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At least 271 records · Page 15

Analyzing Double Delays at Newark Liberty International Airport

When weather or congestion impacts the National Airspace System, multiple different Traffic Management Initiatives can be implemented, sometimes with unintended consequences. One particular inefficiency that is commonly identified is in the interaction between Ground Delay Programs (GDPs) and time based metering of internal departures, or TMA scheduling. Internal departures under TMA scheduling can take large GDP delays, followed by large TMA scheduling delays, because they cannot be easily fitted into the overhead stream. In this paper we examine the causes of these double delays through an analysis of arrival operations at Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) from June to August 2010. Depending on how the double delay is defined between 0.3 percent and 0.8 percent of arrivals at EWR experienced double delays in this period. However, this represents between 21 percent and 62 percent of all internal departures in GDP and TMA scheduling. A deep dive into the data reveals that two causes of high internal departure scheduling delays are upstream flights making up time between their estimated departure clearance times (EDCTs) and entry into time based metering, which undermines the sequencing and spacing underlying the flight EDCTs, and high demand on TMA, when TMA airborne metering delays are high. Data mining methods (currently) including logistic regression, support vector machines and K-nearest neighbors are used to predict the occurrence of double delays and high internal departure scheduling delays with accuracies up to 0.68. So far, key indicators of double delay and high internal departure scheduling delay are TMA virtual runway queue size, and the degree to which estimated runway demand based on TMA estimated times of arrival has changed relative to the estimated runway demand based on EDCTs. However, more analysis is needed to confirm this.

traffic management advisor↗

Students Planting Research Of Use To Space (SPROUTS) Networking and Engagement of Interns at Kennedy Space Center

Beginning in 2016, the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) internship program for life sciences was re-envisioned. Rather than hosting interns in the summer only with numerous innovative small projects, the current model is to offer internship opportunities every semester, so that research is continuous and sustained. Since 2016 we have had 64 internship opportunities for undergraduate and graduate students in space crop production and microgravity simulation. 52 separate individuals have participated in this program, with some participating in more than one term. While interns primarily worked with individual mentors on a main project, most also worked on group projects or developed smaller secondary projects on their own initiative. Additionally, interns participated in a weekly Lunch, Learn, and Discuss seminar series where they presented their research, learned from scientists at KSC, and engaged with members of the space life sciences community. When the face-to-face spring 2020 internship ended prematurely, the weekly seminar series continued as a virtual event, which led to the concept of engaging former interns. Current and former interns were invited to participate in the on-going virtual series, and 46 asked to be included on the mailing list. Our current seminar series involves remote seminars from contacts within and outside of the agency, and engages a large network of current scientists and former interns with weekly participation averaging ~40 people. Speakers include experts from industry, academia, and other space agencies working on topics of interest to KSC researchers. This series has also served as a brainstorming platform for KSC scientists to discuss new ideas and concepts and invite feedback. Remote work and virtual platforms have allowed engagement in a new way that will continue as future interns are integrated into this network of individuals interested in space research. This work is funded by NASA’s Space Biology Program.

Space Crop Production↗

The New International Project on Irradiated Graphite Processing Approaches (GRAPA) - 16559

Developing of strategies and methods for the management of spent nuclear (irradiated) graphite is one of the major task in decommissioning internationally. More than 250.000 Mg of i-graphite have been accumulated worldwide. Having completed in 2014 a comprehensive collaborative research programme on the treatment options for the disposal of i-graphite wastes to meet disposal criteria, the IAEA decided to maintain an active group of international specialists in this area as part of the International Decommissioning Network (IDN). To foster further development in R and D and steps towards industrial applications in i-graphite management this group was requested to propose the terms of reference and work programme for a new IAEA project. The basic concept for this future programme has been formulated by the German Forschungszentrum (Research Centre) Juelich, Institute IEK-6. The initiative has expanded to include representation from UK, USA, France, Italy, Russia, Ukraine and Lithuania. Additional Member States of the IAEA are expected to join the project. The concept presented by the IEK-6 was discussed among the experts and extended on an international meeting at IAEA in Vienna in February 2015. In addition to the development of the terms of reference a number of individual tasks have been identified. The project will combine a comprehensive state-of-the-art study with concerted actions as well as cross-cutting sub-projects. This will include a practical demonstration of the removal, treatment and disposal of highly-irradiated graphite from a decommissioned reactor. Prior to official implementation of this project preparatory work has been started on topic areas where weaknesses in the scientific knowledge or the technology have been identified. The scope of the international project ('Irradiated Graphite Processing Approaches, GRAPA') and its expected development as well as the possible impact of GRAPA on the future international i-graphite research activities will be described in this presentation. The project will be performed jointly by both the IAEA International Decommissioning Network and the new IAEA Pretreatment Network (IMM, under development). (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Internal and external thermal expansions of wurtzite ZnO from first principles

