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At least 271 records · Page 15

Comparison of Error Rate Depending on Operator Expertise and Simulator Complexity

This paper analyzes operator's error rate from experiments, depending on the expertise and simulator complexity. This study uses the Rancor Microworld, a simplified simulator developed by INL, and the Compact Nuclear Simulator (CNS), a less simplified simulator developed by the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI). The error rates were measured from simulation data of a total of 72 participants, and the collected error rate data were analyzed using analysis of variance (ANOVA) test.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Frequency-domain hot-wire sensor and 3D model for thermal conductivity measurements of reactive and corrosive materials at high temperatures

High temperature solids and liquids are becoming increasingly important in next-generation energy and manufacturing systems that seek higher efficiencies and lower emissions. Accurate measurements of thermal conductivity at high temperatures are required for the modeling and design of these systems, but commonly employed time-domain measurements can have errors from convection, corrosion, and ambient temperature fluctuations. Here, we describe the development of a frequency-domain hot-wire technique capable of accurately measuring the thermal conductivity of solid and molten compounds from room temperature up to 800 °C. Therefore, by operating in the frequency-domain, we can lock into the harmonic thermal response of the material and reject the influence of ambient temperature fluctuations, and we can keep the probed volume below 1 µl to minimize convection. The design of the microfabricated hot-wire sensor, electrical systems, and insulating wire coating to protect against corrosion is covered in detail. Furthermore, we discuss the development of a full three-dimensional multilayer thermal model that accounts for both radial conduction into the sample and axial conduction along the wire and the effect of wire coatings. The 3D, multilayer model facilitates the measurement of small sample volumes important for material development. A sensitivity analysis and an error propagation calculation of the frequency-domain thermal model are performed to demonstrate what factors are most important for thermal conductivity measurements. Finally, we show thermal conductivity measurements including model data fitting on gas (argon), solid (sulfur), and molten substances over a range of temperatures.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Evaluation of New Additions to OLI Software in Predicting Mercuric and Mercurous Species in Liquid Waste Operations

Speciation of mercury during the pretreatment steps of tank waste processing is critical to successful mercury removal prior to vitrification during Liquid Waste Operations (LWO) at SRS. OLI software has been used to predict mercury speciation and activity throughout LWO. The OLI software operates based on a thermodynamic framework called the Mixed Solvent Electrolyte (MSE) framework. The MSE framework allows prediction in theoretically infinitely dilute to concentrated mixtures (e.g., purely solute solutions). Before modification to the MSE framework databanks, certain critical mercury species were missing in the MSE databank, and some thermodynamic data needed to be updated for the OLI software to accurately predict mercury chemical species in SRS waste tanks. To better reflect streams across LWO, new mercury species were integrated into the MSE database. To evaluate the changes to the OLI MSE framework per the Technical Task Request (TTR) and the Task Technical and Quality Assurance Plan (TTQAP), waste stream compositions from Tanks 38, 43, and Tank 50 decontaminated salt solution (DSS) were used as model inputs. Models were developed and executed using both the old and new databases. Compositional analyses from caustic Tank 50 DSS and caustic Tanks 38 and 43 were used as the input streams. These streams represent the most comprehensive chemical data sets where both mercury and tank constituents were measured together. Results for Tank 50 DSS predict HgO as the predominant species in both databases. Both methyl and dimethyl Hg species are present when the new database is ‘on’ and are not predicted with the new database turned ‘off’. The new database predicts a greater amount of HgO and a greater fraction of it in the solid phase. Pourbaix diagrams (potential vs. pH) generated for each Tank 50 DSS were identical regardless of which database was used. Elemental Hg and HgO were predicted in the water stable region under basic conditions. Tanks 38 and 43 follow similar trends as the Tank 50 DSS models. Unlike Tanks 38 and 50 DSS, the Tank 43 Pourbaix plot shows a region of stability for an aqueous HgOHCO3 - species between approximately pH 7-11. In all streams, when MeHg+ is included in the inputs, the new database predicts aqueous MeHgOH as the dominant species. If elemental or dimethyl mercury is in the waste stream, the new database model predicts they are unchanged and remain in those states and quantities. Additionally, the total mercury values are reported for both the measured input data and the OLI output data for all considered tanks. The summary indicates that the percentage error between the measured and calculated values is less than 1% in all cases The reconciliations and generation of the Pourbaix diagrams for Tank 50 DSS took approximately ten times longer with the new database ‘on’. In addition, over the course of that time, models with the new database ‘on’ were more likely to crash or display an error. Some modest performance improvements were noted when modeling with an i7 processor versus an i5. An example error is found in Appendix A. Furthermore, Appendix B provides V&V for two chemical systems analyzed with the OLI software, results were satisfactory. It is recommended to utilize the new databases (i.e., HCO.ddb and SR-Hg.ddb) in future Savannah River Mission Completion applications of OLI to represent pseudo steady-state. Furthermore, the integration and utilization of the new databases (i.e., HCO.ddb and SR-Hg.ddb) in modeling applications (e.g., Aspen) is also recommended.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Monte Carlo neutronics benchmarks on nuclear fuel depletion: A review

