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At least 271 records · Page 15

Evaluating Subgrid-Scale Properties of Low Clouds over the Beaufort Sea in Arctic System Reanalysis using ARISE Airborne In Situ Observations

Arctic low clouds influence the evolution of the Arctic system through their effects on radiative fluxes, boundary layer mixing, stability, turbulence, humidity, and precipitation. Unfortunately, atmospheric models and retrospective analysis (reanalysis) products struggle to accurately simulate the occurrence and properties of low clouds in the Arctic. To better understand the magnitude and possible causes of this problem, we analyze the disagreements between the Arctic System Reanalysis version 2 (ASR) and data taken during the September 2014 Arctic Radiation-IceBridge Sea and Ice Experiment (ARISE) airborne campaign conducted over the Beaufort Sea. Previous analysis of grid scale-averaged meteorological variables revealed a lack of cloud water produced in ASR, related to warm/dry biases, a failure to produce sufficient cloud water in conditions that are observed to be favorable for large cloud water values, and sampling issues with the ARISE flight paths. However, ARISE collected meteorological observations at one second intervals, offering spatial data resolution comparable to the subgrid scale of ASR. Subgrid scale properties and processes must be parameterized in conventional atmospheric models and reanalyses such as ASR, and often rely on assumed distributions of meteorological variables about the grid box mean state. To enable an examination of the realism of ASR’s subgrid scale properties, we use high resolution data from ARISE determine the “subgrid scale” distributions of cloud water and thermodynamic variables in the real atmosphere. Preliminary results show that the subgrid scale distribution of thermodynamic variables about the grid scale mean resembles the triangular distribution assumed in many bulk microphysical parameterization schemes, but also with tails resembling Gaussian distributions. The main goal is to understand the partitioning of the total available atmospheric water into water vapor and cloud water. Models typically covert some percentage of total water in a grid box to cloud water based on the estimated amount of supersaturation from the assumed vapor distribution. The ARISE measurements can reveal the relationship between subgrid scale supersaturation and the partition between cloud water and water vapor.

Jason Brant Dodson↗

Predictions of LAGOON Nose Landing Gear Flow and Noise Using Wall-Modeled Large-Eddy Simulations

Wall-modeled large-eddy simulations (WMLESs) of the LAGOON nose landing gear are conducted with compressible Navier–Stokes equations and immersed boundary technique using the Launch, Ascent, and Vehicle Aerodynamics (LAVA) framework. The simulations are conducted using six different Cartesian octree meshes for the grid sensitivity analysis of the near-field and far-field numerical predictions, where the far-field noise results are computed with the Ffowcs Williams–Hawkings acoustic analogy. The effects of numerical tripping induced at the exact locations of the tripping devices in the experiments are also examined. In general, better comparison with the experimental results are shown for the the near-field results obtained with the simulations under the effects of numerical tripping. The effects of tripping are not significant on the far-field noise calculations and the results have reasonable comparison with the experimental data in the low and medium frequency ranges when an impermeable formulation of the acoustic analogy is used.

CST↗

Developing Satellite-Assisted Particulate Matter (SAPM) Estimates over India for the MIRA Working Group

