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288 records · Page 16

Topological network analysis of patient similarity for precision management of acute blood pressure in spinal cord injury

Background: Predicting neurological recovery after spinal cord injury (SCI) is challenging. Using topological data analysis, we have previously shown that mean arterial pressure (MAP) during SCI surgery predicts long-term functional recovery in rodent models, motivating the present multicenter study in patients. Methods: Intra-operative monitoring records and neurological outcome data were extracted (n = 118 patients). We built a similarity network of patients from a low-dimensional space embedded using a non-linear algorithm, Isomap, and ensured topological extraction using persistent homology metrics. Confirmatory analysis was conducted through regression methods. Results: Network analysis suggested that time outside of an optimum MAP range (hypotension or hypertension) during surgery was associated with lower likelihood of neurological recovery at hospital discharge. Logistic and LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression confirmed these findings, revealing an optimal MAP range of 76–[104-117] mmHg associated with neurological recovery. Conclusions: We show that deviation from this optimal MAP range during SCI surgery predicts lower probability of neurological recovery and suggest new targets for therapeutic intervention. Funding: NIH/NINDS: R01NS088475 (ARF); R01NS122888 (ARF); UH3NS106899 (ARF); Department of Veterans Affairs: 1I01RX002245 (ARF), I01RX002787 (ARF); Wings for Life Foundation (ATE, ARF); Craig H. Neilsen Foundation (ARF); and DOD: SC150198 (MSB); SC190233 (MSB); DOE: DE-AC02-05CH11231 (DM).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Inhibition of the proton-activated chloride channel PAC by PIP 2

Proton-activated chloride (PAC) channel is a ubiquitously expressed pH-sensing ion channel, encoded by PACC1 (TMEM206). PAC regulates endosomal acidification and macropinosome shrinkage by releasing chloride from the organelle lumens. It is also found at the cell surface, where it is activated under pathological conditions related to acidosis and contributes to acid-induced cell death. However, the pharmacology of the PAC channel is poorly understood. Here, we report that phosphatidylinositol (4,5)-bisphosphate (PIP 2 ) potently inhibits PAC channel activity. We solved the cryo-electron microscopy structure of PAC with PIP 2 at pH 4.0 and identified its putative binding site, which, surprisingly, locates on the extracellular side of the transmembrane domain (TMD). While the overall conformation resembles the previously resolved PAC structure in the desensitized state, the TMD undergoes remodeling upon PIP 2 -binding. Structural and electrophysiological analyses suggest that PIP 2 inhibits the PAC channel by stabilizing the channel in a desensitized-like conformation. Our findings identify PIP 2 as a new pharmacological tool for the PAC channel and lay the foundation for future drug discovery targeting this channel.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Thermal Model Heat Rate Predictions of the AGR-5/6/7 Experiment

Several fuel and material irradiation experiments have been planned for the U.S. Department of Energy Advanced Gas Reactor Fuel Development and Qualification Program, which supports the development and qualification of tristructural isotropic (TRISO) coated particle fuel for use in high-temperature gas-cooled reactors. The goals of these experiments are to provide irradiation performance data to support fuel process development, qualify fuel for normal operating conditions, support development of fuel performance models and codes, and provide irradiated fuel and materials for post-irradiation examination and safety testing. Originally planned and named as separate fuel experiments, but subsequently combined into a single test train. AGR-5/6/7 will test low-enriched uranium oxycarbide (UCO – a heterogeneous mixture of uranium oxide and uranium carbide) TRISO fuel. The AGR-5/6 portion of the experiment will provide data to support qualification of the selected reference fuel design, while the AGR-7 portion will serve as a margin test, irradiating the fuel beyond normal operating conditions. During irradiation, the temperature in each capsule is controlled by varying the helium / neon gas mixture flowing through the capsule until the desired thermocouple temperature is reached. Further adjustments can be made by changing the lobe power and the neutron filter. Three neutron filters are available to use as the experiment burns up the fissionable fuel. A thermal finite element model has been created for the five capsules comprising the AGR-5/6/7 experiment. Heat rates from a physics analysis are imported into the model along with fast neutron fluence. Graphite shrinkage due to the fast neutron fluence is incorporated into the model. Gas gaps change as a function of fast neutron fluence. Radiation heat transfer is a major contributor in this model. This is a large model with more than 1 million finite element brick elements. More than 150 different parts are modeled in the finite element model and communicate with each other from a heat transfer sense. More than 50 thermocouples are used in the experiment and are compared to actual measurements. The experiment is composed of five separate stainless steel capsules all welded together. This paper presents a method used to predict the gas mixture in the event that all of the thermocouples fail in a particular capsule. Curve fitting of heat rates from previous cycles and projecting them into the future is the basis of the method.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Additive Manufacturing of Heat Pipes for Microreactor Applications

