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DOE OSTI2024

Customer enrollment and participation in building demand management programs: A review of key factors

Increasing the efficiency and flexibility of electricity demand is necessary for ensuring a cost-effective and reliable transition to zero-carbon electricity systems. Such demand-side management (DSM) resources have been procured by utilities for decades via energy efficiency and demand response programs; however, the key drivers of program enrollment and customer participation levels remain poorly understood — even as governments and grid planners seek to scale up the deployment of DSM assets to meet climate targets. Here we systematically review the evidence on multiple factors that may influence customer enrollment and participation in building DSM programs, focusing primarily on residential and commercial buildings. We examine the contexts in which relationships between DSM factors and outcomes are most often explored and with which methods; we also score the strength, direction, and internal consistency of each factor's reported impact on the enrollment and participation outcomes. We find that studies most commonly assess the effects of economic incentives for load flexibility on program participation levels, often using simulation-based methods in lieu of measured data. Few studies focus on program enrollment outcomes or regulatory drivers of either enrollment or participation, and gaps are also evident in the coverage of emerging DSM opportunities like load electrification. Removal of structural barriers (e.g., the lack of controls infrastructure) and the use of third party services (e.g., load aggregators) are the factors with the largest positive impacts on DSM outcomes, but no single factor emerges as clearly most impactful. For a given factor, the range of reported impacts typically varies widely across the relevant studies reviewed. Our findings provide a snapshot of the state of knowledge about building DSM and customer decision-making, and they expose key gaps in understanding that must be filled if building DSM is to expand as a critical resource for operating clean power grids.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

A global urban heat island intensity dataset: Generation, comparison, and analysis

The urban heat island (UHI) effect, a phenomenon of local warming over urban areas, is the most well-known impact of urbanization on climate. Globally consistent estimates of the UHI intensity (UHII) are crucial for examining this phenomenon across time and space. However, publicly available UHII datasets are limited and have several constraints: (1) they are for clear-sky surface UHII, not all-sky surface UHII and canopy (air temperature) UHII; (2) the estimation methods often neglect anthropogenic disturbance, introducing uncertainties in the estimated UHII. To address these issues, this study proposes a new dynamic equal-area (DEA) method that can minimize the influence of various confounding factors on UHII estimates through a dynamic cyclic process. Utilizing the DEA method and leveraging various gridded temperature data, we develop a global-scale (>10,000 cities), long-term (over 20 years by month), and multi-faceted (clear-sky surface, all-sky surface, and canopy) UHII dataset. Further, based on these estimates, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the UHII and its trends in global cities. The UHII is found to be greater than zero in >80% of cities, with global annual average magnitudes around 1.0 °C (day) and 0.8 °C (night) for surface UHII, and close to 0.5 °C for canopy UHII. Furthermore, an interannual upward trend in UHII is observed in >60% of cities, with global annual average trends exceeding 0.1 °C/decade (day) and over 0.06 °C/decade (night) for surface UHII, and slightly surpassing 0.03 °C/decade for canopy UHII. Notably, there exists a positive correlation between the magnitude and trend of UHII, suggesting that cities with stronger UHII tend to experience faster growth in UHII. Additionally, discrepancies in UHII are found between different temperature data, stemming not only from distinctions in data types (surface or air temperature) but also from differences in data acquisition times (Terra or Aqua), weather conditions (clear-sky or all-sky), and processing methodologies (with or without gap filling). Overall, our proposed method, dataset, and analysis results have the potential to provide valuable insights for future urban climate studies. The UHII dataset is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.24821538.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Preliminary Monte Carlo and Thermal Hydraulic Analysis using a Hybrid ETF-Corrected-Diffusion Prediction Block

This paper builds upon previous work to accelerate the Picard iteration (PI) method typically applied for coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal hydraulic (MC-TH) solutions. Previously, the use of the generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict variation in macroscopic cross sections following a perturbation in TH properties was demonstrated for a subset of simple 3D problems. In addition, the reduced-order transport prediction block relied on the first order perturbation (FOP) method, which was shown to have computational overheads. Recent work replaced the FOP block with a 1-group nodal diffusion solver to eliminate these overheads. While the use of diffusion is desirable for large-scale problems, the new solver introduces significant homogenization error. This work aims to address this issue by using the Jacobian-Free Newton Krylov (JFNK) method to generate a set of super homogenization (SPH) factors to improve the accuracy of the diffusion solution. The SPH factors will be used in conjunction with an improved cross section prediction method – the expanded transfer function (ETF) method – to produce a highly accurate flux prediction for an axial 1D boiling water reactor (BWR) pincell following a large perturbation in moderator density. The ETF-corrected diffusion (ETF-CD) block is shown to be highly accurate for the 1D test case. Future work will investigate the accuracy of the method for a realistic 3D pressurized water reactor core.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

