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At least 271 records · Page 15

Experiments relevant to astrophysical jets

This study summarizes the results of an experimental program at Caltech wherein magnetohydrodynamically driven plasma jets are created and diagnosed. The theory modelling these jets, the main experimental results and their relevance to astrophysical jets are presented. The model explains how the jets are driven and why they self-collimate. Characteristic kink and Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities are shown to occur and the ramifications of these instabilities are discussed. Extending the experimental results to the astrophysical situation reveals a shortcoming in ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) that must be remedied by replacing the ideal MHD Ohm’s law by the generalized Ohm’s law. It is shown that when the generalized Ohm’s law is used and the consequences of weak ionization are taken into account, an accretion disk behaves much like the electrodes, mass source and power supply used in the experiment.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Minimal Impacts of Microplastics on Soil Physical Properties under Environmentally Relevant Concentrations

Agricultural soils are a major reservoir of microplastics, and concerns have arisen about the impacts of microplastics on soil properties and functioning. In this report we measured the physical properties of a silt loam in response to the incorporation of polyester fibers and polypropylene granules over a wide range of concentrations. We further elucidated the underlying mechanisms through determining the role of microplastic shape and the baseline effects from the amendment of soil particles. The incorporation of microplastics into soil tended to increase contact angle and saturated hydraulic conductivity, decrease bulk density and water holding capacity, while did not affect aggregate stability. Polyester fibers affected soil physical properties more profoundly than polypropylene granules, due to the vastly different shape of fibers from that of soil particles. However, changes in soil properties were gradual, and significant changes did not occur until a high concentration of microplastics was reached (i.e., 0.5% w/w for polyester fibers and 2% w/w for polypropylene granules). Currently, microplastic concentrations in soils not heavily polluted with plastics are far below these concentrations, and results from this study suggest that microplastics at environmentally relevant concentrations have no significant effects on soil physical properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Reduction of Plutonium(VI) to (V) by Hydroxamate Compounds at Environmentally Relevant pH

Natural organic matter is known to influence the mobility of plutonium (Pu) in the environment via complexation and reduction mechanisms. Hydroxamate siderophores have been specifically implicated due to their strong association with Pu. Hydroxamate siderophores can also break down into di and mono-hydroxamates and may influence Pu oxidation state, and thereby its mobility. In this study we explored the reactions of Pu(VI) and Pu(V) with a mono-hydroxamate compound (acetohydroxamic acid, AHA) and a tri-hydroxamate siderophore desferrioxamine B (DFOB) at environmentally relevant pH (5.5-8.2). Pu(VI) was instantaneously reduced to Pu(V) upon reaction with AHA. The presence of hydroxylamine was not observed at these pHs; however, AHA was consumed during the reaction. This suggests that the reduction of Pu(VI) to Pu(V) by AHA is facilitated by direct one electron transfer. Importantly, further reduction to Pu(IV) or Pu(III) was not observed, even with excess AHA. We believe that further reduction of Pu(V) did not occur because Pu(V) does not form a strong complex with hydroxamate compounds at circum-neutral pH. Experiments performed using desferrioxamine B (DFOB) yielded similar results. Broadly, this suggests that Pu(V) reduction to Pu(IV) in the presence of natural organic matter is not facilitated by hydroxamate functional groups and that other natural organic matter moieties likely play a more prominent role.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Probing a Silent Metal: A Combined X-ray Absorption and Emission Spectroscopic Study of Biologically Relevant Zinc Complexes

As the second most common transition metal in the human body, Zinc is of great interest in research but has few viable routes for its direct structural study in biological systems. Herein, Zn valence-to-core X-ray emission spectroscopy (VtC XES) and Zn K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) are presented as a means to understand the local structure of zinc in biological systems through the application of these methods to a series of biologically relevant model complexes. Taken together, the Zn K-edge XAS and VtC XES provide a means to establish the ligand identity, local geometry, and metal-ligand bond lengths. Experimental results were supported by strongly correlated density-functional-theory-based calculations, which, coupled with the complementarity of the two spectroscopic approaches, further enables future applications to protein systems to be examined in a predictive fashion. In this regard, test calculations were performed to showcase the sensitivity of these techniques to realistic biological applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Two Dihydroxo-Bridged Plutonium(IV) Nitrate Dimers and Their Relevance to Trends in Tetravalent Ion Hydrolysis and Condensation

