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National Solar Jobs Accelerator (Final Technical Report (FTR))

The aptitudes and experiences gained through military service—such as dynamic leadership, teamwork and critical thinking skills, technical specialization, and a mission-completion work ethic—make veterans exceptional candidates for a wide range of solar energy careers. The solar industry offers a highly collaborative and purpose-driven work environment that resonates with service members and veterans looking to rise to their next challenge, and solar employers are eager to tap into this valuable talent pool. From October 2019 - February 2023, The National Solar Jobs Accelerator (publicly the Solar Ready Vets Network TM (SRV Network; SRVN)) enhanced and streamlined options for military service members and veterans to pursue solar training, certification, and employment, while advancing solar employers’ efforts and capacity to invest in military talent as part of a long-term workforce development strategy. The SRVN was led by the Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC) in partnership with the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), the US Chamber of Commerce Foundation’s Hiring Our Heroes program (HOH) and the North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners (NABCEP). Through several direct-impact and indirect, high-impact capacity building initiatives aligned with six key objectives, the SRV Network strengthened solar career pathways, and promoted increased representation of military talent across all levels and sectors of the solar workforce. A work-based learning Corporate Fellowship model connected transitioning service members with on-the-job experience in leadership roles with solar employers nationwide. The project advanced broader veteran recruitment and talent development by expanding GI Bill eligibility and streamlining veterans’ pathways for solar training and credentialing, supported direct connections to jobs with top solar employers, and led coordination among key education and industry partners to advance registered apprenticeships aligned with solar career pathways. To ensure that the project best served the needs of all stakeholders, an Advisory Committee of military-connected solar professionals, solar employers, and training providers met biannually to guide project activities and sustainability plans. The project team engaged the broader “SRV Network” (comprised of over 2,000 veterans, employers and training organizations) through regular newsletters and targeted outreach to share resources, hiring fairs, webinars, and other opportunities for engagement. The work done under this award builds on the previous iterations of the Department of Energy’s Solar Ready Vets ® program. As the solar industry continues to grow rapidly over the next decade, the military community will continue to be a highly valuable source of talent. The relationships established and work accomplished through this project will have an enduring positive impact well beyond the funding period.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Alternative Pozzolans for Replacement of Fly Ash in Grout: Literature Review for Continuous Improvement of Cement Waste Forms

The Department of Energy (DOE) is currently responsible for treating radioactive and mixed waste, performing environmental restoration, and closing contaminated tanks and facilities resulting from nuclear weapons production during the Cold War. Cementitious reagents are the most widely used materials for (1) chemically stabilizing and encapsulating radionuclides and hazardous metals and (2) solidifying radioactive wastewater. Cementitious grouts and flowable concretes are also the most widely used materials for tank and facility closures and are used extensively for physical as well as chemical stabilization in environmental restoration projects. Ambient temperature radioactive waste cementation is a widely used technology for producing waste forms for final disposal. The current practice of designing and testing waste forms is based on a mid to late 20th century technology approach (i.e., materials, characterization, and test methods) for generating parameters for risk assessments. DOE technology development is needed to address both current, long-term, and emerging issues in this area as new waste streams come online and as regulations, performance knowledge, and risk assessment methodology continue to evolve. Consequently, the use of cementation as a means of treating chemically challenging radioactive liquid waste streams and reactive debris requires an enduring effort.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Novel Materials for Next-Generation Accelerator Target Facilities