DNTTD (Distributed Non-Negative Tensor Train Decomposition)

The era of exascale computing opens new venues for innovations and discoveries in many scientific, engineering, and commercial fields. However, with the exa flops also come the extra-large high-dimensional data generated by high performance computing. High-dimensional data is presented as multidimensional arrays, aka tensors. The presence of latent (not directly observable) structures in the tensor allows a unique representation and compression of the data by classical tensor factorization techniques. However, the classical tensor methods are not always stable or they can be exponential in their memory requirements, which makes them not suitable for high-dimensional tensors. Tensor train (TT) is a state-of-the-art tensor network introduced for factorization of high-dimensional tensors. TT transforms the initial high-dimensional tensor in a network of three-dimensional tensors that requires only a linear storage. Many real-world data, such as, density, temperature, population, probability, etc., are non-negative and for an easy interpretation, the algorithms preserving non-negativity are preferred. Here, we introduce a distributed non-negative tensor-train and demonstrate its scalability and the compression on synthetic and real world big datasets.

Bhattarai, Manish↗

DOE OSTI2022

Rank-reduced coupled-cluster. III. Tensor hypercontraction of the doubles amplitudes

In this work, we develop a quartic-scaling implementation of coupled-cluster singles and doubles (CCSD) based on low-rank tensor hypercontraction (THC) factorizations of both the electron repulsion integrals (ERIs) and the doubles amplitudes. This extends our rank-reduced (RR) coupled-cluster method to incorporate higher-order tensor factorizations. The THC factorization of the doubles amplitudes accounts for most of the gain in computational efficiency as it is sufficient, in conjunction with a Cholesky decomposition of the ERIs, to reduce the computational complexity of most contributions to the CCSD amplitude equations. Further THC factorization of the ERIs reduces the complexity of certain terms arising from nested commutators between the doubles excitation operator and the two-electron operator. We implement this new algorithm using graphical processing units and demonstrate that it enables CCSD calculations for molecules with 250 atoms and 2500 basis functions using a single computer node. Furthermore, we show that the new method computes correlation energies with comparable accuracy to the underlying RR-CCSD method.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Adaptive time scaling for accelerating explicit finite element analysis

A method for accelerating an explicit finite element analysis (FEA) simulation of a modeled system or process includes performing an initial iteration of the FEA simulation according to a baseline time interval via an FEA computing network, and calculating a criteria ratio of a predetermined set of scaling criteria for the modeled system or process. The method includes determining a time-scaling factor using the criteria ratio via the FEA computing network as a function of the criteria ratio, and then applying the time-scaling factor to the baseline time interval to generate a scaled time interval. The scaled time interval accelerates simulation time of the FEA simulation. The method includes performing a subsequent iteration of the explicit FEA simulation at the scaled time interval using the FEA computing network. The process continues for subsequent iterations, with the time-scaling factor adapting with each iteration.

Chen, Jian↗

DOE OSTI2022

Column separation of tetravalent cerium fission products from trivalent rare earth radio-isotopes

Rapid and efficient isolation of individual rare earth element (REE) radioisotopes from complex mixtures is necessary to support the fields of nuclear forensics, medical isotope production and nuclear physics measurements. The separations must be robust and generate sufficiently high purity samples for subsequent radiological analysis. Current methodologies utilize a laborious two step Ce(IV)-iodate precipitation followed by Ce(IV)-nitrate di-(2-ethylhexyl)phosphoric acid/n-heptane extraction. This work reports an alternative method to isolate Ce fission product isotopes equilibrated with milligrams of cold carrier, from the remaining REE’s using a Ce(IV)/LN-resin (Eichrom Technologies) based separation. Optimization of Ce(IV) loading, REE(III) elution volume and subsequent Ce(III) stripping step utilized 166m Ho tracer. Mixed fission product experiments provided a further test of this LN-resin method, with analysis of purified 141/144 Ce, 147 Nd and 91 Y. Overall, while decontamination factors were lower for the LN-resin method, (vs. the combined precipitation/extraction) the simplicity of the technique and the satisfactory fission product analysis results point to the efficacy of this method.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2021