We report the room temperature synthesis and structural characterization of a μ2-hydroxobridged PuIV dimer obtained from an acidic, nitric acid solution. The discrete Pu 2 (OH) 2 (NO 3 ) 6 (H 2 O) 4 moiety crystallized with two distinct crystal structures, (1) [Pu 2 (OH) 2 (NO 3 ) 6 (H 2 O) 4 ] 2 ·11H 2 O and (2) Pu 2 (OH) 2 (NO 3 ) 6 (H 2 O) 4 ·2H 2 O, which differ primarily in the number of incorporated water molecules. High-energy X-ray scattering (HEXS) data obtained from the mother liquor showed evidence of a correlation at 3.7(10) Å but only after concentration of the stock solution. This distance is consistent with the dihydroxo-bridged distance of 3.799(1) Å seen in the solid-state structure as well as with the known Pu-Pu distance in PuO 2 . The structural characterization of a dihydroxo-bridged Pu moiety is discussed in terms of its relevance to the underlying mechanisms of tetravalent-metal-ion condensation

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Structural Diversities in Heterometallic Mn–Ca Cluster Chemistry from the Use of Salicylhydroxamic Acid: {Mn III 4 Ca 2 }, {Mn II/III 6 Ca 2 }, {Mn III/IV 8 Ca}, and {Mn III 8 Ca 2 } Complexes with Relevance to Both High- and Low-Valent States of the Oxygen-Evolving Complex

We report that one-pot reactions between the [Mn 3 O(O 2 CPh) 6 (py) x ] +/o triangular precursors and either CaBr 2 ·xH 2 O or CaCl 2 ·6H 2 O, in the presence of salicylhydroxamic acid (shaH 2 ), have afforded the heterometallic complexes [MnIII 4 Ca 2 (O 2 CPh) 4 (shi) 4 (H 2 O) 3 (Me 2 CO)] ( 1 ) and (pyH)[Mn II 2 Mn III 4 Ca 2 Cl 2 (O 2 CPh) 7 (shi) 4 (py) 4 ] ( 2 ), respectively, in good yields. Further reactions but using a more flexible synthetic scheme comprising the Mn(NO 3 ) 2 · 4 H 2 O/Ca(NO 3 ) 2 · 4 H 2 O and Mn(O 2 CPh) 2 · 2 H 2 O/Ca(ClO 4 ) 2 · 4 H 2 O "metal blends" and shaH 2 , in the presence of external base NEt 3 , led to the new complexes (NHEt 3 ) 2 [Mn III 4 Mn IV 4 Ca(OEt) 2 (shi) 10 (EtOH) 2 ] ( 3 ) and (NHEt 3 ) 4 [Mn III 8 Ca 2 (CO 3 ) 4 (shi) 8 ] ( 4 ), respectively. In all reported compounds, the anion of the tetradentate (N,O,O,O)-chelating/bridging ligand salicylhydroxime (shi 3- ), resulting from the in situ metal-ion-assisted amide-iminol tautomerism of shaH 2 , was found to bridge both Mn and Ca atoms. Complexes 1-4 exhibit a variety of different structures, metal stoichiometries, and Mn oxidation-state descriptions; 1 possesses an overall octahedral metal arrangement, 2 can be described as a Mn 4 Ca 2 octahedron bound to an additional Mn 2 unit, 3 consists of a Mn 8 "ring" surrounding a Ca II atom, and 4 adopts a rectangular cuboidal motif of eight Mn atoms accommodating two CaIIatoms. Solid-state direct-current magnetic susceptibility studies revealed the presence of predominant antiferromagnetic exchange interactions between the Mn centers, leading to S = 0 spin ground-state values for all complexes. Lastly, from a bioinorganic chemistry perspective, the reported compounds may demonstrate some relevance to both high-valent scheme ( 3 ) and lower-oxidation-level species ( 1, 2, and 4 ) of the catalytic cycle of the oxygen-evolving complex.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantum Chemical Calculation of p K a s of Environmentally Relevant Functional Groups: Carboxylic Acids, Amines, and Thiols in Aqueous Solution

