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At least 271 records · Page 15

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 16, No. 2, March-April 1975]

Nuclear Safety covers significant developments in the field of nuclear safety. The scope is limited to topics relevant to the analysis and control of hazards associated with nuclear energy, operations involving fissionable materials, and the products of nuclear fission and their effects on the environment. Primary emphasis is on safety in reactor design, construction, and operation; however, safety considerations in regard to the entire fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing, nuclear waste disposal, handling of radioisotopes, and environmental effects of these operations, are also treated. Table of Contents for this issue follows. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 127 Quality Assurance in the Construction of Nuclear Power Plants by Sidney A. Bernsen, 141 1974 ANS Topical Meeting on Fast Reactor Safety by M. H. Fontana; CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 150 GBR-4 Protection Systems: Failures and Their Consequences by Peter Burgsmüller, J. J. Dekais, Albert Krähe, Raffaello Pignatelli, and Gottfried Vieider, 162 Standby Emergency Power Systems. Part 2—The Later Plants by E. W. Hagen; PLANT SAFETY FEATURES: 180 Radiotoxic Hazard Measure for Buried Solid Radioactive Waste by J. Hamstra, 190 The Thirteenth AEC Air-Cleaning Conference by D. W. Moeller, D. W. Underhill, and M. W. First, 203 Book Review: Nuclear Criticality Safety; CONSEQUENCES OF EFFLUENT RELEASE: 204 Environmental Radiation Effects of Nuclear Facilities in New York State by M. S. Terpilak and B. L. Jorgensen, 222 Book Review: Thermal Ecology; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 223 Set-Point Drift in Nuclear Power-Plant Safety-Related Instrumentation Adapted by the Nuclear Safety Staff, 224 Diesel-Generator Operating Experience at Nuclear Power Plants, 227 Summary of Operating U. S. Power Reactors as of Jan. 1, 1975, 232 Selected Safety-Related Occurrences Reported in November and December 1974 Compiled by William R. Casto, 235 Recent Occurrences at Nuclear Reactors and Their Causes Compiled by William R. Casto; CURRENT EVENTS: 243 General Administrative Activities Compiled by Wm. B. Cottrell, 251 Action on Power-Reactor Projects Undergoing Regulatory Review or Consideration Compiled by Wm. B. Cottrell, 266 Action on Nonreactor Projects Undergoing Regulatory Review or Consideration Compiled by Wm. B Cottrell, 268 Proposed Rule Changes as of Jan. 1, 1975; MISCELLANY: 149 Course in Italy on High-Energy Radiation Dosimetry and Protection (Announcement), 250 Course at Northwestern on Safety of Light-Water-Cooled Nuclear Power Plants (Announcement), 266 Symposium of the Combined Effects on the Environment of Radioactive, Chemical, and Thermal Releases from the Nuclear Industry (Announcement), 271 Short Course on Engineering for Extreme Winds and Tornadoes (Announcement), 272 Three 1-Week Courses at MIT on Nuclear Power-Reactor Safety (Announcement), 272 Harvard University Short Courses (Announcement).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Machine learning prediction of electron density and temperature from He I line ratios

We propose to utilize machine learning to predict the electron density, ne, and temperature, T e , from He I line intensity ratios. In this approach, training data consist of measured He I line ratios as input and ne and T e measured using other diagnostic(s) as desired output, which is a Langmuir probe in our study. Support vector machine regression analysis is, then, performed with the training data to develop a predictive model for n e and T e , separately. It is confirmed that n e and T e predicted using the developed models agree well with those from the Langmuir probe in the ranges of 0.28 × 10 18 ≤ n e (m -3 ) ≤ 3.8 × 10 18 and 3.2 ≤ T e (eV) ≤ 7.5. The developed models are, further, examined with an evaluation data, which are not included in the training data, and are found to well reproduce absolute values and radial profiles of probe-measured n e and T e .

