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At least 253 records · Page 14

Distributionally Robust Decision Making Leveraging Conditional Distributions

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful tool for decision making under uncertainty. It is particularly appealing because of its ability to leverage existing data. However, many practical problems call for decision-making with some auxiliary information, and DRO in the context of conditional distributions is not straightforward. We propose a conditional kernel distributionally robust optimization (CKDRO) method that enables robust decision making under conditional distributions through kernel DRO and the conditional mean operator in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). In particular, we consider problems where there is a correlation between the unknown variable y and an auxiliary observable variable x. Given past data of the two variables and a queried auxiliary variable, CKDRO represents the conditional distribution P(y|x) as the conditional mean operator in the RKHS space and quantifies the ambiguity set in the RKHS as well, which depends on the size of the dataset as well as the query point. To justify the use of RKHS, we demonstrate that the ambiguity set defined in RKHS can be viewed as a ball under a metric that is similar to the Wasserstein metric. The DRO is then dualized and solved via a finite dimensional convex program. The proposed CKDRO approach is applied to a generation scheduling problem and shows that the result of CKDRO is superior to common benchmarks in terms of quality and robustness.

Chen, Yuxiao↗

Effect of Accurate Modeling of Converter Interfaced Generation (CIG) on a Practical Bulk Power System

With increased penetration of converter interfaced generation (CIG) in power systems, it becomes imperative to adequately model them in both steady-state and dynamic simulations. There are several modeling approaches and simulation platforms for CIG. In addition, it is noted that suitability of modeling approaches and models is also dependent on the system conditions. However, their suitability has yet to be systematically analyzed, and this becomes a challenge in the industry without a systemic method. To tackle these challenges, in this paper, we first develop a methodology for identifying the maximum penetration of aggregated rooftop sources that can be represented as negative loads in both the steady state and dynamic analysis. Then we verify the suitability of positive-sequence performance-based model and detailed electromagnetic transient (EMT) model for utility-scale PV plants under different fault conditions. Based on the results, we perform dynamic simulations on a large practical system with both positive-sequence transient stability(TS) and EMT-TS hybrid simulation. Our study shows that positive-sequence performance based PV plant model is more suitable for study cases with faults relatively far away from the point of connection, and that positive-sequence models and TS simulation approach can produce comparable results with reference to EMT-TS hybrid simulation for normally-cleared single-line-to-ground faults, but the inadequacy of positive-sequence based model and simulation approach becomes obvious for prolonged-tripping of unbalanced faults in proximity of the PV plants.

Huang, Qiuhua↗

Numerical modeling of hydrogen mixing in a direct-injection engine fueled with gaseous hydrogen

Hydrogen is considered as one of the most promising options to achieve effective decarbonization of the energy and transportation sectors. As such, it has recently been receiving increasing attention because of its promising potential as an energy carrier for advanced energy and propulsion systems. With a focus on internal combustion engines, direct injection (DI) of gaseous hydrogen during the compression stroke offers great potential for high engine efficiency and specific power while reducing the risk of backfiring and pre-ignition issues. Therefore, many experimental and numerical efforts have recently been dedicated to understanding the physical and chemical behaviors of hydrogen in engine during mixing and combustion. This study focuses on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling of the hydrogen DI process in a hydrogen optical research engine. Under the conditions studied, gaseous hydrogen is injected into the combustion chamber via a centrally located single-hole injector at a pressure of 100 bar. Two configurations, namely low-and high-tumble, are investigated to understand the impact of different in-cylinder flow patterns on the fuel-air mixture preparation. Simulations are carried out using the commercial CFD software CONVERGE. Here, the in-cylinder turbulence is modeled with an unsteady Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (URANS) formulation closed by the renormalization group (RNG) k-ε model. Several numerical methods and model constants, including but not limited to turbulent Schmidt number, are evaluated. The numerical results are systematically compared against experimental measurements of velocity and hydrogen concentration fields on the vertical center plane to assess the performance of the CFD model, unveil the physics of hydrogen mixing, and establish best practices for modeling hydrogen DI under relatively high injection pressure conditions.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Twenty Years and Counting—Where are they? Practical Recommendations for Commercializing AI/ML for Intrusion Detection in the Nuclear Industry

