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At least 289 records · Page 16

Predicting Critical Transitions in Multiscale Data

Predicting the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems remains a challenging problem both in dynamical systems theory as well as real world science and engineering applications. Data-driven methods utilizing the latest advances in machine learning (ML) provide a promising new paradigm for this task. Our work centered on Reservoir Computing (RC), which has shown itself to be capable of skillfully predicting chaotic dynamics in multiscale systems. In the first part of the work, the focus is on how to improve predictions of critical transitions in a class of slow-fast metastable systems in which the equations are known. An additional goal was to determine whether a relationship exists between RC and Koopman operator theory, to improve the efficiency and broaden the applicability of the approach. In the second part of this work, a variation on the RC model known as Reconstructive Reservoir Computing (RRC) is applied to real-world data to identify anomalies.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

On the Investigation of Phase Fault Classification in Power Grid Signals: A Case Study for Support Vector Machines, Decision Tree and Random Forest

In monitoring the power grid, an ability to differentiate between fault types is essential to ensuring electrical safety. Accordingly, this study introduces a fault detection and classification method by considering different machine learning (ML) and feature extraction (FE) methods combinations. Specifically, the proposed method is established in two classification layers; the first layer determines the fault, and the second layer distinguishes the type of fault. Based on the proposed system model, this study seeks to determine the influential data attributes in a power grid signal using FE methods, including fast Fourier transform, power spectral density (PSD), auto-correlation, and wavelet transform (WT). A cross-comparison of the effectiveness of the Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), and Random Forest (RF) is also performed to accomplish the classification layers of the proposed method. The designed algorithm is analyzed under the various combinations of FE and ML methods, and outcomes are presented by considering the trade-off between computational complexity and prediction accuracy. The results reveal that the RF-based ML algorithm shows the most accurate classification performance with PSD, and the most time-saving of the models is the DT WT. Also, SVM emerges superior on a subsequent test of the simulated models on real-world signals.

Galbraith, Kelli↗

Predicting Partial Atomic Charges in Metal–Organic Frameworks: An Extension to Ionic MOFs

Molecular simulation is an invaluable tool to predict and understand the usage of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) for gas storage and separation applications. Accurate partial atomic charges, commonly obtained from density functional theory (DFT) calculations, are often required to model the electrostatic interactions between the MOF and adsorbates, especially when the adsorbates have dipole or quadrupole moments, such as water and CO 2 . Machine learning (ML) models have been previously employed to predict partial charges and avoid the computational cost associated with DFT calculations. However, previous ML models suffer from small training data sets, which limit their scope of application. In this work, we introduce two novel machine learning models, PACMOF2-neutral and PACMOF2-ionic, aimed at predicting the density-derived electrostatic and chemical (DDEC6) partial atomic charges for both neutral and ionic MOFs. These models not only yield DFT-level accuracy at a fraction of the computational cost but also demonstrate a remarkable improvement in prediction of adsorption, as validated with grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations. Furthermore, the robustness and fast computational time of the PACMOF2 models, along with their transferability to other porous materials such as covalent organic frameworks and zeolites, underscores their potential in high-throughput screening of MOFs for diverse applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Invariant surface elastic properties in FCC metals and their correlation to bulk properties revealed by machine learning methods

In this work, we present a combination of machine-learned models that predicts the surface elastic properties of general free surfaces in face-centered cubic (FCC) metals. These models are built by combining a semi-analytical method based on atomistic simulations to calculate surface properties with the artificial neural network (ANN) method or the boosted regression tree (BRT) method. The latter is also used to link bulk properties and surface orientation to surface properties. The surface elastic properties are represented by their invariants considering plane elasticity within a polar method. The resulting models are shown to accurately predict the surface elastic properties of seven pure FCC metals (Cu, Ni, Ag, Au, Al, Pd, Pt). The BRT model reveals the correlations between bulk and corresponding surface properties in terms of invariants, which can be used to guide the design of complex nano-sized particles, wires and films. Finally, by expressing the surface excess energy density as a function of surface elastic invariants, fast predictions of surface energy as a function of in-plane deformations can be made from these model constructs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High throughput exploration of the oxidation landscape in high entropy alloys