The Models, In Situ, and Remote Sensing of Aerosols (MIRA) Working Group is an international collective that encourages collaboration among researchers from these three atmospheric aerosol communities. MIRA currently comprises five interdisciplinary and independently funded Topic Groups, each with specific goals, and involves requests for additional scientific datasets. The Satellite-Assisted Particulate Matter (SAPM) Topic Group, as part of MIRA, focuses on studying particulate matter smaller than 2.5 microns in diameter (PM2.5) due to its significant contribution to air pollution and its harmful effects on human health. While the annual mean PM2.5 levels are typically low (~5-15 μg/m³) across most of the contiguous United States (CONUS), other countries experience much higher concentrations (e.g., India). SAPM aims to compare different methods and techniques for obtaining surface PM2.5 proxies using spaceborne passive and active remote sensors, aerosol models, and in situ measurements. Ultimately, SAPM aims to provide more extensive coverage of PM2.5 concentrations than what is currently available from in situ ground stations, which are limited in some parts of the CONUS and large regions worldwide. Current SAPM members are exploring PM2.5 estimation techniques using active sensors. This presentation offers an overview of these techniques and highlights the strengths and limitations of each approach. These techniques include 1) spaceborne lidar (CALIOP: Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization) alone, and 2) a combination of spaceborne lidar (CATS: Cloud Aerosol Transport System) and a global aerosol transport model (GEOS: Goddard Earth Observing System). Additionally, we present a case study featuring our SAPM research in India, a country with high levels of PM2.5 concentrations (i.e., state-level annual means of ~100-200 μg/m³). Consistent spatial patterns in PM2.5 over India are found from the in situ data, CALIOP-based, and CATS/model-based methods, with the highest concentrations found in northern India near New Delhi. The gridded PM2.5 analysis yields high R values between in situ and CATS/model (~0.7) and between in situ and CALIOP nighttime (~0.9), as well as good agreement between CATS/model and CALIOP nighttime PM2.5 estimates (R = ~0.8 and slope = ~0.9). For current and future efforts, the SAPM Topic Group is actively seeking new collaborators, especially those working with in situ aerosol measurements, and is interested in acquiring additional aerosol datasets to improve and validate the PM2.5 proxies.

Travis D Toth↗

Physically Realistic Estimates of Electric Water Heater Demand Response Resource

Multiple grid integration studies have examined the value of demand response, including from water heaters, to bulk power systems. Common shortcomings of these studies include physically unrealistic assumptions. For example, studies often assume that all electric water heater load can be shed for up to an hour to provide capacity or contingency service, that all electric water heater load is shiftable, and that round-trip efficiencies for shifting service are 100%. Another issue is that simply summing up estimates of individual water heaters' flexibility bounds, an attractive idea for constructing the MW-scale resources necessary for direct inclusion in grid investment and operational models, can result in significant overestimates of actual resource, because, e.g., a water heater with the ability to reduce load may not be able sustain the reduction for as long as the aggregate model suggests is possible. This presentation demonstrates the impact of estimating the flexibility of electric water heaters with physically realistic models suitable for grid service analysis. Electric water heater flexibility representations are constructed based on ResStock simulations of New England. Specifically, we examine contingency resource (related to capacity, shed, and contingency reserve services) and energy shifting resource from electric resistance and heat pump water heaters. Different estimation methods are compared; and the surrogate models' event responses are validated against events directly simulated in EnergyPlus. We also demonstrate the impact of using electric water heaters for contingency reserves and energy shifting in detailed models of possible future ISO New England power systems.

building energy modeling↗

FORCE Development Status Update: Vertical Integration and Benchmarking of System Dynamics

Recent efforts to establish effective models for grid energy analysis, especially given the increase in variable renewable energy (VRE) sources and the economic challenges faced by traditional nuclear energy, have generated new technological considerations. One effort to improve the economic viability of nuclear power involves investigating integrated energy systems (IES) which include secondary energy systems that introduce flexibility and secondary market possibilities to existing and perceived future nuclear energy generation technologies. To analyze the technical and economic potential of IES, the Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite was developed through a collaboration among national laboratories. Within the FORCE tool suite, the Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network (HERON) provides algorithms for analyzing the long-term viability of potential IES technologies, while HYBRID provides algorithms and models to achieve high-resolution analysis of coupling physics over a short time period. Continued maturing of the FORCE tool suite requires further interconnections between the various tools in the suite in order to ensure consistent analysis. Analyses performed by applying HYBRID to transient process modeling should be easily harvestable as inputs to HERON analyses. The first item in this status update is a demonstration of an automated data pipeline for loading data from HYBRID into HERON analyses. Application of HYBRID results to HERON, as part of using the FORCE tool suite, relies on robust modeling assumptions for the various models included in HYBRID. The second result of this status update is the benchmarking and validation of cost and operational data, with a particular focus on natural gas energy generators. These generators are benchmarked with a focus on contrasting them with proposed thermal energy storage (TES) technologies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Accelerating Nuclear-Integrated Data Centers in the USA: SWOT Analysis, Power-Thermal Management Strategies, and Industrial-Scale Demonstration and Potential Deployment

