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At least 289 records · Page 16

Low flow characteristics for regulated and unregulated streams in North Carolina and prediction using climate signals

In this work, low flow statistics of regulated and unregulated streams in the state of North Carolina were updated with streamflow data through 2019. About 22% of the streams considered show a significant downward trend, but considerable low-frequency variability confounding trends. The relationship between regional index time series of groundwater-depth low flow and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) was examined to determine whether low-frequency climate modes can account for the long-term pattern in low flows. Consequently, a significant correlation was found between AMO and groundwater-depth low flow, such that positive AMO is associated with lower groundwater-depth low flow and vice versa, particularly for the Piedmont region. Predictive equations for annual low flows at the ecoregion level shows that springtime average streamflow and AMO were selected as the primary predictors of low flow for coastal and Piedmont regions, whereas springtime average streamflow and the November–December–January average Oceanic Niño Index were used as the primary predictors for the mountain region. The relative root mean square error (RMSE) of the disaggregated predictions to US Geologic Survey gauge locations was <23% at 79% of the stations, between 24% and 43% at 10% of the stations, and greater than 44% at 1% of the stations. The remaining 10% of stations showed large RMSEs. This latter percentage is characterized by smaller drainage basins and intermittent flows, suggesting the prediction models are not applicable to drainage basins smaller than roughly 20 square km and intermittent streams.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An extended Vlasov–Fokker–Planck approach for kinetic simulations of laser plasmas

Vlasov–Fokker–Planck simulation codes occupy an important niche in modeling laser-produced plasmas, since they are well suited to studying the effect of collisions on electron kinetic phenomena, especially energy transport. One of the most important elements of energy transport is the absorption of laser light by the plasma; however, simulating this in detail requires resolving oscillations of the laser light, whose characteristic timescale is orders of magnitude shorter than the simulation time needed to study transport physics. For this reason, most Vlasov–Fokker–Planck codes used to study electron transport in laser plasmas rely on simplified models of the laser–plasma coupling. Their underlying assumptions nominally preclude their use for modeling laser light having short-scale structure in space or time, such as broadband lasers. In this work, we derive a more general computational framework suitable for arbitrarily structured laser fields. Furthermore, our approach is based on an extended set of Vlasov–Fokker–Planck equations that separately solve for the low- and high-frequency plasma response. We implement these extended Vlasov–Fokker–Planck equations in the spherical harmonic code K2 and demonstrate the performance of the method on several laser absorption test problems, with particular attention to the judicious selection of time steps, time integrators, and spherical harmonic truncation, according to the intensity and spectrum of the laser light under consideration. Comparison with the widely used Langdon absorption operator shows the Langdon operator performs remarkably well for predicting laser heating in the simple cases considered here, even in situations that would seem to violate its underlying assumptions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Analytical Investigation of the Role of Lateral Mixing in the Evolution of Nonprecipitating Cumulus. Part II: Dissolving Stage

A minimalistic analytical model allowing analysis of the dissolving stage of nonprecipitating convective clouds is proposed. The model takes into account two mechanisms: turbulent mixing with a dry environment and cloud volume settling. The temporal changes in the spatial structure of a cloud and in its immediate environment in the course of cloud dissolving are analyzed. The comparison of the effects of a temperature increase in the course of cloud descent and mixing with dry surrounding air shows that the descent is a dominating factor determining a decrease in the liquid water content (LWC), while mixing has a stronger effect on the cloud shape. Narrowing/broadening of clouds due to lateral mixing with dry air during cloud dissolving is determined by the potential evaporation parameter proportional to the ratio of the saturation deficit in the cloud environment to LWC. An equation for cloud dissolving time is obtained. After a cloud totally dissolves, it leaves behind an area with humidity exceeding that of the environment. The main parameter determining the dissolving time is the downdraft velocity. It should exceed 50 cm s -1 in order to provide reasonable dissolving time. The turbulent intensity, LWC, and humidity of the environment air also have an impact on dissolving time: the lower the LWC and the humidity of environment air, the faster cloud dissolving is. The simple solution presented in this paper can be useful for evaluation of cloud characteristics at the dissolving stage and can be included in procedures of parameterization of cloud cover formed by nonprecipitating or slightly precipitating cumulus clouds (Cu). Values of the environment humidity and temperature, LWC at cloud top, cloud width, vertical velocity of downdraft, and the turbulent coefficient should be parameters of this parameterization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A new metrics framework for quantifying and intercomparing atmospheric rivers in observations, reanalyses, and climate models