We report high entropy alloys (HEAs) have gained interest for structural applications in extreme environments. With a potentially vast chemical and phase space, there are significant opportunities to discover superior performing alloys. Crucial for most high-temperature applications is understanding and mitigating the oxidation behavior of these chemically complex alloys. Most experimental and computational HEA studies have focused on a limited set of compositions and only a fraction these compositions have been characterized for oxidation. We present a high-throughput framework that utilizes density-functional theory (DFT) in concert with a combined machine-learning model and grand-canonical linear programming for assessing phase stability, phase-fraction, chemical activity and high-temperature survivability of arbitrary HEAs. This framework considers temperature dependent contributions to the Gibbs energy of the competing phases arising from short-range order and vibrational entropy. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the framework by assessing the thermodynamic stability, oxidation behavior, chemical activity, and phase decomposition of body-centered cubic Mo-W-Ta-Ti-Zr refractory HEAs. A total of 51 compositions were analyzed and ranked in order of their survivability based on the Pareto-front analysis. Oxidation was performed at 1373 K on fours samples in air showing the difference in oxidation behavior determined experimentally through scale thickness and their mass changes. The insights on oxidation behavior presented in this work will enable the fast assessment of technologically useful HEAs needed for future structural application in extreme conditions

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coolant Pump Predictive Data Analytics from Signatures Generated by the Recursive Short Time Fast Fourier Transform

Although a nuclear reactor is a hostile environment for sensors and signal transmissions, the reactor core is amenable to acoustic communication. An acoustic measurement infrastructure installed at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) nozzle trench area records acoustic signals that can capture reactor operating states. The distinct states produce unique signatures that can be identified and tracked using data processing and data analytics. The infrastructure relies on acoustic transmission through ATR in-pile structural components, piping, and coolant that transmit acoustically modified signals generated by the coolant pumps. This paper will discuss results from using the Recursive Short Time Fast Fourier Transform (RSTFFT) technique used to process acoustic signals and provide signatures that are identified and monitored by analytics. The RSTFFT is applied to ATR data to understand the vibration levels and signatures for different operating regimes as displayed by the spectrogram. The combination of coolant pumps for normal and high-power operation generate unique signatures. These acoustic signatures are used to develop machine learning approaches to automatically classify operating regimes. Two machine-learning models, Support Vector Machines and Linear Discriminant Analysis, were developed to classify two event classes. Class 1 is a normal steady-state operation, and Class 2 is any event that is due to start up, shut down, or other actions. Both types of machine learning models had over a 96% prediction accuracy for the two classes. These results lay the foundation for predictive analytic frameworks that can be leveraged by ATR to optimize operations and maintenance.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Machine learning-informed and synthetic biology-enabled semi-continuous algal cultivation to unleash renewable fuel productivity

Abstract Algal biofuel is regarded as one of the ultimate solutions for renewable energy, but its commercialization is hindered by growth limitations caused by mutual shading and high harvest costs. We overcome these challenges by advancing machine learning to inform the design of a semi-continuous algal cultivation (SAC) to sustain optimal cell growth and minimize mutual shading. An aggregation-based sedimentation (ABS) strategy is then designed to achieve low-cost biomass harvesting and economical SAC. The ABS is achieved by engineering a fast-growing strain, Synechococcus elongatus UTEX 2973, to produce limonene, which increases cyanobacterial cell surface hydrophobicity and enables efficient cell aggregation and sedimentation. SAC unleashes cyanobacterial growth potential with 0.1 g/L/hour biomass productivity and 0.2 mg/L/hour limonene productivity over a sustained period in photobioreactors. Scaling-up the SAC with an outdoor pond system achieves a biomass yield of 43.3 g/m 2 /day, bringing the minimum biomass selling price down to approximately $281 per ton.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Virtual node graph neural network for full phonon prediction

Understanding the structure-property relationship is crucial for designing materials with desired properties. The past few years have witnessed remarkable progress in machine-learning methods for this connection. However, substantial challenges remain, including the generalizability of models and prediction of properties with materials-dependent output dimensions. Here we present the virtual node graph neural network to address the challenges. By developing three virtual node approaches, we achieve Γ-phonon spectra and full phonon dispersion prediction from atomic coordinates. We show that, compared with the machine-learning interatomic potentials, our approach achieves orders-of-magnitude-higher efficiency with comparable to better accuracy. This allows us to generate databases for Γ-phonon containing over 146,000 materials and phonon band structures of zeolites. Additionally, our work provides an avenue for rapid and high-quality prediction of phonon band structures enabling materials design with desired phonon properties. The virtual node method also provides a generic method for machine-learning design with a high level of flexibility. In this study, the authors present a virtual node graph neural network to enable the prediction of material properties with variable output dimensions. This method offers fast and accurate predictions of phonon band structures in complex solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Recent Advances in Small Angle X-ray Scattering for Superlattice Study