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Tiny Bubbles: Combined HR(S)TEM and 4D-STEM Analysis of Sub-Nanometer He Bubbles in Au

Irradiation produces a distribution of defect sizes in materials, with the smallest defects often below one nanometer in size and approaching the scale of a single unit cell in metals. While high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM)-based imaging can directly image structures at this level, techniques such as four-dimensional STEM (4D-STEM) enable characterization of materials across large fields of view, capturing a more representative volume that can be valuable for quantifying defects, their distributions, and the associated strain fields. Here we present a combined HRSTEM and 4D-STEM approach to study the model system of He bubble implantation in an Au thin film. The present work is of general interest for the study of materials in extreme environments, as it demonstrates an effective way to characterize even the tiniest sub-nanometer sized He bubbles in addition to larger irradiation defects.

atomic-resolution STEM↗

BEYONDPLANCK III. Commander3

We describe the computational infrastructure for end-to-end Bayesian cosmic microwave background (CMB) analysis implemented by the BeyondPlanck Collaboration. The code is called Commander3. It provides a statistically consistent framework for global analysis of CMB and microwave observations and may be useful for a wide range of legacy, current, and future experiments. The paper has three main goals. Firstly, we provide a high-level overview of the existing code base, aiming to guide readers who wish to extend and adapt the code according to their own needs or re-implement it from scratch in a different programming language. Secondly, we discuss some critical computational challenges that arise within any global CMB analysis framework, for instance in-memory compression of time-ordered data, fast Fourier transform optimization, and parallelization and load-balancing. Thirdly, we quantify the CPU and RAM requirements for the current BEYONDPLANCK analysis, finding that a total of 1.5 TB of RAM is required for efficient analysis and that the total cost of a full Gibbs sample for LFI is 170 CPU-hrs, including both low-level processing and high-level component separation, which is well within the capabilities of current low-cost computing facilities. The existing code base is made publicly available under a GNU General Public Library (GPL) license.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Combined Effort to De-Inventory the New Brunswick Laboratory of Plutonium Certified Reference Materials - 20504

To de-inventory plutonium Certified Reference Materials standards (CRMs) from the New Brunswick National Laboratory (NBL), the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) and Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) formed a unique team. This teaming arrangement leveraged the different capabilities and expertise of both laboratories, helping to ensure the effort would be performed both safely and cost-effectively. With the NBL then physically housed on the ANL site, ANL served as the host-site, providing the necessary facilities and support services (e.g., supplying everything from hoods, loading equipment, and scales to Health Physics supports). From a packaging perspective, ANL's responsibilities focused mainly on characterizing and preparing the contents for shipment, followed by performing the Shipper of Record activities. With SRNL being the Package Design Authority of the 9978, the Type B packaging used for this effort, SRNL's scope included developing a Safety Analysis Report in Packaging (SARP) Letter Amendment to add the CRMs as authorized contents to the 9978. Recognizing competency, ANL prodigiously tasked SRNL to perform the actual loading of the CRMs into the 9978s, while physically on the ANL site. This paper details five different aspects of this effort. They are: 1. Characterization/validation of the CRM contents. 2. Development of the 9978 SARP Letter Amendment for the content change. 3. Development of the nitrogen inerting method to address SARP identified potential flammability concerns. 4. Renewal of the SRNL 9978 loading procedure. 5. Performance of the actual work execution activities. In 2017, the first nine packages were successfully loaded and shipped from NBL, while in 2019, the last ten were successfully loaded and planned for shipment. Without ANL leveraging SRNL's strengths, the de-inventorying of NBL of its plutonium CRMs would have likely taken many years longer. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Downselection of Cladding Materials for Zirconium Hydride Moderator

This report complete Milestone M3.1.1 — “Cladding downselection: Team will report to ARPA-E on at least two down-selected cladding options—one metallic and one ceramic.” In this milestone, we systematically assess FeCrAl alloys and SiC-based cladding options for a zirconium hydride (ZrHx) moderator in terms of their neutronics, radiation stability, hydrogen permeability, chemical compatibility, and fabricability. The analysis shows that FeCrAl alloys are excellent candidate cladding materials for a ZrHx moderator given their proven radiation stability, acceptable compatibility with ZrHx, and industrially established fabricability. The relative high hydrogen permeability is manageable by introducing a thin layer of an Al 2 O 3 hydrogen permeation barrier on the external surface. The SiC-cladded ZrHx moderator is promising because of its outstanding neutronics performance, excellent radiation stability, and extremely low intrinsic hydrogen permeability. However, potential interactions of SiC and Zr and the challenge in achieving a hermetic SiC-based cladding require further investigation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Methods for a blind analysis of isobar data collected by the STAR collaboration

