Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “confidence measures”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 271 records · Page 15

Reanalysis of the 𝛽− $\overline{v}$ 𝑒 Angular Correlation Measurement from the aSPECT Experiment with New Constraints on Fierz Interference

On the basis of revisions of some of the systematic errors, we reanalyzed the electron-antineutrino angular correlation (𝑎 coefficient) in free neutron decay inferred from the recoil energy spectrum of the protons which are detected in 4⁢𝜋 by the aSPECT spectrometer. With 𝑎=−0.104 02⁢(82), the new value differs only marginally from the one published in 2020. Here, the experiment also has sensitivity to 𝑏, the Fierz interference term. From a correlated (𝑏,𝑎) fit to the proton recoil spectrum, we derive a limit of 𝑏 =−0.0098⁢(193) which translates into a somewhat improved 90% confidence interval region of −0.041 ≤ 𝑏 ≤ 0.022 on this hypothetical term. Tighter constraints on 𝑏 can be set from a combined analysis of the PERKEO III (𝛽 asymmetry) and aSPECT measurement which suggests a finite value of 𝑏 with 𝑏 (𝑐) =−0.0181 ± 0.0065 deviating by 2.82⁢𝜎 from the standard model.

Beta decay↗

Data Set Analysis to Reduce Uncertainty in Formula Assignments of Ultrahigh Resolution Mass Spectra

Environmental samples contain a vast array of organic compounds with diverse elemental compositions and heteroatom content. Molecular formula assignments of ultrahigh resolution mass spectra (HRMS) hold promise for elucidating the molecular composition of these compounds. However, the need to account for an assortment of heteroatoms increases the uncertainty associated with individual assignments – and ultimately the ecological, biological, and biogeochemical insights gleaned from the assignments. To address this challenge, we introduce a formula assignment strategy that leverages HRMS data sets to improve assignment confidence, filter false assignments, and mitigate bias in assignment routines. The strategy, implemented using CoreMS, first identifies the highest confidence assignment for a recurring ion in a data set by assessing the mass accuracy and isotopologue similarity of all assignments to the ion across the data set. The second component of the strategy examines the consistency of mass errors for an assigned ion throughout a data set and flags formulas with statistically unlikely deviations in mass error. Here, we illustrate the application and utility of the strategy by comparing its results against documented misassignment patterns within a set of oceanographic samples that were measured with 21 T Fourier Transform Ion Cyclotron Resonance Mass Spectrometry. Because the efficacy of our strategy improves with data set size, it is particularly useful for enhancing assignment confidence in large HRMS data sets common in studies of environmental systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A dark siren measurement of the Hubble constant using gravitational wave events from the first three LIGO/Virgo observing runs and DELVE

The current and next observation seasons will detect hundreds of gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary systems coalescence at cosmological distances. When combined with independent electromagnetic measurements, the source redshift will be known, and we will be able to obtain precise measurements of the Hubble constant H_0 via the distance–redshift relation. However, most observed mergers are not expected to have electromagnetic counterparts, which prevents a direct redshift measurement. In this scenario, one possibility is to use the dark sirens method that statistically marginalizes over all the potential host galaxies within the GW location volume to provide a probabilistic source redshift. Here we presented H_0 measurements using two new dark sirens compared to previous analyses using DECam data: GW190924|$\_$|021846 and GW200202|$\_$|154313. The photometric redshifts of the possible host galaxies of these two events are acquired from the DECam Local Volume Exploration Survey (DELVE) carried out on the Blanco telescope at Cerro Tololo. The combination of the H_0 posterior from GW190924|$\_$|021846 and GW200202|$\_$|154313 together with the bright siren GW170817 leads to |$H_{0} = 68.84^{+15.51}_{-7.74}\, \rm {km\, s^{-1}\, Mpc^{-1}}$|⁠. Including these two dark sirens improves the 68 per cent confidence interval (CI) by 7 per cent over GW170817 alone. This demonstrates that the addition of well-localized dark sirens in such analysis improves the precision of cosmological measurements. Using a sample containing 10 well-localized dark sirens observed during the third LIGO/Virgo observation run, without the inclusion of GW170817, we determine a measurement of |$H_{0} = 76.00^{+17.64}_{-13.45}\, \rm {km\, s^{-1}\, Mpc^{-1}}$|⁠.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Deep-freeze graph training for latent learning

