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The P( 4 S) + NH( 3 Σ – ) and N( 4 S) + PH( 3 Σ – )reactions as sources of interstellar phosphorus nitride

Phosphorus nitride (PN) is believed to be one of the major reservoirs of phosphorus in the interstellar medium (ISM). For this reason, understanding which reactions produce PN in space and predicting their rate coefficients is important for modelling the relative abundances of P-bearing species and clarifying the role of phosphorus in astrochemistry. Here, in this work, we explore the potential energy surfaces of the $\textrm{P}(^4\textrm{S}) + \textrm{NH}(^3\Sigma^-)$ and $\textrm{N}(^4\textrm{S}) + \textrm{PH}(^3\Sigma^-)$ reactions and the formation of $\textrm{H}(^2\textrm{S}) + \textrm{PN}(^1\Sigma^+)$ through high accuracy ab initio calculations and the variable reaction coordinate transition state theory (VRC-TST). We found that both reactions proceed without an activation barrier and with similar rate coefficients that can be described by a modified Arrhenius equation ( $k(T)=\alpha\!\left( T/300 \right)^{\beta} \exp\!{(\!-\!\gamma/T)})$ with $\alpha=0.93\times 10^{-10}\rm cm^3\,s^{-1}$ , $\beta=-0.18$ and $\gamma=0.24\, \rm K$ for the $\textrm{P} + \textrm{NH} \longrightarrow \textrm{H} + \textrm{PN}$ reaction and $\alpha=0.88\times 10^{-10}\rm cm^3\,s^{-1}$ , $\beta=-0.18$ and $\gamma=1.01\, \rm K$ for the $\textrm{N} + \textrm{PH} \longrightarrow \textrm{H} + \textrm{PN}$ one. Both reactions are expected to be relevant for modelling PN abundances even in the cold environments of the ISM. Given the abundance of hydrogen in space, we have also predicted rate coefficients for the destruction of PN via H + PN collisions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Analysis of Postulated Accident Scenarios for the Transformational Challenge Reactor

The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR) is a helium-cooled, yttrium-hydride-moderated reactor that was designed for the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy. A key objective of the TCR was to employ advanced manufacturing techniques in a nuclear system and demonstrate their potential for revolutionizing the nuclear reactor design process. One purpose of the present work is to demonstrate the safety of the TCR under postulated accidents. Based on RELAP5-3D and COMSOL analyses, the TCR remained below all current safety limits and far below the expected failure limits for the core materials. Another purpose of this work is to provide useful insights and recommendations regarding the application of RELAP5-3D to gas-cooled or other advanced reactors. A novel approach was implemented for simultaneously modeling conduction and radiation in RELAP5-3D, which was found to provide reasonable predictions of radial core, vessel, and ex-vessel heat transfer during postulated events. A multicode approach was also applied, in which high-fidelity COMSOL calculations were used to tune the radial heat transfer parameters in RELAP5-3D. The tuned RELAP5-3D model demonstrated comparable peak temperature predictions as COMSOL, despite a coarse treatment of the core in RELAP5-3D consisting of only two lumped heat structures. This high-fidelity tuning approach enabled enhanced accuracy as well as minimal complexity within the RELAP5-3D model, even for complex fuel geometric designs as in the TCR. Finally, investigations were made into the potential for flow reversal during a pressurized loss-of-forced-flow event in the TCR. The TCR is designed with downward helium flow through the core during normal operation. The RELAP5-3D model predicted that this downward flow would persist, without flow reversal, up to several days after the circulator trip. This was attributed to natural circulation hysteresis effects as have been noted in similar thermofluidic systems. Although flow stagnation and eventual reversal did not lead to unsafe TCR conditions, interesting spatial effects were observed which may have safety relevance for other reactor system designs and coolant types that are designed for downward core flow during normal operation, warranting closer investigation of the flow reversal phenomenon.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Fitting Matérn smoothness parameters using automatic differentiation

