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At least 289 records · Page 16

Understanding and Constraining the Midlatitude Cloud Optical Depth Feedback in Climate Models (Final Report)

The objectives of this investigation are to provide a deeper understanding of the brightening of middle and high latitude clouds that occurs in many climate models as the climate warms, and to better understand why models give varying estimates of the strength of this negative feedback. The investigation may also provide new information on why models are deficient in their simulation of the present day clouds in these regions. The analysis will reveal which models simulate current clouds most realistically in the regions of interest, and relate this to the strength of the cloud feedbacks in the models. This will improve the uncertainty quantification of climate simulations and will provide theoretical understanding potentially leading to increased reliability of climate change projections. This will enhance the predictive understanding of the Earth system by analyzing the natural and anthropogenic components of global climate change in models. The primary methods involve the study of the clouds in the suite of CMIP5 model climate simulations and comparison of clouds in climate simulations with data from satellite measurement systems, with a particular emphasis on mixed-phase cloud physics, for which ice and water are present simultaneously. State-of-the-art climate model feedback analysis will be combined with new and more comprehensive observations of clouds available from modern measurement systems. Novel use of model simulations in combination with observations enables a deeper understanding of the role of clouds in climate change. Metrics that facilitate model-to-model and model-to-observation comparisons related to mixed-phase cloud physics will be developed and used to highlight challenges and opportunities for improving the state-of-the-science models. This investigation is a collaboration between the University of Washington, where the data work is concentrated and LLNL where the model data and the tools and expertise to do cloud feedback analysis are located. The grant supported the work of 3 different graduate students at different times (McCoy, Wall and Berry) Post-doctoral researcher Blaž Gasparini was also partially supported on this grant and led our collaboration with PNNL scientists. PNNL scientists also collaborated in the work of graduate student Wall (Po-Lun Ma). The main results of our research efforts are reported in 6 papers and 1 book chapter that were supported by this grant.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Feedback Control Strategy for Transient Stability Application

Power systems are subjected to a wide range of disturbances during daily operations. Severe disturbances, such as a loss of a large generator, a three-phase bolted fault on a generator bus, or a loss of a transmission line, can lead to the loss of synchronism of a generator or group of generators. The ability of a power system to maintain synchronism during the few seconds after being subjected to a severe disturbance is known as transient stability. Most of the modern methods of controlling transient stability involve special protection schemes or remedial action schemes. These special protection schemes sense predetermined system conditions and take corrective actions, such as generator tripping or generation re-dispatch, in real time to maintain transient stability. Another method is the use of a real-time feedback control system to modulate the output of an actuator in response to a signal. This paper provides a fundamental evaluation of the use of feedback control strategies to improve transient stability in a power system. An optimal feedback control strategy that modulates the real power injected and absorbed by distributed energy-storage devices is proposed. Its performance is evaluated on a four-machine power system and on a 34-machine reduced-order model of the Western North American Power System. The result shows that the feedback control strategy can increase the critical fault clearing time by 60%, thereby improving the transient stability of the power system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Constraining AGN feedback in massive ellipticals with south pole telescope measurements of the thermal Sunyaev–Zel’dovich effect

