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At least 271 records · Page 15

Downscaling and bias-correction contribute considerable uncertainty to local climate projections in CMIP6

Abstract Efforts to diagnose the risks of a changing climate often rely on downscaled and bias-corrected climate information, making it important to understand the uncertainties and potential biases of this approach. Here, we perform a variance decomposition to partition uncertainty in global climate projections and quantify the relative importance of downscaling and bias-correction. We analyze simple climate metrics such as annual temperature and precipitation averages, as well as several indices of climate extremes. We find that downscaling and bias-correction often contribute substantial uncertainty to local decision-relevant climate outcomes, though our results are strongly heterogeneous across space, time, and climate metrics. Our results can provide guidance to impact modelers and decision-makers regarding the uncertainties associated with downscaling and bias-correction when performing local-scale analyses, as neglecting to account for these uncertainties may risk overconfidence relative to the full range of possible climate futures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improved dryland carbon flux predictions with explicit consideration of water-carbon coupling

Dryland ecosystems are dominant influences on both the trend and interannual variability of the terrestrial carbon sink. Despite their importance, dryland carbon dynamics are not well-characterized by current models. Here, we present DryFlux, an upscaled product built on a dense network of eddy covariance sites in the North American Southwest. To estimate dryland gross primary productivity, we fuse in situ fluxes with remote sensing and meteorological observations using machine learning. DryFlux explicitly accounts for intra-annual variation in water availability, and accurately predicts interannual and seasonal variability in carbon uptake. Applying DryFlux globally indicates existing products may underestimate impacts of large-scale climate patterns on the interannual variability of dryland carbon uptake. We anticipate DryFlux will be an improved benchmark for earth system models in drylands, and prompt a more sensitive accounting of water limitation on the carbon cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Considerations for the Global Commercialization of Floating Offshore Wind Energy

Floating offshore wind (FOW) has the potential to unlock access to wind resources in deep water where fixed-bottom turbines are not feasible, enabling coastal regions around the world to meet growing energy demands. Although fixed-bottom offshore wind is commercially mature, FOW, which may be needed for water deeper than 60 m, must progress in multiple ways to reach full commercial viability. In this Perspective, we examine the status of the global FOW industry's commercial development across three key areas - technical innovation, industrialization and cross-cutting value. Technical innovation has enabled FOW turbines to perform as well as fixed-bottom turbines, with the promise of future cost reductions. However, the complex architecture of FOW turbines, combining floating structures with more than 8,000 electrical and mechanical parts in wind turbines, requires industrialization efforts such as standardization and supply-chain integration to enable commercial project deployment. FOW can potentially offer unique benefits, including reduced environmental impacts and strengthened economic development in coastal regions, through substantial regional economic activity. Successful coordination across these three areas could help to position FOW as a major contributor to a competitive, reliable and resilient global energy system.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Catalyst and reactor design considerations for selective production of acids by oxidative cleavage of alkenes and unsaturated fatty acids with H 2 O 2

Oxidative cleavage of alkenes and unsaturated fatty acids with hydrogen peroxide gives an efficient and sustainable process to obtain mono- and di-acids for polymers and lubricants with fewer safety risks and less environmental impact than processes that utilize ozone or other inorganic oxidizers (e.g., permanganate, dichromate, etc.). Guided by insight into the mechanisms for competing reaction pathways (i.e., epoxidation of alkene on W–(η 2 -O 2 ) complexes vs. H 2 O 2 decomposition) and the apparent kinetics derived from kinetic experiments, here, we postulate that W-based heterogeneous catalysts can provide high performance and stable operations at low H 2 O 2 concentrations. Semi-batch reactors with continuous introduction of H 2 O 2 solutions offer the means to maintain low H 2 O 2 concentrations while providing sufficient quantities of H 2 O 2 to satisfy the reaction stoichiometry. We derived simple kinetic model equations for the epoxidation, ring-opening, oxidative cleavage, and oxidation steps and fit theses equations to batch experimental data to obtain kinetic parameters. Furthermore, this kinetic model describes the concentration profiles of reactant, oxidant, and products well as shown by agreement with experimental data. Further predictions of the optimal H 2 O 2 feed rate for semi-batch operation utilized by the proposed rate expressions and the reactor design equations suggest that low H 2 O 2 feed rate increases selectivity towards oxidative cleavage products and selective use of H 2 O 2 for oxidative cleavage pathway. Comparisons of oxidative cleavage of 4-octene in batch and semi-batch reactors show that semibatch reactors with optimized molar feed rates of H 2 O 2 increased oxidative cleavage product selectivities (76% to 99%; with an increase in butyric acid selectivity from 1% to 55%) and H 2 O 2 selectivity (3% to 30%). In addition, semibatch reaction conditions used avoid H 2 O 2 -mediated dissolution of W-atoms from the catalyst. Analysis of these findings suggest that solid oxide catalysts will be effective for continuous oxidative cleavage reactions if deployed within fixed-bed reactors that allow for distributed introduction of reactants and therefore low in situ concentrations of H 2 O 2 .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Particle signal considerations for isotope ratio analysis with single particle multi-collector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry

Particle analysis has benefitted from the advent of single particle inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (spICP-MS) due to its robustness, sensitivity, and high-throughput nature. Previous methods of spICP-MS have typically utilized quadrupole or time-of-flight mass analyzers and therefore employ electron multiplier-based detectors (such as secondary electron multipliers or microchannel plates). However, to obtain precise measurements on elemental or isotopic ratios within individual particles, multi-collector ICP-MS (MC-ICP-MS) can be used. Here, we investigate Ce isotope ratios, specifically 142 Ce/ 140 Ce, by spMC-ICP-MS using an all-Faraday cup collector array. Using 1 μm (diameter) cerium dioxide particles, integration times of the Faraday cup detectors were varied from 50–500 ms. The signal from the cerium isotopes in the particles was used to determine isotope ratios, which closely matched the expected natural isotopic abundances. Due to the signal decay response from the Faraday cups, the signal from particles lasts much longer than the expected 1–2 ms (up to 100 s of ms). To explore this effect on isotope ratio analysis, multiple ratio analysis methods were used to determine how to obtain optimal precision and accuracy. Relative differences were around 2% for methods that calculated isotope ratios from summing the total signal of an individual particle before calculating the ratio (rather than using every data point individually). It was found that summing all data points per particle, or integrating under the signal peak, yielded both accurate and precise isotope ratios within the particle population. Particles were also sampled off a solid substrate via microextraction, and isotope ratios were determined with relative differences of 0.13% to 9%. This demonstrates the ability to use spMC-ICP-MS to obtain isotope ratios on particles, with little to no relative difference in comparison to the expected ratio, even when operating Faraday detectors at fast 50 ms integration times.

Szakas, Sarah E. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (O↗

Stochastic Microgrid Scheduling With Chance‐Constrained Resilience Consideration

Traditionally, it is assumed that microgrids transition seamlessly from grid‐connected operation to islanded mode in the event of sudden main grid outages. In reality, the islanding process, especially unintentional islanding, is rarely seamless. Instead, it is subject to voltage and frequency fluctuations caused by the instantaneous disconnection of the point of common coupling (PCC) switch, variations in loads and renewable generation output and even the protection tripping of distributed energy resources (DERs). To mitigate these fluctuations and facilitate a smooth islanding process, we propose a stochastic microgrid scheduling model that incorporates chance‐constrained resilience measures. Specifically, the resilience measure is defined as the probability of successful islanding (PSI), that is, the probability that a microgrid can mitigate the generation‐demand imbalance caused by the disconnection of the PCC switch, variations in load and renewable generation and DER tripping. This measure is modelled using chance constraints. Unlike existing reliability and resilience indices, which typically neglect the possibility of microgrid/DER failure under extreme events and assume their survival while primarily focussing on reducing impact duration or magnitude, the proposed PSI‐based framework explicitly addresses microgrid and DER survival during the islanding transition. The formulated nonlinear chance constraints are approximated using a multiinterval approach and equivalently represented as a mixed‐integer linear programming (MILP) formulation. Case study results validate the proposed method, showing that the PSI estimation error is reduced to less than 8%, compared to approximately 28% with existing methods. Various sensitivity analyses on the DER tripping rate and PSI settings were performed to validate the robustness of the proposed method. In particular, the necessity of accounting for DER tripping in the PSI calculation was demonstrated.

chance constrained optimization↗

Design considerations of series type hybrid circuit breaker (S‐HCB)