The Mat$\acute{e}$rn covariance function is ubiquitous in the application of Gaussian processes to spatial statistics and beyond. Perhaps the most important reason for this is that the smoothness parameter $\nu$ gives complete control over the mean-square differentiability of the process, which has significant implications for the behavior of estimated quantities such as interpolants and forecasts. Unfortunately, derivatives of the Mat$\acute{e}$rn covariance function with respect to $\nu$ require derivatives of the modified second-kind Bessel function $K$ $\nu$ with respect to $\nu$. While closed form expressions of these derivatives do exist, they are prohibitively difficult and expensive to compute. For this reason, many software packages require fixing $\nu$ as opposed to estimating it, and all existing software packages that attempt to offer the functionality of estimating $\nu$ use finite difference estimates for $\partial$ $\nu$ $K$ $\nu$ . In this work, we introduce a new implementation of $K$$\nu$ that has been designed to provide derivatives via automatic differentiation (AD), and whose resulting derivatives are significantly faster and more accurate than those computed using finite differences. Here, we provide comprehensive testing for both speed and accuracy and show that our AD solution can be used to build accurate Hessian matrices for second-order maximum likelihood estimation in settings where Hessians built with finite difference approximations completely fail.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

On the numerical sensitivity of cellular automata grain structure predictions to large thermal gradients and cooling rates

Cellular automata (CA) models of as-solidified grain structure, originally developed and applied to casting, have become a common means of predicting grain structure resulting from Additive Manufacturing (AM) processes. The majority of these models are based on the decentered octahedron approach, which attempts to correct for the effect of grid anisotropy on the prediction of competitive solidification of dendritic grains. However, AM solidification occurs under cooling rates ($\dot{T}$) and thermal gradients (G) that are orders of magnitude larger than those encountered in casting, and no systematic investigation on the effect of the CA model cell size (Δx) and time step (Δt) on AM microstructure predictions has been performed. Here, in this study, such an investigation is first performed via simulation of individual grains of various crystallographic orientations with a fixed, unidirectional G, showing that CA prediction of the steady-state undercooling matched the expected values based on the interfacial response function at small G and deviated from the expected values at large G. Simulation of competitive growth of multiple grains showed a weakening of the predicted texture as G and Δx became large. Simulation of solidification under AM conditions, where G and $\dot{T}$ vary spatially across the melt pools, showed that not only does grain selection weaken and deviate from expectations at large Δx, but grains with crystallographic $\langle$100$\rangle$ aligned with the grid directions are more adversely affected by the temperature field discontinuities than grains with other crystallographic orientations. Despite the fact that the exact grain competition results depended on Δt, the overall texture development was notably less sensitive to Δt than Δx, provided that a reasonable value of Δt is selected based on the ratio of Δx to the maximum local solidification velocity in the simulation domain. Finally, from the directional solidification and AM simulation results, an analysis of computational cost compared to simulation resolution is performed based on an equation derived to quantify the relatively inaccuracy in grain selection based on the model and temperature field inputs. From this analysis, it is concluded that there is a need for algorithmic improvements to improve CA grain competition accuracy for large G processing conditions as sufficiently small Δx to resolve the necessary competition is intractable for many AM processing conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

RF-Net 2: fast inference of virus reassortment and hybridization networks

Abstract Motivation A phylogenetic network is a powerful model to represent entangled evolutionary histories with both divergent (speciation) and convergent (e.g. hybridization, reassortment, recombination) evolution. The standard approach to inference of hybridization networks is to (i) reconstruct rooted gene trees and (ii) leverage gene tree discordance for network inference. Recently, we introduced a method called RF-Net for accurate inference of virus reassortment and hybridization networks from input gene trees in the presence of errors commonly found in phylogenetic trees. While RF-Net demonstrated the ability to accurately infer networks with up to four reticulations from erroneous input gene trees, its application was limited by the number of reticulations it could handle in a reasonable amount of time. This limitation is particularly restrictive in the inference of the evolutionary history of segmented RNA viruses such as influenza A virus (IAV), where reassortment is one of the major mechanisms shaping the evolution of these pathogens. Results Here, we expand the functionality of RF-Net that makes it significantly more applicable in practice. Crucially, we introduce a fast extension to RF-Net, called Fast-RF-Net, that can handle large numbers of reticulations without sacrificing accuracy. In addition, we develop automatic stopping criteria to select the appropriate number of reticulations heuristically and implement a feature for RF-Net to output error-corrected input gene trees. We then conduct a comprehensive study of the original method and its novel extensions and confirm their efficacy in practice using extensive simulation and empirical IAV evolutionary analyses. Availability and implementation RF-Net 2 is available at https://github.com/flu-crew/rf-net-2. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Markin, Alexey (ORCID:0000000332809050)↗