Scientific and engineering advances are primarily driven by multi-tier conceptual constructs and conditional theoretical frameworks. The theories allow predictions of hypothetical system responses, given a set of approximate conditions (ranges of applicability) imposed on latent parameters that cannot be measured directly. Learning to estimate the latent variables (Latent Learning) helps to pinpoint the anticipated range-edge anomalies and improves the confidence in interpretation, interpolation and extrapolation of limited experimental data. Due to high dimensionality and extreme non-linearity of the materials science problems, very large datasets are typically required for conventional data-driven model development. The vital experimental data collection, particularly on microstructural phases, is very challenging, which makes it difficult to compile a high-quality database. Incorporation of the domain knowledge into the computational graph structure, initialization and optimization processes presents a viable mechanism for developing accurate models, with limited datasets. Furthermore, this study successfully utilized the approach to build the Deep Freeze Graph (DeepFreG) by mapping known causality relationships and by digitizing empirical domain knowledge for Latent Learning (LL), with specific applications in materials science.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhanced Spatial Mapping of Histone Proteoforms in Human Kidney Through MALDI-MSI by High-Field UHMR-Orbitrap Detection

Core histones including H2A, H2B, H3, and H4 are key modulators of cellular repair, transcription, and replication within eukaryotic cells, playing vital roles within the pathogenesis of disease and cellular responses to environmental stimuli. Traditional mass spectrometry (MS) based bottom-up and top-down proteomics allows for the comprehensive identification of proteins and of post-translational modification (PTM) harboring proteoforms. However, these methodologies have difficulties preserving near cellular spatial distributions because they typically require laser capture microdissection (LCM) and advanced sample preparation techniques. Herein, we coupled matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization (MALDI) source with a Thermo Scientific Q-Exactive HF Orbitrap MS upgraded with ultra-high mass range (UHMR) boards for the first demonstration of complementary high-resolution accurate mass measurements of proteoforms directly from tissue using this benchtop mass spectrometer. The platform achieved isotopic resolution throughout the detected mass range, providing confident assignments of proteoforms with low ppm mass error and a vastly improved duty cycle over other Fourier transform mass analyzers. Proteoform mapping of core histones was demonstrated on sections of human kidney at near-cellular spatial resolution, with several key distributions of histone and other proteoforms noted within both healthy biopsy and a section from a renal cell carcinoma (RCC) containing nephrectomy. Further, the use of MALDI-MS imaging (MSI) for proteoform mapping demonstrates several steps towards high-throughput accurate identification of proteoforms and provides a new tool for mapping biomolecule distributions throughout tissue sections in extended mass ranges.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Fast Rossi-alpha Measurements of Plutonium Using Organic Scintillators

In this work, Rossi-alpha measurements were simultaneously performed with a 3 He-based detection system and an organic scintillator-based detection system. The assembly is 15 kg of plutonium (93 wt% 239 Pu) reflected by copper and moderated by lead. The goal of Rossi-alpha measurements is to estimate the prompt neutron decay constant, alpha. Simulations estimate $k_{eff}$ = 0:624 and α = 52:3 ± 2:5 ns for the measured assembly. The organic scintillator system estimated α = 47:4 ± 2:0 ns, having a 9.37% error (though the 1.09 standard deviation confidence intervals overlapped). The 3 He system estimated α = 37 μs. The known slowing down time of the 3 He system is 35-40 μs, which means the slowing down time dominates and obscures the prompt neutron decay constant. Subsequently, the organic scintillator system should be used for assemblies with alpha much less than 35 μs.

