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At least 289 records · Page 16
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Preliminary Results from the Saffire VI Experiment

Preliminary results are presented for one test of the last flight of the Spacecraft Fire Experiment (Saffire VI) which was conducted on an orbiting Cygnus spacecraft. These experiments directly address the risks associated with our understanding of spacecraft fire behavior at practical length scales and geometries. The lack of this experimental data has forced spacecraft designers to base their designs and safety precautions on 1-g understanding of flame spread, flame self-extinguishment, fire detection, and suppression. The Saffire experiment was developed by an international team of investigators with the goal of addressing open issues in spacecraft fire safety. NASA’s Spacecraft Fire Safety Demonstration Project was formulated with the goal of conducting a series of large-scale experiments in spacecraft environments that represent practical spacecraft fires. These tests spanned 1.5 to 3.2 kW with free air volumes of 17 to 19 cubic meters. The final flight in the series of six experiments examined concurrent spread over large samples (all 41 cm wide) including a thin sheet of flammable fuel (cotton/fiberglass 50 cm long); 2-sided spread over 1 cm thick polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) (18 cm long); 1-sided spread over 0.5 cm thick (18 cm long); and Nomex fabric (7 cm long). Results are presented for the PMMA samples, the SIBAL sample, and the thin cotton samples from Saffire IV and V. The flame heat release is determined and compared to the overall temperature rise in the spacecraft and the change in the concentration of carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide in the spacecraft. Overall, the temperature and pressure rise in the spacecraft were found to be less significant than the increase in carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide.

fire↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Preliminary Results from the Saffire VI Experiment

The preliminary results are presented for one test of the last flight of the Spacecraft Fire Experiment (Saffire VI) which was conducted on an orbiting Cygnus spacecraft. These experiments directly address the risks associated with our understanding of spacecraft fire behavior at practical length scales and geometries. The lack of this experimental data has forced spacecraft designers to base their designs and safety precautions on 1-g understanding of flame spread, flame self-extinguishment, fire detection, and suppression. The Saffire experiment was developed by an international team of investigators with the goal of addressing open issues in spacecraft fire safety. NASA’s Spacecraft Fire Safety Demonstration Project was designed with the goal of conducting a series of large-scale experiments in spacecraft environments that represent practical spacecraft fires. The final flight examined concurrent spread over large samples (all 41 cm wide) including a thin sheet of flammable fuel (cotton/fiberglass 50 cm long); 2-sided spread over 1 cm thick polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) (18 cm long) ; 1-sided spread over 0.5 cm thick (18 cm long); and Nomex fabric (7 cm long). This paper focusses on the two-sided PMMA sample. The flame heat release is determined and is compared to the overall temperature rise in the spacecraft and the change in the concentration of carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide in the spacecraft.

fire↗
DOE OSTI2024

Acid–base concentration swing for direct air capture of carbon dioxide

This work demonstrates the first experimental evidence of the acid–base concentration swing (ABCS) for direct air capture of CO 2 . This process is based on the effect that concentrating particular acid–base chemical reactants will strongly acidify solution, through Le Chatelier's principle, and result in outgassing absorbed CO 2 . After collecting the outgassed CO 2 , diluting the solution will result in a reversal of the acid–base reaction, basifying the solution and allowing for atmospheric CO 2 absorption. The experimental study examines a system that includes sodium cation as the alkalinity carrier, boric acid, and a polyol complexing agent that reversibly reacts with boric acid to strongly acidify solution upon concentration. Though the tested experimental system faces absorption rate and water capacity limitations, the ABCS process described here provides a basis for further process optimization. A generalized theoretical ABCS reaction framework is developed and different reaction orders and conditions are studied mathematically. Higher order reactions yield favorable cycle output results, reaching volumetric cycle capacity above 50 mM for third-order and 80 mM for fourth-order reactions. Optimal equilibrium constants are determined in order to guide alternative chemical searches and synthetic chemistry design targets. There is a substantial energetic benefit for reaction orders above the first, with second- and third-order ABCS cycles exhibiting a thermodynamic minimum work for the concentrating and outgassing steps around 150 kJ per mole of CO 2 . A significant advantage of the ABCS is that it can be driven through well-developed and widely-deployed desalination technologies, such as reverse osmosis, with opportunities for energy recovery when recombining the concentrated and diluted streams, and extraction can occur directly from the liquid phase upon vacuum application.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microbial functional genes commonly respond to elevated carbon dioxide