Developing accurate quantum chemical approaches for calculating p K a s is of broad interest. Useful accuracy can be obtained by using density functional theory (DFT) in combination with a polarizable continuum solvent model. However, some classes of molecules present problems for this approach, yielding errors greater than 5 p K units. Various methods have been developed to improve the accuracy of the combined strategy. These methods perform well but either do not generalize or introduce additional degrees of freedom, increasing the computational cost. The Solvation Model based on Density (SMD) has emerged as one of the most commonly used continuum solvent models. Nevertheless, for some classes of organic compounds, e.g., thiols, the p K a s calculated with the original SMD model show errors of 6–10 p K units, and we traced these errors to inaccuracies in the solvation free energies of the anions. To improve the accuracy of p K a s calculated with DFT and the SMD model, we developed a scaled solvent-accessible surface approach for constructing the solute–solvent boundary. By using a “direct” approach, in which all quantities are computed in the presence of the continuum solvent, the use of thermodynamic cycles is avoided. Furthermore, no explicit water molecules are required. Three benchmark data sets of experimentally measured p K a values, including 28 carboxylic acids, 10 aliphatic amines, and 45 thiols, were used to assess the optimized SMD model, which we call SMD with a scaled solvent-accessible surface (SMD sSAS ). Of the methods tested, the M06-2X density functional approximation, 6-31+G(d,p) basis set, and SMD sSAS solvent model provided the most accurate p K a s for each set, yielding mean unsigned errors of 0.9, 0.4, and 0.5 p K units, respectively, for carboxylic acids, aliphatic amines, and thiols. As a result, this approach is therefore useful for efficiently calculating the p K a s of environmentally relevant functional groups.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NO 2 Interactions with MoO 3 and CuO at Atmospherically Relevant Pressures

NO x concentrations in some geographic regions are harmful to human health. Gas filters to trap NO x and other toxic chemicals contain metal oxides, including MoO 3 and CuO. These materials are also being investigated for NO x gas sensors. In a step to understand the fundamental adsorption mechanism in sensors and the effect on binding site availability in gas filters, ambient-pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (APXPS) was used to study the interaction of NO 2 with polycrystalline MoO 3 and CuO surfaces under pressures up to 0.01 Torr (14 parts per million volume (ppmv)). Density functional theory-based computational modeling was performed to reveal the mechanisms of NO 2 interactions with the MoO 3 (010) and CuO(111) surfaces to aid interpretation of the experimental results. With pressure dependence, NO 2 interacts with reduced Mo 5+ atoms generated by oxygen vacancies and abstracts hydrogen atoms from hydroxyl groups on MoO 3 without accumulating N-containing species on the surface; vacancy-induced electronic states in the band gap are also removed, hinting toward an increase in the resistivity of the material. N-containing species begin accumulating on the CuO surface at atmospherically relevant pressures of 140 ppbv. NO 2 only decomposes at oxygen vacancy sites of CuO. The nitrogen species leave the CuO surface upon evacuation, highlighting the importance of in situ surface characterization when studying gas sensing and adsorption mechanisms. Finally, these results imply that NO 2 removes hydroxyl and O vac binding sties on these materials when used in gas filtration and sensing applications. Furthermore, the results show the key role of O vac sites in the gas sensing mechanism of MoO 3 and highlight the potential of APXPS for further studies of gas sensors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Relevance of the Nuclear Quantum Effects on the Proton/Deuteron Transmission through Hexagonal Boron Nitride and Graphene Monolayers

According to recent experiments, atomically thin hexagonal boron nitride and graphene are permeable to protons and deuterons (and not to other atomic species), and the experimental estimates of the activation energy are lower than the theoretical values by about 0.5 eV for the isolated proton-membrane transfer model. Our analysis of the electronic potential energy surfaces along the normal to the transmission direction, obtained using correlated electronic structure methods, suggests that the aqueous environment is essential to stabilize the proton { as opposed to the hydrogenatom { transmission. Therefore, the process is examined within a molecular model of H 2 O { H(D) + { material { H 2 O. Exact quantum-mechanical scattering calculations are performed to assess the relevance of the nuclear quantum eects, such as tunneling factors and the kinetic isotope eect (KIE). Deuteration is found to aect the thermal reaction rate constants (KIE of 3-4 for hexagonal boron nitride and 20-30 for the graphene) and to eectively lower the barriers to the proton transfer by 0.2 and 0.4 eV for the two membranes, respectively. This lowering eect is reduced for the deuteron by approximately a factor of three. A more comprehensive description of the proton transmission is likely to require an extended explicit aqueous environment.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coverage-Dependent Adsorption of Hydrogen on Fe(100): Determining Catalytically Relevant Surface Structures via Lattice Gas Models

