Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Average Accuracy”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 271 records · Page 15

Maintaining Trust in Reduction: Preserving the Accuracy of Quantities of Interest for Lossy Compression

As the growth of data sizes continues to outpace computational resources, there is a pressing need for data reduction techniques that can significantly reduce the amount of data and quantify the error incurred in compression. Compressing scientific data presents many challenges for reduction techniques since it is often on non-uniform or unstructured meshes, is from a high-dimensional space, and has many Quantities of Interests (QoIs) that need to be preserved. To illustrate these challenges, we focus on data from a large scale fusion code, XGC. XGC uses a Particle-In-Cell (PIC) technique which generates hundreds of PetaBytes (PBs) of data a day, from thousands of timesteps. XGC uses an unstructured mesh, and needs to compute many QoIs from the raw data, f.One critical aspect of the reduction is that we need to ensure that QoIs derived from the data (density, temperature, flux surface averaged momentums, etc.) maintain a relative high accuracy. We show that by compressing XGC data on the high-dimensional, nonuniform grid on which the data is defined, and adaptively quantizing the decomposed coefficients based on the characteristics of the QoIs, the compression ratios at various error tolerances obtained using a multilevel compressor (MGARD) increases more than ten times. We then present how to mathematically guarantee that the accuracy of the QoIs computed from the reduced f is preserved during the compression. We show that the error in the XGC density can be kept under a user-specified tolerance over 1000 timesteps of simulation using the mathematical QoI error control theory of MGARD, whereas traditional error control on the data to be reduced does not guarantee the accuracy of the QoIs.

Gong, Qian↗

Regional-scale soil carbon predictions can be enhanced by transferring global-scale soil–environment relationships

Accurate modelling and mapping soil organic carbon are crucial for supporting soil health restoration and climate change mitigation at both regional and global scales. However, regional soil predictions often suffer from data scarcity and high prediction uncertainty. Utilizing a pre-trained global-to-regional soil carbon predictive model can be a potential solution to address this challenge. Despite its promise, how to construct and apply the global-scale model to enhance regional-scale soil carbon mapping remains largely unexplored. Here, we propose the Global Soil Carbon Pre-trained Model (GSoilCPM), a deep-learning-based domain adaptative model, to enhance regional-scale soil carbon predictions. Based on large amount of environmental covariate data and 106,167 soil samples across the globe, we verify our hypothesis of the effectiveness of this 'global-to-regional' modelling strategy. The pre-trained model can be then transferred and fine-tuned to bridge the regional- and global-scale soil–environment relationships. We applied and validated this modelling strategy in four regional-scale study areas, three in the Northern Hemisphere and one in the Southern Hemisphere, each with distinct environmental background. Compared to traditional modelling approaches as a baseline, four case studies all demonstrated significant improvement in prediction accuracy across diverse environments and varying data availabilities. The average percentage improvement across all regions is 10.93% (absolute values decreased by 1.20 g kg−1 averagely) in MAE and 29.04% (absolute values increased by 0.10 averagely) in CCC. The applicability and future horizons of using GSoilCPM were further discussed. We further reveal that regions with fewer soil samples or lower baseline accuracy benefit more from the pre-trained global model. Our findings highlight the advantages of leveraging the generalized knowledge from global models to enhance specifically localized soil modelling, positioning a potential paradigm shift in digital soil mapping, and far-reaching implications for soil monitoring and land management.

Deep learning↗

Airborne and ground based lidar measurements of the atmospheric pressure profile

The first high accuracy remote measurements of the atmospheric pressure profile have been made. The measurements were made with a differential absorption lidar system that utilizes tunable alexandrite lasers. The absorption in the trough between two lines in the oxygen A-band near 760 nm was used for probing the atmosphere. Measurements of the two-dimensional structure of the pressure field were made in the troposphere from an aircraft looking down. Also, measurements of the one-dimensional structure were made from the ground looking up. Typical pressure accuracies for the aircraft measurements were 1.5-2 mbar with a 30-m vertical resolution and a 100-shot average (20 s), which corresponds to a 2-km horizontal resolution. Typical accuracies for the upward viewing ground based measurements were 2.0 mbar for a 30-m resolution and a 100-shot average.

