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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 271 records · Page 15
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A Data-Driven Approach to Recognizing and Understanding Human Contributions to Aviation Safety

Data-driven decisions about safety management and design of safety-critical systems are limited by the available data, which influence, and are influenced by, how decision makers characterize problems and identify solutions. In the commercial aviation domain, large volumes of data are collected and analyzed on the failures and errors that result in infrequent incidents and accidents, but in the absence of data on safety-producing behaviors, safety management and system design decisions are based on a small sample of non-representative safety data. Analysis of aviation accident data suggests that human error is implicated in up to 80% of accidents, which has been used to justify future visions for aviation in which the roles of human operators are greatly diminished or eliminated in the interest of creating a safer aviation system. However, failure to fully consider the human contributions to aviation safety represents a significant and largely unrecognized risk when making policy decisions about safety management and system design. Opportunities exist to leverage the vast amount of data that have already been collected, or could be easily obtained, to increase our understanding of human contributions to safety in commercial aviation. This presentation will focus on those opportunities as well as the challenges associated with collecting and analyzing data on operators’ safety-producing behaviors.

Safety↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Data-Driven Framework for Predicting the Sorting and Screening Performance of an Integrated Biomass Feedstock Preprocessing System

The characteristics of mechanically sorted and screened lignocellulosic biomass, such as the mass contents of corn stover anatomical fractions (leaves, husks, stalks, cobs, etc.), can be used to calculate the intermediate feedstock quality attributes “yield” and “purity” that indicate the conversion efficiency of biocrude. No prior study has investigated the correlations from the characteristics of raw biomass and preprocessing unit operation parameters to those intermediate feedstock quality attributes. This work presents a data-driven framework for assessing and predicting the intermediate feedstock quality attributes in an integrated biomass feedstock preprocessing system. Our study used corn stover as a typical type of herbaceous biomass because of its abundance in the U.S. It began with data acquisition of moisture content, particle size distribution, and anatomical fractions of the materials after each unit operation in the system. The objective of this preprocessing system is to minimize husks and leaves and maximizing cobs and stalks by mechanically separating the materials into three streams via disc screen and air separator. Prototype neural network models were then developed to evaluate the feasibility of predicting process outcomes based on measurable parameters. It is found that incorporating physical constraints into these prediction models significantly enhances the accuracy of the predicted yield and purity against the ground truth data. The experimental data and model predictions indicate that decreasing throughput increases purity, while higher throughput results in lower purity. Finally, an optimization problem was introduced to search optimal combinations of feed material properties and preprocessing unit operation parameters, as the intermediate feedstock quality attributes – yield and purity, appeared to be competing factors. The study also suggests the continual need to improve the data-driven framework’s predictability by incorporating more accurate physical models to describe the dynamics in the preprocessing units such as the air separator.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Data-driven approach to Determining the Fidelity in the Hardware-in-the-loop Systems using Subspace Identification Method

One of the major questions in any Hardware-in-the-loop (HiL) simulation is to understand the fidelity of the HiL simulation itself which is most often indicated qualitatively as either high or low instead of quantifying it. Being cognizant of the level of fidelity forms the crux to assess the validity and credibility of the HiL simulation. In this work, we address this issue by developing a systematic, data-driven approach to assess the fidelity of any HiL simulation, and more specifically, the fidelity of the interface between the simulator and hardware in an HiL simulation. Applying a subspace identification method, a linear system representing the interface is obtained from the time-series data captured between the hardware and simulator in the HiL simulation. Finally, the fidelity is defined based on this linear system properties. The proposed data-driven fidelity quantification framework is illustrated on the IEEE 123 node feeder system running on HYPERSIM and interacting with virtual protection relays.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

DEEP Solar: Data DrivEn Modeling and Analytics for Enhanced System Layer ImPlementation