Heat pipes are highly effective devices used to passively transport heat by two-phase capillary action. Their small footprint, light weight and lack of moving parts make them ideal for transportable nuclear microreactors, where size and weight are limited, minimal to no operation and maintenance are required, and high reliability is desired. The use of additive manufacturing allows for the fabrication of heat pipes with performance enhancements, such as microchannels, grooves, arteries, or tailored porosity, which are difficult, expensive or impossible to achieve with traditional fabrication techniques. We are evaluating the capabilities of the Admaflex 130 Digital Light Printer to produce these geometries by characterizing feature shrinkage, developing an optimal heat treatment recipe, assessing the effects of heat treatment atmosphere and varying print orientation. Computational simulations are being used to estimate performance of the various 3D printed configurations.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

AGR-5/6/7 Irradiation As Run Predictions Using PARFUME

The PARticle FUel ModEl (PARFUME), a fuel performance modeling code used for high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, was used to model the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR)-5/6/7 irradiation test using as-run physics and thermal data. The AGR-5/6/7 irradiation test consists of the combined fifth, sixth, and seventh planned irradiations of the AGR Fuel Development and Qualification Program. The AGR-5/6/7 test train is a multi-capsule, instrumented experiment that is designed for irradiation in the 133.4-mm diameter northeast flux trap position of the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at Idaho National Laboratory. Each capsule contains compacts filled with uranium oxycarbide unaltered fuel particles. This report documents the calculations performed to predict the failure probability of tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-coated fuel particles during the AGR-5/6/7 experiment. In addition, this report documents the calculated fission product release fraction from the fuel. The calculations include modeling of the AGR 5/6/7 irradiation that occurred from February 2018 to July 2020 over nine ATR cycles, including six normal cycles and three power axial locator mechanism cycles, for a total of approximately 376 effective full power days (EFPD). The irradiation conditions and material properties of the AGR-5/6/7 test predicted zero fuel particle failures in Capsules 1, 3, and 4. Fuel particle failures were predicted in two of the compacts in Capsule 2 and one particle failure is predicted in each one of the compacts in Capsule 5. All compacts that exhibited fuel particle failures predicted by PARFUME were caused by localized stress concentrations in the silicon carbide (SiC) layer caused by cracking in the inner pyrolytic (IPyC) layer. In addition, shrinkage of the buffer and IPyC layer during irradiation resulted in formation of a buffer-IPyC gap. Compacts with a lower irradiation temperature and fluence experienced the smallest buffer-IPyC gap formation. Conversely, higher irradiated temperature compacts with a high fluence experienced the largest buffer-IPyC gap formation. Compact 3-6-3 experienced the largest buffer IPyC gap formation of just under 21.7 µm. The release fraction of fission products silver (Ag), cesium (Cs), and strontium (Sr) vary depending on capsule location and irradiation temperature. The maximum release fraction of Ag occurs in Capsule 3, reaching up to 59.5% for the TRISO fuel particles (compact 3-6-3). The release fraction of the other two fission products, Cs and Sr, are much smaller. A maximum Cs release fraction of 1.1% occurred in compact 3-4-3 and 4.4% for Sr in compact 3-6-3.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Effects of Neutron Irradiation on the Bond Strength of Steel Embedded in Concrete