Driven by the growth in digital services, cloud computing, AI, and manufacturing, data centers face rising energy demands that challenge traditional power sources and cooling efficiency. This study explores using nuclear power to meet these demands, focusing on accelerated reactor technology deployment and highlighting needs such as N+1/N+2 power supplies and integrated power-thermal management. A SWOT analysis addresses grid connectivity, reactors, and site selection, particularly DOE sites. Reactor technology demonstration and deployment could be accelerated by leveraging test facilities such as MARVEL, MAGNET, TED, FAS, DOME, LOTUS, ATR, Energy System Proving Grounds, and upcoming Energy Launch Pads, along with modeling and simulation tools such as RELAP5, MOOSE, VERA, RAVEN, and FORCE. The potential power and thermal management options, including various cooling technologies, waste-heat utilization, and an industrial-scale demonstration plan, aim to accelerate the integration of nuclear power and data centers in the USA, while emphasizing community and stakeholder engagement and synergistic efforts.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

Application of VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) data in weather analysis

A technique which analyzes irregularly spaced satellite data is described. An experiment with rawinsonde and VISSR Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) radiance measurements collected on March 6-7, 1982 is conducted to reveal the applicability of the technique. The rawinsonde data are analyzed on a 16 x 12 grid using the two pass analysis scheme of Barnes (1973). A scheme similar to the Barnes (1973) procedure is employed to produce gridded analysis of VAS data over a 200 x 15000 km region in central part of the U.S. The use of a correction pass on the initial gridded field is described; the technique is extremely effective on uniformly spaced observations. The incorporation of the limited fine mesh model to the scheme to analyze data in sparse and cloudy regions is examined. A comparison of rawinsonde data with VAS data is provided. The technique proves effective for studying cloudy and sparse areas with VAS data and produces a four-dimensional data set with significant mesoscale structure.

Jedlovec, G. J.↗

Analysis of the error associated with grid representation of point sources

The steady-state, three-dimensional transport equation for inert pollutant dispersion in the atmosphere is solved analytically to obtain expressions for pollutant concentrations from both a point source and a rectangular area source. The results of this analysis have application to numerical grid models in which the smallest resolvable source is the size of a single grid. The concentrations at ground level along the plume centerline from the two types of sources are in close agreement with each other at distances greater than 10 km downwind when the horizontal dimension of the rectangular source is not less than 100 m. The dimension of the source in the vertical direction is held constant at 50 m. Similar results are obtained for concentrations along the plume centerline at the effective stack height. When the size of the source in the crosswind direction is increased to 1 km, good agreement between the two concentrations is obtained for downwind distances over 60 km for the ground level case and over 140 km for the concentration at stack height level. For the horizontal dimension equal to 10 km, good agreement between the two cases is only obtained at extremely large downwind distances at both the stack height and ground levels.

Karamchandani, P.↗

Simulation of 2-dimensional viscous flow through cascades using a semi-elliptic analysis and hybrid C-H grids

A semi-elliptic formulation, termed the interacting parabolized Navier-Stokes (IPNS) formulation, is developed for the analysis of a class of subsonic viscous flows for which streamwise diffusion is neglible but which are significantly influenced by upstream interactions. The IPNS equations are obtained from the Navier-Stokes equations by dropping the streamwise viscous-diffusion terms but retaining upstream influence via the streamwise pressure-gradient. A two-step alternating-direction-explicit numerical scheme is developed to solve these equations. The quasi-linearization and discretization of the equations are carefully examined so that no artificial viscosity is added externally to the scheme. Also, solutions to compressible as well as nearly compressible flows are obtained without any modification either in the analysis or in the solution process. The procedure is applied to constricted channels and cascade passages formed by airfoils of various shapes. These geometries are represented using numerically generated curilinear boundary-oriented coordinates forming an H-grid. A hybrid C-H grid, more appropriate for cascade of airfoils with rounded leading edges, was also developed. Satisfactory results are obtained for flows through cascades of Joukowski airfoils.

