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At least 289 records · Page 16

Modeling efficient and equitable distribution of COVID-19 vaccines

Producing and distributing COVID-19 vaccine during the pandemic is a major logistical challenge requiring careful planning and efficient execution. This report presents information on logistical, policy and technical issues relevant to rapidly fielding a COVID-19 vaccination program. For this study we (a) conducted literature review and subject matter expert elicitation to understand current vaccine manufacturing and distribution capabilities and vaccine allocation strategies, (b) designed a baseline vaccine distribution strategy and modeling strategy to provide insight into the potential for targeted distribution of limited initial vaccine supplies, and (c) developed parametric interfaces to enable vaccine distribution scenarios to be analyzed in depth with Sandias Adaptive Recovery Model that will allow us evaluate the additional sub- populations and alternative distribution scenarios from a public health benefit and associated economic disruption Principal issues, challenges, and complexities that complicate COVID-19 vaccine delivery identified in our literature and subject matter expert investigation include these items: The United States has not mounted an urgent nationwide vaccination campaign in recent history. The existing global manufacturing and distribution infrastructure are not able to produce enough vaccine for the population immediately. Vaccines, once available will be scarce resources. Prioritization for vaccine allocation will be built on existing distribution networks. Vaccine distribution may not have a universal impact on disease transmission and morbidity because of scarcity, priority population demographics, and underlying disease transmission rates. Considerations for designing a vaccine distribution strategy are discussed. A baseline distribution strategy is designed and tested using the Adaptive Recovery Model, which couples a deterministic compartmental epidemiological model and a stochastic network model. We show the impact of this vaccine distribution strategy on hospitalizations, mortality, and contact tracing requirements. This model can be used to quantitatively evaluate alternative distribution scenarios, guiding policy decisions as vaccine candidates are narrowed down.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Simple, Secure, Internet Delivery of MOOSE-based Applications

Application packaging and distribution are the final steps for delivering software to end-users; both are frequently neglected when creating scientific software. Commercial businesses rely on electronic distribution systems that have rendered disk drives obsolete. Still, national laboratories continue to rely heavily on removable media to distribute and limit access to controlled applications. With increasing concerns of unauthorized copying of sensitive applications, a modern distribution system that utilizes cryptographically secure communication and authentication protocols has been developed. This new distribution system will secure the chain of custody for nuclear software while simultaneously simplifying access to these tools. This report summarizes four primary advancements made toward the secure distribution of Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS)-developed, Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)-based applications: application installation, package distribution, automated package building, and distribution of documentation. NEAMS is currently developing more than ten separate applications based on the open-source MOOSE Framework. Distribution of these applications has primarily been accomplished by distributing source code, with end-users compiling the applications themselves. This work created a mechanism where MOOSE applications can be installed in a similar way to any other software. This allows both administrators and end-users simplified access to runnable executables. With this new installation capability, it was then possible to rethink distribution. A new, secure capability for delivering MOOSE-based applications over the internet has been created. This system requires unique cryptographic tokens for authentication, greatly securing the custody chain for software. Once granted access, installation of any NEAMS code can be accomplished with these terminal commands: "conda install ncrc" "ncrc install ncrc-bison." After these two commands (and authenticating) the BISON application will be securely down- loaded from Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s servers, installed, and ready to use. To enable this new distribution capability to be successful, the open-source Continuous Integration, Verification, Enhancement, and Testing (CIVET) Continuous Integration (CI) capability was augmented to add Continuous Delivery (CD). CD enables the automated building and packaging of MOOSE-based applications as they are modified by development teams, ensuring that our customers can obtain up-to-date versions of the software at any time. The need for instruction on how to use these applications was addressed through modifications to the MOOSE documentation system. The MooseDocs capability, which enables robust documentation of MOOSE-based applications, has been extended to allow both for the installation of documentation and the packaging of documentation with installed applications. Together, these enhancements form the core of a new, secure distribution mechanism for nuclear simulation tools. In concert with the Nuclear Computational Resource Center (NCRC), NEAMS- developed applications will now be straightforward to obtain securely.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Effects of emitting surfaces and trapped ions on the sheath physics and current flow in multidimensional plasma systems

