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At least 253 records · Page 14

Deep space network software cost estimation model

A parametric software cost estimation model prepared for Deep Space Network (DSN) Data Systems implementation tasks is presented. The resource estimation model incorporates principles and data from a number of existing models. The model calibrates task magnitude and difficulty, development environment, and software technology effects through prompted responses to a set of approximately 50 questions. Parameters in the model are adjusted to fit DSN software life cycle statistics. The estimation model output scales a standard DSN Work Breakdown Structure skeleton, which is then input into a PERT/CPM system, producing a detailed schedule and resource budget for the project being planned.

Tausworthe, R. C.↗

Advanced Guide to Understanding Power System Model Results for Long-Term Resource Plans

This guide is for public utility commission staff, state energy office staff, and other stakeholders who review model results for utility integrated resource plans (IRPs). It builds on the "Beginner's Guide to Understanding Power System Model Results for Long-Term Resource Plans," and delves into more advanced topics that were not included or not fully covered in the beginner's guide. The topics included here are evolving and may or may not be important to the resource plan you are evaluating. Due to limitations in resources, it's also not possible to give the highest level of detail or attention to every topic within a plan. An important part of planning for an uncertain future involves deciding which topics deserve the most focus and resources. It's all about prioritizing efforts where they will have the most impact or be most beneficial despite uncertainties ahead. As with the beginner's guide, we intend for this guide to help improve decision-making in the electricity planning process by strengthening understanding and dialogue between electricity system planners and relevant stakeholders. The following information is designed to allow you to better engage in the planning process by evaluating results, asking questions, and thinking through what is most important. We allocate significant discussion in the guide to electricity demand evolution, demand-side resources, and resource adequacy. These topics have garnered increasing attention, hence their prominence in this guide. Other topics are also presented, but their incorporation into the planning process might vary based on interest and relevance. The absence of certain topics doesn't diminish their importance; rather, it reflects the reality that in planning, trade-offs necessitate prioritizing certain aspects over others.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Software cost/resource modeling: Deep space network software cost estimation model

A parametric software cost estimation model prepared for JPL deep space network (DSN) data systems implementation tasks is presented. The resource estimation model incorporates principles and data from a number of existing models, such as those of the General Research Corporation, Doty Associates, IBM (Walston-Felix), Rome Air Force Development Center, University of Maryland, and Rayleigh-Norden-Putnam. The model calibrates task magnitude and difficulty, development environment, and software technology effects through prompted responses to a set of approximately 50 questions. Parameters in the model are adjusted to fit JPL software lifecycle statistics. The estimation model output scales a standard DSN work breakdown structure skeleton, which is then input to a PERT/CPM system, producing a detailed schedule and resource budget for the project being planned.

Tausworthe, R. J.↗

Energy Management of the Multi-Mission Space Exploration Vehicle Using a Goal-Oriented Control System

Safe human exploration in space missions requires careful management of limited resources such as breathable air and stored electrical energy. Daily activities for astronauts must be carefully planned with respect to such resources, and usage must be monitored as activities proceed to ensure that they can be completed while maintaining safe resource margins. Such planning and monitoring can be complex because they depend on models of resource usage, the activities being planned, and uncertainties. This paper describes a system - and the technology behind it - for energy management of the NASA-Johnson Space Center's Multi-Mission Space Exploration Vehicles (SEV), that provides, in an onboard advisory mode, situational awareness to astronauts and real-time guidance to mission operators. This new capability was evaluated during this year's Desert RATS (Research and Technology Studies) planetary exploration analog test in Arizona. This software aided ground operators and crew members in modifying the day s activities based on the real-time execution of the plan and on energy data received from the rovers.