In 2018, the STAR collaboration collected data from $_{44}^{96}{\mathrm{Ru}}+_{44}^{96}{\mathrm{Ru}}$ and $_{40}^{96}{\mathrm{Zr}}+_{40}^{96}{\mathrm{Zr}}$ at $\sqrt{s_\text {NN}}=200$ GeV to search for the presence of the chiral magnetic effect in collisions of nuclei. The isobar collision species alternated frequently between $_{44}^{96}{\mathrm{Ru}}+_{44}^{96}{\mathrm{Ru}}$ and $_{40}^{96}{\mathrm{Zr}}+_{40}^{96}{\mathrm{Zr}}$ . In order to conduct blind analyses of studies related to the chiral magnetic effect in these isobar data, STAR developed a three-step blind analysis procedure. Analysts are initially provided a “reference sample” of data, comprised of a mix of events from the two species, the order of which respects time-dependent changes in run conditions. After tuning analysis codes and performing time-dependent quality assurance on the reference sample, analysts are provided a species-blind sample suitable for calculating efficiencies and corrections for individual $\approx 30$-min data-taking runs. For this sample, species-specific information is disguised, but individual output files contain data from a single isobar species. Only run-by-run corrections and code alteration subsequent to these corrections are allowed at this stage. Following these modifications, the “frozen” code is passed over the fully un-blind data, completing the blind analysis. As a check of the feasibility of the blind analysis procedure, analysts completed a “mock data challenge,” analyzing data from Au + Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_\text {NN}}=27$ GeV, collected in 2018. The Au + Au data were prepared in the same manner intended for the isobar blind data. Finally, the details of the blind analysis procedure and results from the mock data challenge are presented.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Modeling betatron radiation using particle-in-cell codes for plasma wakefield accelerator diagnostics

The analysis of plasma wakefield acceleration experimental measurements, particularly in the characterization of photons emitted through the betatron radiation mechanism, requires the development of accurate numerical models. These computational models are crucial for supporting modern instrumentation designed to measure the single-shot, double-differential angular-energy radiation spectra resulting from interactions between beams and plasmas. Motivated by the needs of such applications, this paper presents detailed numerical models of betatron radiation generated in beam-plasma acceleration experiments. These models are based on the integration of the Liénard-Wiechert (LW) potentials, applied to computed particle trajectories. The particle trajectories are generated using three distinct methods: first, by tracking particles through idealized fields in the blowout regime of PWFA; second, by obtaining trajectories using the fast quasistatic particle-in-cell (PIC) code quickpic; and third, obtaining trajectories from the fully self-consistent PIC code osiris. To ensure the accuracy and reliability of these models, the paper includes various benchmark tests using analytical expressions, as well as employing the PIC code epoch, which takes an alternative approach by using a Monte Carlo quantum electrodynamics (QED)-based radiation model. Additionally, the paper presents simulations of the expected experimental betatron radiation spectra, taking into account parameters relevant to PWFA and plasma photocathode experiments at the SLAC FACET-II facility.