Small-angle x-ray scattering is used for the structure determination of superlattice for its superior resolution, nondestructive nature, and high penetration power of x rays. With the advent of high brilliance x-ray sources and innovative computing algorithms, there have been notable advances in small angle x-ray scattering analysis of superlattices. High brilliance x-ray beams have made data analyses less model-dependent. Additionally, novel data acquisition systems are faster and more competitive than ever before, enabling a more accurate mapping of the superlattices' reciprocal space. Fast and high-throughput computing systems and algorithms also make possible advanced analysis methods, including iterative phasing algorithms, non-parameterized fitting of scattering data with molecular dynamics simulations, and the use of machine learning algorithms. As a result, solving nanoscale structures with high resolutions has become an attainable task. In this review, we highlight new developments in the field and introduce their applications for the analysis of nanoscale ordered structures, including nanoparticle supercrystals, nanoscale lithography patterns, and supramolecular self-assemblies. Particularly, we highlight the reciprocal space mapping techniques and the use of iterative phase retrieval algorithms. We also cover coherent-beam-based small angle x-ray scattering techniques such as ptychography and ptycho-tomography in view of the traditional small angle x-ray scattering perspective.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Real-time neutron multiplicity and source localization for criticality safety during fuel debris removal

Advancing neutron detection and analysis techniques for complex radiation environments is an ongoing focus in nuclear instrumentation and monitoring. This proposal presents research and development of a generalized real-time neutron monitoring and analysis system, applicable to any detector capable of producing time-tagged neutron count data. While the work is demonstrated using the Neutron Multiplication Analysis Detector (NoMAD), a modular 15-tube helium-3 (He-3) array, due to its availability, spatial resolution, and flexible deployment, the methods developed are extensible to other systems, including organic scintillators and fast digital detectors. This research investigates two complementary analytical techniques for real-time characterization of neutron emitting sources: neutron multiplicity estimation based on the Hage-Cifarelli formalism and spatial localization using supervised machine learning applied to spatial count rate patterns. These methods are designed to operate under dynamic, evolving conditions such as fuel debris retrieval or reactor startup, where neutron-emitting material geometries may be partially unknown or changing over time. By integrating statistical neutron emission data with spatial localization, this research aims to develop and evaluate methods for real time neutron monitoring, source characterization, and material verification. Key contributions include implementation of a low-latency data pipeline for continuous neutron multiplicity analysis, development and validation of machine learning models for spatial inference, and experimental evaluation of system performance under variable measurement conditions. The outcomes are intended to support applications in nuclear safeguards, verification, emergency response, and reactor startup.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Digital Twin Framework Utilizing Machine Learning for Robust Predictive Maintenance: Enhancing Tire Health Monitoring

We introduce a novel digital twin (DT) framework for the predictive maintenance of long-term physical systems. Using monitoring tire health as an application, we show how the DT framework can be used to enhance automotive safety and efficiency, and how the technical challenges can be overcome using a three-step approach. First, to manage the data complexity over a long operation span, we employ data reduction techniques to concisely represent physical tires using historical performance and usage data. Relying on these data, for fast real-time prediction, we train a transformer-based model offline on our concise dataset to predict future tire health over time, represented as remaining casing potential (RCP). Based on our architecture, our model quantifies both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties, providing reliable confidence intervals around predicted RCP. Second, to incorporate real-time data, we update the predictive model in the DT framework, ensuring its accuracy throughout its lifespan with the aid of hybrid modeling and the use of the discrepancy function. Third, to assist decision-making in predictive maintenance, we implement a tire state decision algorithm, which strategically determines the optimal timing for tire replacement based on RCP forecasted by our transformer model. This approach ensures that our DT accurately predicts system health, continually refines its digital representation, and supports predictive maintenance decisions. Furthermore, our framework effectively embodies a physical system, leveraging big data and machine learning (ML) for predictive maintenance, model updates, and decision-making.

advanced computing infrastructure↗

On Alfvénic turbulence of solar wind streams observed by Solar Orbiter during March 2022 perihelion and their source regions