Atmospheric CO 2 concentration is increasing, largely due to anthropogenic activities. Previous studies of individual free-air CO 2 enrichment (FACE) experimental sites have shown significant impacts of elevated CO 2 (eCO 2 ) on soil microbial communities; however, no common microbial response patterns have yet emerged, challenging our ability to predict ecosystem functioning and sustainability in the future eCO 2 environment. Here we analyzed 66 soil microbial communities from five FACE sites, and showed common microbial response patterns to eCO 2 , especially for key functional genes involved in carbon and nitrogen fixation (e.g., pcc/acc for carbon fixation, nifH for nitrogen fixation), carbon decomposition (e.g., amyA and pulA for labile carbon decomposition, mnp and lcc for recalcitrant carbon decomposition), and greenhouse gas emissions (e.g., mcrA for methane production, norB for nitrous oxide production) across five FACE sites. Also, the relative abundance of those key genes was generally increased and directionally associated with increased biomass, soil carbon decomposition, and soil moisture. In addition, a further literature survey of more disparate FACE experimental sites indicated increased biomass, soil carbon decay, nitrogen fixation, methane and nitrous oxide emissions, plant and soil carbon and nitrogen under eCO 2 . A conceptual framework was developed to link commonly responsive functional genes with ecosystem processes, such as pcc/acc vs. soil carbon storage, amyA/pulA/mnp/lcc vs. soil carbon decomposition, and nifH vs. nitrogen availability, suggesting that such common responses of microbial functional genes may have the potential to predict ecosystem functioning and sustainability in the future eCO 2 environment.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1975

Interference of oxygen, carbon dioxide, and water vapor on the analysis for oxides of nitrogen by chemiluminescence

The interference of small concentrations (less than 4 percent by volume) of oxygen, carbon dioxide, and water vapor on the analysis for oxides of nitrogen by chemiluminescence was measured. The sample gas consisted primarily of nitrogen, with less than 100 parts per million concentration of nitric oxide, and with small concentrations of oxygen, carbon dioxide, and water vapor added. Results obtained under these conditions indicate that although oxygen does not measurably affect the analysis for nitric oxide, the presence of carbon dioxide and water vapor causes the indicated nitric oxide concentration to be too low. An interference factor - defined as the percentage change in indicated nitric oxide concentration (relative to the true nitric oxide concentration) divided by the percent interfering gas present - was determined for carbon dioxide to be -0.60 + or - 0.04 and for water vapor to be -2.1 + or - 0.3.

Maahs, H. G.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Two decades of fumigation data from the Soybean Free Air Concentration Enrichment facility

Abstract The Soybean Free Air Concentration Enrichment (SoyFACE) facility is the longest running open-air carbon dioxide and ozone enrichment facility in the world. For over two decades, soybean, maize, and other crops have been exposed to the elevated carbon dioxide and ozone concentrations anticipated for late this century. The facility, located in East Central Illinois, USA, exposes crops to different atmospheric concentrations in replicated octagonal ~280 m 2 Free Air Concentration Enrichment (FACE) treatment plots. Each FACE plot is paired with an untreated control (ambient) plot. The experiment provides important ground truth data for predicting future crop productivity. Fumigation data from SoyFACE were collected every four seconds throughout each growing season for over two decades. Here, we organize, quality control, and collate 20 years of data to facilitate trend analysis and crop modeling efforts. This paper provides the rationale for and a description of the SoyFACE experiments, along with a summary of the fumigation data and collation process, weather and ambient data collection procedures, and explanations of air pollution metrics and calculations.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2011