3He↗

Search for rare decays B + → D s ( * ) + η , D s ( * ) + K ¯ 0 , D + η , and D + K 0

We present a study of rare decay modes B + → D$^{+}_{s}$ℎ 0 , B + → D$^{*}_{s}$⁢ + ℎ 0 , and B + → D + ⁢ℎ 0 , where ℎ 0 denotes the neutral meson η or K 0 , using a data sample of (772 ±10) ×10 6 B$\overline{B}$ events produced at the Υ⁡(4⁢S) resonance. The data were collected by the Belle detector operating at the asymmetric-energy KEKB collider. We find no evidence for these decays, so we set upper limits at the 90% confidence level on the branching fractions of , , and D + ⁢ℎ 0 decay modes. Along with these rare decay modes, we report improved measurements of the color-suppressed decay branching fractions $\mathscr{B}$⁡($\overline{B}$ 0 →D 0 ⁢η) =(26.6 ±1.2 ±2.1) ×10 -5 and $\mathscr{B}$⁡($\overline{B}$) 0 →D 0 ⁢ $\overline{K}$ 0 ) =(5.6 ±0.5 ±0.2) ×10 -5 . The first and second quoted uncertainties are statistical and systematic, respectively.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Stirred-Reactor Coupon Analysis: An International Round Robin Study

The objective of this task was to determine the precision of the SRCA technique when used to determine the dilute condition corrosion rate. To this end, an interlaboratory round robin study was conducted per the instructions in ASTM Practice E691 to measure the precision with which the SRCA test method can be conducted. Twelve independent labs from eleven different institutions each evaluated four glass compositions in three different conditions. The ASTM procedures recommend at least 6 labs participate in a round robin testing the same 3 materials in the same conditions to determine precision. In this case, 12 labs each performed 12 independent tests. This was only possible thanks to the multi-glass testing capability of the SRCA test. A total of 108 duplicate pairs were used to calculate the repeatability of the tests, with the same glass tested in the same vessel, producing as identical conditions as possible for the replicates. These test results were quite tightly clustered, with a median difference from the average value of the pair of only 2.9%. Based on the calculations outlined in ASTM E177-20 and a measured standard deviation of 4.74%, the intralaboratory repeatability limit (r) was calculated to be within 13.3% of the expected value with 95% confidence level. The reproducibility limit (R) of the test was examined using all 277 data points from the round robin. Because of the differences in dissolution rates due to pH variability and intrinsically for the 12 conditions tested, the reproducibility limits for each condition and overall were calculated from the percent relative residual value for each test. The SRCA test is expected to be reproducible within 64% of the expected value with a 95% confidence level.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Galaxy Serpent V - Answers to second inject

Based on the U isotopic compositions and trace element concentrations - additional information provided in Inject 1b - we assess that the two samples are inconsistent with high confidence. Our assessment factored in the results of the graded decision framework (GDF) as well as expert knowledge of these kind of measurements.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Dependence of Narrow-line Region Sizes on [O III ] Luminosity in Low-redshift Active Galactic Nuclei with Double-peaked Broad Balmer Emission Lines

In this paper, simple but interesting results are reported on the upper limits of narrow-line region (NLR) sizes of a small sample of 38 low-redshift (z < 0.1) active galactic nuclei (AGN) with double-peaked broad emission lines (double-peaked BLAGN), in order to check whether the NLR sizes in type-1 AGN (broad line) and type-2 AGN (narrow line) obey a similar empirical dependence on [O III ] luminosity. In order to correct the inclination effects on projected NLR sizes of type-1 AGN, the accretion disk origin is commonly applied to describe the double-peaked broad Hα line, leading to the determined inclination angles of central disk-like broad-line regions of 38 double-peaked BLAGN. Then, considering the fixed Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) fiber radius, the upper limits of the NLR sizes of the 38 double-peaked BLAGN can be estimated. Meanwhile, a strong linear correlation between continuum luminosity and [O III ] luminosity is applied to confirm that the [O III ] emissions of the 38 double-peaked BLAGN are totally covered in the SDSS fibers. Considering the reddening-corrected measured [O III ] luminosity, the upper limits of the NLR sizes of the 38 double-peaked BLAGN are within a 99.9999% confidence interval of the expected results from the empirical relation between NLR size and [O III ] luminosity in type-2 AGN. In the current understanding, there are no challenges to the unified model of AGN through the space properties of NLRs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Measurement of the Cosmic Microwave Background Polarization Lensing Power Spectrum from Two Years of POLARBEAR Data