NRC Multiphysics Analysis Capability Deployment FY21: Part 3

This report details the progress and activities of Idaho National Laboratory (INL) on the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) project “Development and Modeling Support for Advanced Non-Light Water Reactors.” The deliverables completed for this report are: Deliverable 1c: the capability to model gas mixtures was added to Pronghorn. A test problem mimicking the conditions achieved in a depressurized loss of forced cooling (DLOFC) event was solved with both RELAP-5 and Pronghorn. Pronghorn employed a finite vol ume method with the Kurganov-Tadmor discretization. The comparison between the mass fraction spatial profiles computed with RELAP-5 and Pronghorn clearly shows the presence of numerical artifacts (i.e., overly diffusive behavior at low Mach numbers). We confirmed that the problem disappears at higher Mach numbers. We recommend future work on the implementation of a low Mach finite volume formulation to better treat low Mach number problems. Deliverable 2a: we demonstrated two approaches to model the radiation/conduction/natural convection heat transfer across a stagnant gas for the PBMR-400 design using Pronghorn. The first approach is based on the net radiation method, which relies on the computation of view factors with the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) ray tracing capability. The second method is a traditional thermal resistance approach. The test problems include both 2D and 3D geometries. In all cases, the results show very good agreement during a DLOFC transient. This confirms that the faster thermal resistance method produces solutions that are equivalent to the net radiation method for this geometry. Deliverable 3d: we demonstrated the use of the advection kernel for the delayed neutron precursor equation in Griffin with a 2D MSFR model. The results appear physical but further verification is recommended. We also recommend the addition of conjugate heat transfer to compute the temperatures and model the thermomechanic behavior of the reflectors and other structures. Significant memory and performance issues were encountered in the 3D axisymmetric model. Future work is recommended in this area. Task 8g: this task allows multidimensional MOOSE applications to be coupled to system codes (RELAP-7 and SAM). We implemented a faster multiphysics iteration coupling algorithm, which provides an overall 6× acceleration of the 3D-1D coupling of the core multidi- mensional fluid flow solver and the 1D primary and secondary loop model.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

CAD-VAE: Leveraging Correlation-Aware Latents for Comprehensive Fair Disentanglement

While deep generative models have significantly advanced representation learning, they may inherit or amplify biases and fairness issues by encoding sensitive attributes alongside predictive features. Enforcing strict independence in disentanglement is often unrealistic when target and sensitive factors are naturally correlated. To address this challenge, we propose CAD-VAE(Correlation-Aware Disentangled VAE), which introduces a correlated latent code to capture the information shared between the target and sensitive attributes. Given this correlated latent, our method effectively separates over-lapping factors without extra domain knowledge by directly minimizing the conditional mutual information between target and sensitive codes. A relevance-driven optimization strategy refines the correlated code by efficiently capturing essential correlated features and eliminating redundancy. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate that CAD-VAE produces fairer representations, realistic counterfactuals, and improved fairness-aware image editing.

Ma, Chenrui [University of California Irvine]↗

DOE OSTI2023

Exploiting Kronecker structure in exponential integrators: Fast approximation of the action of φ $-$functions of matrices via quadrature

Here, in this article, we propose an algorithm for approximating the action of φ $-$ functions of matrices against vectors, which is a key operation in exponential time integrators. In particular, we consider matrices with Kronecker sum structure, which arise from problems admitting a tensor product representation. The method is based on quadrature approximations of the integral form of the φ $-$ functions combined with a scaling and modified squaring method. Owing to the Kronecker sum representation, only actions of 1D matrix exponentials are needed at each quadrature node and assembly of the full matrix can be avoided. Additionally, we derive a priori bounds for the quadrature error, which show that, as expected by classical theory, the rate of convergence of our method is supergeometric. Guided by our analysis, we construct a fast and robust method for estimating the optimal scaling factor and number of quadrature nodes that minimizes the total cost for a prescribed error tolerance. We investigate the performance of our algorithm by solving several linear and semilinear time-dependent problems in 2D and 3D. The results show that our method is accurate and orders of magnitude faster than the current state-of-the-art.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

A new approach for resonance treatment of doubly heterogeneous fuel using the RSE method

A new resonance calculation method for the doubly-heterogeneous (DH) fuels such as high- temperature gas-cooled reactor fuel is proposed based on the resonance calculation based on Spectral Expansion (RSE) method. The concept of pointwise disadvantage factor for fuel grain is taken into account to treat the DH fuels. The verification calculation is carried out for simplified single fuel cell and fuel compact consisting of five fuel cells and graphite moderator. The calculation results indicate that the present method can appropriately handle the space- dependent self-shielding effect for DH fuels. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and validation of a humidified CAPS-PMSSA with an improved methodology to calculate the truncation correction factor

