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At least 271 records · Page 15

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Finite Element Based Model of Fiber-optic Strain Sensor Mounted on a Semi-monocoque Structure

Fiber-optic strain sensing (FOSS) provides an opportunity for additional awareness and can enable other mitigations such as flutter suppression or gust load alleviation but requires an accurate computational model as part of a design process that integrates structures and controls. A modeling approach for fiber-optic strain sensors has been developed using a shell element formulation in a detailed finite element model. The new FOSS modeling approach is designed to better scale to more complex realistic structures and fiber layouts than previous approaches. The modeling method was applied to the X-56A vehicle and results were compared to experimental static ground-test data. Additionally, the experimental sensor noise of these fiber optic sensors was assessed for the correlations in time and correlations along the fiber. The noise does show significant correlations both in time and along the fibers. These correlations of the noise should also be considered in modeling and assessing algorithms that will use FOSS.

Jeffrey Ouellette↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Finite Element Based Model of Fiber-optic Strain Sensor Mounted on a Semi-monocoque Structure

Jeffrey Ouellette↗

DOE OSTI2024

Constraining effects of aerosol-cloud interaction by accounting for coupling between cloud and land surface

Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACIs) are vital for regulating Earth’s climate by influencing energy and water cycles. Yet, effects of ACI bear large uncertainties, evidenced by systematic discrepancies between observed and modeled estimates. This study quantifies a major bias in ACI determinations, stemming from conventional surface or space measurements that fail to capture aerosol at the cloud level unless the cloud is coupled with land surface. We introduce an advanced approach to determine radiative forcing of ACI by accounting for cloud-surface coupling. By integrating field observations, satellite data, and model simulations, this approach reveals a drastic alteration in aerosol vertical transport and ACI effects caused by cloud coupling. In coupled regimes, aerosols enhance cloud droplet number concentration across the boundary layer more homogeneously than in decoupled conditions, under which aerosols from the free atmosphere predominantly affect cloud properties, leading to marked cooling effects. Our findings spotlight cloud-surface coupling as a key factor for ACI quantification, hinting at potential underassessments in traditional estimates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

DPC Disposal Thermal Scoping Analysis

This is a progress report on thermal modeling for dual-purpose canister (DPCs) direct disposal that covers several available calculation methods and addresses creep and temperature-dependent properties in a salt repository. Three modeling approaches are demonstrated: A semi-analytical calculation method that uses linear solutions with superposition and imaging, to represent a central waste package in a larger array; A finite difference model of coupled thermal creep, implemented in FLAC2D; and An integrated finite difference thermal-hydrologic modeling approach for repositories in different generic host media, implemented in PFLOTRAN. These approaches are at different levels of maturity, and future work is expected to add refinements and establish the best applications for each.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

NASA NTRS2017

Mars 2020 Surface Mission Performance Modeling: Part 3. Mission Performance Modeling Approach and Results

We have developed a comprehensive model of the Mars 2020 rover surface mission used to identify and evaluate mission productivity and operability challenges and opportunities. The surface mission performance model combines many aspects of rover design, operations approach, system behaviors, and mission constraints into an integrated model of surface mission performance. The surface mission model applies monte-carlo methodologies in order to investigate the key sources of mission performance variability and their effects with respect to overall mission performance. Our modeling efforts aims to investigate and inform engineering design and development efforts, as well as the landing site selection process led by the Mars science community. We believe that an integrated mission performance model such as this is important to aligning engineering and science efforts across the project.