Research and development into applications for improving equipment condition monitoring programs at nuclear facilities has been around since the 1990s. However, while the field has moved from using data-driven machine learning (ML) algorithms for detection and prediction of equipment degradation and failure to prognostic capabilities, these applications are still not widely used in the U.S. nuclear industry. Additionally, there has been significant effort in designing both data-driven and physics-based artificial intelligence (AI) and ML models for many other potential applications in the nuclear industry, including cyber intrusion detection systems (IDS). However, as the last twenty years in condition-based maintenance research has shown us, there are significant hurdles that must be overcome for deployment of IDS on plant systems. This paper provides a discussion on the practical recommendations that researchers should consider for successful adoption of AI/ML IDS in the nuclear industry.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

CO 2 to Fuels Through Novel Electrochemical Catalysis (Final Report)

Electrochemical upgrading of CO 2 into hydrocarbon fuels via CO 2 –H 2 O co-electrolysis using solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) presents an encouraging approach to cost-effective storage of renewable power. In this study, we harness the unique property of protonic ceramic electrolysis cells (PCEC) and demonstrate direct electro-catalytic production of CH 4 from CO 2 –H 2 O in a unit-cell stack configuration. The unit-cell stack was developed to evaluate the scalability and the applicability of PCECs from a broader system-level viewpoint. Tradeoffs between operating conditions and performance metrics were explored and thoroughly characterized. An exceptional CH 4 -yield ratio of 34.6% from only CO 2 –H 2 O reactants was achieved under an electrolysis current of 1 A cm –2 at 450 °C. With exhaust-H 2 recycle, this value was boosted to greater than 70%. In addition, the electrochemical co-conversion of CO 2 –H 2 O offers a higher CH 4 -yield ratio compared to traditional thermo-catalytic conversion of CO 2 –H 2 under certain operating conditions, indicating possible electrochemical promotion of catalytic CO 2 methanation. The demonstrated good performance is a promising result for further scale-up and for the practical utilization of electrochemical CO 2 upgrade using PCECs. Techno-economic analyses reveal operating conditions that yield cost-competitive levelized cost of fuel production.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Ultra-clear Aerogels for Insulated Glass in Refrigeration Doors (CRADA Final Report)

Display refrigerators commonly employ glass doors to provide product visibility; however, these doors exhibit significantly poorer thermal insulation than solid doors, resulting in increased heat transfer and higher energy consumption. To address this limitation, this project investigated the use of silica aerogel as a transparent insulating medium for refrigerator glass doors, with the objective of enhancing thermal performance without compromising visual clarity. In Phase I of the project, we assessed the feasibility of silica aerogel insulation through laboratory and full-scale studies, including material characterization, durability testing, and heat transfer measurements, along with the development and performance evaluation of prototype glass doors under realistic operating conditions. In Phase II, the project focused on scaling the technology toward practical deployment. This included scaling up the manufacturing process to achieve a surface area roughly 20 times larger for commercial applications, developing full-scale prototypes that integrated silica aerogel into standard display refrigerator doors, and conducting field evaluations to assess thermal performance, energy savings, and operational durability under real-world conditions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Real-time optimization of multi-cell industrial evaporative cooling towers using machine learning and particle swarm optimization

