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At least 271 records · Page 15

GRAIL-Identified Gravity Anomalies in Oceanus Procellarum: Insight into Subsurface Impact and Magmatic Structures on the Moon

Four, quasi-circular, positive Bouguer gravity anomalies (PBGAs) that are similar in diameter (~90-190 km) and gravitational amplitude (> 140 mGal contrast) are identified within the central Oceanus Procellarum region of the Moon. These spatially associated PBGAs are located south of Aristarchus Plateau, north of Flamsteed crater, and two are within the Marius Hills volcanic complex (north and south). Each is characterized by distinct surface geologic features suggestive of ancient impact craters and/or volcanic/plutonic activity. Here, we combine geologic analyses with forward modeling of high-resolution gravity data from the Gravity Recovery and Interior Laboratory (GRAIL) mission in order to constrain the subsurface structures that contribute to these four PBGAs. The GRAIL data presented here, at spherical harmonic degrees 6–660, permit higher resolution analyses of these anomalies than previously reported, and reveal new information about subsurface structures. Specifically, we find that the amplitudes of the four PBGAs cannot be explained solely by mare-flooded craters, as suggested in previous work; an additional density contrast is required to explain the high-amplitude of the PBGAs. For Northern Flamsteed (190 km diameter), the additional density contrast may be provided by impact-related mantle uplift. If the local crust has a density ~2800 kg/cu.m, then ~7 km of uplift is required for this anomaly, although less uplift is required if the local crust has a lower mean density of ~2500 kg/cu.m. For the Northern and Southern Marius Hills anomalies, the additional density contrast is consistent with the presence of a crustal complex of vertical dikes that occupies up to ~50% of the regionally thin crust. The structure of Southern Aristarchus Plateau (90 km diameter), an anomaly with crater-related topographic structures, remains ambiguous. Based on the relatively small size of the anomaly, we do not favor mantle uplift; however, understanding mantle response in a region of especially thin crust needs to be better resolved. It is more likely that this anomaly is due to subsurface magmatic material given the abundance of volcanic material in the surrounding region. Overall, the four PBGAs analyzed here are important in understanding the impact and volcanic/plutonic history of the Moon, specifically in a region of thin crust and elevated temperatures characteristic of the Procellarum KREEP Terrane.

Deutsch, Ariel N.↗

Improved Earth Oblateness Rate Reveals Increased Ice Sheet Losses and Mass-Driven Sea Level Rise

Satellite laser ranging (SLR) observations are routinely applied toward the estimation of dynamic oblateness, C(sub 20), which is the largest globally integrated component of Earth's time-variable gravity field. Since 2002, GRACE and GRACE Follow-On have revolutionized the recovery of higher spatial resolution features of global time-variable gravity, with SLR continuing to provide the most reliable estimates of C (sub 20).We quantify the effect of various SLR processing strategies on estimating C(sub 20) and demonstrate better signal recovery with the inclusion of GRACE-derived low-degree gravity information in the forward model. This improved SLR product modifies the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheet mass trends by -15.4 and -3.5 Gt/year, respectively, as compared to CSR TN11, and improves global mean sea level budget closure by modifying sea level rise by +0.08 mm/year. We recommend that this new C(sub 20) product be applied to RL06 GRACE data products for enhanced accuracy and scientific interpretation.

Loomis, B. D.↗

Statistical Study on Multispacecraft Widespread Solar Energetic Particle Events During Solar Cycle 24