Korb, C. Laurence↗

Modeling of Supercritical CO2 Shell-and-Tube Heat Exchangers Under Extreme Conditions: Part II: Heat Exchanger Model

Abstract Heat exchangers play a critical role in supercritical CO2 Brayton cycles by providing necessary waste heat recovery. Supercritical CO2 thermal cycles potentially achieve higher energy density and thermal efficiency operating at elevated temperatures and pressures. Accurate and computationally efficient estimation of heat exchanger performance metrics at these conditions is important for the design and optimization of sCO2 systems and thermal cycles. In this paper (Part II), a computationally efficient and accurate numerical model is developed to predict the performance of shell-and-tube heat exchangers (STHXs). Highly accurate correlations reported in Part I of this study are utilized to improve the accuracy of performance predictions, and the concept of volume averaging is used to abstract the geometry and reduce computation time. The numerical model is validated by comparison with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and provides high accuracy and significantly lower computation time compared to existing numerical models. A preliminary optimization study is conducted and the advantage of using supercritical CO2 as a working fluid for energy systems is demonstrated.

Engineering↗

Efficient perturbation-tracking method for directly probing the spectral phonon properties from molecular dynamics simulations

Existing methods for directly extracting the spectral phonon properties from molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, like the normal mode analysis (NMA) and spectral energy density analysis, all require a very long simulation time to produce reliable results with good convergence. So far, these methods are mainly applied in studies using small systems and with empirical potentials, as the heavy computational load has greatly hindered their further applications. Here we propose a perturbation-tracking (PT) method for directly probing the mode-wise phonon anharmonic frequencies and lifetimes. We show that results obtained from our method are in excellent agreement with those from the conventional NMA approach, using Si as the model material system. Comparing with the NMA approach, the PT method offers a greater accuracy and significant improvement of efficiency. It takes an average of two orders of magnitude and up to three orders of magnitude less simulation time to obtain the same lifetime result of a phonon mode with intermediate to high accuracy. Meanwhile, our method preserves all the dynamics of probed phonon mode from a particular state, which means it is capable of studying the transient thermal transport processes in a nonequilibrium system. Besides the exceptional efficiency, our method also comes with freedom to choose to probe only those modes of interest. This makes it ideal for use with large systems and in computationally demanding applications, such as ab initio MD simulations. Moreover, the PT method we propose here is very straightforward and easy to implement.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

System considerations for an earth radiation budget scanning radiometer

The objective of the scanning radiometer of the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite System is to measure the longwave and reflected shortwave radiation from the earth on a gridwork of approximately 250 km square regions in order to obtain one-month averages of flux with global coverage to an accuracy of 14 W/sq m. A number of considerations in the choice of some of the design parameters of the scanner are discussed. The error sources which must be considered in the design of a scanning radiometer designed to measure regional radiation budget are examined. An analysis of the system performance through spatial averaging is presented. The analysis provides insight into the effects of field of view, time response, onboard processing and spatial averaging.

Smith, G. L.↗

On calculating ionospheric conductances from the flux and energy of precipitating electrons

Auroral zone conductances can be estimated from the energy flux and average energy of precipitating electrons. Revised expressions are presented that relate height-integrated Hall and Pedersen conductance to the flux and average energy of a Maxwellian. It is shown that the accuracy of this method depends on the minimum and maximum energy within which the distribution is integrated to get the energy flux and average energy. It is also confirmed that the conductances produced by some of the more common auroral spectral distributions are similar to those produced by a Maxwellian with the same average energy and energy flux. The application of these results is demonstrated using precipitating electron measurements made by the Hilat satellite during a pass over Greenland.

Robinson, R. M.↗

Day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasting methodology based on machine learning and statistical post-processing

A main challenge towards ensuring large-scale and seamless integration of photovoltaic systems is to improve the accuracy of energy yield forecasts, especially in grid areas of high photovoltaic shares. The scope of this paper is to address this issue by presenting a unified methodology for hourly-averaged day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasts with improved accuracy, based on data-driven machine learning techniques and statistical post-processing. More specifically, the proposed forecasting methodology framework comprised of a data quality stage, data-driven power output machine learning model development (artificial neural networks), weather clustering assessment (K-means clustering), post-processing output optimisation (linear regressive correction method) and the final performance accuracy evaluation. The results showed that the application of linear regression coefficients to the forecasted outputs of the developed day-ahead photovoltaic power production neural network improved the performance accuracy by further correcting solar irradiance forecasting biases. The resulting optimised model provided a mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% when applied to historical system datasets. Finally, the model was validated both, at a hot as well as a cold semi-arid climatic location, and the obtained results demonstrated close agreement by yielding forecasting accuracies of mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Finally, the validation analysis provides evidence that the proposed model exhibits high performance in both forecasting accuracy and stability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Microwave remote sensing and its application to soil moisture detection

