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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems

Climate induced extreme weather events and weather variations will affect both the demand of energy and the resilience of energy supply systems. The specific potential impact of extreme events on energy systems has been difficult to quantify due to the unpredictability of future weather events. In this work, we develop a stochastic-robust optimization method to consider both low impact variations and extreme events. Applications of the method to 30 cities in Sweden, by considering 13 climate change scenarios, reveal that uncertainties in renewable energy potential and demand can lead to a significant performance gap (up to 34% for grid integration) brought by future climate variations and a drop in power supply reliability (up to 16%) due to extreme weather events. Finally, appropriate quantification of the climate change impacts will ensure robust operation of the energy systems and enable renewable energy penetration above 30% for a majority of the cities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Partitioned exponential methods for coupled multiphysics systems

Multiphysics problems involving two or more coupled physical phenomena are ubiquitous in science and engineering. This work develops a new partitioned exponential approach for the time integration of multiphysics problems. After a possible semi-discretization in space, the class of problems under consideration is modeled by a system of ordinary differential equations where the right-hand side is a summation of two component functions, each corresponding to a given set of physical processes. The partitioned-exponential methods proposed herein evolve each component of the system via an exponential integrator, and information between partitions is exchanged via coupling terms. Here, the traditional approach to constructing exponential methods, based on the variation-of-constants formula, is not directly applicable to partitioned systems. Rather, our approach to developing new partitioned-exponential families is based on a general-structure additive formulation of the schemes. Two method formulations are considered, one based on a linear-nonlinear splitting of the right hand component functions, and another based on approximate Jacobians. The paper develops classical (non-stiff) order conditions theory for partitioned exponential schemes based on particular families of T-trees and B-series theory. Several practical methods of third order are constructed that extend the Rosenbrock-type and EPIRK families of exponential integrators. Several implementation optimizations specific to the application of these methods to reaction-diffusion systems are also discussed. Numerical experiments reveal that the new partitioned-exponential methods can perform better than traditional unpartitioned exponential methods on some problems.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Benchmarking Demand Flexibility in Commercial Buildings and Flattening the Duck – Addressing Baseline and Commissioning Challenges

With the transition from our traditional electric grid to a cleaner grid with renewable power generation, there is a need to enable building loads to be flexible. Load shedding and shifting will be essential for flattening the “Duck” for decarbonization. This paper explored the trend in the timing of DR events as a reflection of the grid’s needs using recent four years of event data from 203 retail stores in 11 states. The events are becoming significantly shorter with 2-hour duration being the most popular; shifting to late afternoon and early evening is another trend beyond California. Benchmarking will be essential for accounting DF as a reliable grid resource. This paper addresses a challenging aspect of benchmarking – inaccuracies in counterfactual baseline methods can introduce significant DF metrics variations in addition to weather and building characteristics related factors. The conventional “10/10” with adjustment baseline method has inherent limitation by design for load shifting applications. Therefore, it is imperative to identify alternative methods. This study compared three hourly regression baseline methods with “10/10” methods using two groups of commercial buildings that participated in DR programs: (1) 121 big-box retail stores, and (2) 11 office buildings in CA. The 14-day hourly outdoor temperature regression method was found to produce least error in the tested datasets and is promising for load shifting. The paper also pointed out that commissioning issues can also be a significant barrier for achieving consistent DF performance, which building managers and utilities should be aware of.

Liu, Jingjing↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mitigating the noise of DESI mocks using analytic control variates

In order to address fundamental questions related to the expansion history of the Universe and its primordial nature with the next generation of galaxy experiments, we need to model reliably large-scale structure observables such as the correlation function and the power spectrum. Cosmological N-body simulations provide a reference through which we can test our models, but their output suffers from sample variance on large scales. Fortunately, this is the regime where accurate analytic approximations exist. To reduce the variance, which is key to making optimal use of these simulations, we can leverage the accuracy and precision of such analytic descriptions using Control Variates (CV). The power of control variates stems from utilizing inexpensive but highly correlated surrogates of the statistics one wishes to measure. The stronger the correlation between the surrogate and the statistic of interest, the larger the variance reduction delivered by the method. We apply two control variate formulations to mock catalogs generated in anticipation of upcoming data from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) to test the robustness of its analysis pipeline. Our CV-reduced measurements offer a factor of 5-10 improvement in the measurement error compared with the raw measurements. We explore the relevant properties of the galaxy samples that dictate this reduction and comment on the improvements we find on some of the derived quantities relevant to Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) analysis.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A numerical approach for detecting switch-like bistability in mass action chemical reaction networks with conservation laws

