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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

The Efficiency of Water Vapor on Top‐of‐Atmosphere Radiation

Earth's climate sensitivity is greatly affected by the compensation between temperature feedback and water vapor (WV) feedback. Using abrupt 4xCO 2 experiments, we show that the global-mean WV feedback is nearly a linear function of the temperature feedback, the slope of which is explained by the longwave radiative efficiency of WV (ϵ). Although ϵ remains constant across models in the global mean, it exhibits substantial spatial variations and is particularly weak in Antarctica, where near-surface inversions decouple the surface from the free troposphere. We introduce a surface–free troposphere temperature difference (SFTD) metric, showing that positive SFTD (e.g., high lifting condensation level) amplifies ϵ, while negative SFTD (e.g., strong surface inversion) suppresses it. These findings provide a clear explanation of how local climate conditions modulate the radiative compensation between temperature and WV feedbacks.

climate feedback↗
DOE OSTI2025

Soil moisture-atmosphere interactions drive terrestrial carbon-water trade-offs

Soil moisture is coupled with vegetation and atmosphere, influencing global cycling of water, carbon, and energy. However, it remains unclear how soil moisture-atmosphere interactions affect land-atmosphere carbon and water exchanges simultaneously. Using Earth system model experiments, we show widespread carbon-water trade-offs between net ecosystem production and precipitation-minus-evapotranspiration driven by soil moisture dynamics. Soil moisture positively controls net ecosystem production and negatively affects precipitation-minus-evapotranspiration, through direct soil water stress and indirect soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks. While soil moisture variability magnifies the interannual variability of net ecosystem production, it moderates that of precipitation-minus-evapotranspiration over land. These opposing effects lead to a pronounced carbon-water trade-off, which originates from the interplay between carbon acquisition through photosynthesis and water extraction through evapotranspiration. This trade-off is projected to intensify in a warming and drying future, as soil moisture increasingly regulates carbon and water exchanges, posing a serious challenge to sustaining both terrestrial carbon sink and water supply.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

A User Guide to PARET/ANL

PARET was originally created in 1969 at what is now Idaho National Laboratory (INL), to analyze reactivity insertion events in research and test reactor cores cooled by light or heavy water, with fuel composed of either plates or pins. The use of PARET is also appropriate for fuel assemblies with curved fuel plates when their radii of curvatures are large with respect to the fuel plate thickness. The PARET/ANL version of the code has been developed at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) under the sponsorship of the U.S. Department of Energy/NNSA since the inception of the Reactor Conversion Program. Since Reduced Enrichment for Research and Test Reactors (RERTR) began in 1978, PARET/ANL has been benchmarked to experimental data including SPERT testing, and used to determine the expected transient behavior of a large number of reactors regardless of enrichment both inside and outside the Reactor Conversion Program. This document provides the pertinent information for the use of PARET/ANL Version 7.6. PARET/ANL models the various fueled regions of a reactor core as channels. Each of these channels consists of a single flat fuel plate/pin (including cladding and, optionally, a gap) with water coolant on each side. In slab geometry the coolant channels for a given fuel plate are of identical dimensions (mirror symmetry), but they can be of different thickness in each channel. There can be many channels, but each channel is independent and coupled only through reactivity feedback effects to the whole core. The time-dependent differential equations that represent the system are replaced by an equivalent set of finite-difference equations in space and time, which are integrated numerically. PARET/ANL uses fundamentally the same numerical scheme as RELAP5 for the time-integration of the point-kinetics equations. The one-dimensional thermal-hydraulic model includes temperature-dependent thermal properties of the solid materials, such as heat capacity and thermal conductivity, as well as the transient heat production and heat transfer from the fuel meat to the coolant. Temperature- and pressure-dependent thermal properties of the coolant such as enthalpy, density, thermal conductivity, and viscosity are also used in determining parameters such as friction factors and heat transfer coefficients. The code first determines the steady-state solution for the initial state. Then the solution of the transient is obtained by integration in time and space. Multiple heat transfer, DNB and flow instability correlations are available. The code was originally developed to model reactors cooled by an open loop, which was adequate for rapid transients in pool-type cores. An external loop model appropriate for Miniature Neutron Source Reactors (MNSR’s) was also added to PARET/ANL to model natural circulation within the vessel, heat transfer from the vessel to pool and heat loss by evaporation from the pool. PARET/ANL also contains models for decay heat after shutdown, control rod reactivity versus time or position, time-dependent pump flow, and loss-of-flow event with flow reversal as well as logic for trips on period, power, and flow. Feedback reactivity effects from coolant density changes and temperature changes are represented by tables. Feedback reactivity from fuel heat-up (Doppler Effect) is represented by a four-term polynomial in powers of fuel temperature. Photo-neutrons produced in beryllium or in heavy water may be included in the point-kinetics equations by using additional delayed neutron groups.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A System Approach to Deep Heating Savings Through Measurement, Management, and Motivation

