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At least 289 records · Page 16
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

The Influence of African Easterly Waves on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Landfall in Large Ensembles

African easterly waves (AEWs) are an important precursor or “seed” for Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs), with 60%–80% of major hurricanes observed to originate from AEWs. However, climate model simulations indicate that AEWs are not necessary to maintain annual Atlantic TC frequency. Furthermore, small ensembles suggest that AEWs may impact the spatial distribution and landfall of Atlantic TCs. Here, we investigated the influence of AEWs on the spatial distribution of Atlantic TC tracks and landfall using 50-member ensembles of TC-permitting regional model simulations for five hurricane seasons characterized by different levels of TC activity. The control simulations are seasonal hindcasts in which AEWs were prescribed through the eastern lateral boundary condition using reanalysis. In the experiments, we suppressed AEWs by applying a 2–10 day filter to the eastern lateral boundary condition. In response to AEW suppression, we discovered statistically significant increases in Atlantic TC frequency (10%–26%) and landfall (16%–44%), a westward shift in TC genesis location and tracks with increased landfall over the Caribbean Islands, southwestern Gulf Coast, and southeastern US coast, and increases in mid-tropospheric relative humidity in the main development region. In addition, we evaluated TC genesis mechanisms in the absence of AEWs and found evidence that the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) intensified and extended northward, resulting in ITCZ wave-breaking that shed vortices which served as TC seeds. By uncovering the connections between TC seed types and the likelihood of TC landfall, this research can provide Atlantic coastal and island communities with useful information to prepare for TC impacts.

African easterly waves↗
DOE OSTI2026

Measurements of TRACER pre-convective conditions and mesoscale circulations using small unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS)

Improved comprehension of the physical processes governing convective cloud formation and lifecycle are of critical importance for understanding and predicting future climate states. The influence of these clouds on the planetary energy budget, including on precipitation, is significant. Things are particularly complex in coastal regimes, where gradients in aerosol particle properties, localized circulations such as sea breezes, and large population centers are found. To date, numerical models struggle to accurately represent these critical clouds and are therefore challenged to provide a realistic view on the planetary energy budget. Through the proposed research, we deployed two uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) equipped with a variety of instruments alongside sensors deployed by the US Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program for the TRACER (Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment) field campaign. The two small UAS platforms consisted of a CU RAAVEN fixed-wing airplane and an OU CopterSonde system, with the copter collecting frequent vertical profiles of thermodynamic and kinematic variables such as temperature, pressure, wind and humidity. At the same time, the fixed-wing captured horizontal gradients of these quantities and aerosol size distribution. These systems were deployed south of the Houston metro area, in an area that is impacted by the Gulf of Mexico sea breeze on a daily basis. These observations offer enhanced and complementary perspectives to those provided by the DOE ARM Mobile Facility (AMF) which is was deployed in southeast Houston, and an ancillary site in a more rural location west of the urban Houston area. Quality-controlled versions of the UAS data were collected and posted on the DOE ARM data archive after the conclusion of the campaign where they are accessible by the research community and general public. The UAS perspective offers revolutionary insight into key spatial and temporal effects that have not been evaluated previously.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Discerning molecular-level CO 2 adsorption behavior in amine-modified sorbents within a controlled CO 2 /H 2 O environment towards direct air capture

