Causes of and Solutions to Wind Speed Bias in NREL’s 2020 Offshore Wind Resource Assessment for the California Pacific Outer Continental Shelf
This report provides the results of a detailed analysis of the causes of high wind speed bias in the 20-year wind resource data set for offshore California that the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) released in 2020, herein called CA20. The data set was developed using the state-of-the-art Weather Research and Forecasting model. Notably, no floating lidars were available at the time in offshore California to validate offshore hub-height wind speeds. In late 2020, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) deployed two floating lidars in the California Outer Continental Shelf, near the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) call areas of Humboldt and Morro Bay. Using these observations through 2021, NREL found considerable bias in modeled hub-height winds at both locations: up to +2 m/s at Humboldt over a 6-month period, and up to +1 m/s at Morro Bay over a 1-year period.