Revisiting adiabatic fraction estimations in cumulus clouds: high-resolution simulations with a passive tracer

The process of mixing in warm convective clouds and its effects on microphysics are crucial for an accurate description of cloud fields, weather, and climate. Still, they remain open questions in the field of cloud physics. Adiabatic regions in the cloud could be considered non-mixed areas and therefore serve as an important reference to mixing. For this reason, the adiabatic fraction (AF) is an important parameter that estimates the mixing level in the cloud in a simple way. Here, we test different methods of AF calculations using high-resolution (10 m) simulations of isolated warm cumulus clouds. The calculated AFs are compared with a normalized concentration of a passive tracer, which is a measure of dilution by mixing. This comparison enables the examination of how well the AF parameter can determine mixing effects and the estimation of the accuracy of different approaches used to calculate it. Comparison of three different methods to derive AF, with the passive tracer, shows that one method is much more robust than the others. Moreover, this method's equation structure also allows for the isolation of different assumptions that are often practiced when calculating AF such as vertical profiles, cloud-base height, and the linearity of AF with height. The use of a detailed spectral bin microphysics scheme allows an accurate description of the supersaturation field and demonstrates that the accuracy of the saturation adjustment assumption depends on aerosol concentration, leading to an underestimation of AF in pristine environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparison of source-location algorithms for atmospheric samplers

Numerous algorithms have been developed to determine the source characteristics for an atmospheric release, e.g., (Bieringer et al., 2017). This study compares three models that have been applied to the data collected by the International Monitoring System operated by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Preparatory Commission to estimate source event parameters. Each model uses a different approach to estimate the parameters. A deterministic model uses a possible source region (PSR) approach (Ringbom et al., 2014) that is based on the correlation between predicted and measured sample values. An unnamed model developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (herein called BAYEST) uses a Bayesian formulation (Eslinger et al., 2019; Eslinger et al., 2020; Eslinger and Schrom, 2016). The FREAR model uses a different Bayesian formulation (De Meutter and Hoffman, 2020; De Meutter et al., 2021; Pieter De Meutter, 2021). The performance of the three source-location models is evaluated with 100 synthetic release cases for the single xenon isotope, 133 Xe. The release cases resulted in detections in a fictitious network with 120 noble gas samplers. All three source-location models use the same sampling data. The two Bayesian models yield more accurate location estimates than the deterministic PSR model, with FREAR having slightly better location performance than BAYEST. Samplers with collection periods of 3, 6, 8, 12, and 24-h were used. Results from BAYEST show that location accuracy improves with each reduction in sample collection length. The BAYEST model is slightly better for estimating the start time of the release. The PSR model has about the same spread in start times as the FREAR model, but the PSR results have a better average start time. The Bayesian source-location algorithms give more accurate results than the PSR approach, and provide release magnitude estimates, while the base PSR model does not estimate the release magnitude. This investigation demonstrates that a reasonably dense sampling grid will sometimes yield poor location and time estimates regardless of the model. The poor estimates generally coincide with cases where there is a much larger distance between the release point and the first detecting sampler than the average sampler spacing.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Signal Processing Based Method for Real-Time Anomaly Detection in High-Performance Computing