We present a new atmospheric river (AR) analysis and benchmarking tool, namely Atmospheric River Metrics Package (ARMP). It includes a suite of new AR metrics that are designed for quick analysis of AR characteristics via statistics in gridded climate datasets such as model output and reanalysis. This package can be used for climate model evaluation in comparison with reanalysis and observational products. Integrated metrics such as mean bias and spatial pattern correlation are efficient for diagnosing systematic AR biases in climate models. For example, the package identifies the fact that, in CMIP5 and CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phases 5 and 6) models, AR tracks in the South Atlantic are positioned farther poleward compared to ERA5 reanalysis, while in the South Pacific, tracks are generally biased towards the Equator. For the landfalling AR peak season, we find that most climate models simulate a completely opposite seasonal cycle over western Africa. This tool can also be used for identifying and characterizing structural differences among different AR detectors (ARDTs). For example, ARs detected with the Mundhenk algorithm exhibit systematically larger size, width, and length compared to the TempestExtremes (TE) method. The AR metrics developed from this work can be routinely applied for model benchmarking and during the development cycle to trace performance evolution across model versions or generations and set objective targets for the improvement of models. They can also be used by operational centers to perform near-real-time climate and extreme event impact assessments as part of their forecast cycle.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

One-shot omnidirectional pressure integration through matrix inversion

In this work, we present a method to perform 2D and 3D omnidirectional pressure integration from velocity measurements with a single-iteration matrix inversion approach. This work builds upon our previous work, where the rotating parallel ray approach was extended to the limit of infinite rays by taking continuous projection integrals of the ray paths and recasting the problem as an iterative matrix inversion problem. This iterative matrix equation is now 'fast-forwarded' to the 'infinity' iteration, leading to a different matrix equation that can be solved in a single step, thereby presenting the same computational complexity as the Poisson equation. We observe computational speedups of ~10 6 when compared to brute-force omnidirectional integration methods, enabling the treatment of grids of ~10 9 points and potentially even larger in a desktop setup at the time of publication. Further examination of the boundary conditions of our one-shot method shows that omnidirectional pressure integration implements a boundary condition where the boundary points are treated as interior points to the extent that information is available. Finally, we show how the method can be extended from the regular grids typical of particle image velocimetry to the unstructured meshes characteristic of particle tracking velocimetry data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Film Cooling Performance Prediction for Air and Supercritical CO 2

The current study explores the possibility of cooling the vanes and blades of a direct-fired sCO 2 turbine using film cooling. The operating conditions of a direct-fired sCO 2 cycle and thermophysical properties of the fluid at those conditions can alter the flow field characteristics of the coolant jet and its mixing with the mainstream. Very little information is present in the literature regarding the performance of film cooling geometries employing supercritical CO 2 . The objective of this study is to estimate the resulting film cooling effectiveness while also capturing the effects of the crossflow-to-mainstream velocity ratio on the coolant jet. Herein, a computational fluid dynamic model is used to study the coolant jet exiting a cylindrical hole located on a flat plate, with the coolant fed by an internal channel. Steady-state Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations were solved along with the (shear-stress transport) SST k–ω model to provide the turbulence closure. The operating conditions for the direct-fired sCO 2 turbine are obtained using an in-house Cooled Turbine Model. Numerical predictions revealed that the crossflow effects and jet lift-off were more pronounced in the case of sCO 2 when compared to air. Spatial distribution of flow field and cooling effectiveness are presented at different operating conditions.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Multigroup Constant Calculation with Static α-Eigenvalue Monte Carlo for Time-Dependent Neutron Transport Simulations

