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DOE OSTI2018

Simple effective conservative treatment of uncertainty from sparse samples of random functions

This paper examines the variability of predicted responses when multiple stress-strain curves (reflecting variability from replicate material tests) are propagated through a finite element model of a ductile steel can being slowly crushed. Over 140 response quantities of interest (including displacements, stresses, strains, and calculated measures of material damage) are tracked in the simulations. Each response quantity’s behavior varies according to the particular stress-strain curves used for the materials in the model. We desire to estimate response variability when only a few stress-strain curve samples are available from material testing. Propagation of just a few samples will usually result in significantly underestimated response uncertainty relative to propagation of a much larger population that adequately samples the presiding random-function source. A simple classical statistical method, Tolerance Intervals, is tested for effectively treating sparse stress-strain curve data. The method is found to perform well on the highly nonlinear input-to-output response mappings and non-standard response distributions in the can-crush problem. The results and discussion in this paper support a proposition that the method will apply similarly well for other sparsely sampled random variable or function data, whether from experiments or models. Finally, the simple Tolerance Interval method is also demonstrated to be very economical.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1987

Rapid, low-level X-ray variability in active late-type dwarfs

A sensitive new statistical analysis method was used to establish certain properties of quiescent X-ray variability in a sample of 19 late-type dwarfs. Sixteen stars proved to be significantly variable. The typical amplitude of the fluctuations was about 30 percent. Variability time scales ranged from about 150 s for 40 Eri C to lower limits as large as 2000 s. Neither the amplitudes nor the time scales of the X-ray variability appeared to depend on position along the main sequence.

Ambruster, Carol W.↗

DOE OSTI2019

Tank 9H Salt Solution Supernatant Characterization in Support of Potential Operating Strategies of Tank 9H Supernatant Through the Tank Closure Cesium Removal System

Savannah River Remediation (SRR) recently initiated an ion exchange process to remove radioactive cesium from dissolved salt solution in Tank 10H, known as Tank Closure Cesium Removal (TCCR). As part of that ongoing campaign, the salt in Tank 9H will be dissolved and transferred to Tank 10H for processing through the TCCR system, and SRR requested the characterization of the dissolved salt solution in Tank 9H prior to the transfer to Tank 10H. On July 18, 2019, Savannah River Remediation Engineering (SRR-E) delivered two variable depth Tank 9H salt solution samples, identified as samples HTF-9-19-74 and HTF-9-19-75 (combined total sample volume of about 400 mL) to the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) for characterization. These two Tank 9H variable depth samples (HTF-9-19-74 and HTF-9-19-75 taken at ~180” and 42”, respectively) were retrieved from Riser 7 after hydro-lancing activities were complete. Approximately 4200 gallons of water were added to the tank during this activity. This report presents the analytical characterization results for the Tank 9H salt solution variable depth samples HTF-9-19-74 and HTF-9-19-75 and contains mainly the filtrate analytical results for anions, elements, mass spectral data, total cesium characterization results and select radionuclide results, along with the X-ray diffraction characterization of the solid fractions from the liquid /solid separation of the variable depth salt solutions. Most of these analyses were performed in duplicate with the percent relative standard deviation (%RSD), a measure of the variability between each duplicate data set expressed as a percentage, used to estimate the analytical result quality for each analyte.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

NASA NTRS1978

Pseudo continuous wave instrument

Acoustic properties and their changes in a sample of liquid, gas, plasma or solid are measured by applying a variable frequency source to the sample by means of a transducer to produce sound waves within the sample. The application of the variable frequency source to the sample is periodically interrupted for a short duration. Means are connected to the transducer for receiving the resulting acoustic signals during the interruptions for producing a control signal indicative of a difference in the frequency of the output of the variable frequency source and the frequency of a mechanical resonant peak in the sample. The control signal is applied to the variable frequency source to maintain its output frequency at the frequency of the mechanical resonant peak. The change in frequency of the variable frequency source indicates the shift in frequency of the mechanical resonant peak and the amplitude of the acoustic signals indicates the attenuation of the acoustic signals in the sample.