The author has identified the following significant results. Experimental measurements were utilized to demonstrate a procedure for estimating soil moisture, using a passive microwave sensor. The investigation showed that 1.4 GHz and 10.6 GHz can be used to estimate the average soil moisture within two depths; however, it appeared that a frequency less than 10.6 GHz would be preferable for the surface measurement. Average soil moisture within two depths would provide information on the slope of the soil moisture gradient near the surface. Measurements showed that a uniform surface roughness similar to flat tilled fields reduced the sensitivity of the microwave emission to soil moisture changes. Assuming that the surface roughness was known, the approximate soil moisture estimation accuracy at 1.4 GHz calculated for a 25% average soil moisture and an 80% degree of confidence, was +3% and -6% for a smooth bare surface, +4% and -5% for a medium rough surface, and +5.5% and -6% for a rough surface.

Newton, R. W.↗

Conversion of the LLNL/CAMS 1 MV biomedical AMS system to a semi-automated natural abundance 14C spectrometer: system optimization and performance evaluation

The Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory – Center for Accelerator Mass Spectrometry compact 1 MV biomedical accelerator mass spectrometer was repurposed and optimized for the semi-automated radiocarbon measurement of natural abundance environmental samples. Here we present results from 15 months of routine system operation and evaluate the system performance based on 30 sample wheels measured with consistent operating conditions over 7 months from August 2019 to March 2020. Additionally, the average measurement precision was 2.7 ± 0.7‰. System accuracy was assessed with measurements of 14 C-free materials, standard materials with 14 C-content spanning 0.5 to 1.5 F 14 C, and by comparison to split samples measured with the 10 MV AMS system. Overall, this system can routinely measure samples as small as 300 µgC and less than 33000 years without the need for size-specific correction protocols.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Consistent coupling algorithms for coupled core-edge simulations of plasma turbulence

Two schemes for coupling gyrokinetic simulations of microturbulence in tokamaks are proposed. The first scheme is based on an additive Schwarz domain decomposition. In this work, we show that, because the goal of turbulence is long-time averages of the dynamics rather than temporal accuracy, the iteration to self-consistency across domains, which is typically required by Schwarz schemes, can be avoided, thereby accelerating the computation. Second, we propose a coupling scheme that relies entirely on the addition of source terms, leaving the boundary conditions arbitrary. The practical motivations for such a scheme are discussed, and forms of the source terms that ensure consistency and stability are derived. The schemes are tested on a nonlinear, one-dimensional model problem, and the first scheme is further tested on the Hasegawa–Wakatani model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Toward Consistent High-Fidelity Quantum Learning on Unstable Devices via Efficient In-Situ Calibration

In the near-term noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era, high noise will significantly reduce the fidelity of quantum computing. What's worse, recent works reveal that the noise on quantum devices is not stable, that is, the noise is dynamically changing over time. This leads to an imminent challenging problem: At run-time, is there a way to efficiently achieve a consistent high-fidelity quantum system on unstable devices? To study this problem, we take quantum learning (a.k.a., variational quantum algorithm) as a vehicle, which has a wide range of applications, such as combinatorial optimization and machine learning. A straightforward approach is to optimize a variational quantum circuit (VQC) with a parameter-shift approach on the target quantum device before using it; however, the optimization has an extremely high time cost, which is not practical at run-time. To address the pressing issue, in this paper, we proposed a novel quantum pulse-based noise adaptation framework, namely QuPAD. In the proposed framework, first, we identify that the CNOT gate is the fidelity bottleneck of the conventional VQC, and we employ a more robust parameterized multi-qubit gate (i.e., Rzx gate) to replace CNOT gate. Second, by benchmarking Rzx gate with different parameters, we build a fitting function for each coupling qubit pair, such that the deviation between the theoretic output of Rzx gate and its on-device output under a given pulse amplitude and duration can be efficiently predicted. On top of this, an evolutionary algorithm is devised to identify the pulse amplitude and duration of each Rzx gate (i.e., calibration) and find the quantum circuits with high fidelity. Experiments show that the runtime on quantum devices of QuPAD with 8–10 qubits is less than 15 minutes, which is up to 270 x faster than the parameter-shift approach. In addition, compared to the vanilla VQC as a baseline, QuPAD can achieve 59.33% accuracy gain on a classification task, and average 66.34% closer to ground state energy for molecular simulation.