Many crystals contain “internal” structural parameters not completely constrained by symmetry. These vary with temperature T, similar to the variation of “external” structural parameters that describe the unit cell. The term “thermal expansion” most often refers to the external parameters, which are more easily and accurately measured. Here, in this study, we use “thermal expansion” to mean both external and internal parameters. Internal thermal expansion impacts a wide range of applications, but has been given less attention. In this study, the thermal expansion behavior of wurtzite ZnO is studied from first principles with the generalized Grüneisen theory in the framework of quasi-harmonic approximation (QHA). Negative external thermal expansions are found below the temperature of 150 K. We demonstrate that the so-called “zero static internal stress approximation” (ZSISA) gives the correct external but incorrect internal thermal expansions, due to the neglect of the clamped-lattice internal contribution contained in the generalized Grüneisen theory. Although accurate at low T, at higher T the QHA may need to be supplemented by higher order anharmonic corrections.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Internal friction sensitivity to precipitation in Al-12 wt% Mg alloy

Highlights: • Internal friction is sensible to semi coherent and non-coherent phases (β′ and β). • Internal friction is not enough sensible to coherent GP zones formation in Al-12 wt% Mg. • Appearance of two IF peaks is due to β′ and β phases formation and dissolution. - Abstract: In order to improve the understanding of the sensibility of the internal friction phenomena to different stages of precipitation in Al-Mg alloys, the ageing effect of a supersaturated solid solution on the Temperature Dependent Internal Friction (TDIF) spectra has been studied. The research showed that the dissolution of the β phase and the transfer of Mg atoms to a solid solution and the formation of β′ metastable phase have an effect on internal friction. Thus, it was proved that the precipitation or the dissolution of β phase plays an important role in the anelasticity of Al-Mg alloys. A detailed TDIF analysis revealed the sensibility of the internal friction technique to the formation of semi-coherent and non-coherent phases (β′ and β) but it is not sensitive enough to the formation of coherent phases (GP zones). Several observations on the nature and the shape of the precipitates are also discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Heat up and failure of BWR upper internals during a severe accident

In boiling water reactors, the shroud dome, separators, and dryers above the core are made of approximately 100,000 kg of stainless steel. During a severe accident in which the coolant boils away and exothermic oxidation of zirconium occurs, gases (steam and hydrogen) are superheated in the core region and pass through the upper internals. In this scenario, the upper internals can also be heated by thermal radiation from the hot degrading core. Historically, models of the upper internals have been relatively simple in severe accident codes. The upper internals are typically modeled in MELCOR as two lumped volumes with simplified heat transfer characteristics and no structural integrity considerations, and with limited ability to oxidize, melt, and relocate. The potential for and the subsequent impact of the upper internals to heat up, oxidize, fail, and relocate during a severe accident was investigated. A higher fidelity representation of the shroud dome, steam separators, and steam driers was developed in MELCOR v1.8.6 by extending the core region upwards. The MELCOR modeling effort entailed adding 45 additional core cells and control volumes, 98 flow paths, and numerous control functions. The model accounts for the mechanical loading and structural integrity, oxidation, melting, flow area blockage, and relocation of the various components. Consistent with a previous study, the results indicate that the upper internals can reach high temperatures during a severe accident sufficient to lose their structural integrity and relocate. Finally, the additional 100 metric tons of stainless steel debris influences the subsequent in-vessel and ex-vessel accident progression.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Internal Radiation Dose Evaluation For An Unruptured Post Release Tristructural Istropic Fuel Particle for Advanced and Micro-reactor Applications