Yadav, M. [University of California, Los Angeles, ↗

Achieving record hot spot energies with large HDC implosions on NIF in HYBRID-E

HYBRID-E is an inertial confinement fusion implosion design that increases energy coupled to the hot spot by increasing the capsule scale in cylindrical hohlraums while operating within the current experimental limits of the National Ignition Facility. HYBRID-E reduces the hohlraum scale at a fixed capsule size compared to previous HYBRID designs, thereby increasing the hohlraum efficiency and energy coupled to the capsule, and uses the cross-beam energy transfer (CBET) to control the implosion symmetry by operating the inner (23° and 30°) and outer (44° and 50°) laser beams at different wavelengths (Δλ> 0). Small case to capsule ratio designs can suffer from insufficient drive at the waist of the hohlraum. We show that only a small amount of wavelength separation between the inner and outer beams (Δλ1-2 Å) is required to control the symmetry in low-gas-filled hohlraums (0.3 mg/cm3 He) with enough drive at the waist of the hohlraum to symmetrically drive capsules 1180 μm in outer radius. This campaign is the first to use the CBET to control the symmetry in 0.3 mg/cm3 He-filled hohlraums, the lowest gas fill density yet fielded with Δλ> 0. We find a stronger sensitivity of hot spot P2 in μm per Angstrom (40–50 μm/Å wavelength separation) than observed in high-gas-filled hohlraums and previous longer pulse designs that used a hohlraum gas fill density of 0.6 mg/cm3. There is currently no indication of transfer roll-off with increasing Δλ, indicating that even longer pulses or larger capsules could be driven using the CBET in cylindrical hohlraums. We show that the radiation flux symmetry is well controlled during the foot of the pulse, and that the entire implosion can be tuned symmetrically in the presence of the CBET in this system, with low levels of laser backscatter out of the hohlraum and low levels of hot electron production from intense laser–plasma interactions. Radiation hydrodynamic simulations can accurately represent the early shock symmetry and be used as a design tool, but cannot predict the late-time radiation flux symmetry during the peak of the pulse, and semi-empirical models are used to design the experiments. Deuterium–tritium (DT)-layered tests of 1100 μm inner radius implosions showed performance close to expectations from simulations at velocities up to ~360 km/s, and record yields at this velocity, when increasing the DT fuel layer thickness to mitigate hydrodynamic mixing of the ablator into the hot spot as a result of defects in the ablator. However, when the implosion velocity was increased, mixing due to these defects impacted performance. The ratio of measured to simulated yield for these experiments was directly correlated with the level of observed mixing. These simulations suggest that reducing the mixing, e.g., by improving the capsule defects, could result in higher performance. In addition, future experiments are planned to reduce the coast time at this scale, delay between the peak compression and the end of the laser, to increase the hot spot convergence and pressure. To reduce the coast time by several hundred ps compared to the 1100 μm inner radius implosions, HYBRID-E has also fielded 1050 μm inner radius capsules, which resulted in higher hot spot pressure and a fusion energy yield of ~170 kJ.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Microstructure analysis of laser beam weldments performed on neutron-irradiated 304L steel containing 3 and 8 appm helium

We report that AISI 304 L austenitic stainless steel is one of the major structural materials used in light water reactors (LWRs). In the future, 304 L components may require repair, and several welding techniques have been proposed as candidates. In this study, laser beam welding using the low-energy contribution approach was performed in ~2016 on neutron-irradiated AISI 304 L steel with nominal values of 3 and 8 appm helium (He). The goal was to investigate the impact of helium on the irradiated material weldability and evaluate helium-associated damage. The weld and heat-affected zone (HAZ) microstructure was studied using scanning electron microscopy, electron backscatter diffraction, and transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Analysis of the weldment cross-sections did not reveal severe cracking. Still, evidence of incipient helium-associated damage was observed in the HAZ, manifesting as degraded grain boundaries (GBs) “decorated” by pore chains and mostly small (i.e., ≤ 25-30 µm) scattered cracks. The largest observed crack was ~50 µm in length. Helium-associated damage was localized within ~200-300 µm of the weld pool boundary, and the fraction of the compromised GBs, as a rule, was below ~9-11% of the total GB network. TEM analysis showed significant annealing of the radiation-induced defects at distances up to ~300 µm from the weld pool boundary. Inside the HAZ, the cavities (likely, helium bubbles) tended to form at GBs and inclusions, such as manganese sulfide precipitates in the grain interior. Crystallography analysis of the HAZ damage showed that random high-angle boundaries were most susceptible to helium-associated damage. In contrast, low-angle random boundaries and twin boundaries appeared to be strongly resistant to degradation from the combined effects of helium and welding.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Planck 2018 results: III. High frequency instrument data processing and frequency maps