Heyman, J. S.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine learning to generate gridded extreme precipitation data sets for global land areas with limited in situ measurements

There is a strong need for gridded observational data sets that describe the climatology of extreme precipitation across the globe; such data sets are critical for quantifying precipitation extremes and their corresponding influence on large perturbations on surface and groundwater systems and flooding. Machine learning (ML) methods can be used to generate pseudo in situ measurements of the climatology of extreme precipitation for land regions with poor sampling by matching relevant geographic (e.g., orography) and atmospheric (e.g., surface temperature, precipitation, and pressure) variables for densely sampled regions and those with limited geographic sampling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Salt Vessel-Sample Generator Interface

The goal of the salt sampling program at Argonne is to develop and deploy automated molten salt sampling approaches for interfacing relevant unit operations with salt analysis to improve the timeliness and accuracy of sampling-based accountancy measurements. One technology under development is a vacuum sampler loop module. In this system, molten salt is drawn from a process vessel through a heated sampling line and into a charge vessel. Next, one or more samples are split from the volume in the charge vessel and the remaining salt is returned to the process. The vacuum sampler loop module is being developed to interface with other sample processing and analysis modules to enable rapid at-line sample characterization. The main purpose of the vacuum sampling loop module is to enable the collection of samples that are more representative of the bulk salt by replacing traditional point samplers (i.e., dip probes) with a sampling approach that captures a larger cross section of salt. Additionally, the vacuum sampling approach eliminates the risk of dross contamination of samples and avoids the use of moving parts in the salt. Two methods of interfacing the vacuum sampling loop with a precision pneumatic sample generator were investigated in FY21. This report covers the testing of fluidic coupling between the two modules. Two iterations of the fluidically coupled modules were tested. The first iteration system coupled the two modules using a freeze valve to seal the vacuum sampler during filling and to control flow into the pneumatic sample generator. While this integrated system functioned as intended, some changes were implemented to make the system more robust and better suited to remote deployment. Specifically, the system was made to be more modular and active control of the vacuum filling operation was replaced with a passive control mechanism. For passive filling, the salt charge vessel was vented to a small gas tank that was at negative pressure, causing salt to be drawn into the vessel until the force of the fluid head was in equilibrium with the gas pressure. The passive control system performed well and will be used in future iterations. Another change in the second system was a newly configured pneumatic sample generator in which sample ejection occurred through a hole in the reservoir’s stainless-steel side wall instead of through a non-wetted sapphire orifice on the bottom. This alternate configuration may be better suited for near-process deployment because it enables on-line orifice maintenance and an orifice bypass drain back to the process. A third change in the second iteration system was the transition to a two-chamber charge vessel which split off a fraction of the sampled salt as a liquid aliquot. The goal was to create a buffer mechanism that would allow reproducible aliquoting of samples, independently of variability in the charge vessel fill height. While the two-chamber design was functional, the sample size reproducibility was below target values. To improve reproducibility and overcome many of the impediments to remote deployment of the vacuum sampling loop module, separate work was conducted to replace the two-chamber liquid aliquoting mechanism with aliquoting into single-use sample tubes. Solid salt transfer in the sample tubes will replace fluidic coupling for integrating the vacuum sampler with downstream modules. Because the proposed operations can all be executed with simple overhead actuation mechanisms or other existing hot-cell technology, there will be no need for large investments in novel hot cell sample handling technologies using this alternate approach. As such, near-term deployment of the vacuum sampling technology will be achievable. This new approach for automated coupling of sample tubes with down-stream modules is covered in a separate FY21 report, and a remotely operated version of the vacuum sampler loop module with the tube aliquoting feature is planned for FY22.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Radial velocity variability and the evolution of hot subdwarf stars