Across multi-tenant commercial office and multifamily buildings, centrally metered fuel use represents a substantial fraction of whole-building energy use. Energy audit practitioners understand that improving heating distribution efficiency is typically more of an opportunity than combustion efficiency and that differing thermal comfort preferences between tenants are the bane of operators across these building typologies. There is an unmet market need for retrofit technologies that allow for the delivery of the right amount of heat to the right spaces, at the right time. The Energy Management and Information System (EMIS) package fills this gap through enhanced controls and metering, incorporating low-cost sensors and wireless communication infrastructure to provide a platform for ongoing commissioning and tenant feedback, including heat cost allocation. With support from the US DOE Building Technologies Office, Steven Winter Associates, Inc. (SWA) partnered with Sentient Buildings, E Source, building owners, and utility and policy stakeholders, to demonstrate a market viable EMIS that achieves a reduction in space heating energy use by reducing heating load, improving control, and positively impacting behavior while providing an acceptable financial return. In this study, EMIS packages were implemented in two New York City multifamily rental buildings. Both buildings conducted basic mechanical work (e.g., repairing steam traps) to ensure the heating system was operating well before any tenant feedback was layered in. Heating Energy Use Reports (HEUR) were created to provide tenants with social comparisons and energy savings tips to influence their behavior; these were provided monthly to all tenants in both buildings. Additionally, one building allocated heating costs to a portion of the tenants. Heat cost allocation (HCA) has a long history in the European Union (EU), although it is not common in the US or in steam-heated buildings. SWA leveraged existing EU best practices and stakeholder feedback to develop a Heat Cost Allocation algorithm that was considered equitable and intuitive. Energy use and tenant behavior impacts were tracked throughout the study. The basic mechanical repair work saved between 11-20% of heating energy. Those savings rose to 17-24% with the addition of tenant feedback. While it may not be possible to precisely determine the impact of COVID-19 on research studies like this, there may have been additional savings realized had the study taken place in a period of normal occupancy patterns. These types of central heating systems have been a blind spot for utilities, who have traditionally had little visibility into detailed behind-the-meter gas usage. Heating energy savings stayed consistent during the coldest months, indicating the potential for utilities to utilize EMIS packages for peak gas demand reductions or demand response programs. Tenant comfort was also improved. Post installation, room temperatures more closely matched thermostat set points. Perhaps due to this greater level of control, the vast majority of tenants being billed for heating were accepting of the allocation costs. And tenants receiving heat cost allocations were more likely to reduce their thermostat setpoints than tenants receiving behavioral feedback without financial impacts were. Variation in building specifics makes it difficult to provide precise energy and financial savings estimates. But within the range of expected conditions, the study identified a few key variables that can have the greatest impact on financial returns: the cost of fuel, the ability and willingness to allocate heating costs to tenants, and a well-functioning heating system as a starting point. This study focused on two multifamily buildings, but additional use cases, such as commercial buildings and affordable housing, should be explored to better understand the full market potential. While this type of upgrade has the potential for deep energy reductions and cost savings, future projects should take into account the balance of costs and benefits between owners and tenants, especially in the affordable, regulated, or other low-to-moderate income (LMI) segments of the market. Rent credits, utility allowances, or a shared savings program are possible options to accelerate adoption of this strategy in these market segments.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Impact of control blade insertion on the deformation behavior of SiC-SiC channel boxes in BWRs

