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Fusing time-varying mosquito data and continuous mosquito population dynamics models

Climate change is arguably one of the most pressing issues affecting the world today and requires the fusion of disparate data streams to accurately model its impacts. Mosquito populations respond to temperature and precipitation in a nonlinear way, making predicting climate impacts on mosquito-borne diseases an ongoing challenge. Data-driven approaches for accurately modeling mosquito populations are needed for predicting mosquito-borne disease risk under climate change scenarios. Many current models for disease transmission are continuous and autonomous, while mosquito data is discrete and varies both within and between seasons. This study uses an optimization framework to fit a non-autonomous logistic model with periodic net growth rate and carrying capacity parameters for 15 years of daily mosquito time-series data from the Greater Toronto Area of Canada. The resulting parameters accurately capture the inter-annual and intra-seasonal variability of mosquito populations within a single geographic region, and a variance-based sensitivity analysis highlights the influence each parameter has on the peak magnitude and timing of the mosquito season. This method can easily extend to other geographic regions and be integrated into a larger disease transmission model. This method addresses the ongoing challenges of data and model fusion by serving as a link between discrete time-series data and continuous differential equations for mosquito-borne epidemiology models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Basic Energy Sciences Roundtable: Foundational Science to Accelerate Nuclear Energy Innovation

Energy security, availability, and reliability are among the greatest challenges facing the nation and the planet. An abundant potential source of energy resides in the fundamental atomic building blocks of the universe in the form of nuclear fission and fusion reactions. In fact, energy from nuclear fission currently provides the majority of the world’s zero-carbon electricity, and future fusion energy systems offer great promise; carbon-free nuclear energy technologies can be key to the world’s decarbonized energy future. Although contemporary fission systems use well-established technologies to supply safe and efficient baseload power, they could be more fuel efficient and less costly. Moving beyond massive light-water fission reactors to a variety of advanced nuclear systems—which will vary in size and operate in extremes of temperature, corrosivity, and other parameters—will place stringent conditions on materials and chemical systems. New demands will be placed on the coolants and solvents, the materials, and the monitoring tools used in these reactors. Fusion-based nuclear energy will require superior materials to withstand extremely high temperatures, plasma exposure, radiation damage, and implanted gases. The advantages associated with these new fission and fusion technologies will be realized only through continued advancements in the fundamental science underpinning our knowledge of the physics and chemistry of nuclear systems gained via improved experimental and computational methods. In July 2022, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Basic Energy Sciences—in coordination with the Offices of Nuclear Energy, Fusion Energy Sciences, and Advanced Scientific Computing Research—held a virtual roundtable titled “Foundational Science to Accelerate Nuclear Energy Innovation” to discuss the scientific and technical barriers for advanced nuclear energy systems. Five priority research opportunities were identified to address these scientific and technical challenges and to accelerate progress toward the realization of next-generation fusion and fission energy systems. The foundational science gaps inhibiting the advancement of nuclear energy technologies are identified and tackled in five priority research opportunities. These opportunities pave the way to accelerate the development and ultimately the adoption of new nuclear energy systems. They include the fundamental aspects of ion-electron interactions; novel properties of next-generation coolants and solvents; interfacial dynamics, not only in solids, but in other aspects of nuclear reactors; novel operando and in situ monitoring and sensing; and artificial intelligence to accelerate condensed phases discovery. Building on the foundation established by previous Basic Energy Sciences workshops, these opportunities encompass recent advances in fundamental knowledge and focus on the experimental and computational methods needed to resolve major technical challenges for nuclear energy technologies. Through developing fundamental scientific insight as well as pushing the frontiers of modeling complex systems and probing the operation of materials and chemical systems in extreme environments, research motivated by the priorities identified here will further develop the promise, potential, and utilization of nuclear energy for a clean energy future.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Empirical scaling of the L–H threshold power for metal wall tokamaks using a multi-device database