Existing electrical generating stations must operate with greater flexibility due to increasing renewable energy penetration on the electrical grid, and many coal-fired power stations have transitioned away from baseload operation to load-following operation to aid in grid stability. In cases where multiple independently controlled cooling tower cells are used in parallel for the cooling purposes of such stations, there is an opportunity to increase plant efficiency through data-driven optimization across their full load ranges. This work presents a novel application of real-time optimization using machine learning and particle swarm optimization on a multi-cell induced-draft cooling tower servicing a coal-fired power station under variable load. This is the first work to demonstrate simultaneous optimization of a multi-cell cooling tower, in addition to using machine learning for closed-loop control on a cooling tower. A novel control configuration is presented that ensures original control logic is not adversely affected and that the overall plant process is not disrupted using only existing hardware and operational data. To verify this methodology, the 12 independent cooling tower cells are simulated in parallel using historic operating data to demonstrate the effectiveness of real-time optimization compared to current practice. An artificial neural network is trained to predict overall cooling tower power consumption using only operational data and ambient conditions with an R2 value of greater than 0.96. The real-time optimization using particle swarm yields 6.7% annual energy usage savings compared to current practices, although the extent of the real-time savings varies greatly with both plant load and environmental conditions. This is particularly significant for a variable load situation because frequent ramping typically results in reduced overall efficiency. Furthermore, this proposed AI-based solution presents an opportunity to improve the overall heat rate of a load-following coal-fired power plant without the need to perform extensive first-principles modeling or add additional hardware to the cooling tower, resulting in more resources conserved and less overall emissions per unit of electricity generated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Fusion Model for Metagenomics

This work highlights the use of an embeddings approach that can encode multiple features and create efficient contextualization of profiled metagenomes derived from microbiome samples using computer vision models and image representations of the abundance profiles. The model's embeddings can be used to cluster existing samples based on multiple conditions and interpretations, and new embeddings can be quickly created for new samples and fitted to existing clusters to characterize them. This has practical applications for unknown, unlabeled microbiome samples. The model's embeddings can be used to cluster existing samples based on multiple conditions and interpretations, and new embeddings can be quickly created for new samples and fitted to existing clusters to characterize them. This has practical applications for unknown, unlabeled microbiome samples.

Valdes, CamiloA [Lawrence Livermore National Labor↗

Rationalizing nitrogen-doped secondary carbon particles for practical lithium-sulfur batteries

Nanostructured carbon host materials are widely used to improve both sulfur utilization rate and reaction kinetics in lithium-sulfur (Li-S) batteries. However, high complexity/cost of materials synthesis and difficulty in processing nano-materials into high-mass-loading electrodes are still significant barriers to the development of low-cost and high-energy Li-S batteries. In this study, we reported a generic and scalable synthesis approach to prepare nitrogen-doped secondary carbon particles. By using nitrogen-containing precursor as an integration reagent, the nanosized Ketjen Black particles were integrated into micron-size secondary ones and nitrogen-doped (NKB) simultaneously through a one-step heat treatment. With NKB as an example material, the effects of particle integration degree on the secondary particles’ structures, pore volume and connectivity, sulfur loading capability, and cell performance were studied and discussed. At an optimal integration condition, the NKB particles had significantly improved particle dimensions with well-maintained high specific surface area and pore volume. Here, contributed by the micron size and high pore volume, the NKB/S were successfully used for high-sulfur-loading cathodes (4–7 mg s /cm -2 ) and were able to deliver a specific capacity of ~1100 mAh g -1 at a low-porosity (50%) and lean-electrolyte conditions (E/S =4 µL/mg -1 ). Feasibility of the materials for practical use was validated through scaling up synthesis (40 g/batch), large-area electrode coating, and practical pouch cell (1.6 Ah) assembly and test.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Local practically safe extremum seeking with assignable rate of attractivity to the safe set

We present Assignably Safe Extremum Seeking (ASfES), an algorithm designed to minimize a measured, static objective function while maintaining a measured, static metric of safety (a control barrier function or CBF) to be positive in a practical sense. We ensure that for trajectories with safe initial conditions, the violation of safety can be made arbitrarily small through appropriately chosen design constants. We also guarantee an assignable “attractivity” rate: from unsafe initial conditions, the trajectories approach the safe set, in the sense of the measured CBF, at a rate no slower than a user-assigned rate. Similarly, from safe initial conditions, the trajectories approach the unsafe set, in the sense of the CBF, no faster than the assigned attractivity rate. The feature of assignable attractivity is not present in the semiglobal version of safe extremum seeking, where the semiglobality of convergence is achieved by slowing the adaptation. We also demonstrate local convergence of the parameter to a neighborhood of the minimum of a quadratic objective function constrained to the safe set with a linear CBF. The ASfES algorithm and analysis are multivariable, but we also extend the algorithm to a Newton-Based ASfES scheme which we show is only useful in the scalar case. The proven properties of the designs are illustrated through simulation examples.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NSFnets (Navier-Stokes flow nets): Physics-informed neural networks for the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations

In the last 50 years there has been a tremendous progress in solving numerically the Navier-Stokes equations using finite differences, finite elements, spectral, and even meshless methods. Yet, in many real cases, we still cannot incorporate seamlessly (multi-fidelity) data into existing algorithms, and for industrial-complexity applications the mesh generation is time consuming and still an art. Moreover, solving ill-posed problems (e.g., lacking boundary conditions) or inverse problems is often prohibitively expensive and requires different formulations and new computer codes. Here, we employ physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), encoding the governing equations directly into the deep neural network via automatic differentiation, to overcome some of the aforementioned limitations for simulating incompressible laminar and turbulent flows. We develop the Navier-Stokes flow nets (NSFnets) by considering two different mathematical formulations of the Navier-Stokes equations: the velocity-pressure (VP) formulation and the vorticity-velocity (VV) formulation. Since this is a new approach, we first select some standard benchmark problems to assess the accuracy, convergence rate, computational cost and flexibility of NSFnets; analytical solutions and direct numerical simulation (DNS) databases provide proper initial and boundary conditions for the NSFnet simulations. The spatial and temporal coordinates are the inputs of the NSFnets, while the instantaneous velocity and pressure fields are the outputs for the VP-NSFnet, and the instantaneous velocity and vorticity fields are the outputs for the VV-NSFnet. This is unsupervised learning and, hence, no labeled data are required beyond boundary and initial conditions and the fluid properties. The residuals of the VP or VV governing equations, together with the initial and boundary conditions, are embedded into the loss function of the NSFnets. No data is provided for the pressure to the VP-NSFnet, which is a hidden state and is obtained via the incompressibility constraint without extra computational cost. Unlike the traditional numerical methods, NSFnets inherit the properties of neural networks (NNs), hence the total error is composed of the approximation, the optimization, and the generalization errors. Here, we empirically attempt to quantify these errors by varying the sampling (“residual”) points, the iterative solvers, and the size of the NN architecture. For the laminar flow solutions, we show that both the VP and the VV formulations are comparable in accuracy but their best performance corresponds to different NN architectures. The initial convergence rate is fast but the error eventually saturates to a plateau due to the dominance of the optimization error. For the turbulent channel flow, we show that NSFnets can sustain turbulence at , but due to expensive training we only consider part of the channel domain and enforce velocity boundary conditions on the subdomain boundaries provided by the DNS data base. We also perform a systematic study on the weights used in the loss function for balancing the data and physics components, and investigate a new way of computing the weights dynamically to accelerate training and enhance accuracy. In the last part, we demonstrate how NSFnets should be used in practice, namely for ill-posed problems with incomplete or noisy boundary conditions as well as for inverse problems. We obtain reasonably accurate solutions for such cases as well without the need to change the NSFnets and at the same computational cost as in the forward well-posed problems. As a result, we also present a simple example of transfer learning that will aid in accelerating the training of NSFnets for different parameter settings.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Guide to Nonaqueous Electrochemistry of f-Element Complexes

Electrochemistry is a powerful tool for assessing and understanding the redox chemistry of molecular complexes. Cyclic voltammetry enables the f-element community to study molecules in unusually high or low oxidation states, which potentially pose important broad-scope questions of electronic structure. In the pursuit of boundary-pushing compounds, reactive air- and moisture-sensitive species are often encountered, which can be challenging to characterize, especially when they are chemically incompatible with certain solvents, electrolytes, or electrodes or when their potentials lie outside of common electrochemical windows. Nonaqueous solvents and pseudo reference electrodes complicate many of the standard practices in acquiring high-quality and reproducible electrochemical data. This guide presents a detailed discussion of selecting appropriate cell conditions and referencing and addresses metrics for evaluating electrochemical and chemical reversibility. These methodological approaches have been extended to best practices for the electrochemical analysis of radioactive transuranic complexes.