Recent one-dimensional simulations of planar sheaths with strong electron emission have shown that trapping of charge-exchange ions causes transitions from space-charge limited (SCL) to inverse sheaths. However, multidimensional emitting sheath phenomena with collisions remained unexplored, due in part to high computational cost. As such, we developed a novel continuum kinetic code to study the sheath physics, current flow and potential distributions in two-dimensional unmagnetized configurations with emitting surfaces. For small negatively biased thermionic cathodes in a plasma, the cathode sheath can exist in an equilibrium SCL state. The SCL sheath carries an immense density of trapped ions, neutralized by thermoelectrons, within the potential well of the virtual cathode. For further increases of emitted flux, the trapped ion cloud expands in space. The trapped ion space charge causes an increase of thermionic current far beyond the saturation limit predicted by conventional collisionless SCL sheath models without ion trapping. For sufficiently strong emission, the trapped ion cloud consumes the entire 2D plasma domain, forming a mode with globally confined ions and an inverse sheath at the cathode. In situations where the emitted flux is fixed and the bias is swept (e.g. emissive probe), the trapped ions cause a large thermionic current to escape for all biases below the plasma potential. Strong suppression of the thermionic emission, required for the probe to float, only occurs when the probe is above the plasma potential.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An Innovative Circuit Breaker for Renewable Power Grids

A key step towards a carbon-neutral future could be reached through dispersed power grids, featuring networks of local-scale renewable energy and battery storage plants. To prevent these power grids from damaging themselves and their surroundings when electrical faults arise, they must be integrated with ‘circuit breakers’, which temporarily interrupt the current flowing through them. However, currently available circuit breakers cannot handle the medium-voltage direct currents best suited for these grids. Through an innovative new circuit breaker design, Steve Schmalz and his colleagues at Eaton Corporation, the Illinois Institute of Technology (IIT), Virginia Tech and the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), hope that this challenge will soon be overcome.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Explicit quantification of residence and flushing times in the Salish Sea using a sub-basin scale shoreline resolving model

The Salish Sea, located in the Pacific Northwest region of North America has complex currents and circulation features distributed over numerous interconnected deep basins with islands. Increased risk of exposure to oil spills and untreated wastewater from maritime emergencies and treatment plant failures have led to a need for quantifying residence and flushing characteristics at a sub-basin scale using a shoreline resolving hydrodynamic model. An unstructured grid model of the Salish Sea was developed using FVCOM with a ≈75-100m shoreline resolution. In addition to 7 tides and 23 salinity and temperature monitoring stations, an extensive currents data set from 135 stations collected over a span of three years was used for skill assessment and validation. Explicit forward computations were then conducted to define and quantify residence and flushing times in various sub-basins of interest using (a) Lagrangian particles and (b) Numerical/virtual dye experiments. The results in most basins show expected seasonal variability with longer flushing time associated with summer lower tides and lower freshwater inflows. However, contrary to expectation, flushing time is significantly longer in wintertime in large fjord-like basins such as Hood Canal (≈138 days), likely due to increased stratification and reduced mixing. The flushing time for the Puget Sound region of the Salish Sea is ≈115 days, while Georgia Basin is 240 days when analyzed as stand-alone basins with zero background concentrations. When examined as part of the flushing of the entire Puget Sound filled with virtual dye, the compounded flushing times for embedded sub-basins can be significantly longer in order of magnitudes and largely dictated by the flushing time of Puget Sound. The computed residence and flushing time scales tabulated over 36 sub-basins provide an improved understanding of water renewal in the system, informing pollution management actions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Probing Electrolyte Influence on CO 2 Reduction in Aprotic Solvents