Hydrogen adatoms are a critical surface species for several reactions catalyzed by Fe surfaces such as Fischer–Tropsch synthesis, ammonia synthesis, and the hydrodeoxygenation of biomass-derived oxygenates. Parameterizing the energetics for H/Fe in terms of both coverage and configuration space can significantly aid in the development of multiscale models as well as provide atomic level insight into the dominant surface structures present under realistic reaction conditions. Here, we construct a lattice gas model for H/Fe(100), where the lateral interactions are determined from first-principles using density functional theory. Using 950 symmetrically unique H/Fe(100) configurations, we generate a cluster expansion with a predictive accuracy in terms of surface energy of 3.8 meV/site over a coverage range from 0 to 3 monolayers. Ten electronic ground state structures are identified from this thorough scan (including the structures at 0 and 3 monolayers), which were subsequently used to generate ab initio phase diagrams under a range of temperatures and pressures. Under reaction conditions typical of Fischer–Tropsch synthesis, ammonia synthesis, and biomass oxygenate hydrodeoxygenation, we find that the 1.0 monolayer structure is dominant. Furthermore, examination of the total H–H lateral interactions for the H/Fe(100) electronic ground state structures shows that H/Fe(100) can be accurately modeled via a mean-field ideal lattice gas model for coverages less than 1.0 monolayers. Altogether, this work enables the incorporation of H–H lateral interactions on Fe(100) into multiscale models, via either mean-field or site-dependent techniques, and provides atomic insight into the catalytically relevant H/Fe(100) structures for a range of heterogeneous reactions.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Size-Dependent Liquid–Liquid Phase Separation in Atmospherically Relevant Complex Systems

Physical properties of aerosol particles, such as liquid-liquid phase separation (LLPS), have the potential to impact the climate system. Model systems have been shown to have size-dependent LLPS in the submicron regime, yet, these systems are an extreme simplification of ambient aerosol, which can include myriad organic compounds. In our research, we expand the studies of LLPS in particles consisting of ammonium sulfate and more complex organic mixtures from multiple organic compounds to α-pinene secondary organic matter (SOM). All systems display a size-dependent morphology, with small particles remaining homogeneous while large particles phase separate. Surprisingly, three-phase particles were also observed in some of the systems in addition to a new phase state that we have termed channel morphology, which can arise upon efflorescence. The existence of size-dependent LLPS in complex organic mixtures and SOM provides evidence that this is a relevant phenomenon for ambient aerosol and should be considered when modeling atmospheric aerosol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Chain Conformations of TEMPO-Based Organic Radical Polymers with Varying Radical Loading and Temperature in Battery-Relevant Solvents

Poly(2,2,6,6-tetramethylpiperidinyloxy-4-yl methacrylate) (PTMA) is an organic radical polymer that is a promising active material in organic batteries. The proximity of the radical groups impacts the nature of charge transfer, in which closer packing promotes electron exchange; however, the chain conformation of PTMA is not well understood. Here, the conformation of PTMA in, and its thermodynamic interactions with, battery-relevant solvents is determined using small-angle neutron scattering (SANS). N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone (NMP) and 50:50 (wt %) ethylene carbonate/dimethyl carbonate (EC/DMC) mixtures with PTMA of varying radical content (68 vs 98%) and temperature (25 and 60 °C) are examined. Both solvents are theta solvents for PTMA irrespective of radical loading and temperature. PTMA attains an expanded chain conformation in NMP and a more compact polymer chain conformation in EC/DMC. Lastly, the electrochemical performance of PTMA films formed from EC/DMC shows improved performance relative to those cast from NMP, which is interpreted to indicate that the compact conformation of PTMA in EC/DMC enables improved inter- and intrachain charge transfer.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Utilizing Site Disorder in the Development of New Energy-Relevant Semiconductors