Electrodes↗

An agentic artificially intelligent X-ray scientist

Executing experimental tasks in both normal research laboratories and large-scale scientific facilities often requires extensive human supervision and remains a key challenge on the path to fully autonomous, artificial intelligence (AI)-driven science. Here we demonstrate a large language model-driven agent that autonomously performs X-ray sample alignment on a synchrotron beamline by planning actions, executing instrumental commands, interpreting observations and iterating towards experimental goals. Based on existing large language models with structured tool-use via the model context protocol, our AI X-ray scientist was guided and tested using an in-house-built virtual experimental setup that mirrors a six-circle diffractometer at an operational synchrotron beamline. The agentic workflow developed in the virtual environment was directly deployed on a real beamline, where it correctly identified reference reflections and determined the orientation matrix, an essential first step in any type of single-crystal scattering experiment. Our AI X-ray scientist responded effectively to unexpected experimental conditions, demonstrating adaptive problem-solving and readiness for addressing practical experimental situations. Our study provides a step towards autonomous operation across diverse experimental environments at large-scale scattering facilities.

Chen, Zhantao (ORCID:0000000319543868)↗

Data-driven multi-element substitution of TiFe alloys for tunable thermodynamics and enhanced activation behaviour for hydrogen storage

Due to their high volumetric hydrogen storage capacity under moderate storage conditions, TiFe alloys have been widely investigated as candidates for practical solid-state hydrogen storage. Partially substituting Ti or Fe sites can improve the key characteristics of TiFe alloys, such as the first hydrogen absorption step (activation) and the equilibrium hydrogen pressure (thermodynamic properties). However, the selection of substitution elements has heavily relied on intuition and trial-and-error. Also, conventional substitution strategies have mainly focused on single-element substitution within the TiFe alloy, limiting the design space and tunability for target applications. Here, to address this limitation, we report a multi-element substitution strategy motivated by an efficient, data-driven machine learning (ML) approach combined with corroborating density functional theory (DFT) calculations. Our models successfully predict experimentally measured hydride stability in five selected alloys using only compositional descriptors. Most importantly, the multi-element substitution leads to enhanced activation properties compared to pure TiFe, achieving near room-temperature activation behaviour. This work provides a method for on-demand tuning of hydrogen storage and activation properties, which may have broad implications for data-driven discovery of energy storage materials.

Cho, YongJun [Korea Advanced Institute Science and↗

Stability Considerations for Virtual Capacitor Control in Constant Power DC Loads

In a DC grid, constant power loads (CPLs) necessitate a large bus capacitor to prevent negative impedance instability. Some of the capacitance can be realized virtually through CPL control to reduce the bus capacitor size. Here, this paper analytically studies system stability with virtual capacitor control. We demonstrate that the effectiveness of virtual capacitor control is highly sensitive to the implementation of the derivative action required to emulate the capacitor. For the first time, we theoretically demonstrate that a virtual capacitor can stabilize the system without any physical bus capacitor, provided that a set of analytically derived conditions are met. However, this stabilization is not achievable in practice due to the influence of non-idealities. In an example system requiring a $14$ mF capacitor to stably support the CPL, we show that stability can be achieved through virtual capacitor control, using only a 2 mF physical capacitor to account for the switching ripple non-idealities. Hardware-in-the-loop tests verify the analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Operating Dynamic Reserve Dimensioning Using Probabilistic Forecasts