The structural integrity of the concrete biological shield (CBS) in light water reactors (LWRs) exposed to long-term radiation raises the question of the effects of fast-neutron and gamma irradiation on the bond properties of embedded carbon-steel reinforcement in concrete, which is critical to the transfer of in-service and accidental loads. The design and execution of a first-of-a-kind irradiation experiment conducted in the LVR-15 test reactor (Czech Republic) are presented along with preliminary post-irradiation examination and testing results. Preliminary analysis shows that the fast neutron flux affects the radiation-induced volumetric of concrete aggregate, that the gamma irradiation induces shrinkage of the chemically bonded water in cementitious hydrates and that the bond strength of steel in concrete at the tested irradiation conditions decreases moderately.

Le Pape, Yann↗

Assessment of Buffer-IPyC Thermomechanical Debonding Behavior Using New Experiment Strength Data in BISON

TRIstructural ISOtropic (TRISO) single sub-millimeter-diameter nuclear fuel particle consists of a spherical fuel kernel surrounded by four coating layers. During reactor operation, the TRISO coating layers are subjected to irradiation-induced dimensional changes and the associated thermomechanical behavior of each layer. One of the observed behaviors is gap formation between the buffer and IPyC layer due to the porous buffer’s irradiation-induced shrinkage exceeding that of the IPyC layer. To predict TRISO thermomechanical performance, multi-physics models have been built that are continually updated and refined. The BISON code is a finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code that may be used for TRISO particle simulations. One of the recent additions to the BISON code is the ability to model the process of layer debonding. This paper will focus on the simulation results of the improved BISON debonding model that will utilize updated strengths measured from irradiated TRISO fuel particles. The new experimental strength data from micromechanical tests of irradiated TRISO fuel samples were exercised in the BISON simulations and compared to baseline strength data to assess their applicability in the models. This also includes updated buffer-IPyC bond strengths to simulate layer delamination. Based on current experimental observations it is noted that the buffer-IPyC separation occurs not exactly at the junction of these two layers, but more on the side of the buffer layer. This improved modeling approach using experimental strength data to characterize buffer-IPyC debonding and its potential subsequent cracking will be presented in the paper along with comparisons to available experimental observations.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

In-situ ion irradiation of a spent UO2 fuel: evolution of fission products and nanograins with radiation dose

This study investigates the behavior of fission gas bubbles, five metal precipitates (5MPs) (Mo, Ru, Rh, Tc, Pd) and nanograins in spent uranium dioxide (UO2) fuel under various ion irradiation doses, temperatures, and flux conditions. Utilizing in-situ ion irradiation and advanced transmission electron microscopy, we analyzed the evolution of fission gas bubbles, 5MPs and nanograins in UO2 samples from the Belgium Reactor 3 (BR-3). Our findings reveal significant shrinkage of fission gas bubbles and 5MPs with increasing irradiation dose, accompanied by a decrease in pair density. The study also reveals nanograin coarsening under irradiation. We demonstrate that ion irradiation induces a homogeneous re-solution process where individual atoms are ejected from bubbles and precipitates, leading to their dissolution and subsequent re-precipitation in the matrix. This study provides critical insights into the dynamic behavior of fission products and nanograins under irradiation, facilitating the development of predictive models and contributing to the optimization of nuclear fuel performance and safety.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Assessment of buffer-IPyC thermomechanical debonding behavior using new experimental strength data in BISON