We report controlling site disorder in ternary and multinary compounds enables tuning optical and electronic properties at fixed lattice constants and stoichiometries, moving beyond many of the challenges facing binary alloy systems. Here, we consider possible enhancements to energy-related applications through the integration of disorder-tunable materials in devices such as light-emitting diodes, photonics, photovoltaics, photocatalytic materials, batteries, and thermoelectrics. However, challenges remain in controlling and characterizing disorder. Focusing primarily on II–IV–V 2 materials, we identify three metrics for experimentally characterizing cation site disorder. Complementary to these experiments, we discuss simulation methods to understand disordered materials. Nonidealities, such as off-stoichiometry and oxygen incorporation, can occur while synthesizing metastable disordered materials. While nonidealities may seem undesirable, we describe how if harnessed they could provide another knob for tuning disorder and subsequently properties. To illustrate the effects of disorder on device-relevant properties, we provide case examples of disordered materials and their potential in device applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Engineering the Novel Extremophile Alga Chlamydomonas pacifica for High Lipid and High Starch Production as a Path to Developing Commercially Relevant Strains

Microalgae offer a compelling platform for the production of commodity products, due to their superior photosynthetic efficiency, adaptability to nonarable lands and nonpotable water, and their capacity to produce a versatile array of bioproducts, including biofuels and biomaterials. However, the scalability of microalgae as a bioresource has been hindered by challenges such as costly biomass production related to vulnerability to pond crashes during large-scale cultivation. This study presents a pipeline for the genetic engineering and pilot-scale production of biodiesel and thermoplastic polyurethane precursors in the extremophile species Chlamydomonas pacifica. This extremophile microalga exhibits exceptional resilience to high pH (>11.5), high salinity (up to 2% NaCl), and elevated temperatures (up to 42 °C). Initially, we evolved this strain to also have a high tolerance to high light intensity (>2000 μE/m 2 /s) through mutagenesis, breeding, and selection. We subsequently genetically engineered C. pacifica to significantly enhance lipid production by 28% and starch accumulation by 27%, all without affecting its growth rate. We demonstrated the scalability of these engineered strains by cultivating them in pilot-scale raceway ponds and converting the resulting biomass into biodiesel and thermoplastic polyurethanes. This study showcases the complete cycle of transforming a newly discovered species into a commercially relevant commodity production strain. This research underscores the potential of extremophile algae, including C. pacifica, as a key species for the burgeoning sustainable bioeconomy, offering a viable path forward in mitigating environmental challenges and supporting global bioproduct demands.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Arsenic Removal by Continuous Flow-Through Iron Electrocoagulation and Downstream Steps under Environmentally Relevant Conditions

Arsenic (As) contamination in drinking water is a major health concern. This study investigated As(III) and As(V) removal by continuous flow-through iron electrocoagulation (EC) under varying iron doses and water chemistry conditions. Effective arsenic removal (>90% of 100 µg/L) was achieved with a low iron dose of 5 mg/L and a short EC reactor residence time of 11 s that was followed by flocculation and settling. Removal was primarily through adsorption of As(III) and As(V) to the EC-generated Fe(III) oxyhydroxide solids ferrihydrite and lepidocrocite. For influents containing As(III), oxidation of As(III) to As(V) also occurred. The removal processes occurred in both the EC reactor and downstream treatment. EC-generated reactive solids with high surface area and adsorption capacity provided better arsenic removal than with preformed adsorbents. The removed arsenic remained largely immobile in the EC-generated solids. The extent of arsenic removal was generally similar across pH 6 to 8. Phosphate (1 mg/L as P) inhibited the removal of both arsenic species. Dissolved silica (20 mg/L as SiO2) suppressed As(III) removal but had little effect on the amount of As(V) removed. In addition to thermodynamic effects on adsorption equilibria, pH and co-occurring phosphate and silica influenced removal rates by affecting iron oxidation, nucleation, and aggregation kinetics. The results integrate mechanistic understanding with treatment performance, providing insight relevant to both fundamental research and the application of EC in water treatment.