Herein, multigroup constants for deterministic methods that preserve the time-dependent physics of the neutron transport equations are derived. Alternative multigroup constant weighting spectra are discussed: (1) the fundamental k-eigenfunction, (2) the fundamental α-eigenfunction, and (3) a composite of several α-modes. To generate the fundamental α-eigenfunction for calculating the multigroup constants, a static fundamental α-eigenvalue method is implemented into the open source Monte Carlo code OpenMC. Several static and kinetic problems are devised to verify the implementations and to investigate the relative performance of the alternative multigroup constant weighting spectra. Results emphasize that as a multigroup constant weighting spectrum, the fundamental α-eigenfunction offers physical characteristics that make it advantageous (in producing accurate solutions) over the typically used fundamental k-eigenfunction.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Learning compact physics‐aware delayed photocurrent models using dynamic mode decomposition

Abstract Radiation‐induced photocurrent in semiconductor devices can be simulated using complex physics‐based models, which are accurate, but computationally expensive. This presents a challenge for implementing device characteristics in high‐level circuit simulations where it is computationally infeasible to evaluate detailed models for multiple individual circuit elements. In this work we demonstrate a procedure for learning compact delayed photocurrent models that are efficient enough to implement in large‐scale circuit simulations, but remain faithful to the underlying physics. Our approach utilizes dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), a system identification technique for learning reduced‐order discrete‐time dynamical systems from time series data based on singular value decomposition. To obtain physics‐aware device models, we simulate the excess carrier density induced by radiation pulses by solving numerically the ambipolar diffusion equation, then use the simulated internal state as training data for the DMD algorithm. Our results show that the significantly reduced‐order delayed photocurrent models obtained via this method accurately approximate the dynamics of the internal excess carrier density—which can be used to calculate the induced current at the device boundaries—while remaining compact enough to incorporate into larger circuit simulations.

Hanson, Joshua↗

Effect of lot microstructure variations on detonation performance of the triaminotrinitrobenzene (TATB)-Based insensitive high explosive PBX 9502

PBX 9502 is an important insensitive high explosive due to its combination of safety properties and detonation performance. It is a polymer-bonded formulation consisting of 95 wt.% 1,3,5-triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene (TATB) as the high explosive crystal, bound with Kel F-800 (FK-800), a co-polymer of chlorotrifluoroethylene and vinylidene-fluoride. Two different types are used, one known as virgin that uses only pristine manufactured TATB, and a second known as recycled that has 50 wt.% of its TATB reclaimed from machining scraps of previously pressed virgin PBX 9502. Recycled lots have a higher percentage of fine particles compared to virgin lots, due to the fracturing and damage sustained by TATB crystals during pressing. We examine the influence that this TATB microstructure difference between virgin and recycled PBX 9502 has on detonation performance properties. New rate-stick geometry diameter effect, detonation front shape and cylinder expansion test data are obtained for two previously uncharacterized virgin lots and one recycled lot of PBX 9502. This is combined with previously published data for one virgin and one recycled lot for evaluation purposes. Detonation shock dynamics model calibrations are conducted on each of the five lots to provide an assessment of the detonation timing characteristics of virgin versus recycled PBX 9502 lots. For two of the virgin lots, detonations propagate slower in the rate-stick geometry than those in the two recycled lots. However, the other virgin lot tested has propagation rates comparable to that of the recycled lots for larger diameter rate-sticks. The latter result, though, is shown to be geometry dependent and depends on the range of detonation curvatures accessed in different geometries. New copper-confined, cylinder expansion tests are conducted on each of the three virgin and two recycled lots to obtain detonation product Jones-Wilkins-Lee equations of state, enabling an assessment of the metal push capabilities for each of the five lots. We find that the metal push capabilities, characterized by the evolution of the heat of detonation with volume, are similar between the virgin and recycled lots. Thus, changes in microstructure between different PBX 9502 lots seemingly affect the rate of reaction, but not the overall energy content.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High y + Shear-Stress Turbulence Implementation for High Flux Isotope Reactor Narrow Channel Flows