Theoretical analysis of signaling pathways can provide a substantial amount of insight into their function. One particular area of research considers signaling pathways capable of assuming two or more stable states given the same amount of signaling ligand. This phenomenon of bistability can give rise to switch-like behavior, a mechanism that governs cellular decision making. Investigation of whether or not a signaling pathway can confer bistability and switch-like behavior, without knowledge of specific kinetic rate constant values, is a mathematically challenging problem. Recently a technique based on optimization has been introduced, which is capable of finding example parameter values that confer switch-like behavior for a given pathway. Although this approach has made it possible to analyze moderately sized pathways, it is limited to reaction networks that presume a uniterminal structure. It is this limited structure we address by developing a general technique that applies to any mass action reaction network with conservation laws. In this paper we developed a generalized method for detecting switch-like bistable behavior in any mass action reaction network with conservation laws. The method involves (1) construction of a constrained optimization problem using the determinant of the Jacobian of the underlying rate equations, (2) minimization of the objective function to search for conditions resulting in a zero eigenvalue, (3) computation of a confidence level that describes if the global minimum has been found and (4) evaluation of optimization values, using either numerical continuation or directly simulating the ODE system, to verify that a bistability region exists. The generalized method has been tested on three motifs known to be capable of bistability. We have developed a variation of an optimization-based method for the discovery of bistability, which is not limited to uniterminal chemical reaction networks. Successful completion of the method provides an S-shaped bifurcation diagram, which indicates that the network acts as a bistable switch for the given optimization parameters.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Reexamining the variational two-particle reduced density matrix for nuclear systems

We report that in most nuclear many-body methods, observables are calculated using many-body wave functions explicitly. The variational two-particle reduced density matrix method is one of the few exceptions to the rule. Ground-state energies of both closed-shell and open-shell nuclear systems can indeed be evaluated by minimizing a constrained linear functional of the two-particle reduced density matrix. However, it has virtually never been used in nuclear theory, because nuclear ground states were found to be well overbound, contrary to those of atoms and molecules. Consequently, we introduced new constraints in the nuclear variational two-particle reduced density matrix method, developed recently for atomic and molecular systems. Our calculations then show that this approach can provide a proper description of nuclear systems where only valence neutrons are included. For the nuclear systems where both neutrons and protons are active, however, the energies obtained with the variational two-particle reduced density matrix method are still overbound. The possible reasons for the noticed discrepancies and solutions to this problem will be discussed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Adaptive variational quantum dynamics simulations with compressed circuits and fewer measurements

The adaptive variational quantum dynamics simulation (AVQDS) method performs real-time evolution of quantum states using automatically generated parametrized quantum circuits that often contain substantially fewer gates than Trotter circuits. Here we report an improved version of the method, which we call AVQDS(T), by porting the tiling efficient trial circuits with rotations implemented simultaneously technique. The algorithm adaptively adds layers of disjoint unitary gates to the ansatz circuit so as to keep the McLachlan distance, a measure of the accuracy of the variational dynamics, below a fixed threshold. Here we perform benchmark noiseless AVQDS(T) simulations of quench dynamics in local spin models and compare with an alternative adaptive variational approach on quantum resource requirement. Quantum dynamical simulations implementing realistic noise channels are also reported. Finally, we propose a way to substantially alleviate the measurement overhead of AVQDS(T) while maintaining high accuracy by synergistically integrating quantum circuit calculations on quantum processing units with classical calculations using, e.g., tensor networks to evaluate the quantum geometric tensor. We showcase that this approach enables AVQDS(T) to deliver more accurate results than simulations using a fixed ansatz of comparable final depth for a significant time duration with fewer quantum resources.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2025

Cheaper and more noise-resilient quantum state preparation using eigenvector continuation

Subspace methods are powerful, noise-resilient methods that can effectively prepare ground states on quantum computers. The challenge is to get a subspace with a small condition number that spans the states of interest using minimal quantum resources. In this work, we will use eigenvector continuation to build a subspace from the low-lying states of a set of Hamiltonians. The basis vectors are prepared using truncated versions of standard state preparation methods such as imaginary-time evolution (ITE), adiabatic state preparation (ASP), and variational quantum eigensolver. By using these truncated methods combined with eigenvector continuation, we can directly improve upon them, obtaining more accurate ground-state energies at a reduced cost. We use several spin systems to demonstrate convergence even when methods like ITE and ASP fail, such as ASP in the presence of level crossings and ITE with vanishing energy gaps. We also showcase the noise resilience of this approach beyond the gains already made by having shallower quantum circuits. Furthermore, our findings suggest that eigenvector continuation can be used to improve existing state preparation methods in the near term.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Bridging Power System Protection Gaps with Data-driven Approaches

