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At least 271 records · Page 15

Evolution of the Lunar Network

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) is planning to upgrade its network Infrastructure to support missions for the 21st century. The first step is to increase the data rate provided to science missions to at least the 100 megabits per second (Mbps) range. This is under way, using Ka-band 26 Gigahertz (GHz), erecting an 18-meter antenna for the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO), and the planned upgrade of the Deep Space Network (DSN) 34-meter network to support the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). The next step is the support of manned missions to the Moon and beyond. Establishing an outpost with several activities such as rovers, colonization, and observatories, is better achieved by using a network configuration rather than the current method of point-to-point communication. Another challenge associated with the Moon is communication coverage with the Earth. The Moon's South Pole, targeted for human habitat and exploration, is obscured from Earth view for half of the 28-day lunar cycle and requires the use of lunar relay satellites to provide coverage when there is no direct view of the Earth. The future NASA and Constellation network architecture is described in the Space Communications Architecture Working Group (SCAWG) Report. The Space Communications and Navigation (SCAN) Constellation Integration Project (SCIP) is responsible for coordinating Constellation requirements and has assigned the responsibility for implementing these requirements to the existing NASA communication providers: DSN, Space Network (SN), Ground Network (GN) and the NASA Integrated Services Network (NISN). The SCAWG Report provides a future architecture but does not provide implementation details. The architecture calls for a Netcentric system, using hundreds of 12-meter antennas, a ground antenna array, and a relay network around the Moon. The report did not use cost as a variable in determining the feasibility of this approach. As part of the SCIP Mission Concept Review and the second iteration of the Lunar Architecture Team (LAT), the focus is on cost, as well as communication coverage using operational scenarios. This approach maximizes use of existing assets and adds capability in small increments. This paper addresses architecture decisions such as the Radio Frequency (RF) signal and network (Netcentric) decisions that need to be made and the difficulty of implementing them into the existing Space Network and DSN. It discusses the evolution of the lunar system and describes its components: Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS), Earth-based ground stations, Lunar Relay, and surface systems.

Gal-Edd, Jonathan↗

Newton versus the machine: solving the chaotic three-body problem using deep neural networks

ABSTRACT Since its formulation by Sir Isaac Newton, the problem of solving the equations of motion for three bodies under their own gravitational force has remained practically unsolved. Currently, the solution for a given initialization can only be found by performing laborious iterative calculations that have unpredictable and potentially infinite computational cost, due to the system’s chaotic nature. We show that an ensemble of converged solutions for the planar chaotic three-body problem obtained using an arbitrarily precise numerical integrator can be used to train a deep artificial neural network (ANN) that, over a bounded time interval, provides accurate solutions at a fixed computational cost and up to 100 million times faster than the numerical integrator. In addition, we demonstrate the importance of training an ANN using converged solutions from an arbitrary precise integrator, relative to solutions computed by a conventional fixed precision integrator, which can introduce errors in the training data, due to numerical round-off and time discretization, that are learned by the ANN. Our results provide evidence that, for computationally challenging regions of phase space, a trained ANN can replace existing numerical solvers, enabling fast and scalable simulations of many-body systems to shed light on outstanding phenomena such as the formation of black hole binary systems or the origin of the core collapse in dense star clusters.

Breen, Philip G.↗

Mind the gap: the discrepancy between simulation and reality drives interpretations of the Galactic Center Excess

The Galactic Center Excess (GCE) in GeV gamma rays has been debated for over a decade, with the possibility that it might be due to dark matter annihilation or undetected point sources such as millisecond pulsars (MSPs). This study investigates how the gamma-ray emission model (γEM) used in Galactic center analyses affects the interpretation of the GCE's nature. To address this issue, we construct an ultra-fast and powerful inference pipeline based on convolutional Deep Ensemble Networks. We explore the two main competing hypotheses for the GCE using a set of γEMs with increasing parametric freedom. We calculate the fractional contribution (f src ) of a dim population of MSPs to the total luminosity of the GCE and analyze its dependence on the complexity of the γEM. For the simplest γEM, we obtain fsrc = 0.10 ± 0.07, while the most complex model yields f src = 0.79 ± 0.24. In conclusion, we find that the statement about the nature of the GCE (dark matter or not) strongly depends on the assumed γEM. The quoted results for f src do not account for the additional uncertainty arising from the fact that the observed gamma-ray sky is out-of-distribution concerning the investigated γEM iterations. We quantify the reality gap between our γEMs using deep-learning-based One-Class Deep Support Vector Data Description networks, revealing that all employed γEMs have gaps to reality. Finally, our study casts doubt on the validity of previous conclusions regarding the GCE and dark matter, and underscores the urgent need to account for the reality gap and consider previously overlooked "out of domain" uncertainties in future interpretations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Load-Flow in Multiphase Distribution Networks: Existence, Uniqueness, Non-Singularity, and Linear Models