The research objective of this work was to improve the engineering predictions of the turbulence characteristics of flows in curved narrow channels. Such channel flows are commonly encountered in nuclear research and test reactors, with one of them being the high-flux isotope reactor (HFIR). Research reactors bear high heat fluxes, and the proper computing of turbulence is paramount for safe and reliable reactor operation. The study builds on the results of a previous direct numerical simulation of turbulence to inform a well-known Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes shear-stress turbulence model and improves its accuracy in simulating parallel channel flows. A new formulation of the loss term in the dissipation conservation equation is suggested. Combined with high wall distance computational grids, the new implementation provides a fast-running flow solution, suitable for engineering purposes. Model generalization for parallel channel flows, in a broader range of frictional Reynolds numbers, is suggested by introducing a new form of the model constants.

CFD↗

Stemflow Hydrodynamics

Stemflow hydrodynamics is the study of water movement along the exterior surface area of plants. Its primary goal is to describe water velocity and water depth along the stem surface area. Its significance in enriching the rhizosphere with water and nutrients is not in dispute. Yet, the hydrodynamics of stemflow have been entirely overlooked. This review seeks to fill this knowledge gap by drawing from thin film theories to seek outcomes at the tree scale. The depth‐averaged conservation equations of water and solute mass are derived at a point. These equations are then supplemented with the conservation of momentum that is required to describe water velocities or relations between water velocities and water depth. Relevant forces pertinent to momentum conservation are covered and include body forces (gravitational effects), surface forces (wall friction), line forces (surface tension), and inertial effects. The inclusion of surface tension opens new vistas into the richness and complexity of stemflow hydrodynamics. Flow instabilities such as fingering, pinching of water columns into droplets, accumulation of water within fissures due to surface tension and their sudden release are prime examples that link observed spatial patterns of stemflow fronts and morphological characteristics of the bark. Aggregating these effects at the tree‐ and storm‐ scales are featured using published experiments. The review discusses outstanding challenges pertaining to stemflow hydrodynamics, the use of dynamic similarity and 3D printing to enable the interplay between field studies and controlled laboratory experiments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-speed x-ray phase contrast imaging and digital image correlation analysis of microscale shock response of an additively manufactured energetic material simulant

The performance of energetic materials subjected to dynamic loading significantly depends on their micro- and meso-scale structural morphology. The geometric versatility offered by additive manufacturing opens new pathways to tailor the performance of these materials. Additively manufactured energetic materials (AMEMs) have a wide range of structural characteristics with a hierarchy of length scales and process-inherent heterogeneities, which are hitherto difficult to precisely control. It is important to understand how these features affect AMEMs’ response under dynamic/shock loading. Therefore, temporally and spatially resolved measurements of both macroscopic behavior and micro- and meso-level processes influencing macroscopic behavior are required. In this paper, we analyze the shock compression response of an AMEM simulant loaded under several impact conditions and orientations. Furthermore, x-ray phase contrast imaging (PCI) is used to track features across the observed shock front and determine the linear shock velocity vs particle velocity equation of state, as well as to quantify the interior deformation fields via digital image correlation (DIC) analyses. Photon Doppler velocimetry is simultaneously used to measure the particle velocities of the specimens, which are consistent with those obtained from x-ray PCI. The DIC analyses provide an assessment of the average strain fields inside the material, showing that the average axial strain depends on the loading intensity and reaches as high as 0.23 for impact velocities up to 1.5 km/s. The overall results demonstrate the utility of x-ray PCI for probing “in-material” equation of state and interior strains associated with dynamic shock compression behavior of the AMEM simulant.