We conduct a statistical study on the large three-spacecraft widespread solar energetic particle (SEP) events. Longitudinal distributions of the peak intensities, onset delays, and relation between the SEP intensity, coronal mass ejection (CME) shock speed, width, and the kinetic energy of the CME have been investigated. We apply a Gaussian fit to obtain the SEP intensity Io and distribution width and a forward-modeling fit to determine the true shock speed and true CME width. We found a good correction between and connection angel to the flare site and Io and the kinetic energy of the CME. By including the true chock speed and true CME widths, we reduce root-mean-square errors on the predicted SEP intensity by ~41% for protons compared to Richards et al.'s (2014, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-014-0524-8) prediction. The improved correction between the CME kinetic energy and SEP intensity provides strong evidence for the CME-shock acceleration theory of SEPs. In addition, we found that electron and proton release time delays (DTs) relative to Type II radio bursts increase with connection angles. The average electron (proton) DT is ~14 (32) min for strongly anisotropic events and ~2.5 (4.4) hr for weakly anisotropic events. Poor magnetic connectivity and large scattering effects are two main reasons to cause large delays.

Xie, H.↗

Informing Algorithms from Ground Validation: The GPM Combined Algorithm

Ground validation (GV) for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission encompasses in-situ (e.g., gauge, disdrometer) measurements, ground radar products, and comprehensive datasets from dedicated airborne field campaigns. These datasets are used for direct validation of the precipitation products from GPM as well as to inform assumptions used by the algorithms that produce these products. This presentation will focus on current and potential such uses of GV data in the GPM combined radar-radiometer algorithm.The GPM combined algorithm, by virtue of using data from the Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) and GPM Microwave Imager (GMI), is the most well-constrained instantaneous precipitation product from GPM. It also plays an important in role the passive microwave algorithms as a basis for the construction of brightness temperature-precipitation profile databases and is a calibrator for the multi- satellite gridded product IMERG. Since both radar and radiometer data are used as observational inputs, and even with these data the retrievals are underconstrained, microphysical properties of the hydrometeor profile that are relevant over the range of GMI and DPR wavelengths and incidence angles need to be assumed by the algorithm forward models. Such properties include the normalized intercept parameter (N w ) and shape parameter () of the particle size distribution, ice size-density relationship, and particle size-aspect ratio relationships. The sub-beam variability must also be prescribed in order to accurately simulate the observed radar reflectivity profiles without introducing significant biases. The sensitivity of the algorithm to these parameters, along with their mean values and variability, will be discussed. Examples of future directions include refinement with new data (particularly the assumptions related to ice), and seeking relationships between assumptions and observable or environmental data.

Munchak, Joe.↗

Advantages of Measuring the Q Stokes Parameter in Addition to the Total Radiance I in the Detection of Absorbing Aerosols: a Proof of Concept Using Vector Radiative Transfer, Neural Networks, and Optimal Estimation

A simple but novel study was conducted to investigate whether an imager-type spectroradiometer instrument like MODIS, currently flying on board the Aqua and Terra satellites, or MERIS, which flew on board Envisat, could detect absorbing aerosols if they could measure the Q Stokes parameter in addition to the total radiance I, that is if they could also measure the linear polarization of the light. Accurate radiative transfer calculations were used to train a fast neural network forward model, which together with a simple statistical optimal estimation scheme was used to retrieve three aerosol parameters: aerosol optical depth, fraction of absorbing aerosols, and aerosol location. The aerosols were assumed to be located either between 0 and 2 km or between 2 and 4 km in the Earth’s atmosphere. From simulated data it was found that by itself the total radiance I was generally insufficient to retrieve all three aerosol parameters, but that together with the Q Stokes component it was possible to reliably retrieve values of aerosol optical depth, fraction, and location.

Stamnes, Snorre↗

No Clear, Direct Evidence for Multiple Protoplanets Orbiting LkCa 15: LkCa 15 bcd are Likely Inner Disk Signals

