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At least 289 records · Page 16

Machine learning feature analysis illuminates disparity between E3SM climate models and observed climate change

In September of 2020, Arctic sea ice extent was the second-lowest on record. State of the art climate prediction uses Earth system models (ESMs), driven by systems of differential equations representing the laws of physics. Previously, these models have tended to underestimate Arctic sea ice loss. The issue is grave because accurate modeling is critical for economic, ecological, and geopolitical planning. We use machine learning techniques, including random forest regression and Gini importance, to show that the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) relies too heavily on just one of the ten chosen climatological quantities to predict September sea ice averages. Furthermore, E3SM gives too much importance to six of those quantities when compared to observed data. Finally, identifying the features that climate models incorrectly rely on should allow climatologists to improve prediction accuracy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

H ∞ Control for Energy Dispatch in Autonomous Nanogrid With Communication Delays

This paper proposes an optimal controller and estimator for energy dispatch to balance the power supply and demand considering communication delays. The proposed algorithm involves modeling an autonomous nanogrid (ANG) consisting of distributed energy resources, energy storage systems, loads, an $H$ ∞ controller with a reference power modulation technique, and a state estimator. The ANG was developed to express the dynamic supply-demand energy balance of a nanogird system. Reference power modulation was designed to generate the desired ESS power based on the imbalanced energy. Random communication delays were modeled using a stochastic variable satisfying the Bernoulli random binary distribution. The optimal $H$ ∞ controller and estimator were developed using a linear matrix inequality approach to exponentially stabilize the closed-loop system. Simulations were performed using real daily demand forecasts obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed real-time optimization algorithm.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Extension of SCALE/Sampler’s sensitivity analysis

Nuclear data are a major source of uncertainties in reactor physics calculations. The propagation of nuclear data uncertainties to important system responses is instrumental when determining appropriate safety margins in reactor safety analyses. It is also important to understand the major contributors to the observed uncertainties to make recommendations for further measurements and evaluations and aid in the understanding of the studied system. The SCALE code system allows for nuclear data uncertainty analysis based on the random sampling approach as implemented in SCALE’s Sampler sequence. Sampler was recently extended by a sensitivity analysis in terms of the calculation of two correlation-based sensitivity indices. This analysis allows for the identification of the top contributing nuclear reactions to any analyzed output uncertainty. This paper presents the sensitivity indices, along with their interpretation and limitations. It demonstrates the application in an eigenvalue and decay heat analysis for a boiling water reactor fuel assembly.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Time domain probabilistic seismic risk analysis using ground motion prediction equations of Fourier amplitude spectra

Modeling of Fourier amplitude spectra (FAS) of seismic motions has gained much attention in engineering seismology. In the past few years, several ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and inter-frequency correlation structure of FAS have been established. Due to many preferable characteristics of FAS, probabilistic seismic hazard/risk analysis is rapidly changing from ergodic, spectrum acceleration Sa(T 0 )-based approach to non-ergodic, site-specific, FAS-based approach. This paper presents time domain intrusive framework for probabilistic seismic risk analysis using GMPE of FAS. Herein, methodology for time domain stochastic ground motion modeling based on GMPEs of FAS is presented in some detail. The simulated uncertain motions are modeled as a random process and represented by polynomial chaos Karhunen-Loève expansion. The random process excitations are further propagated into the uncertain structural system using Galerkin stochastic finite element method (SFEM). Probabilistic evolution of structural response is solved, and such solution is used to develop seismic risk for any damage state. The presented framework is illustrated through seismic risk analysis of a four-story building subjected to possible earthquakes from two strike slip faults. The influences of the epistemic uncertainties in source stress drop Δσ and site attenuation κ0 on seismic risk are investigated. The need for non-ergodic seismic risk analysis with source-specific and site specific characterizations is emphasized.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Demonstration of reconstruction-free static magnetic control of DIII-D plasma with deep reinforcement learning

This paper presents the development and experimental validation of a reinforcement learning (RL)-based magnetic controller on the DIII-D tokamak. The controller directly maps raw magnetic diagnostic signals to actuator commands, replacing the traditional isoflux control algorithm based on equilibrium reconstruction. Four RL controllers are trained using the Soft Actor–Critic algorithm with an asymmetric Actor–Critic architecture in the NSFsim simulator. All controllers are deployed in the DIII-D Plasma Control System and operated with a 4 kHz feedback loop. Two randomization strategies are evaluated during training: evolving kinetic profiles and fixed kinetic profiles within each episode. The latter approach is found to better capture experimental deviations in the current density profile and to provide overall improved control performance. Robust operation is demonstrated across heating power scans in both L- and H-mode plasmas, as well as during transient events such as L–H transitions and pellet injections. Control errors in plasma shape and radial position remained within 1.5–2.0 cm and 1 cm, respectively. A notable discrepancy was observed in the vertical X-point position, with errors of up to approximately 4 cm, attributed to the current density distribution mismatches between simulations and experiments.