Sorbents designed for direct air capture (DAC) play a crucial role in the pursuit of achieving net-zero carbon dioxide emissions. This study elucidates CO 2 adsorption from dilute, humidified CO 2 streams onto an amine-modified benchmark DAC adsorbent via solid-state NMR spectroscopy. Various NMR techniques, including 1D 1 H MAS, 13 C MAS, 2D 1 H– 13 C HETCOR NMR, and 1 H R 2 and R 1ρ relaxometry reveal the impact of CO 2 partial pressure and H 2 O on CO 2 adsorption behavior. Here we find that CO 2 concentration governs the stepwise formation of ammonium carbamate, carbamic acid, and physisorbed CO 2 , where relative humidity (RH) at a desired low (<400 ppm) CO 2 loading affects total CO 2 uptake. The relaxation studies reveal the cooperative or competitive nature of H 2 O–CO 2 sorption in CO 2 -dilute humid gas, and in particular polymer swelling upon humidification. From those results, we demonstrate that the observed absorption capacity enhancement by humidity is caused by pore opening due to sorbent swelling, and not by bicarbonate formation. This NMR-discerned speciation provides insights into sorption behavior at different RHs in dilute CO 2 gas streams, simulating real-world atmospheric conditions, and governs the design of efficient and adaptable material-process combinations for solid sorbent DAC.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Next-generation perovskite photovoltaics: improving, stabilizing, and lead-sealing of record-setting laboratory solar cells towards commercialization

Summary: In the proposed program we plan to improve perovskite photovoltaic performance by developing (1) orientational control of 3D/2D perovskite heterostructures to simplify device architectures, thus improving device efficiencies and stability; (2) high-throughput optical measurements and real-time device simulations for device optimization; (3) robust, dual-pronged lead-sealing and oxygen/moisture/UV barrier films for long-term stability. Specifically, we seek to develop an in-depth understanding of the perovskite film formation, interface passivation, device stability, and environmentally friendly encapsulation, which together will lead to perovskite devices with PCE of over 28%, stability of T80 at 85/85 (85% humidity at 85 degrees C) for 10,000, expected to be equivalent to T90 of 100 hours), and architectures that would satisfy the U.S. EPA and RoHS limits of lead-leaching. The knowledge generated with this project will be applicable to tandem devices with wider-bandgap perovskites.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone development classification utilizing machine learning and synoptic composites

This study evaluates the ability of machine learning algorithms to classify tropical depressions (TDs) and tropical storms (TSs) in the western region of the southwest Pacific Ocean (SWPO). Decision rules are generated to predict the environment required for a depression to fully develop into a mature storm, and the most influential predictors in the classification decision are ranked. TD and TS are discriminated based on a maximum sustained wind speed threshold (≥17 ms -1 ). Various aerosol, thermodynamic, and dynamic parameters are extracted closest to the initiation point of each non-developing and developing sample. The covariates associated with each labelled sample are used to train a decision tree and random forest model. Results using a testing dataset suggest the random forest approach more accurately distinguishes between non-developing and developing samples. The classification accuracy of the decision tree and random forest are 72% and 91%, respectively. Random forest outperformed the decision tree by providing higher accuracy in test data. The most important variables for binary classification are sea salt aerosol optical depth (AOD), 1,000 mb relative humidity, and sea surface temperature. AOD is a quantitative estimate of the aerosols presents in the air through the extinction of a ray of light as it passes through the atmosphere. Mean composite maps constructed in an unsupervised manner have been created for the most important variables identified by the random forest classifier during TD and TS events to highlight the difference in geophysical and aerosol variables' climatology during the two different classifications. This work will advance the risk management strategies for northeastern Australia and other SWPO basin islands to control their tropical cyclone related losses through prioritizing forecasting variables that are the strongest predictors of the strengthening of tropical depressions into tropical cyclones.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Environmental Controls on MCS Lifetime Rainfall Over Tropical Oceans

Abstract Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) contribute a majority of rainfall over tropical oceans. However, our understanding of the environmental controls on tropical oceanic MCS precipitation remains incomplete. Using 20‐year of satellite observations, reanalysis data, and MCS tracking, we found that MCSs initiating in a mesoscale environment with enhanced lower‐free‐tropospheric moisture, warmer middle troposphere, stronger low‐level ascent, and stronger deep‐layer (surface‐400 hPa) wind shear tend to produce more precipitation during their lifetimes. While most of these environmental factors are correlated with one another, the deep‐layer shear is not. A rapid pickup in MCS lifetime rainfall is found when the lower‐free‐tropospheric specific humidity exceeds 10 g kg −1 . This nonlinearity is mostly dominated by the nonlinear increase in MCS area. On the other hand, both MCS area and rain rate increase quasi‐linearly with the deep‐layer shear. The increase in rain rate is related to the enhancement of heavy precipitating convective activity with deep‐layer shear.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating Cloud Properties at Scott Base: Comparing Ceilometer Observations With ERA5, JRA55, and MERRA2 Reanalyses Using an Instrument Simulator