The rapid integration of variable energy sources (VRES) into power grids increases variability and uncertainty of the net demand, making the power system operation challenging. Operating reserve is used by system operators to manage and hedge against such variability and uncertainty. Traditionally, reserve requirements are determined by rules-of-thumb (static reserve requirements, e.g., NERC Reliability Standards), and more recently, dynamic reserve requirements from tools and methods which are in the adoption process (e.g., DynADOR, DRD, and RESERVE, among others). While these methods/tools significantly improve the static rule-of-thumb approaches, they rely exclusively on deterministic data (i.e., best guess only). Consequently, these methods disregard the probabilistic uncertainty thresholds associated with specific days and their weather conditions (i.e., best guess plus probabilistic uncertainty). This work presents practical approaches to determine the operating reserve requirements leveraging the wealth information from probabilistic forecasts. Proposed approaches are validated and tested using actual data from the CAISO system. Furthermore, results show the benefits in terms of risk reduction of considering the probabilistic forecast information into the dimensioning process of operating reserve requirements.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Residential HVAC Fault Data Collection Plan – Refrigerant Undercharge and Overcharge Faults

Heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems can develop faults due to poor installation practices or gradual wear and tear, leading to decreased HVAC system’s efficiency, compromised thermal comfort, and shortened equipment lifespan (EERE, 2018). Automated fault detection and diagnosis (AFDD) technologies offer a solution by identifying energy-wasting HVAC faults, such as inadequate indoor airflow and incorrect refrigerant charge, and guiding technicians to enhance system efficiency. In the realm of residential HVAC, AFDD can be implemented through various fault detection and diagnosis capabilities, sensor configurations, and target applications. These technologies typically fall into three categories: smart diagnostic tools, original equipment manufacturer (OEM)-embedded tools, and add-on tools. Smart diagnostic tools employ temporarily installed sensors to directly measure HVAC system characteristics, while OEM-embedded tools utilize factory-installed sensors to identify faults or assess system performance. However, both these types of AFDD technologies are often only accessible for high-end HVAC equipment or require additional sensor installation by qualified technicians, resulting in high investment costs and limited applicability for low-income residential buildings. On the other hand, add-on tools rely solely on data from smart thermostats and meters to detect faults by continuously analyzing equipment runtime or energy usage. As smart thermostat and meter costs decrease and their prevalence increases, these tools can be readily deployed in low-income residential buildings. However, they possess limited capabilities as they rely solely on basic trend analysis. Enhancing such tools with advanced machine learning algorithms can significantly improve their effectiveness.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Electrolyte-Assisted Hydrogen Cycling in Lithium and Sodium Alanates at Low Pressures and Temperatures

An investigation of electrolyte-assisted hydrogen storage reactions in complex aluminum hydrides (LiAlH4 and NaAlH4) reveals significantly reduced reaction times for hydrogen desorption and uptake in the presence of an electrolyte. LiAlH4 evolves ~7.8 wt% H2 over ~3 h in the presence of a Li-KBH4 eutectic at 130 °C compared to ~25 h for the same material without the electrolyte. Similarly, NaAlH4 exhibits 4.8 wt% H2 evolution over ~4 h in the presence of a diglyme electrolyte at 150 °C compared to 4.4 wt% in ~15 h for the same material without the electrolyte. These reduced reaction times are composed of two effects, an increase in reaction rates and a change in the reaction kinetics. While typical solid state dehydrogenation reactions exhibit kinetics with rates that continuously decrease with the extent of reaction, we find that the addition of an electrolyte results in rates that are relatively constant over the full desorption window. Fitting the kinetics to an Avrami-Erofe’ev model supports these observations. The desorption rate coefficients increase in the presence of an electrolyte, suggesting an increase in the velocities of the reactant-product interfaces. In addition, including an electrolyte increases the growth parameters, primarily for the second desorption steps, resulting in the observed relatively constant reaction rates. Similar effects occur upon hydrogen uptake in NaH/Al where the presence of an electrolyte enables hydrogenation under more practical low temperature (75 °C) and pressure (50 bar H2) conditions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