The empirical scaling for the H-mode power threshold in tokamaks has been revisited using a database with threshold data from machines with a metallic first wall as part of International Tokamak Physics Activity (ITPA) task TC-26. The database contains discharges from ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) (W), JET (Be/W) and Alcator C-Mod (Mo). This was motivated by reports that in like-for-like discharges the power threshold was reduced by approximately 30% after the change from carbon based to metallic first wall materials on AUG (Ryter et al 2013 Nucl. Fusion 53 113003) and JET (Maggi et al 2014 Nucl. Fusion 54 023007). The database contains L–H transition data for all hydrogen isotopes and mixtures, including T and DT from the recent JET campaigns. Compared to the ITPA 2008 scaling (Martin et al 2008 J. Phys.: Conf. Ser. 123 012033), the metal wall scaling has a smaller magnetic field exponent but a larger density exponent. We present an additional parameter to capture the strong dependence of the L–H power threshold (approx. factor 2) on the magnetic configuration in the divertor on JET. The scaling recovers the approximate inverse isotope mass scaling of the threshold power. Alternative scalings involving the plasma current and poloidal magnetic field are explored. Despite the reduction in threshold observed earlier, the scalings based on the metal wall database do not necessarily extrapolate to a lower threshold for ITER compared to the ITPA 2008 scaling, especially at high density. The divertor configuration effect induces the largest uncertainty in the extrapolation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Thermal Gradient and Neutron Irradiation Experiment Design for Fusion Reactor Materials in the Advanced Test Reactor

This work outlines a hypothetical coupled thermal gradient and neutron irradiation experiment in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at the Idaho National Laboratory. Although the ATR is a thermal spectrum test reactor and doesn’t inherently produce a flux spectrum dominated by the high-energy neutrons typical in a fusion reactor, it’s multitude of experiment positions and dynamic flux environment make it a suitable platform for investigating fusion related issues.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Maintainable Fusion Pilot Plant

The US fusion community has coalesced around the goal of building an FPP as described by the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM). In addition to demonstrating the viability of the technologies necessary to operate such a plant, including demonstration of net energy and electricity production, NASEM found that a “fusion pilot plant will need to demonstrate the ability to efficiently perform remote maintenance and replacement in support of the design of a power plant, taking into account details of the consequences of the fusion environment, such as material activation and tritium retention in components.” Current designs of fusion demonstration reactors do usually foresee a regular exchange of their first wall modules, including the tritium breeding blankets. In the European Power Plant Conceptual Studies, it is assumed that a fusion reactor will need to change its divertor every 2 years and its first wall blanket module every 5 to 6 years to reach acceptable availability. Underlying this capability are remote-handling technologies to keep the outage for the exchange of these components short. There are many uncertainties in the remote-handling schemes, and most schemes are at a preconceptual level at best. In addition, the exchange of these components would either produce an enormous rad-waste stream or would require an enormous refurbishment activity with huge cost-prohibitive hot-cells. Past Fusion Nuclear Science Facility (FNSF) preconceptual studies have led to hot cell dimensions of an unbelievable size, likely costing tens of billions of dollars. Already at The Way (previously International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor, ITER), hot-cells have become cost-prohibitive, demanding redesigns of the ITER first wall to reduce the toxic rad-waste/inventory. In this in-situ PFC repair project, a concept for a long-life, maintainable first wall module concept is developed and tested. This first wall concept relies on innovative remote handling to repair the first wall modules in-situ, avoiding costly refurbishments outside of the tokamak vessel. This approach was highlighted in the Fusion Energy Sciences Advisory Committee (FESAC) report on Transformative Enabling Capabilities for Efficient Advance Toward Fusion Energy. In general, the damage of the first wall armor is due to particle and radiation exposures. Load conditions vary from one fusion reactor design to another. In tokamaks, first wall Plasma Facing Components (PFCs) are exposed to far-Scrape-Off-Layer plasma fluxes, electromagnetic radiation, energetic CX neutrals, and potentially runaway electron beams. Protecting the first wall to the worst-case load conditions would require the design of a very thick first wall armor. Transient heat and particle fluxes due to disruptions or edge localized modes can lead to excessive heat loads resulting potentially in melting PFCs down to the cooling channel. Catastrophic events like these need to be avoided by appropriate disruption mitigation systems. However, failure of these systems will still put a first wall at an unacceptable risk. Hence, a first wall design needs to accommodate the occasional transient heat loads by introducing sacrificial limiters, which will absorb these transients.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Imaging velocity interferometer system for any reflector (VISAR) diagnostics for high energy density sciences

Two variants of optical imaging velocimetry, specifically the one-dimensional streaked line-imaging and the two-dimensional time-resolved area-imaging versions of the Velocity Interferometer System for Any Reflector (VISAR), have become important diagnostics in high energy density sciences, including inertial confinement fusion and dynamic compression of condensed matter. Here, we give a brief review of the historical development of these techniques, then describe the current implementations at major high energy density (HED) facilities worldwide, including the OMEGA Laser Facility and the National Ignition Facility. We illustrate the versatility and power of these techniques by reviewing diverse applications of imaging VISARs for gas-gun and laser-driven dynamic compression experiments for materials science, shock physics, condensed matter physics, chemical physics, plasma physics, planetary science and astronomy, as well as a broad range of HED experiments and laser-driven inertial confinement fusion research.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Techniques for studying materials under extreme states of high energy density compression