This study compares CL51 ceilometer observations made at Scott Base, Antarctica, with statistics from the ERA5, JRA55, and MERRA2 reanalyses. To enhance the comparison we use a lidar instrument simulator to derive cloud statistics from the reanalyses which account for instrumental factors. The cloud occurrence in the three reanalyses is slightly overestimated above 3 km, but displays a larger underestimation below 3 km relative to observations. Unlike previous studies, we see no relationship between relative humidity and cloud occurrence biases, suggesting that the cloud biases do not result from the representation of moisture. We also show that the seasonal variation of cloud occurrence and cloud fraction, defined as the vertically integrated cloud occurrence, are small in both the observations and the reanalyses. We also examine the quality of the cloud representation for a set of weather states derived from ERA5 surface winds. The variability associated with grouping cloud occurrence based on weather state is much larger than the seasonal variation, highlighting weather state is a strong control of cloud occurrence. All the reanalyses continue to display underestimates below 3 km and overestimates above 3 km for each weather state. But the variability in ERA5 statistics matches the changes in the observations better than the other reanalyses. We also use a machine learning scheme to estimate the quantity of supercooled liquid water cloud from the ceilometer observations. Ceilometer low-level supercooled liquid water cloud occurrences are considerably larger than values derived from the reanalyses, further highlighting the poor representation of low-level clouds in the reanalyses.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

EBSD seed LDRD project: Does Corona Virus – 2019 (COVID-19) and Seasonal Flu have similar meteorology and air quality controls driving their spread?

Seasonal influenza and Influenza like Illnesses (ILI) pose a serious public health risk and in turn affect the economy. Various factors affect ILI cases and mortality, including the pathogen and its interaction with the host, as well as environmental and socioeconomic factors such as meteorology, household structure, air pollution, urbanization, and population. Despite the growing number of studies on influenza and ILI, challenges remain in forecasting the timing of seasonal onset, outbreak patterns, and key factors affecting transmission. In particular, the impacts of meteorology and air quality on ILI have been challenging to understand, with linear regression studies focused on different geographic regions producing contradictory results. For example, influenza seasonality has been associated with cold-dry conditions in temperate mid-latitudes, but with humid-rainy conditions in tropical climates. These apparently contradictory results imply that the relationships between influenza cases and atmospheric variables may be too complex to be captured by linear regression models. In this seed project, we analyze meteorology and air quality variables from numerical models to determine which atmospheric variables are most helpful in predicting weekly changes in recorded flu cases. In contrast to most previous studies that relied on linear regression analysis to predict the timing of the flu onset or peak, we employ a robust machine learning algorithm to evaluate the contribution of atmospheric variables to weekly changes in recorded ILI cases. These results may also be relevant to the spread of other respiratory illnesses such as Corona Virus Disease – 2019 (COVID-19).

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

CeO 2 Promoted CuO/MgO-Al 2 O 3 Catalyst with Enhanced Activity and Water-Resistance for CO Oxidation