Hot subdwarf stars represent a late and peculiar stage in the evolution of low-mass stars, since they are likely formed by close binary interactions. In this work, we perform a radial velocity (RV) variability study of a sample of 646 hot subdwarfs with multi-epoch radial velocities based on spectra from Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) and Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fibre Spectroscopic Telescope (LAMOST). The atmospheric parameters and RVs were taken from the literature. For stars with archival spectra but without literature values, we determined the parameters by fitting model atmospheres. In addition, we redetermined the atmospheric parameters and RVs for all the He-enriched sdO/Bs. This broad sample allowed us to study RV-variability as a function of the location in theT eff - log g- and T eff - log n (He)/n (H) diagrams in a statistically significant way. We used the fraction of RV-variable stars and the distribution of the maximum RV variations ΔRV max as diagnostics. Both indicators turned out to be quite inhomogeneous across the studied parameter ranges. A striking feature is the completely dissimilar behaviour of He-poor and He-rich hot subdwarfs. While the former have a high fraction of close binaries, almost no significant RV variations could be detected for the latter. This has led us to the conclusion that there is likely no evolutionary connection between these subtypes. On the other hand, intermediate He-rich- and extreme He-rich sdOB/Os are more likely to be related. Furthermore, we conclude that the vast majority of this population is formed via one or several binary merger channels. Hot subdwarfs with temperatures cooler than ~24 000 K tend to show fewer and smaller RV-variations. These objects might constitute a new subpopulation of binaries with longer periods and late-type or compact companions. The RV-variability properties of the extreme horizontal branch (EHB) and corresponding post-EHB populations of the He-poor hot subdwarfs match and confirm the predicted evolutionary connection between them. Stars found below the canonical EHB at somewhat higher surface gravities show large RV variations and a high RV variability fraction. These properties are consistent with most of them being low-mass EHB stars or progenitors of low-mass helium white dwarfs in close binaries.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

COMBLE-ISLAS water isotopes in precipitation (COMBLEISLASISO)

During the measurement period, precipitation was sampled on daily to sub-daily basis with a sampling kit consiting of a clear plastic box (60x40x40 cm) mounted to a ground structure. Daily sampling lasted from 22 Feb to 24 Mar 2020. At a fixed time of day (10 UTC), samples were collected and the sampling box cleaned for the next sample. Additionally, during intense observations periods (IOPs) announced by ISLAS, ARMS scientists increased sampling frequency to sub-daily sampling. During the campaign period, 2 IOPs were conducted, with in total 12 samples taken. IOP1 lasted from 27 Feb 10 to 02 Mar 2020, and IOP2 lasted from 12 Mar to 14 Mar 2020. Solid precipitation in the box was then melted, transferred to an 8 ml glass vial, sealed and shipped to FARLAB (University of Bergen, Norway) for stable water isotope analysis. Measured stable isotope composition of precipitation samples will be related to conditions at other sampling locations, and at the evaporation site to inform about conservation of water isotope quantities. In the period from 22 Feb to 24 Mar, 23 daily samples were collected at 10 UTC for stable water isotope analysis. During the entire sampling period, a high variability of precipitation phase was encountered. Most samples were recovered in the form of graupel/snow (12 samples), as rain (7 samples), and the remaining samples fell as graupel, snow, rain or frozen rain. Precipitation amounts varied between <1 mm (26 Feb) and 140 mm (25 Feb) within the sampling box. Furthermore, higher-resolution sampling was conducted during 2 intense observation periods (IOPs). During IOP1, lasting from 27 Feb 10 UTC to 02 Mar 10 UTC, 7 samples were collected, all of them as solid phase precipitation. IOP2 lasted from 12 Mar 10 UTC to 14 Mar 09 UTC, and 5 samples (all as graupel/snow) were collected. Samples were processed according to FARLAB standard measurement procedures. In short, samples were transferred to 1.5 ml glass vials with rubber/PTFE septa (part #548-0907, VWR, USA). An autosampler (A0325, Picarro Inc) transferred ca. 2µl per injection into a high-precision vapourizer (A0211, Picarro Inc, USA) heated to 110°C. After blending with dry N2 (< 5 ppm H2O) the gas mixture was directed into the measurement cavity of a Cavity-Ring Down Spectrometer (L2140-i, Picarro Inc) for about 7 min with a typical water concentration of 20 000 ppm. Memory effects were reduced by two times measuring a vapour mixture at a mixing ratio of 50 000 ppm, obtained from 2 injections of 2 µl for 5 min at the beginning of each new sample vial. Thereafter, another 6 injections of 2 µl per sample were measured individually as described above, and averages of the last 5 injections were used for further processing. Three standards were measured at the beginning and end of each batch, including a drift standard DI2 (δD: -50.72±0.73 permil, δ18O: -7.63±0.10 permil), and for calibration the laboratory standards GLW (δD: -307.79±0.75 permil, δ18O: -40.02±0.07 permil) and EVAP2 (δD: 9.52±0.65 permil, δ18O: 1.81±0.13 permil). A detailed calibration report is included with the final uploaded data set.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1989