The properties of materials under extreme conditions of pressure and density are of key interest to a number of fields, including planetary geophysics, materials science, and inertial confinement fusion. In geophysics, the equations of state of planetary materials, such as hydrogen and iron, under ultrahigh pressure and density provide a better understanding of their formation and interior structure [Celliers et al., “Insulator-metal transition in dense fluid deuterium,” Science 361, 677–682 (2018) and Smith et al., “Equation of state of iron under core conditions of large rocky exoplanets,” Nat. Astron. 2, 591–682 (2018)]. The processes of interest in these fields occur under conditions of high pressure (100 GPa–100 TPa), high temperature (>3000 K), and sometimes at high strain rates (>103 s−1) depending on the process. With the advent of high energy density (HED) facilities, such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF), Linear Coherent Light Source, Omega Laser Facility, and Z, these conditions are reachable and numerous experimental platforms have been developed. To measure compression under ultrahigh pressure, stepped targets are ramp-compressed and the sound velocity, measured by the velocity interferometer system for any reflector diagnostic technique, from which the stress-density of relevant materials is deduced at pulsed power [M. D. Knudson and M. P. Desjarlais, “High-precision shock wave measurements of deuterium: Evaluation of exchange-correlation functionals at the molecular-to-atomic transition,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 118, 035501 (2017)] and laser [Smith et al., “Equation of state of iron under core conditions of large rocky exoplanets,” Nat. Astron. 2, 591–682 (2018)] facilities. To measure strength under high pressure and strain rates, experimenters measure the growth of Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities using face-on radiography [Park et al., “Grain-size-independent plastic flow at ultrahigh pressures and strain rates,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 114, 065502 (2015)]. The crystal structure of materials under high compression is measured by dynamic x-ray diffraction [Rygg et al., “X-ray diffraction at the national ignition facility,” Rev. Sci. Instrum. 91, 043902 (2020) and McBride et al., “Phase transition lowering in dynamically compressed silicon,” Nat. Phys. 15, 89–94 (2019)]. Medium range material temperatures (a few thousand degrees) can be measured by extended x-ray absorption fine structure techniques, Yaakobi et al., “Extended x-ray absorption fine structure measurements of laser-shocked V and Ti and crystal phase transformation in Ti,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 92, 095504 (2004) and Ping et al., “Solid iron compressed up to 560 GPa,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 111, 065501 (2013), whereas more extreme temperatures are measured using x-ray Thomson scattering or pyrometry. This manuscript will review the scientific motivations, experimental techniques, and the regimes that can be probed for the study of materials under extreme HED conditions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Introduction and overview: Chapter 1 of the special issue: on the path to tokamak burning plasma operation

The International Tokamak Physics Activity (ITPA) has developed a comprehensive overview of the results of its coordinated R&D activities in fusion physics and diagnostics implemented during the past two decades with the aim of developing an improved physics basis for the operation of tokamak burning plasma experiments. Here, an introduction is presented to key concepts in the physics of burning plasmas in tokamaks, together with an overview of the scope of the principal areas of physics R&D pursued by the ITPA Topical Physics Groups in which the critical issues, major areas of progress and most significant recent results are highlighted. This paper introduces the following collection of articles, which encompass detailed presentations of the progress achieved by the Topical Groups in preparing the physics basis for the operation of tokamak burning plasma experiments expected to come into operation in the 2030s.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Collaboration Website for Muon Catalyzed Fusion and Muon Beam Production