Two studies utilizing sparse aperture-masking (SAM) interferometry and Hα differential imaging have reported multiple Jovian companions around the young solar-mass star, LkCa 15 (LkCa 15 bcd): thefirst claimed direct detection of infant, newly formed planets (“protoplanets”). We present new near-infrared direct imaging/spectroscopy from the Subaru Coronagraphic Extreme Adaptive Optics (SCExAO) system coupled with Coronagraphic High Angular Resolution Imaging Spectrograph (CHARIS) integral field spectrograph and multi-epoch thermal infrared imaging from Keck/ NIRC2 of LkCa 15 at high Strehl ratios. These data provide the first direct imaging look at the same wavelengths and in the same locations where previous studies identified the LkCa 15 protoplanets,and thus offer the first decisive test of their existence.The data do not reveal these planets. Instead,we resolve extended emission tracing adust disk with a brightness and location comparable to that claimed for LkCa 15 bcd. Forward-models attributing this signal to orbiting planets are inconsistent with the combined SCExAO/CHARIS and Keck/NIRC2 data. An inner disk provides a more compelling explanation for the SAM detections and perhaps also the claimed Hα detection of LkCa 15 b. We conclude that there is currently no clear, direct evidence for multiple protoplanets orbiting LkCa 15, although the system likely contains at least one unseen Jovian companion. To identify Jovian companions around LkCa 15 from future observations, the inner disk should be detected and its effect modeled, removed, and shown to be distinguishable from planets. Protoplanet candidates identified from similar systems should likewise be clearly distinguished from disk emission through modeling.

Thayne Currie↗

Mapping Ocean-Reflected Radio Frequency Interference for the GPM Microwave Imager Using Normalized Retrieval Cost Function

By adapting an approach originally developed for WindSat, we identify regions where GMI is affected by radio frequency interference from ocean-reflected geostationary satellite emissions. Around North America, K-band emissions from geostationary satellites affect the GMI 18.7-GHz brightness temperatures, resulting in increases in the retrieval cost function. The method does not detect any 10.7-GHz RFI reflected of the ocean surrounding Europe. This study, which depends on the physically-based forward model for non-raining ocean retrievals, confirms results from a previous study that employed an empirical methodology.

Ian S. Adams↗

The View From Out Here: The Solar System Planets as Exoplanet Analogs

As we begin to characterize planets orbiting other stars, one of the most important tools available to us is the collection of disk-integrated solar system observations. To date, these have been limited in how they match up with expected exoplanet observations in terms of wavelength, time, viewing geometry, and separations. The Interstellar Probe mission could push the boundaries of planetary science by providing a much-needed and unique dataset for the solar system viewed as an extrasolar system in advance of the next generation of ground and space-based telescopes. Viewing the solar system at large separations over a long period serves several purposes. It acts as a practical test directly analogous to exoplanet observations under realistic conditions, including such effects as zodiacal dust (e.g., Roberge et al., 2012). Secondly, it allows for both the validation of forward models (that is, simulating a planet and generating spectra) and retrievals (where some of the planetary properties are not known) (e.g., Robinson et al., 2011; Agarwal and Wettlaufer, 2017). Third, the mission pro le would be able to collect data at both high- and low-phase angles, which are lacking for most of the solar system planets (e.g., Mallama and Hilton, 2018). Lastly, the long duration of the proposed mission would allow not only snapshots, but time resolved observations using the same instrument, highlighting the dynamic nature of the planets (e.g., seasonality, storms). The planets need not be resolved to make these observations, which eases instrumentation requirements. Here, we show simulations of what an Interstellar Probe imager would see, improving on work that was part of a white paper submitted to the Planetary Science and Astrobiology Decadal Survey. The opportunity for multiple full orbits for most of the solar system planets, including a full phase curve of Saturn, is unique and worth pursuing during the development of the Interstellar Probe mission.

Chester Harman↗

WISEA J041451.67-585456.7 and WISEA J181006.18-101000.5: The First Extreme T-type Subdwarfs?