TRIstructural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel is a nuclear fuel commonly used in High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs). A single sub-millimeter-diameter TRISO fuel particle consists of a spherical fuel kernel surrounded by four coating layers: a low-density pyrocarbon buffer layer, an inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC) layer, a silicon carbide (SiC) layer, and an outer pyrolytic carbon (OPyC) layer. The kernel is commonly made of UO2 or a mixture of uranium carbide and uranium oxide (UCO). During reactor operation, the TRISO coating layers are subjected to irradiation-induced dimensional changes and the associated thermomechanical behavior of each layer. One of the observed behaviors is gap formation between the buffer and IPyC layer due to the porous buffer’s irradiation-induced shrinkage exceeding that of the IPyC layer. Not all irradiated particles will experience buffer-IPyC gap formation. The debonding may be partial, or it may be nearly total. However, from post-irradiation examination of UCO TRISO fuels irradiated as part of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program, it was concluded that partial buffer-IPyC debonding was the most common type of buffer-IPyC interaction. To predict TRISO thermomechanical performance, multi-physics models have been built that are being continually updated and refined. The BISON code is a finite element-based nuclear fuel performance code that may be used for 1D, 2D, and 3D TRISO particle simulations. This code is used to calculate fuel temperature, kernel swelling, buffer densification, thermal and irradiation creep, fracture, and fission gas production and release. One of the recent additions to the BISON code is the ability to model the process of layer debonding. This paper will focus on the simulation results of the improved BISON debonding model that will utilize updated strengths measured from irradiated AGR TRISO fuel particles. The new experimental strength data from micromechanical tests of irradiated TRISO fuel samples were exercised in the BISON simulations and compared to baseline strength data to assess their applicability in the models. This also includes updated buffer-IPyC bond strengths to simulate layer delamination. Based on current experimental observations it is noted that the buffer-IPyC separation occurs not exactly at the junction of these two layers, but more on the side of the buffer layer. That observation is also implemented in the TRISO interface debonding model. This improved modeling approach using experimental strength data to characterize buffer-IPyC debonding and its potential subsequent cracking will be presented in the paper along with comparisons to available experimental observations.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Carbon Additive Manufacturing with a Near-Replica “Green-to-Brown” Transformation

Nanocomposites containing nanoscale materials offer exciting opportunities to encode nanoscale features into macroscale dimensions, which produces unprecedented impact in material design and application. However, conventional methods cannot process nanocomposites with a high particle loading, as well as nanocomposites with the ability to be tailored at multiple scales. A composite architected mesoscale process strategy that brings particle loading nanoscale materials combined with multiscale features including nanoscale manipulation, mesoscale architecture, and macroscale formation to create spatially programmed nanocomposites with high particle loading and multiscale tailorability is reported. The process features a low-shrinking (<10%) “green-to-brown” transformation, making a near-geometric replica of the 3D design to produce a “brown” part with full nanomaterials to allow further matrix infill. Here, this demonstration includes additively manufactured carbon nanocomposites containing carbon nanotubes (CNTs) and thermoset epoxy, leading to multiscale CNTs tailorability, performance improvement, and 3D complex geometry feasibility. The process can produce nanomaterial-assembled architectures with 3D geometry and multiscale features and can incorporate a wide range of matrix materials, such as polymers, metals, and ceramics, to fabricate nanocomposites for new device structures and applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mechanism of drying-induced change in the physical properties of concrete: A mesoscale simulation study

Although many studies have found that drying alters the mechanical properties of concrete, the mechanism behind this change remains unclarified. The aim of this study is to elucidate the mechanism of change in properties of concrete after drying through the numerical calculation: a 3D mesoscale rigid-body-spring model (RBSM) with three phases, i.e. mortar, aggregate, and the interfacial transition zone while considering the properties changes of mortar due to drying. Based on the RBSM results, it is concluded that the change in compressive strength due to drying and heating is determined by a balance of the impact of drying-induced microcracking around coarse aggregates and the change in mechanical properties of the mortar due to drying. These mechanisms change the applied load required to reach the critical crack width and distribution, at which rim of the specimen begins to isolate from the core region and the load sustained by the rim decreases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A review of the effect of nanoclays on the fresh and hardened properties of cement-based materials