Energetic feedback due to active galactic nuclei (AGNs) is likely to play an important role in the observed anti-hierarchical trend in the evolution of galaxies, and yet the energy injected into the circumgalactic medium by this process is largely unknown. One promising approach to constrain this feedback is through measurements of spectral distortions in the cosmic microwave background due to the thermal Sunyaev–Zeldovich (tSZ) effect, whose magnitude is directly proportional to the energy input by AGNs. With current instruments, making such measurements requires stacking large numbers of objects to increase signal-to-noise. While one possible target for such stacks is AGNs themselves, these are relatively scarce sources that contain contaminating emission that complicates tSZ measurements. Here we adopt an alternative approach and co-add South Pole Telescope SZ (SPT-SZ) survey data around a large set of massive quiescent elliptical galaxies at z⩾0.5, which are much more numerous and less contaminated than active AGNs, yet are subject to the same feedback processes from the AGNs they hosted in the past. We use data from the Blanco Cosmology Survey and VISTA Hemisphere Survey to create a large catalog of galaxies split up into two redshift bins: one with 3394 galaxies at 0.5⩽z⩽1.0 and one with 924 galaxies at 1.0⩽z⩽1.5, with typical stellar masses of 1.5×10{sup 11}M{sub ⊙}. We then co-add the emission around these galaxies, resulting in a measured tSZ signal at 2.2σ significance for the lower redshift bin and a contaminating signal at 1.1σ for the higher redshift bin. To remove contamination due to dust emission, we use SPT-SZ source counts to model a contaminant source population in both the SPT-SZ bands and Planck high-frequency bands for a subset of 937 galaxies in the low-redshift bin and 240 galaxies in the high-redshift bin. This increases our detection to 3.6σ for low redshifts and 0.9σ for high redshifts. We find the mean angularly integrated Compton-y values to be 2.2{sub −0.7}{sup +0.9}×10{sup −7} Mpc{sup 2} for low redshifts and 1.7{sub −1.8}{sup +2.2}×10{sup −7} Mpc{sup 2} for high redshifts, corresponding to total thermal energies of 7.6{sub −2.3}{sup +3.0}×10{sup 60} erg and 6.0{sub −6.3}{sup +7.7}×10{sup 60} erg, respectively. These numbers are higher than expected from simple theoretical models that do not include AGN feedback, and serve as constraints that can be applied to current simulations of massive galaxy formation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Pairing of Accreting Massive Black Holes in Multiphase Circumnuclear Disks: the Interplay Between Radiative Cooling, Star Formation, and Feedback Processes

We study the orbital decay of a pair of massive black holes (BHs) with masses 5×10{sup 5} and 10{sup 7} M{sub ⊙}, using hydrodynamical simulations of circumnuclear disks (CNDs) with the alternating presence of sub-grid physics, such as radiative cooling, star formation, supernova feedback, BH accretion, and BH feedback. In the absence of such processes, the orbit of the secondary BH decays over timescales of ∼10 Myr to the center of the CND, where the primary BH resides. When strong dissipation operates in CNDs, fragmentation into massive objects the size of giant molecular clouds with densities in the range 10{sup 4}–10{sup 7} amu cm{sup −3} occurs, causing stochastic torques and hits that can eject the secondary BH from the midplane. Outside the plane, the low-density medium provides only weak drag, and the BH return is governed by inefficient dynamical friction. In rare cases, clump–BH interactions can lead to a faster decay. Feedback processes lead to outflows, but do not significantly change the overall density of the CND midplane. However, with a spherically distributed BH feedback, a hot bubble is generated behind the secondary, which almost shuts off dynamical friction. We dub this phenomenon “wake evacuation.” It leads to delays in the decay, possibly of ∼0.3 Gyr. We discuss the non-trivial implications on the discovery space of the eLISA telescope. Our results suggest that the largest uncertainty in predicting BH merger rates lies in the potentially wide variety of galaxy host systems, with different degrees of gas dissipation and heating, yielding decay timescales from ∼10 to ∼300 Myr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Growth of First Galaxies: Impacts of Star Formation and Stellar Feedback

Recent observations have detected galaxies at high-redshift z∼6--11, and revealed the diversity of their physical properties, from normal star-forming galaxies to starburst galaxies. To understand the properties of these observed galaxies, it is crucial to understand the star formation (SF) history of high-redshift galaxies under the influence of stellar feedback. In this work, we present the results of cosmological hydrodynamic simulations with zoom-in initial conditions, and investigate the formation of the first galaxies and their evolution toward observable galaxies at z∼6. We focus on three different galaxies that end up in halos with masses M{sub h}=2.4×10{sup 10} h{sup −1} M{sub ⊙} (Halo-10), 1.6×10{sup 11} h{sup −1} M{sub ⊙} (Halo-11), and 0.7×10{sup 12} h{sup −1} M{sub ⊙} (Halo-12) at z = 6. Our simulations also probe the impacts of different subgrid assumptions, i.e., SF efficiency and cosmic reionization, on SF histories in the first galaxies. We find that SF occurs intermittently due to supernova (SN) feedback at z≳10, and then it proceeds more smoothly as the halo mass grows at lower redshifts. Galactic disks are destroyed due to SN feedback, while galaxies in simulations with no feedback or lower SF efficiency models can sustain a galactic disk for long periods ≳10 Myr. The expulsion of gas at the galactic center also affects the inner dark matter density profile for a short period. Our simulated galaxies in Halo-11 and Halo-12 reproduce the SF rates and stellar masses of observed Lyα emitters at z∼7--8 fairly well given the observational uncertainties.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Proton Acceleration in Low- β Magnetic Reconnection with Energetic Particle Feedback