This paper considers unbalanced multiphase distribution systems with generic topology and different load models, and extends the Z-bus iterative load-flow algorithm based on a fixed-point interpretation of the AC load-flow equations. Explicit conditions for existence and uniqueness of load-flow solutions are presented. These conditions also guarantee convergence of the load-flow algorithm to the unique solution. The proposed methodology is applicable to generic systems featuring (i) wye connections; (ii) ungrounded delta connections; (iii) a combination of wye-connected and delta-connected sources/loads; and, (iv) a combination of line-to-line and line-to-grounded-neutral devices at the secondary of distribution transformers. Further, a sufficient condition for the non-singularity of the load-flow Jacobian is proposed. Lastly, linear load-flow models are derived, and their approximation accuracy is analyzed. Theoretical results are corroborated through experiments on IEEE test feeders.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Validation of Power Distribution Models using Load Flow Analysis in an ADMS Environment

Electric utilities are facing the need for better monitoring, analysis, and control of their distribution systems. An accurate mathematical model is a key to both the development of cutting-edge, scalable model-based algorithms and the assessment of emerging technologies such as distributed energy resources (DER) for grid planning and operation. However, the constantly evolving nature of power distribution systems poses challenges to maintaining accurate models. In this paper, we propose a novel load flow based approach to validate power distribution models. Networked equipment models described according to the Common Information Model (CIM) standard and a measurement model are used to formulate the distribution load flow problem. First, a system admittance matrix (Ybus) is derived from device-level CIM parameters. Next, the operational parameters (dynamic Ybus and nodal injections) are extracted from the measurement model using sensor configuration and equipment state. An iterative power flow method is then used to compute nodal voltages and branch flows that are compared against the measurement data to find any inconsistencies in the networked equipment model. This approach is implemented within GridAPPS-D, an open-source standards-based platform for advanced distribution management system (ADMS) application development, and demonstrated on the IEEE 13-bus, 123-bus, and 8500-node test feeders.

Common information model, model validation, power ↗

Analyzing rocket plume spectral data with neural networks

The Optical Plume Anomaly Detection (OPAD) system is under development to provide early-warning failure detection in support of ground-level testing of the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME). Failure detection is to be achieved through the acquisition of spectrally resolved plume emissions and subsequent identification of abnormal levels indicative of engine corrosion or component failure. Two computer codes (one linear and the other non-linear) are used by the OPAD system to iteratively determine specific element concentrations in the SSME plume, given emission intensity and wavelength information. Since this analysis is extremely labor intensive, a study was initiated to develop neural networks that would model the 'inverse' of these computer codes. Optimally connected feed-forward networks with imperceptible prediction error have been developed for each element modeled by the linear code, SPECTRA4. Radial basis function networks were developed for the non-linear code, SPECTRA5, and predict combustion temperature in addition to element concentrations.

Whitaker, Kevin W.↗

Optimal Energy Scheduling and Sensitivity Analysis for Integrated Power-Water-Heat Systems

The conventionally independent power, water, and heating networks are becoming more tightly connected, which motivates their joint optimal energy scheduling to improve the overall efficiency of an integrated energy system. However, such a joint optimization is known as a challenging problem with complex network constraints and couplings of electric, hydraulic, and thermal models that are nonlinear and nonconvex. We formulate an optimal power-water-heat flow (OPWHF) problem and develop a computationally efficient heuristic to solve it. The proposed heuristic decomposes OPWHF into subproblems, which are iteratively solved via convex relaxation and convex-concave procedure. Simulation results validate that the proposed framework can improve operational flexibility and social welfare of the integrated system, wherein the water and heating networks respond as virtual energy storage to time-varying energy prices and solar photovoltaic generation. Moreover, we perform sensitivity analysis to compare two modes of heating network control: by flow rate and by temperature. Our results reveal that the latter is more effective for heating networks with a wider space of pipeline parameters.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Predicting spring phenology in deciduous broadleaf forests: NEON phenology forecasting community challenge