Monthly Representations of Mid-Tropospheric Carbon Dioxide from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) on NASA's Earth Observing System Aqua spacecraft was launched in May of 2002 and acquires hyperspectral infrared spectra used to generate a wide range of atmospheric products including temperature, water vapor, and trace gas species including carbon dioxide. Here we present monthly representations of global concentrations of mid-tropospheric carbon dioxide produced from 8 years of data obtained by AIRS between the years of 2003 and 2010. We define them as "representations" rather than "climatologies" to reflect that the files are produced over a relatively short time period and represent summaries of the Level 3 data. Finally, they have not yet been independently validated. The representations have a horizontal resolution of 2.0 deg x 2.5 deg (Latitude x Longitude) and faithfully reproduce the original 8 years of monthly L3 CO2 concentrations with a standard deviation of 1.48 ppm and less than 2% outliers. The representations are intended for use in studies of the global general circulation of CO2 and identification of anomalies in CO2 typically associated with atmospheric transport. The seasonal variability and trend found in the AIRS CO2 data are discussed.

Carbon Dioxide↗
DOE OSTI2023

High-Performance, Hybrid Polymer Membrane for Carbon Dioxide Separation from Ambient Air

The Department of Energy (DOE) seeks to develop carbon capture materials specifically tailored for Direct Air Capture (DAC) processes. Related to this, they require recipients to develop novel DAC materials such as: solvents, membranes, or sorbents that demonstrate high affinities or capacities for carbon dioxide (CO2) at concentrations typically available in air and at near ambient conditions. Toward this, InnoSense LLC (ISL) is developing High-Performance, Hybrid Polymer Membranes (HypoMemTM) for Carbon Dioxide Separation from Ambient Air. HypoMem consists of two major layers. The first layer is the active layer which contains the active ingredients that help to separate CO2 from ambient air. The second is the support layer that provides good mechanical support to have a free-standing membrane without interfering with the properties of the active layer.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Effect of chloride ingress on self-healing recovery of smart cementitious composite incorporating crystalline admixture and MgO expansive agent

Highlights: • Crack closure under wet/dry cycles in chloride solution is higher than the one in distilled water. • Element analysis shows that calcium is vital for crack healing either in water or chloride solution. • AFm is consumed by chloride ion to form Fs, and Fs were decomposed to AH{sub 3} by carbonation. • Soluble reactive silica reacts with calcium hydrate to form C-S-H gel to heal concrete cracks. • Expansion of magnesium hydroxide facilitates crack self-healing by interconnected network. In this study, the effect of chloride environment containing various concentrations of chloride ion (Cl{sup −}) on self-healing performance of pre-cracked cementitious composite containing crystalline admixture (CA) and MgO expansive agent (MEA) was investigated under wet-dry cycles in chloride solutions. The results revealed that the Cl{sup −} changed the mineralogy of self-healing products, and consequently, affected the crack closure ratio and mechanical strength recovery. When self-healing occurred in distilled water, a large amount of ettringite (AFt) were detected, whereas in Cl{sup −} solution, monosulfate (AFm) was consumed by Cl{sup −} to form Friedel's salt (Fs), and then the Fs was decomposed to Al(OH){sub 3}(AH{sub 3}) due to carbonation. During the multiphase conversion process, hydroxide (OH{sup −}) was released into crack solution, therefore the dissolved carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) concentration was increased. The carbonation of the crystals formed in cracks was accelerated with the volume expansion, which achieved rapid crack sealing but contributed little to the mechanical performance recovery.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modification of CO 2 /H 2 O selectivity of polymer for carbon capture materials

Today, the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration is 421ppm, over one hundred ppm higher than it was at any point in the last 800,000 years (NASA, 2023). Multiple strategies are necessary to reduce the presence of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Besides limiting CO 2 output, carbon capture technology is essential to reduce the overall amount of CO 2 . The Microencapsulated CO 2 Sorbents (MECS) team at Lawrence Livermore National laboratory has developed technologies that can capture CO 2 inside microcapsules, where it can be temporarily stored and later released. In 2017, the commercial potential of these microcapsules was recognized. The brewing industry only requires about one third of the CO 2 it releases for carbonization and packaging, which Congwang Ye and Lionel Keene learned when they met with leaders of small breweries in Colorado to discuss employing carbon capture microcapsules in their processes to reduce their carbon footprint and production costs (Thomas, 2017). The breweries were interested in the technology, but the existing microcapsules require hydration, which is an expensive process for small brewers. In order to develop the microcapsules so they can be commercialized, it is essential to reduce their water loss to improve efficiency and reduce costs for the customers. One method to resolve this issue is to alter the membrane formulation by adding a material that is known to be hydrophobic to decrease the water permeability of the entire membrane. The goal of this project was to study the effect of dispersing a nanomaterial in the polymer membrane shells of microcapsules on the water vapor and carbon dioxide permeability of the membranes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1992