This paper presents the High Frequency Instrument (HFI) data processing procedures for the Planck 2018 release. Major improvements in mapmaking have been achieved since the previous Planck 2015 release, many of which were used and described already in an intermediate paper dedicated to the Planck polarized data at low multipoles. These improvements enabled the first significant measurement of the reionization optical depth parameter using Planck-HFI data. This paper presents an extensive analysis of systematic effects, including the use of end-to-end simulations to facilitate their removal and characterize the residuals. The polarized data, which presented a number of known problems in the 2015 Planck release, are very significantly improved, especially the leakage from intensity to polarization. Calibration, based on the cosmic microwave background (CMB) dipole, is now extremely accurate and in the frequency range 100-353 GHz reduces intensity-to-polarization leakage caused by calibration mismatch. The Solar dipole direction has been determined in the three lowest HFI frequency channels to within one arc minute, and its amplitude has an absolute uncertainty smaller than 0.35 μK, an accuracy of order 10 -4 . This is a major legacy from the Planck HFI for future CMB experiments. The removal of bandpass leakage has been improved for the main high-frequency foregrounds by extracting the bandpass-mismatch coefficients for each detector as part of the mapmaking process; these values in turn improve the intensity maps. This is a major change in the philosophy of "frequency maps", which are now computed from single detector data, all adjusted to the same average bandpass response for the main foregrounds. End-to-end simulations have been shown to reproduce very well the relative gain calibration of detectors, as well as drifts within a frequency induced by the residuals of the main systematic effect (analogue-to-digital convertor non-linearity residuals). Using these simulations, we have been able to measure and correct the small frequency calibration bias induced by this systematic effect at the 10 -4 level. There is no detectable sign of a residual calibration bias between the first and second acoustic peaks in the CMB channels, at the 10 -3 level.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Radiation‐Induced Defects in Uranyl Trinitrate Solids

Abstract Actinides are inherently radioactive; thus, ionizing radiation is emitted by these elements can have profound effects on its surrounding chemical environment through the formation of free radical species. While previous work has noted that the presence of free radicals in the system impacts the redox state of the actinides, there is little atomistic understanding of how these metal cations interact with free radicals. Herein, we explore the effects of radiation (UV and γ) on three U(VI) trinitrate complexes, M[UO 2 (NO 3 ) 3 ] (where M=K + , Rb + , Cs + ), and their respective nitrate salts in the solid state via electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) and Raman spectroscopy paired with Density Functional Theory (DFT) methods. We find that the alkali salts form nitrate radicals under UV and γ irradiation, but also note the presence of additional degradation products. M[UO 2 (NO 3 ) 3 ] solids also form nitrate radicals and additional DFT calculations indicate the species corresponds to a change from the bidentate bound nitrate anion into a monodentate NO 3 • radical. Computational studies also highlight the need to include the second sphere coordination environment around the [UO 2 (NO 3 ) 3 ] 0,1 species to gain agreement between the experimental and predicted EPR signatures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

ProZES: the methodology and software tool for assessment of assigned share of radiation in probability of cancer occurrence

ProZES is a software tool for estimating the probability that a given cancer was caused by preceding exposure to ionising radiation. ProZES calculates this probability, the assigned share, for solid cancers and hematopoietic malignant diseases, in cases of exposures to low-LET radiation, and for lung cancer in cases of exposure to radon. User-specified inputs include birth year, sex, type of diagnosed cancer, age at diagnosis, radiation exposure history and characteristics, and smoking behaviour for lung cancer. Cancer risk models are an essential part of ProZES. Linking disease and exposure to radiation involves several methodological aspects, and assessment of uncertainties received particular attention. ProZES systematically uses the principle of multi-model inference. Models of radiation risk were either newly developed or critically re-evaluated for ProZES, including dedicated models for frequent types of cancer and, for less common diseases, models for groups of functionally similar cancer sites. The low-LET models originate mostly from the study of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Risks predicted by these models are adjusted to be applicable to the population of Germany and to different time periods. Adjustment factors for low dose rates and for a reduced risk during the minimum latency time between exposure and cancer are also applied. The development of the methodology and software was initiated and supported by the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU) taking up advice by the German Commission on Radiological Protection (SSK, Strahlenschutzkommission). These provide the scientific basis to support decision making on compensation claims regarding malignancies following occupational exposure to radiation in Germany.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Carbonation of model cement pastes: The mineralogical origin of microstructural changes and shrinkage