Realizing the SETO 2030 mission of reducing solar energy costs to 3-5 c/kWh will require innovative enabling research on effective, cost-efficient integration of local PV within distribution systems. However, the intermittent and variable nature of PVs compels operators to impose conservative hosting capacity constraints. Given the extremely high variability of (intermittent and unpredictable) solar energy generation, relaxing the capacity constraints (which are currently around 15%) and achieving 100% or greater integration of renewables will require a fundamental transformation of the power grid via the utilization of exponentially larger amounts of AMI enabled fine-grained data. To address the challenges in increasing the penetration of renewable energy based DERs, this project envisions an Enhanced System Layer (ESL) at the distribution network level that is reliable, cost-effective and scalable to millions of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs)/devices. This includes developing: 1) Transformative and highly scalable machine learning based predictive analytics tools that plug into distribution system planning and provide real-time situational awareness at the distribution level for short and long-term operational planning. The tools will be built using novel data-driven energy models of millions of active nodes with AMI, 2) Adaptive stochastic analysis and optimization algorithms for real-time grid operations, 3) Dynamic Scenario Analysis using parallel Cloudenabled implementations with < 1 minute computational cycle times.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data-driven modeling of coarse mesh turbulence for reactor transient analysis using convolutional recurrent neural networks

Advanced nuclear reactors often exhibit complex thermal-fluid phenomena during transients. To accurately capture such phenomena, a coarse-mesh three-dimensional (3-D) modeling capability is desired for modern nuclear-system code. In the coarse-mesh 3-D modeling of advanced-reactor transients that involve flow and heat transfer, accurately predicting the turbulent viscosity is a challenging task that requires an accurate and computationally efficient model to capture the unresolved fine-scale turbulence. In this work, we propose a data-driven coarse-mesh turbulence model based on local flow features for the transient analysis of thermal mixing and stratification in a sodium-cooled fast reactor. The model has a coarse mesh setup to ensure computational efficiency, while it is trained by fine-mesh computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data to ensure accuracy. A novel neural network architecture, combining a densely connected convolutional network and a long-short-term-memory network, is developed that can efficiently learn from the spatial temporal CFD transient simulation results. The neural network model was trained and optimized on a loss-of flow transient and demonstrated high accuracy in predicting the turbulent viscosity field during the whole transient. The trained model's generalization capability was also investigated on two other transients with different inlet conditions. The study demonstrates the potential of applying the proposed data-driven approach to support the coarse-mesh multi-dimensional modeling of advanced reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2017

USACM Thematic Workshop On Uncertainty Quantification And Data-Driven Modeling.

The USACM Thematic Workshop on Uncertainty Quantification and Data-Driven Modeling was held on March 23-24, 2017, in Austin, TX. The organizers of the technical program were James R. Stewart of Sandia National Laboratories and Krishna Garikipati of University of Michigan. The administrative organizer was Ruth Hengst, who serves as Program Coordinator for the USACM. The organization of this workshop was coordinated through the USACM Technical Thrust Area on Uncertainty Quantification and Probabilistic Analysis. The workshop website (http://uqpm2017.usacm.org) includes the presentation agenda as well as links to several of the presentation slides (permission to access the presentations was granted by each of those speakers, respectively). Herein, this final report contains the complete workshop program that includes the presentation agenda, the presentation abstracts, and the list of posters.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Data-Driven Passive Islanding Detection Scheme

This paper proposes a novel statistical parameters based data driven approach for passive islanding detection. The proposed scheme relies in the voltage data, measured at the point of common coupling, and is comprised of three stages. The Stage-1 quickly detects what is termed as coarse islanding, Stage-2 computes the decaying DC detector (DDCD), and 3) finally, the digital relay logic (DRL) is devised in Stage-3. The proposed scheme is tested as per the IEEE-1547, UL 1741 and IEC-62116 standards. Various tests are investigated on the modified IEEE-13 bus system, modeled in PSCAD/EMTDC, under stringent test scenarios such as power mismatch, induction motor starting effect, capacitor bank switching and various level of loads changes, considered for both single and multiple DG systems. The test results reveal that the proposed scheme can detect islanding in less than 2 cycles, and results in nearly zero non detection zone (NDZ). Also, the scheme can very well be used for single-phase microgrids too as it relies only on the single phase voltage information.

anti-islanding protection↗
DOE OSTI2018

Study of Data-Driven Mesh-Model Optimization in System Thermal-Hydraulic Simulation