Selective CO 2 capture and electrochemical conversion are important tools in the fight against climate change. Industrially, CO 2 is captured using a variety of aprotic solvents due to their high CO 2 solubility. However, most research efforts on electrochemical CO 2 conversion use aqueous media and are plagued by competing hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) from water breakdown. Fortunately, aprotic solvents can circumvent HER, making it important to develop strategies that enable integrated CO 2 capture and conversion. However, the influence of ion solvation and solvent selection within nonaqueous electrolytes for efficient and selective CO 2 reduction is unclear. In this work, we show that the bulk solvation behavior within the nonaqueous electrolyte can control the CO2 reduction reaction and product distribution occurring at the catalyst-electrolyte interface. We study different tetrabutylammonium (TBA) salts in two electrolyte systems with glyme ethers (e.g., 1,2 dimethoxyethane or DME) and dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) as a low and high dielectric constant medium, respectively. Using spectroscopic tools, we quantify the fraction of ion pairs that forms within the electrolyte. Also, we show how ion pair formation is prevalent in DME and is dependent on the anion type. More importantly, we show that as ion pair formation decreases within the electrolyte, CO 2 current densities increase, and a higher CO Faradaic efficiency is observed at low overpotentials. Meanwhile, in an electrolyte medium where the ion pair fraction does not change with the anion type (such as in DMSO), a smaller influence of solvation is observed on CO 2 current densities and product distribution. By directly coupling bulk solvation to interfacial reactions and product distribution, we showcase the importance and utility of controlling the reaction microenvironment in tuning the electrocatalytic reaction pathways. Insights gained from this work will enable novel electrolyte designs for efficient and selective CO 2 conversion to desired fuels and chemicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Thermal Overloading Risk Mitigation With a Semi-Analytical Probabilistic Model on Branch Current

A semi-analytical formulation is presented in this paper for the probability computation of branch current in multiphase systems. The developed formula is derived based on the linear power flow model in rectangular coordinates. The system uncertainty injections can be renewable energy resources or loads and are modeled using a Gaussian mixture model (GMM). The developed formula can be used to compute the line current violation probability as well as integrate into optimal power flow problem as chance-constraint relaxation. Here, the proposed formula is first compared with the Matlab embedded numerical integration function to show its performance. Besides, the semi-analytical formula is validated and compared with the Monte Carlo simulation method using the IEEE 123-bus system, EPRI Ckt5, and Ckt7 systems.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Assessing the difficulty of capturing the distribution function of neutrinos in neutron star merger simulations

The collision of two neutron stars is a rich source of information about nuclear physics. In particular, the kilonova signal following a merger can help us elucidate the role of neutron stars in nucleosynthesis, and informs us about the properties of matter above nuclear saturation. Approximate modeling of neutrinos remains an important limitation to our ability to make predictions for these observables. Part of the problem is the fermionic nature of neutrinos. By the exclusion principle, the expected value 𝑓 𝜈 for the number of neutrinos in a quantum state is at most 1. Any process producing neutrinos is suppressed by a blocking factor (1 −𝑓 𝜈 ). Recent simulations focused on neutrino physics mostly use a gray two-moment scheme to evolve neutrinos. This evolves integrals of 𝑓 𝜈 over momentum space, preventing direct calculations of blocking factors. Monte Carlo methods may be an attractive alternative, providing access to the full distribution of neutrinos. Their current implementation is, however, inadequate to estimate 𝑓 𝜈 : in our most recent simulations, a single Monte Carlo packet causes, in the worst cases, estimates of 𝑓 𝜈 to jump from 𝑓 𝜈 =0 to 𝑓 𝜈 ∼10 5 . While this is concerning, this brazen violation of the fermionic nature of neutrinos has been largely inconsequential, as the interactions used in simulations avoid direct calculations of 𝑓 𝜈 . We are, however, reaching a level of modeling at which this problem can no longer be ignored. Here, we discuss the relatively simple origin of this issue. We then show that very rough estimates of 𝑓 𝜈 can in theory be obtained in merger simulations, but that they will require a combination of unintuitive weighting schemes for Monte Carlo packets and smoothing of the neutrino distribution at coarser resolution than what the merger simulation uses.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Rapid mapping of electrochemical processes in energy-conversion devices

Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) is ubiquitously applied to identify physicochemical processes governing the performance of energy-conversion devices. However, deconvolution and interpretation of impedance phenomena are limited by measurement throughput and a dearth of scalable analysis methods. Here, we demonstrate an approach to quickly collect and coherently analyze large volumes of electrochemical data. In this study, we accelerate impedance characterization by combining rapid measurements in time and frequency domains, which are interpretably transformed using the distribution of relaxation times (DRT) and a new distribution of phasances (DOP) model. This method provides excellent agreement with EIS and decreases measurement time by an order of magnitude. High-throughput spectra are then distilled into detailed electrochemical maps. This approach is applied to a Li-ion battery and a protonic ceramic electrochemical cell as practical case studies, demonstrating how mapping can richly characterize physicochemical relationships that are difficult to decipher with conventional measurement and analysis methods.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

3D modeling of deep borehole electromagnetic measurements with energized casing source for fracture mapping at the Utah Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy

Here, we present a 3D numerical modelling analysis evaluating the deployment of a borehole electromagnetic measurement tool to detect and image a stimulated zone at the Utah Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy geothermal site. As the depth to the geothermal reservoir is several kilometres and the size of the stimulated zone is limited to several 100 m, surface-based controlled-source electromagnetic measurements lack the sensitivity for detecting changes in electrical resistivity caused by the stimulation. To overcome the limitation, the study evaluates the feasibility of using a three-component borehole magnetic receiver system at the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy site. To provide sufficient currents inside and around the enhanced geothermal reservoir, we use an injection well as an energized casing source. To efficiently simulate energizing the injection well in a realistic 3D resistivity model, we introduce a novel modelling workflow that leverages the strengths of both 3D cylindrical-mesh-based electromagnetic modelling code and 3D tetrahedral-mesh-based electromagnetic modelling code. The former is particularly well-suited for modelling hollow cylindrical objects like casings, whereas the latter excels at representing more complex 3D geological structures. In this workflow, our initial step involves computing current densities along a vertical steel-cased well using a 3D cylindrical electromagnetic modelling code. Subsequently, we distribute a series of equivalent current sources along the well's trajectory within a complex 3D resistivity model. We then discretize this model using a tetrahedral mesh and simulate the borehole electromagnetic responses excited by the casing source using a 3D finite-element electromagnetic code. This multi-step approach enables us to simulate 3D casing source electromagnetic responses within a complex 3D resistivity model, without the need for explicit discretization of the well using an excessive number of fine cells. We discuss the applicability and limitations of this proposed workflow within an electromagnetic modelling scenario where an energized well is deviated, such as at the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy site. Using the workflow, we demonstrate that the combined use of the energized casing source and the borehole electromagnetic receiver system offer measurable magnetic field amplitudes and sensitivity to the deep localized stimulated zone. The measurements can also distinguish between parallel-fracture anisotropic reservoirs and isotropic cases, providing valuable insights into the fracture system of the stimulated zone. Besides the magnetic field measurements, vertical electric field measurements in the open well sections are also highly sensitive to the stimulated zone and can be used as additional data for detecting and imaging the target. We can also acquire additional multiple-source data by grounding the surface electrode at various locations and repeating borehole electromagnetic measurements. This approach can increase the number of monitoring data by several factors, providing a more comprehensive dataset for analysing the deep-localized stimulated zone. The numerical analysis indicates that it is feasible to use the combination of the energized casing and downhole electromagnetic measurements in monitoring localized stimulated zone at large depths.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Overview of the distributed image processing infrastructure to produce the Legacy Survey of Space and Time