Here, we present a measurement of the gravitational lensing deflection power spectrum reconstructed with two seasons of cosmic microwave background polarization data from the Polarbear experiment. Observations were taken at 150 GHz from 2012 to 2014 and surveyed three patches of sky totaling 30 square degrees. We test the consistency of the lensing spectrum with a cold dark matter cosmology and reject the no-lensing hypothesis at a confidence of 10.9σ, including statistical and systematic uncertainties. We observe a value of A L = 1.33 ± 0.32 (statistical) ±0.02 (systematic) ±0.07 (foreground) using all polarization lensing estimators, which corresponds to a 24% accurate measurement of the lensing amplitude. Compared to the analysis of the first-year data, we have improved the breadth of both the suite of null tests and the error terms included in the estimation of systematic contamination.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Measurement of Triple-Differential Inclusive Muon Neutrino Charged-Current Cross Sections on Argon with the MicroBooNE Detector

We report the first measurement of the differential cross section $d^2σ(E_ν)/dcos(θ_µ)dP_µ$for inclusive muon neutrino charged-current scattering on argon. This measurement utilizes data from6.5×10 20 protons on target of exposure collected using the MicroBooNE liquid argon time projection chamber located on-axis in the Fermilab Booster Neutrino Beam with a mean neutrino energy of approximately 0.8 GeV. In this note, the mapping from reconstructed kinematics to truth quantities, particularly from reconstructed to true neutrino energy, is validated by comparing the distribution of reconstructed hadronic energy in data to that of the model prediction in different muon scattering angle bins after conditional constraint from the muon momentum distribution in data. The success of this validation gives confidence that the missing energy in the MicroBooNE detector is well-modeled within its uncertainties in simulation, enabling the unfolding to an energy-dependent triple-differential measurement over muon momentum, muon scattering angle, and neutrino energy. The unfolded measurement covers an extensive phase space, providing a wealth of information useful for future LArTPC experiments measuring neutrino oscillations. Comparisons with model predictions show the best agreement with Neut 5.4.0.1 at low energy, and with NuWro 19.02.01 at higher energies, particularly at forward muon scattering angles.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Estimating the Adequacy of a Multi-Objective Optimization

Multi-objective optimization methods can be criticized for lacking a statistically valid measure of the quality and representativeness of a solution. This stance is especially relevant to metaheuristic optimization approaches but can also apply to other methods that typically might only report a small representative subset of a Pareto frontier. Here we present a method to address this deficiency based on random sampling of a solution space to determine, with a specified level of confidence, the fraction of the solution space that is surpassed by an optimization. The Superiority of Multi-Objective Optimization to Random Sampling, or SMORS method, can evaluate quality and representativeness using dominance or other measures, e.g., a spacing measure for high-dimensional spaces. SMORS has been tested in a combinatorial optimization context using a genetic algorithm but could be useful for other optimization methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Single-Cell Metabolomics with Rapid Determination of Chemical Formulas from Isotopic Fine Structures

Metabolomic measurements can provide functional readouts of cellular states and phenotypes. Here, we present a protocol for single-cell metabolomics that permits direct untargeted detection of a broad number of metabolites under ambient conditions, without the need for sample processing, and with high confidence in the discovery and identification of the molecular formulas for detected metabolites. This protocol describes combining fiber-based laser ablation electrospray ionization (f-LAESI) with a 21 Tesla Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometer (21T-FTICR-MS) to obtain high confidence molecular formula information about detected metabolites. The f-LAESI source utilizes mid-infrared laser ablation through a sharp optical fiber tip, affording direct ambient analysis of cells without the need for sample processing. Using the 21T-FTICR-MS as a mass analyzer enabled measurement of the isotopic fine structure (IFS) for numerous metabolites simultaneously from single cells, and the IFSs were in turn computationally processed to rapidly determine the corresponding elemental compositions. This metabolomics technique complements other single cell omics measurement methods, helping to resolve complex molecular interactions that take place within cells unattainable from single cell transcriptomic and proteomics methods.