Quantification of nuclear power plant safety risk requires a systematic and yet practical approach to identification of accident scenarios, assessment of their likelihood and consequences. Instrumental to this goal is risk-informed safety margin characterization (RISMC) framework, whose realization requires computationally robust and affordable methods for sufficiently accurate simulation of complex multi-dimensional physical phenomena, such as turbulent and multi-phase flow. The CFD-like correlation-based codes with 3D simulation capability (e.g., GOTHIC) ensure computational efficiency using coarse mesh size and the sub-grid phenomena in the boundary layer that can be captured by adequate constitutive correlations. However, the error sources and user effects on the selection of mesh size and models lead to unpredictable simulation error, while rich High-Fidelity (HF) data from experiments and numerical simulation using validated code or DNS are not fully explored. It would be useful to have a “smart” data-driven multi-scale framework in which the low-resolution models can be “taught” to emulate high-resolution models. The objective of this work is to develop and evaluate a physical-based data-driven mesh-model optimization approach (Optimized Mesh/Model Information System, OMIS) to estimate the simulation error and give advice on the optimized selection of coarse mesh size and Low-Fidelity (LF) models for System Thermal Hydraulic (STH) simulation to achieve accuracy comparable to that of HF models. This approach takes advantages of computational efficiency of coarse-mesh simulation and application of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached

Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global warming thresholds are reached. Although no observations are used during the training, validation, or testing, the ANNs accurately predict the timing of historical global warming from maps of historical annual temperature. The central estimate for the 1.5 °C global warming threshold is between 2033 and 2035, including a ±1σ range of 2028 to 2039 in the Intermediate (SSP2-4.5) climate forcing scenario, consistent with previous assessments. However, our data-driven approach also suggests a substantial probability of exceeding the 2 °C threshold even in the Low (SSP1-2.6) climate forcing scenario. While there are limitations to our approach, our results suggest a higher likelihood of reaching 2 °C in the Low scenario than indicated in some previous assessments—though the possibility that 2 °C could be avoided is not ruled out. Explainable AI methods reveal that the ANNs focus on particular geographic regions to predict the time until the global threshold is reached. Our framework provides a unique, data-driven approach for quantifying the signal of climate change in historical observations and for constraining the uncertainty in climate model projections. Given the substantial existing evidence of accelerating risks to natural and human systems at 1.5 °C and 2 °C, our results provide further evidence for high-impact climate change over the next three decades.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

A physics-informed operator regression framework for extracting data-driven continuum models

The application of deep learning toward discovery of data-driven models requires careful application of inductive biases to obtain a description of physics which is both accurate and robust. We present here a framework for discovering continuum models from high fidelity molecular simulation data. Our approach applies a neural network parameterization of governing physics in modal space, allowing a characterization of differential operators while providing structure which may be used to impose biases related to symmetry, isotropy, and conservation form. Here, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework for a variety of physics, including local and nonlocal diffusion processes and single and multiphase flows. For the flow physics we demonstrate this approach leads to a learned operator that generalizes to system characteristics not included in the training sets, such as variable particle sizes, densities, and concentration.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Data-Driven Load Diversity and Variability Modeling for Quasi-Static Time-Series Simulation on Distribution Feeders

This paper presents a data-driven load modeling methodology for distribution system quasi-static time-series (QSTS) simulation considering both diversity and variability characteristics of distribution loads. Based on our previous work in [1]-[2], a variability library and diversity library have been established based on the realistic high-resolution data collected from actual utility feeders. Given the load profile for the start-of-circuit load of a feeder, the loads on the feeder nodes can be modeled with both diversity and variability instead of being directly scaled from the substation load profile according to the distribution allocation factors. With diversified load models, the load-induced impact on the feeder operation characteristics, such as voltage ramp and regulator operations, can be better considered in QSTS simulation. The proposed modeling methodology has been tested on both the IEEE 123-bus feeder and an actual utility feeder model, and the simulation results have demonstrated the merits of deploying the proposed load modeling methodology.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Data-Driven Prediction of Formation Mechanisms of Lithium Ethylene Monocarbonate with an Automated Reaction Network