We present the discoveries of WISEA J041451.67−585456.7 and WISEA J181006.18−101000.5, two low-temperature (1200–1400 K), high proper motion T-type subdwarfs. Both objects were discovered via their high proper motion (>0farcs5 yr(exp -1)); WISEA J181006.18−101000.5 as part of the NEOWISE proper motion survey and WISEA J041451.67−585456.7 as part of the citizen science project Backyard Worlds; Planet 9. We have confirmed both as brown dwarfs with follow-up near-infrared spectroscopy. Their spectra and near-infrared colors are unique among known brown dwarfs, with some colors consistent with L-type brown dwarfs and other colors resembling those of the latest-type T dwarfs. While no forward model consistently reproduces the features seen in their near-infrared spectra, the closest matches suggest very low metallicities ([Fe/H] ≼ −1), making these objects likely the first examples of extreme subdwarfs of the T spectral class (esdT). WISEA J041451.67−585456.7 and WISEA J181006.18−101000.5 are found to be part of a small population of objects that occupy the “substellar transition zone,” and have the lowest masses and effective temperatures of all objects in this group.

T subdwarfs↗

Predicting Soil Moisture Retrieval Performance for the NISAR Mission

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) - Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR) is being developed in order to provide highly spatial resolution L- and S-band backscatter observations of the Earth’s surface. Remotely sensed soil moisture is one of NISAR applications of interest. This paper reports an initial analysis of the possibility of using NISAR modes to retrieve soil moisture based on two different methods: a snapshot method and the time series technique. Preliminary results of the forward modeling of the backscattered signal over land and the soil moisture retrievals are presented for bare surfaces.

Alexandra Bringer↗

IQ Collaboratory. II. The Quiescent Fraction of Isolated, Low-mass Galaxies across Simulations and Observations

We compare three major large-scale hydrodynamical galaxy simulations (EAGLE, Illustris-TNG, and SIMBA) by forward modeling simulated galaxies into observational space and computing the fraction of isolated and quiescent low-mass galaxies as a function of stellar mass. Using SDSS as our observational template, we create mock surveys and synthetic spectroscopic and photometric observations of each simulation, adding realistic noise and observational limits. All three simulations show a decrease in the number of quiescent, isolated galaxies in the mass range M * = 10 9−10 M ꙩ , in broad agreement with observations. However, even after accounting for observational and selection biases, none of the simulations reproduce the observed absence of quiescent field galaxies below M * = 10 9 M ꙩ . We find that the low-mass quiescent populations selected via synthetic observations have consistent quenching timescales, despite an apparent variation in the late-time star formation histories. The effect of increased numerical resolution is not uniform across simulations and cannot fully mitigate the differences between the simulations and the observations. The framework presented here demonstrates a path toward more robust and accurate comparisons between theoretical simulations and galaxy survey observations, while the quenching threshold serves as a sensitive probe of feedback implementations.

Claire M. Dickey↗

Assimilation of microwave satellite observations over the rainbands of tropical cyclones

The potential of microwave observations in improving the weather forecasts is limited by the accuracy of all-sky radiative transfer calculations. We introduce a novel Bayesian MonteCarlo technique to improve the assimilation of microwave observations over the rainbands of tropical cyclones. The BMCI technique eliminates the need for a forward model in the data assimilation system. The technique includes three steps, (i) generating a comprehensive dataset using in-situ cloud measurements and atmospheric profiles, (ii) generating synthetic ATMS observations from the training dataset, and (iii) using real observations to estimate the geophysical variables over the rainbands of tropical cyclones. The retrieved profiles of temperature, relative humidity, and cloud water content as well assurface information such as SST were then assimilated into the model. The results show that assimilating the BMCI retrievals can influence the dynamical features of the cyclone, including a stronger warm core, a symmetric eye, and vertically aligned wind columns.

