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At least 271 records · Page 15

Modeling Flexible Generator Operating Regions via Chance- constrained Stochastic Unit Commitment

Here, we introduce a novel chance-constrained stochastic unit commitment model to address uncertainty in renewables' production uncertainty in power systems operation. For most thermal generators,underlying technical constraints that are universally treated as "hard" by deterministic unit commitment models are in fact based on engineering judgments, such that system operators can periodically request operation outside these limits in non-nominal situations, e.g., to ensure reliability. We incorporate this practical consideration into a chance-constrained stochastic unit commitment model, specifically by in-frequently allowing minor deviations from the minimum and maximum thermal generator power output levels. We demonstrate that an extensive form of our model is computationally tractable for medium-sized power systems given modest numbers of scenarios for renewables' production. We show that the model is able to potentially save significant annual production costs by allowing infrequent and controlled violation of the traditionally hard bounds imposed on thermal generator production limits. Finally, we conduct a sensitivity analysis of optimal solutions to our model under two restricted regimes and observe similar qualitative results.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Estimation of the Surface Fluxes for Heat and Momentum in Unstable Conditions with Machine Learning and Similarity Approaches for the LAFE Data Set

Abstract Measurements of three flux towers operated during the land atmosphere feedback experiment (LAFE) are used to investigate relationships between surface fluxes and variables of the land–atmosphere system. We study these relations by means of two machine learning (ML) techniques: multilayer perceptrons (MLP) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB). We compare their flux derivation performance with Monin–Obukhov similarity theory (MOST) and a similarity relationship using the bulk Richardson number (BRN). The ML approaches outperform MOST and BRN. Best agreement with the observations is achieved for the friction velocity. For the sensible heat flux and even more so for the latent heat flux, MOST and BRN deviate from the observations while MLP and XGB yield more accurate predictions. Using MOST and BRN for latent heat flux, the root mean square errors (RMSE) are 107 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 and 121 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 , respectively, as well as the intercepts of the regression lines are $$\approx 110$$ ≈ 110 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 . For the ML methods, the RMSEs reduce to 31 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 for MLP and 33 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 for XGB as well as the intercepts to just 4 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 for MLP and $$-1$$ - 1 Wm $$^{-2}$$ - 2 for XGB with slopes of the regression lines close to 1, respectively. These results indicate significant deficiencies of MOST and BRN, particularly for the derivation of the latent heat flux. In fact, in contrast to the established theories, feature importance weighting demonstrates that the ML methods base their improved derivations on net radiation, the incoming and outgoing shortwave radiations, the air temperature gradient, and the available water contents, but not on the water vapor gradient. The results imply that further studies of surface fluxes and other turbulent variables with ML techniques provide great promise for deriving advanced flux parameterizations and their implementation in land–atmosphere system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Three-dimensional fracture continuum characterization aided by surface time-domain electromagnetics and hydrogeophysical joint inversion—proof-of-concept

Efficient and safe production of hydraulically fractured reservoirs benefits from the prediction of their geometrical attributes. Geophysical methods have the potential to provide data that are sensitive to fracture geometries, alleviating the typically sparse nature of in situ reservoir observations. Moreover, surface-based methods can be logistically and economically attractive since they avoid operational interference with the injection well infrastructure. Here, we investigate the potential of the surface-based time-domain electromagnetic (EM) method. EM methods can play an important role owing to their sensitivity to injection-induced fluid property changes. Two other advantageous factors are the EM signal-enhancing effect of vertical steel-cased wells and the fact that injected proppants can be enhanced to produce a stronger electrical conductivity contrast with the reservoir’s connate fluid. Nevertheless, an optimal fracture characterization will no doubt require the integration of EM and reservoir injection and production data. We hence carry out our investigations within a hydrogeophysical parameter estimation framework where EM data and injection flow rates are combined in a fully coupled way. Given the interdisciplinary nature of coupled hydrogeophysical inverse modeling, we dedicate one section to laying out key aspects in a didactic manner.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Causal sets and an emerging continuum