This article describes the analysis of distortion of a silicon carbide fiber-reinforced, silicon carbide matrix (SiC-SiC) composite channel box under in-reactor conditions of a boiling water reactor (BWR). The BWR core has significant gradients in the fast neutron flux across the channel box due to the presence of water rods within the fuel assemblies, and these gradients increase further with the insertion of control blades. As a result of the temperature and neutron flux dependent irradiation-induced swelling of SiC, the SiC-SiC composite channel box can undergo distortion. In this work, we evaluate the SiC-SiC channel box distortion for three different control blade positions. This analysis is based on the neutron flux and temperature distributions in the BWR core calculated using the neutronics code MPACT and thermal-hydraulics code CTF. This calculation is coupled through temperature feedback. Subsequently, we have performed structural analysis based on the calculated neutron flux and temperature distributions to determine the deformation and stress development in the channel box. The structural analysis was performed using the fuel performance modeling code BISON and the commercial finite element analysis software Abaqus. The results indicate that large gradients in fast neutron flux (up to 35–40% across a single axial level) will develop across the channel box. Due to these gradients, the channel box will undergo time-dependent bending for all the control blade positions in the assembly. The time-dependent bowing behavior is dominated by the transient swelling of SiC-SiC material under non-uniform neutron flux, and changes with variation in the control blade position. The bending will cause temporary interference between the channel box and control blade, and the interference is expected to be most severe for the fully inserted control blade position. The developed stresses due to differential swelling in the channel box exceed the proportional limit stress of the material, which may cause matrix microcracking in the channel box. However, the stresses remain below the tensile strength of the material, and therefore, development of a full, through-thickness crack in the channel box is not expected. Finally, further work is recommended to explore and evaluate the mitigation strategies.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Carbon acquisition ecological strategies to connect soil microbial biodiversity and carbon cycling

Soil carbon feedbacks to global change are uncertain, and the biological processes that govern soil organic matter decomposition are not resolved in current ecosystem models. Though it is recognized that microbial biodiversity influences decomposition rates, incorporating this relationship into ecosystem models is challenging because microbial communities are prohibitively diverse. It is likely necessary to distill microbial biodiversity by focusing on functional groups or ecological strategies. The ecological strategies that currently dominate the microbial ecology literature derive from macroecological theory, have clear weaknesses, and have had limited success when applied to predict soil carbon dynamics. Here, we present a new framework for soil microorganisms: Carbon Acquisition Ecological Strategies (CAES), and we outline a path toward incorporating microbial biodiversity into ecosystem models using this framework to enhance predictions of soil carbon feedbacks to global change. Because a microorganism's diet is central to its ecological niche and likely to covary with other ecologically significant traits, we posit that carbon acquisition may serve as a tractable foundation for developing ecological strategies. Further, we describe four candidate ecological strategies for soil microorganisms: 1° decomposers that assimilate complex plant polymers, 2° decomposers that assimilate microbial necromass, passive consumers that assimilate dissolved organic carbon, and predatory microbes that assimilate live microbial biomass. These strategies are directly linked to soil carbon pools currently represented in ecosystem models and may provide a foundation for greater integration of microbial community dynamics into ecosystem models.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fast calculation of the tokamak vertical instability

There has been recent interest in fast calculations of the tokamak axisymmetric vertical instability for real time feedback control purposes. It is shown that the maximum eigenvalue for the basic rigid version of this stability problem can be obtained by finding the positive root to a simple scalar function. This function can be generalized to include plasma mass and has complexity linear in the number of conductive elements. The formulation is based on standard matrix decompositions of the fixed-geometry part of the eigenproblem. The calculation bottleneck is the summary of mutual inductances from the reconstructed equilibrium current density. The with-mass spectrum can be made fully real-valued by the addition of a critical amount of damping with negligible effect on the vertical growth rate. Furthermore, the calculation has been implemented in the plasma control system at the DIII-D tokamak and used in experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Explainable Artificial Intelligence Technology for Predictive Maintenance