As beam power continues to increase in next-generation accelerator facilities, high-power target systems face crucial challenges. Components like beam windows and particle-production targets must endure significantly higher levels of particle fluence. The primary beam’s energy deposition causes rapid heating (thermal shock) and induces microstructural changes (radiation damage) within the target material. These effects ultimately deteriorate the components’ properties and lifespan. With conventional materials already stretched to their limits, we are exploring novel materials including High-Entropy Alloys and Electro spun Nanofibers that offer a fresh approach to enhancing tolerance against thermal shock and radiation damage. Following an introduction to the challenges facing high-power target systems, we will give an overview of the promising advancements we have made so far in customizing the compositions and microstructures of these pioneering materials. Our focus is on optimizing their in-beam thermomechanical and physics performance. Additionally, we will outline our ongoing plans for in-beam irradiation experiments and advanced material characterizations. The primary goal of this research is to push the frontiers of target materials, thereby enabling future multi-MW facilities that will benefit various programs in high-energy physics and beyond.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Development of Human and Technology Integration Guidance for Work Optimization and Effective Use of Information

Existing nuclear power contributes to roughly 20% of the total electricity generation, and consistently provides the highest capacity factor of any other electricity generating resource in the United States. Despite these advantages, the existing nuclear power plant fleet in the United States has been enduring significant challenges in providing electricity in a cost-competitive manner, which has ultimately threatened the long-term economic viability of these plants. A major contributor to these increased operating and maintenance costs has been the continued reliance of a large workforce who perform their work under an operating model that has largely remained unchanged since the commissioning of these nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, while this operating model has provided safe and reliable electricity, other industries have already began transforming their workforce through the use of advanced digital technology and automation that has reduced their operating and maintenance cost significantly. In order for the United States nuclear industry to remain economically viable, a similar transformation must be considered in which digital technologies and automation capabilities are brought in to support key plant functions across all work functions across plant operation, maintenance, and support. To effectively integrate digital technology and automation in the existing nuclear power plant operating model, a multidisciplinary approach is needed that addresses technological and sociotechnical (i.e., human and technology integration) considerations. This report describes an extension to the human and technology integration methodology, herein referred to as Human Integration and Technology Task Force for Work Management Optimization (HITT), to support the safe, reliable, and efficient use of proposed innovations with the intended users in their intended environment to perform their intended tasks. By effectively incorporating human and technology integration into a plant modernization effort by using HITT, we believe that a utility can significantly improve work performance and overall workforce quality of life. For instance, if HITT is performed to optimize work management, scheduling performance and scope stability can be improved by up to 10%. HITT enables these benefits through developing a rich understanding of the work being performed, the utility’s vision, and the opportunities that provide greatest value to optimize performance through a 10-step process illustrated below as a quick guide. The quick guide contains links in the righthand side of each step that allows for navigation to the detailed section (Section 4) of HITT in this technical report.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Women as a force multiplier for bringing nuclear forensic capabilities to the international stage

In 2009, the U.S. Department of Energy / National Nuclear Security Administration’s (DOE/NNSA) Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation (DNN) Program initiated a new nuclear forensics outreach effort under its Confidence Building Measures Program. Little did they know that the timing could not have been better. This article focuses on the early years (2009-2015) of the NNSA’s international nuclear forensics outreach, specifically the efforts and experiences of the women who helped establish this program, building it from a fledgling bilateral effort into an enduring technical capacity provider engaging with dozens of countries and multilateral organizations. At the onset of the program, nuclear forensics was an emerging priority within the U.S. Government and receiving increased focus from international organizations through high-level diplomatic efforts such as the Nuclear Security Summit and Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism. Additionally, working-level initiatives were gaining traction through the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Nuclear Forensics International Technical Working Group. Over the next six years, a small team comprised of a uniquely large number of women NNSA federal, contract, and national laboratory staff served as key leaders engaging with the international community to strengthen global technical nuclear forensics capacity and best practices. The program continues today under the Nuclear Smuggling Detection and Deterrence Program as Investigation Support. The experiences shared here detail a unique time period when the new technical discipline of nuclear forensics was beginning to mature and gain international traction. The authors have made every effort to remember history correctly and be as inclusive as possible. A wealth of training, guidance, and exercises documentation was developed in the 2009-2015 timeframe, much of which still serves as the foundation for today’s even more extensive program and community of dedicated technical and diplomatic practitioners.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Sandia Mechanics Challenge 2023 Information Packet: Structure with a Threaded Fastener Joint