Abstract The series‐type direct current (DC) hybrid circuit breaker (S‐HCB) concept was previously reported to offer better performance than solid‐state circuit breakers (SSCB) and hybrid circuit breakers (HCB). S‐HCB offers low conduction power loss like an HCB and ‐scale interruption time, which is even faster than an SSCB. It uses a pulse transformer to isolate the lower‐voltage high‐inductance power electronic circuit from the high‐voltage, low‐inductance main power loop. This paper provides analysis of the impact of the S‐HCB circuit components on the overall system performance and a scalable S‐HCB design guide for different DC system voltage and current ratings. In addition, system energy flow analysis is performed in the time domain to provide an understanding of how energy is delivered, dissipated, and released throughout the entire fault interruption process. The S‐HCB prototype was experimentally tested at 3 kV/30 A and 6 kV/150A with the results showing the interruption of the low fault current of 30 A and the high fault current of 150 A within 8 and maintaining the fault current at a near zero value for 300 to enable an arcless opening of a series mechanical switch. The key design challenges of S‐HCB at high voltage and high current ratings were discussed and possible solutions to mitigate those challenges were introduced.

Alashi, Mahmoud↗

Laser-free GHz stroboscopic transmission electron microscope: Components, system integration, and practical considerations for pump–probe measurements

In this work a 300 keV transmission electron microscope was modified to produce broadband pulsed beams that can be, in principle, between 40 MHz and 12 GHz, corresponding to temporal resolution in the nanosecond to picosecond range without an excitation laser. The key enabling technology is a pair of phase-matched modulating and de-modulating traveling wave metallic comb striplines (pulsers). An initial temporal resolution of 30 ps was achieved with a strobe frequency of 6.0 GHz. The placement of the pulsers, mounted immediately below the gun, allows for preservation of all optical configurations, otherwise available to the unmodified instrument, and therefore makes such a post-modified instrument for dual-use, i.e., both pulsed-beam mode (i.e., stroboscopic time-resolved) and conventional continuous waveform mode. In this article, we describe the elements inserted into the beam path, challenges encountered during integration with an in-service microscope, and early results from an electric-field-driven pump–probe experiment. We conclude with ideas for making this class of instruments broadly applicable for examining cyclical and repeatable phenomena.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

On the origin of ground-state vacuum-field catalysis: Equilibrium consideration

Recent experiments suggest that vibrational strong coupling (VSC) may significantly modify ground-state chemical reactions and their rates even without external pumping. The intrinsic mechanism of this “vacuum-field catalysis” remains largely unclear. Generally, modifications of thermal reactions in the ground electronic states can be caused by equilibrium or non-equilibrium effects. The former are associated with modifications of the reactant equilibrium distribution as expressed by the transition state theory of chemical reaction rates, while the latter stem from the dynamics of reaching and leaving transition state configurations. In this work, we examine how VSC can affect chemical reactions rates in a cavity environment according to transition state theory. Our approach is to examine the effect of coupling to cavity mode(s) on the potential of mean force (PMF) associated with the reaction coordinate. Within the context of classical nuclei and classical photons and also assuming no charge overlap between molecules, we find that while the PMF can be affected by the cavity environment, this effect is negligible for the usual micron-length cavities used to examine VSC situations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energy considerations regarding pulsed arc production of nanomaterials

Atmospheric arc discharge volumes have been estimated from the light distribution emitted during evaporation of graphite and molybdenum disulphide (MoS 2 ) anodes. These data have been correlated to the peak power in the case of pulsed arc discharge held at different frequencies (1, 2 and 5 Hz). The measured power density values and the corresponding specific energies per particle have been compared to DC values, and showed that pulsed arc discharges deliver electrical power more efficiently than DC arc discharges do with yet lower thermal loads. In particular, the power density of ≈1 kW/cm 3 characteristic of pulsed arcs (10-20 kW/cm 3 in DC) suffices to provide 15 eV/particle to the arc plasma (≈10 eV/particle or less in DC). Such an energy balance resulted in high ionization rates of the ablated material and production yields of carbon nanotubes around 10 11 cm -2 kWh -1 . Lastly, in situ probe experiments showed that pulsed arcs enhance the transport to substrate of the generated nanoparticles, such as graphene and MoS 2 monolayers. Pulsed anodic arcs open the possibility to generate further nanomaterials thanks to a more rational power investment and a better control of the discharge region.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Transient magnetic field diffusion considerations relevant to magnetically assisted indirect drive inertial confinement fusion