Ono, Masahiro↗

DOE OSTI2020

Approach to Quality Assurance for Complex Environmental Modeling - 20407

A strong Quality Assurance (QA) program for complex environmental modeling is essential for regulatory and public acceptance and trust, but it does not have to be onerous. Neptune and Company, Inc. (Neptune) has developed a strong QA program that improves transparency, traceability, reproducibility, and therefore, defensibility and trust. Neptune's QA program has evolved over the past 27 years, transitioning from an ad hoc QA program, to a program that is currently Nuclear Quality Assurance-1 (NQA-1) compliant, and will soon be NQA-1/DOE approved for DOE EM modeling work. In addition, Neptune is a qualified laboratory assessor and qualified auditor for reference materials, a proficiency testing provider, and fully complies with the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) QA program. Neptune's President and CEO, Kelly Black, was recently named the Chairperson of the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) Technical Committee 69, Application of Statistical Methods. A strong QA program has been developed for Neptune's radiological performance assessment (PA) program. Although pieces of their QA program are currently in development, their current program includes document control using Subversion, issue tracking and work flow tracking using JIRA, and transparency and traceability via a system of 'calc sheets' for documentation of all data analysis and modeling combined with 'check print' documentation of QA checking, and rigorous model testing and configuration control. All work is reviewed by an independent subject matter expert who is not associated with the collection and assembly of information, for an internal peer review. The program is enforced with a handful of Standard Operation Procedures (SOPs), Work Instructions, QA Project Plans (QAPPs), and Quality Management Plans (QMPs) that are updated frequently, with required annual training and acknowledgment. In addition, effective communication of modeling approaches and results to clients and stakeholders are integral to their QA program. Many of their models are built using the GoldSim modeling platform, for which their models are well-known for their level of transparency, documentation, and QA traceability. This level of QA is also applied to their process-level models. Neptune has taken some lessons learned from the extremely rigorous QA program required for the Yucca Mountain Project (YMP), and imposed the YMP requirements of complete traceability, transparency, and reproducibility, but avoided the inflexibility of a QA program that likely contributed to the suspect e-mails in 2005 that resulted in loss of trust in the YMP, and in nuclear waste disposal (and nuclear power) in general. There are far too many examples of loss of public trust due to poor QA that could have been easily avoided with a simple and straight-forward QA program combined with stakeholder engagement. The purpose of this paper is to share features of Neptune's Radiological Performance Assessment program QA program, and some of their QA related lessons learned over the past 27 years of QA for complex environmental modeling. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

Towards Net Zero: Modeling Approach to the Right-Sized Facilities

As the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere increases, the concerns about carbon emissions are growing. Several net-zero initiatives are taking place around the globe to achieve a balance between the GHGs put into the atmosphere and those taken out. While most efforts present a sectorized approach, this paper describes the importance of integrating information across different sectors for effective modeling of carbon emissions and holistic reduction opportunity analysis. Using the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) campus as a test case, this work provides a web-based tool for INL stakeholders to use when engaging in strategic planning to achieve carbon emissions reduction. This net-zero engineering support tool (NEST) uses historical data as foundational information for applying the modeling framework. Prediction of CO 2 emissions throughout project completion integrates various approaches and schedules aimed at energy conservation, fleet decarbonization, and other GHG reduction activities. Using NEST, stakeholders can visualize carbon emissions, electricity consumption, and costs for decision making when planning the pathway for reaching carbon net zero. The INL’s initiative to transition into an EV fleet was used to demonstrate the developed framework and the advantages of using NEST. It was shown that electrifying different fossil-fueled campus vehicles before 2030 with aggressive replacement schedules require high annual capital expenditure (CAPEX), which may not be available. The tool allows decision makers to test different replacement schedules and prioritize those that yield CAPEX below a certain threshold while meeting target milestones. While the demonstration focused on vehicle electrification, the developed framework lays the foundation for further quantitative analysis of other GHG reduction activities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Autoregressive distributed lag-based dynamic uniformity modeling and monitoring approaches for superconductor manufacturing

High-temperature superconductors (HTS), known for their high efficiency and low energy loss, have found profound applications across various fields, driving the demand for long, uniformly performing tapes. However, ensuring uniform performance over extended lengths of HTS tapes, often characterized by the consistency of critical current, remains challenging due to fluctuations in growth conditions during manufacturing. Here, to elucidate the mechanisms underlying variations in tape uniformity and enable real-time monitoring of associated parameters, we propose an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL)-based Dynamic Uniformity Modeling and Monitoring (ADUM2) approach. This method integrates uniformity measurement, the identification of critical process parameters and real-time monitoring within the manufacturing process. The ADUM2 approach is applied to the advanced metal organic chemical vapor deposition (A-MOCVD) process, a pilot-scale method for superconductor manufacturing. Our model demonstrates superior performance compared to benchmark methods, accounting for over 80% of the total variance in the data and identifying 13 key process parameters influencing the uniformity of HTS tapes. This study offers significant insights into the high-temperature superconductor manufacturing process and holds the potential to facilitate the production of cost-effective, uniformly performing long superconducting tapes in the future.