Accurate models are important to predict how global climate change will continue to alter plant phenology and near-term ecological forecasts can be used to iteratively improve models and evaluate predictions that are made a priori. The Ecological Forecasting Initiative's National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) Forecasting Challenge, is an open challenge to the community to forecast daily greenness values, measured through digital images collected by the PhenoCam Network at NEON sites before the data are collected. For the first round of the challenge, which is presented here, we forecasted canopy greenness throughout the spring at eight deciduous broadleaf sites to investigate when, where, and for what model type phenology forecast skill is highest. A total of 192,536 predictions were submitted, representing eighteen models, including a persistence and a day of year mean null models. We found that overall forecast skill was highest when forecasting earlier in the greenup curve compared to the end, for shorter lead times, for sites that greened up earlier, and when submitting forecasts during times other than near budburst. The models based on day of year historical mean had the highest predictive skill across the challenge period. In this first round of the challenge, by synthesizing across forecasts, we started to elucidate what factors affect the predictive skill of near-term phenology forecasts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Learning local equivariant representations for large-scale atomistic dynamics

Abstract A simultaneously accurate and computationally efficient parametrization of the potential energy surface of molecules and materials is a long-standing goal in the natural sciences. While atom-centered message passing neural networks (MPNNs) have shown remarkable accuracy, their information propagation has limited the accessible length-scales. Local methods, conversely, scale to large simulations but have suffered from inferior accuracy. This work introduces Allegro, a strictly local equivariant deep neural network interatomic potential architecture that simultaneously exhibits excellent accuracy and scalability. Allegro represents a many-body potential using iterated tensor products of learned equivariant representations without atom-centered message passing. Allegro obtains improvements over state-of-the-art methods on QM9 and revMD17. A single tensor product layer outperforms existing deep MPNNs and transformers on QM9. Furthermore, Allegro displays remarkable generalization to out-of-distribution data. Molecular simulations using Allegro recover structural and kinetic properties of an amorphous electrolyte in excellent agreement with ab-initio simulations. Finally, we demonstrate parallelization with a simulation of 100 million atoms.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Risk analysis methodology survey

NASA regulations require that formal risk analysis be performed on a program at each of several milestones as it moves toward full-scale development. Program risk analysis is discussed as a systems analysis approach, an iterative process (identification, assessment, management), and a collection of techniques. These techniques, which range from simple to complex network-based simulation were surveyed. A Program Risk Analysis Handbook was prepared in order to provide both analyst and manager with a guide for selection of the most appropriate technique.

Batson, Robert G.↗

Cybersecurity Standards for Photovoltaic Operations

Solar energy plays an important role in securing a more resilient, cyber-secure electrical grid in Pennsylvania. Solar's ability to be widely "distributed" on residential and large roofs, marginal lands, and many other locations across Pennsylvania - as opposed to being centralized - offers a strong option for addressing the myriad of potential disruptions that can occur to the grid's infrastructure. And when combined with energy storage, local energy needs can be met immediately without having to wait on the delivery of an off-site fuel source. As more and more distributed solar electricity generation is brought online, researchers, technology developers, solar developers and grid operators are paying close attention to the potential for solar to enhance grid cybersecurity. Although nobody may know when, where, or how the next cyberattack will take place, there are security measures, technical solutions, and management practices that are being implemented across the industry to protect against network control issues and grid operations. Everyone participating in the solar value chain stands to gain from a coordinated, iterative approach to protect against cyber vulnerabilities and build deeper resilience into the architecture of our grid.