Abstract Causal set theory offers a simple and elegant picture of discrete physics. But the vast majority of causal sets look nothing at all like continuum spacetimes, and must be excluded in some way to obtain a realistic theory. I describe recent results showing that almost all non-manifoldlike causal sets are, in fact, very strongly suppressed in the gravitational path integral. This does not quite demonstrate the emergence of a continuum—we do not yet understand the remaining unsuppressed causal sets well enough—but it is a significant step in that direction.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Thermodynamics and kinetics of precipitation and austenite reversion during aging of Ti-free grade 300 maraging steel manufactured by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF)

Austenite reversion and intermetallic precipitation are two key phase transformations in maraging steels which determine the strength and ductility. Usually, an optimum aging temperature/time is determined using trial and error approach with inputs from thermodynamic databases and a-posteriori microscopy/hardness evaluations. In this study, a thermo-kinetic model is developed to predict the precipitation and austenite reversion kinetics during various post-fabrication heat treatments in a Ti-free variant of grade 300 maraging steel manufactured using laser powder bed fusion. The thermo-kinetic model was based on the principles of Scheil solidification and the classical nucleation theory. The predictions from the thermo-kinetic model were verified using suitable microscopy techniques, and the results from the thermo-kinetic model agree well with the experimental measurements. Overall, results highlight the fact that an Integrated Computational Materials Engineering approach can be used to predict the precipitation and austenite reversion kinetics, and be used as an input for an efficient design of heat treatments for achieving optimum mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of uranium metal carbon content on hydriding kinetics and corrosion blister number/area at sub-ambient pressures

Carbon is a common impurity in uranium metal, resulting in a number of uranium–carbon inclusion phases that contribute to an increase in metal defect density as carbon content increases. It is widely held that uranium hydride corrosion preferentially nucleates at these defect sites, and that an increase in carbon content will therefore represents an increase in uranium hydride corrosion sites on the metal surface. We hydrided six uranium sources with differing carbon contents to explore whether this assumption holds in a sub-ambient (~ 0.1 atm hydrogen), sealed environment, and report the resulting reaction kinetics and uranium hydride blister benchmarking data. We find that carbon content is not strongly correlated with reaction kinetics terms or the resulting hydride blister number and area, but that there is a tight relationship between corrosion blister number/area and kinetics as is expected. Further, we find that there is a strong trend of decreasing variance in the blister number, blister area, and induction time as carbon content increases (higher carbon content results in more reproducible blister populations). Additionally, we find a narrow band of uranium metal consumption at the end of the parabolic phase of reaction progress (beginning of linear growth phase) of 0.098 ± 0.011 w/w%, a fact that may be useful in assaying hydrogen corrosion of uranium metal within sealed environments generally.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Distinguishing Tidal Disruption Events from Impostors

Recent claimed detections of tidal disruption events (TDEs) in multi-wavelength data have opened potential new windows into the evolution and properties of otherwise dormant supermassive black holes (SMBHs) in the centres of galaxies. At present, there are several dozen TDE candidates, which share some properties and differ in others. The range in properties is broad enough to overlap other transient types, such as active galactic nuclei (AGN) and supernovae (SNe), which can make TDE classification ambiguous. A further complication is that “TDE signatures” have not been uniformly observed to similar sensitivities or even targeted across all candidates. This chapter both reviews those events that are unusual relative to other TDEs, including the possibility of TDEs in pre-existing AGN, and summarises those characteristics thought to best distinguish TDEs from continuously accreting AGN, strongly flaring AGN, SNe, and Gamma-Ray Bursts (GRBs), as well as other potential impostors like stellar collisions, “micro-TDEs,” and circumbinary accretion flows. We conclude that multiple observables should be used to classify any one event as a TDE. We also consider the TDE candidate population as a whole, which, for certain host galaxy or SMBH characteristics, is distinguishable statistically from non-TDEs, suggesting that at least some TDE candidates do in fact arise from SMBH-disrupted stars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Revisiting the ODE Method for Recursive Algorithms: Fast Convergence Using Quasi Stochastic Approximation