Hu, Zhirui↗

Performance Evaluation of Intelligent Solar Control Software Through Hardware-in-the-Loop (CRADA Final Report)

Recent research has highlighted the potential for solar to act as a zero-marginal-cost and zero-emission flexibility resource on the bulk power system when operated with advanced control systems. To increase the performance of these systems, leading technologies, including machine learning (ML) and hierarchical inverter set point allocation, have been developed by Latimer Controls, Inc. to estimate the headroom of large PV plants for grid operation and control; however, these technologies lack comprehensive validation under real-world application scenarios. Latimer Controls, Inc. received two voucher awards for research at a national laboratory from the Department of Energy American Made Solar Prize Round 6. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) was selected to collaborate with Latimer staff to conduct a performance evaluation of Latimer PV control software. The NREL team will develop a hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) testbed to perform testing and validation of the Latimer PV control technology in a de-risked yet realistic testbed environment. Latimer and NREL worked together to analyze the test data, draw conclusions from the results, and disseminate the resulting scientific findings. In this CRADA work, we propose to test and validate the real-world application of the Latimer Control solution in an HIL environment. We evaluate the performance of different flexible solar technologies in responding to automatic generation control signals in a closed-loop fashion. In particular, a data-driven potential high limit (PHL) estimation is developed for large solar plants to accurately estimate their headroom so that they have fast and short-time regulation and control capability to participate in grid services and respond to grid signals in real time (e.g., AGC). This PHL estimation algorithm is embedded in a hardware power plant controller (PPC) and tested with an IEEE-39 bus system model developed in RTDS. To account for the varying cloud conditions and diverse inverter dispatches, we developed a 135-MW PV plant with detailed modeling of 27 individual PV modules and inverters using RTDS. The real-world communications used in such big plants, such as ModBus TCP/IP for inverter level and DNP3 for plant level, were developed to emulate the real-world applications in big PV plants. The ML-based PHL estimation method is tested under nine separate weather scenarios against the ‘reference-control’ solution, hereafter referred to as the baseline solution. The baseline method reserves a subset of inverters (reference group) to operate at their PHL at all times and dispatches only the remaining inverters (control group) at curtailed levels to fulfill the flexibility need. Despite being successfully piloted by NREL in California in 2017 and Chile in 2020, there exist two gaps in the state of the art to fully unlock the flexibility of PV plants: a. There is a trade-off between the PHL estimation accuracy and the flexibility range. b. There lacks granularity in the PHL estimation to capture the variation across inverters. The Latimer solution seeks to address these gaps by applying machine learning methods to improve PHL estimation accuracy while accounting for variability at every inverter. Performance metrics were taken from the 2023 Georgia Power CARES utility-scale RFP. The results demonstrate that the ML-based approach outperforms the traditional baseline method in PHL estimation accuracy for 7 of 9 scenarios. The average PHL error across the nine scenarios was 7.40% for the ML-based method, 2.06% less than the 9.46% PHL error average across scenarios that was exhibited by the baseline method. Additionally, the PHL error was below 5% for at least 95% of the testing interval for 3 of 9 tested intervals with the ML approach, whereas it did not achieve this metric for any of the baseline tests. Overall, simulation results indicate the superior performance of an ML-based approach compared to the conventional baseline reference-control approach, showcasing its potential to support grid stability and operational efficiency. This laboratory HIL testing using real PPC, representative power system simulation models in real-time with detailed PV plant and inverter models, and real-world communication protocols gives us confidence that this machine learning based PHL estimation algorithm works well in the hardware PPC and therefore de-risks future field commissioning. The end goal of this project is to advance grid technology to address the grid operation challenges brought by solar plant’s variability and uncertainties in power generation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Abundance of Major Cell Wall Components in Natural Variants and Pedigrees of Populus trichocarpa