The domestic nuclear power plant fleet has relied on labor-intensive and time-consuming preventive maintenance programs, thus driving up operation and maintenance costs to achieve high-capacity factors. Artificial intelligence and machine learning can help simplify complex problems, such as diagnosing equipment degradation, to enable more effective decision-making. Benefits will be felt not only within existing analog and digital instrumentation and control, but also work processes, the integration of people with technology, and most importantly, the business case. Together, these hold promise to make nuclear power more efficient and reduce costs associated with operation and maintenance. While the artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies hold significant promise in the nuclear industry, there are challenges or barriers to their adoption. This report outlines the those different machine learning adoption barriers (categorized as historical, technical, economic, regulatory, and user) that the industry must overcome to realize the full benefits of artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities for long-term economic sustainability. This report also provides solutions for some of these barriers by focusing on improving the explainability of machine learning to encourage trust from the end-user. Trust and explainability are essential to machine learning adoption. This report focuses on research-developed solutions to some of these barriers while analyzing a non-safety-related system, namely the circulating water system. This system frequently experiences waterbox fouling which our models preemptively diagnoses then explains to the operator how those conclusions were reached. This report presents and discusses the inherent trade-off between machine learning performance (in terms of accuracy) and explainability, where highly accurate machine learning methods (such as deep-learning) are the least explainable, and the most explainable methods (such as decision trees) are the least accurate. In addition, explainability of artificial intelligence techniques in terms of transparency and post-hoc metrics are discussed. This report outlines the importance of data novelty and value of new information in evaluating both the explainability and trustworthiness. Novelty detection helps to establish consistency or inconsistency of the new data with respect to the training data. On the other hand, value of information could be a part of the user-centric visualization recommendation system that request additional information to be collected, thereby strengthening the machine learning outcomes. During this project, a copyrighted user-centric visualization that aligns with a human-in-the-loop approach was developed. The user-centric visualization presents different levels of information and can be tailored as per user credentials to gain user confidence. One of the salient features of the user-centric visualization is it presents machine learning methods with explainability metrics. A simplified version of the user-centric visualization was presented to 32 users with varying levels of machine learning expertise. Feedback was solicited to test the hypothesis that the app contained sufficient explainability and that the users would trust the algorithm. Overall, the app was positively received, and the hypothesis was supported. This report discusses the trust-but-verify framework – a potential approach to build user trust artificial intelligence. The framework discusses trust from the human level to artificial intelligence level. The fundamental premise of the trust but verify framework is derived from an observation of nuclear safety culture (i.e., nuclear power plant personnel do not rely on a singular source of data to make a decision). This also ties back to the user-centric visualization that presents different levels of information to achieve both explainability and trustworthiness of artificial intelligence. Even so, the adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning in the nuclear industry faces additional barriers, namely regulatory and stakeholder readiness. To overcome these challenges, new solutions must gain regulatory approval and cater to stakeholder needs. The Nuclear Regulatory Committee has a 5-year strategic plan which prepares them for reviewing artificial intelligence technologies in licensee submissions. Early and frequent engagement with the regulator is encouraged. Additionally, artificial intelligence solutions should incorporate human-in-the-loop considerations and offer explainability. Stakeholders must prepare by hiring or training staff to adapt to advancing technology in everyday plant tasks.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Lab-Scale Cable-Driven Parallel Robot Prototype for Automated Prefabricated Component Manipulation

This paper presents the design and evaluation of a lab-scale cable-driven parallel robot (CDPR) developed as a flexible platform for automated installation of prefabricated components onto exterior building envelopes. Traditional manual installation methods for prefabricated components, which depend on scaffolding, cranes, cherry pickers, and verbal coordination, are not only labor-intensive and error-prone but also face significant limitations in dense urban environments due to site access constraints. To address these challenges, we developed a lab-scale CDPR platform capable of autonomously transporting building envelope components from a designated pickup zone to their target installation location, minimizing the need for human intervention. This study describes the system’s mechanical design, actuation architecture, real-time feedback system, and control strategy of the CDPR, and evaluates its performance in a laboratory environment. The robot’s actuation system uses torque control for end-effector manipulation. The robot’s real-time pose feedback comes from a construction-grade total station and a wireless inertial measurement unit (IMU), which together support precise end-effector control. Experimental results demonstrate the successful integration of the hardware, sensing, state estimation, and control subsystems. Preliminary tests showed that our lab-scale prototype can position the end effector with an error of less than 3 mm, which is a level of precision not previously achieved by existing CDPRs in construction applications. The key findings are twofold: (1) torque-only control is necessary but not sufficient for minimizing final pose error, and (2) incorporating real-time pose feedback can achieve the desired placement accuracy.