Interfacial reactions are notoriously difficult to characterize, and robust prediction of the chemical evolution and associated functionality of the resulting surface film is one of the grand challenges of materials chemistry. The solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI), critical to Li-ion batteries (LIBs), exemplifies such a surface film, and despite decades of work, considerable controversy remains regarding the major components of the SEI as well as their formation mechanisms. Here we use a reaction network to investigate whether lithium ethylene monocarbonate (LEMC) or lithium ethylene dicarbonate (LEDC) is the major organic component of the LIB SEI. Our data-driven, automated methodology is based on a systematic generation of relevant species using a general fragmentation/recombination procedure which provides the basis for a vast thermodynamic reaction landscape, calculated with density functional theory. The shortest pathfinding algorithms are employed to explore the reaction landscape and obtain previously proposed formation mechanisms of LEMC as well as several new reaction pathways and intermediates. For example, we identify two novel LEMC formation mechanisms: one which involves LiH generation and another that involves breaking the (CH 2 )O-C(=O)OLi bond in LEDC. Most importantly, we find that all identified paths, which are also kinetically favorable under the explored conditions, require water as a reactant. This condition severely limits the amount of LEMC that can form, as compared with LEDC, a conclusion that has direct impact on the SEI formation in Li-ion energy storage systems. Finally, the data-driven framework presented here is generally applicable to any electrochemical system and expected to improve our understanding of surface passivation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data-driven multi-element substitution of TiFe alloys for tunable thermodynamics and enhanced activation behaviour for hydrogen storage

Due to their high volumetric hydrogen storage capacity under moderate storage conditions, TiFe alloys have been widely investigated as candidates for practical solid-state hydrogen storage. Partially substituting Ti or Fe sites can improve the key characteristics of TiFe alloys, such as the first hydrogen absorption step (activation) and the equilibrium hydrogen pressure (thermodynamic properties). However, the selection of substitution elements has heavily relied on intuition and trial-and-error. Also, conventional substitution strategies have mainly focused on single-element substitution within the TiFe alloy, limiting the design space and tunability for target applications. Here, to address this limitation, we report a multi-element substitution strategy motivated by an efficient, data-driven machine learning (ML) approach combined with corroborating density functional theory (DFT) calculations. Our models successfully predict experimentally measured hydride stability in five selected alloys using only compositional descriptors. Most importantly, the multi-element substitution leads to enhanced activation properties compared to pure TiFe, achieving near room-temperature activation behaviour. This work provides a method for on-demand tuning of hydrogen storage and activation properties, which may have broad implications for data-driven discovery of energy storage materials.

Cho, YongJun [Korea Advanced Institute Science and↗
DOE OSTI2026

Solar Forecasting, Net Load Forecasting, and Data-Driven Distributed Solar Visibility Prizes (Final Technical Report)

The American-Made Solar Forecasting Prize, Net Load Forecasting Prize, and Data-Driven Distribution (3D) Solar Visibility Prize is a multimillion-dollar prize competition designed to energize U.S. solar innovation through a series of contests that accelerate the entrepreneurial process from years to months. The activities incentivized by these three prizes will support the governmentwide approach to increase American energy dominance by promoting innovation and early deployment of energy technologies, resulting in wider adoption, which is critical for secure, affordable, and reliable solar energy.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Unified architecture for data-driven metadata tagging of building automation systems

This article presents a Unified Architecture (UA) for automated point tagging of Building Automation System (BAS) data, based on a combination of data-driven approaches. Advanced energy analytics applications—including fault detection and diagnostics and supervisory control—have emerged as a significant opportunity for improving the performance of our built environment. Effective application of these analytics depends on harnessing structured data from the various building control and monitoring systems, but typical BAS implementations do not employ any standardized metadata schema. While standards such as Project Haystack and Brick Schema have been developed to address this issue, the process of structuring the data, i.e., tagging the points to apply a standard metadata schema, has, to date, been a manual process. This process is typically costly, labor-intensive, and error-prone. In this work we address this gap by proposing a UA that automates the process of point tagging by leveraging the data accessible through connection to the BAS, including time-series data and the raw point names. The UA intertwines supervised classification and unsupervised clustering techniques from machine learning and leverages both their deterministic and probabilistic outputs to inform the point tagging process. Furthermore, we extend the UA to embed additional input and output data-processing modules that are designed to address the challenges associated with the real-time deployment of this automation solution. We test the UA on two datasets for real-life buildings: (i) commercial retail buildings and (ii) office buildings from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) campus. We report the proposed methodology correctly applied 85–90% and 70–75% of the tags in each of these test scenarios, respectively for two significantly different building types used for testing UA's fully-functional prototype. The proposed UA, therefore, offers promising approach for automatically tagging BAS data as it reaches close to 90% accuracy. Further building upon this framework to algorithmically identify the equipment type and their relationships is an apt future research direction to pursue.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Physics-Based Data-Driven Approach for Modeling of Environmental Degradation in Elastomers