A study of the control problem of the shoot side environment delivery system of a closed crop growth research chamber

The details of our initial study of the control problem of the crop shoot environment of a hypothetical closed crop growth research chamber (CGRC) are presented in this report. The configuration of the CGRC is hypothetical because neither a physical subject nor a design existed at the time the study began, a circumstance which is typical of large scale systems control studies. The basis of the control study is a mathematical model which was judged to adequately mimic the relevant dynamics of the system components considered necessary to provide acceptable realism in the representation. Control of pressure, temperature, and flow rate of the crop shoot environment, along with its oxygen, carbon dioxide, and water concentration is addressed. To account for mass exchange, the group of plants is represented in the model by a source of oxygen, a source of water vapor, and a sink for carbon dioxide. In terms of the thermal energy exchange, the group of plants is represented by a surface with an appropriate temperature. Most of the primitive equations about an experimental operating condition and a state variable representation which was extracted from the linearized equations are presented. Next, we present the results of a real Jordan decomposition and the repositioning of an undesirable eigenvalue via full state feedback. The state variable representation of the modeling system is of the nineteenth order and reflects the eleven control variables and eight system disturbances. Five real eigenvalues are very near zero, with one at zero, three having small magnitude positive values, and one having a small magnitude negative value. A Singular Value Decomposition analysis indicates that these non-zero eigenvalues are not results of numerical error.

Blackwell, C. C.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Dissolved Inorganic Carbon-Accumulating Complexes from Autotrophic Bacteria from Extreme Environments

To facilitate the synthesis of biomass from CO 2 , autotrophic organisms use a variety of mechanisms to increase intracellular DIC concentrations. A novel type of multi-subunit complex has recently been described, which has been shown to generate measurably elevated intracellular DIC concentrations in three species of bacteria, raising the question of whether these complexes share this capability across the 17 phyla of Bacteria and Archaea where they are found.

carbon fixation↗
DOE OSTI2022

Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations

The climate scenarios that form the basis for current climate risk assessments have no assigned probabilities, and this impedes the analysis of future climate risks. This paper proposes an approach to estimate the probability of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration scenarios used in key climate change modeling experiments. It computes the CO 2 emissions compatible with the concentrations prescribed by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and CMIP6 experiments. The distribution of these compatible cumulative emissions is interpreted as the likelihood of future emissions given a concentration pathway. Using Bayesian analysis, the probability of each pathway can be estimated from a probabilistic sample of future emissions. The approach is demonstrated with five probabilistic CO 2 emission simulation ensembles from four Integrated Assessment Models (IAM), leading to independent estimates of the likelihood of the CO 2 concentration of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). Results suggest that SSP5-8.5 is unlikely for the second half of the 21st century, but offer no clear consensus on which of the remaining scenarios is most likely. Estimates of likelihoods of CO 2 concentrations associated with RCP and SSP scenarios are affected by sampling errors, differences in emission sources simulated by the IAMs, and a lack of a common experimental framework for IAM simulations. These shortcomings, along with a small IAM ensemble size, limit the applicability of the results presented here. Novel joint IAM and the Earth System Model experiments are needed to deliver actionable probabilistic climate risk assessments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1995

Supporting technology for the development of Controlled Ecological Life Support Systems (CELSS)