Braman, Julia M. B.↗

Post-Disturbance Dynamic Distribution System Restoration with DGs and Mobile Resources

Distributed generations (DGs) can act as emergency power supplies when distribution systems suffer from outages. However, the generation capabilities of DGs are generally limited by a number of factors including weather conditions, fuel limitations, etc. In this context, mobile resources that are able to reallocate resources to desired locations are regarded as important complements to conventional fixed DGs in assisting distribution system restoration. In this paper, a distribution system restoration model with DGs and mobile resources is proposed. Firstly, the dispatch and allocation of mobile resources are modeled with respect to the characteristics of the traffic network. Then the developed mobile resource models are integrated into the distribution system restoration model to co-optimize the scheduling of DGs and mobile resources. Uncertainty factors are managed by a model predictive control approach so that system operators can dynamically adjust the restoration strategy with the up-to-date information. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through an IEEE 13-bus test system.

distributed generations (DGs)↗

Sensitivity of a closed dielectric haloscope to axion dark matter

We present a method to determine the sensitivity of a closed dielectric haloscope to axiondark matter. Dielectric haloscopes aim to probe the theoretically well-motivated axion mass rangeof ∼ 26 µeV to ∼ 500 µeV by utilizing a stack of dielectric disksand a mirror to enhance the axion-photon conversion within an external magnetic field. Theirconversion volume is nearly axion-mass independent, thereby favoring large-scale designs toincrease sensitivity. The large volume causes simulations to be computationally expensive andtime-consuming. This paper presents a simple model that can be used to determine the sensitivityof the experiment with minimal computational resources. The model is able to describe theelectromagnetic response of a closed dielectric haloscope, accounting for realistic geometricimperfections, as well as the noise introduced by the receiver system. It is applied to datataken with a MAgnetized Disk and Mirror Axion Experiment (MADMAX) prototype within the 1.6 TMorpurgo magnet at CERN. This work underpins the first axion dark matter search using adielectric haloscope and provides the foundation for future dark matter searches with MADMAX.

Ivanov, A. [Munich, Max Planck Inst. Quantenopt.]↗

ASEAN Technical Exchange Workshop for System Operators, Regulators, and Policymakers

This presentation provides an in-depth exploration of power system planning, cross-border electricity trading, and battery energy storage systems (BESS), offering actionable insights for system operators, regulators, and policymakers. The first section delves into power system planning and analysis, focusing on capacity expansion models and resource adequacy studies, including their role in optimizing system efficiency, managing emissions, and addressing system reliability risks. Key considerations, such as integration of transmission into generation planning and the forecasting versus optimization of customer distributed energy resources (DER) technologies, are explored. The session highlights critical trade-offs in spatial granularity and model runtimes, as well as the feasibility of aligning distribution investments with capacity expansion efforts. The second section examines cross-border electricity trading, with an emphasis on resource adequacy concepts such as reliability targets, loss of load expectation (LOLE), and planning reserve margins (PRM). Case studies on reserve market design and coordination across US regions provide insights into improving reserve deliverability and managing interregional power balance and congestion. This section also addresses market-to-market congestion management, including advanced strategies for high-voltage direct current (HVDC) optimization and ancillary service delivery. Finally, the presentation covers the rapid evolution of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), highlighting their operational growth, regulatory frameworks, and use cases in grid flexibility, energy storage, and reliability. The discussion focuses on the benefits of BESS for system stability, resilience, and integration of renewable energy, offering insights into its role as a vital component in the transition toward a more sustainable and flexible grid. Key performance parameters, such as throughput, round-trip efficiency, and state of charge, are also examined.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Investigation of the Performance and Explainability Tradeoffs for Machine-Learning Models for Predictive Maintenance of Circulating Water Systems in Nuclear Power Plants

Predictive maintenance (PdM) has shown great potential for achieving substantial cost savings and enhancing the economic competitiveness of nuclear power plants (NPPs) in today's energy market. Among the different modeling approaches that exist, machine learning (ML) tools in particular have a demonstrated ability to handle high dimensional and multivariate data and to extract hidden relationships within data in industrial environments. While ML methods show great potential, their lack of explainability---especially for black-box models---is a major hurdle to their adoption. Moreover, considering the supposed trade-off between explainability and performance challenges, careful consideration must be made as to which of these quality aspects takes precedence in light of multiple modeling options, resource availability, and domain characteristics. The present work evaluates the performance of six ML models, each with a different degree of explainability, in classifying the conditions of circulating water pumps (CWPs) by utilizing sensor data from nuclear power plants. To determine the drivers behind the trade-offs presented by this array of models, this work also tests different combinations of CWP units as the training and testing data, degrees of data imbalance, and objective functions for hyperparameter tuning. It was found that black-box models tend to afford superior performance in cases where there are far more instances of one type of labeled data than of any other type. It is recommended that a guided procedure be followed for designing and delivering an ML system that is sufficiently explainable to all involved stakeholders.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Stability Analysis Tool for Bulk Power Systems Using Black-Box Models of Inverter-Based Resources