Performance anomalies can manifest as irregular execution times or abnormal execution events for many reasons, including network congestion and resource contention. Detecting such anomalies in real-time by analyzing the details of performance traces at scale is impractical due to the sheer volume of data High-Performance Computing (HPC) applications produce. In this paper, we propose formulating HPC performance anomaly detection as a signal-processing problem where anomalies can be treated as noise. We evaluate our proposed method in comparison with two other commonly used anomaly detection techniques of varying complexity based on their detection accuracy and scalability. Since real-time in-situ anomaly detection at a large scale requires lightweight methods that can handle a large volume of streaming data, we find that our proposed method provides the best trade-off. We then implement the proposed method in Chimbuko, the first online, distributed, and scalable workflow-level performance trace analysis framework. We compare our proposed signal-based anomaly detection algorithm with two other methods using a function of their accuracy, F1 score, and detection overhead. Our experiments demonstrate that our proposed approach achieves a 99% improvement for the benchmark datasets and a 93% improvement with Chimbuko traces.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Differential $t\overline{t}$ cross-section measurements using boosted top quarks in the all-hadronic final state with 139 fb -1 of ATLAS data

Measurements of single-, double-, and triple-differential cross-sections are presented for boosted top-quark pair-production in 13 TeV proton–proton collisions recorded by the ATLAS detector at the LHC. The top quarks are observed through their hadronic decay and reconstructed as large-radius jets with the leading jet having transverse momentum (pT) greater than 500 GeV. The observed data are unfolded to remove detector effects. The particle-level cross-section, multiplied by the $t\overline{t}$ $\rightarrow$ $WWb$$\overline{b}$ branching fraction and measured in a fiducial phase space defined by requiring the leading and second-leading jets to have p T > 500 GeV and p T > 350 GeV, respectively, is 331 ± 3(stat.) ± 39(syst.) fb. This is approximately 20% lower than the prediction of ${398}^{+48}_{-49}$ fb by POWHEG+PYTHIA 8 with next-to-leading-order (NLO) accuracy but consistent within the theoretical uncertainties. Results are also presented at the parton level, where the effects of top-quark decay, parton showering, and hadronization are removed such that they can be compared with fixed-order next-to-next-to-leading-order (NNLO) calculations. The parton-level cross-section, measured in a fiducial phase space similar to that at particle level, is 1.94 ± 0.02(stat.) ± 0.25(syst.) pb. This agrees with the NNLO prediction of ${1.96}^{+0.02}_{-0.17}$ pb. Reasonable agreement with the differential cross-sections is found for most NLO models, while the NNLO calculations are generally in better agreement with the data. The differential cross-sections are interpreted using a Standard Model effective field-theory formalism and limits are set on Wilson coefficients of several four-fermion operators.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Analysis of Intermediates and Products from the Dehydrogenation of Mg(BH 4 ) 2

The thermodynamic properties of key compounds, Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , MgB 2 H 6 , MgB 10 H 10 , Mg(B 11 H 14 ) 2 , Mg 3 (B 3 H 6 ) 2 , and MgB 12 H 12 , proposed to be formed in the release of hydrogen from magnesium borohydride Mg(BH 4 ) 2 and uptake of hydrogen by MgB 2 , have been investigated using solid–state density functional theory (DFT) calculations. Further, more accurate treatment of cell–size effects to the entropies were also investigated, in order to improve the accuracy of the thermodynamic properties of complex borohydrides. We find that the zero–point energy corrections can lower the electronic energies of reaction by 20–30 kJ/(mol H 2 ) for these intermediates, while adding the thermal and entropy contributions results in the total decrease up to ~50 kJ/(mol H 2 ). Although our treatment lowers the calculated formation energy of Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , it is still too high to explain the experimental observation of B 3 H 8 – . We discuss possible reasons for this disparity and propose that the formation of B 3 H 8 – and H – in a disordered amorphous phase has a large energy difference compared to the phase–separated Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 and MgH 2 considered in calculations. Comparison of the experimental and NMR chemical shifts calculated within a DFT approach for known species Mg(BH 4 ) 2 , Mg(B 3 H 8 ) 2 , Mg(B 11 H 14 ) 2 , MgB 10 H 10 and MgB 12 H 12 provides validation for predicting the chemical shifts of the other compounds which are yet to be confirmed experimentally. These include MgB 2 H 6 and the proposed tri–anion species Mg 3 (B 3 H 6 ) 2 that both have favorable thermodynamics for reversible hydrogen storage in Mg(BH 4 ) 2 without the formation of MgH 2 as a co–product which could phase–separate and inhibit rehydrogenation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Development of a deep potential model for F and CF 2 etching of Si and SiO 2