The Sandia Mechanics Challenge (SMC) provides the solid-mechanics community a forum for assessing its ability to predict mechanical behavior in structures and materials through a blind, round-robin format. Computationalists are asked to predict the behavior of an unfamiliar geometry given experimental calibration data, their predictions are compared to experimental measurements of the SMC scenario, and then the participants assess and compare their approaches, documenting their findings. The SMC broadens the scope of Sandia-hosted benchmarking problems that previously focused on ductile failure through the Sandia Fracture Challenges, enabling an enduring, community-wide self-assessment of predictive capabilities for a variety of mechanics topics. The SMC is part of the Structural Reliability Partnership, which offers other benchmarking challenges hosted by several participating institutions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Board on Earth Sciences and Resources and Its Activities

The National Academies’ Board on Earth Sciences and Resources (BESR) and its standing committees provide an ongoing forum for advancing the understanding and communication of Earth sciences and resource topics, including emerging topics and innovative techniques. BESR activities help to provide evidence-based information to members of the executive and legislative branches of the federal government, the private sector, states and tribes, academia, non-governmental organizations, and the public to support decision-making. BESR and its standing Committee on Solid Earth Geophysics (COSEG), also supported by this award, fulfill this role through development and administration of consensus studies, as well as workshops and other convening activities related to the Earth sciences; overseeing selected activities of the Board’s standing committees, such as disciplinary meetings and webinars; and communicating, sharing information, and providing opportunities for interaction and exchange among technical and non-technical stakeholders. The core support received from DOE helps BESR and COSEG maintain a central body of volunteer experts and National Academies staff who can respond to pressing needs and requests from federal sponsors and other members of the Earth science community, to maintain the health and relevance of the Earth sciences discipline, and to provide the Earth science community with a privileged interface to the government to support scientific and engineering advances and decision making related to Earth sciences and engineering. Initiation and oversight of Earth science activities at the National Academies is an enduring function of the BESR and COSG that helps to ensure development and completion of projects and activities that are responsive to the needs of sponsors and the broader Earth science and research enterprise.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Material Discovery and Design Principles of Perovskite Oxides for Reversible Solid Oxide Cells (R-SOC)

Reversible solid oxide cells (R-SOCs) are highly efficient devices for energy conversion and storage, capable of operating for both hydrogen utilization and production. In fuel cell mode, an R-SOC consumes hydrogen or natural gas to generate electricity, while in electrolysis mode, it produces hydrogen from steam. The discover of new materials with rapid oxygen surface exchange kinetics and enduring stability is crucial for the economically viable commercialization of R-SOCs. To facilitate this pursuit, we conducted extensive Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations and developed Machine Learning (ML) models to predict critical catalytic properties essential for R-SOCs, such as oxygen surface exchange/diffusivity, and area-specific resistance (ASR). BaCoxFeyZrzO3-d(BFCZ)(x+y+z=1) emerged as a promising family of electrode materials with high activity and stability, validated through systematic experimental study. Moreover, a robust numerical multiphysics model was developed to optimize materials and microstructure parameters, providing the ability to predict the performance of functional R-SOCs.

Liu, Jian↗

Development of Stable Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells for Low-Cost Hydrogen Production