There are unique benefits from advanced/micro reactor designs and fuel types that offer safety features in the case of an accident that may reduce environmental consequences compared to conventional reactors and fuels. Several micro reactor designs, for both civilian and military applications, are proposed using tristructural-isotropic (TRISO) fuel. TRISO particles are a robust advanced nuclear fuel type that leads to the unique question of how unruptured, activated TRISO particles will interact with humans. Human exposure to nuclear fuel, or radionuclides, includes all pathways of exposure. However, TRISO particles are 0.9 mm in size, and that particle size restricts internal dose assessment to the ingestion pathway; eliminating the inhalation and dermal absorption pathways. Furthermore, activity of the TRISO particle was established by High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor simulations assuming the TRISO particle was one day post-release from the reactor. International Commission of Radiological Protection publications 100 and 133 were used to develop the internal dosimetry model for an unruptured TRISO particle for the International Commission of Radiological Protection reference male and female dose assessment. The rectosigmoid colon had the highest internal organ dose for both reference male (2.1 Sv) and reference female (2.3 Sv). The internal dose from ingestion of the scenario-defined TRISO particle was 0.25 Sv for the reference male and 0.29 Sv for the refence female, which exceeds the annual occupational effective dose limit of 0.05 Sv in the code of federal regulations, 10.CFR.20 Subpart C.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Nonlinear Ultrasonic Techniques to Monitor Radiation Damage in RPV and Internal Components

The objective of this research is to demonstrate that nonlinear ultrasonics (NLU) can be used to directly and quantitatively measure the remaining life in radiation damaged reactor pressure vessel (RPV) and internal components. Specific damage types to be monitored are irradiation embrittlement and irradiation assisted stress corrosion cracking (IASCC). Our vision is to develop a technique that allows operators to assess damage by making a limited number of NLU measurements in strategically selected critical reactor components during regularly scheduled outages. This measured data can then be used to determine the current condition of these key components, from which remaining useful life can be predicted. Methods to unambiguously characterize radiation related damage in reactor internals and RPVs remain elusive. NLU technology has demonstrated great potential to be used as a material sensor – a sensor that can continuously monitor a material’s damage state. The physical effect being monitored by NLU is the generation of higher harmonic frequencies in an initially monochromatic ultrasonic wave. The degree of nonlinearity is quantified with the acoustic nonlinearity parameter, β, which is an absolute, measurable material constant. Recent research has demonstrated that nonlinear ultrasound can be used to characterize material state and changes in microscale characteristics such as internal stress states, precipitate formation and dislocation densities. Radiation damage reduces the fracture toughness of RPV steels and internals, and can leave them susceptible to IASCC, which may in turn limit the lifetimes of some operating reactors. The ability to characterize radiation damage in the RPV and internals will enable nuclear operators to set operation time thresholds for vessels and prescribe and schedule replacement activities for core internals. Such a capability will allow a more clear definition of reactor safety margins. The research consists of three tasks: (1) materials sensing and monitoring; (2) physics-based materials and damage evolution modeling; and (3) remaining life estimation by integrating sensing, modeling and uncertainty.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

International Collaboration Activities in Different Geologic Disposal Environments

This report describes the current status of international collaboration regarding geologic disposal research in the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) Campaign. Since 2012, in an effort coordinated by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, UFD has advanced active collaboration with several international geologic disposal programs in Europe and Asia. Such collaboration allows the UFD Campaign to benefit from a deep knowledge base with regards to alternative repository environments developed over decades, and to utilize international investments in research facilities (such as underground research laboratories), saving millions of R&D dollars that have been and are being provided by other countries. To date, UFD’s International Disposal R&D Program has established formal collaboration agreements with five international initiatives and several international partners, and national lab scientists associated with UFD have conducted specific collaborative R&D activities that align well with its R&D priorities.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Advanced Anode for Internal Reforming and Thermal Management in Solid Oxide Fuel Cells

Solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) is an efficient and clean electrical power generation system compared to conventional combustion based technologies with energy efficiency reaching as high as 85-90% in co-generation mode (electricity and heat). Other advantages of SOFCs are hybridization, modularity of construction, small CO 2 foot print per kWh of generated electricity and fuel flexibility. Hydrocarbons present in the gaseous fuel is utilized in SOFCs by internal or external reforming. There are two different internal reforming concepts: Direct Internal Reforming (DIR) and Indirect Internal Reforming (IIR). For DIR operation, the endothermic reforming reaction and the exothermic reaction from the oxidation reaction are operated together in the single unit eliminating the requirement for a separate fuel reformer. This configuration also simplifies the overall system design, making SOFC more attractive and efficient means of producing electrical power. The main advantage of the DIR type of operation is that the H 2 or CO consumption by the electrochemical reaction could directly promote the conversion of methane at the anode side of the fuel cell resulting in high conversion and high efficiency. The DIR operation, however, requires an anode material that has desired dual catalytic (hetero and electro) properties for reforming reaction and electrochemical reactions. The anode materials also need to remain resistant to carbon formation at the operating temperature and atmosphere with stable cell performance. Another requirement is to match the reforming reactions and electrochemical reactions to avoid local cooling or overheating, which can result in mechanical failure due to thermally induced stresses. Direct internal reforming (DIR) of hydrocarbon fuels simplifies the overall SOFC system design making it more attractive and efficient for producing electrical power. Low cost alloy anodes for distributed internal reforming of methane and other hydrocarbon fuels offer increased fuel-flexibility, reliability, and long term performance stability of solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC). The research program examined modification of the chemical compositions and microstructure of high entropy alloy (HEA) anode materials using thermochemical calculations and process simulation and modeling to achieve distributed reforming over the entire anode to eliminate hot zones. Cell fabrication and testing of the HEA anodes using button cell configuration has been performed to demonstrate the advantages of new anode over traditional Ni-YSZ anodes for distributed reforming and carbon free operation. Technical accomplishments include identification and synthesis of HEA carbon-resistant anode, demonstration of reduction in reforming rate confirmed by GC and modelling data validating effectiveness for thermal management in cell/stacks, electrochemical testing of HEA anode in single cell (HEA-GDC||YSZ||LSM-YSZ) and Characterization of pretest and posttest anode materials by TEM and SEM-EDS confirming carbon-free operation.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Internal Gravity Waves in the Magnetized Solar Atmosphere. I. Magnetic Field Effects

Observations of the solar atmosphere show that internal gravity waves are generated by overshooting convection, but are suppressed at locations of magnetic flux, which is thought to be the result of mode conversion into magnetoacoustic waves. Here, we present a study of the acoustic-gravity wave spectrum emerging from a realistic, self-consistent simulation of solar (magneto)convection. A magnetic field free, hydrodynamic simulation and a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation with an initial, vertical, homogeneous field of 50 G flux density were carried out and compared with each other to highlight the effect of magnetic fields on the internal gravity wave propagation in the Sun’s atmosphere. We find that the internal gravity waves are absent or partially reflected back into the lower layers in the presence of magnetic fields and argue that the suppression is due to the coupling of internal gravity waves to slow magnetoacoustic waves still within the high- β region of the upper photosphere. The conversion to Alfvén waves is highly unlikely in our model because there is no strongly inclined magnetic field present. We argue that the suppression of internal waves observed within magnetic flux concentrations may also be due to nonlinear breaking of internal waves due to vortex flows that are ubiquitously present in the upper photosphere and the chromosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Women as a Force Multiplier for Bringing Nuclear Forensic Capabilities to the International Stage

In 2009, the US Department of Energy National Nuclear Security Administration’s (NNSA’s) Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation Program initiated a new nuclear forensics outreach effort under its Confidence Building Measures Program. Little did they know that the timing could not have been better. This article focuses on the early years (2009–2015) of the NNSA’s international nuclear forensics outreach, specifically the efforts and experiences of the women who helped establish this program, building it from a fledgling, bilateral effort into an enduring technical capacity provider engaging with dozens of countries and multilateral organizations. At the onset of the program, nuclear forensics was an emerging priority within the US Government and receiving increased focus from international organizations through high-level diplomatic efforts such as the Nuclear Security Summit and Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism. Additionally, working-level initiatives were gaining traction through the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Nuclear Forensics International Technical Working Group. Over the next 6 years, a small team comprising a uniquely large number of women NNSA federal, contract, and national laboratory staff served as key leaders engaging with the international community to strengthen global technical nuclear forensics capacity and best practices. The program continues today under the Nuclear Smuggling Detection and Deterrence Program as Investigation Support. The experiences shared here detail a unique time period when the new technical discipline of nuclear forensics was beginning to mature and gain international traction. The authors have made every effort to remember history correctly and be as inclusive as possible. A wealth of training, guidance, and exercise documentation was developed in the 2009–2015 time frame, much of which still serves as the foundation for today’s even more extensive program and community of dedicated technical and diplomatic practitioners.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Cross-Cultural Competencies for the NASA International Internship Project