cybersecurity↗

Scalable Preconditioning of Block-Structured Linear Algebra Systems using ADMM

In this paper, we study the solution of block-structured linear algebra systems arising in optimization by using iterative solution techniques. These systems are the core computational bottleneck of many problems of interest such as parameter estimation, optimal control, network optimization, and stochastic programming. Our approach uses a Krylov solver (GMRES) that is preconditioned with an alternating method of multipliers (ADMM). We show that this ADMM-GMRES approach overcomes well-known scalability issues of Schur complement decomposition in problems that exhibit a high degree of coupling. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated using linear systems that arise in stochastic optimal power flow problems and that contain up to 2 million total variables and 4,000 coupling variables. We find that ADMM-GMRES is nearly an order of magnitude faster than Schur complement decomposition. Moreover, we demonstrate that the approach is robust to the selection of the augmented Lagrangian penalty parameter, which is a key advantage over the direct use of ADMM.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Invertible neural networks for real-time control of extrusion additive manufacturing

Material extrusion additive manufacturing (AM) has enabled an elegant fabrication pathway for a vast material library. Nonetheless, each material requires optimization of printing parameters generally determined through significant trial-and-error testing. To eliminate arduous, iteration-based optimization approaches, many researchers have used machine learning (ML) algorithms which provide opportunities for automated process optimization. Here, in this work, we demonstrate the use of an ML-driven approach for real-time material extrusion print-parameter optimization through in-situ monitoring of printed line geometry. To do this, we use deep invertible neural networks (INNs) which can solve both forward and inverse, or optimization, problems using a single network. By combining in-situ computer vision and deep INNs, the printing parameters can be autonomously optimized to print a target line width in 1.2 s. Furthermore, defects that occur during printing can be rapidly identified and corrected autonomously. The methods developed and presented in this work eliminate user-intensive, time-consuming, and iterative parameter discovery approaches that currently limit accelerated implementation of extrusion-based AM processes. Furthermore, the presented approach can be generalized to provide real-time monitoring and optimization pathways for increasingly complex AM environments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Adjustment of Non-linear Interaction Parameters for Relativistic Mean Field Approach by Using Artificial Neural Networks

The relativistic mean field (RMF) model with a small number of adjusted parameters has been used successfully in the last thirty years for predictions of various ground-state nuclear properties of nuclei. In this model, Dirac and Klein–Gordon like equations obtained from application of variation principle on phenomenological Lagrangian density are solved iteratively for calculations of nuclear properties of nuclei. For this purpose, parameters such as masses of considered mesons, nucleon–meson coupling constants, and self-couplings of mesons are needed and they are fitted from experimental data. Some parameter sets for RMF model introduced to correct predictions of nuclear properties of nuclei cover nuclidic chart. Besides Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method is used successfully in many field of science as in nuclear physics. ANN is known as a very powerful tool that are used when standard techniques fail to estimate the correlation between the variables. In the present study, ANN method has been employed to check its understanding capability of relations between RMF model parameters and their predictions on the ground-state binding energies of some spherical nuclei. Understanding capability of ANN method for these relations of considered nuclei has been found well. Based on this success, new non-linear parameter set for RMF model called DEFNE by us have been produced by using ANN method. Furthermore, predictions of RMF model with DEFNE parameter set for ground-state binding energies and charge radii of nuclei cover nuclidic chart have been found as in agreement with the available experimental data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Energy-efficient multimodal mobility networks in transportation digital twins: Strategies and optimization

The study proposes a comprehensive Transportation Mobility (TransitMo) framework covering conceptual design, model formulation, optimization, simulation, and impact analysis of the transportation mobility system. TransitMo is composed of a transportation digital twin developed in Simulation of Urban MObility (SUMO) and an Intelligent Traffic Management and Control Center (ITMCC) that identifies the best ways to improve the movement of people within urban areas using various modes of transportation. This study encompasses advanced modeling techniques, algorithms, and strategic testing to optimize energy efficiency and mobility in a multimodal shared mobility network. TransitMo’s practical applications are exemplified through a city-scaled simulation network in Chattanooga, TN, employing demographic data to analyze historical traffic patterns and forecast future demands. Central to this methodology are three models: the User Preference Model (UP), the Energy Consumption Model (EC), and the System Optimization Model (SO). These models work in concert to iteratively devise the optimal travel incentives and minimize the total system cost in a real-time manner. In conclusion, test results verified that the proposed adaptive incentive program and optimized bus scheduling can improve network performance by increasing public transit ridership.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Middleware for a Heterogeneous CAV Fleet

