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At least 271 records · Page 15
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1985

Dynamic and static initialization of a mesoscale model using VAS satellite data

Various mesoscale weather forecast model initialization procedures were tested in seven simulation forecasts for a 12 hr period in July 1981. Attention was given to the impacts of using as input radiosonde data, VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) data and a combination of VAS and data from a smoothed global analysis. The data were assimilated with successive correction objective analysis procedures. The model had a 60 km horizontal grid-length resolution, 14 layers in the vertical, and accounted for short- and long-wave energy in the surface energy budget but not in the atmosphere. Conventional data were used for the mass and moisture fields. The trials showed that VAS data enhanced the predictions of the temperature and mass variables, while winds were least accurately predicted when VAS data were entered in the initializations. Finally, statically initialized precipitation forecasts from radiosonde and/or VAS data exhibited equal skill.

Beauchamp, J. G.↗
NASA NTRS1985

A surface temperature and moisture parameterization for use in mesoscale numerical models

A modified multi-level soil moisture and surface temperature model is presented for use as in defining lower boundary conditions in mesoscale weather models. Account is taken of the hydraulic and thermal diffusion properties of the soil, their variations with soil type, and the mixing ratio at the surface. Techniques are defined for integrating the surface input into the multi-level scheme. Sample simulation runs were performed with the modified model and the original model defined by Pielke, et al. (1977, 1981). The models were applied to regional weather forecasting over soils composed of sand and clay loam. The new form of the model avoided iterations necessary in the earlier version of the model and achieved convergence at reasonable profiles for surface temperature and moisture in regions where the earlier version of the model failed.

Tremback, C. J.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Evaluation of cloud shading effects on the generation and modification of mesoscale circulations

This study presents scale analysis and numerical model evaluations of the impact of cloud shading on (1) the development of sea breeze and thermally induced upslope flows and (2) the generation of mesoscale circulations between cloudy areas adjacent to clear areas. Based on the assumption of modifications of solar and longwave radiation which are typical for some overcast conditions, it was found that the reduction in the first type of circulation is significant and most noticeable in the vertical velocities. In the second case, thermally induced circulations in favorable conditions appear to approach the typical intensity of the sea breeze.

Segal, M.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Mesoscale ocean eddy measurements by multibeam altimetry

A multibeam microwave radar altimeter concept is numerically simulated to evaluate its capability to remotely sense mesoscale oceanographic features and eddies in particular. The study tests the sensitivity of the sensor to variations of systematic and environmental parameters, including sensor attitude angle, sensor position, and system errors. A novel concept of computing eddy vorticity from the multibeam data is explored. Application of this concept to the detection of simulated ocean eddies in the presence of tracker noise data gives excellent results; the technique is shown to be simple and accurate. The minimum size of the eddy detectable by the multibeam altimeter is presented for a given performance characteristic of the radar.

Lee, H. S.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Vertical normal modes of a mesoscale model using a scaled height coordinate

Vertical modes were derived for a version of the Colorado State Regional Atmospheric Mesoscale Modeling System. The impacts of three options for dealing with the upper boundary of the model were studied. The standard model formulation holds pressure constant at a fixed altitude near the model top, and produces a fastest mode with a speed of about 90 m/sec. An alternative formulation, which allows for an external mode, could require recomputation of vertical modes for every surface elevation on the horizontal grid unless the modes are derived in a particular way. These results have bearing on the feasibility of applying vertical mode initialization to models with scaled height coordinates.

Lipton, A. E.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Mesoscale waves as a probe of Jupiter's deep atmosphere

Search of the Voyager images of Jupiter reveals a class of mesoscale waves occurring near the extrema of the zonal velocity profile between latitudes 30 deg S and 30 deg N. The average horizontal wavelength is 300 km, compared to an atmospheric scale height of 20 km; the standard deviation about the mean is only 20 percent. The alignment of most wave trains is nearly zonal, i.e., wave crests are north-south. A typical wave packet is 20 wave crests in length and 1300 km wide. Modeling shows that the waves propagate in a duct below the ammonia condensation level (the visible clouds). For selection of one dominant mode, the Richardson number in the duct must be of order unity; this is the first quantitative determination that has ever been made of the stability of Jupiter's atmosphere below its clouds. The duct is topped by a trapping layer, the ammonia clouds, where the Richardson number is less than 0.25. Meridional trapping of the wave packets is due to the shear in the zonal wind. It is speculated that the period of the waves is diurnal and that they do not propagate poleward of latitudes + or - 30 deg because the Coriolis frequency exceeds the duct Brunt frequency. The waves might be excited by diurnal variations of moist convective activity in the ammonia clouds.