We report application of a magnetic field to an indirect drive inertial confinement fusion target requires diffusion of the field through the high-Z and electrically conducting Hohlraum. The onset of the external field generates eddy currents in the Hohlraum wall that result in (1) a reduction of the peak field at the capsule, (2) heating of the Hohlraum wall through Ohmic dissipation, and (3) wall movement due to the inward force from the eddy current interacting with the field. Heating of the wall causes an increase in blackbody radiation which can preheat the capsule and frozen deuterium–tritium fuel, while wall motion leads to potential misalignment of the lasers at the Hohlraum wall. Limiting these detrimental effects sets requirements on the tolerable magnitude of each effect. We present a nonlinear model for B-field diffusion through an infinitely long thin-walled cylinder with a temperature dependent resistivity, to show that a 15 μm thick wall of pure gold fails to meet these requirements. A new Hohlraum material made from an alloy of Au and Ta has a measured resistivity of ≥60 times that of Au and is shown with the nonlinear model to meet the requirements for magnetization. We compare the nonlinear model to simulations of the actual Hohlraum target using a finite element code which includes temperature-dependent Hohlraum resistivity.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Design considerations for gallium arsenide pulse compression photoconductive switch

In this paper, we present the physics and design-space exploration of a novel pulse compression photoconductive switch (PCPS) using semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) operating in the negative differential mobility (NDM) regime of electron transport. We systematically quantify the relationship between the PCPS performance and various design options, including contact separation, laser energy and placement, and trap dynamics. Specifically, we report the full-width at half-maximum and the peak output current generated by the PCPS as a function of applied electrical and optical bias. We discuss the optimal spacing between the electrodes and the distance of the laser spot to the anode to achieve higher electron confinement and superior radio-frequency (RF) metrics. Reducing the laser energy is important to prevent the appearance of secondary peaks due to diffusive transport, but there exists a trade-off between the bandwidth and the maximum current of the PCPS. We also compare the PCPS response with and without trap dynamics and find that the electrostatic screening from the trap-induced space charge is time-independent when the trapping time constant is set larger than the recombination lifetime. Overall, trap dynamics are detrimental to performance, unless the compensation doping scheme to achieve semi-insulating GaAs is carefully selected. Results presented in this paper can be used by experimentalists to fine-tune the PCPS design parameters to meet the specifications of various RF applications. Moreover, our results will provide a strong theoretical basis to the measurements of PCPS devices using GaAs and other NDM materials under investigation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Perspective on ferroelectricity in hafnium oxide: Mechanisms and considerations regarding its stability and performance

Ferroelectric hafnium oxides are poised to impact a wide range of microelectronic applications owing to their superior thickness scaling of ferroelectric stability and compatibility with mainstream semiconductors and fabrication processes. For broad-scale impact, long-term performance and reliability of devices using hafnia will require knowledge of the phases present and how they vary with time and use. In this Perspective article, the importance of phases present on device performance is discussed, including the extent to which specific classes of devices can tolerate phase impurities. Following, the factors and mechanisms that are known to influence phase stability, including substituents, crystallite size, oxygen point defects, electrode chemistry, biaxial stress, and electrode capping layers, are highlighted. Herein, discussions will focus on the importance of considering both neutral and charged oxygen vacancies as stabilizing agents, the limited biaxial strain imparted to a hafnia layer by adjacent electrodes, and the strong correlation of biaxial stress with resulting polarization response. Areas needing additional research, such as the necessity for a more quantitative means to distinguish the metastable tetragonal and orthorhombic phases, quantification of oxygen vacancies, and calculation of band structures, including defect energy levels for pure hafnia and stabilized with substituents, are emphasized.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Numerical design considerations for vapor transport deposition of metal-halide perovskite thin films

While metal-halide perovskites (MHPs) offer high efficiency and potential application in single junction and tandem solar cells, challenges remain in translating solution-based methods to commercial-scale production. Vapor transport deposition (VTD) offers advantages such as precise control over film composition and purity, as well as the possibility of achieving high thin film deposition rates for scale-up. In this work, a numerical model is developed to simulate the deposition process, analyzing the impact of parameters including source material temperature, carrier gas and dilution gas flow rates, and chamber pressure to optimize deposition rates and film uniformity. Geometrical parameters, such as throw distance, are also found to significantly affect rate and uniformity. Furthermore, the modeling results presented here offer valuable insight for improving the scalability of VTD for the processing of metal-halide perovskites.

Chemical vapor deposition↗