Liu, Yifang [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL),↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-resolution in-beam video rate imaging with the ClearXCam for synchrotron beamlines

The ClearXCam detector is a new video rate imaging in-beam monitor based on a diamond sensor. Imaging with 2304 effective pixels is achieved by sequentially biasing one of 48 metal stripes on one side of a diamond sensor, while reading out the current from 48 stripes on the other side of the sensor. This system was characterized for real-time X-ray beam diagnostics at synchrotron beam­line 17-BM at the National Synchrotron Light Source II. Significant results include: detection of in-beam structure via the imaging mode, beam focusing in one minute with real-time imaging feedback during a focusing event, linearity over five orders of magnitude, validation of a fast mode operating at 100 Hz, and sub-micron beam-positioning resolution. The system is now available commercially.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Subplane Decusping for BWRs in MPACT

Control blade cusping can introduce significant error in boiling water reactor (BWR) calculations with MPACT when blade tips fall partway within an axial method of characteristics (MOC) plane, requiring homogenization of controlled and uncontrolled regions. This work implements subplane decusping for BWRs in MPACT by enabling BWR-compatible subplane coarse mesh finite difference (CMFD) and extending the existing decusping framework to represent between-assembly control blades that insert from the bottom of the core. The method resolves axial heterogeneity on a refined subplane mesh in the low-order solve and uses the resulting subplane flux shape to form flux-volume homogenized transport cross sections for the partially rodded MOC plane. The capability is evaluated using a single physics General Electric (GE)-14 assembly and a multiphysics Peach Bottom Unit 2 Type 1 assembly (PB2T1A) with thermal hydraulic feedback. In both cases, coarse axial meshes with and without subplane decusping are compared against fine mesh reference solutions over the full range of blade withdrawal positions. Subplane decusping reduces maximum/average eigenvalue errors from 3,369/220 pcm to 303/36 pcm for GE-14 and from 6,689/585 pcm to 1,582/109 pcm for PB2T1A. Additionally, it reduces pin power root mean square errors from 5.2%/0.8% to 1.8%/0.2% for GE-14 and from 6.9%/0.6% to 2.3%/0.1% for PB2T1A. These results demonstrate an effective, practical correction for BWR blade cusping in VERA-MPACT.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mechanochemical topological defects in an active nematic

We propose a reaction-diffusion system that converts topological information of an active nematic into chemical signals. We show that a curvature-activated reaction dipole is sufficient for creating a system that dynamically senses topology by producing a concentration field possessing local extrema coinciding with ±$\frac{1}{2}$ defects. The enabling term is analogous to polarization charge density seen in dielectric materials. We demonstrate the ability of this system to identify defects in both passive and active nematics. Our results illustrate that a relatively simple feedback scheme, expressed as a system of partial differential equations, is capable of producing chemical signals in response to inherently nonlocal structures in anisotropic media. Here, we posit that such coarse-grained systems can help generate testable hypotheses for regulated processes in biological systems, such as morphogenesis, and motivate the creation of bio-inspired materials that utilize dynamic coupling between nematic structure and biochemistry.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Learning reference governor for cycle-to-cycle combustion control with misfire avoidance in spark-ignition engines at high exhaust gas recirculation–diluted conditions

Cycle-to-cycle feedback control is employed to achieve optimal combustion phasing while maintaining high levels of exhaust gas recirculation by adjusting the spark advance and the exhaust gas recirculation valve position. The control development is based on a control-oriented model that captures the effects of throttle position, exhaust gas recirculation valve position, and spark timing on the combustion phasing. Under the assumption that in-cylinder pressure information is available, an adaptive extended Kalman filter approach is used to estimate the exhaust gas recirculation rate into the intake manifold based on combustion phasing measurements. The estimation algorithm is adaptive since the cycle-to-cycle combustion variability (output covariance) is not known a priori and changes with operating conditions. A linear quadratic regulator controller is designed to maintain optimal combustion phasing while maximizing exhaust gas recirculation levels during load transients coming from throttle tip-in and tip-out commands from the driver. During throttle tip-outs, however, a combination of a high exhaust gas recirculation rate and an overly advanced spark, product of the dynamic response of the system, generates a sequence of misfire events. In this work, an explicit reference governor is used as an add-on scheme to the closed-loop system in order to avoid the violation of the misfire limit. The reference governor is enhanced with model-free learning which enables it to avoid misfires after a learning phase. Experimental results are reported which illustrate the potential of the proposed control strategy for achieving an optimal combustion process during highly diluted conditions for improving fuel efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Measurement of the Full Shape of the Thermal Sunyaev–Zel’dovich Power Spectrum from the South Pole Telescope and Herschel–SPIRE Observations