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is preparing to execute the most ambitious astronomical survey ever attempted, the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Currently the final phase of construction is under way in the Chilean Andes, with the Observatory’s ten-year science mission scheduled to begin in 2025. Rubin’s 8.4-meter telescope will nightly scan the southern hemisphere collecting imagery in the wavelength range 320–1050 nm covering the entire observable sky every 4 nights using a 3.2 gigapixel camera, the largest imaging device ever built for astronomy. Automated detection and classification of celestial objects will be performed by sophisticated algorithms on high-resolution images to progressively produce an astronomical catalog eventually composed of 20 billion galaxies and 17 billion stars and their associated physical properties. In this article we present an overview of the system currently being constructed to perform data distribution as well as the annual campaigns which reprocess the entire image dataset collected since the beginning of the survey. These processing campaigns will utilize computing and storage resources provided by three Rubin data facilities (one in the US and two in Europe). Each year a Data Release will be produced and disseminated to science collaborations for use in studies comprising four main science pillars: probing dark matter and dark energy, taking inventory of solar system objects, exploring the transient optical sky and mapping the Milky Way. Also presented is the method by which we leverage some of the common tools and best practices used for management of large-scale distributed data processing projects in the high energy physics and astronomy communities. We also demonstrate how these tools and practices are utilized within the Rubin project in order to overcome the specific challenges faced by the Observatory.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

MimicGAN: Robust Projection onto Image Manifolds with Corruption Mimicking

In the past few years, Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have dramatically advanced our ability to represent and parameterize high-dimensional, non-linear image manifolds. As a result, they have been widely adopted across a variety of applications, ranging from challenging inverse problems like image completion, to problems such as anomaly detection and adversarial defense. A recurring theme in many of these applications is the notion of projecting an image observation onto the manifold that is inferred by the generator. In this context, Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) has been the most popular approach, which essentially optimizes for a latent vector that minimizes the discrepancy between a generated image and the given observation. However, PGD is a brittle optimization technique that fails to identify the right projection (or latent vector) when the observation is corrupted, or perturbed even by a small amount. Such corruptions are common in the real world, for example images in the wild come with unknown crops, rotations, missing pixels, or other kinds of non-linear distributional shifts which break current encoding methods, rendering downstream applications unusable. To address this, we propose corruption mimicking—a new robust projection technique, that utilizes a surrogate network to approximate the unknown corruption directly at test time, without the need for additional supervision or data augmentation. The proposed method is significantly more robust than PGD and other competing methods under a wide variety of corruptions, thereby enabling a more effective use of GANs in real-world applications. Finally, more importantly, we show that our approach produces state-of-the-art performance in several GAN-based applications—anomaly detection, domain adaptation, and adversarial defense, that benefit from an accurate projection.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Implementing hydrogen oxidation reaction on Pt for controlling counter electrode processes

The search for active, stable, and durable materials for electrochemical energy technologies requires increasing levels of precision to establish true structure-function relationships and guide materials design from atomic and molecular scale. This increases the level of control required over the experimental system for proper materials evaluation. The choice of counter electrode material become crucial, as Pt dissolution at high voltages may cause contamination to the working electrode, especially when studying reductive processes in reactions such as oxygen reduction reaction (ORR), H 2 evolution reaction (HER), and the CO 2 reduction reaction. The learnings from “old school” electrochemistry groups lead us to leverage H 2 reactions over Pt to construct a counter electrode system with controlled potential that eliminates Pt ion contamination concerns. In here we discuss the construction of such Pt|H 2 counter electrode where key experimental aspects such as the H 2 flow rate and effective distribution determines the maximum current this counter electrode can accommodate before switching to high voltage and triggering Pt dissolution. Lastly, we demonstrate the use of the Pt|H 2 counter electrode in aqueous electrolytes during HER occurring on the working electrode at varying currents, showing that the Pt content in the cell remains below parts per trillion (ppt) up to 10 mA, and below 50 ppt at 100 mA up to 1 h of constant current hold. This work provides a guide to the implementation of Pt|H 2 counter electrodes to improve the precision of electrochemical experiments in search of highly active, selective, and durable materials for energy technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Reversal of carbonate-silicate cation exchange in cold slabs in Earth’s lower mantle