DIII-D↗

Using machine learning to identify extragalactic globular cluster candidates from ground-based photometric surveys of M87

Globular clusters (GCs) have been at the heart of many longstanding questions in many sub-fields of astronomy and, as such, systematic identification of GCs in external galaxies has immense impacts. In this study, we take advantage of M87’s well-studied GC system to implement supervised machine learning (ML) classification algorithms – specifically random forest and neural networks – to identify GCs from foreground stars and background galaxies, using ground-based photometry from the Canada–France–Hawaii Telescope (CFHT). We compare these two ML classification methods to studies of ‘human-selected’ GCs and find that the best-performing random forest model can reselect 61.2 per cent ± 8.0 per cent of GCs selected from HST data (ACSVCS) and the best-performing neural network model reselects 95.0 per cent ± 3.4 per cent. When compared to human-classified GCs and contaminants selected from CFHT data – independent of our training data – the best-performing random forest model can correctly classify 91.0 per cent ± 1.2 per cent and the best-performing neural network model can correctly classify 57.3 per cent ± 1.1 per cent. ML methods in astronomy have been receiving much interest as Vera C. Rubin Observatory prepares for first light. The observables in this study are selected to be directly comparable to early Rubin Observatory data and the prospects for running ML algorithms on the upcoming data set yields promising results.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Formation of transfermium elements in reactions with Pb 208

Within the Langevin framework, we investigate the dynamics of the fusion process for production of transfermium elements in reactions of Ca 48 , Ti 50 , Cr 54 , and Fe 58 with Pb 208 . After the reacting nuclei have made contact, the early dynamical stage is dominated by the dissipation of the initial radial kinetic energy, while the subsequent shape evolution is diffusive. The probability for surmounting the inner barrier and forming a compound system is obtained by simulating the evolution as a Metropolis random walk in a five-dimensional potential-energy landscape. Good agreement with the available data is obtained, especially for the maximal formation probability. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Study on the Impact of Temperature-Dependent Ferroelectric Switching Behavior in 3D Memory Architecture

The flourishing development of neural networks that require exponentially growing amounts of data has presented an elevated demand for memory footprint. To address this, researchers have been exploring hardware accelerators with innovative memory architectures like 3D memory. These 3D memory architectures offer enhanced storage capacity and processing capabilities, at a cost of rising on-chip temperature during operation. Hafnium Zirconium Oxide (HZO) based Ferroelectric Random Access Memory (FeRAM) is a promising nonvolatile memory candidate in neural network hardware accelerators for its outstanding write performance and reliability. However, its implementation in the architecture regarding the temperature-dependent ferroelectric switching behavior has not been well studied. In this work, we study the thermal impacts on polarization switching through experimental devices and simulation results. We conduct the circuit and architecture-level simulations to showcase that one can exploit this temperature rise to reduce FeRAM's write voltage and write energy due to its unique temperature-activated polarization switching mechanisms. As the on-chip temperature increases to 351K (ambient temperature at 300K) due to neural network workloads, the access energy per bit can be reduced by 27.6% when a dynamic write voltage is applied.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dual transposon sequencing profiles the genetic interaction landscape in bacteria

Gene redundancy complicates systematic characterization of gene function as single-gene deletions may not produce discernible phenotypes. We report dual transposon sequencing (dual Tn-seq), a platform for assaying the fitness of a comprehensive double mutant pool in parallel. Dual Tn-seq couples random barcode transposon site sequencing with the Cre-lox system, enabling deep sampling of 73% of the 1.3 million possible double gene deletions in Streptococcus pneumoniae. The genetic interactions identified span a wide range of biochemical processes, revealing new factors in presumably well-studied pathways, exemplified by a cytidine triphosphate synthase PyrJ. Moreover, this approach should permit further investigation of growth condition–specific genetic interactions. Because dual Tn-seq does not require the construction of a large array of single mutants, it should be readily adaptable to various microorganisms.

CTP synthesis↗

Three-point Analysis for Butler-Volmer Electrochemical Kinetics

This file contains a spreadsheet and equations that evaluate corrosion test data. The data (which can be inserted by the user) is current vs voltage data. This spreadsheet will be part of the supplemental information of a journal article that is under review. Specifically, the spreadsheet evaluates the classical Butler Volmer equation in the presence of several different forms of noise found in electrochemical systems. The forms of noise are: 1) solution resistance, 2) random noise in the current, 3) drift of the open circuit potential voltage.

Cho, Seongkoo [Lawrence Livermore National Laborat↗

Hierarchical effects facilitate spreading processes on synthetic and empirical multilayer networks

In this paper we consider the effects of corporate hierarchies on innovation spread across multilayer networks, modeled by an elaborated SIR framework. We show that the addition of management layers can significantly improve spreading processes on both random geometric graphs and empirical corporate networks. Additionally, we show that utilizing a more centralized working relationship network rather than a strict administrative network further increases overall innovation reach. In fact, this more centralized structure in conjunction with management layers is essential to both reaching a plurality of nodes and creating a stable adopted community in the long time horizon. Further, we show that the selection of seed nodes affects the final stability of the adopted community, and while the most influential nodes often produce the highest peak adoption, this is not always the case. In some circumstances, seeding nodes near but not in the highest positions in the graph produces larger peak adoption and more stable long-time adoption.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

2014 Southern Nevada Household Travel Survey

The 2014 Southern Nevada Household Travel Survey collected information from residents in the Las Vegas area to update the regional travel demand model and assess travel behavior. The Regional Transportation Commission of Southern Nevada contracted with Westat to conduct the survey. The survey was conducted in two phases—from March to May 2014 and from August to October 2014. Participants provided demographic and travel data (via a travel log). A 10% subsample (1,694 participants) was randomly selected to take part in a wearable global positioning system (GPS) technology-based component of the study, the purpose of which was to assess the level of trip under-reporting in the self-reported travel logs. Participants in the GPS portion of the study were instructed to record trips in their travel logs on the first day only, while passively recording their travel for three full days.