This paper provides an overview of the use of nanoclays in cement-based materials. The effect of nanoclays on shear rheological properties will be discussed, with a focus on structural build-up behavior. This macroscale flow behavior will then be tied to the effect of nanoclays on the fresh microstructure as characterized via in-situ particle size measurements and rheological techniques. This will provide insight on the mechanisms underlying the effect of nanoclays on fresh state properties through an improved understanding of their effect on flocculation and coagulation behavior. In addition, secondary effects nanoclays have on the hardening and hardened properties will also be discussed. Examples of casting applications in which nanoclays have been effectively utilized as rheological modifiers, i.e. reducing self-consolidating concrete formwork pressure, extrusion, semi-flowable concrete for slipform paving, and 3D concrete printing, will be presented. Finally, some thoughts on potential directions for future work will be shared.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hierarchical semi-Markov models with duration-aware dynamics for activity sequences

Residential electricity demand at granular scales is driven by what people do and for how long. Accurately forecasting this demand for applications like microgrid management and demand response therefore requires generative models for activities that can produce realistic daily activity sequences, capturing both the timing and duration of human behavior. This paper develops a generative model of human activity sequences using nationally representative time-use diaries at a 10-min resolution. We use this model to quantify which demographic factors are most critical for improving predictive performance. We propose a hierarchical semi-Markov framework that addresses two key modeling challenges. First, a time-inhomogeneous Markov router learns the patterns of “which activity comes next.” Second, a semi-Markov hazard component explicitly models activity durations, capturing “how long” activities realistically last. To ensure statistical stability when data are sparse, the model pools information across related demographic groups and time blocks. The entire framework is trained and evaluated using survey design weights to ensure our findings are representative of the U.S. population. On a held-out test set, we demonstrate that explicitly modeling durations with the hazard component provides a substantial and statistically significant improvement over purely Markovian models. Furthermore, our analysis reveals a clear hierarchy of demographic factors: Sex, Day-Type, and Household Size provide the largest predictive gains, while Region and Season, though important for energy calculations, contribute little to predicting the activity sequence itself. The result is an interpretable and robust generator of synthetic activity traces, providing a high-fidelity foundation for downstream energy systems modeling.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Controlled current-rate AC flash sintering of uranium dioxide

Uranium dioxide (UO2) pellets with controlled microstructures were densified up to 93.4% of their theoretical density in less than 25 minutes at a furnace temperature of 873 K, utilizing controlled current-rate alternating current (AC) flash sintering (FS). Using this AC-FS method it was possible to control the sintering rate and thermal gradients, resulting in dense pellets with no appreciable hourglassing and good mechanical integrity. Moreover, the apparent sintering activation energy for FS and for conventionally sintered samples was estimated to be 108 kJ mol -1 and 380 kJ mol -1 , respectively using the master sintering curve method. The apparent activation energy for FS was remarkably close to those reported in the literature for spark plasma sintering of UO 2 . Furthermore, both these field assisted sintering methods utilize fast heating rates and electrical effects that are likely enhancing the grain boundary diffusion mechanism. Finally controlled current-rate AC-FS has been demonstrated as a technological advancement, capable of producing ceramic nuclear fuels in a fraction of the conventional processing time.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Dealing with Measurement Uncertainties as Nuisance Parameters in Bayesian Model Calibration

In the presence of model discrepancy, the calibration of physics-based models for physical parameter inference is a challenging problem. Lack of identifiability between calibration parameters and model discrepancy requires additional identifiability constraints to be placed on the model discrepancy to obtain unique physical parameter estimates. If these assumptions are violated, the inference for the calibration parameters can be systematically biased. In many applications, such as in dynamic material property experiments, many of the calibration inputs refer to measurement uncertainties. Here, we develop a metric for identifying overfitting of these measurement uncertainties, propose a prior capable of reducing this overfitting, and show how this leads to a diagnostic tool for validation of physical parameter inference. The approach is demonstrated for a benchmark example and applied for a material property application to perform inference on the equation of state parameters of tantalum.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Variational Inference Approach to Inverse Problems with Gamma Hyperpriors

Hierarchical models with gamma hyperpriors provide a flexible, sparse-promoting framework to bridge L 1 and L 2 regularizations in Bayesian formulations to inverse problems. Despite the Bayesian motivation for these models, existing methodologies are limited to maximum a posteriori estimation. The potential to perform uncertainty quantification has not yet been realized. This paper introduces a variational iterative alternating scheme for hierarchical inverse problems with gamma hyperpriors. The proposed variational inference approach yields accurate reconstruction, provides meaningful uncertainty quantification, and is easy to implement. In addition, it lends itself naturally to conduct model selection for the choice of hyperparameters. Here, we illustrate the performance of our methodology in several computed examples, including a deconvolution problem and sparse identification of dynamical systems from time series data.