Several decades ago, Profs. Sean Meyn and Lei Guo were postdoctoral fellows at ANU, where they shared interest in recursive algorithms. It seems fitting to celebrate Lei Guo's 60th birthday with a review of the ODE Method and its recent evolution. The method has been regarded as a technique for algorithm analysis. It is argued that this viewpoint is backwards: The original stochastic approximation method was surely motivated by an ODE, and tools for analysis came much later (based on establishing robustness of Euler approximations). The paper presents a brief survey of recent research in machine learning that shows the power of algorithm design in continuous time, following by careful approximation to obtain a practical recursive algorithm. While these methods are usually presented in a stochastic setting, this is not a prerequisite. In fact, recent theory shows that rates of convergence can be dramatically accelerated by applying techniques inspired by quasi Monte-Carlo. Subject to conditions, the optimal rate of convergence can be obtained by applying the averaging technique of Polyak and Ruppert. The conditions are not universal, but theory suggests alternatives to achieve acceleration. The theory is illustrated with applications to gradient-free optimization, and policy gradient algorithms for reinforcement learning.

learning and adaptive systems in artificial intell↗

Tighter reformulations using classical Dawson and Sankoff bounds for approximating two-stage chance-constrained programs

We extend and improve recent results given by Singh and Watson on using classical bounds on the union of sets in a chance-constrained optimization problem. Specifically, we revisit the so-called Dawson and Sankoff bound that provided one of the best approximations of a chance constraint in the previous analysis. Next, we show that our work is a generalization of the previous work, and in fact the inequality employed previously is a very relaxed approximation with assumptions that do not generally hold. Computational results demonstrate on average over a 43% improvement in the bounds. As a byproduct, we provide an exact reformulation of the floor function in optimization models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fundamental Issues Identified for Thermodynamic Description of Molten Salt Systems

Thermodynamic modeling of the molten salt systems is critical in the design of advanced nuclear power plants, materials recycling, and many other important clean energy applications. As one of the most capable computational thermodynamic approaches, the CALPHAD (Calculation of Phase Diagrams) method has been widely used for multicomponent thermodynamic database development and further support more physics-based modeling. Although considerable CALPHAD modeling efforts for molten salt systems have been made, we found that no evaluation has been performed regarding the unary thermodynamic models for the molten salt systems despite the fact that more than one pure substance database is available for the CALPHAD modeling. Therefore, the thermodynamic descriptions of the pure salts should be critically evaluated to ensure a high-fidelity molten salt thermodynamic database. In this work, we comprehensively analyzed some selected molten salts using different available thermodynamic descriptions from two databases as an example. One is the SSUB database released by the SGTE (Scientific Group Thermodata Europe), and the other is the FactPS database from the FactSage. Finally, the significant discrepancies observed in the thermodynamic description between the existing CALPHAD pure substance databases and experiments call for an urgent effort to improve.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Leveraging Extremal Dependence to Better Characterize the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heatwave

Abstract In late June, 2021, a devastating heatwave affected the US Pacific Northwest and western Canada, breaking numerous all-time temperature records by large margins and directly causing hundreds of fatalities. The observed 2021 daily maximum temperature across much of the U.S. Pacific Northwest exceeded upper bound estimates obtained from single-station temperature records even after accounting for anthropogenic climate change, meaning that the event could not have been predicted under standard univariate extreme value analysis assumptions. In this work, we utilize a flexible spatial extremes model that considers all stations across the Pacific Northwest domain and accounts for the fact that many stations simultaneously experience extreme temperatures. Our analysis incorporates the effects of anthropogenic forcing and natural climate variability in order to better characterize time-varying changes in the distribution of daily temperature extremes. We show that greenhouse gas forcing, drought conditions and large-scale atmospheric modes of variability all have significant impact on summertime maximum temperatures in this region. Our model represents a significant improvement over corresponding single-station analysis, and our posterior medians of the upper bounds are able to anticipate more than 96% of the observed 2021 high station temperatures after properly accounting for extremal dependence. Supplementary materials accompanying this paper appear online.