The project objective was to demonstrate a solid oxide cell-based steam electrolysis stack that exhibits robustness, reliability, endurance, hydrogen purity, and produces hydrogen at elevated pressure of 2 to 3 bar. Innovative materials and processing methods were evaluated to improve degradation characteristics. Performance improvement focused on nearly all layers involved in the cell and stack assembly. Primary attention was paid to zirconia-ceria interface resistance control via sintering optimization and decrease in degradation from the oxygen electrode by evaluating low strontium (Sr) or Sr-free composition for both the oxygen electrode and current collection layer. Stack robustness was addressed by validating redox tolerance of fuel electrode, confirming capability of cells to survive repeated thermal cycles, studying the effect of pressure on performance and degradation, evaluating the effect of contamination on fuel and oxygen electrode performance and degradation, and identifying mitigation strategies to improve performance. The characterization included evaluation of electrochemical performance and stability followed by microstructural analysis. At the cell level, performance and stability improvements were achieved by incorporating a Sr-free oxygen electrode and a denser oxygen electrode barrier layer. At the stack level, pressurized operation reduces demand on first stage compression, the redox tolerant fuel electrode mitigates risk from service interruptions, and improvements to interconnect coating alleviate chromium (Cr) contamination effects. The denser barrier layer was achieved by adding a sintering aid to the samaria-doped ceria (SDC) composition that reduced sintering temperature by 150 °C. The resulting density was on par with the baseline SDC barrier layer density and the lower sintering temperature resulted in less resistive phase formation during sintering. Button cell tests did not demonstrate a change in performance when exposed to silicon (Si) or manganese (Mn) impurities to the fuel electrode and Cr impurity to the oxygen electrode. More detailed study however is warranted. The project addressed SOEC performance and stability at the cell and stack levels through a systematic approach to known sources of degradation that were combined and tested in three stack tests using an electrolyte supported cell design to allow for evaluation of a variety of fuel and oxygen electrode compositions. STK-82 and STK-83 had identical compositions. STK-100 incorporated the best materials and processing variables developed under this and concurrent projects, and was tested at elevated pressure in steam electrolysis. • STK-82 recovered performance after redox and thermal cycling, demonstrating the robustness of the stack and seals. It exhibited stable performance in testing for 500 hours in SOEC mode, followed by 300 hours of cycling between SOEC and SOFC tests. Degradation during SOEC operation was 1.8 %/ 1,000 hours. • STK-83 generated hydrogen at >80% steam conversion, and oxygen above 98.5 % purity during pressurized operation. Both hydrogen and oxygen were generated at 3 barg pressure without the use of a pressure vessel. In addition to balanced pressure, electrolysis operation at 1 bar differential pressure across anode and cathode was also demonstrated to substantial the robustness of the cell and seal. • STK-100 measured at initial ambient pressure conditions showed an area specific resistance of 1.1 ohm-cm 2 , and STK-83 had 1.3 ohm-cm 2 .

08 HYDROGEN↗

Fractal Nanostructured Solar Selective Surfaces for Next Gen Concentrating Solar Power (Final Report)

This project reports a novel coating with enhanced solar absorptance and reduced thermal emittance with high efficiency at elevated temperature for next-generation concentrated solar power (CSP) plants, with targeted operating temperatures around 750°C. Highly textured single and multimetallic oxide coatings were electrodeposited onto Inconel substrate by systematically varying the composition and process parameters. The optimized coating exhibited micro-to-nano structures designed to match the wavelengths in the visible region of the solar spectrum. These structures facilitate resonant absorption of solar radiation, significantly boosting solar absorption and accommodating thermal stress during high temperature exposure. A high solar absorptance exceeding 0.985 and a low thermal emittance below 0.5, yielding a thermal efficiency near 95%, was achieved for the optimized coatings without any anti-reflective overcoat, that remained robust after 750 h of isothermal exposure to 750°C in air. The coatings are also robust to severe mechanical and environmental stressors. The innovative approach presented in this study demonstrates the potential for tailoring air-stable solar absorber coatings to achieve high absorption, low emittance, and excellent high-temperature endurance, meeting the rigorous demands of next-generation CSP systems. A technoeconomic analysis reveals the economic advantage of the coatings for Gen3 CSP installations in different geographical zones globally.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Grain Boundary Relaxation (GBR) Approach for Manufacturing High Strength Nanocrystalline Lightweight Metals