This paper introduces CAN to ROS, a model-based code generation tool used in development, testing, and deployment of a heterogeneous fleet of vehicles with robotic sensing in ROS. Code generation supports two main features: (1) self-configuration for deployment in a heterogeneous vehicle fleet, and (2) quick iteration for testing and development of reading vehicle sensors and robotic control. This tool features the ability to detect the vehicle it is in and regenerate and rebuild itself at runtime to provide the proper two-way bridge between ROS and the sensed on-board vehicle sensor network. Code generation relies on a per-model defined JSON to map a CAN database (DBC) to the desired ROS topic names and message types. The live ROS publishing of CAN messages allows for instant feedback, and the code regeneration allows for adjustments in DBC or vehicle JSON to iteratively hone in on new vehicle signals. Generated ROS nodes are written in C++ for runtime use in lightweight embedded computers. This has been tested in vehicles from three different Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), and can be extended to support a wide array of vehicles. By using a unifying ROS specification, a heterogeneous set of vehicles can be unified into a fleet with abstracted model-specific details; this opens the door for developing cross-model software applications for vehicle control, connected vehicle applications, or fleet monitoring systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Development of models for predicting Torsade de Pointes cardiac arrhythmias using perceptron neural networks

Background: Blockage of some ion channels and in particular, the hERG (human Ether-a’-go-go-Related Gene) cardiac potassium channel delays cardiac repolarization and can induce arrhythmia. In some cases it leads to a potentially life-threatening arrhythmia known as Torsade de Pointes (TdP). Therefore recognizing drugs with TdP risk is essential. Candidate drugs that are determined not to cause cardiac ion channel blockage are more likely to pass successfully through clinical phases II and III trials (and preclinical work) and not be withdrawn even later from the marketplace due to cardiotoxic effects. The objective of the present study is to develop an SAR (Structure-Activity Relationship) model that can be used as an early screen for torsadogenic (causing TdP arrhythmias) potential in drug candidates. The method is performed using descriptors comprised of atomic NMR chemical shifts (13C and 15N NMR) and corresponding interatomic distances which are combined into a 3D abstract space matrix. The method is called 3D-SDAR (3-dimensional spectral data-activity relationship) and can be interrogated to identify molecular features responsible for the activity, which can in turn yield simplified hERG toxicophores. A dataset of 55 hERG potassium channel inhibitors collected from Kramer et al. consisting of 32 drugs with TdP risk and 23 with no TdP risk was used for training the 3D-SDAR model. Results: An artificial neural network (ANN) with multilayer perceptron was used to define collinearities among the independent 3D-SDAR features. A composite model from 200 random iterations with 25% of the molecules in each case yielded the following figures of merit: training, 99.2%; internal test sets, 66.7%; external (blind validation) test set, 68. 4%. In the external test set, 70.3% of positive TdP drugs were correctly predicted. Moreover, toxicophores were generated from TdP drugs. Conclusion: A 3D-SDAR was successfully used to build a predictive model for drug-induced torsadogenic and non-torsadogenic drugs based on 55 compounds. The model was tested in 38 external drugs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of non-uniform void distributions on the yielding of metals

High-throughput (several thousand) calculations have been carried out to investigate the yield behavior of porous materials with randomly distributed pores, porosity levels over four orders of magnitude and up to a hundred pores per simulation box. To this end, a Galerkin based fast Fourier transform (FFT) formulation was enhanced to deal with high phase contrast materials. In addition, GPU parallelization was employed in solving the governing equation for strain fluctuations using a Krylov iterative solver. Emphasis is laid on the conditions under which percolation of plastically non-deforming zones through the porous network emerge, a regime termed unhomogeneous yielding. By way of contrast, the regime where the plastic strain fluctuations (associated with the heterogeneous void-matrix aggregate) fall below the percolation threshold is defined as homogeneous yielding. Here, we find that nonuniform pore distributions only affect unhomogeneous yielding and have a universal softening effect. The extent of this distribution softening is analyzed as a function of porosity, cell size and number of realizations. Whether the uncovered universal distribution softening has direct implications on failure resistance of porous materials is discussed.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