This paper presents a small-signal stability analysis tool for large-scale power systems with high penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs). Firstly, a network transfer function matrix (NTFM), which represents the information of the system topology, transmission lines, loads, IBRs locations, etc., is derived to model the entire power system network. Secondly, small-signal perturbation method is applied to obtain the sequence impedance/admittance models of the block-box IBRs considering the frequency cross-coupling effects. With the obtained NTFM as well as IBR models, a multi-input, multi-output (MIMO) feedback system is constructed, and the generalized Nyquist criterion (GNC)-based stability method is employed to analyze the stability of the entire power system. Furthermore, based on the developed stability analysis method, sensitivity analysis is conducted on an unstable case to identify which parameter has a high impact on the system stability. As a result, different test cases based on a modified IEEE 14- bus system as well as a reduced 240-bus WECC system are studied to verify the proposed stability analysis tool.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Studying the Impact of IBR Modeling on the Commonly Applied Transmission Line Protective Elements

It is a well-accepted fact that detailed inverter-based resource (IBR) models are needed for electromagnetic transient (EMT) studies, especially for protection studies and protection designs. However, it is not clear which modeling aspects should be included in the EMT model to accurately represent the IBR fault responses. Therefore, this paper addresses this gap by evaluating the impact of key modeling aspects (DC source, inverter model, power control, current/voltage control, and current limiting) on the response of protective relay elements both qualitatively and quantitatively. Both grid-following (GFL) and grid-forming (GFM) IBR models are comprehensively evaluated through a simplified real-world transmission network by varying the IBR modeling aspects, fault locations, and types. The insights and findings from this paper will benefit the power system protection community because this work provides modeling requirements and guidelines for IBR modeling so that correct IBR models will be used for protection scheme settings design.

grid-following inverter↗

Terrestrial biogeochemical cycles - Global interactions with the atmosphere and hydrology

A review is presented of developments in ecosystem theory, remote sensing, and geographic information systems that support new endeavors in spatial modeling. A paradigm has emerged to predict ecosystem behavior based on understanding responses to multiple resources. Ecosystem models couple primary production to decomposition and nutrient availability utilizing this paradigm. It is indicated that coupling of transport and ecosystem processes alters the behavior of earth system components (terrestrial ecosystems, hydrology, and the atmosphere) from that of an uncoupled model.

Schimel, David S.↗

Teachers’ Use and Adaptation of A Model-Based Climate Curriculum: A Three-Year Longitudinal Study

Foregrounding climate education in formal science learning environments provides students with opportunities to develop critical climate-related knowledge and skills. However, research has shown many challenges to teaching and learning about Earth’s climate and global climate change (GCC). This longitudinal study aims to establish how secondary science teachers, over time, implement model-based climate curricula in support of students’ climate and GCC education by utilizing EzGCM. The model (EzGCM) is a data-driven, computer-based climate modeling tool use to explore global climate data. Multiple sources of data collection, including teacher interviews, classroom observations, and daily reflections, were employed to address the research question: “How did two teachers’ implementation strategies evolve over the three-year study while utilizing a model-based, climate-focused curriculum?” This study provides insight into how and why these resources [model-based climate education curricula] are utilized in science learning environments, thereby informing ongoing efforts to enhance climate education and, in doing so, preparing the next generation of climate-literate adults prepared to confront this most critical global challenge of our age. The findings showed while both teachers engaged in increasingly model-centric instructional practices, these changes were modest. Furthermore, both teacher’s observed classroom practices were less model-centric than the designed curriculum. Ultimately emphasizing the transition from existing practices to improved ones, rather than seeking the perfect approach, the study offers practical insights that can honestly assist secondary educators in real-world settings by highlighting state of climate education in secondary science classrooms.