Arsenic, electrocoagulation, iron oxide, phosphate↗

Numerically Relevant Timescales in the MG2 Microphysics Model

Climate models rely on parameterizations of a variety of processes in the atmospheric physics, but a common concern is that the temporal resolution is too coarse to consistently resolve the behavior that individual parameterizations are designed to capture. This study examines timescales numerically derived from the Morrison-Gettelman (MG2) microphysics as implemented within the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, version 1 (E3SMv1). Numerically relevant timescales in MG2 are derived by computing the eigenspectrum of its Jacobian. These timescales are found to often be smaller than the default 5 min time step used for MG2. The fast timescales are then heuristically connected to individual microphysics processes. By substepping a few particular rain processes within MG2, the time discretization error for those processes was considerably reduced with minimal additional expense to the overall microphysics. While this improvement has a substantial effect on the target processes and on the vertical distribution of stratiform-derived rain within E3SMv1, the overall model climate is found to not be sensitive to MG2 time step. Here, we hypothesize that this is because the surface climate does not depend strongly on certain process rates, especially MG2's rain evaporation rate.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

New Particle Formation and Growth to Climate-Relevant Aerosols at a Background Remote Site in the Western Himalaya

New particle formation (NPF) can influence the Earth’s radiative budget when the newly formed particles grow to climate-relevant sizes. Here, we present analysis of 21-months of continuous aerosol size distribution measurements at a background remote site in the western Himalaya and provide observational evidence that newly formed particles grow to cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)-active sizes (i.e. >20-100 nm in diameter). Out of total 55 NPF events, 38 (66%) events occurred in the pre-monsoon season (March-May). NPF events were classified into those with and without pollution influence as polluted and cleaner, respectively, using black carbon data. The analysis of air mass age, based on the ratio of number concentration of Aitken to accumulation mode aerosols, indicated that NPF occurred in the relatively cleaner air masses reaching to the site. The median formation rate of 10 nm particles and particle growth rates for cleaner events were three-fold and two-fold, respectively, higher than polluted events. We present the first estimates of the survival probability of newly formed particles to 50 nm and 100 nm size, which was not attempted in an Indian environment previously. The survival probability to 50 nm particles ranged from 44 to 98%, with a mean and standard deviation of 82 ± 18%. On average, ~60% of the particles surviving to 50 nm survived to 100 nm, making the overall survival probability of 100 nm to 53 ± 31%. This indicates that the probability of nucleated particles growing to CCN-active sizes under a large source of condensing vapor (transported from nearby lower-altitude regions) and low pre-existing particle concentrations (background mountain site) is high compared to the previous studies. These findings highlight the importance of the efficiency of nucleation events for producing CCN, which is a critical basis of aerosol indirect effects.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Decision-Relevant Factor-Fixing Framework: Application to Uncertainty Analysis of a High-Dimensional Water Quality Model

Factor Fixing (FF) is a common method for reducing the number of model parameters to lower computational cost. FF typically starts with distinguishing the insensitive parameters from the sensitive and pursues uncertainty quantification (UQ) on the resulting reduced-order model, fixing each insensitive parameter at a fixed value. There is a need, however, to expand such a common approach to consider the effects of decision choices in the FF-UQ procedure on metrics of interest. Therefore, to guide the use of FF and increase confidence in the resulting dimension-reduced model, we propose a new adaptive framework consisting of four principles: (a) re-parameterize the model first to reduce obvious non-identifiable parameter combinations, (b) focus on decision relevance especially with respect to errors in quantities of interest (QoI), (c) conduct adaptive evaluation and robustness assessment of errors in the QoI across FF choices as sample size increases, and (d) reconsider whether fixing is warranted. The framework is demonstrated on a spatially-distributed water quality model. The error in estimates of QoI caused by FF can be estimated using a Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) surrogate model. Built with 70 model runs, the surrogate is computationally inexpensive to evaluate and can provide global sensitivity indices for free. For the selected catchment, just two factors may provide an acceptably accurate estimate of model uncertainty in the average annual load of Total Suspended Solids (TSS), suggesting that reducing the uncertainty in these two parameters is a priority for future work before undertaking further formal uncertainty quantification.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