autoregressive distributed lag analysis↗

DOE OSTI2022

Pellet cladding mechanical interaction as a potential failure mechanism during a control rod drop accident in a boiling water reactor

Boiling water reactors (BWRs) represent approximately one-third of the operating fleet in the United States, contributing significantly towards the global effort in reducing carbon emissions. Even though most of the operating fleet has been in operation for quite some time, continued advancements in new nuclear fuel (such as accident tolerant fuel) or operating regimes (such as power up-rates and higher burnup operation) necessitates similar advancements in modeling and simulation capabilities. Bison, a component of the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA), is a high-fidelity fuel performance code able to explore the fuel performance of a wide variety of fuel types in one-, two-, and three-dimensions. Until recently, the code had not been used for analyses of BWRs. Modeling capabilities have been added for Gd-bearing UO{sub 2} and pure zirconium liners. New models have been added based upon the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) guide-lines for hydrogen pickup in Zircaloy-2 claddings and pellet-clad mechanical interaction (PCMI) failure during a reactivity insertion accident (RIA), known as a rod drop accident (CRDA) in BWRs. Implementing and/or improving Bison modeling capabilities extended its analytical reach to areas beyond its original intended purpose. This paper demonstrates one of these capabilities as a proof of concept. Recently developed models enable Bison to provide an alternate approach for cladding integrity determination in CRDA evaluations, which currently use bounding conservative estimates. As part of this demonstration, NRC guidance on hydrogen-pickup and PCMI failure models were utilized in this research. Even though more research is needed in establishing right inputs and process in this area, this paper demonstrates Bison's ability to determine cladding integrity in a CRDA evaluation. This first of a kind demonstration is a proof of concept in this area, which could potentially be extended to a number of other areas where a more accurate cladding integrity determination would be needed. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Scaling Outlooks on Integrated Energy Systems

The report provides research summaries of two developed theories: data projection to enable multi-scale facility digital interactions and introducing the Evaluation Model Development and Assessment Process (EMDAP) approach to Integrated Energy Systems (IES) design. For the data projection, a two-system scaling case including interactions between thermal storage and hydrogen production is provided. The corresponding facilities are the thermal energy distribution system (TEDS) facility and high temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE) facility at the Dynamic Energy Transport and Integration Laboratory (DETAIL) in Idaho National Laboratory (INL). For the EMDAP adaption to system design, a modified process of the EMDAP was developed and applied to indirect two-tank heat storage system design. System phenomena were identified, ranked, and scaled to discover helpful key relations that would determine the ideal component geometry.

08 HYDROGEN↗

NASA NTRS2014

A Monte Carlo Approach to Modeling the Breakup of the Space Launch System EM-1 Core Stage with an Integrated Blast and Fragment Catalogue