Magnetic reconnection regions in space and astrophysics are known as active particle acceleration sites. There is ample evidence showing that energetic particles can take a substantial amount of converted energy during magnetic reconnection. However, there has been a lack of studies understanding the backreaction of energetic particles at magnetohydrodynamical scales in magnetic reconnection. To address this, we have developed a new computational method to explore the feedback by nonthermal energetic particles. This approach considers the backreaction from these energetic particles by incorporating their pressure into magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) equations. The pressure of the energetic particles is evaluated from their distribution evolved through Parker's transport equation, solved using stochastic differential equations (SDEs), so we coin the name MHD-SDE. Applying this method to low-β magnetic reconnection simulations, we find that reconnection is capable of accelerating a large fraction of energetic particles that contain a substantial amount of energy. When the feedback from these particles is included, their pressure suppresses the compression structures generated by magnetic reconnection, thereby mediating particle energization. Consequently, the feedback from energetic particles results in a steeper power-law energy spectrum. These findings suggest that feedback from nonthermal energetic particles plays a crucial role in magnetic reconnection and particle acceleration.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The DREAMS Project: Disentangling the Impact of Halo-to-halo Variance and Baryonic Feedback on Milky Way Dark Matter Density Profiles

In this work, we utilize a new suite of Milky Way–mass halos from the DREAMS Project, simulated with cold dark matter (CDM), to quantify the influence of baryon feedback and intrinsic halo-to-halo variance on dark matter density profiles. Our suite of 1024 halos varies over supernova and black hole feedback parameters from the IllustrisTNG model, as well as variations in two cosmological parameters. We find that, for the DREAMS parameter variations, Milky Way–mass dark matter density profiles in the IllustrisTNG model are largely insensitive to astrophysics and cosmology variations, with the dominant source of scatter instead arising from halo-to-halo variance. However, most of the (comparatively minor) feedback-driven variations come from the changes to supernova prescriptions. By comparing to dark-matter-only simulations, we find that the strongest supernova wind energies are so effective at preventing galaxy formation that the halos are nearly entirely collisionless dark matter. Finally, regardless of physics variation, all of the DREAMS halos are roughly consistent with a halo contracting adiabatically from the presence of baryons, unlike models that have bursty stellar feedback. This work represents a step toward assessing the uncertainty in Milky Way dark matter profiles, with direct implications for dark matter searches where systematic uncertainty in the density profile remains a major challenge.

Garcia, Alex M. [University of Virginia, Charlotte↗

Meteorological drivers of the low-cloud radiative feedback pattern effect and its uncertainty

The radiative feedback pattern effect remains a large source of uncertainty for both projections of future trends and interpretations of past trends in global temperature. The pattern effect is defined as the difference in feedbacks between transient and long-term simulations, and past work shows that is primarily attributed to changes in the marine low-cloud radiative feedback. Here we use low cloud meteorological kernels to map out both the primary cloud controlling factors through which changing surface temperature patterns drive changes in low-cloud feedback, as well as the sources of model spread. We find that the pattern effect is almost entirely driven by changes in estimated inversion strength (EIS) in the Southern Hemisphere, particularly in the South East Pacific and Southern Ocean. In both past and future simulations, inter-model spread is primarily caused by model differences in the sensitivity of low clouds to the environmental conditions, rather than differences in the simulated evolution of environmental conditions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Modelling feedbacks between human and natural processes in the land system