The overarching goal of the project was to conduct research and development work as proposed in the Statement of Project Objective (SOPO) of the award document DE-FE-0009116. The project had 4 tasks and 12 milestones. All the milestone deliverables were completed. The accomplishments of the project objectives and technical discussions are described in Sections 3 and 4, respectively. The modeling and simulation work indicated that to increase the strength and stability of nanocrystalline aluminum (Al), selection of dopants, such as Mg, is necessary. It was predicted that the crystallite size should be less than 50 nm to give high strength. On the basis of modeling, cryo-milling of Al was conducted with the addition of Mg as a function of different times. The crystallite size of the cryo-milled powders was determined by XRD and TEM. Both measurements showed that the actual crystallite size of the grain was <40 nm. The thermal stability of the grain size was established as a function of temperature. It was established that the grain size was < 50 nm up to 500C. The crystallite size of the bulk sample prepared by spark plasma sintering (SPS) and cold spray (CS) additive manufacturing was less than <40 nm. The mechanical properties of the bulk samples prepared by SPS and CS, showed excellent microhardness, good tensile properties (>200 MPa) with moderate ductility and improved fatigue performance. Adding yttria stabilized zirconia (YSZ) improved the build thick of the CS sample, however the YSZ was getting embedded into the sample. A highly dense SPS samples sent for 3rd party testing to the Innovation Testing Services showed a minimum hardness of 180 HV with an average tensile strength of 512.5 MPa. The high cycle fatigue tests also showed an endurance limit of 179.5 MPa. The Energy cost evaluations showed an overall energy cost of around $\$$17.05 for the cryomilling and SPS processes and the total manufacturing cost calculations of $\$$78.14 for 1 kg of sample. The energy cost to prepare a Kg of CS sample is $\$$17.60 and the overall manufacturing cost is $\$$86.85.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Results from an Aeromagnetic Survey to Detect Steel-Cased Wells at a Marcellus Shale Well Site in Washington County, Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania has a 150-year history of oil and gas production—the longest of any state—and this enduring activity has resulted in the drilling of more than 300,000 recorded wells. However, unknown wells likely exist because innumerable wells were drilled during Pennsylvania’s intense early oil and gas history when incomplete records were kept of well locations. There is concern that early wells are likely to be ineffectively sealed because there were no laws that required plugging when the wells were abandoned. Today, many undocumented and unplugged wells are thought to be in areas of emerging shale gas and shale oil development where open wellbores can provide a pathway for undesired upward migration of fluids and gas from hydraulically fractured reservoirs. Due to this concern, Pennsylvania regulators have asked operators to locate orphaned and abandoned wells within a 1,000-ft buffer of proposed new wells. The objective of this report is to demonstrate that high-resolution aeromagnetic surveys, historic air photos, and Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) imagery can be rapid and effective methods to reconnoiter large, forested areas of moderate terrain for the presence of abandoned wells. These well-finding methods were evaluated at a proposed Marcellus Shale gas drilling site in Washington County, Pennsylvania, where the methods collectively located 18 confirmed wells: 15 wells were identified from aeromagnetic surveys, two wells were identified from inspection of historical air photos, and one well was identified by evaluation of state-wide LiDAR imagery. Only six wells were previously known, and their locations, as recorded in Pennsylvania’s statewide oil and gas wells database (PA/IRIS/WIS), were often too inaccurate for the wells to be found in the dense underbrush. Twelve wells identified in this study were abandoned, unmarked, and undocumented. Aeromagnetic surveys locate wells by detecting the unique magnetic signature of vertical, steel well casing, which is depicted on magnetic maps as a “bull’s eye” type anomaly that is centered directly over the well. However, when wells were drilled and found to be sub-economic, their casing was sometimes pulled and salvaged for reuse. Such wellbores provide no magnetic response and go undetected if all casing was removed. Oftentimes attempts to retrieve well casing were not 100% successful. For example, historical records for one well in the study area indicate that the well was completed in 1902 as a dry hole and that, to the extent possible, the casing was pulled for reuse. However, a section of 10-in. diameter steel casing was not recovered and remains at an unknown depth in the wellbore. This well was easily detected by the aeromagnetic survey although only deep casing remained in the well. To mitigate for the likelihood that wellbores exist where most or all casing has been removed, this study augmented aeromagnetic data with historic air photos and digital terrain models generated from LiDAR datasets—both databases are publicly available at no cost for areas within Pennsylvania. These complementary methods located three wells where the aeromagnetic anomaly, although present, was subtle and overlooked. Together, these methods determined accurate locations for six known wells within the study area and located 12 previously unknown wells. Although it is not certain that these methods successfully located all wells in the study area, the application of these methods does represent a significant improvement over relying on existing databases for well locations. For the Appendix to the report, see: https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=b46c417a-7c9e-4d25-b810-e6248b0217f4</p>