One of the principles that NASA upholds is to cooperate with other nations to advance science, exploration, and discovery for all. Effective cooperation across cultures, however, requires a certain level of skill. A construct called cross-cultural competency (CCC) emphasizes that individuals are capable of acquiring skills that facilitate positive and cooperative interaction with people of another culture. While some aspects of CCC stem from stable individual traits such as personality (i.e., extraversion, tolerance for ambiguity), most components can be learned and strengthened over time (i.e., empathy, mindfulness, trust). Because CCC is such a vital part of international cooperation, this summer we will design a training program to cultivate these skills between student interns, their mentors, and the Ames community as a whole. First, we will research what specific competencies are valuable for anyone to have when working in an international setting. We will then design a series of activities, events, workshops, and discussions that target and strengthen those skills. Finally, we will use both qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods to measure the success of the pilot program. This summer, the current international student interns will serve as our trial population for the program, while our goal is to launch the full program in Fall 2017. Overall, we hope to contribute to NASAs mission of optimizing international collaboration for everyone involved.

international↗

Visualizing the Internal Nanocrystallinity of Calcite Due to Nonclassical Crystallization by 3D Coherent X–Ray Diffraction Imaging

The internal crystallinity of calcite is investigated for samples synthesized using two approaches: precipitation from solution and the ammonium carbonate diffusion method. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) analyses reveal that the calcite products precipitated using both approaches have a well–defined rhombohedron shape, consistent with the euhedral crystal habit of the mineral. The internal structure of these calcite crystals is characterized using Bragg coherent diffraction imaging (BCDI) to determine the 3D electron density and the atomic displacement field. BCDI reconstructions for crystals synthesized using the ammonium carbonate diffusion approach have the expected euhedral shape, with internal strain fields and few internal defects. In contrast, the crystals synthesized by precipitation from solution have very complex external shapes and defective internal structures, presenting null electron density regions and pronounced displacement field distributions. These heterogeneities are interpreted as multiple crystalline domains, created by a nonclassical crystallization mechanism, where smaller nanoparticles coalescence into the final euhedral particles. The combined use of SEM, X–ray diffraction (XRD), and BCDI allows for structurally differentiating calcite crystals grown with different approaches, opening new opportunities to understand how grain boundaries and internal defects alter calcite reactivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Closure of Internal Porosity in Continuous Casting Bloom During Heavy Reduction Process

To investigate the closure behavior of internal porosity (also referred to as internal void) in continuous casting bloom during heavy reduction (HR) and thus provide theoretical guidance for minimizing this kind of internal defect more effectively with HR, a three-dimensional (3D) mechanical model was developed based on the predicted temperature field by a 2D heat transfer model. With this 3D mechanical model, closure behaviors of internal porosity in continuous casting bloom during HR at and after the strand solidification end under different process conditions were numerically studied. It was found that the void axis length decreased significantly along the bloom thickness direction and increased slightly along the casting and bloom width directions after HR, and the influence of the initial void size on the void closure was not obvious. With a decrease of temperature difference between the bloom surface and center, HR efficiency for minimizing internal void decreased, while the required reduction force significantly increased. Compared with blooms with a uniform temperature distribution of 1100 °C, the void closure index after HR implemented at the strand solidification end was increased by ~ 25 pct. Compared with a conventional flat roll, the application of a convex roll during HR could contribute to minimizing the internal porosity more effectively and significantly enhance the reduction capacity of the withdrawal and straightening units. The void closure index of η{sub s} and η{sub v} (where η{sub s} and η{sub v} were defined based on the variation of the void aspect ratio and the void volume, respectively) was closely related to the equivalent strain (ε{sub eq}) and the hydrostatic integration parameter (Q), respectively, and two mathematical equations were derived to quantitatively describe the relationship of η{sub s} − ε{sub eq} and η{sub v} − Q.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Internal Energy Distribution of Secondary Ions Under Argon and Bismuth Cluster Bombardments: “Soft” Versus “Hard” Desorption–Ionization Process

The emission/ionization process under massive argon cluster bombardment was investigated by measuring the internal energy distributions of a series of benzylpyridinium ions. Argon clusters with kinetic energies between 10 and 20 keV and cluster sizes ranging from 500 to 10,000 were used to establish the influence of their size, energy, and velocity on the internal energy distribution of the secondary ions. It is shown that the internal energy distribution of secondary ions principally depends on the energy per atom or the velocity of the cluster ion beam (E/n ∝ v{sup 2}). Under low energy per atom (E/n ˂ 10 eV), the mean internal energy and fragmentation yield increase rapidly with the incident energy of individual constituents. Beyond 10 eV/atom impact (up to 40 eV/atom), the internal energy reaches a plateau and remains constant. Results were compared with those generated from bismuth cluster impacts for which the mean internal energies correspond well to the plateau values for argon clusters. However, a significant difference was found between argon and bismuth clusters concerning the damage or disappearance cross section. A 20 times smaller disappearance cross section was measured under 20 keV Ar{sub 2000}{sup +} impact compared to 25 keV Bi{sub 5}{sup +} bombardment, thus quantitatively showing the low damage effect of large argon clusters for almost the same molecular ion yield. .