On optimizing a constellation of altimetric satellites for measuring global oceanic mesoscale

The orbital configuration of the Eos polar-platform constellation is examined to determine if baseline orbital parameters are appropriately specified to meet the mission goal of measuring global oceanic mesoscale variability. Using the Nyquist sampling theorem, spatial and temporal measurement requirements are first established for the constellation. Based upon these requirements, the optimum solution indicates that a total of five spacecraft are required to meet the mesoscale mapping task. Additional analyses are performed on both a two-platform configuration as well as the complete four-platform Eos constellation. The results of these calculations show that an optimized configuration of four properly-phased Eos platforms, placed into identical 835-km sun-synchronous orbits with 13-day repeat periods, can very nearly meet statistically significant sampling criteria for mapping global oceanic mesoscale variability.

Chase, Robert↗

NASA NTRS1974

Rb-Sr age of lunar igneous rocks 62295 and 14310

Measurements of Rb-Sr ages of crystallization performed on igneous lunar highland rocks 62295 and 14310 are reported. Lunar sample 62295 is a mesostasis-rich spinel-troctolite very-high-alumina basalt exhibiting a variable igneous structure. Sample 14310 is a feldspathic KREEP-rich basalt. The determined ages probably date the cooling of shock melts.

Mark, R. K.↗

DOE OSTI2021

AGNs on the Move: A Search for Off-nuclear AGNs from Recoiling Supermassive Black Holes and Ongoing Galaxy Mergers with the Zwicky Transient Facility

A supermassive black hole (SMBH) ejected from the potential well of its host galaxy via gravitational wave recoil carries important information about the mass ratio and spin alignment of the pre-merger SMBH binary. Such a recoiling SMBH may be detectable as an active galactic nucleus (AGN) broad-line region offset by up to 10 kpc from a disturbed host galaxy. We describe a novel methodology using forward modeling with The Tractor to search for such offset AGNs in a sample of 5493 optically variable AGNs detected with the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF). We present the discovery of nine AGNs that may be spatially offset from their host galaxies and are candidates for recoiling SMBHs. Five of these offset AGNs exhibit double-peaked broad Balmer lines, which may have arisen from unobscured accretion disk emission, and four show radio emission indicative of a relativistic jet. The fraction of double-peaked emitters in our spatially offset AGN sample is significantly larger than the 16% double-peaked emitter fraction observed for ZTF AGNs overall. In our sample of variable AGNs we also identified 52 merging galaxies, including a new spectroscopically confirmed dual AGN. Finally, we detected the dramatic rebrightening of SDSS 1133, a previously discovered variable object and recoiling SMBH candidate, in ZTF. The flare was accompanied by the reemergence of strong P Cygni line features, indicating that SDSS 1133 may be an outbursting luminous blue variable star.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Reactive particle-tracking solutions to a benchmark problem on heavy metal cycling in lake sediments

Geochemical systems are known to exhibit highly variable spatiotemporal behavior. This may be observed both in non-smooth concentration curves in space for a single sampling time and also in variability between samples taken from the same location at different times. However, most models that are designed to simulate these systems provide only single-solution smooth curves and fail to capture the noise and variability seen in the data. We apply a recently developed reactive particle-tracking method to a system that displays highly complex geochemical behavior. When the method is made to most closely resemble a corresponding Eulerian method, in its unperturbed form, we see near-exact match between solutions of the two models. More importantly, we consider two approaches for perturbing the model and find that the spatially-perturbed condition is able to capture a greater degree of the variability present in the data. This method of perturbation is a task to which particle methods are uniquely suited and Eulerian models are not well-suited. Additionally, because of the nature of the algorithm, noisy spatial gradients can be highly resolved by a large number of mobile particles, and this incurs negligible computational cost, as compared to expensive chemistry calculations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Multiband optical variability of a newly discovered 12 blazars sample from 2013–2019