Ramamurti, R.↗

Enabling a Flexible Grid with Increased Penetration of DER: Techno-economic Analysis of Metal Hydride Thermochemical Energy Storage Integrated with Stirling Engine for Grid Energy Storage Applications

This report summarizes the results of a techno-economic assessment of the capital and operational expenses for 3 scenarios utilizing a TES/Stirling engine system which is charged by an electric heater to provide grid power and energy storage. While there are several integration possibilities and material choices that could be utilized in such systems, three difference scenarios were chosen for this assessment to reflect an anticipated deployment of the technology where each might require different TES system configurations. Additionally, an enhanced version of the HTMH is considered to demonstrate the expected impact on costs with further technology development. The predicted capital and operational LCOS for the system configurations range from $0.0198/kWhr e - $0.0734/kWhr e which compare positively to the LCOS for lithium ion battery storage ranging from $0.087/kWhr e – $0.329/kWhr e . The key drivers for cost improvements to the system are material property enhancements in the HTMH primarily related to reducing the costs associated with the HTMH vessel and heat exchangers. This analysis demonstrates the potential benefits and flexibility of integrating a Stirling engine with a metal hydride-based TES system and suggests that the MH TES technology, at its current level of development, provides a highly competitive alternative to lithium ion batteries for large scale grid energy storage applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Aerodynamic analysis of complex configurations using unstructured grids

The purpose of this paper is to assess the accuracy and utility of a new unstructured, inviscid, upwind flow solver for the aerodynamic analysis of two aircraft configurations. The two configurations consist of a low-wing transport with nacelle/pylon on and off, and a generic high-speed civil transport. Computations are made at subsonic and transonic Mach numbers for the low-wing transport and at transonic and low-supersonic speeds for the high-speed civil transport. The results include an assessment of grid sensitivity and provide comparisons with experimental data.

Frink, Neal T.↗

Automatic structured grid generation using Gridgen (some restrictions apply)

The authors have noticed in the recent grid generation literature an emphasis on the automation of structured grid generation. The motivation behind such work is clear; grid generation is easily the most despised task in the grid-analyze-visualize triad of computational analysis (CA). However, because grid generation is closely coupled to both the design and analysis software and because quantitative measures of grid quality are lacking, 'push button' grid generation usually results in a compromise between speed, control, and quality. Overt emphasis on automation obscures the substantive issues of providing users with flexible tools for generating and modifying high quality grids in a design environment. In support of this paper's tongue-in-cheek title, many features of the Gridgen software are described. Gridgen is by no stretch of the imagination an automatic grid generator. Despite this fact, the code does utilize many automation techniques that permit interesting regenerative features.

Chawner, John R.↗

Incorporating Parallel Computing into the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System (GEOS DAS)

Atmospheric data assimilation is a method of combining actual observations with model forecasts to produce a more accurate description of the earth system than the observations or forecast alone can provide. The output of data assimilation, sometimes called the analysis, are regular, gridded datasets of observed and unobserved variables. Analysis plays a key role in numerical weather prediction and is becoming increasingly important for climate research. These applications, and the need for timely validation of scientific enhancements to the data assimilation system pose computational demands that are best met by distributed parallel software. The mission of the NASA Data Assimilation Office (DAO) is to provide datasets for climate research and to support NASA satellite and aircraft missions. The system used to create these datasets is the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System (GEOS DAS). The core components of the the GEOS DAS are: the GEOS General Circulation Model (GCM), the Physical-space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS), the Observer, the on-line Quality Control (QC) system, the Coupler (which feeds analysis increments back to the GCM), and an I/O package for processing the large amounts of data the system produces (which will be described in another presentation in this session). The discussion will center on the following issues: the computational complexity for the whole GEOS DAS, assessment of the performance of the individual elements of GEOS DAS, and parallelization strategy for some of the components of the system.

Larson, Jay W.↗

Power System Event Detection Using the Energy Detector: A Performance Analysis

As the grid becomes smarter, the need to accurately detect, predict, and classify waveform phenomena is growing. When it comes to detecting high-frequency behaviors, i.e. transients, it is especially important to employ an event detection system that is able to accurately uncover these types of disturbances that would otherwise be lost with traditional hardware. In this paper, we first present the energy detector; a waveform event detection system that adaptively monitors a signal's energy and picks out high-frequency events that deviate from the nominal state. Secondly, we evaluate the performance of this detector against waveform data that have been corrupted by sensor irregularities. Using Oak Ridge National Laboratory's sensor testbed, we are able to show the results of the detector's performance against events that have been corrupted by three distinct sensor types, and examine how these results change with multiple trials. The results show excellent performance when detecting the beginning of an anomalous event with an average of less than 1% error.