Monte Carlo↗

Adaptive Data Screening for Multi-Angle Polarimetric Aerosol and Ocean Color Remote Sensing Accelerated by Automatic Differentiation

Remote sensing measurements from multi-angle polarimeters (MAPs) contain rich aerosol microphysical property information, and these sensors have been used to perform retrievals in optically complex atmosphere and ocean systems. Previous studies have concluded that, generally, five moderately separated viewing angles in each spectral band provide sufficient accuracy for aerosol property retrievals, with performance gradually saturating as angles are added above that threshold. The Hyper-Angular Rainbow Polarimeter (HARP) instruments provide high angular sampling with a total of 90-120 unique angles across four bands, a capability developed mainly for liquid cloud retrievals. In practice, not all view angles are optimal for aerosol retrievals due to impacts of clouds, sun glint, and other impediments. The many viewing angles of HARP can provide resilience to these effects, if the impacted views are screened from the dataset, as the remaining views may be sufficient for successful analysis. In this study, we discuss how the number of available viewing angles impacts aerosol and ocean color retrieval uncertainties, as applied to two versions of the HARP instrument. AirHARP is an airborne prototype that was deployed in the ACEPOL field campaign, while HARP2 is an instrument in development for the upcoming NASA Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem (PACE) mission. Based on synthetic data, we find that a total of 20-30 angles across all bands (i.e. five to eight viewing angles per band) are sufficient to achieve good retrieval performance. Following from this result, we develop an adaptive multi-angle polarimetric data screening (MAPDS) approach to evaluate data quality by comparing measurements with their best-fitted forward model. The FastMAPOL retrieval algorithm is used to retrieve scene geophysical values, by matching an efficient, deep learning-based, radiative transfer emulator to observations. The data screening method effectively identifies and removes viewing angles affected by thin cirrus clouds and other anomalies, improving retrieval performance. This was tested with AirHARP data, and we found agreement with the High Spectral Resolution Lidar-2 (HSRL-2) aerosol data. The data screening approach can be applied to modern satellite remote sensing missions, such as PACE, where a large amount of multi-angle, hyperspectral, polarimetric measurements will be collected.

multi-angle polarimeter↗

Did an Ancient Habitable Venus Provide the Seeds for Life Today?

Recent possible detections of Phosphine in the Venusian atmosphere [1,2] have spurred interest in the potential for life in the clouds of Venus given the limited number of abiotic alternatives determined thus far [3]. A number of theories have been posited as to how life could have arisen in the cloud decks of Venus (e.g. [4] and references therein) and how it might thrive in a supposedly hostile environment [5]. Over the past few years we have used forward modeling to investigate the possibilities of a temperate Venusian climate in its deep past. This affords us the opportunity to discuss the possibility for an early habitable Venus and its implications for habitability in the cloud layers today.

habitability↗

Optimal Estimation Framework for Ocean Color Atmospheric Correction and Pixel-level Uncertainty Quantification

Ocean color remote sensing requires compensation for atmospheric scattering and absorption (aerosol, Rayleigh, and trace gases), referred to as atmospheric correction (AC). AC allows inference of parameters such as spectrally resolved remote sensing reflectance ( R rs )(λ) ; sr 1 ) at the ocean surface from the top-of-atmosphere reflectance. Often, the uncertainty of this process is not fully explored. Bayesian inference techniques provide a simultaneous AC and uncertainty assessment via a full posterior distribution of the relevant variables, given the prior distribution of those variables and the radiative transfer (RT) likelihood function. Given uncertainties in the algorithm inputs, the Bayesian framework enables better constraints on the AC process by using the complete spectral information compared to traditional approaches that use only a subset of bands for AC. This paper investigates a Bayesian inference research method (Optimal Estimation, OE) for ocean color AC by simultaneously retrieving atmospheric and ocean properties using all visible and near-infrared spectral bands. The OE algorithm analytically approximates the posterior distribution of parameters based on normality assumptions and provides a potentially viable operational algorithm with a reduced computational expense. We developed a Neural Network (NN) RT forward model look-up-table-based emulator to increase algorithm efficiency further and thus speed up the likelihood computations. We then applied the OE algorithm to synthetic data and observations from the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua spacecraft. We compared the R rs )(λ) retrieval and its uncertainty estimates from the OE method with in-situ validation data from the SeaWiFS Bio-optical Archive and Storage System (SeaBASS) and Aerosol Robotic Network Ocean Color (AERONET-OC) datasets. The OE algorithm improved R rs )(λ) estimates relative to the NASA standard operational algorithm by improving all statistical metrics at 443, 555, and 667 nm. Unphysical negative R rs )(λ) , which often appear in complex water conditions, was reduced by a factor of 3. The OE-derived pixel-level R rs )(λ) uncertainty estimates were also assessed relative to in-situ data and were shown to have skill.