Monte Carlo (MC) neutronics codes are used widely for academic and industrial needs. Several schemes of coupling MC neutronics code with isotope generation and depletion code exist, which are used for performing nuclear fuel depletion simulations. These simulations can estimate the inventory of isotopes in neutron irradiated nuclear reactor fuel. However, the accuracy of these simulations shall be validated through experiments. MC codes are seldom validated by isotopic benchmarks compared to criticality benchmarks. This work compiles and analyzes the fuel depletion benchmarks and validations used to analyze the performance of MC-based fuel depletion neutronics codes. Analyses of these benchmarks and validations showed that the computed concentrations of 133 Cs, 135 Cs, 137 Cs, 148 Nd, 239 Pu, 240 Pu, and 241 Pu in the irradiated fuel by the depletion codes agreed with the measured values within 10% error. However, the computed concentrations of 125 Sb, 242 Cm, 243 Cm, 244 Cm, 245 Cm, and 246 Cm had errors more than 15% compared to the measured values. As a result, Ventina depletion code showed the most accurate predictions for the greatest number of isotope concentrations compared to ORIGEN2 and CINDER90.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Performance of Al-Mn Transition-Edge Sensor Bolometers in SPT-3G

SPT-3G is a polarization-sensitive receiver, installed on the South Pole Telescope, that measures the anisotropy of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) from degree to arcminute scales. The receiver consists of ten 150-mm-diameter detector wafers, containing a total of similar to 16,000transition-edge sensor (TES) bolometers observing at 95, 150, and 220 GHz. During the 2018-2019 austral summer, one of these detector wafers was replaced by a new wafer fabricated with Al-Mn TESs instead of the Ti/Au design originally deployed for SPT-3G. We present the results of in-laboratory characterization and on-sky performance of this Al-Mn wafer, including electrical and thermal properties, optical efficiency measurements, and noise-equivalent temperature. In addition, we discuss and account for several calibration-related systematic errors that affect measurements made using frequency-domain multiplexing readout electronics.

Al-Mn↗

Correcting for Selection Biases in the Determination of the Hubble Constant from Time-Delay Cosmography

The time delay between multiple images of strongly lensed quasars has been used to infer the Hubble constant. The primary systematic uncertainty for time-delay cosmography is the mass-sheet transform (MST), which preserves the lensing observables while altering the inferred ⁠H 0 . The TDCOSMO collaboration used velocity dispersion measurements of lensed quasars and lensed galaxies to infer that mass sheets are present, which decrease the inferred H 0 by 8 per cent. Here, we test the assumption that the density profiles of galaxy–galaxy and galaxy–quasar lenses are the same. We use a composite star-plus-dark-matter mass profile for the parent deflector population and model the selection function for galaxy–galaxy and galaxy–quasar lenses. We find that a power-law density profile with an MST is a good approximation to a two-component mass profile around the Einstein radius, but we find that galaxy–galaxy lenses have systematically higher mass-sheet components than galaxy–quasar lenses. For individual systems, λ int correlates with the ratio of the half-light radius and Einstein radius of the lens. By propagating these results through the TDCOSMO hierarchical inference code, we find that H 0 is lowered by a further 3 per cent. Using a more recent measurement of velocity dispersions and our fiducial model for selection biases, we infer H 0 = 66 ± 4 (stat) ± 1 (model sys) ± 2 (measurement sys) km s -1 Mpc -1 for the TDCOSMO plus SLACS data set. The first residual systematic error is due to plausible alternative choices in modelling the selection function, and the second is an estimate of the remaining systematic error in the measurement of velocity dispersions for SLACS lenses. Accurate time-delay cosmography requires precise velocity dispersion measurements and accurate calibration of selection biases.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Exploring model complexity in machine learned potentials for simulated properties