1Hz data↗

Superuniversality from disorder at two-dimensional topological phase transitions

We investigate the effects of quenched randomness on topological quantum phase transitions in strongly interacting two-dimensional systems. We focus first on transitions driven by the condensation of a subset of fractionalized quasiparticles (“anyons”) identified with “electric charge” excitations of a phase with intrinsic topological order. All other anyons have nontrivial mutual statistics with the condensed subset and hence become confined at the anyon condensation transition. Furthermore, using a combination of microscopically exact duality transformations and asymptotically exact real-space renormalization group techniques applied to these two-dimensional disordered gauge theories, we argue that the resulting critical scaling behavior is “superuniversal” across a wide range of such condensation transitions and is controlled by the same infinite-randomness fixed point as that of the 2D random transverse-field Ising model. We validate this claim using large-scale quantum Monte Carlo simulations that allow us to extract zero-temperature critical exponents and correlation functions in (2+1)D disordered interacting systems. We discuss generalizations of these results to a large class of ground-state and excited-state topological transitions in systems with intrinsic topological order as well as those where topological order is either protected or enriched by global symmetries. When the underlying topological order and the symmetry group are Abelian, our results provide prototypes for topological phase transitions between distinct many-body localized phases.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Advancements on Multi-Fidelity Random Fourier Neural Networks: Application to Hurricane Modeling for Wind Energy

Multi-fidelity approaches are emerging as effective strategies in computational science to handle otherwise intractable tasks like Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), training of Machine Learning (ML) models, and optimization, for expensive high-fidelity applications in which the amount of available simulations or data is limited. The main idea is simple: large datasets generated for low-fidelity approximations of the problem at hand are fused with a much sparser dataset for the target (high-fidelity) system. In this paper, we build on our recent success in designing random Fourier Neural Networks (rFNNs) [1] to target problems arising in wind energy applications and in particular problems of interest for hurricane modeling. In this context, data for the high-fidelity models are limited and lower fidelity alternatives are needed. In this work, we introduce a novel multi-fidelity training approach for our rFNNs and demonstrate its use on a simple verification problem and on a hurricane modeling problem in which high-fidelity data are generated via Large-Eddy Simulations (LES), while low-fidelity data are given by a mesoscale model. Initial results demonstrate how the multi-fidelity training approach can improve the quality of the resulting surrogate.

Fourier Neural Networks↗

Compressible pairwise interaction extended point-particle model for force prediction of shock-particle bed interaction

We propose a pairwise influence framework for the complex unsteady compressible particle-laden flow problem by accounting for the scattered hydrodynamic waves emitting from neighboring particles in a Euler-Lagrange simulation. It has been observed from particle-resolved (PR) simulations of randomly dispersed particle beds under a loading shock that the compressible pseudoturbulence dominates the flow system even after the primary shock has passed, which causes fluctuations observed in the forces experienced by the particle. Moreover, the fact that each particle exists in the vicinity of a random arrangement of other particles modifies the time history of the drag force experienced by each particle during and after the passage of the shock. First, the scattering flow field due to an incoming shock interacting with a single sphere is constructed using an analysis of the flow in the acoustic limit. Then we examine the validity of the compressible Maxey-Riley-Gatignol force model by comparing the force prediction against a PR simulation of two interacting particles for various particle arrangements and incoming shock strength. Subsequently, the neighboring influences are stored as a library of maps that can be used readily in the calculation of the perturbation force. Lastly, the pairwise interaction assumption is evaluated by comparing the force predicted with the model with PR simulations of a randomly packed particle bed of 10% volume fraction for both water and air as the fluid medium for an incoming shock Mach number 1.22. With a considerably lower cost for the implementation of the model compared to PR simulations, it is verified that the model is reasonably accurate in pinpointing particles whose peak force is significantly larger or smaller than the mean drag but also to capture the prolonged fluctuations after the initial shock.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Understanding random-walk dynamical phase coexistence through waiting times

We study the appearance of first-order dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) as “intermittent” coexisting phases in the fluctuations of random walks on graphs. We show that the diverging timescale leading to critical behavior is the waiting time to jump from one phase to another. This timescale is crucial for observing the system's relaxation to stationarity and demonstrate ergodicity of the system at criticality. We illustrate these results through three analytical examples which provide insights into random walks exploring random graphs. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Stuhrmann, David C. (ORCID:0009000726916649)↗