Copper (Cu)-based catalysts have emerged as cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to noble metal systems (e.g., Pt, Pd) for catalytic CO oxidation. However, their practical application is hindered by insufficient low-temperature activity and rapid deactivation under wet conditions containing moisture. To address these challenges, this work introduces CeO 2 -modified CuO/MgO-Al 2 O 3 (Cu-Ce/MA) catalysts, strategically designed to enhance the catalytic performance and water resistance simultaneously. These catalytic materials were evaluated for CO oxidation under both dry and humid conditions, revealing that CeO 2 modification significantly improves the low-temperature activity. Specifically, the optimal catalyst, Cu-30Ce/MA, achieved a 50% CO conversion temperature (T 50 ) of 151 °C, a marked reduction from 218 °C on Cu/MA reference catalyst. Furthermore, the water resistance improves in a CeO 2 content-dependent manner, with higher CeO 2 loadings imparting greater stability in humid environments. Detailed characterizations demonstrate that CeO 2 promotes the dispersion of CuO and stabilizes Cu sites, while also enhancing the low-temperature reducibility and CO adsorption capacity. Crucially, CeO 2 modification suppresses the competitive H 2 O adsorption, mitigating water-induced deactivation. These synergistic effects collectively rationalize the superior activity and durability of Cu-Ce/MA catalysts. By elucidating the dual role of CeO 2 in optimizing Cu-based systems, this study advances the rational design of cost-effective catalysts for real-world CO emission control, particularly under water-rich industrial conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Template‐Directed Growth of Palladium Nanoparticles in Holey Single‐Layer Graphene for High‐Performance Room‐Temperature Hydrogen Sensing

Holey graphene (HG), formed by introducing nanoscale perforations into graphene sheets, combines the structural advantages of continuous sp 2 conjugation with the beneficial effects of high surface area and enhanced chemical reactivity associated with nanoscopic holes. Conventional HG fabrication methods often rely on harsh oxidative treatments that compromise graphene's intrinsic electronic properties by disrupting its sp 2 conjugation. A new approach is introduced to fabricate HG directly from single-layer graphene (SLG), using two-dimensional covalent organic frameworks (COFs) as a template followed by controlled oxygen plasma etching. This method preserves the integrity of the SLG's sp 2 network while producing well-defined holes with an average diameter of 2.7 nm. These hole edges act as reactive sites that facilitate the confined, autoreductive growth of palladium nanoparticles (PdNPs) without external reducing agents. The confined hole geometry prevents NP agglomeration and ensures a uniform size distribution. The resulting Pd@HG hybrid exhibits exceptional chemiresistive hydrogen sensing characteristics, including ultrahigh sensitivity, low detection limits, rapid response and recovery, and long-term stability under both dry and humid conditions. Mechanistic investigations reveal a two-step sensing process involving surface redox interactions and hydrogen absorption into the PdNP lattices. This strategy presents a scalable platform for integrating metal NPs within conductive carbon frameworks for advanced sensing applications.

chemical vapor deposition↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ionization wave propagation in a He plasma jet in a controlled gas environment

Characterizing ionization wave propagation in low temperature plasma jets is critical to predicting production of reactive species and plasma–surface interactions for biomedical applications and surface functionalization. In this work, results from optical emission and laser induced fluorescence measurements of the ionization wave in a He plasma jet operating in a controlled gas environment are discussed and used for comparison with numerical modeling. Additionally, the ionization wave was observed using ICCD (Intensified Charge Coupled Device) imaging and characterized by time and spatially resolved electron density measurements using laser-collision-induced fluorescence. The plasma jet was initially characterized using pure He (nominally at 200 Torr), while varying pressure and voltage. When operating in pure He, the ionization wave broadly expands exiting the plasma tube. Increasing the operating pressure reduces the speed and isotropic expansion of the ionization wave. Furthermore, the jet operated with a humid He shroud was also studied. The humid He shroud results in the electron density increasing and having an annular profile due to the lower ionization potential of H2O compared to He and localized photoionization in the mixing region. Numerical modeling highlighted the importance of resonance radiation emitted by excited states of He, photoelectron emission from the quartz tube, and the kinetic behavior of the electrons produced by photoionization ahead of the ionization front.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Radioactive Thoron 220 Rn Exhalation From Unfired Mud Building Material Into Room Air of Earthen Dwellings