3D printing↗

Projected changes in cross-equatorial northerly surges and their hydrological impacts in the near future

Recent decades have witnessed unprecedented extreme precipitation and catastrophic flooding in some of the most populated regions in Southeast Asia during boreal winter. These extreme events are often influenced by the cross-equatorial northerly surge (CENS), characterized by a strengthening of northerly moist monsoon winds south of the equator in the western Maritime Continent. However, the potential future changes in CENS and its hydrological impacts remain underexplored. Here, using an ensemble of high-resolution climate model simulations (CMIP6 HighResMIP), we show that the regional impacts of CENS on the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation events are projected to significantly increase in the near future (2030–2050), particularly over the adjacent coastal regions of southern Indonesia and northwestern Australia. More specifically, the risk of CENS-related extreme precipitation is projected to increase by up to 39 ± 1.2% relative to the seasonal probability, despite no apparent changes in the CENS characteristics in the near future. Such stronger impact is attributed to the enhanced moistening efficiency and moist static instability due to a more humid and warmer environment, which leads to more intense CENS convection. Our results suggest the need for effective monitoring and disaster managements to respond to the increasing severity of such events in the near future.

Climate sciences↗

Performance analysis of functionally graded multifunctional piezoelectric energy harvesting microgyroscopes

Functionally graded materials (FGMs) are composite materials with varying material properties in one or more directions. These materials possess distinct characteristics compared to their constituent components. The ability to control material distribution and compositions in FGMs offers improved constraints over the natural frequencies of the system, making them highly suitable for energy harvesting applications. In this study, we focus on a piezoelectric FGM composed of Platinum (Pt) and Lead Titanate Zirconate (PZT). By utilizing FGMs for energy harvesting, we simplify the system from a multilayer structure to a single-layer system, thereby increasing power density by reducing volume. In this work, a power law distribution is used to model the material variation throughout the thickness of the single-layered beam. The governing equations of motion and boundary conditions for FG energy harvesting microgyroscope are derived using Euler-Bernoulli beam theory, the constitutive piezoelectric principle, and the extended Hamilton's principle. To simulate the nonlinear motion of the FG energy harvester, we employ the differential quadrature method (DQM). Subsequently, an investigation is carried out to examine the effects of various factors including material distribution, platinum percentage, base rotation, DC voltage, and electrical load resistance on the energy harvesting microgyroscope with functionally graded materials. Here, the findings suggest that functionally graded energy harvesting gyroscopes can be adjusted to obtain effective energy harvesting and sensing capabilities by carefully selecting the material distribution, input voltage, and electrical load resistance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermal transport in Yb-based 1-2-20 materials

Abstract Lattice thermal-transport properties of heavy-fermion YbT 2 Zn 20 -based (T = Co, Rh, and Ir) 1-2-20 compounds are calculated with the single-mode relaxation-time approximation and the full solution of the linearized phonon Boltzmann transport equation from first-principles anharmonic phonon calculations. We predict low lattice thermal conductivity κ L with a maximum value of ∼ 24.16 · K at 85.14 K, 137.29 · K at 9.67 K, and 23.55 · K at 67.50 K and ∼ 12.02, 40.04, and 10.30 · K at room temperature for YbCo 2 Zn 20 , YbRh 2 Zn 20 , and YbIr 2 Zn 20 , respectively. Based on the analysis of the cumulative κ L as a function of the phonon mean free path and the frequency-dependent joint density of states at various temperatures, we attribute the low κ L to a rattling mode with an average characteristic rattling frequency that enhanced phonon scattering processes, which reduced the phonon mean free paths, suppressed the phonon lifetime, and enhanced the probability of three-phonon scattering events. The predicted low κ L , especially in YbCo 2 Zn 20 and YbIr 2 Zn 20 , makes them promising candidate materials for thermoelectric applications and thermal management.

