promising methodology to probe the near-surface atmospheric turbulence on Mars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS1972

Goddard trajectory determination subsystem: Mathematical specifications

The mathematical specifications of the Goddard trajectory determination subsystem of the flight dynamics system are presented. These specifications include the mathematical description of the coordinate systems, dynamic and measurement model, numerical integration techniques, and statistical estimation concepts.

Wagner, W. E.↗
NASA NTRS1977

A statistical formulation of one-dimensional electron fluid turbulence

A one-dimensional electron fluid model is investigated using the mathematical methods of modern fluid turbulence theory. Non-dissipative equilibrium canonical distributions are determined in a phase space whose co-ordinates are the real and imaginary parts of the Fourier coefficients for the field variables. Spectral densities are calculated, yielding a wavenumber electric field energy spectrum proportional to k to the negative second power for large wavenumbers. The equations of motion are numerically integrated and the resulting spectra are found to compare well with the theoretical predictions.

Fyfe, D.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Statistical formulation of one-dimensional electron fluid turbulence

A one-dimensional electron fluid model is investigated using the mathematical methods of modern fluid turbulence theory. Nondissipative equilibrium canonical distributions are determined in a phase space whose coordinates are the real and imaginary parts of the Fourier coefficients for the field variables. Spectral densities are calculated, yielding a wavenumber electric field energy spectrum proportional to 1/k squared for large wavenumbers. The equations of motion are numerically integrated and the resulting spectra are found to compare well with the theoretical predictions.

Fyfe, D.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Estimating maximum instantaneous distortion from inlet total pressure rms measurements

In the present paper, a new mathematical model of inlet turbulence is developed by application of basic fluid dynamics and statistical concepts. The model provides an understanding of the turbulent inlet flow as well as a means of describing the flow in quantitative terms. Specifically, the maximum instantaneous distortion produced by inlet unsteady flow can be estimated by the simple measurement of rms data. Practical application of these techniques leads to a data/acquisition/reduction system that is at least one, and maybe two, orders of magnitude less expensive than conventional methods. Each data point can be reduced in terms of the mean strength of the turbulent vortices. By storing these two parameters (that are representative of the unsteady flow with the steady state information), the maximal instantaneous distortion can be reconstructed for other distortion factors at any time subsequent to the test.

Melick, H. C., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Evaluation of alpha-SiC sintering using statistical methods

The effect of time and temperature on the density and strength of alpha-SiC was studied and mathematically modeled using a central composite experimental design. A sintering temperature of 2150 C for 1.7 h maximized the flexural strength and densification values. However, temperatures above 2200 C promoted abnormal grain growth, with resulting appreciable decreases in strength. Flexural strength increased exponentially with increasing density for specimens with densities less than or equal to 92 percent of theoretical.

Hurst, J. B.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Topological Machine Learning Methods for Power System Responses to Contingencies: Preprint

While deep learning tools, coupled with the emerging machinery of topological data analysis, are proven to deliver various performance gains in a broad range of applications, from image classification to biosurveillance to blockchain fraud detection, their utility in areas of high societal importance such as power system modeling and, particularly, resilience quantification in the energy sector yet remain untapped. To provide fast acting synthetic regulation and contingency reserve services to the grid while having minimal disruptions on customer quality of service, we propose a new topologybased system that depends on neural network architecture for impact metrics classification and prediction in power systems. This novel topology-based system allows one to evaluate the impact of three power system contingency types, namely, in conjunction with transmission lines, transformers, and transmission lines combined with transformers. We show that the proposed new neural network architecture equipped with local topological measures facilitates both more accurate classification of unserved load as well as the amount of unserved load. In addition, we are able to learn complex relationships between electrical properties and local topological measurements on the simulated response to contingencies for NREL-SIIP power system.

graph theory↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the statistical theory of self-gravitating collisionless dark matter flow: High order kinematic and dynamic relations

Dark matter, if it exists, accounts for five times as much as ordinary baryonic matter. To better understand the self-gravitating collisionless dark matter flow on different scales, a statistical theory involving kinematic and dynamic relations must be developed for different types of flow, e.g., incompressible, constant divergence, and irrotational flow. This is mathematically challenging because of the intrinsic complexity of dark matter flow and the lack of a self-closed description of flow velocity. Here, this paper extends our previous work on second-order statistics Xu to kinematic relations of any order for any type of flow. Dynamic relations were also developed to relate statistical measures of different orders. The results were validated by N-body simulations. On large scales, we found that (i) third-order velocity correlations can be related to density correlation or pairwise velocity; (ii) the pth-order velocity correlations follow ∝ a (p+2)/2 for odd p and ∝ a p/2 for even p, where a is the scale factor; (iii) the overdensity δ is proportional to density correlation on the same scale, $\langle$δ$\rangle$∝$\langle$δδ'$\rangle$; (iv) velocity dispersion on a given scale r is proportional to the overdensity on the same scale. On small scales, (i) a self-closed velocity evolution is developed by decomposing the velocity into motion in haloes and motion of haloes; (ii) the evolution of vorticity and enstrophy are derived from the evolution of velocity; (iii) dynamic relations are derived to relate second- and third-order correlations; (iv) while the first moment of pairwise velocity follows $\langle$Δu L $\rangle$=-Har (H is the Hubble parameter), the third moment follows $\langle$(Δu L ) 3 $\rangle$ ∝ ε u ar that can be directly compared with simulations and observations, where ε u ≈ 10 -7 m 2 /s 3 is the constant rate for energy cascade; (v) the pth order velocity correlations follow ∝ a (3p-5)/4 for odd p and ∝ a 3p/4 for even p. Finally, the combined kinematic and dynamic relations lead to exponential and one-fourth power-law velocity correlations on large and small scales, respectively.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Novel Analytical Population Tumor Control Probability Model Includes Cell Density and Volume Variations: Application to Canine Brain Tumor

Tumor control probability (TCP) models based on Poisson statistics characterize the distribution of surviving clonogens. Thus enabling the calculation of TCP for individuals. To mathematically describe clinically observed survival data of patient cohorts it is necessary to extend the Poisson TCP model. This is typically done by either incorporating variations of model parameters or by using an empirical logistic model. The purpose of this work is the development of an analytical population TCP model by mechanistic extension of the Possion model.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
NASA NTRS1999

Uncertainty Analysis of Instrument Calibration and Application

Experimental aerodynamic researchers require estimated precision and bias uncertainties of measured physical quantities, typically at 95 percent confidence levels. Uncertainties of final computed aerodynamic parameters are obtained by propagation of individual measurement uncertainties through the defining functional expressions. In this paper, rigorous mathematical techniques are extended to determine precision and bias uncertainties of any instrument-sensor system. Through this analysis, instrument uncertainties determined through calibration are now expressed as functions of the corresponding measurement for linear and nonlinear univariate and multivariate processes. Treatment of correlated measurement precision error is developed. During laboratory calibration, calibration standard uncertainties are assumed to be an order of magnitude less than those of the instrument being calibrated. Often calibration standards do not satisfy this assumption. This paper applies rigorous statistical methods for inclusion of calibration standard uncertainty and covariance due to the order of their application. The effects of mathematical modeling error on calibration bias uncertainty are quantified. The effects of experimental design on uncertainty are analyzed. The importance of replication is emphasized, techniques for estimation of both bias and precision uncertainties using replication are developed. Statistical tests for stationarity of calibration parameters over time are obtained.

Tripp, John S.↗