Thoron ( 220 Rn), an isotope of radon with a strong α-decay energy, and its short-lived metallic progeny can pose an elevated lung cancer hazard in room air when unfired-soil derived building materials are used in earthen dwellings. Changes in moisture content and density influencing the thoron exhalation rate from earthen materials into room air were studied in the laboratory with terra rossa from a village on the Ðòng Van Karst Plateau Geopark, Viêt Nam, where ethnic minorities construct traditional dwellings with unfired terra rossa walls and floors. Our results show that the thoron exhalation rate from mud surfaces depends on (i) the content of radioactive parental nuclides in mineral components; (ii) the moisture content of mud where ~5–10 weight % water maximizes the 220 Rn exhalation rate; and (iii) the density of dry mud as primarily controlled by internal macroscopic voids, fractures, and porosity. Additional time-series of 220 Rn exhalation data from an interior mud wall of a terra rossa-built house under different seasonal and weather conditions show that the temperature is influencing thoron exhalation via the water vapor pressure deficit (VPD) in air and the associated amount of atmospheric moisture adsorbed onto indoor mud surfaces. Our data suggest that occupants of “mud house” earthen dwellings in northern Viêt Nam are exposed to an increased thoron geohazard during cooler weather, low VPD, and high relative humidity in air. Detailed studies are needed to evaluate the thoron geohazard for inhabitants of mud-built dwellings in other climates and geological terrains.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous Infrared and Small (Wide) Angle X-Ray Scattering (IR-S(W)AXS) Capability

Thin water films are 2-D, nanoconfined layers that form on solid surfaces exposed to humid atmospheres—environments ubiquitous across catalysis, corrosion science, soil science, and subsurface geochemistry. At relative humidity (RH) values below saturation, these films are Å–nm thick and exhibit properties that differ sharply from bulk water, including disrupted H-bonding and impeded mass transport. Owing to their high surface-to-volume ratio, dissolution of the solid can rapidly drive strong supersaturation with respect to secondary phases. Reactivity in thin water films is highly sensitive to film thickness, and critically, thickness evolves during reaction because the hygroscopicity of the interfacial system changes as ions accumulate or diminish in the film and as reaction products transform. To accurately probe and control these dynamics, a capability is needed that can measure and automatically maintain a constant water-film thickness while simultaneously monitoring solid dissolution, nucleation, and growth. This project developed an autonomous Infrared/Small Angle X-ray Scattering-Wide Angle X-ray Scattering (IR/(W)SAXS) for investigating reactivity in thin water films on solid surfaces exposed to humidified gases. The capability consists of an IR spectrometer, a (W)SAXS instrument, and a mass flow controller system for generating variably humidified gas flows to a custom reaction cell. Progress on each of the major components of the capability are detailed below.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2026

The effect of relative humidity and temperature on the response of stomatal conductance to vapor pressure deficit in tropical trees

Understanding how leaf gas exchange responds to changes in vapor pressure deficit (VPD) is key to predicting tropical forest resilience to climate change. Stomata regulate leaf water and CO2 diffusion, and respond to changes in temperature and relative humidity (RH), two drivers of VPD. At high temperatures, the cuticular pathway may also become significant and participate in the overall leaf conductance. Here, we measured gas exchange under light and dark conditions to investigate the stomatal and cuticular responses to temperature and RH on detached branches in five tropical tree species. Leaf conductance in the dark, when stomata are essentially closed, was not markedly impacted by temperature and RH, suggesting a minimal response of the cuticular pathway to these conditions. We compared six steady-state conductance models incorporating different effects of photosynthesis and evaporative demand on stomatal control. All models performed well (residual standard deviation, σ, < 0.025 mol m-2 s-1), but the best-fitting model (σ = 0.017 mol m-2 s-1) used a nonlinear relationship between photosynthesis and stomatal conductance and incorporated RH rather than vapor pressure difference. All models overestimated the steady-state conductance at high RH. Furthermore, leaf conductance immediately increased after a decrease in RH (wrong-way response), but not after an increase in leaf temperature. This suggests that the mechanisms underlying stomatal response to VPD need further investigation. The non-linear coupling between photosynthetic rate and stomatal conductance indicates a sharper physiological response than previously acknowledged.