Flasar, F. M.↗
NASA NTRS1987

An evaluation of observations from satellites for the study and prediction of mesoscale events and cyclone events

Quantitative observational guidelines have been developed for the study and forecasting of mesoscale events and cyclone events; many of these guidelines have resulted from major meteorological field programs. Increasingly sophisticated satellite-borne instruments in low and geosynchronous orbits have provided valuable measurements of these events. The major deficiencies in the measurements taken from geosynchronous orbit today, relative to guidelines, are (1) the lack of temperature profiles and moisture profiles below clouds, and the poor vertical resolution of these profiles; (2) the insufficient combination of spatial resolution and temporal resolution and spectral intervals available in generating images (imaging); and (3) the lack of accurate precipitation mapping. Considerably more-powerful instrumentation is possible on geosynchronous satellites that can substantially reduce these deficiencies. The capability of advanced geosynchronous observations and those expected with future instrumentation in low-orbit are evaluated with respect to tropical cyclone and severe local-storm observational guidelines. A high percentage of the guidelines are expected to be fulfilled with geosynchronous measurements: (1) using microwave instruments for imaging and for obtaining temperature profiles and moisture profiles, (2) very high spectral-resolution infrared profiling, (3) very high spatial-resolution and very high temporal-resolution imaging, and (4) ozone mapping.

Shenk, William E.↗
NASA NTRS1987

The synoptic setting and possible energy sources for mesoscale wave disturbances

Published data on 13 cases of mesoscale wave disturbances and their environment were examined to isolate common features for these cases and to determine possible energy sources for the waves. These events are characterized by either a singular wave of depression or wave packets with periods of 1-4 h, horizontal wavelengths of 50-500 km, and surface-pressure perturbation amplitudes of 0.2-7.0 mb. These wave events are shown to be associated with a distinct synoptic pattern (including the existence of a strong inversion in the lower troposphere and the propagation of a jet streak toward a ridge axis in the upper troposphere) while displaying little correlation with the presence of convective storm cells. The observed development of the waves is consistent with the hypothesis that the energy source needed to initiate and sustain the wave disturbances may be related to a geostrophic adjustment process associated with upper-tropospheric jet streaks.

Uccellini, Louis W.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Mesoscale lake-effect snowstorms in the vicinity of Lake Michigan - Linear theory and numerical simulations

Mesoscale lake-effect snowstorms in the vicinity of Lake Michigan are studied by a linear steady-state analytic model and a nonlinear time-dependent numerical model with parameterized subgrid-scale physics. The solutions of the linear model show that the orientation of the mean wind field to the surface heating pattern is crucial to the shapes of the disturbances. The results indicate that the relative warmth of the lake surface can induce three updraft centers under a westerly wind, two updraft centers/bands under a northwesterly wind, and a convergence band under a northerly wind. Such convergences are caused by the interaction between the mean wind and the local circulations forced by the curved thermal contrasts. The numerical results from the nonlinear model not only produce convergence patterns very similar to those found in the linear theory and in other numerical studies, but also capture the transient property in some of the lake-induced disturbances. All of these results are qualitatively confirmed by satellite images.

Hsu, Hsiao-Ming↗
NASA NTRS1987

Variations of mesoscale and large-scale sea ice morphology in the 1984 Marginal Ice Zone Experiment as observed by microwave remote sensing

The data acquired during the summer 1984 Marginal Ice Zone Experiment in the Fram Strait-Greenland Sea marginal ice zone, using airborne active and passive microwave sensors and the Nimbus 7 SMMR, were analyzed to compile a sequential description of the mesoscale and large-scale ice morphology variations during the period of June 6 - July 16, 1984. Throughout the experiment, the long ice edge between northwest Svalbard and central Greenland meandered; eddies were repeatedly formed, moved, and disappeared but the ice edge remained within a 100-km-wide zone. The ice pack behind this alternately diffuse and compact edge underwent rapid and pronounced variations in ice concentration over a 200-km-wide zone. The high-resolution ice concentration distributions obtained in the aircraft images agree well with the low-resolution distributions of SMMR images.

Campbell, W. J.↗
NASA NTRS1987

The combined use of diagnosed mesoscale frontogenesis and satellite imagery in forecasting squall line formation

The appearance of a line of small cumulus congestus clouds along a cold front in conjunction with developing mesoscale clear zone immediately behind the front was used to infer the existence of a meso-Beta-scale frontogenetical circulation capable of squall line initiation. The very short-range forecasting (2 to 6 hr) capabilities of synthesizing GOES imagery with diagnostic frontogenesis analyses of conventional surface data to predict the precise location and time of formation of such convective activity is demonstrated. The observations support the frontogenesis hypothesis postulated by Koch (1984).

Dorian, Paul↗
NASA NTRS1987

Use of simulated satellite radiances from a mesoscale numerical model to understand kinematic and dynamic processes

Techniques by which mesoscale numerical weather prediction model output and radiative transfer codes are combined to simulate the radiance fields that a given passive temperature/moisture satellite sensor would see if viewing the evolving model atmosphere are introduced. The goals are to diagnose the dynamical atmospheric processes responsible for recurring patterns in observed satellite radiance fields, and to develop techniques to anticipate the ability of satellite sensor systems to depict atmospheric structures and provide information useful for numerical weather prediction (NWP). The concept of linking radiative transfer and dynamical NWP codes is demonstrated with time sequences of simulated radiance imagery in the 24 TIROS vertical sounder channels derived from model integrations for March 6, 1982.