We present a measurement of the full shape of the power spectrum of the thermal Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (tSZ) effect down to arcminute scales using cosmic microwave background (CMB) data from the South Pole Telescope (SPT) over a roughly 100 deg 2 field. The analysis incorporates data from the 2019–2020 seasons of the SPT-3G survey in bands centered at 95, 150, and 220 GHz; from the full SPTpol dataset at 150 GHz; and from the Herschel–SPIRE survey in bands centered at 600 and 857 GHz. We combine data from all the above bands using linear combination (LC) techniques to produce a tSZ or Compton-y map. We modify the LC weights to produce multiple versions of the Compton-y map, including minimum-variance (MV) and foreground-minimized (-min) maps. We measure the auto- and cross-power spectra of a subset of these maps in the range ℓ ∈ [500, 5000]. While this power spectrum includes contributions from signals other than tSZ, we present numerous checks to show that the most challenging foreground signal, the cosmic infrared background (CIB), is much lower than the desired tSZ signal in the scales of interest in this work. The final tSZ power spectrum is measured at 9.3σ with both the MV and CIB-min maps. Our results are consistent with those reported in other CMB surveys across the literature. Using the difference in the tSZ power spectrum from the MV and CIB-min maps, we reconstruct the scale-dependent tSZ–CIB cross correlation $ρ^{\textrm{tSZ}}_{ℓ}$ x CIB, finding 3.1σ evidence for a nonzero correlation coefficient that is positive on large scales and approaches zero for ℓ > 2500. This result represents the deepest tSZ maps ever produced and provides new constraints that can help refine astrophysical feedback mechanisms and models of the intracluster medium.

Raghunathan, S. [Univ. of California, Davis, CA (U↗
DOE OSTI2023

A full year of aerosol size distribution data from the central Arctic under an extreme positive Arctic Oscillation: insights from the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition

Abstract. The Arctic environment is rapidly changing due to accelerated warming in the region. The warming trend is driving a decline in sea ice extent, which thereby enhances feedback loops in the surface energy budget in the Arctic. Arctic aerosols play an important role in the radiative balance and hence the climate response in the region, yet direct observations of aerosols over the Arctic Ocean are limited. In this study, we investigate the annual cycle in the aerosol particle number size distribution (PNSD), particle number concentration (PNC), and black carbon (BC) mass concentration in the central Arctic during the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition. This is the first continuous, year-long data set of aerosol PNSD ever collected over the sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean. We use a k-means cluster analysis, FLEXPART simulations, and inverse modeling to evaluate seasonal patterns and the influence of different source regions on the Arctic aerosol population. Furthermore, we compare the aerosol observations to land-based sites across the Arctic, using both long-term measurements and observations during the year of the MOSAiC expedition (2019–2020), to investigate interannual variability and to give context to the aerosol characteristics from within the central Arctic. Our analysis identifies that, overall, the central Arctic exhibits typical seasonal patterns of aerosols, including anthropogenic influence from Arctic haze in winter and secondary aerosol processes in summer. The seasonal pattern corresponds to the global radiation, surface air temperature, and timing of sea ice melting/freezing, which drive changes in transport patterns and secondary aerosol processes. In winter, the Norilsk region in Russia/Siberia was the dominant source of Arctic haze signals in the PNSD and BC observations, which contributed to higher accumulation-mode PNC and BC mass concentrations in the central Arctic than at land-based observatories. We also show that the wintertime Arctic Oscillation (AO) phenomenon, which was reported to achieve a record-breaking positive phase during January–March 2020, explains the unusual timing and magnitude of Arctic haze across the Arctic region compared to longer-term observations. In summer, the aerosol PNCs of the nucleation and Aitken modes are enhanced; however, concentrations were notably lower in the central Arctic over the ice pack than at land-based sites further south. The analysis presented herein provides a current snapshot of Arctic aerosol processes in an environment that is characterized by rapid changes, which will be crucial for improving climate model predictions, understanding linkages between different environmental processes, and investigating the impacts of climate change in future Arctic aerosol studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evidence for galaxy assembly bias in BOSS CMASS redshift-space galaxy correlation function