Atmospheric correction↗

Determining the Spectral Content of MOSES Images

The Multi-Order Solar Extreme Ultraviolet Spectrograph (MOSES) sounding rocket was launched from White Sands Missile Range on 2006 February 8th, to capture images of the Sun in the He ii 303.8 Å emission line. MOSES is a slitless spectrograph that forms images in multiple spectral orders simultaneously using a concave diffraction grating in an effort to measure line profiles over a wide field of view from a single exposure. Early work on MOSES data showed evidence of solar features composed of neither He ii 303.8 Å nor the nearby Si xi 303.3 Å spectral lines. We have built a forward model that uses cotemporal EIT images and the Chianti atomic database to fit synthetic images with known spectra to the MOSES data in order to quantify this additional spectral content. Our fit reveals a host of dim lines that alone are insignificant but combined contribute a comparable intensity to MOSES images as Si xi 303.3 Å. In total, lines other than He ii 303.8 Å and Si xi 303.3 Å contribute approximately 10% of the total intensity in the MOSES zero order image. This additional content, if not properly accounted for, could significantly impact the analysis of MOSES and similar slitless spectrograph data, especially those using a zero-order (undispersed) image. More broadly, this serves as a reminder that multilayer EUV imagers are sensitive to a host of weak contaminant lines.

Solar transition region↗

Tentative Evidence for Water Vapor in the Atmosphere of the Neptune-sized Exoplanet HD106315c

We present a transmission spectrum for the Neptune-sized exoplanet HD 106315c from optical to infrared wavelengths based on transit observations from the Hubble Space Telescope/Wide Field Camera 3, K2, and Spitzer. The spectrum shows tentative evidence for a water absorption feature in the 1.1–1.7 μm wavelength range with a small amplitude of 30 ppm (corresponding to just 0.8 ± 0.04 atmospheric scale heights). Based on an atmospheric retrieval analysis, the presence of water vapor is tentatively favored with a Bayes factor of 1.7–2.6 (depending on prior assumptions). The spectrum is most consistent with either an enhanced metallicity or high-altitude condensates, or both. Cloud-free solar composition atmospheres are ruled out at >5σ confidence. We compare the spectrum to grids of cloudy and hazy forward models and find that the spectrum is fit well by models with moderate cloud lofting or haze formation efficiency over a wide range of metallicities (1–100× solar). We combine the constraints on the envelope composition with an interior structure model and estimate that the core mass fraction is ≳0.3. With a bulk composition reminiscent of that of Neptune and an orbital distance of 0.15 au, HD 106315c hints that planets may form out of broadly similar material and arrive at vastly different orbits later in their evolution.

Exoplanet atmospheres↗

Composite Bond Line Measurements Based on A Bayesian Analysis of Flash Thermography Data

For bonded composite materials, an accurate characterization of the adhesive bond line is needed to predict failure modes and fracture toughness. In this paper, bond line thickness was estimated from data obtained using through transmission flash thermography. The forward model that predicts back surface temperature is based on a three layer heat diffusion equation with varying diffusivity and flux boundary conditions. The corresponding inverse problem of estimating bond line thickness from measurement data was solved using a Bayesian approach that assumed Gaussian priors for the bond line thickness and thermal diffusivity of the adherends. Finally, the outputs of the thermography based method were compared to measurements that were collected using a micrometer and ultrasound testing.

Flash thermography↗