Absorbing aerosols play an important role in the Earth’s radiation budget, and current uncertainties associated with their radiative impacts remain substantial. An element of this uncertainty derives from insufficient understanding of the extent to which water, as a coating on absorbing particles, enhances the absorption. Here, we describe and characterize the performance of a cavity-attenuated phase shift single scatter albedo spectrometer (CAPS-PMSSA) system that has been modified to enable concurrent aerosol extinction and scattering measurements, from which aerosol absorption is derived, at relative humidities up to ~90%. The modified instrument is referred to as the humidified CAPS (HCAPS). Additionally, we develop and validate an update to a method to calculate the truncation correction factor, used to correct the scattering measurements, that can account for the effects of particle growth and compositional changes resulting from water uptake. The method can be applied to experiments that use either size-selected or polydisperse aerosol samples of either known or unknown composition. Overall, we show that measurements made with the HCAPS, when processed using the updated truncation correction method, enable accurate measurement of the influence of water uptake on light absorption.

Dal Porto, Rachael [University of California, Davi↗

DOE OSTI2022

Enhancement of 2D topological semimetal transport properties by current annealing

Observation of intrinsic quantum transport properties of two-dimensional (2D) topological semimetals can be challenging due to suppression of high mobility caused by extrinsic factors introduced during fabrication. We demonstrate current annealing as a method to substantially improve electronic transport properties of 2D topological semimetal flakes. Contact resistance and resistivity were improved by factors up to 2 × 10 6 and 2 × 10 4 , respectively, in devices based on exfoliated flakes of two topological semimetals, ZrSiSe and BaMnSb 2 . Using this method, carrier mobility in ZrSiSe was improved by a factor of 3800, resulting in observation of record-high mobility for exfoliated ZrSiSe. Quantum oscillations in annealed ZrSiSe appeared at magnetic fields as low as 5 T, and magnetoresistance increased by a factor of 10 4 . We argue that a thermal process underlies this improvement. Finally, Raman spectroscopy and analysis of quantum oscillations in ZrSiSe indicate that the phonon modes and Fermi surface area are unchanged by current annealing.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2023

Structurally Constrained Evolutionary Algorithm for the Discovery and Design of Metastable Phases

Metastable materials are abundant in nature and technology, showcasing remarkable properties that inspire innovative materials design. However, traditional crystal structure prediction methods, which rely solely on energetic factors to determine a structure’s fitness, are not suitable for predicting the vast number of potentially synthesizable phases that represent a local minimum corresponding to a state in thermodynamic equilibrium. Here, we present a new approach for the prediction of metastable phases with specific structural features, and interface this method with the XTALOPT evolutionary algorithm. Our method relies on structural features that include the local crystalline order (e.g., the coordination number or chemical environment), and symmetry (e.g., Bravais lattice and space group) to filter the breeding pool of an evolutionary crystal structure search. The effectiveness of this approach is benchmarked on three known metastable systems: XeN 8 , with a two-dimensional polymeric nitrogen sublattice, brookite TiO 2 , and a high pressure BaH 4 phase that was recently characterized. Additionally, a newly predicted metastable melaminate salt, P1¯WC 3 N 6 , was found to possess an energy that is lower than two phases proposed in a recent computational study. Here, the method presented here could help in identifying the structures of compounds that have already been synthesized, and developing new synthesis targets with desired properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Spectral Analysis of Regular Material Point Method and its Application to Study High Pressure Reverse Osmosis Membrane Compaction and Embossing

Material Point Method (MPM) is gaining widespread interest in applied continuum mechanics. The fact that all the continuum properties are stored on the particles (or material points) and the governing equations are solved on these material points makes MPM extremely suited to problems involving severe material deformations, such as crack propagation, soil movement, and fluid flows. Despite its popularity, only a few studies have focused on the numerical properties of MPM. This presentation introduces a global spectral analysis of the regular material point method. Contrary to previous studies, the analysis focuses on the numerical properties of the method in the spectral space. The amplification factor is derived as a function of the non- dimensional wave numbers. It provides insights into the stability and dissipative properties of the method for various CFL and Fourier numbers. The effect of the grid shape functions, number of particles per cell and their locations inside the grid cell are also analyzed. The EXAGOOP MPM solver (https://github.com/NREL/Exagoop.git) is developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory as a part of the NAWI UHPRO project and is based on the AMReX framework. A single-level, uniform cartesian grid is used as the background mesh, while the particle class in AMReX is used to manage the material point operations. Linear hat and B-splines are used as grid shape functions, while the time integration is performed using explicit Euler time integration. EXAGOOP is both CPU and GPU compatible and has been demonstrated to work well on multiple compute architectures. The performance of EXAGOOP on various computing architectures is presented along with its application to study compaction and embossing of high-pressure reverse osmosis membranes. The MPM solution accurately reproduces the membrane deformation. The deformed pore size and structure simulated using MPM also agree well with experimental SEM images.