An understanding of plasma-surface interactions at increasingly smaller scales is invaluable for the development of novel technologies and processing techniques. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can provide insights into atomic-scale interactions, though they are restricted by the availability of interatomic potentials. Machine learning methods, such as Deep Potential Molecular Dynamics (DeepMD), provide a systematic framework for the development of accurate and flexible ab initio-based models. In this work, we develop DeepMD models for the ion-enhanced etching of Si and SiO 2 by F and CF 2 radicals. We employ an active learning process to expand the data set on which the model is trained and demonstrate its effect on the model accuracy. The DeepMD results are compared to data from classical MD simulations and experiments. Physical sputtering yields of SiO 2 by Ar + ions show good agreement with previous simulation results using conventional interatomic potentials, though the predicted depth profiles are different. Etching yields are calculated as a function of ion energy and neutral to ion flux ratio for the Ar + ion-enhanced etching of SiO 2 and Si by F atoms, as well as for etching of SiO 2 by CF 2 radicals, showing reasonable agreement with experimental data. Finally, an ion-enhanced surface kinetic model is fitted to the DeepMD etch yields, and the fitted parameters are compared to quantities computed directly from DeepMD simulations. This study illustrates how molecular dynamics simulations using machine learning potentials can provide an accurate model of etching processes relevant to device manufacturing.

Kounis-Melas, Andreas [Princeton Univ., NJ (United↗

Enhanced spin pumping in heterostructures of coupled ferrimagnetic garnets

Spin pumping has significant implications for spintronics, providing a mechanism to manipulate and transport spins for information processing. Understanding and harnessing spin currents through spin pumping is critical for the development of efficient spintronic devices. The use of a magnetic insulator with low damping enhances the signal-to-noise ratio in crucial experiments such as spin-torque ferromagnetic resonance (FMR) and spin pumping. A magnetic insulator coupled with a heavy metal or quantum material offers a more straightforward model system, especially when investigating spin-charge interconversion processes to greater accuracy. This simplicity arises from the absence of unwanted effects caused by conduction electrons unlike in ferromagnetic metals. Here, we investigate the spin pumping in coupled ferrimagnetic (FiM) Y 3 Fe 5 O 12 (YIG)/Tm 3 Fe 5 O 12 (TmIG) bilayers combined with heavy-metal (Pt) using the inverse spin Hall effect. It is observed that magnon transmission occurs at both of the FiMs FMR positions. The enhancement of spin pumping voltage (V sp ) in the FiM garnet heterostructures is observed. The plausible reason might be the interfacial exchange coupling between FiMs. The modulation of V sp is achieved by tuning the bilayer structure. Further, the spin mixing conductance for these coupled systems is found to be ≈ 10 18 m –2 . Furthermore, our findings describe a coupled FiM system for the investigation of magnon coupling providing opportunities for magnonic devices.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Decoding the protein–ligand interactions using parallel graph neural networks

Abstract Protein–ligand interactions (PLIs) are essential for biochemical functionality and their identification is crucial for estimating biophysical properties for rational therapeutic design. Currently, experimental characterization of these properties is the most accurate method, however, this is very time-consuming and labor-intensive. A number of computational methods have been developed in this context but most of the existing PLI prediction heavily depends on 2D protein sequence data. Here, we present a novel parallel graph neural network (GNN) to integrate knowledge representation and reasoning for PLI prediction to perform deep learning guided by expert knowledge and informed by 3D structural data. We develop two distinct GNN architectures: $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{F}}$$ GNN F is the base implementation that employs distinct featurization to enhance domain-awareness, while $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{P}}$$ GNN P is a novel implementation that can predict with no prior knowledge of the intermolecular interactions. The comprehensive evaluation demonstrated that GNN can successfully capture the binary interactions between ligand and protein’s 3D structure with 0.979 test accuracy for $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{F}}$$ GNN F and 0.958 for $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{P}}$$ GNN P for predicting activity of a protein–ligand complex. These models are further adapted for regression tasks to predict experimental binding affinities and $$\hbox {pIC}_{\mathrm{50}}$$ pIC 50 crucial for compound’s potency and efficacy. We achieve a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.66 and 0.65 on experimental affinity and 0.50 and 0.51 on $$\hbox {pIC}_{\mathrm{50}}$$ pIC 50 with $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{F}}$$ GNN F and $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{P}}$$ GNN P , respectively, outperforming similar 2D sequence based models. Our method can serve as an interpretable and explainable artificial intelligence (AI) tool for predicted activity, potency, and biophysical properties of lead candidates. To this end, we show the utility of $$\hbox {GNN}_{\mathrm{P}}$$ GNN P on SARS-Cov-2 protein targets by screening a large compound library and comparing the prediction with the experimentally measured data.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A parametric SPICE model for the simulation of spark gap switches