This project sets up a website to support the nascent Muon Catalyzed Fusion collaboration including development of particle accelerators and transport beamlines for muon beams. The website is envisioned as having the general public information pages and private pages for collaboration members. Multimedia elements like images, text animations, and video lectures, covering a broad spectrum of topics will populate the educational site, covering muon facilities, to comprehensive explorations and seminal documents that define the science of Muon Catalyzed Fusion, Acceleration, Applications, Instrumentation, Beamline Design, and beam dynamics design codes. Ensuring compatibility across devices and operating systems, it also features integration with Google Docs for collaboration, a code repository (GitHub), a blog platform with comments (WordPress), the potential for ChatGPT integration and interactive graph plotting with Python Plotty to enhance data visualization. This project will maintain public and protected private pages, due to the proprietary nature of the work or research in progress. The public sections will be built to foster dissemination of information and highlight recent work within the NK Labs collaboration, including lectures, published papers, and regular blog posts with open commenting. The private section will support unpublished or nonpublic research, by facilitating collaborative efforts through integrated Google Docs and Python Plotty for shared graphing work. Ultimately, this project strives to make complex scientific knowledge more accessible to the public, foster enhanced collaboration, and serve as a platform for sharing cutting-edge research in Muon Catalyzed Fusion and Accelerators.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Virtual Critical Coupling in High-Power Resonant Systems

Power reflections are a fundamental challenge in high-power resonant systems, causing energy loss, limiting per- formance, and potentially damaging critical components. This problem is particularly acute in applications such as lower hybrid current drive (LHCD) for tokamak-based nuclear fusion, where efficient, stable power transfer to the plasma is paramount. In this work, we introduce and experimentally demonstrate the virtual critical coupling (VCC) mechanism, a nonmechanical method to achieve reflection-free excitation in high-power S-band resonators. VCC utilizes a temporally shaped excitation signal with a precise complex frequency, tailored to the resonator’s characteristics to enable complete energy absorption. Using a custom low-level RF system and a 5-MW S-band klystron, we conducted experiments from low power (32 mW) to high power (600 kW). Furthermore, the results demonstrate a greater than ninefold reduction in the reflection coefficient compared to conventional monochromatic excitation. This signal processing-based approach offers a robust path toward enhancing the efficiency and stability of high-power resonant systems, with significant implications for particle accelerators and the advancement of nuclear fusion energy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Collaboration Website for Muon Catalyzed Fusion and Muon Beam Production

This research initiative establishes a dynamic online platform geared towards supporting the burgeoning Muon Catalyzed Fusion collaboration, focusing on the concurrent development of particle accelerators and transport beamlines for muon beams. The central feature of this endeavor is the creation of a multifaceted website comprising both public facing and private sections to cater to diverse user needs. The public segment is meticulously designed to serve as an educational hub, featuring information pages targeted at the general public alongside private pages exclusively accessible to collaboration members. These pages will host an array of multimedia elements, ranging from images and text animations to video lectures, covering an extensive spectrum of topics integral to the science of Muon Catalyzed Fusion. Encompassing areas such as Acceleration, Applications, Instrumentation, Beamline Design, and beam dynamics design codes, the educational content aims to make complex scientific concepts more accessible to a broader audience. Ensuring seamless accessibility across various devices and operating systems, the website incorporates integration with collaborative tools such as Google Docs for document collaboration, GitHub for code repository management, and WordPress for blogging with interactive commenting features. The bifurcation between public and private sections is a strategic approach to maintaining transparency while safeguarding proprietary research and works in progress. The public pages are strategically crafted to disseminate information, showcasing the latest endeavors and achievements within the NK Labs collaboration, including lectures, published papers, and regular blog posts open to public comments. On the other hand, the private section provides collaboration members with a secure space to share unpublished or nonpublic research, fostering collaborative efforts through integrated Google Docs and Python Plotty for shared graphing work. In essence, this ambitious project endeavors to bridge the gap between complex scientific knowledge and public understanding, enhance collaboration among researchers, and serve as a dynamic and inclusive platform for sharing and advancing the state-of-the-art in Muon Catalyzed Fusion and Accelerators.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Overview of Wendelstein 7-X high-performance operation

The Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) stellarator has completed two consecutive experimental campaigns OP 2.2 (Sep.-Dec. 2024) and OP 2.3 (Feb.-May 2025) under a new operational strategy enabling more than one year of uninterrupted device availability. This approach, supported by exceptionally high subsystem reliability, allowed sustained high-efficiency plasma operations with up to 80–100 discharges per day across a broad range of magnetic configurations. Several key technical upgrades-most notably the first operation of a 1.5 MW class steady-state gyrotron, a new steady-state pellet injector, and advanced real-time feedback control systems significantly enhanced heating, fueling, and plasma control capabilities. Together, these improvements enabled major advances in long-pulse performance, high-β operation, and confinement optimization. Long-pulse discharges achieved 1.8 GJ of injected energy under fully detached divertor conditions, while reduced-field scenarios facilitated record volume-averaged β values approaching 3%. High-performance plasmas with centrally peaked density profiles, created via neutral beam injection (NBI) or sustained pellet fueling, demonstrated strongly reduced turbulent transport and stellarator-record fusion triple products. Complementary studies of power exhaust and divertor heat loads revealed the role of scrape-off-layer drift physics in shaping strike-line patterns under attached conditions. Together, the results from OP 2.2 and OP 2.3 significantly expand the operational space of W7-X and strengthen its role as a leading platform for steady-state stellarator research and reactor-relevant plasma scenarios.