Abstract Machine learning (ML) enables the development of interatomic potentials with the accuracy of first principles methods while retaining the speed and parallel efficiency of empirical potentials. While ML potentials traditionally use atom-centered descriptors as inputs, different models such as linear regression and neural networks map descriptors to atomic energies and forces. This begs the question: what is the improvement in accuracy due to model complexity irrespective of descriptors? We curate three datasets to investigate this question in terms of ab initio energy and force errors: (1) solid and liquid silicon, (2) gallium nitride, and (3) the superionic conductor Li $$_{10}$$ 10 Ge(PS $$_{6}$$ 6 ) $$_{2}$$ 2 (LGPS). We further investigate how these errors affect simulated properties and verify if the improvement in fitting errors corresponds to measurable improvement in property prediction. By assessing different models, we observe correlations between fitting quantity (e.g. atomic force) error and simulated property error with respect to ab initio values. Graphical abstract

Rohskopf, A. (ORCID:0000000227128296)↗

Evaluation of a Sulfate Solubility Limit Greater Than 0.65 Weight Percent in Sludge Batch 10 Glasses

Previous laboratory-scale crucible testing with batch chemicals confirmed that the sulfate (SO 4 2- ) limit for Sludge Batch 10 (SB10) was 0.65 weight percent (wt.%) in glass. This limit signifies that 0.65 wt.% SO 4 2- can be retained in the glass without the formation of a sulfate phase. The Defense Waste Processing Facility imposes this constraint in the Material Tracking Program. Based on preliminary calculations to support the Material Tracking Program, it was anticipated that transfer volumes of the monosodium titanate/sludge solids (MST/SS) stream from the Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF) may need to be reduced to maintain projected sulfate concentrations below 0.65 wt.% in glass. Savannah River Mission Completion requested that the Savannah River National Laboratory perform additional sulfate testing to determine whether a sulfate solubility limit greater than 0.65 wt.% is feasible for SB10, which could allow for higher transfer volumes of the MST/SS stream. This report documents the results of the testing at higher sulfate concentrations for the glass composition region defined by the most recent SB10 projection (November 2022) and Frits 473 and 625. Frit 473 was recommended for SB10 and Frit 625 was used during SB9 processing and the SB9 to SB10 transition. A total of twenty-one glass compositions were developed based on the expected compositional variables, which include sludge-only (SO) and coupled processing with the SWPF, waste loading (WL), and frit composition. The target sulfate concentrations were varied from 0.65-0.85 wt.% at 32 and 40% WL. Each glass was prepared from reagent grade chemicals and melted at 1150 °C. Visual observations were used to confirm the presence of a sulfate salt phase on the cooled glass surfaces. Representative samples of each glass were submitted for chemical composition analysis by inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectroscopy and Cs analysis by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. Overall the majority of mean measured values are consistent with the target values for each major oxide of interest with less than 5% error. The percent errors for the measured SO 4 2- concentrations are generally less than 10%, which is comparable with previous sulfate solubility study measurements and acceptable. Only the SO glasses based on Frit 625 formed a sulfate phase at a 0.80 wt.% SO 4 2- target concentration at both 32 and 40% WL. The remainder of the glasses did not form a sulfate layer. Due to the formation of the sulfate phase, the limit is conservatively set at 0.70 wt.% based on the measured sulfate concentrations of 0.71 wt.% and 0.75 wt.% for these two glasses. None of the SO or coupled operation glasses based on Frit 473 formed a sulfate salt phase, which supports a sulfate limit of 0.80 wt.%. The following SO 4 2- concentration limits are recommended during SO and coupled SB10 processing: (1) 0.70 wt.% during processing with Frit 625, and (2) 0.80 wt.% during processing with Frit 473.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Trends in Downwelling Longwave Radiance Over the Southern Great Plains