ABSTRACT Building accurate and flexible galaxy–halo connection models is crucial in modelling galaxy clustering on non-linear scales. Recent studies have found that halo concentration by itself cannot capture the full galaxy assembly bias effect and that the local environment of the halo can be an excellent indicator of galaxy assembly bias. In this paper, we propose an extended halo occupation distribution (HOD) model that includes both a concentration-based assembly bias term and an environment-based assembly bias term. We use this model to achieve a good fit (χ2/degrees of freedom = 1.35) on the 2D redshift-space two-point correlation function (2PCF) of the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) CMASS galaxy sample. We find that the inclusion of both assembly bias terms is strongly favoured by the data and the standard five-parameter HOD model is strongly rejected. More interestingly, the redshift-space 2PCF drives the assembly bias parameters in a way that preferentially assigns galaxies to lower mass haloes. This results in galaxy–galaxy lensing predictions that are within 1σ agreement with the observation, alleviating the perceived tension between galaxy clustering and lensing. We also showcase a consistent 3σ–5σ preference for a positive environment-based assembly bias that persists over variations in the fit. We speculate that the environmental dependence might be driven by underlying processes such as mergers and feedback, but might also be indicative of a larger halo boundaries such as the splashback radius. Regardless, this work highlights the importance of building flexible galaxy–halo connection models and demonstrates the extra constraining power of the redshift-space 2PCF.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-Dependent Boundary Modeling to Inform Design of SPARC Diagnostic and Actuators

The purpose of this work was to inform the design of diagnostic and actuator systems for a new experimental facility for Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS), called SPARC [Creely2020], using time-dependent plasma boundary simulations with the Scrape Off Layer Plasma Simulator (SOLPS) code [Wiesen2015]. The SPARC tokamak is a device that aims to demonstrate fusion energy production and high-field plasma operating scenarios. The developed technologies will be incorporated into a net-electricity pilot that will demonstrate approximately 200MW of electric power. A major difference from other private industry fusion companies is the use of a standard aspect ratio, but at a high magnetic field strength, which provides a well-established physics basis and a modest extrapolation to reactor operation. Time-dependent simulations were used to inform the design of main-chamber plasma facing components, which are protected by feedback control of the heat and particle loads during high power operation. The simulations provide the timescales and magnitudes of plasma and neutral particle response useful for determining the position and operation of diagnostics and actuators that will enable control. The plasma response and phase-space diagrams also provide input into advanced model-based control schemes, which are envisioned for later SPARC operation. Model-based control can reduce the risk of component failure, which would require expensive in-situ repairs and the associated delays, by predicting the system response to actuators over a short time-horizon.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Local and General Patterns of Terrestrial Water‐Carbon Coupling

Abstract Terrestrial carbon uptake and water availability have coupled feedbacks; specifically water uptake for plant growth and soil drying via transpiration. While we might expect this coupling over time at arid sites, climatic water availability also widely covaries geographically with biomass variables that control photosynthetic rates. Using eddy covariance data globally, we find convex, positively‐covarying relations between carbon uptake and a turbulent flux metric controlled by land surface moisture (r = 0.73 monthly across sites) at the site level. We estimate a general, empirical relationship based on site‐wise water‐carbon dynamics. Most sites, and the general relationship, show strong power‐law dependence, implicating the role of sub‐seasonal land‐cover dynamics. We also find that long‐term mean carbon/water states follow a similar convex relationship to the site‐specific temporal dynamics. We discuss opportunities and caveats for space‐for‐time frameworks of carbon/water feedback processes globally.

Geology↗