The use of SPICE-based software for the simulation of pulsed power systems—even large complex systems—has become commonplace in the pulsed power community. This is in contrast to earlier work in the field that relied on specially developed simulation codes such as Sandia’s Screamer or the Navy Research Lab’s Bertha, which natively incorporated models for common pulsed power components such as spark gap switches. Unlike these programs, SPICE programs provide a simple and familiar user interface and wide availability. However, SPICE programs do not include realistic models for key pulsed power circuit devices—including the spark gap switch. While simple switch models do exist in SPICE programs, these can only crudely approximate the behavior of a spark gap. This effort focuses on developing an SPICE circuit model for a gas-filled spark gap switch that is physically realistic while being simple enough to permit simulations to run in reasonable times on typical personal computers. Detailed information is provided for implementation in two common versions of SPICE: LTspice and Orcad PSPICE. Adaptation to other SPICE programs is possible with minimal modification. The model is intended as a design tool that uses physical parameters as inputs to connect it directly to the development of useable pulsed power systems. Data collected from the operation of a high-pressure pulsed-charged switch and a complete 12-stage Marx generator have been used to demonstrate the implementation and accuracy of the model over a wide range of parameters.

Pouncey, J. Cameron (ORCID:0000000153500816)↗

Neural simulation-based inference of the neutron star equation of state directly from telescope spectra

Neutron stars provide a unique opportunity to study strongly interacting matter under extreme density conditions. The intricacies of matter inside neutron stars and their equation of state are not directly visible, but determine bulk properties, such as mass and radius, which affect the star's thermal X-ray emissions. However, the telescope spectra of these emissions are also affected by the stellar distance, hydrogen column, and effective surface temperature, which are not always well-constrained. Uncertainties on these nuisance parameters must be accounted for when making a robust estimation of the equation of state. In this study, we develop a novel methodology that, for the first time, can infer the full posterior distribution of both the equation of state and nuisance parameters directly from telescope observations. This method relies on the use of neural likelihood estimation, in which normalizing flows use samples of simulated telescope data to learn the likelihood of the neutron star spectra as a function of these parameters, coupled with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods to efficiently sample from the corresponding posterior distribution. Our approach surpasses the accuracy of previous methods, improves the interpretability of the results by providing access to the full posterior distribution, and naturally scales to a growing number of neutron star observations expected in the coming years.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Deep potential molecular dynamics simulations of ion-enhanced etching of silicon by atomic chlorine

The continued development of plasma-assisted processing techniques requires a fundamental understanding of plasma-surface interactions. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations have been employed to complement experimental studies and better understand the properties of such systems. Recently, machine learning (ML) methods have enabled the development of ab initio-based interatomic potentials, which can be generalized to complex combinations of multiple atom types. In this work, we use ML potentials developed using the Deep Potential Molecular Dynamics (DeepMD) framework to provide a model of ion-enhanced etching of Si by Cl atoms. We demonstrate the importance of proper selection of the training data set to the accuracy of the DeepMD model and compare our results to MD results using empirical potentials, as well as to experimental measurements. Exposure of undoped Si at 300 K to thermal Cl atoms yields a steady-state Cl coverage of 1.25 monolayers, which is slightly lower than the value obtained in previous experimental studies. Predictions of Si etch yields by simultaneous Cl atom and Ar + ion impacts as a function of ion energy, neutral to ion flux ratio, and angle of incidence of the ions are in reasonably good agreement with classical MD results and experimental measurements. Finally, etch yields and SiCl x mixed layer thicknesses during simultaneous bombardment of the Si(100) surface by Cl atoms and Cl + ions are in good agreement with experimental data. In conclusion, the present work is a necessary condition for the extension of the DeepMD procedure to more complex systems of interest in plasma-surface interactions.