Abstract Elastomers are now commonly used in a number of industries, including aerospace, structure, transportation, shipbuilding, and automotive, due to their excellent workability, formability, and flexibility. During their activity, elastomers are subjected to harsh environmental conditions, which decreases their resilience. False predictions made early in their lives can have major financial and environmental implications. Elastomers’ performance and properties, such as strength, durability, and density, are influenced by chemical changes in these materials, known as degradation, which occurs over time. This process can alter the morphology of a polymer matrix as well as cause chain scission and cross-linking, resulting in different behaviors than that of the unaged material. To demonstrate the effect of thermaloxidative aging on the mechanical behavior of elastomers, several experimental and theoretical models have been proposed. In view of the large volume of experimental data available on micro-structural evolution in the course of aging, we propose a physics-based data-driven approach to overcome the shortcomings of both phenomenological and micro-mechanical models. This work presents a novel thermodynamically consistent, multiagent machine-learned model for predicting the constitutive behavior of cross-linked elastomers during environmental aging, such as thermo-oxidative and hydrolytic aging for various states of deformation. Single mechanism degradation changes the polymer matrix over time where it is causing chain scission, reduction of cross-links, and morphology change. To capture the idealized Mullins effect and permanent set due to the effect of single aging mechanisms on nonlinear mechanical responses of elastomers, we propose a data-driven model for simulating inelastic elements in a polymer matrix. By using a sequential order reduction, we were able to reduce the 3D stress-strain tensor mapping problem to a small number of super-constrained 1D mapping problems. To systematically classify such mapping problems into a few categories, an assembly of multiple replicated conditional neural network learning agents (L-agents) is used based on our recent work. Each category is represented by a different type of agent. The effect of deformation history, aging time, and aging temperature is captured by this model. The model is validated using a broad collection of data, ranging from our experimental results to data from the literature. In addition, thermodynamic consistency and frame independence are investigated. The most significant achievements of this model are its precision, simplicity, and prediction of inelasticity under various states of deformation. The model’s accuracy and simplicity make it a good option for commercial and industrial applications. Conveniently, due to the model modular nature, it can be expanded in the future to include viscoelasticity and non-isotropic formation for better precision.

Ghaderi, Aref↗
DOE OSTI2018

Data-driven Modeling of Hemodynamics and its Role on Thrombus Size and Shape in Aortic Dissections

Aortic dissection is a pathology that manifests due to microstructural defects in the aortic wall. Blood enters the damaged wall through an intimal tear, thereby creating a so-called false lumen and exposing the blood to thrombogenic intramural constituents such as collagen. The natural history of this acute vascular injury thus depends, in part, on thrombus formation, maturation, and possible healing within the false lumen. A key question is: Why do some false lumens thrombose completely while others thrombose partially or little at all? An ability to predict the location and extent of thrombus in subjects with dissection could contribute significantly to clinical decision-making, including interventional design. We develop, for the first time, a data-driven particle-continuum model for thrombus formation in a murine model of aortic dissection. In the proposed model, we simulate a final-value problem in lieu of the original initial-value problem with significantly fewer particles that may grow in size upon activation, thus representing the local concentration of blood-borne species. Numerical results confirm that geometry and local hemodynamics play significant roles in the acute progression of thrombus. Despite geometrical differences between murine and human dissections, mouse models can provide considerable insight and have gained popularity owing to their reproducibility. Our results for three classes of geometrically different false lumens show that thrombus forms and extends to a greater extent in regions with lower bulk shear rates. Dense thrombi are less likely to form in high-shear zones and in the presence of strong vortices. Here, the present data-driven study suggests that the proposed model is robust and can be employed to assess thrombus formation in human aortic dissections.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