Protection is a critical function in power systems to avoid equipment damage, maintain personnel safety, and support system reliability. However, current protective relay technology cannot adequately protect equipment and personnel from effects of some events; these deficiencies are termed protection gaps. In this research, a data-driven approach is proposed to complement traditional protection technology and distinguish fault conditions from transients caused by normal operations. A convolutional neural network (CNN) based fault detection approach is implemented to achieve data translation invariance of the time-series input data. As a result, the data-driven method can accurately detect system faults despite variation and noise in the input data. In addition, using the CNN–based method avoids the complicated manual feature extraction procedure required by many traditional data-driven methods. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is tested on four kinds of protection gaps: high impedance faults, transformer/generator inter-turn faults, distribution system PV circuit faults, and the mis-operation situations of Zone 3 line protection relays operating under system stress. Finally, a transfer learning method is also proposed to address the common issue of data-driven methods for which real-world training data are scarce. Extensive study results demonstrate that the proposed approach can accurately bridge power system protection gaps.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data assimilation for burnup distribution of PWR with three-dimensional variational algorithm and artificial neutral network

In this paper, a data-assimilation method has been proposed and applied for the burnup distribution of PWR. The burnup distribution is significant to the safety and economy of the reactor, as it is essential for the fuel-reloading design and optimization. Due to the burnup distribution cannot be measured directly during the reactor operation, the numerical simulation is widely applied to determine the burnup distribution. However, there is a deviation between the numerical simulation and the actual core due to some unavoidable factors, such as component manufacturing deviation, uneven flow distribution and so on. These differences would induce the errors to the simulation values of power distributions and hence to the burnup distribution. To address this problem, a data-assimilation method for the burnup distribution has been proposed with the application of power-distribution measurements. In our research, the three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) algorithm was applied for burnup-distribution calibration and the artificial neutral network (ANN) was applied to establish the relation between power distribution and corresponding burnup distribution. As engineering verification, the proposed data-assimilation method has been applied to the CNP1000 PWR operated in China. The numerical results indicated that the burnup-distribution errors can be reduced notably, as the maximum value of relative errors for power distribution can be reduced from 5.35% to 3.96%. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A micromorphic filter for determining stress and deformation measures from direct numerical simulations of lower length scale behavior

A micromorphic filter is presented for the extraction of stress and deformation measures from underlying direct numerical simulation (DNS) of microstructural mechanical response. The filter is consistent with the micromorphic continuum theory of Eringen and Suhubi (1964), and allows the interrogation of a DNS to generate higher order constitutive models. The filter adopts aspects of the overlap coupling techniques for atomistic-continuum scale-bridging in order to update the nodal degrees of freedom of the finite-element-based filter. Here, two methods for the extraction of quantities of interest from the underlying DNS are presented. The first is a least squares fitting technique which is appropriate for finite-element-style macro-scale domains, and the second is a variationally based approach which generalizes the method to any macro-scale domain which has a variational form. No restrictions on the form of the micro-scale simulation are inherent to the approach, provided that the required quantities (stress, position, etc.) can be provided. The filter is applied to a simple homogeneous medium undergoing homogeneous deformation to demonstrate the recovery of a classical continuum response, what we call the null case. We then apply the framework to the same homogeneous medium with a central and edge penny-shaped crack to show micromorphic effects. We demonstrate that varying the size of the filter causes the micromorphic behaviors to arise and then dissipate as the filter becomes smaller than the crack's length scale. Additionally we show the effect of filter size on a chiral element network along with a plate perforated with evenly spaced and perturbed holes through the thickness. The micromorphic effects are shown to be present for the chiral elements under any loading but become most pronounced when a single element is located within each averaging domain. Micromorphic effects become pronounced for the plate upon the onset of localization.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Hydrodynamic instabilities and heat transfer characteristics in the duct flow of a fluid in the supercritical thermodynamic regime