Artificial neural networks↗

A Short-Term Solar Forecasting Platform Using a Physics-Based Smart Persistence Model and Data Imputation Method

Electrical energy plays vital role in our socio-economic activity and therefore ensuring the reliability of the electric grid, from the generation, transmission and distribution level is critical. In order to maintain the power system parameter viz., frequency, voltage, etc., optimally, balancing of generation and consumption is very much essential. However, solar energy is infirm power by nature this is due to cloud cover / other local phenomena. Hence, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation brings a significant challenge to the grid operator due to the variability of the solar energy. The complexity of this challenge in terms of planning and dispatch ability of PV resources, aggravates with the high penetration of solar energy into the electric grid. In this setting, reliable solar radiation forecasting models based on accurate and quality input data become essential. In order to develop a suitable model for predicting solar radiation, quality historical / real time measurement is also needed. Under this study NIWE and NREL jointly developed / tested short-term solar forecasting frameworks using a smart persistence and physics-based smart persistence models for intra-hour forecasting of solar radiation (PSPI) and benchmarked 9 different data imputation techniques in 15 Solar Radiation Resource Assessment (SRRA) stations, located at different parts of India. During any measurement campaign, due to various technical reasons, we may miss few observations. However, the missing observation often reduce the performance of any forecasting model. Therefore, suitable data imputation method would assist us to obtain continuous observation of solar radiation. A station-by-station and method-by-method analysis was carried out to understand the performance of each model. Based on our analysis, among all the data imputation methods, the Kalman data imputation method is better for Indian Weather condition. In addition, Kalman StructTS, Linear, Stine and Arima methods yield slightly inferior accuracy compared to Kalman, but outperform the other methods. The extended solar radiation data are used by solar forecasting models to provide the prediction of solar radiation at 15 SRRA stations. As far as short term forecasting model is concerned, the PSPI model outperforms the Smart Persistence model. However, the forecast error is increases with the forecasting horizon.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Universal Electronic‐Structure Relationship Governing Intrinsic Magnetic Properties in Permanent Magnets

An electronic-structure-centered perspective is presented on permanent-magnet (PM) design, highlighting two key levers, that is, saturation magnetization (M s ), governed by 3d-band filling and exchange physics, and magnetocrystalline anisotropy energy (MAE), arising from spin-orbit coupling (SOC) on anisotropic orbital populations. Reviewing current practices, including DFT-based MAE/J ij extraction, atomistic-spin and micromagnetic modeling, and high-throughput machine learning (ML) pipelines, three bottlenecks limiting predictive discovery is identified that is i) electronic-structure accuracy for small MAE (sensitive to functional choice, Hubbard U, and many-body effects), ii) finite-temperature and kinetic realism (phonon/magnon renormalization, ordering kinetics), and iii) descriptor and multiscale decoupling (lack of SOC-weighted and orbital-resolved fingerprints). Deep dives into the electronic-structure of Nd─Fe─B and Fe─N show how these fingerprints govern magnetic performance, motivating DFT- and quantum-mechanics-based descriptors for discovery. Unbiased, structure-driven exploration, coupled with high-throughput simulations, ML, generative AI, and reasoning models, accelerates candidate identification and propagates insights across scales. Addressing supply-chain risks, on future needs of designing “critical-element-free” magnets with tailored microstructure and high energy products is emphasized. By integrating electronic fingerprints, AI reasoning, and multiscale modeling, a practical roadmap is provided for rare-earth-lean or rare-earth free, high-performance, sustainable PMs.

Singh, Prashant [Ames Laboratory, and Iowa State U↗