Ekti, Ali Riza↗

A method of selecting grid size to account for Hertz deformation in finite element analysis of spur gears

A method of selecting grid size for the finite element analysis of gear tooth deflection is presented. The method is based on a finite element study of two cylinders in line contact, where the criterion for establishing element size was that there be agreement with the classical Hertzian solution for deflection. The results are applied to calculate deflection for the gear specimen used in the NASA spur gear test rig. Comparisons are made between the present results and the results of two other methods of calculation. The results have application in design of gear tooth profile modifications to reduce noise and dynamic loads.

Coy, J. J.↗

A Dynamic Contingency Analysis Visualization Tool

We are developing a web-based visualization that shows the results of running a contingency analysis on a power grid system. Power grid analysists will be able to use this tool to visualize power event simulations and be better prepared for contingencies that may arise. The tool consists of a map, showing the power grid and its current state, and tables and charts showing the current status of various elements on the grid. The user can iterate over a number of cascading contingencies to visualize how the power grid will change under various scenarios.

Contingency analysis, power grid, smart grid, visu↗

Feasibility Study on Implementing a Staggered-Grid Finite Volume Method for System Analysis Code Development Under the MOOSE Framework

Here, this work summarizes a feasibility study on testing numerical algorithms that are suitable and efficient for advanced system analysis code development under the mutli-physics framework, MOOSE. The key to the test bed is the implementation of high-order one-dimensional staggered-grid finite volume method (SG-FVM), and its direct interaction with the linear/nonlinear solver, PETSc. The test bed utilized a more flexible code structure to enable the finite volume method implementation and direct interacting with the solver package, instead of using the natively supported finite element method by the framework. Using a suite of selected test problems with different problem sizes and levels of complexity, the implemented SG-FVM demonstrated superior performance improvement against a direct finite element method implementation through MOOSE. On two computer systems, the speedup was observed to be significant, with at least one order of magnitude of solving time reduction. For a complex reactor model, transient simulation was performed using the newly developed finite volume method code, the results of which agree very well with the reference results from the finite element method code. Overall, this study demonstrates a successful feasibility study on the proposed numerical algorithms and software structure to support advanced system analysis tool development.

MOOSE↗

Aerodynamic Shape Sensitivity Analysis and Design Optimization of Complex Configurations Using Unstructured Grids

A three-dimensional unstructured grid approach to aerodynamic shape sensitivity analysis and design optimization has been developed and is extended to model geometrically complex configurations. The advantage of unstructured grids (when compared with a structured-grid approach) is their inherent ability to discretize irregularly shaped domains with greater efficiency and less effort. Hence, this approach is ideally suited for geometrically complex configurations of practical interest. In this work the nonlinear Euler equations are solved using an upwind, cell-centered, finite-volume scheme. The discrete, linearized systems which result from this scheme are solved iteratively by a preconditioned conjugate-gradient-like algorithm known as GMRES for the two-dimensional geometry and a Gauss-Seidel algorithm for the three-dimensional; similar procedures are used to solve the accompanying linear aerodynamic sensitivity equations in incremental iterative form. As shown, this particular form of the sensitivity equation makes large-scale gradient-based aerodynamic optimization possible by taking advantage of memory efficient methods to construct exact Jacobian matrix-vector products. Simple parameterization techniques are utilized for demonstrative purposes. Once the surface has been deformed, the unstructured grid is adapted by considering the mesh as a system of interconnected springs. Grid sensitivities are obtained by differentiating the surface parameterization and the grid adaptation algorithms with ADIFOR (which is an advanced automatic-differentiation software tool). To demonstrate the ability of this procedure to analyze and design complex configurations of practical interest, the sensitivity analysis and shape optimization has been performed for a two-dimensional high-lift multielement airfoil and for a three-dimensional Boeing 747-200 aircraft.

Taylor, Arthur C., III↗