To support the development of Controlled Ecological Life Support Systems (CELSS) in the space program, a metabolic simulator has been selected for use in a closed chamber to test functions of the CELSS. This metabolic simulator is a catalytic reactor which oxidizes the methyl acetate to produce carbon dioxide and water vapor. In this project, kinetic studies of catalytic oxidation of methyl acetate were conducted using monolithic and pellet catalysts with 0.5% (by weight) platinum (Pt) on aluminum oxide (Al2O3). The reaction was studied at a pressure of one atmosphere and at temperatures varying from 160 C to 420 C. By-products were identified at the exit of the preheater and reactor. For the kinetic study with the monolithic catalyst, a linear regression method was used to correlate the kinetic data with zero-order, first-order and Langmuir-Hinshelwood models. Results indicate that the first-order model represents the data adequately at low concentrations of methyl acetate. For higher concentrations of methyl acetate, the Langmuir-Hinshelwood model best represents the kinetic data. Both rate constant and adsorption equilibrium constants were estimated from the regression. A Taguchi orthogonal array (L(sub 9)) was used to investigate the effects of temperature, flow rate, and concentration on the catalytic oxidation of methyl acetate. For the monolithic catalyst, temperature exerts the most significant effect, followed by concentration of methyl acetate. For the pellet catalyst, reaction temperature is the most significant factor, followed by gas flow rate and methyl acetate concentration. Concentrations of either carbon dioxide or oxygen were seen to have insignificant effect on the methyl acetate conversion process. Experimental results indicate that the preheater with glass beads can accomplish thermal cracking and catalytic reaction of methyl acetate to produce acetic acid, methanol, methyl formate, and 1-propanol. The concentration of all by-products was measured in ppmv (parts per million by volume). At higher temperatures, greater amounts of these products are produced, as expected. In all cases, methanol was the predominant concentration detected, followed by methyl formate. At temperatures lower than 320 C for the P-type monolithic catalyst, methanol, acetic acid, and acetone were detected, whereas, for the E-type monolithic catalyst, only methanol was detected at 160 C. Both P and E types of the monolithic catalyst were specified with the same substrates (ceramic), washcoat (Al2O3), and promoter (Pt). However, the manufacturing and treatment procedures were quite different. It was therefore concluded that the performance of the E-type monolithic catalyst is superior to that of the P-type for oxidation of methyl acetate. At higher reaction temperatures, e.g., above 420 C, all reactants and byproducts were completely oxidized using these two types of monolithic catalyst to produce carbon dioxide and water vapor. A complex heterogenous catalytic reaction mechanism was proposed to explain the formation of the byproducts (methanol, acetic acid, and methyl formate) as the methyl acetate traveled through the preheater packed with glass beads. The by-product, 1-propanol, may be formed only through a homogeneous reaction, since it is difficult to develop a reasonable sequence of heterogeneous reaction steps to explain its formation. The homogeneous thermal decomposition of methyl acetate to form free radicals was proposed to explain the formation of 1-propanol, and also methanol, in the preheater. A dual-site catalytic reaction mechanism was proposed for the oxidation of methyl acetate over Pt/Al2O3 monolithic catalyst. The dual-site mechanism describes the chemisorption of oxygen molecules as well as a physical adsorption of methyl acetate on the active sites. On the active sites, methyl acetate is oxidized rapidly to form carbon dioxide and water vapor. A rate equation derived from this mechanism gives the Langmuir-Hinshelwood rate formula which has been observed from the experimental data obtained in this project for high methyl acetate concentration (greater than 1000 ppmv) over a monolithic catalyst. If the oxygen concentration is very high and methyl acetate concentration is very low, the reaction rate equation is then reduced to a first-order with respect to methyl acetate concentration. The first-order model has also been observed from the experimental data obtained in this project for low methyl acetate concentration (less than 1000 ppmv).

Li, Ku-Yen↗
NASA NTRS2011

Sensitivity of Terrestrial Water and Energy Budgets to CO2-Physiological Forcing: An Investigation Using an Offline Land Model

Increasing concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) influence climate by suppressing canopy transpiration in addition to its well-known greenhouse gas effect. The decrease in plant transpiration is due to changes in plant physiology (reduced opening of plant stomata). Here, we quantify such changes in water flux for various levels of CO2 concentrations using the National Center for Atmospheric Research s (NCAR) Community Land Model. We find that photosynthesis saturates after 800 ppmv (parts per million, by volume) in this model. However, unlike photosynthesis, canopy transpiration continues to decline at about 5.1% per 100 ppmv increase in CO2 levels. We also find that the associated reduction in latent heat flux is primarily compensated by increased sensible heat flux. The continued decline in canopy transpiration and subsequent increase in sensible heat flux at elevated CO2 levels implies that incremental warming associated with the physiological effect of CO2 will not abate at higher CO2 concentrations, indicating important consequences for the global water and carbon cycles from anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Keywords: CO2-physiological effect, CO2-fertilization, canopy transpiration, water cycle, runoff, climate change 1.