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

Testing Capabilities for Superconducting Magnets at Fermilab

This presentation will focus on the current testing capabilities for superconducting magnets at Fermilab, highlighting existing systems, recent upgrades, and future plans. The Vertical Magnet Test Facility (VMTF) remains a cornerstone for testing superconducting magnets in R&D applications, maintaining its established capabilities. Stand 4 continues to support the Hi-Lumi AUP production line of magnets in cryostats and has achieved significant improvements through a redesign of lead connections, resolving issues with liquid helium levels and resistance, culminating in a successful endurance test without interruption. Similarly, Stand 7 underwent commissioning and a lead redesign to reduce heat load, while its core testing capabilities remain unchanged. Looking forward, Stand 3 is undergoing a redesign, with plans to restart and begin commissioning by the end of 2025, introducing new features such as background magnetic field testing and upgraded power supplies. Fermilab is also advancing the High Field Vertical Magnet Test Facility (HFVMTF), designed to support the fusion and magnet R&D program, with commissioning scheduled for 2025 and critical components, including the cryostat and power supplies, being delivered. Enhancing all operations, the newly commissioned IB1 cryoplant now offers automated overnight helium production and efficient transfer to a 10,000-liter dewar, streamlining support across all test stands. This talk will provide a comprehensive overview of testing capabilities, and showcasing how Fermilab is advancing its capabilities to meet the evolving demands of superconducting magnet testing.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Environmental Compatibility Issues for Ni-Based Alloys in Direct-Fired Supercritical CO2 Power Cycles

Direct-fired supercritical CO2 (sCO2) power cycles offer potential for high-efficiency power generation from natural gas and other fossil fuels with built-in carbon capture. Ni-based superalloys are the leading candidates for the hottest portions of these systems, where they must endure long-term exposure to high-temperature, high-pressure, high-velocity, impure CO2-rich environments. Herein we describe results of various experimental testing campaigns conduced at NETL showing that under such conditions, several simultaneously occurring degradation modes may be active including surface oxidation, alloy carburization, and oxide volatilization. It will be shown that the rates of degradation can be strongly affected by the alloy composition, impurities in the CO2, manufacturing method (wrought vs additive), and other factors. The influence of these factors in controlling alloy degradation are discussed in the context of potential compatibility issues for components in real sCO2 systems, such as compact heat exchangers. Finally, as a potential remedial measure, ongoing work involving protective coatings suitable for complex geometries is presented.

alloy oxidation↗

Effect of Fatigue on the Capacity and Performance of Structural Concrete

The goal of this project was to enhance the understanding of the fatigue behavior of concrete structures for the purpose of improving the design and assessment of towers and foundations that support wind turbines, which must endure repeated loadings from wind, waves, operations, and other dynamic effects that cause material degradation. This was achieved through physical experiments, a review of the technical literature, and collaboration with experts in key subject areas. The project produced a comprehensive database of publicly available fatigue data, several technical papers presenting the research findings, and two Technotes to be published by the American Concrete Institute that advance best practices in fatigue testing and enable the development of concrete-specific fatigue (S-N) (stress-life) curves. These contributions are expected to enhance the durability and cost-effectiveness of wind turbine support structures.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Impacts of PV Module Connector Failures on Cost and Performance of Utility Scale Photovoltaic Systems