The Liquid Propellant Fragment Overpressure Acceleration Model (L-FOAM) is a tool developed by Bangham Engineering Incorporated (BEi) that produces a representative debris cloud from an exploding liquid-propellant launch vehicle. Here it is applied to the Core Stage (CS) of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Space Launch System (SLS launch vehicle). A combination of Probability Density Functions (PDF) based on empirical data from rocket accidents and applicable tests, as well as SLS specific geometry are combined in a MATLAB script to create unique fragment catalogues each time L-FOAM is run-tailored for a Monte Carlo approach for risk analysis. By accelerating the debris catalogue with the BEi blast model for liquid hydrogen / liquid oxygen explosions, the result is a fully integrated code that models the destruction of the CS at a given point in its trajectory and generates hundreds of individual fragment catalogues with initial imparted velocities. The BEi blast model provides the blast size (radius) and strength (overpressure) as probabilities based on empirical data and anchored with analytical work. The coupling of the L-FOAM catalogue with the BEi blast model is validated with a simulation of the Project PYRO S-IV destruct test. When running a Monte Carlo simulation, L-FOAM can accelerate all catalogues with the same blast (mean blast, 2 σ blast, etc.), or vary the blast size and strength based on their respective probabilities. L-FOAM then propagates these fragments until impact with the earth. Results from L-FOAM include a description of each fragment (dimensions, weight, ballistic coefficient, type and initial location on the rocket), imparted velocity from the blast, and impact data depending on user desired application. LFOAM application is for both near-field (fragment impact to escaping crew capsule) and far-field (fragment ground impact footprint) safety considerations. The user is thus able to use statistics from a Monte Carlo set of L-FOAM catalogues to quantify risk for a multitude of potential CS destruct scenarios. Examples include the effect of warning time on the survivability of an escaping crew capsule or the maximum fragment velocities generated by the ignition of leaking propellants in internal cavities.

Richardson, Erin↗

DOE OSTI2024

Data and scripts associated with the manuscript "A Hydrogeophysical Framework to Assess Infiltration During a Simulated Ecosystem-Scale Flooding Experiment”

This package contains the data and scripts used in "A hydrogeophysical framework to assess infiltration during a simulated ecosystem-scale flooding experiment" (Adebayo et al., 2023). The Geophysics folder contains two subfolders containing Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) and Electrical Resistivity Imaging (ERI) datasets acquired between August 23 and August 26, 2021. The GPR subfolder contains raw data (Tempest_Project.GPZ) and processed results using the Sensors and Software EKKO Project software. The ERI subfolder contains two additional subfolders named Static and Timelapse. The Static subfolder contains background resistivity datasets acquired before infiltration, both raw and inverted results using the ResIpy code. The Timelapse subfolder contains repeated resistivity datasets acquired during infiltration on two profiles, along with raw and inverted results using the ResIpy code. The Flow model folder contains ATS model simulation files. The Geophysics-informed subfolder contains simulation datasets for two profiles generated using information from the geophysics data. The National_database-informed subfolder contains simulation datasets for two profiles generated using information from a national soil database. Each subfolder contains initial simulation results, multiple ensembles, and final simulation files. The Sensitivity_analysis folder contains the observation files exported from the flow model, notebooks used in running the code, and sensitivity analysis results showing the sensitivity of different parameters over a 48-hour period. We used mutual information-based global sensitivity analysis for the sensitivity analysis, following Jiang et al., 2022. This study shows a novel approach that integrates geophysical data with hydrological modeling to understand subsurface flow during coastal flooding.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

An asymptotic approach for the statistical thermodynamics of certain model systems

In classical statistical thermodynamics, calculating the configuration integral is both vital and elusive. Analytic relations for configuration integrals are desirable for modeling purposes, but it is typically impossible to obtain them. Certain systems become analytically tractable after replacing steep potential energies with harmonic potentials or athermal rigid constraints, but these approximations are often inadequate, especially when modeling the stretching of molecules. It is therefore necessary to develop a systematic approach to improve upon the approximations provided by these reference systems. Here, a general asymptotic approach is introduced, where the configuration integral for the full system is obtained in terms of that of the reference system and several corrections. This asymptotic approach is first demonstrated using the simple example of a classical three-dimensional oscillator. Next, the approach is applied to modeling the stretching of single polymer chains and to modeling thermally assisted crack growth, where results are verified with respect to numerical calculations. Overall, this asymptotic approach is a valid and effective tool for statistical thermodynamics in general.

Buche, Michael Robert↗

NASA NTRS2016

A Model Based Systems Engineering Approach Towards Developing a Rapid Analysis and Trades Environment

In this work, an integrated and end-to-end modeling environment was developed to assess the system-level impacts of evolving requirements and design parameters. Researchers at the Georgia Institute of Technology's Aerospace Systems Design Laboratory (ASDL) collaborated with JPL engineers to develop, implement, and test a modeling environment to assess design changes to a notional Europa Mission called the Jupiter Europa Buzzer (JEB). This environment was developed using a Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) approach and consists of three major components: the Systems Model, the Mission Simulator, and the Web Based Interactive Dashboard. In summary, utilizing this environment in a representative notional end-to-end scenario, performance margins were calculated in hours while maintaining consistent analytical, hardware, and operational assumptions.

