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Complex Couplings and Simple Springs: Analysis of Model-Form Error for Highly Nonlinear Oscillatory Systems
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Nonlinear Forces and Omitted Masses: Mass-Spring-Damper Models and Their Model-Form Errors
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Addressing Model Form Error through STAGED DDCMs
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Scientific Machine Learning in Enhancing Model Predictability Through Model Form Error Quantification.
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Investigating Model Form Error Estimation with Sparse Data
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The TEMS Apollo-Saturn 5 results through the AS-502 flight test
Truncated tracker error models for representing systematic errors on Apollo-Saturn flight tests
Advanced communication system time domain modeling techniques ASYSTD software description. Volume 2: Program support documentation
The theoretical basis for the ASYSTD program is discussed in detail. In addition, the extensive bibliography given in this document illustrates some of the extensive work accomplished in the area of time domain simulation. Additions have been in the areas of modeling and language program enhancements, orthogonal transform modeling, error analysis, general filter models, BER measurements, etc. Several models have been developed which utilize the COMSAT generated orthogonal transform algorithms.
A model of the trapped electron population for solar minimum
A model is presented of the trapped electron environment of solar minimum conditions. Solar maximum models have been presented for the inner radiation zone (AE-5 1967), and for the outer radiation zone (AE-4 1967). The present solar minimum model consists of an inner zone model (AE-5 1975 Projected) with an epoch of 1975, and an outer zone model with an epoch of 1964. With only minor modifications this latter model is identical to the AE-4 1964 model presented previous. The model, however, has not previously been issued in computer form. AE-4 1964 is based upon satellite data, while the inner zone solar minimum model AE-5 1975 Projected consists entirely of extrapolations from AE-5 1967. While the two components of the solar minimum model have epochs 11 years part, it is assumed that any differences between the successive solar minima are smaller than the model error, and the complete model is associated with an epoch of 1975.
Adaptive sequential estimation with applications
A sequential estimator is presented and demonstrated which successfully tracks the system state and model errors in the presence of significant and unpredictable system or environmental variations. This adaptive estimation concept is shown to lead to a new and attractive approach to parameter identification problems. Simulation results are presented in an orbit determination problem, where the estimator tracks the orbit and unmodeled accelerations due to errors in the geopotential model. Some results in a re-entry trajectory estimation problem are also summarized.
Computer simulation incorporating a helicopter model for evaluation of aircraft avionics systems
A computer program was developed to integrate avionics research in navigation, guidance, controls, and displays with a realistic aircraft model. A user oriented program is described that allows a flexible combination of user supplied models to perform research in any avionics area. A preprocessor technique for selecting various models without significantly changing the memory storage is included. Also included are mathematical models for several avionics error models and for the CH-47 helicopter used in this program.
Backward deletion to minimize prediction errors in models from factorial experiments with zero to six center points
Population model coefficients were chosen to simulate a saturated 2 to the fourth power fixed effects experiment having an unfavorable distribution of relative values. Using random number studies, deletion strategies were compared that were based on the F distribution, on an order statistics distribution of Cochran's, and on a combination of the two. Results of the comparisons and a recommended strategy are given.
Prospects for TLRS baseline accuracies in the western USA
One of the main goals of the LAGEOS satellite mission is the detection of regional geotectonic movements. A parametric study with the intention to obtain the optimal baseline precision from dynamic solutions of laser ranging to LAGEOS is presented. The varied parameters are: length of reduced arc, number of tracking stations, data noise and rate, biases, refraction errors, system efficiency, gravity model errors in the value of GM. The baseline precisions are 1-10 cm depending upon the set of parameters adopted. General principles obtained are also presented.
High-order neural models for error correcting code
The decoding and error-correction of data transmitted over a noisy channel is in principle equivalent to the operation of a neural network performing as a content-addressable memory. For a successful application, however, the neural network has to be capable of storing arbitrary words, and it has to be guaranteed that the stored words represent the only stable attractors of the memory. This paper presents a novel high-order neural network architecture that has these characteristics. The analog nature of the network can be used to perform soft-decision decoding with any block code. The performance in terms of postdecoding bit error rate versus SNR is demonstrated for two exemplary block codes. The comparison with a conventional decoding algorithm for a (15,5) cyclic redundancy code shows, for example, that the bit error rate at 7dB SNR can be decreased by two orders of magnitude.
Distortion Representation of Forecast Errors for Model Skill Assessment and Objective Analysis
We completed the formulation of the smoothness penalty functional this past quarter. We used a simplified procedure for estimating the statistics of the FCA solution spectral coefficients from the results of the unconstrained, low-truncation FCA (stopping criterion) solutions. During the current reporting period we have completed the calculation of GEOS-2 model-equivalent brightness temperatures for the 6.7 micron and 11 micron window channels used in the GOES imagery for all 10 cases from August 1999. These were simulated using the AER-developed Optimal Spectral Sampling (OSS) model.
The Impact of Trajectory Prediction Uncertainty on Air Traffic Controller Performance and Acceptability
A Human-In-The-Loop air traffic control simulation investigated the impact of uncertainties in trajectory predictions on NextGen Trajectory-Based Operations concepts, seeking to understand when the automation would become unacceptable to controllers or when performance targets could no longer be met. Retired air traffic controllers staffed two en route transition sectors, delivering arrival traffic to the northwest corner-post of Atlanta approach control under time-based metering operations. Using trajectory-based decision-support tools, the participants worked the traffic under varying levels of wind forecast error and aircraft performance model error, impacting the ground automations ability to make accurate predictions. Results suggest that the controllers were able to maintain high levels of performance, despite even the highest levels of trajectory prediction errors.
Orion Optical Navigation Progress Toward Exploration Mission 1
Optical navigation of human spacecraft was proposed on Gemini and implemented successfully on Apollo as a means of autonomously operating the vehicle in the event of lost communication with controllers on Earth. The Orion emergency return system utilizing optical navigation has matured in design over the last several years, and is currently undergoing the final implementation and test phase in preparation for Exploration Mission 1 (EM-1) in 2019. The software development is past its Critical Design Review, and is progressing through test and certification for human rating. The filter architecture uses a square-root-free UDU covariance factorization. Linear Covariance Analysis (LinCov) was used to analyze the measurement models and the measurement error models on a representative EM-1 trajectory. The Orion EM-1 flight camera was calibrated at the Johnson Space Center (JSC) electro-optics lab. To permanently stake the focal length of the camera a 500 mm focal length refractive collimator was used. Two Engineering Design Unit (EDU) cameras and an EDU star tracker were used for a live-sky test in Denver. In-space imagery with high-fidelity truth metadata is rare so these live-sky tests provide one of the closest real-world analogs to operational use. A hardware-in-the-loop test rig was developed in the Johnson Space Center Electro-Optics Lab to exercise the OpNav system prior to integrated testing on the Orion vehicle. The software is verified with synthetic images. Several hundred off-nominal images are also used to analyze robustness and fault detection in the software. These include effects such as stray light, excess radiation damage, and specular reflections, and are used to help verify the tuning parameters chosen for the algorithms such as earth atmosphere bias, minimum pixel intensity, and star detection thresholds.
Retrieval Modeling and Error Sources for Microwave Remote Sensing of Ocean Surface Salinity
A set of geophysical error sources for the microwave remote sensing of ocean surface salinity have been examined.