Kalb, Michael↗
NASA NTRS1987

Mesoscale density variability in the mesosphere and thermosphere: Effects of vertical flow accelerations

A mechanistic one dimensional numerical (iteration) model was developed which can be used to simulate specific types of mesoscale atmospheric density (and pressure) variability in the mesosphere and the thermosphere, namely those due to waves and those due to vertical flow accelerations. The model was developed with the idea that it could be used as a supplement to the TGCMs (thermospheric general circulation models) since such models have a very limited ability to model phenomena on small spatial scales. The simplest case to consider was the integration upward through a time averaged, height independent, horizontally divergent flow field. Vertical winds were initialized at the lower boundary using the Ekman pumping theory over flat terrain. The results of the computations are summarized.

Revelle, D. O.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Improved VAS regression soundings of mesoscale temperature features observed during the atmospheric variability experiment on 6 March 1982

In 1982, the VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) on the GOES satellite performed the Atmospheric Variability Experiment (AVE) to verify VAS's mesoscale-sounding capabilities. Attention is given to the AVE network in the late afternoon of March 6, 1982, after a winter storm had passed over Texas, in order to ascertain whether such temperature profile deviations from the average lapse rate as a midlevel cold pool (which should decrease the brightness of several IR channels) can be retrieved from VAS radiances. Two simple enhancements are introduced: the regression matrix is calculated using the AVE asynoptic radiosondes launched from NWS sites in the region, and a change of the statistical conditioning factor from the conservative 10/1 SNR to a more optimistic 100/1 for those VAS channels that are more sensitive to tropospheric temperature.

Chesters, Dennis↗
NASA NTRS1988

Evaluation of vegetation effects on the generation and modification of mesoscale circulations

The effects of the presence of vegetation cover on modifying sea breeze and thermally induced upslope flows during daytime were investigated, and the possibility of the generation of mesoscale circulations due to nonuniform vegetation cover was evaluated. Scale analysis and numerical model simulations were used to provide quantitative evaluations of the circulations involved in the two vagetation effects, using several illustrative cases. The cases considered demonstrate that the impact of vegetated surfaces is highly dependent on the environmental conditions as well as vegetation characteristics.

Segal, M.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Use of four-dimensional data assimilation by Newtonian relaxation and latent-heat forcing to improve a mesoscale-model precipitation forecast - A case study

The Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model was used to study special static-initialization (SI) and dynamic-initialization (DI) techniques designed to improve short-range quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs), as applied to the heavy convective rainfall that occurred in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas during the May 9-10, 1979 SESAMY IV study period. In the DI procedure, two types of four-dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) procedures were used to incorporate data during a 12-h preforecast period, one using the Newtonian relaxation, the other using latent-heat forcing. It was found that combined use of either the preforecast or in-forecast latent-heat forcing with the Newtonian relaxation produced an improved forecast (relative to a conventional forecast procedure) of rainfall intensity compared to the use of the Newtonian relaxation alone. The use of the experimental SI with prescribed latent heating during the first forecast hour produced greatly improved rainfall rates.

Wang, Wei↗
NASA NTRS1989

Observing oceanic mesoscale eddies from Geosat altimetry - Preliminary results

Mesoscale eddies constitute the most energetic component of the variability of ocean currents. Sea level variations measured by the Geosat radar altimeter are used to study the spatial and temporal scales of the eddy motion. An attempt is also made to map the temporal evolution of the eddy field in the region of the Agulhas Current south of Africa, where the eddy motions are among the strongest in the world. The results demonstrate that Geosat has provided an unprecedented opportunity to map from space the temporal evolution of sea level variability associated with the energetic eddies in the ocean.

Fu, Lee-Lueng↗
NASA NTRS1989

Sensitivity of mesoscale-model forecast skill to some initial-data characteristics, data density, data position, analysis procedure and measurement error

The effects of horizontal and vertical data resolution, data density, data location, different objective analysis algorithms, and measurement error on mesoscale-forecast accuracy are studied with observing-system simulation experiments. Domain-averaged errors are shown to generally decrease with time. It is found that the vertical distribution of error growth depends on the initial vertical distribution of the error itself. Larger gravity-inertia wave noise is produced in forecasts with coarser vertical data resolution. The use of a low vertical resolution observing system with three data levels leads to more forecast errors than moderate and high vertical resolution observing systems with 8 and 14 data levels. Also, with poor vertical resolution in soundings, the initial and forecast errors are not affected by the horizontal data resolution.

Warner, Thomas T.↗