Model Based System Engineering↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate System Security Engineering Approaches

System security engineering (SSE) is a set of formal engineering methods and is considered a subset of systems engineering. It is a relatively new development in systems engineering with the initial NIST (National Institute of Standards) standard published in November of 2016 with updates in 2018, and 2022. The guiding principles in our methodology are based in NIST Special Publication 800-160 Vol. 1 “Systems Security Engineering: Considerations For A Multidisciplinary Approach In The Engineering Of Trustworthy Secure Systems” and integrate methodologies from common IT (Information Technology) threat modeling approaches utilizing MBSE (Model-Based Systems Engineering). The presentation will discuss how our teams utilize SSE and MBSE (Model-Based Systems Engineering) to develop secure architectures for systems under development in our NASA aeronautics research environment. This includes the activities to develop Protection Needs (PN) that, in turn result in security requirements in the design context and policies for the future state operational context for system protection. The process of applying SSE to analyze project architectures and ConOps (Concept of Operations) is intended to ensure the transferred research is both secure and securable in a “real-world” setting.

Systems Security Engineering↗

NASA NTRS2015

AgMIP's Transdisciplinary Agricultural Systems Approach to Regional Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts, Vulnerability, and Adaptation

This chapter describes methods developed by the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to implement a transdisciplinary, systems-based approach for regional-scale (local to national) integrated assessment of agricultural systems under future climate, biophysical, and socio-economic conditions. These methods were used by the AgMIP regional research teams in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia to implement the analyses reported in their respective chapters of this book. Additional technical details are provided in Appendix 1.The principal goal that motivates AgMIP's regional integrated assessment (RIA) methodology is to provide scientifically rigorous information needed to support improved decision-making by various stakeholders, ranging from local to national and international non-governmental and governmental organizations.

agriculture↗

DOE OSTI2025

Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) Integration into Model- Based Systems Engineering (MBSE)

Engineering design in the field of industrial engineering, such as designing automated factories or warehouses, is critical for the effective operation of facilities. Any design flaws introduced early can result in significant capital expenses to correct. However, early-stage engineering design is inherently complex. The systems are not yet built, requiring designers to integrate various aspects, including digital engineering and cybersecurity, to support virtual representations throughout the design process. In this study, we propose an approach to integrate Cyber-Informed Engineering (CIE) principles into model-based systems engineering (MBSE). This approach facilitates the development of a digital thread for engineering systems, ensuring secure digital artifacts in the design of industrial engineering systems.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Integrated data-driven and experimental approaches to accelerate lead optimization targeting SARS-CoV- 2 main protease

Identification of potential therapeutic candidates can be expedited by integrating computational modeling with domain aware machine learning (ML) approaches followed by experimental validation. Generative deep learning models have been recently developed that can generate thousands of new candidates, but their physiochemical properties are typically not optimized. Using our deep learning models and a scaffold as a starting point, we generated tens of thousands of compounds for SARS-CoV-2 M pro that preserve the core scaffold. Here we utilized and implemented several computational tools such as structural alert and toxicity analysis, high throughput virtual screening, ML-based 3D quantitative structure–activity relationships, multi-parameter optimization, and graph neural networks on libraries of generated candidates to predict biological activity and binding affinity a priori. From these collective computational results, eight promising candidates were identified and tested experimentally using Native Mass Spectrometry (MS) and FRET-based functional assays. Two compounds, with quinazoline-2-thiol and acetylpiperidine core moiety showed IC 50 values in the low micromolar range: 2.95±0.0017 µM and 3.41±0.0015 µM, respectively. The molecular dynamics simulations further highlight that binding of these compounds results in allosteric modulations in the chain B and the interface domains of the M pro . The key fragments from these top hits can be used as input for closed loop lead optimization in the integrated pipeline.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