Wendelstein 7-X↗

Overview of the ASDEX Upgrade results

After a 26-month vent ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) went back in operation with a newly designed upper W-divertor suitable for alternative divertor configurations (featuring in-vessel coils and cryo-pump). Parameter scans and an extensive set of measurements were obtained and their interpretation is ongoing. Prompted by the ITER wall change, dedicated experiments on non-boronized plasma startup were contrasted to that employing asymmetric and more symmetric boronizations. The asymmetric boronization proved to be as beneficial as the more symmetric one, which is in contrast to previous model calculations assuming perfect sticking of boron (measurements suggest sticking ≈ 0.3). In the startup phase also the impurity influxes at the outboard limiters were investigated contrasting the unboronized case featuring cold edges (low- Z radiation) to the boronized case, in which the lifetime of the boron layers could be estimated. Pedestal stability investigations revealed that the quasi-continuous exhaust (QCE) regime is obtained when ballooning modes are active in the vicinity of the separatrix and the global peeling-ballooning stability is high enough. Thus, at high enough shaping and high gas flux both can be achieved and QCE is a consequence. The closely related enhanced D-alpha (EDA) mode is not clearly distinguishable from QCE, e.g. the quasi-coherent mode characteristic for EDA also shows up in QCE. In QCE the impurity transport is behaving benign as could be measured for Ne with a novel analysis method making use of a comprehensive set of CXRS measurements. For high radiative fractions the regime of the X-point radiator (XPR) is accessible at AUG and the understanding of its access conditions and behaviour is further developed. Due to the localized radiative cooling at the X-point the XPR can be well diagnosed and thus controlled. For negative triangularity shapes, further experiments at increased shaping resulted in strongly heated L-mode plasmas avoiding ELMs. Two integrated modelling approaches towards ITER suggested that core W-accumulation will be no issue for ITER and that the fusion yield in ITER may be Q = 12 (i.e. ITPA20-IL scaling is too pessimistic). Further, investigations of the ITER ramp-down in AUG provide insights into maintaining position control. Various aspects of shattered pellet injection were investigated in AUG and one of the results show that with increasing Ne fraction the radiation during the current quench increases and the current decay becomes faster.

ASDEX Upgrade↗

Gyrotropy-induced symmetry breaking in RF-specific plasma wall interaction: Mechanisms and mitigation strategies

Ion cyclotron range of frequencies (ICRF) heating is essential for creating plasma in next-generation fusion devices. ICRF antennas often produce localized wall erosion, reducing reliability, material survivability, and overall plasma performance. We show that the wave physics' gyrotropy is among the causes of toroidal and poloidal asymmetries in these erosion spots, and that this source of asymmetry can be compensated for either by controlling the poloidal phasing or by modifying the limiter shapes.

Fusion reactors↗

ICRF near-field effects sensitivity to magnetic tilt-angle

This paper complements the study reported in G. Urbanczyk et al 2025 Nucl. Fusion 65 046018 by investigating how near-field effects from Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequency (ICRF) antennas depend on the magnetic geometry, particularly focusing on the sensitivity of rectified sheath potentials and associated impurity production to variations in magnetic field tilt-angle. Simulations were conducted using Petra-M, employing a flat model of the ASDEX Upgrade (AUG) three-strap antenna, and COMSOL, utilizing a curved model of the WEST antenna. Results demonstrate indications of sensitivity of the rectified sheath potentials and impurity sputtering to the alignment of Faraday screen bars with the magnetic field lines, emphasizing the necessity for careful consideration of geometric alignment in antenna design for fusion devices. This trend is consistent with experimental data measured with various diagnostics.