material point method↗

DOE OSTI2026

Getting Warmer: IceCube Nears Freeze Out

IceCube has recently detected a diffuse population of high-energy neutrinos arising from the Milky Way. We use this high-significance detection to place new limits on dark matter (DM) annihilation to neutrinos with two complementary approaches. The first method uses the background-subtracted Galactic longitude distribution of shower events to place a conservative bound on the DM annihilation cross section that does not rely on any assumed Galactic cosmic ray emission model; the resulting limits on the velocity-averaged annihilation cross section improve upon existing bounds by factors of a few. The second method uses the template-dependent neutrino energy spectra from the Inner Galaxy, inferred under different Galactic cosmic ray emission models. This complementary approach shows that the inferred Galactic neutrino intensities are already sensitive to DM contributions near the thermal-relic benchmark for a range of TeV-scale DM masses, though this comparison is more model-dependent. Our results demonstrate that measurements of diffuse Galactic neutrino emission can be used as a powerful probe of DM annihilation into neutrinos. Future observations with IceCube-Gen2 and KM3NeT will substantially extend this sensitivity, potentially allowing a decisive test of the thermal freeze-out mechanism with Galactic neutrino observations.

Mukhopadhyay, Mainak [Fermilab; Chicago U., KICP; ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Gaming the beamlines—employing reinforcement learning to maximize scientific outcomes at large-scale user facilities

Abstract Beamline experiments at central facilities are increasingly demanding of remote, high-throughput, and adaptive operation conditions. To accommodate such needs, new approaches must be developed that enable on-the-fly decision making for data intensive challenges. Reinforcement learning (RL) is a domain of AI that holds the potential to enable autonomous operations in a feedback loop between beamline experiments and trained agents. Here, we outline the advanced data acquisition and control software of the Bluesky suite, and demonstrate its functionality with a canonical RL problem: cartpole. We then extend these methods to efficient use of beamline resources by using RL to develop an optimal measurement strategy for samples with different scattering characteristics. The RL agents converge on the empirically optimal policy when under-constrained with time. When resource limited, the agents outperform a naive or sequential measurement strategy, often by a factor of 100%. We interface these methods directly with the data storage and provenance technologies at the National Synchrotron Light Source II, thus demonstrating the potential for RL to increase the scientific output of beamlines, and layout the framework for how to achieve this impact.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Analytics-at-scale of Sensor Data for Digital Monitoring in Nuclear Plants (3 rd Annual Report)

Nuclear power plants collect and store large volumes of heterogeneous data from various components and systems. With recent advances in machine learning (ML) techniques, these data can be leveraged to develop diagnostic and short-term forecasting models to better predict future equipment condition. Maintenance operations can then be planned in advance whenever degraded performance is predicted, thus resulting in fewer unplanned outages and the optimization of maintenance activities. This enables lower maintenance costs and improves the overall economics of nuclear power. This report primarily focuses on developing a short-term forecasting process that leverages a feature selection process to distill large volumes of heterogeneous data and predict specific equipment parameters. A variety of feature selection methods, including Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and variance inflation factor (VIF), were used to select the optimal features as inputs for three ML methods: long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF). Each combination of model and input features was used to predict a pump bearing temperature both 1 and 24 hours in advance, based on actual plant system data. The optimal inputs for the LSTM and SVR were selected using the SHAP values, while the optimal input for the RF consisted solely of the response variable itself. Each model produced similar 1-hour-ahead predictions, with root mean square errors (RMSEs) of roughly 0.006. For the 24-hour-ahead predictions, differences could be seen between LSTM, SVR, and RF, as reflected by model performances of 0.036 ± 0.014, 0.0026 ± 0, and 0.063 ± 0.004 RMSE, respectively. As big data and continuous online monitoring become more widely available, the proposed feature selection process can be used for many applications beyond the prediction of process parameters within nuclear infrastructure. This report summarizes the Fiscal Year 2021 research progress encompassing the (1) data cleaning and feature selection necessary for ML applications; (2) development of short-term forecasting models to predict future plant process parameters for both single and multiple time steps ahead; and (3) validation of the feature selection methods and short-term forecasting models given new data from different systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