Zhang, Likun (ORCID:0000000154584556)↗

Status on lattice calculations of the proton spin decomposition

Abstract Lattice calculations of the proton spin components is reviewed. The lattice results of the quark spin from the axial-vector current matrix element at ∼ 0.3−0.4 is smaller than those from the constituent quark models. This is largely due to the fact that the vacuum polarization contribution from the disconnected insertion is negative. Its connection with the anomalous Ward identity is clarified and verified numerically. This resolves the contentious issue in the “proton spin crisis.” The glue spin and angular momentum are found to be large and there is notable contribution from the quark orbital angular momentum. Renormalization, mixing, and normalization of the quark and glue angular momenta are discussed. With sufficient precision, they can be compared with more precise experimental measurements when the electron-ion collider facility is available.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Chapter 3 - Harvesting Thermal Energy with Ferroelectric Materials

Thermal energy is considered the ubiquitous form of energy as all other forms of energy ultimately degrade to thermal energy. Thermal to electrical energy conversion is currently an important method for electricity generation. The traditional power cycles, however, become technically and economically unviable when heat source temperature reduces below 100 °C. Thermal energy harvesting has been proposed as a viable alternative for low-grade thermal to electrical energy conversion. Thermal energy harvesting is a method of generating electricity using temperature-induced variations in material properties. It is particularly useful when the heat sources are available free-of-cost, either in the form of natural heat or waste heat. While there are several thermal energy harvesting techniques, pyroelectricity is the most promising as it can be used in situations where spatial thermal gradients are difficult to establish or the temperature of the heat source is changing. Despite the fact that the pyroelectric effect in ferroelectric materials has been known for past several decades, thermal energy harvesting using ferroelectric materials has not been much explored in the literature. In this chapter, we would explore various aspects of thermal energy harvesting using ferroelectric materials. We have first established the physics behind ferroelectricity, then provided a detailed description on ferroelectric thermal energy harvesting, discussed various ferroelectric thermodynamic cycles and devices proposed in the literature, and finally described various other emerging applications of ferroelectricity.

DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION,MATERIALS SCIENCE,OTHER I↗

Progress of Nanotechnology for Lithium-Sulfur Batteries

Lithium-Sulfur (Li-S) battery has been proposed and investigated since the 1960s as an effective energy storage device via reversible electrochemical reactions. As the fast development and commercialization of Li-ion battery (LIB) technology kept moving forward, no breakthroughs have been attained to solve critical technical issues facing Li-S batteries during the following decades. In the year 2000s, Li-S batteries reattracted significant interests in the research field owing to their low-cost advantages, high theoretical specific energy of 2600 Wh kg -1 , which is at least 3 times higher than the current LIB technology. The low-cost and high abundance of sulfur (i.e., the cathode active material), make Li-S batteries more appealing than LIBs given the fact that the latter use critical materials such as cobalt and nickel in the manufacturing of the cathodes. Moreover, the high-energy and low-cost features make the Li-S battery a promising energy storage technology in practical applications such as portable devices, electric vehicles, and grid storage when coupled with the harvesting of solar or wind renewable energies. For example, since 2007, SION Power Corporation (Tucson, USA) and Oxis Energy (UK) made progress towards the commercialization of Li-S batteries with products showing specific energies over 350 Wh kg -1 for powering electric vehicles. To be on a par with the current LIB technology, the ultimate goal of achieving 500 Wh kg -1 for Li-S battery will make it more competitive for widespread commercialization.

Li, Mengya↗

Direct interpolative construction of the discrete Fourier transform as a matrix product operator

The quantum Fourier transform (QFT), which can be viewed as a reindexing of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), has been shown to be compressible as a low-rank matrix product operator (MPO) or quantized tensor train (QTT) operator. However, the original proof of this fact does not furnish a construction of the MPO with a guaranteed error bound. Meanwhile, the existing practical construction of this MPO, based on the compression of a quantum circuit, is not as efficient as possible. We present a simple closed-form construction of the QFT MPO using the interpolative decomposition, with guaranteed near-optimal compression error for a given rank. This construction can speed up the application of the QFT and the DFT, respectively, in quantum circuit simulations and QTT applications. We also connect our interpolative construction to the approximate quantum Fourier transform (AQFT) by demonstrating that the AQFT can be viewed as an MPO constructed using a different interpolation scheme.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Nanoscale lattice strains in self-ion implanted tungsten