The reliability, cost and performance of electrical connectors are a concern in all types of electrical systems, and demands on connectors used on photovoltaic (PV) systems include that connectors maintain electrical conductivity and physical strength, endure ultraviolet sunlight and high ambient temperature, and resist moisture and chemical intrusion over a very long (>25 year) performance period. Connector failures increase operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and reduce plant production, but connector failure can also cause safety and liability problems, which are of greater concern. This work results from a three-year collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technology Office (SETO) under Agreements #39035 and #38531 "Connector Reliability Across the US Solar Sector." a multi-pronged investigation of PV connector health across the US (see https://energy.sandia.gov/pvconnectors/). This report presents derivation of a Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that models failure modes and frequencies (how often failure occurs), estimates O&M costs and lost production associated with connector failures, and then calculates the effect that PV module connectors can have on Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The model is informed with initial data from quantitative assessment of failure rates, root causes and mechanisms, in-situ diagnostics and data collection, lab-based forensics, and interviews with PV connector manufacturers and plant operators. SNL conducted site inspections at multiple utility-scale sites in different climates and subjected field samples of new, used, and degraded connectors to visual and electrical characterization. EPRI conducted metallurgical analysis of the pin and sleeve conductors to study failure-induced morphological and compositional changes. There is in general a shortage of statistically valid data, but data from PVROM database maintained by SNL was sufficient to ascertain failure rates and lost production as well as provide qualitative insight in its curated maintenance records. This report details the structure of the mathematical model but the sources of data to inform the model will continue to evolve. Analysis of a 100 MW PV plant is provided as an example of the use of the model, with results indicating that connectors are responsible for Annualized O&M Costs of $\$$71,933/year; Annualized Unit O&M Costs of $\$$0.72/kW/year; that a Reserve Account of $\$$187,220 should be available to fund repairs related to connectors; that connectors add $\$$1,494,004 to the Net Present Value of the O&M Costs (project life); and that O&M related to connectors adds about $\$$0.00088/kWh to the Levelized Cost of Energy. The impact of this model is to provide a tool to make the US solar sector more robust by quantifying and monetizing the reliability risks to utility-scale PV systems posed by poorly installed, mismatched and/or poorly designed and manufactured connectors. The TEA provides a model incorporating failure statistics, O&M cost data, and lost production into a single figure of merit, informing decisions and enabling practitioners to optimize cost and performance trade-offs. Stakeholders include connector manufacturers, system designers and equipment specifiers, standards bodies, installers and O&M providers, investors and insurance underwriters. This report supports continued growth of PV predicated on assurances that properly installed and maintained PV system connectors are safe and reliable. The project team is proposing future work including accelerated testing of connectors and expanding the approach taken here to other PV system components, such as TEA for rapid shut-down devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

From Stewardship to Transformation: Toward a Nuclear Enterprise for the 21st Century