Secondary science teaching↗

Supporting Resource Adequacy via the ReEDS-India Model [Slides]

ReEDS-India is an open-access tool for mid- and long-term capacity expansion modeling that finds the mix of generation, transmission, and storage technologies that meet the anticipated requirements of the electric sector at least cost.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A Comprehensive Machine Learning Model for Metal–Ligand Binding Prediction: Applications in Chemistry and Biology

A machine-learning (ML) model that predicts metal–ligand binding constants was developed using the open-source Chemprop software. The model was trained on over 30,000 experimental log K 1 values, which include both protonation and metal–ligand stability constants, comprising over 3500 ligands and 10 2 metal ions from 73 total elements, thus generalizing beyond existing limited approaches, which focus only on specific metals or ligand families. The best-performing model included a combination of SMILES-based molecular representations along with descriptors for the metal ion and experimental conditions. It had an external test R 2 value of 0.942, and MAE value of 0.834. A “SMILES-only” simpler version also produced accurate predictions and preserved the binding trends, serving as a quick and easily accessible alternative for users without computational expertise. The SMILES-only model performed comparably to density functional theory (DFT) calculations but utilized a fraction of the computational resources. The model was successfully applied across diverse domains, including bioinorganic chemistry, heavy metal remediation, and sensor development and demonstrated its effectiveness as a rapid and reliable screening tool for both academic and industrial uses.

Ligands↗

HPC resources for CMS offline computing: An integration and scalability challenge for the Submission Infrastructure

The computing resource needs of LHC experiments are expected to continue growing significantly during the Run 3 and into the HL-LHC era. The landscape of available resources will also evolve, as High Performance Computing (HPC) and Cloud resources will provide a comparable, or even dominant, fraction of the total compute capacity. The future years present a challenge for the experiments’ resource provisioning models, both in terms of scalability and increasing complexity. The CMS Submission Infrastructure (SI) provisions computing resources for CMS workflows. This infrastructure is built on a set of federated HTCondor pools, currently aggregating 400k CPU cores distributed worldwide and supporting the simultaneous execution of over 200k computing tasks. Incorporating HPC resources into CMS computing represents firstly an integration challenge, as HPC centers are much more diverse compared to Grid sites. Secondly, evolving the present SI, dimensioned to harness the current CMS computing capacity, to reach the resource scales required for the HLLHC phase, while maintaining global flexibility and efficiency, will represent an additional challenge for the SI. To preventively address future potential scalability limits, the SI team regularly runs tests to explore the maximum reach of our infrastructure. In this note, the integration of HPC resources into CMS offline computing is summarized, the potential concerns for the SI derived from the increased scale of operations are described, and the most recent results of scalability test on the CMS SI are reported.

Pérez-Calero Yzquierdo, Antonio↗

A Comparison of Time Series Gap-Filling Methods to Impute Solar Radiation Data

Complete solar resource datasets play a critical role at every stage of solar project phases. However, measured or modeled solar resource data come with significant uncertainties and usually suffer from several issues, including but not limited to, data gaps, data quality issue, etc. In order to mitigate these issues an appropriate data imputation method should be implemented to build a complete and reliable temporal (and spatial) database. Being motivated by this, in this study we compare the performances of eight different gap filling methods extensively by creating random and artificial data gaps in (i) hourly irradiance data for one year using a few locations of the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) and (ii) one-minute ground measurement dataset from Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) stations.

clearness index↗

A Comparison of Time-Series Gap-Filling Methods to Impute Solar Radiation Data: Preprint

Complete solar resource data sets play a critical role at every stage of solar energy projects; however, measured or modeled solar resource data come with significant uncertainties and usually suffer from several issues, including, but not limited to, data gaps and data quality issues. To mitigate these issues, an appropriate data imputation method should be implemented to build a complete and reliable temporal (and spatial) database. Motivated by this, in this study, we extensively compare the performance of eight different gap-filling methods by creating random and artificial data gaps in (i) hourly irradiance data for 1 year using a few locations of the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) and (ii) 1-minute ground measurement data sets from the Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) stations.

clearness index↗