Gopalakrishnan, Ranjith↗
DOE OSTI2023

Interaction of Concentrated (68%) Aqueous Nitric Acid Solutions with Cheesecloth: A TGA-DSC-MS Study

The exposure of cotton cheesecloth to concentrated aqueous solutions of nitric acid reduced the onset of combustion by 30-40°C (from ~350°C to ~310°C) relative to that of both unexposed cheesecloth and cheesecloth that was rinsed immediately following exposure to the same solution. Cheesecloth exposed to concentrated (68%) nitric acid underwent three exothermic pre-combustion reactions which onset at 125-135°C, 160- 170°C and 200-210°C. These reactions give off mostly water vapor, with lesser amounts of NO and carbon dioxide. Exposure to concentrated nitric acid damages the cellulose polymers, oxidizing them, reducing them in length, and increasing their reactivity in response to thermal stress. Cheesecloth which was rinsed after exposure behaved similarly to unexposed cheesecloth, indicating that NC was not formed on exposure to the concentrated aqueous nitric acid solution. The addition of a 239Pu – 241Am spike in an aqueous nitric – hydrofluoric solution to the cheesecloth reduced the onset temperature of the first exothermic reaction to 126°C and lowered the onset temperature of combustion from ~310°C to ~275°C. When dried on to cellulose substrates in the presence of excess nitrate, metal ions may act as oxidizers, or may catalyze the oxidation of the carbonaceous material, lowering ignition temperatures. No evidence for the formation of nitrocellulose following the exposure of cheesecloth to nitric acid was observed during this study

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessing the representation of the Australian carbon cycle in global vegetation models

Australia plays an important role in the global terrestrial carbon cycle on inter-annual timescales. While the Australian continent is included in global assessments of the carbon cycle such as the global carbon budget, the performance of dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) over Australia has rarely been evaluated. We assessed simulations of net biome production (NBP) and the carbon stored in vegetation between 1901 to 2018 from 13 DGVMs (TRENDY v8 ensemble). We focused our analysis on Australia's short-term (inter-annual) and long-term (decadal to centennial) terrestrial carbon dynamics. The TRENDY models simulated differing magnitudes of NBP on inter-annual timescales, and these differences resulted in significant differences in long-term vegetation carbon accumulation (–4.7 to 9.5 Pg C). We compared the TRENDY ensemble to several satellite-derived datasets and showed that the spread in the models' simulated carbon storage resulted from varying changes in carbon residence time rather than differences in net carbon uptake. Differences in simulated long-term accumulated NBP between models were mostly due to model responses to land-use change. The DGVMs also simulated different sensitivities to atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentration, although notably, the models with nutrient cycles did not simulate the smallest NBP response to CO 2 . Our results suggest that a change in the climate forcing did not have a large impact on the carbon cycle on long timescales. However, the inter-annual variability in precipitation drives the year-to-year variability in NBP. We analysed the impact of key modes of climate variability, including the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), on NBP. While the DGVMs agreed on sign of the response of NBP to El Niño and La Niña and to positive and negative IOD events, the magnitude of inter-annual variability in NBP differed strongly between models. In addition, we find that differences in the timing of simulated phenology and fire dynamics are associated with differences in simulated or prescribed vegetation cover and process representation. We further find model disagreement in simulated vegetation carbon, phenology, and apparent carbon residence time, indicating that the models have different types and coverage of vegetation across Australia (whether prescribed or emergent). Our study highlights the need to evaluate parameter assumptions and the key processes that drive vegetation dynamics, such as phenology, mortality, and fire, in an Australian context to reduce uncertainty across models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