The erosion of the global security environment over the last two decades has been rapid and dramatic. It appears also to be accelerating. There are deep and widening concerns in the United States and among its allies and partners that deterrence too has eroded at both the conventional and nuclear levels. The Strategic Posture Commission captured the essence of the problem in its October 2023 report—the United States seeks to meet the challenges of complex multipolar nuclear rivalry in the 21 st century with a slimmed down version of a nuclear deterrent designed in the middle of the 20 th century. With great urgency, the Commission recommended that something more and/or different is needed than simply the replacement of legacy systems with modern variants. But the U.S. nuclear security enterprise was reshaped after the Cold War to support the stockpile stewardship mission—not renewed designed, engineering, and production at scale. It has long fallen short of the agility, flexibility, and adaptiveness periodically asked of it by national leaders. In recent years, however, the message of urgency has been clearly received in the enterprise. Its culture has begun to shift. It has also been received by those in Washington D.C. responsible for funding and guiding the enterprise. The result is an enterprise in transition. Stockpile stewardship has given way to stockpile transformation. Risk aversion is giving way to risk management. Innovation and adaptation have been embraced. Experience to date has yielded some important lessons about what works and what doesn’t in terms of accelerating and delivering the needed innovation and adaptation. It has revealed the enduring character of some challenges. But it has also revealed that a much more agile and effective enterprise is within the national reach—something that will pay important dividends for deterrence, assurance, strategic stability, and peace.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

5.1.6 Demo #6: NanoStitch (NAWAStitch) Multifunctional Composites Trade Validation

The overall objective of the NanoStitch Multifunctional Composites Trade Validation Demonstration project was to determine the value proposition of adding NanoStitch to rapid-cure composite systems for structures used in the expanding sector of advanced air mobility (AAM) and specifically electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The expected value proposition was stronger composite parts, with new multifunctional attributes, that are lower cost to fabricate and maintain. NanoStitch is a new composite innovation where a contiguous vertically aligned carbon nanotube (VACNT) forest is located between each ply of a laminate composite resulting in improved mechanical properties as well as other multifunctional properties such as enhanced thermal and electrical conductivity. NanoStitch was originally distributed by N12, later acquired by NAWA Technologies, now called NAWAStitch, and henceforth referred to in this document as NAWAStitch. Two significant evaluations were framed to help meet the overall objective. First, was Task 1 to evaluate the effects that adding NAWAStitch to a rapid cure material system would have on the mechanical and processing properties of the material. Second, was Task 2 to evaluate the workability of adding NAWAStitch to practical flight demonstration articles. From previous research, it was already known that the application of NAWAStitch to a composite structure can enhance the mechanical properties of that structure. However, this project will help the engineering community understand those benefits and the basic structural strength values to apply when incorporating NAWAStitch material into composite structure that utilizes a rapid-cure resin system, which is novel. Testing showed that by adding NAWAStitch to the prepreg, most material properties were improved because the VACNTs strengthened the resin to fiber interface, and the interface itself, between plies. For example compression strength improved by more than 20%, and erosion resistance by more than 50%. The UDRI team identified two flight demonstration articles through discussions with Aurora Flight Sciences (Aurora) and reviewing literature on air mobility and the eVTOL market. The demonstration articles were a thin skin honeycomb panel and a section from an eVTOL propeller blade. The manufacturing and testing trials of the demonstration articles were as follows: • NAWAStitch added no manufacturing complexity or detriment to the article physical qualities, while at the same time added multifunctional properties such as enhanced rain erosion and electrothermal de-icing besides enhanced mechanical properties • VACNTs did not increase or hurt the mechanical properties of the interface between honeycomb core materials and the thin skin face sheet • Demonstrated successful de-icing function in an eVTOL propeller meeting real-world specifications in uniformity and endurance • Multifunctional eVTOL propeller cost analysis showed a cost savings of at least 67 % for a single propeller blade with multifunctional de-icing capability and improved mechanical properties which equates to a potential savings of $10,116 per eVTOL aircraft with six three-bladed propellers Overall, the results of this project can provide additional tools for the composite industry to optimize energy efficiency through faster and stronger composite parts that are lower cost to fabricate and maintain. Additionally, the results of this effort can help US industry like NAWA America set the stage for rapid growth and establishment of a manufacturing facility in Ohio. The project has given NAWA America the basic understanding of how the addition of VACNTs to a composite structure can affect the mechanical properties and hence point them to potential commercial applications. The project has also provided Teijin Carbon US with another potential material application for their rapid cure materials that are manufactured at the Renegade facility in Miamisburg, OH.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