Lamour, Julien↗
DOE OSTI2022

Comparing Coarse-Resolution Land Surface Temperature Products over Western Australia

Satellite-derived land surface temperature (LST) has commonly been used to monitor global temperature changes. The MODIS MYD11A2 product is the most common coarse-resolution product used for this purpose. An updated MODIS product (MYD21A2) and new VIIRS (VNP21A2) product have also recently become available. This study analyses eight-day, quality-controlled, LST imagery over Western Australia (WA) for the three products for an urban and a non-urban area for the years 2013, 2016, and 2019. An analysis of the data indicates that (i) the averaged daytime LST difference between the three products for Perth city over the three years was 1.32 °C, while at night it was 0.89 °C; (ii) the averaged daytime difference over the Kimberley region was 7.02 °C with a night average difference of 2.39 °C; and (iii) both the MYD21A2 and VNP21A2 products still appear to record anomalous monthly LST values, particularly in the humid Kimberley monsoonal months. The overall objective of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) is to ensure that the LST values of the two satellite system products are comparable, so evidence of LST value differences will require further investigation, especially if the older product is to be replaced by the newer systems.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

The effect of repeated hurricanes on the age of organic carbon in humid tropical forest soil

Abstract Increasing hurricane frequency and intensity with climate change is likely to affect soil organic carbon (C) stocks in tropical forests. We examined the cycling of C between soil pools and with depth at the Luquillo Experimental Forest in Puerto Rico in soils over a 30‐year period that spanned repeated hurricanes. We used a nonlinear matrix model of soil C pools and fluxes (“soilR”) and constrained the parameters with soil and litter survey data. Soil chemistry and stable and radiocarbon isotopes were measured from three soil depths across a topographic gradient in 1988 and 2018. Our results suggest that pulses and subsequent reduction of inputs caused by severe hurricanes in 1989, 1998, and two in 2017 led to faster mean transit times of soil C in 0–10 cm and 35–60 cm depths relative to a modeled control soil with constant inputs over the 30‐year period. Between 1988 and 2018, the occluded C stock increased and δ 13 C in all pools decreased, while changes in particulate and mineral‐associated C were undetectable. The differences between 1988 and 2018 suggest that hurricane disturbance results in a dilution of the occluded light C pool with an influx of young, debris‐deposited C, and possible microbial scavenging of old and young C in the particulate and mineral‐associated pools. These effects led to a younger total soil C pool with faster mean transit times. Our results suggest that the increasing frequency of intense hurricanes will speed up rates of C cycling in tropical forests, making soil C more sensitive to future tropical forest stressors.

14C↗
DOE OSTI2021

Rock weathering controls the potential for soil carbon storage at a continental scale

Abstract As rock-derived primary minerals weather to form soil, they create reactive, poorly crystalline minerals that bind and store organic carbon. By implication, the abundance of primary minerals in soil might influence the abundance of poorly crystalline minerals, and hence soil organic carbon storage. However, the link between primary mineral weathering, poorly crystalline minerals, and soil carbon has not been fully tested, particularly at large spatial scales. To close this knowledge gap, we designed a model that links primary mineral weathering rates to the geographic distribution of poorly crystalline minerals across the USA, and then used this model to evaluate the effect of rock weathering on soil organic carbon. We found that poorly crystalline minerals are most abundant and most strongly correlated with organic carbon in geographically limited zones that sustain enhanced weathering rates, where humid climate and abundant primary minerals co-occur. This finding confirms that rock weathering alters soil mineralogy to enhance soil organic carbon storage at continental scales, but also indicates that the influence of active weathering on soil carbon storage is limited by low weathering rates across vast areas.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