Urbanczyk, Guillaume [Universite de Lorraine, Nanc↗

First DIII-D-West hybrid scenario similarity experiments for iter-relevant long-pulse operation

For the first time, similarity experiments between DIII-D and WEST were performed in the ITER "hybrid-like" regime during dedicated campaigns in April and May 2025. The matched parameters include elongation, triangularity, ion ∇B drift direction toward the X-point, qprofile, and core normalized physics quantities in terms of normalized pressure, normalized gyroradius, electron collisionality, ratio of ion to electron temperature, T i /T e . Core transport physics is explored with different aspect ratio (R/a) values (typically 3 at DIII-D and 5 on WEST). DIII-D explored high-beta conditions (electromagnetic effect) with low torque injection (~0 ± 0.5 N•m) using high heating power (up to 6 MW NBI and 2 MW ECRH powers), while scanning the heating mix (ion vs electron), beta, T i /T e , core radiation via controlled tungsten injection using the Laser Blow-Off system. WEST extended operation toward long-duration pulses using its actively cooled tungsten divertor, achieving dominated electron heating regimes with reduced tungsten contamination. Boron impurity injection were scanned on WEST to control edge conditions and core performance. It is found that core confinement improves-manifested by higher electron temperature, total energy content, neutron rate, and ion temperatureunder conditions of low separatrix density, consistent with previous observations [Bourdelle et al., Nucl. Fusion 63 (2023) 056021]. Conditions for Hmode access and for ion heating in electron-dominated regimes in both WEST and DIII-D will be discussed and compared. The ratio of the thermal energy confinement time (τ E ) to the volume-averaged electron-ion collisional heat exchange time (τ e-i ) is a key parameter to enhance ion heating and potentially facilitate H-mode access in electron-heated regimes. These first-of-a-kind coordinated DIII-D and WEST experiments provide a unique multi-machine dataset to validate predictive models and to optimize ITER hybrid-scenario performance under diverse core and edge conditions.

DIII-D↗

Full-wave modeling of RF waves in fusion plasmas with finite element method: Progress in past decades and its future role

This paper reviews the progress in computing radio frequency (RF) wave fields in fusion plasmas, specifically focusing on simulations utilizing the finite element method (FEM) over the past few decades. Computing RF wave fields in fusion plasmas presents unique challenges due to large simulation domains, complex antenna structures, non-local dielectric properties, and wide ranges of spatial scales. It highlights key developments and outlines future directions, primarily addressing waves in the ion cyclotron (IC) to lower hybrid (LH) frequency range. We begin with briefly revisiting earlier developments before the widespread availability of modern computer-aided engineering (CAE) software based on FEM. This historical perspective illuminates early progress and the physics difficulties that motivated ongoing work within the community. Modern wave simulations for RF antennas based on FEM are characterized by the use of detailed 3D antenna model geometry generated from engineering CAD software and localized wave dielectric model. Significant advancements have also been made in improving physics models to include phenomena such as RF sheath rectification and wave scattering. FEM-based RF simulations have also been applied to compute wave propagation in the core region, where the inclusion of non-local dielectric response is crucial. This is a challenging goal, and several promising approaches have been proposed in this area. Additionally, RF simulation development initiatives based on open-source libraries have gained popularity, demonstrating scalability and flexibility in extending physics models. This paper will discuss the advantages and disadvantages of using such a publicly available FEM library.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Implementation of AI/DEEP learning disruption predictor into a plasma control system

Abstract This paper reports on advances in the state‐of‐the‐art deep learning disruption prediction models based on the Fusion Recurrent Neural Network (FRNN) originally introduced in a 2019 NATURE publication [ https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586‐019‐1116‐4 ]. In particular, the predictor now features not only the “disruption score,” as an indicator of the probability of an imminent disruption, but also a “sensitivity score” in real time to indicate the underlying reasons for the imminent disruption. This adds valuable physics interpretability for the deep learning model and can provide helpful guidance for control actuators now implemented into a modern plasma control system (PCS). The advance is a significant step forward in moving from modern deep learning disruption prediction to real‐time control and brings novel AI‐enabled capabilities relevant for application to the future burning plasma ITER system. Our analyses use large amounts of data from JET and DIII‐D vetted in the earlier NATURE publication. In addition to “when” a shot is predicted to disrupt, this paper addresses reasons “why” by carrying out sensitivity studies. FRNN is accordingly extended to use more channels of information, including measured DIII‐D signals such as (i) the “n1rms” signal that is correlated with the n = 1 modes with finite frequency, including neoclassical tearing mode and sawtooth dynamics; (ii) the bolometer data indicative of plasma impurity control; and (iii) “q‐min”—the minimum value of the safety factor relevant to the key physics of kink modes. The additional channels and interpretability features expand the ability of the deep learning FRNN software to provide information about disruption subcategories as well as more precise and direct guidance for the actuators in a PCS.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