mass spectrometry, FTICR, FTMS, ultrahigh mass res↗

Excitation energy dependence of prompt fission γ-ray emission from 241 Pu*

Prompt fission γ rays (PFGs) resulting from the 240 Pu(d,pf) reaction have been measured as a function of fissioning nucleus excitation energy E x at the Oslo Cyclotron Laboratory. We study the average total PFG multiplicity per fission, the average total PFG energy released per fission, and the average PFG energy. No significant changes in these characteristics are observed over the range 5.75 < E x < 8.25 MeV. The physical implications of this result are discussed. The experimental results are compared to simulations conducted using the computational fission model FREYA. We find that FREYA reproduces the experimental PFG characteristics within 8% deviation across the E x range studied. Furthermore, previous excitation energy-dependent PFG measurements conducted below the second-chance fission threshold have large uncertainties, but are generally in agreement with our results within a 2σ confidence interval. However, both a published parametrization of the PFG energy dependence and the most recent PFG evaluation included in ENDF/B-VIII.0 were found to poorly describe the PFG excitation-energy dependence observed in this and previous experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Hardware In the Loop for Demand Flexibility (HIL4DF) v1.0

The software package in question is a collection of simulation models in the Modelica language, representing a variety of mechanical system designs and envelope conditions related to LBL's FLEXLAB facility. The collection of models also features multiple controls sequences that can be simulated with the FLEXLAB model to simulate different demand flexibility scenarios. Additionally, this package will feature datasets from 3 experimental tests, used for calibration, validation and comparison against the Modelica models, this includes weather data that can be used to replicate different scenarios in simulation across the same weather conditions experienced in real experiments. Given FLEXLAB high level of instrumentation and available data, the models are calibrated across multiple measurement points, and thus results from the extension of this model to other climate zones or control sequences, would provide high level of confidence.

Huang, Weiping↗

An initial investigation of accuracy required for the identification of small molecules in complex samples using quantum chemical calculated NMR chemical shifts

The majority of primary and secondary metabolites in nature have yet to be identified, representing a major challenge for metabolomics studies that currently require reference libraries from analyses of authentic compounds. Using currently available analytical methods, complete chemical characterization of metabolomes is infeasible for both technical and economic reasons. For example, unambiguous identification of metabolites is limited by the availability of authentic chemical standards, which, for the majority of molecules, do not exist. Computationally predicted or calculated data are a viable solution to expand the currently limited metabolite reference libraries, if such methods are shown to be sufficiently accurate. For example, determining nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy spectra in silico has shown promise in the identification and delineation of metabolite structures. Many researchers have been taking advantage of density functional theory (DFT), a computationally inexpensive yet reputable method for the prediction of carbon and proton NMR spectra of metabolites. However, such methods are expected to have some error in predicted 13 >C and 1 H NMR spectra with respect to experimentally measured values. This leads us to the question–what accuracy is required in predicted 13 C and 1 H NMR chemical shifts for confident metabolite identification? Using the set of 11,716 small molecules found in the Human Metabolome Database (HMDB), we simulated both experimental and theoretical NMR chemical shift databases. We investigated the level of accuracy required for identification of metabolites in simulated pure and impure samples by matching predicted chemical shifts to experimental data. We found 90% or more of molecules in simulated pure samples can be successfully identified when errors of 1 H and 13 C chemical shifts in water are below 0.6 and 7.1 ppm, respectively, and below 0.5 and 4.6 ppm in chloroform solvation, respectively. In simulated complex mixtures, as the complexity of the mixture increased, greater accuracy of the calculated chemical shifts was required, as expected. However, if the number of molecules in the mixture is known, e.g., when NMR is combined with MS and sample complexity is low, the likelihood of confident molecular identification increased by 90%.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sensitivity Studies, Gap Analysis, and Benchmark Experiment Optimization for Reactor Physics and Criticality Safety Applications

Many new reactor designs, such as advanced reactors and micro reactors, have materials that lack nuclear data validation. This is also true for many other applications in criticality safety and global security. Both differential and integral experiments are needed to validate cross-section data. Without this, a user cannot have confidence in the predicted results of a radiation-transport code. This work describes an approach called ARCHIMEDES (Application Relevant Critical/Subcritical HEU/Pu-based Integral Measurements for Enhancing Data and Evaluating Sensitivities) to design new criticality experiments that have similar k eff cross-section sensitivities to an application of interest. This process involves simulations to generate cross-section sensitivities to a parameter of interest (such as k eff ), a gap analysis to determine which existing benchmarks are most similar to the application, and an experiment optimization. Recently, there has been a great deal of interest in the reactor physics community on advanced reactors, micro reactors, and accelerator driven systems (ADS). This work will apply the described method to specific examples in this area. The focus of this work will be on the sensitivity study and gap analysis, while future work will include experiment design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