Downwelling longwave radiation is an important part of the surface energy budget. Spectral trends in the downwelling longwave radiance (DLR) provide insight into the radiative drivers of climate change. In this research, we process and analyze a 23-year DLR record measured by the Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) at the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Program Southern Great Plains (SGP) site. Two AERIs were deployed at SGP with an overlapping observation period of about 10 years, which allows us to examine the consistency and accuracy of the measurements and to account for discrepancies between them due to errors associated with the instruments themselves. We then analyzed the all-sky radiance trends in DLR, which are associated with the surface warming trend at SGP during this same period and also the complex changes in meteorological conditions. For instance, the observed radiance in the CO2 absorption band follows closely the near-surface air temperature variations. The significant positive radiance trends in weak absorption channels, such as in the wings of the CO 2 band and in the weak absorption channels in the H 2 O vibration-rotational band, show earlier detectability of climate change. The magnitude of the radiance trend uncertainty in the DLR record mainly results from internal climate variability rather than from measurement error, which highlights the importance of continuing the DLR spectral measurements to unambiguously detect and attribute climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Manufactured solutions for an electromagnetic slot model

The accurate modeling of electromagnetic penetration is an important topic in computational electromagnetics. Electromagnetic penetration occurs through intentional or inadvertent openings in an otherwise closed electromagnetic scatterer, which prevent the contents from being fully shielded from external fields. To efficiently model electromagnetic penetration, aperture or slot models can be used with surface integral equations to solve Maxwell's equations. A necessary step towards establishing the credibility of these models is to assess the correctness of the implementation of the underlying numerical methods through code verification. Surface integral equations and slot models yield multiple interacting sources of numerical error and other challenges, which render traditional code-verification approaches ineffective. In this paper, we provide approaches to separately measure the numerical errors arising from these different error sources for the method-of-moments implementation of the electric-field integral equation with a slot model. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of these approaches for a variety of cases.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Accurate equation of state of H 2 – He binary mixtures up to 5.4 GPa

Brillouin scattering spectroscopy has been used to obtain an accurate (<1%) ρ-P equation of state (EOS) of 1:1 and 9:1 H 2 -He molar mixtures from 0.5 to 5.4 GPa at 296 K. Our calculated equations of state indicate close agreement with the experimental data right to the freezing pressure of hydrogen at 5.4 GPa. The measured velocities agree on average, within 0.5%, of an ideal mixing model. The ρ-P EOSs presented have a standard deviation of under 0.3% from the measured densities and under 1% deviation from ideal mixing. Furthermore, a detailed discussion of the accuracy, precision, and sources of error in the measurement and analyses of our equations of state is presented.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Revised astrometric calibration of the Gemini Planet Imager

We present a revision to the astrometric calibration of the Gemini Planet Imager (GPI), an instrument designed to achieve the high contrast at small angular separations necessary to image substellar and planetary-mass companions around nearby, young stars. We identified several issues with the GPI data reduction pipeline (DRP) that significantly affected the determination of the angle of north in reduced GPI images. As well as introducing a small error in position angle measurements for targets observed at small zenith distances, this error led to a significant error in the previous astrometric calibration that has affected all subsequent astrometric measurements. We present a detailed description of these issues and how they were corrected. We reduced GPI observations of calibration binaries taken periodically since the instrument was commissioned in 2014 using an updated version of the DRP. These measurements were compared to observations obtained with the NIRC2 instrument on Keck II, an instrument with an excellent astrometric calibration, allowing us to derive an updated plate scale and north offset angle for GPI. This revised astrometric calibration should be used to calibrate all measurements obtained with GPI for the purposes of precision astrometry.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Code-verification techniques for the method-of-moments implementation of the combined-field integral equation

Code verification plays an important role in establishing the credibility of computational simulations by assessing the correctness of the implementation of the underlying numerical methods. In computational electromagnetics, the numerical solution to integral equations incurs multiple interacting sources of numerical error, as well as other challenges, which render traditional code-verification approaches ineffective. In this paper, we provide approaches to separately measure the numerical errors arising from these different error sources for the method-of-moments implementation of the combined-field integral equation. Here, we demonstrate the effectiveness of these approaches for cases with and without coding errors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Suggested Modifications for Bifacial Capacity Testing

Capacity tests such as those described in ASTM 2848 and IEC 61724-2 are widely used during the contracting and acceptance testing of photovoltaic systems. With the increasing deployment of bifacial photovoltaic modules, there is a need to develop a standardized approach to capacity test these systems. Although variability and bias error were inherently higher for the measured capacity of bifacial systems, they could be reduced to a level consistent with the monofacial reference system by appropriate incorporation of rear irradiance—either measured or modeled. Three field installations provided bifacial system capacity that was measured with a mean bias error and standard deviation within 1% over the 2–10-month observation period. Capacity test accuracy could be improved further by using the measured back-of-module temperature and the IEC 61724-2 test method for well curated systems.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Double Quarter Wave Crab Cavity Wire Stretching Measurement at BNL