Bayesian shrinkage↗

Data and scripts associated with “Point-scale organic-matter decomposition in streambeds is weakly associated with reach-scale respiration”

This data package is associated with “Point-scale organic-matter decomposition in streambeds is weakly associated with reach-scale respiration” published in EGU Biogeosciences (Stegen et al., 2026; https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-3981-2026). It contains cotton strip decomposition rates (Kcd and Kdd) collected across the Yakima River Basin (YRB), Washington, USA. These data were collected to support a broader study examining the drivers of spatial variability in sediment respiration rates in the Yakima River Basin. Associated data used in analysis, metadata, and field protocols can be accessed at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1923689, https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1969566, and https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1987520. This data package is associated with the repository found at https://github.com/river-corridors-sfa/rcsfa-ST-2B-SSS-cotton-strip. A preliminary version of this data package was published in December 2025 at the time of manuscript submission. It was updated in June 2026, at the time of manuscript acceptance, to include additional metadata (this readme, data dictionary, and file level metadata). The data did not change. For details on how to navigate data packages generated by this project, see https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/portals/PNNLRiverCorridorSFA/About. In addition to a readme, this data package also includes a file-level metadata (FLMD) file that describes each file and a data dictionary (DD) that describes all column/row headers and variable definitions. This data package consists of (1) readme; (2) data dictionary (dd); (3) file level metadata (flmd); and (4) four folders: (1) R-scripts; (2) figures; (3) outputs from the scripts; and (4) published data. The published data folder contains a readme directing the user to download data in order to run the R-scripts. All files are .csv, .pdf, .R, .Rmd, and .txt. We acknowledge the Yakama Nation as owners and caretakers of the lands where we collected these data. We thank the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate sample collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluating the Benefits of Bayesian Hierarchical Methods for Analyzing Heterogeneous Environmental Datasets: A Case Study of Marine Organic Carbon Fluxes

Large compilations of heterogeneous environmental observations are increasingly available as public databases, allowing researchers to test hypotheses across datasets. Statistical complexities arise when analyzing compiled data due to unbalanced spatial sampling, variable environmental context, mixed measurement techniques, and other reasons. Hierarchical Bayesian modeling is increasingly used in environmental science to describe these complexities, however few studies explicitly compare the utility of hierarchical Bayesian models to simpler and more commonly applied methods. Here we demonstrate the utility of the hierarchical Bayesian approach with application to a large compiled environmental dataset consisting of 5,741 marine vertical organic carbon flux observations from 407 sampling locations spanning eight biomes across the global ocean. We fit a global scale Bayesian hierarchical model that describes the vertical profile of organic carbon flux with depth. Profile parameters within a particular biome are assumed to share a common deviation from the global mean profile. Individual station-level parameters are then modeled as deviations from the common biome-level profile. The hierarchical approach is shown to have several benefits over simpler and more common data aggregation methods. First, the hierarchical approach avoids statistical complexities introduced due to unbalanced sampling and allows for flexible incorporation of spatial heterogeneitites in model parameters. Second, the hierarchical approach uses the whole dataset simultaneously to fit the model parameters which shares information across datasets and reduces the uncertainty up to 95% in individual profiles. Third, the Bayesian approach incorporates prior scientific information about model parameters; for example, the non-negativity of chemical concentrations or mass-balance, which we apply here. We explicitly quantify each of these properties in turn. We emphasize the generality of the hierarchical Bayesian approach for diverse environmental applications and its increasing feasibility for large datasets due to recent developments in Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms and easy-to-use high-level software implementations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