The rapid analysis of biopolymers including lignin and sugars in lignocellulosic biomass cell walls is essential for the analysis of the large sample populations needed for identifying heritable genetic variation in biomass feedstocks for biofuels and bioproducts. In this study, we reported the analysis of cell wall lignin content, syringyl/guaiacyl (S/G) ratio, as well as glucose and xylose content by high-throughput pyrolysis-molecular beam mass spectrometry (py-MBMS) for >3,600 samples derived from hundreds of accessions of Populus trichocarpa from natural populations, as well as pedigrees constructed from 14 parents (7 × 7). Partial Least Squares (PLS) regression models were built from the samples of known sugar composition previously determined by hydrolysis followed by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) analysis. Key spectral features positively correlated with glucose content consisted of m/z 126, 98, and 69, among others, deriving from pyrolyzates such as hydroxymethylfurfural, maltol, and other sugar-derived species. Xylose content positively correlated primarily with many lignin-derived ions and to a lesser degree with m/z 114, deriving from a lactone produced from xylose pyrolysis. Models were capable of predicting glucose and xylose contents with an average error of less than 4%, and accuracy was significantly improved over previously used methods. The differences in the models constructed from the two sample sets varied in training sample number, but the genetic and compositional uniformity of the pedigree set could be a potential driver in the slightly better performance of that model in comparison with the natural variants. Broad-sense heritability of glucose and xylose composition using these data was 0.32 and 0.34, respectively. In summary, we have demonstrated the use of a single high-throughput method to predict sugar and lignin composition in thousands of poplar samples to estimate the heritability and phenotypic plasticity of traits necessary to develop optimized feedstocks for bioenergy applications.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

LANDSAT inventory of surface-mined areas using extendible digital techniques

Multispectral analysis of LANDSAT imagery provides a rapid and accurate means of identification, classification, and measurement of strip-mined surfaces in Western Maryland. Four band analysis allows distinction of a variety of strip-mine associated classes, but has limited extendibility. A method for surface area measurement of strip mines, which is both geographically and temporally extendible, was developed using band-ratioed LANDSAT reflectance data. The accuracy of area measurement by this method, averaged over three LANDSAT scenes taken between September 1972 and July 1974, is greater than 93%. Total affected acreage of large (50 hectare/120 acre) mines can be measured to within 1.0%.

Anderson, A. T.↗

LANDSAT inventory of surface-mined areas using extendible digital techniques

Multispectral LANDSAT imagery was analyzed to provide a rapid and accurate means of identification, classification, and measurement of strip-mined surfaces in Western Maryland. Four band analysis allows distinction of a variety of strip-mine associated classes, but has limited extendibility. A method for surface area measurements of strip mines, which is both geographically and temporally extendible, has been developed using band-ratioed LANDSAT reflectance data. The accuracy of area measurement by this method, averaged over three LANDSAT scenes taken between September 1972 and July 1974, is greater than 93%. Total affected acreage of large (50 hectare/124 acre) mines can be measured to within 1.0%.

Anderson, A. T.↗

Time recovery measurements using operational GOES and transit satellites

Results of regular monitoring of both the GOES and TRANSIT timing signals over a number of months at the National Bureau of Standards (NBS), Boulder, Colorado are presented. The TRANSIT results include an analysis of how received timing accuracy and stability are affected by: (1) averaging over varying numbers of satellite passes; (2) averaging over different combinations of the five available satellites; (3) using several independent receivers of the same type; and (4) application of published corrections to the received data. Based on monitoring experience to date at NBS, some pros and cons of using each of the available operational systems are discussed. Updated information on recent improvements incorporated into the GOES time code generation and monitoring system at Wallops Island, Virginia is also included.

Beehler, R. E.↗

Sea-state-related altitude errors in the Seasat radar altimeter

A significant waveheight-dependent bias is identified in Seasat-measured surface heights which cannot be neglected when using Seasat data at accuracies within 10 cm. Ten-second averages of the data from 63 waveform sampling rates in the Seasat radar altimeter were least squares fitted with a six-parameter model, the time-origin parameter of which provides a measure of the position of the actual mean radar waveform relative to the sampling rate and therefore provides altitude measurement corrections. Attention is given to actual altimeter point target response function, waveform sampler noise baseline, waveform sampler gain calibration, attitude angle and sea surface skewness, as effects not accounted for in Seasat altimeter measurements and standard data processing.

Hayne, G. S.↗