The stable forms of carbon in Earth’s deep interior control storage and fluxes of carbon through the planet over geologic time, impacting the surface climate as well as carrying records of geologic processes in the form of diamond inclusions. However, current estimates of the distribution of carbon in Earth’s mantle are uncertain, due in part to limited understanding of the fate of carbonates through subduction, the main mechanism that transports carbon from Earth’s surface to its interior. Oxidized carbon carried by subduction has been found to reside in MgCO 3 throughout much of the mantle. Experiments in this study demonstrate that at deep mantle conditions MgCO 3 reacts with silicates to form CaCO 3 . In combination with previous work indicating that CaCO 3 is more stable than MgCO 3 under reducing conditions of Earth’s lowermost mantle, these observations allow us to predict that the signature of surface carbon reaching Earth’s lowermost mantle may include CaCO 3 .

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Distributed quantum sensing of multiple phases with fewer photons

Abstract Distributed quantum metrology has drawn intense interest as it outperforms the optimal classical counterparts in estimating multiple distributed parameters. However, most schemes so far have required entangled resources consisting of photon numbers equal to or more than the parameter numbers, which is a fairly demanding requirement as the number of nodes increases. Here, we present a distributed quantum sensing scenario in which quantum-enhanced sensitivity can be achieved with fewer photons than the number of parameters. As an experimental demonstration, using a two-photon entangled state, we estimate four phases distributed 3 km away from the central node, resulting in a 2.2 dB sensitivity enhancement from the standard quantum limit. Our results show that the Heisenberg scaling can be achieved even when using fewer photons than the number of parameters. We believe our scheme will open a pathway to perform large-scale distributed quantum sensing with currently available entangled sources.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Conductivity and size quantization effects in semiconductor $$\delta$$-layer systems

Abstract We present an open-system quantum-mechanical 3D real-space study of the conduction band structure and conductive properties of two semiconductor systems, interesting for their beyond-Moore and quantum computing applications: phosphorus $$\delta$$ δ -layers and P $$\delta$$ δ -layer tunnel junctions in silicon. In order to evaluate size quantization effects on the conductivity, we consider two principal cases: nanoscale finite-width structures, used in transistors, and infinitely-wide structures, electrical properties of which are typically known experimentally. For devices widths $$W<10$$ W < 10 nm, quantization effects are strong and it is shown that the number of propagating modes determines not only the conductivity, but the distinctive spatial distribution of the current-carrying electron states. For $$W>10$$ W > 10 nm, the quantization effects practically vanish and the conductivity tends to the infinitely-wide device values. For tunnel junctions, two distinct conductivity regimes are predicted due to the strong conduction band quantization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Perovskite-driven solar C 2 hydrocarbon synthesis from CO 2

Photoelectrochemistry (PEC) presents a direct pathway to solar fuel synthesis by integrating light absorption and catalysis into compact electrodes. Yet, PEC hydrocarbon production remains elusive due to high catalytic overpotentials and insufficient semiconductor photovoltage. Here we demonstrate ethane and ethylene synthesis by interfacing lead halide perovskite photoabsorbers with suitable copper nanoflower electrocatalysts. The resulting perovskite photocathodes attain a 9.8% Faradaic yield towards C 2 hydrocarbon production at 0 V against the reversible hydrogen electrode. The catalyst and perovskite geometric surface areas strongly influence C 2 photocathode selectivity, which indicates a role of local current density in product distribution. The thermodynamic limitations of water oxidation are overcome by coupling the photocathodes to Si nanowire photoanodes for glycerol oxidation. These unassisted perovskite–silicon PEC devices attain partial C 2 hydrocarbon photocurrent densities of 155 µA cm -2 , 200-fold higher than conventional perovskite–BiVO 4 artificial leaves for water and CO 2 splitting. These insights establish perovskite semiconductors as a versatile platform towards PEC multicarbon synthesis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