It has been recently accepted that the standard classification of the solar wind solely according to flow speed is outdated, and particular interest has been devoted to the study of the origin and evolution of so-called Alfvénic slow solar wind streams and to what extent such streams resemble or differ from fast wind. In March 2022, Solar Orbiter completed its first nominal phase perihelion passage. During this interval, it observed several Alfvénic streams, allowing for characterization of fluctuations in three slow wind intervals (AS1-AS3) and comparison with a fast wind stream (F) at almost the same heliocentric distance. This work makes use of Solar Orbiter plasma parameters from the Solar Wind Analyzer (SWA) and magnetic field measurements from the magnetometer (MAG). The magnetic connectivity to the solar sources of selected solar wind intervals was reconstructed using a ballistic extrapolation based on measured solar wind speed down to the (spherical) source surface at 2.5 R s below which a potential field extrapolation was used to map back to the Sun. The source regions were identified using SDO/AIA observations. A spectral analysis of in situ measured magnetic field and velocity fluctuations was performed to characterize correlations, Alfvénicity, normalized cross-helicity, and residual energy in the frequency domain as well as intermittency of the fluctuations and spectral energy transfer rate estimated via mixed third-order moments. A machine learning technique was used to separate proton core, proton beam, and alpha particles and to study v − b correlations for the different ion populations in order to evaluate the role played by each population in determining the Alfvénic content of solar wind fluctuations. The comparison between fast wind and Alfvénic slow wind intervals highlights the differences between the two solar wind regimes: The fast wind is characterized by larger amplitude fluctuations, and magnetic and velocity fluctuations are closer to equipartition of energy. In fact the Alfvénic slow wind streams appear to be on a spectrum of wind types, with AS1, originating from open field lines neighboring active regions and displaying similarities with the fast wind in terms of fluctuation amplitude and turbulence characteristics, but not with respect to the alpha particles and proton beams. The other two slow streams differed both in their sources as well as plasma characteristics, with AS2 coming from the expansion of a narrow coronal hole corridor and AS3 from a region straddling a pseudostreamer. The latter displayed the coldest and highest density but the slowest stream with the smallest fluctuation amplitude and greatest magnetic energy excess. It also showed the largest scatter in proton beam speeds and the greatest difference in speed between proton beam and alpha particles. This study shows how the old fast–slow solar wind dichotomy, already called into question by the observations of slower Alfvénic solar wind streams, should further be refined, as the Alfvénic slow wind, originating in different solar wind regions, show significant differences in density, temperature, and proton and alpha-particle properties in the inner heliosphere. The observations presented here provide the starting point for a better understanding of the origin and evolution of different solar wind streams as well as the evolving turbulence contained within.

magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)↗

VDiSC: An Open Source Framework for Distributed Smart City Vision and Biometric Surveillance Networks

Recent global growth in the interest of smart cities has led to trillions of dollars of investment toward research and development. These connected cities have the potential to create a symbiosis of technology and society and revolutionize the cost of living, safety, ecological sustainability, and quality of life of societies on a world-wide scale. Some key components of the smart city construct are connected smart grids, self-driving cars, federated learning systems, smart utilities, large-scale public transit, and proactive surveillance systems. While exciting in prospect, these technologies and their subsequent integration cannot be attempted without addressing the potential societal impacts of such a high degree of automation and data sharing. Additionally, the feasibility of coordinating so many disparate tasks will require a fast, extensible, unifying framework. To that end, we propose the Distributed Smart City framework for Vision, or VDiSC. VDiSC serves as a unified biometric API harness that allows for seamless evaluation, deployment, and simple pipeline creation for heterogeneous biometric software. VDiSC additionally provides a fully declarative capability for defining and coordinating custom machine learning and sensor pipelines, allowing the distribution of processes across otherwise incompatible hardware and networks. VDiSC ultimately provides a way to quickly configure, hot-swap, and expand large coordinated or federated systems online without interruptions for maintenance. Because much of the data collected in a smart city contains Personally Identifying Information (PII), VDiSC also provides built-in tools and layers to ensure secure and encrypted streaming, storage, and access of PII data across distributed systems.