This study explored the reactive processes of atmospheric carbonation and the consequences with respect to cementitious materials. Two model pastes were used: hydrated C{sub 3}S (including C-S-H and portlandite) and a paste prepared by hydrating a blend of C{sub 3}S and nanosilica (including C-S-H only). The two pastes were carbonated under accelerated conditions in the laboratory. The resulting mineralogical assemblage was examined using X-ray diffraction, thermogravimetric analysis and nuclear magnetic resonance. The microstructural changes were studied by X-ray tomography and porosimetry, and their macroscopic impacts were evaluated through gas diffusion and shrinkage measurements. The use of model pastes allowed for the evaluation of the change in solid volume induced by the carbonation of C-S-H. C-S-H decalcification and subsequent silica chain polymerisation were found responsible for carbonation shrinkage (and potentially cracking). Finally, the results highlight the protective role of portlandite: portlandite helped in limiting C-S-H decalcification and then reducing carbonation shrinkage and cracking.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CMIP5 Climate Models Overestimate Cooling by Volcanic Aerosols

We compare projections of the observed hemispherical mean surface temperature (HadCRUT4.6.0.0) and the ensemble mean of CMIP5 climate models' simulations on a set of standard regression model forcing variables. We find that the volcanic aerosol regression coefficients of the CMIP5 simulations are consistently significantly larger (by 40–49%) than the volcanic aerosol coefficients of the observed temperature. The probability that the observed differences are caused just by chance is much less than 0.01. The overestimate is due to the climate models' response to volcanic aerosol radiative forcing. The largest overestimate occurs in the winter season of each hemisphere. We hypothesize that the models' parameterization of aerosol-cloud interactions within ice and mixed phase clouds is a likely source of this discrepancy. Furthermore, the models significantly underestimate the effect of solar variability on temperature for both hemispheres.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improving Convection Trigger Functions in Deep Convective Parameterization Schemes Using Machine Learning

Abstract Deficiencies in convection trigger functions, used in deep convection parameterizations in General Circulation Models (GCMs), have critical impacts on climate simulations. A novel convection trigger function is developed using the machine learning (ML) classification model XGBoost. The large‐scale environmental information associated with convective events is obtained from the long‐term constrained variational analysis forcing data from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program at its Southern Great Plains (SGP) and Manaus (MAO) sites representing, respectively, continental mid‐latitude and tropical convection. The ML trigger is separately trained and evaluated per site, and jointly trained and evaluated at both sites as a unified trigger. The performance of the ML trigger is compared with four convective trigger functions commonly used in GCMs: dilute convective available potential energy (CAPE), undilute CAPE, dilute dynamic CAPE (dCAPE), and undilute dCAPE. The ML trigger substantially outperforms the four CAPE‐based triggers in terms of the F 1 score metric, widely used to estimate the performance of ML methods. The site‐specific ML trigger functions can achieve, respectively, 91% and 93% F 1 scores at SGP and MAO. The unified trigger also has a 91% F 1 score, with virtually no degradation from the site‐specific training, suggesting the potential of a global ML trigger function. The ML trigger alleviates a GCM deficiency regarding the overprediction of convection occurrence, offering a promising improvement to the simulation of the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Furthermore, to overcome the black box issue of the ML methods, insights derived from the ML model are discussed, which may be leveraged to improve traditional CAPE‐based triggers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

On the Role of Macrophysics and Microphysics in Km-Scale Simulations of Mixed-Phase Clouds During Cold Air Outbreaks

Regional atmospheric models struggle to maintain supercooled liquid in mixed-phase clouds during polar cold-air outbreaks (CAOs). Previous studies focused on the parameterization of aerosol, microphysics and turbulence to understand the origin of this widespread model bias. This study investigates the role of sub-grid cloud fraction parameterizations (CFP) in the simulation of mixed-phase cloud. Km-scale simulations are performed for a large number of CAO cases over Norway, for which continuous ground observations were collected at one site over 6 months. We use a novel analysis that attributes the cloud-radiative errors to deficiencies in specific cloud regimes. We show that the CFP matters for cloud-radiative effects in CAOs, but that it is probably not the primary cause of the lack of liquid water in simulated mixed-phase clouds. Of all the CFP sensitivities explored in this study, the prognostic representation of both liquid and ice shows most promise in increasing the liquid water path. A newly proposed hybrid CFP with prognostic frozen and diagnostic liquid cloud fraction reproduces some of the benefits of the prognostic scheme at reduced cost and complexity. All simulations appear to produce too large precipitation particles. As a result, reducing the snow deposition rate increases the liquid water path and improves the precipitation size distributions, while simulations are less sensitive to reduced riming rates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