ABSTRACT Here we present the first optical photometric monitoring results of a sample of 12 newly discovered blazars from the ICRF – Gaia CRF astrometric link. The observations were performed from April 2013 to August 2019 using eight telescopes located in Europe. For a robust test for the brightness and colour variability, we use Abbé criterion and F-test. Moreover, linear fittings are performed to investigate the relation in the colour-magnitude variations of the blazars. Variability was confirmed in the case of 10 sources; two sources, 1429+249 and 1556+335 seem to be possibly variable. Three sources (1034+574, 1722+119, and 1741+597) have displayed large amplitude brightness change of more than one magnitude. We found that the seven sources displayed bluer-when-brighter variations, and one source showed redder-when-brighter variations. We briefly explain the various AGN emission models which can explain our results.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

DOE OSTI2018

Enhancement of Structural Health Monitoring Framework by Optimizing Vibro-Acoustic Modulation Technique to Localize Alkali-Silica Reaction Degradation in Medium-Sized Concrete Samples

Assessment and management of aging concrete structures in nuclear power plants require a more systematic approach than simple reliance on existing code margins of safety. Health monitoring of concrete structures is performed to understand the current condition of a structure based on heterogeneous measurements and then produce high confidence actionable information regarding structural integrity. This information can then be used to support operational and maintenance decisions. The objectives of this ongoing research project focus on health monitoring and data analytics of concrete slabs containing reactive aggregates and thus subjected to degradation due to alkali-silica reaction (ASR). A controlled concrete slab with four pockets of reactive aggregates (pure silica, wells, placitas, and spratt) was cast at Vanderbilt University and cured in representative conditions to accelerate degradation due to ASR. A set of four concrete samples were also cast and cured at the University of Alabama for ASR testing. Of these four samples, two slabs contained reactive aggregates while the other two had the non-reactive aggregate counterparts mixed throughout the samples. Vibro-acoustic methods were used on these slabs to locate large pockets of ASR within the reactive samples and determine the effects of rebar using the non-reactive slabs. Vibro-acoustic modulation (VAM) is a vibration-based NDE method that utilizes signatures of nonlinear dynamic interactions on contact surfaces of crack or delamination damage to detect and localize the damage. VAM analysis was conducted on both Vanderbilt and Alabama’s samples using multiple variables for damage detection and localization. The results from the data analysis of the NDE vibro-acoustic techniques on concrete slabs cured at Vanderbilt University and the University of Alabama are discussed in detail in this report. The major outcome of the analysis suggests that the VAM method can be used to detect damage within the concrete samples by comparing the results found in different sections of the samples. Results for damage localization are dependent on multiple variables used in the vibro-acoustic modulation experiments. Digital image correlation (DIC) is a three-dimensional, full-field, optical NDE technique to measure contour, deformation, vibration, and strain. The application of the digital image correlation technique to study ASR-related degradation on a large concrete sample at the University of Tennessee Knoxville is discussed and observations are presented in this report.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Appearance versus disappearance of broad absorption line troughs in quasars

ABSTRACT We present a new set of 84 broad absorption line (BAL) quasars (1.7 < zem < 4.4) exhibiting an appearance of C iv BAL troughs over 0.3–4.8 rest-frame years by comparing the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release (SDSSDR)-7, SDSSDR-12, and SDSSDR-14 quasar catalogues. We contrast the nature of BAL variability in this appearing BAL quasar sample with a disappearing BAL quasar sample studied in the literature by comparing the quasar’s intrinsic, BAL trough, and continuum parameters between the two samples. We find that appearing BAL quasars have relatively higher redshift and smaller probed time-scales as compared to the disappearing BAL quasars. To mitigate the effect of any redshift bias, we created control samples of appearing and disappearing BAL quasars that have similar redshift distribution. We find that the appearing BAL quasars are relatively brighter and have shallower and wider BAL troughs compared to the disappearing BAL sample. The distribution of quasar continuum variability parameters between the two samples is clearly separated, with the appearance of the BAL troughs being accompanied by the dimming of the continuum and vice versa. Spectral index variations in the two samples also point to the anticorrelation between the BAL trough and continuum variations consistent with the ‘bluer when brighter’ trend in quasars. We show that the intrinsic dust model is less likely to be a favourable scenario in explaining BAL appearance/disappearance. Our analysis suggests that the extreme variations of BAL troughs like BAL appearance/disappearance are mainly driven by changes in the ionization conditions of the absorbing gas.