The behavior of fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions is inherently complex due to large variations in thermodynamic and transport properties. Recent numerical and experimental investigations illustrate ongoing interest for these fluids, especially supercritical CO 2 and supercritical water, for a variety of applications. For example, supercritical water reactors (SCWR) operate in this extreme condition of high-pressure and temperature, resulting in highly dynamic flow fields and unexpected heat transfer regimes. The potential heat transfer benefits in this regime are directly associated with the extreme variations in thermodynamic and transport properties, which occur at, and above, the critical point. This work characterizes the hydrodynamic instabilities that arise for fluids at supercritical thermodynamic conditions when buoyancy forces are significant. Two specific configurations are considered, a natural convection cavity flow, and a mixed convection, heated, horizontal channel flow. Natural convection flow in a cavity is a classical configuration with expected behavior below the critical point. This configuration aids in characterizing the effect of the variable properties in the supercritical thermodynamic regime. Further, limited studies in the existing literature have been conducted for low-Reynolds and intermediate-Rayleigh numbers, mixed-convection channel flows for supercritical water, which is the focus of the channel flow configuration. To investigate the thermally driven hydrodynamic instabilities in this regime, a high-order fully-implicit numerical method is used. Such strong variations in thermophysical properties (in particular, density) are difficult to simulate and an altogether compressible framework is needed. Therefore, the compressible Navier-Stokes equations are solved without any additional assumptions. The fully implicit, high-order in space and time, reconstructed discontinuous Galerkin method as implemented within the multi-physics code called ALE3D (Arbitrary Lagrangian and Eulerian in 2D and 3D), developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), is used. This fully implicit, L-stable method accurately captures the compressible nature of the ow in the limit of very low Mach number. It has been widely accepted that above the critical point, only one phase is observed. However, recent research has indicated the existence of the distinct gas-like and liquid-like regions separated by the Widom line, the locus of the maxima of the specific heat. Along the Widom line, density decreases 6-fold, viscosity drops by a factor of 2, while specific heat spikes by an order of magnitude. These variations, specifically in density and viscosity, produce a thick pseudo-interface and flow dynamics behavior akin to film boiling. A pseudo-film at the heated wall of the cavity and the horizontal channel is observed where buoyancy forces induce mixing through the specific configurations. Further the local Rayleigh and Richardson numbers provide maps of the flow field and the buoyancy forces driving the microscopic mixing. In the first chapter, I describe a background of supercritical fluid and the various applications. The second chapter focuses on the mathematical model and numerical method used for simulations, where a description of the equation of state for supercritical water is described. The third chapter focuses on the natural convection cavity with a heated bottom wall. In this cavity a gas-like and a liquid-like flow within the supercritical thermodynamic regime are observed. The fourth chapter focuses on a forced convection, horizontal channel, distinguishing between the gas-like, liquid-like, and mixed flow regimes. Mixed convection flow, with the addition of gravitational forces in the horizontal channel show the influence of variable properties on the hydrodynamic development, heat transfer, and rising instabilities. The last chapter of this research focuses on characterizing the unstable hydrodynamics through time-averaging processes and analysis of the movement of energy through the developing plumes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

A spatially regularized detector for emergent/re-emergent disease outbreaks

Early detection of outbreaks caused by emergent pathogens, using epidemiological surveillance data i.e., daily case counts, is difficult. This is because the data tend to be noisy during the early epoch of the outbreak. In contrast, the spread-rate of the disease tends to be well-behaved, as it depends only on the mixing patterns of the population and the characteristics of the pathogen, neither of which behave erratically in space-time. In this report, we explore whether the spread-rate can be used for epidemiological surveillance, conditional on case count data. Estimating the spread-rate from case count data allows us to exploit exogenous information, e.g., incubation period distributions etc., which can considerably smooth out any erratic temporal behavior. Further, epidemiological dynamics are spatially correlated, and if case counts are available for multiple areal units e.g., counties, these correlations could potentially be used to suppress noise in the early epoch data. These exogenous information and structure are not exploited by conventional syndromic surveillance detectors to extract a well-behaved latent variable for monitoring purposes. The technical challenge lies in the estimation of the spread-rate field jointly over a collection of areal units; further, the spread-rate varies over time. We develop a method based on mean-field variational inference to approximately estimate the spread-rate field, using a Gaussian Random Field Model for spatial regularization. The method is tested on the estimation of spread-rate in the thirty-three counties of New Mexico and detect the arrival of the Fall 2020 COVID-19 wave in September 2020. We find that the method is scalable, but underestimates the uncertainty in the estimated spread-rate field. We detect the arrival of the Fall 2020 wave a week ahead of conventional syndromic surveillance algorithms, but our simplistic detection algorithm, based on simple anomaly detection, suffers from a high false positive rate, similar to conventional detectors.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Heterogeneity in MacMullin Number of Li-Ion Battery Electrodes Studied by Means of an Aperture Probe