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Energy dissipation in polymer-bonded explosives with various levels of constituent plasticity and internal friction

The ignition of energetic materials (EM) under dynamic loading is mainly controlled by localized temperature spikes known as hotspots. Hotspots occur due to several dissipation mechanisms, including viscoplasticity, viscoelasticity, and internal friction along crack surfaces. In this work, to analyze the contributions of these mechanisms, we quantify the ignition probability, energy dissipation, damage evolution, and hotspot characteristics of polymer-bonded explosives (PBXs) with various levels of constituent plasticity of the energetic phase and internal crack face friction. Using PBX9501 consisting of HMX (Octahydro-1,3,5,7-Tetranitro-1,2,3,5-Tetrazocine) and Estane as a reference material, we analyze variants of this material with several values of the yield stress of the energetic phase and coefficients of internal crack face friction, while other parameters are kept unchanged. The impact loading involves piston velocities between 200 and 1200 m/s. The analysis uses a Lagrangian cohesive finite element framework that explicitly accounts for finite-strain elastic-viscoplastic deformation of the grains, viscoelastic deformation of the binder, arbitrary crack initiation and propagation in the grains and the binder, debonding between the grains and the binder, contact between internal surfaces, friction and frictional heating along internal surfaces, heat generation resulting from inelastic bulk deformation, and heat conduction. To determine the ignition status of the material or “go” or “no-go” state, we use a criterion based on a criticality threshold obtained from chemical kinetics calculations. For PBX with various levels of HMX plasticity and friction, the probability of ignition, the evolution of dissipation caused by plasticity and friction, the density of cracks, and the locations of cracks are quantified. Results show that samples with higher levels of constituent plasticity (lower yield strengths) or lower levels of internal friction are less likely to ignite. The relative importance of plasticity and friction depends on load intensity, with frictional heating decreasing as load intensity increases. Although the overall viscoplastic heating outweighs the overall frictional heating, friction plays a very important role in hotspot development at all load intensities analyzed, owing to the fact that frictional heating is more localized than viscoplastic heating. Finally, the predicted thresholds and ignition probabilities are expressed in a load intensity-load duration relation for PBX with different constituent properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Measuring greenhouse gas emissions from international air travel of a country’s residents methodological development and application for Sweden

Highlights: • A new method for estimating a country's GHG emissions from international air travel. • A reliable method based on total statistics of departures and on surveys for distance to final destination. • Total emissions for Swedish residents' air travel increased by 61% between 1990 and 2014 • In 2014 Swedish residents air travel emissions was on par with emissions from Swedish car traffic - Abstract: Global civil aviation accounts for 4–5% of total greenhouse gas emissions and these emissions are increasing. In the absence of sufficiently effective global climate instruments, national instruments might be considered as a complement, in which case some way of allocating emissions from international air travel between countries is needed. The purpose of this paper is to develop an accounting method that reflects one country's greenhouse gas emissions from international air travel, and to apply this methodology to Sweden. The new methodology consists of three parts: the number of international air trips made by the country's residents; the average distance of these trips; and the greenhouse gas emissions per passenger km. For Sweden, data for 1990 to 2014 show an increase in the number of trips by Sweden's population of 3.6% per year, resulting in, on average, one international journey (round trip 5800 km) per capita in 2014. The average distance to the final destination has increased only marginally due to simultaneous growth in both long and short trips. However, global average greenhouse gas emissions per passenger km have decreased by 1.9% per year between 1990 and 2014. Because the increase in the number of their trips has outweighed the decrease in emissions per km, the total emissions from Swedish residents' international air travel have increased by 61% between 1990 and 2014. The total emissions from Swedish residents' air travel, including both CO{sub 2} and non-CO{sub 2}-effects, were 11 Mt CO{sub 2} equivalents in 2014, which is the same level as the emissions from Swedish car traffic. This type of reliable data is important when designing policies and for getting public support for new policies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