The Double Quarter Wave (DQW) crab cavity is one out of the two crab cavities within Work Package 4 of the LHC (Large Hadron Collider) Hi-Lumi Program, and the RF design of the cavity was originally supported by the US LHC Accelerator Research Program (LARP) and later the LHC Accelerator Upgrade Program (AUP) funded by the DOE High Energy Physics Office in the Office of Science. Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) has delivered the successful DQW crab cavity RF design, and worked actively with all. The wire stretching measurement was completed on the prototype DQW crab cavity for operation practice and calibration of the measurement system. Four locations were defined to be on the electrical center plane of the crab cavity, and survey of the wire indicated all are on the same plane. The successful measurement validated the wire stretching system built at Brookhaven National Lab. The offset of the four wire locations to the fitted plane provided the error of the measurement.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

FY20 Status Report on Photothermal Radiometry Development

This report documents FY20 progress in the development of a benchtop photothermal radiometry (PTR) instrument for the measurement of thermal diffusivity. A PTR system incorporating Off-Axis Parabolic (OAP) mirrors was designed and tested. Additionally, a novel analysis technique that accounts for systematic errors that affect measurement accuracy was implemented. Measurements on samples with a range of thermal diffusivities using the PTR setup along with the new analysis technique resulted in improved accuracy and repeatability. Areas for future development work are set forth.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

How Representative Are Uncrewed Aircraft System Measurements of the Convective Boundary Layer?

Abstract Uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) demonstrate significant potential for filling data gaps in the atmospheric boundary layer. However, the extent to which UAS observations—typically vertical profiles taken over 15 min—are representative of the boundary layer as a whole remains poorly characterized. Using large eddy simulations (LES) of the daytime convective boundary layer (CBL), we quantify random errors in UAS measurements that occur due to insufficient statistical convergence of the time average to the true ensemble mean. Random errors in first‐order moments increase as the CBL becomes increasingly unstable, and are largest near the surface for most quantities. Errors are on the order of 2–6 m for wind speed, 15–60 for wind direction, 0.2–3 K for potential temperature, and 0.1–1 g for specific humidity, with errors in turbulent fluxes on the order of 50%–100%. Sampling strategies that mitigate random errors are discussed in light of our results.

Greene, Brian R. [Now at Verisk Extreme Event Solu↗

Improving seasonal precipitation forecasts in the Western United States through statistical downscaling

Abstract Seasonal precipitation forecasts in the western United States are critical resources for water resource management, especially during winter. While current seasonal forecasting systems provide monthly precipitation forecasts operationally, their coarse resolution limits their effectiveness in capturing the localized precipitation patterns and snowpack conditions essential for water resource managers in the mountainous regions. Here, analog statistical downscaling is demonstrated as an effective approach to enhance the spatial resolution of operational seasonal forecasts provided by the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Downscaling was performed by building an analog ‘library’, in which corresponding model forecasts and observed values during the training period were stored. In the testing period, unseen model forecasts referenced the closest historical forecast from the analog library and applied the corresponding observational value for each point. This analysis indicates that downscaled products can capture localized features more accurately than the original coarse resolution forecasts, reducing forecast error across the western United States. Moreover, downscaling individual ensemble members—rather than downscaling the ensemble mean—further reduces forecasting error for their multi-model ensemble mean products. The greatest error reductions in the downscaled product, measured by root mean squared error (RMSE), were observed at low to mid-elevations (500–2000 meters), with 50%–70% improvement relative to the original forecasts. In the higher elevations (2000 meters and above), changes in RMSE relative to the original forecast were limited to 10%–30% improvements. The improvement is more substantial for forecast systems with 10 ensemble members compared to that with 4 members, but this relationship does not hold for the system with 24 ensemble members. These findings show that analog statistical downscaling can effectively address the spatial limitations of seasonal precipitation forecasts with minimal computational cost, providing a valuable framework for enhancing coarse resolution forecasting products while providing insights into the timing of ensemble mean calculations during the downscaling process.

Vernon, B. (ORCID:0009000891670689)↗