Heterogeneity of MacMullin number within battery electrodes is a key metric affecting cell performance. To characterize this heterogeneity, an aperture probe was developed. This probe, coupled with a newly developed transmission-line model, allows for measurements of tortuosity, represented by the MacMullin number, on millimeter length scales. Local MacMullin number values of seven electrodes were measured, and the ionic resistance profiles of these electrodes are given through contour maps of the MacMullin number. The method is validated by comparing the average MacMullin number to the value obtained through other measurement methods. The results show significant local MacMullin number variation in such electrodes on a millimeter length scale. Furthermore, this method will allow battery manufacturers and researchers to better quantify sources of heterogeneity and improve electrode quality.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Analysis of Polarimetry Data with Angular Uncertainties

For a track based polarimeter, such as the Imaging X-ray Polarimetry Explorer (IXPE), the sensitivity to polarization depends on the modulation factor, which is a strong function of energy. In previous work, a likelihood method was developed that would account for this variation in order to estimate the minimum detectable polarization (MDP). That method essentially required that the position angles of individual events should be known precisely. In a separate work, however, it was shown that using a machine-learning method for measuring event tracks can generate track angle uncertainties, which can be used in the analysis. Here, the maximum likelihood method is used as a basis for revising the estimate of the MDP in a general way that can include uncertainties in event track position angles. The resultant MDP depends solely upon the distribution of track angle uncertainties present in the input data. Due to the physics of the IXPE detectors, it is possible to derive a simple relationship between these angular uncertainties and the energy-dependent modulation function as a step in the process.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Lagrangian and Dirac constraints for the ideal incompressible fluid and magnetohydrodynamics

The incompressibility constraint for fluid flow was imposed by Lagrange in the so-called Lagrangian variable description using his method of multipliers in the Lagrangian (variational) formulation. An alternative is the imposition of incompressibility in the Eulerian variable description by a generalization of Dirac’s constraint method using noncanonical Poisson brackets. Here it is shown how to impose the incompressibility constraint using Dirac’s method in terms of both the canonical Poisson brackets in the Lagrangian variable description and the noncanonical Poisson brackets in the Eulerian description, allowing for the advection of density. Both cases give the dynamics of infinite-dimensional geodesic flow on the group of volume preserving diffeomorphisms and explicit expressions for this dynamics in terms of the constraints and original variables is given. Since Lagrangian and Eulerian conservation laws are not identical, comparison of the various methods is made.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Measurement of Beam Energy in the Fermilab's Linac taken at the Transfer Line

Linac is the first machine in the accelerator chain at Fermilab where H$^{-}$ ions are accelerated from 35 keV to 401.5\,MeV and then injected into a synchronton known as Booster where they are stripped of their electrons to become protons. One of the tools used during tuning of the Linac extraction energy is two beam pickups known as Griffin Detectors. Our goal is to control the output energy using machine learning techniques to increase the reliability and quality of the beam delivered from Linac. The first step is to understand the data from the diagnostics to develop reliable and accurate energy measurement, and control methods before implementing machine learning techniques. Two methods of energy measurement were studied, and their results are compared. The first method was the time of flight measurement using Beam Position Monitors that provide beam phase measurement. The second method used the relation between beam transverse positions and dispersion values to calculate momentum variation. The results of these two measurement methods are found to be consistent.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Exploring topography-based methods for downscaling subgrid precipitation for use in Earth System Models

Topography exerts major control on land surface processes. To improve representation of topographic impacts on land surface processes, a new topography-based subgrid structure has been introduced to the Energy Exascale Earth System Model to represent the subgrid heterogeneity of surface elevation. To take advantage of the new subgrid structure for improving land surface modeling, this study explores four variations of topography-based methods for downscaling grid precipitation to the corresponding subgrids. In the first three methods, the deviation of the subgrid precipitation from the grid’s is equal to the grid precipitation multiplied by the ratio of the elevation difference between the subgrid and grid mean to a specified elevation equals to the grid elevation, the difference between the maximum and minimum subgrid elevation, and the maximum subgrid elevation, respectively. The second method limits the ratio to 0.5 to avoid extreme values on mountains and the third method accounts for the slope effect. The fourth method is similar to the third method except that the Froude Number is used to limit the numerator in a blocking regime of the ambient flow. The downscaled precipitation is evaluated using the PRISM precipitation data over the U.S. using statistical metrics. Results show that by accounting for topographic slope besides elevation, the third and fourth methods show clear advantages over the first and second methods. Furthermore, introducing the Froude Number in the fourth method improves downscaling skill and shows consistent advantages over the third method in areas with larger subgrid heterogeneity across different grids sizes.

Tesfa, Teklu K.↗