Mishra, Sapna↗

DOE OSTI2017

The Viewing Geometry of Brown Dwarfs Influences Their Observed Colors and Variability Amplitudes

In this paper we study the full sample of known Spitzer [3.6 μm] and J-band variable brown dwarfs. We calculate the rotational velocities, vsin i, of 16 variable brown dwarfs using archival Keck NIRSPEC data and compute the inclination angles of 19 variable brown dwarfs. The results obtained show that all objects in the sample with mid-IR variability detections are inclined at an angle >20{sup ∘}, while all objects in the sample displaying J-band variability have an inclination angle >35{sup ∘}. J-band variability appears to be more affected by inclination than Spitzer [3.6 μm] variability, and is strongly attenuated at lower inclinations. Since J-band observations probe deeper into the atmosphere than mid-IR observations, this effect may be due to the increased atmospheric path length of J-band flux at lower inclinations. We find a statistically significant correlation between the color anomaly and inclination of our sample, where field objects viewed equator-on appear redder than objects viewed at lower inclinations. Considering the full sample of known variable L, T, and Y spectral type objects in the literature, we find that the variability properties of the two bands display notably different trends that are due to both intrinsic differences between bands and the sensitivity of ground-based versus space-based searches. However, in both bands we find that variability amplitude may reach a maximum at ∼7–9 hr periods. Finally, we find a strong correlation between color anomaly and variability amplitude for both the J-band and mid-IR variability detections, where redder objects display higher variability amplitudes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Discrete-Direct Model Calibration and Uncertainty Propagation Method Confirmed on Multi-Parameter Plasticity Model Calibrated to Sparse Random Field Data

A discrete direct (DD) model calibration and uncertainty propagation approach is explained and demonstrated on a 4-parameter Johnson-Cook (J-C) strain-rate dependent material strength model for an aluminum alloy. The methodology's performance is characterized in many trials involving four random realizations of strain-rate dependent material-test data curves per trial, drawn from a large synthetic population. The J-C model is calibrated to particular combinations of the data curves to obtain calibration parameter sets which are then propagated to “Can Crush” structural model predictions to produce samples of predicted response variability. These are processed with appropriate sparse-sample uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods to estimate various statistics of response with an appropriate level of conservatism. This is tested on 16 output quantities (von Mises stresses and equivalent plastic strains) and it is shown that important statistics of the true variabilities of the 16 quantities are bounded with a high success rate that is reasonably predictable and controllable. The DD approach has several advantages over other calibration-UQ approaches like Bayesian inference for capturing and utilizing the information obtained from typically small numbers of replicate experiments in model calibration situations—especially when sparse replicate functional data are involved like force–displacement curves from material tests. The DD methodology is straightforward and efficient for calibration and propagation problems involving aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in calibration experiments, models, and procedures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2018

A search for variability in exoplanet analogues and low-gravity brown dwarfs

We report the results of a J-band survey for photometric variability in a sample of young, low-gravity objects using the New Technology Telescope (NTT) and the United Kingdom Infrared Telescope (UKIRT). Surface gravity is a key parameter in the atmospheric properties of brown dwarfs and this is the first large survey that aims to test the gravity dependence of variability properties. We do a full analysis of the spectral signatures of youth and assess the group membership probability of each target using membership tools from the literature. This results in a 30 object sample of young low-gravity brown dwarfs. Since we are lacking in objects with spectral types later than L9, we focus our statistical analysis on the L0–L8.5 objects. We find that the variability occurrence rate of L0–L8.5 low-gravity brown dwarfs in this survey is 30(+16,−8) per cent⁠. We reanalyse the results of Radigan (2014) and find that the field dwarfs with spectral types L0–L8.5 have a variability occurrence rate of 11(+13,−4) per cent⁠. We determine a probability of 98 per cent that the samples are drawn from different distributions. This is the first quantitative indication that the low-gravity objects are more likely to be variable than the field dwarf population. Furthermore, we present follow-up J(S) and K(S) observations of the young, planetary-mass variable object PSO 318.5–22 over three consecutive nights. We find no evidence of phase shifts between the J(S) and K(S) bands and find higher J(S) amplitudes. We use the J(S) light curves to measure a rotational period of 8.45 ± 0.05 h for PSO 318.5–22.

Johanna M. Vos↗