Abstract. The unprecedented use of Earth's resources by humans, in combination with increasing natural variability in natural processes over the past century, is affecting the evolution of the Earth system. To better understand natural processes and their potential future trajectories requires improved integration with and quantification of human processes. Similarly, to mitigate risk and facilitate socio-economic development requires a better understanding of how the natural system (e.g. climate variability and change, extreme weather events, and processes affecting soil fertility) affects human processes. Our understanding of these interactions and feedback between human and natural systems has been formalized through a variety of modelling approaches. However, a common conceptual framework or set of guidelines to model human–natural-system feedbacks is lacking. The presented research lays out a conceptual framework that includes representing model coupling configuration in combination with the frequency of interaction and coordination of communication between coupled models. Four different approaches used to couple representations of the human and natural system are presented in relation to this framework, which vary in the processes represented and in the scale of their application. From the development and experience associated with the four models of coupled human–natural systems, the following eight lessons were identified that if taken into account by future coupled human–natural-systems model developments may increase their success: (1) leverage the power of sensitivity analysis with models, (2) remember modelling is an iterative process, (3) create a common language, (4) make code open-access, (5) ensure consistency, (6) reconcile spatio-temporal mismatch, (7) construct homogeneous units, and (8) incorporating feedback increases non-linearity and variability. Following a discussion of feedbacks, a way forward to expedite model coupling and increase the longevity and interoperability of models is given, which suggests the use of a wrapper container software, a standardized applications programming interface (API), the incorporation of standard names, the mitigation of sunk costs by creating interfaces to multiple coupling frameworks, and the adoption of reproducible workflow environments to wire the pieces together.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Detecting the permafrost carbon feedback: talik formation and increased cold-season respiration as precursors to sink-to-source transitions

Abstract. Thaw and release of permafrost carbon (C) due to climate change is likely to offset increased vegetation C uptake in northern high-latitude (NHL) terrestrial ecosystems. Models project that this permafrost C feedback may act as a slow leak, in which case detection and attribution of the feedback may be difficult. The formation of talik, a subsurface layer of perennially thawed soil, can accelerate permafrost degradation and soil respiration, ultimately shifting the C balance of permafrost-affected ecosystems from long-term C sinks to long-term C sources. It is imperative to understand and characterize mechanistic links between talik, permafrost thaw, and respiration of deep soil C to detect and quantify the permafrost C feedback. Here, we use the Community Land Model (CLM) version 4.5, a permafrost and biogeochemistry model, in comparison to long-term deep borehole data along North American and Siberian transects, to investigate thaw-driven C sources in NHL (> 55∘ N) from 2000 to 2300. Widespread talik at depth is projected across most of the NHL permafrost region (14 million km2) by 2300, 6.2 million km2 of which is projected to become a long-term C source, emitting 10 Pg C by 2100, 50 Pg C by 2200, and 120 Pg C by 2300, with few signs of slowing. Roughly half of the projected C source region is in predominantly warm sub-Arctic permafrost following talik onset. This region emits only 20 Pg C by 2300, but the CLM4.5 estimate may be biased low by not accounting for deep C in yedoma. Accelerated decomposition of deep soil C following talik onset shifts the ecosystem C balance away from surface dominant processes (photosynthesis and litter respiration), but sink-to-source transition dates are delayed by 20–200 years by high ecosystem productivity, such that talik peaks early (∼ 2050s, although borehole data suggest sooner) and C source transition peaks late (∼ 2150–2200). The remaining C source region in cold northern Arctic permafrost, which shifts to a net source early (late 21st century), emits 5 times more C (95 Pg C) by 2300, and prior to talik formation due to the high decomposition rates of shallow, young C in organic-rich soils coupled with low productivity. Our results provide important clues signaling imminent talik onset and C source transition, including (1) late cold-season (January–February) soil warming at depth (∼ 2 m), (2) increasing cold-season emissions (November–April), and (3) enhanced respiration of deep, old C in warm permafrost and young, shallow C in organic-rich cold permafrost soils. Our results suggest a mosaic of processes that govern carbon source-to-sink transitions at high latitudes and emphasize the urgency of monitoring soil thermal profiles, organic C age and content, cold-season CO2 emissions, and atmospheric 14CO2 as key indicators of the permafrost C feedback.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Invariant poles feedback control of flexible, highly variable spacecraft.

This paper describes a technique for single-axis control of a model of a highly flexible Space Station. Active damping of lower frequency flexibility modes is employed. In the control technique, referred to as invariant poles feedback control (IPFC), feedback gains are adjusted so that the closed-loop system's characteristic equation is matched to that of a reference model; hence, closed-loop system's poles will not move - they will be invariant (provided bending frequencies and parameters can be identified accurately). This is accomplished by obtaining the system's characteristic equation in closed form; equating respective coefficients between terms of like powers in s in the system and reference model characteristic equations; and, solving for the feedback gains. The feedback gains are explicit functions of system plant parameters and the coefficients of the reference model's characteristic equation, and are easily programmed for the digital computer.