Developing a comprehensive understanding of the modification of material properties by neutron irradiation is important for the design of future fission and fusion power reactors. Self-ion implantation is commonly used to mimic neutron irradiation damage, however an interesting question concerns the effect of ion energy on the resulting damage structures. The reduction in the thickness of the implanted layer as the implantation energy is reduced results in the significant quandary: Does one attempt to match the primary knock-on atom energy produced during neutron irradiation or implant at a much higher energy, such that a thicker damage layer is produced? In this work, we address this question by measuring the full strain tensor for two ion implantation energies, 2 MeV and 20 MeV in self-ion implanted tungsten, a critical material for the first wall and divertor of fusion reactors. A comparison of 2 MeV and 20 MeV implanted samples is shown to result in similar lattice swelling. Multi-reflection Bragg coherent diffractive imaging (MBCDI) shows that implantation induced strain is in fact heterogeneous at the nanoscale, suggesting that there is a non-uniform distribution of defects, an observation that is not fully captured by micro-beam Laue diffraction. At the surface, MBCDI and high-resolution electron back-scattered diffraction (HR-EBSD) strain measurements agree quite well in terms of this clustering/non-uniformity of the strain distribution. However, MBCDI reveals that the heterogeneity at greater depths in the sample is much larger than at the surface. This combination of techniques provides a powerful method for detailed investigation of the microstructural damage caused by ion bombardment, and more generally of strain related phenomena in micro-volumes that are inaccessible via any other technique.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Defect behavior and radiation tolerance of MAB phases (MoAlB and Fe2AlB2) with comparison to MAX phases

MAB phases are a new class of layered ternary materials that have already shown a number of outstanding properties. Here, we investigate defect evolution and radiation tolerance of two MAB phases, MoAlB and Fe 2 AlB 2 , using a combination of experimental characterization and first-principles calculations. We find that Fe 2 AlB 2 is more tolerant to radiation-induced amorphization than MoAlB, both at 150 °C and at 300 °C. The results can be explained by the fact that the Mo Frenkel pair is unstable in MoAlB and as a result, irradiated MoAlB is expected to have a significant concentration of Mo Al antisites, which are difficult to anneal even at 300 °C. We find that the tolerance to radiation-induced amorphization of MAB phases is lower than in MAX phases, but it is comparable to that of SiC. However, MAB phases do not show radiation-induced cracking which is observed in MAX phases under the same irradiation conditions. This research suggests that MAB phases might be a promising class of materials for applications that involve radiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Three-dimensional atomic scale characterization of {11$\overline{2}$2} twin boundaries in titanium

The {11$\overline{2}$2}<11$\overline{23}$> compression twin can accommodate a considerable amount of strain under c-axis compression in Ti. However, unlike the tensile twin, the structure of the {10$\overline{1}$2}$\langle$$\overline{1}$011$\rangle$ compressive twins has not been completely characterized. In this study, we apply a combined technique of HR-TEM characterization, topological analysis, and atomistic simulations to explore the facets that bound the {11$\overline{2}$2}<11$\overline{23}$> twin in Ti. In addition to the currently known facets (CTB and B-Py), six new facets are observed and categorized for the first time from atomic-scale TEM observations along five crystallographic directions. The six new facets are (11$\overline{2}$0)//(11$\overline{2}$6), PrPr1, PyPy1, (2$\overline{11}$1)//($\overline{1}$2$\overline{1}$2), (1$\overline{1}$04)//(01$\overline{11}$), and (01$\overline{1}$0)//(2$\overline{11}$4). Results from the topological and computational analysis are in reasonable agreement with and support the HRTEM observations. Specifically, (1) the observed facets align with low-index interfaces in both twin and matrix domains, (2) the facets with lower surface energies are found to form extended interfaces, and (3) high-surface-energy facets are found at the twin tip region and explained by the fact that the energy of the combined facet and facet junction configuration is energetically preferred in the twin tip region. These results not only provide a comprehensive understanding of the 3D structure of the {11$\overline{2}$2}<11$\overline{23}$> compressive twins in Ti, but also validate the MD procedure and the Ti interatomic potential employed. This is extremely important for future study of the {11$\overline{2}$2} twin mobility and interactions with other defects, both features that remain extremely challenging to capture in experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