Physics↗

Development of a triple-moment ice-phase cloud microphysics scheme and its application to the Single Column Atmosphere Model

Parameterization of cloud microphysics is critical for accurate simulation of weather and climate, in which the characteristics of cloud particle spectrum inevitably further affect climate simulation by changing the cloud evolution and cloud radiation effects. The popular currently used double-moment cloud microphysics schemes in numerical models can predict the intercept (N 0 ) and slope (λ) parameters of cloud particle spectrum but cannot predict the spectral shape parameter (μ), which hinders accurate description of cloud physical processes in climate models. Therefore, in the present study, we built upon the ideas of previously developed triple-moment cloud microphysics scheme, considered radar reflectivity factor as the third predictor in addition to number and mass concentration, and introduced its related prediction equation to the Single Column Atmosphere Model Version 5.3 (SCAM5.3). Moreover, the relevant microphysical process formulas in the model were revised, and a triple-moment ice-cloud microphysics scheme was constructed to predict the μ of ice particle spectrum. Based on this model, a 29-day case of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program in the summer of 1997 (ARM97) was simulated, and the differences in cloud fraction and radiation simulations between the double- and triple-moment schemes were analysed. The μ of ice particle spectrum predicted by the triple-moment scheme mainly ranged from 0 to 4; the peak value was around 2, and at least 85% of the μ values were greater than the default 0. Therefore, the μ=0 setting in the double-moment scheme is unreasonable. Moreover, the developed triple-moment ice-cloud microphysics scheme yielded a narrower ice particle spectrum, which was closer to the observation results of previous studies, than the double-moment cloud microphysics scheme (e.g., height=233 hPa). Furthermore, compared with the double-moment scheme, the triple-moment scheme achieved closer simulations of the cloud fraction observations, particularly for ice clouds in the upper levels. Considering the close association between cloud fraction and radiation, the error with the triple-moment scheme was smaller than that with the double-moment scheme regardless of the shortwave (surface downward shortwave radiation, net downward shortwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere, and net shortwave radiation at the surface) or longwave (surface downward longwave radiation and net longwave radiation at the surface) flux density. Finally, the improvement mechanism of the triple-moment scheme on cloud fraction and radiation simulations was explored. The major reason is that the triple-moment scheme weakens the autoconversion of ice crystal to form snow and enhances the growth process of ice crystal deposition, thereby increasing the mass concentration of ice crystals and ice cloud fraction. Overall, the developed triple-moment ice-cloud microphysics scheme can help improve the simulation ability of models for cloud-climate feedback and other processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stochastic finite volume method for uncertainty quantification of transient flow in gas pipeline networks

We develop a weakly intrusive framework to simulate the propagation of uncertainty in solutions of generic hyperbolic partial differential equation systems on graph-connected domains with nodal coupling and boundary conditions. The method is based on the Stochastic Finite Volume (SFV) approach and can be applied for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the dynamical state of fluid flow over actuated transport networks. The numerical scheme has specific advantages for modeling intertemporal uncertainty in time-varying boundary parameters, which cannot be characterized by strict upper and lower (interval) bounds. We describe the scheme for a single pipe, and then formulate the controlled junction Riemann problem (JRP) that enables the extension to general network structures. In conclusion, we demonstrate the method's capabilities and performance characteristics using a standard benchmark test network.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Origin of Pulsed Radio Emission from Magnetars

Extended periods of radio pulsations have been observed for six magnetars, displaying characteristics different from those of ordinary pulsars. In this Letter, we argue that radio emission is generated in a closed, twisted magnetic flux bundle originating near the magnetic pole and extending beyond 100 km from the magnetar. The electron–positron flow in the twisted bundle has to carry electric current and, at the same time, experiences a strong drag from the radiation field of the magnetar. This combination forces the plasma into a “radiatively locked” state with a sustained two-stream instability, generating radio emission. We demonstrate this mechanism using novel first-principles simulations that follow the plasma behavior by solving the relativistic Vlasov equation with the discontinuous Galerkin method. First, using one-dimensional simulations, we demonstrate how radiative drag induces the two-stream instability, sustaining turbulent electric fields. When extended to two dimensions, the system produces electromagnetic waves, including superluminal modes capable of escaping the magnetosphere. We measure their frequency and emitted power and incorporate the local simulation results into a global magnetospheric model. The model explains key features of the observed radio emission from magnetars: its appearance after an X-ray outburst, wide pulse profiles, luminosities ∼10 30 erg s −1 , and a broad range of frequencies extending up to ∼100 GHz.

Astronomical simulations↗