Brogan, Joel↗

Adaptively driven X-ray diffraction guided by machine learning for autonomous phase identification

Machine learning (ML) has become a valuable tool to assist and improve materials characterization, enabling automated interpretation of experimental results with techniques such as X-ray diffraction (XRD) and electron microscopy. Because ML models are fast once trained, there is a key opportunity to bring interpretation in-line with experiments and make on-the-fly decisions to achieve optimal measurement effectiveness, which creates broad opportunities for rapid learning and information extraction from experiments. Here, we demonstrate such a capability with the development of autonomous and adaptive XRD. By coupling an ML algorithm with a physical diffractometer, this method integrates diffraction and analysis such that early experimental information is leveraged to steer measurements toward features that improve the confidence of a model trained to identify crystalline phases. We validate the effectiveness of an adaptive approach by showing that ML-driven XRD can accurately detect trace amounts of materials in multi-phase mixtures with short measurement times. The improved speed of phase detection also enables in situ identification of short-lived intermediate phases formed during solid-state reactions using a standard in-house diffractometer. Our findings showcase the advantages of in-line ML for materials characterization and point to the possibility of more general approaches for adaptive experimentation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Weakly Supervised Machine Learning Procedure for Magnet Quench Diagnostics

Voltage taps remain the standard and reliable diagnostic tool for detecting quenches in superconducting magnets. However, they identify a quench only at the time of voltage rise and do not provide information on earlier physical precursors. In this work, we investigate whether acoustic emission data can reveal precursor activity that occurs before conventional voltage detection using machine learning techniques. We introduce an event selection method and a weakly supervised machine learning procedure to learn data-driven criteria for identifying potential acoustic precursors to quenches. Two Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures are trained: one on acoustic sensor events from our selection procedure and one on the Fast Fourier Transforms (FFTs) of these events. Both networks are trained iteratively using confidence-weighted loss functions to associate certain subsets of training data with a precursor label. We evaluate the performance of these models by examining the time distribution of events classified as potential precursors relative to the quench onset. Results indicate that the proposed approach can possibly distinguish acoustic emission events occurring closer to the quench from earlier acoustic activity during ramping, suggesting the potential for flagging quench precursors in acoustic data.

Khan, Maira [Fermilab] (ORCID:0009000891602387)↗

Real-time capable modeling of ICRF heating on NSTX and WEST via machine learning approaches

Abstract A real-time capable core Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequencies (ICRF) heating model on NSTX and WEST is developed. The model is based on two nonlinear regression algorithms, the random forest ensemble of decision trees and the multilayer perceptron neural network. The algorithms are trained on TORIC ICRF spectrum solver simulations of the expected flat-top operation scenarios in NSTX and WEST assuming Maxwellian plasmas. The surrogate models are shown to successfully capture the multi-species core ICRF power absorption predicted by the original model for the high harmonic fast wave and the ion cyclotron minority heating schemes while reducing the computational time by six orders of magnitude. Although these models can be expanded, the achieved regression scoring, computational efficiency and increased model robustness suggest these strategies can be implemented into integrated modeling frameworks for real-time control applications.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Machine Learning Approach to Modeling of Neutral Particles Transport in Plasma

A propagator‐based approach is investigated for Monte‐Carlo (MC) modeling of neutral particle transport in fusion boundary plasmas. The propagator is based on a Green's function for the neutral kinetic equation, which depends on the plasma profiles. A neural network (NN)‐based model for the propagator provides a fast and accurate solution for the neutral distribution function in plasma. Preliminary results from a small 1D test problem look encouraging. The proposed approach, a propagator‐based NN model for neutral transport in plasma, has potential for generalization to higher dimensions and efficient coupling with plasma models.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Asymptotic-state prediction for fast flavor transformation in neutron star mergers

Neutrino flavor instabilities appear to be omnipresent in dense astrophysical environments, thus presenting a challenge to large-scale simulations of core-collapse supernovae and neutron star mergers (NSMs). Subgrid models offer a path forward, but require an accurate determination of the local outcome of such conversion phenomena. Focusing on “fast” instabilities, related to the existence of a crossing between neutrino and antineutrino angular distributions, we consider a range of analytical mixing schemes, including a new, fully three-dimensional one, and also introduce a new machine learning (ML) model. We compare the accuracy of these models with the results of several thousands of local dynamical calculations of neutrino evolution from the conditions extracted from classical NSM simulations. Our ML model shows good overall performance, but struggles to generalize to conditions from a NSM simulation not used for training. The multidimensional analytic model performs and generalizes even better, while other analytic models (which assume axisymmetric neutrino distributions) do not have reliably high performances, as they notably fail as expected to account for effects resulting from strong anisotropies. As a result, the ML and analytic subgrid models extensively tested here are both promising, with different computational requirements and sources of systematic errors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