Mendel, J. M.↗

Invariant poles feedback control of flexible highly variable spacecraft.

Description of a technique for single-axis control of a model of a highly flexible space station. Active damping of lower frequency flexibility modes is employed. In the control technique, referred to as invariant poles feedback control, feedback gains are adjusted so that the closed-loop system characteristic equation is matched to that of a reference model. Hence closed-loop system poles will not move; they will be invariant (provided that bending frequencies and parameters can be identified accurately). This is accomplished by obtaining the system characteristic equation in closed form; equating respective coefficients between terms of like powers in s in the system and reference model characteristic equations; and solving for the feedback gains. The feedback gains are explicit functions of system plant parameters and the coefficients of the reference model characteristic equation, and are easily programmed for the digital computer.

Mendel, J. M.↗

Flight investigation of rotor/vehicle state feedback

The feasibility of using control feedback or rotor tip-path-plane motion or body state as a means of altering rotor and fuselage response in a prescribed manner was investigated to determine the practical limitations of in-flight utilization of a digital computer which conditions and shapes rotor flapping and fuselage state information as feedback signals, before routing these signals to the differential servo actuators. The analysis and test of various feedback schemes are discussed. Test results show that a Kalman estimator routine which is based on only the first harmonic contributions of blade flapping yields tip-path-plane coefficients which are adequate for use in feedback systems, at speeds up to 150 kts.

Briczinski, S. J.↗

A coherent optical feedback system for optical information processing

A unique optical feedback system for coherent optical data processing is described. With the introduction of feedback, the well-known transfer function for feedback systems is obtained in two dimensions. Operational details of the optical feedback system are given. Experimental results of system applications in image restoration, contrast control and analog computation are presented.

Jablonowski, D. P.↗

Feedback control of two beam, two joint systems with distributed flexibility

The control of the flexible motion in a plane of two pinned beams is addressed with application to remote manipulators. Three types of linear feedback control schemes are considered: joint angle and velocity feedback with (GRC) and without (IJC) cross joint feedback, and feedback of flexible state variables (FFC). Two models of the distributed flexibility are presented along with some results obtained from them. The relative merit of the three control schemes is discussed.

Book, W. J.↗

Design of turbofan engine controls using output feedback regulator theory

A multivariable control design procedure based on output feedback regulator (OFR) theory is applied to the F100 turbofan engine. Results for the OFR design are compared to a design based on linear quadratic regulator (LQR) theory. The OFR feedback control is designed in the full order state space and thus eliminates any need for model reduction techniques. Using the performance measure and control structure of the LQR design, an equivalent OFR feedback control is obtained. The flexibility of the OFR as a control design procedure is demonstrated, and differing feedback control structures are evaluated.

Merrill, W. C.↗

Linear systems with structure group and their feedback invariants

A general method described by Hermann and Martin (1976) for the study of the feedback invariants of linear systems is considered. It is shown that this method, which makes use of ideas of topology and algebraic geometry, is very useful in the investigation of feedback problems for which the classical methods are not suitable. The transfer function as a curve in the Grassmanian is examined. The general concepts studied in the context of specific systems and applications are organized in terms of the theory of Lie groups and algebraic geometry. Attention is given to linear systems which have a structure group, linear mechanical systems, and feedback invariants. The investigation shows that Lie group techniques are powerful and useful tools for analysis of the feedback structure of linear systems.

Martin, C.↗

Pole placement by static and dynamic output feedback

This paper gives new results concerning pole-assignability by static and dynamic output feedback, based on the interpretation of transfer functions, feedback laws, poles and zeroes in terms of the incidence geometry of m-planes and p-planes in (m+p)-space. As an illustration of the most basic ideas, a short proof of the Brasch-Pearson theorem is given. A more careful analysis of this proof yields a significant extension of this theorem, which is considerably sharpened in the case of pole-assignment by constant gain output feedback. As a final application, a root-locus design technique for non-square systems is introduced: zero placement by pre- or post-compensation. This zero placement problem is then analyzed by methods similar to those developed for pole placement by output feedback.

Byrnes, C. I.↗