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At least 253 records · Page 14

LLNL FY22 Aging and Lifetimes Exit Criteria: Milestone 8119, GC#01

Polysiloxane foams utilized for stockpile applications experience changes over time induced by exposure to thermal, radiative, and mechanical stresses. The interplay of these stresses can lead to chemical and/or physical changes in the polymer, such as compression set and material degradation over time. Understanding the mechanisms of material aging and identifying material degradation prior to failure are critical in maintaining the integrity of the nuclear stockpile. Our prior work using solid-state NMR spectroscopy has shown that we can observe signatures of thermal, radiative, and mechanical aging of silicone elastomers using differences in NMR parameters such as relaxation (T1 and T2). However, most of our measurements have been on bulk samples and have only provided an average aging behavior of each sample. Here, we have used magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to provide relaxation-weighted images that are a metric of structural heterogeneity (crosslink density) in polymers across multiple length scales. In addition, the larger sample size that can be accommodated in animal MRI scanners has the potential to make the technique adaptable to detecting heterogeneities in whole parts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluation of cloud height, optical thickness, and phase retrievals from the CHROMA algorithm applied to Sentinel-3 OLCI data

We previously developed the Cloud Height Retrieval from O 2 Molecular Absorption (CHROMA) algorithm for the Ocean Color Instrument (OCI) on the new NASA Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem (PACE) mission. Here, we apply CHROMA to observations from the Ocean Land Colour Instrument (OLCI) to guide expectations for PACE, as it will take some time to obtain large-scale validation data for OCI. We use cloud top height (CTH), phase, and (for liquid clouds) cloud optical thickness (COT) data from the ground-based Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) network to evaluate the OLCI retrievals. We found that OLCI and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) CTH compare similarly well to the ARM reference. OLCI has a tendency to underestimate CTH as CTH increases, and algorithm assumptions about cloud geometric thickness may contribute to this. ARM COT from multifilter shadowband radiometers (MFRSR) and Sun photometers are well-correlated with one another, albeit with a roughly 30 % offset on average; OLCI and MODIS COT agree more closely with the MFRSR data. OLCI retrieval uncertainty estimates show skill at telling low-uncertainty cases from high-uncertainty ones, although CTH uncertainties are underestimated. Additionally, we compare the OLCI data to satellite retrievals based on thermal infrared measurements from MODIS and Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR) data. Differences are broadly consistent with physical expectations based on the A-band vs. thermal techniques, although one key challenge in such aggregated comparisons is different cloud masking sensitivities and algorithm failure rates meaning additional sampling differences are introduced. We conclude by discussing the transition to and possible enhancements for PACE OCI.

Sayer, Andrew M. [Univ. of Maryland Baltimore Coun↗

A Hybrid Physics-Based, Data-Driven Approach to Model Damage Accumulation in Corrosion of Polymeric Adhesives

The degradation of polymeric adhesives in dissimilar joints is a menace to electric and structural components of the automotive industry. In polymeric adhesives, failure often occurs due to damage accumulated from discrete environmental sources—thermal degradation, oxidation, hydrolysis, radiation, and moisture—that are combined with progressive damage mechanisms, such as aging and fatigue. Because most damage mechanisms that lead to degradation act in parallel, the estimation of the lifetime of a polymeric material becomes a significant reliability issue, no study currently exists that can simultaneously consider even two of these phenomena. Most current efforts are directed toward a single-phenomenon, single-model approach in which a model is developed to cover one specific damage mechanism. While this approach is advantageous in exploring single mechanisms, it is strongly inconclusive for degradation that occurs by multiple damage mechanisms. Our team plans to take a fresh perspective by designing a hybrid constitutive/data-driven approach that allows models of different damage mechanisms to be integrated into one model and then used to explore the degradation-induced failure of polymeric adhesives. The theoretical-computational part of this work is divided into four research components as described in the Approach section below.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Vacuum Insulator Flashover Physics LDRD Report

Large, pulsed power and high voltage systems often employ a stack of insulators to separate a vacuum section away from water or oil sections. The size of this insulator stack often drives overall costs and feasibility of these systems. An electric breakdown along the insulator surface is a primary failure mechanism and is especially impactful if it occurs while power is still being delivered downstream. This report describes a set of experimental and modeling investigations into the cause of these breakdowns, especially focusing on the much less well-understood anode-initiated breakdowns that occur during early parts of power delivery. Additionally, new diagnostics for assessing relevant material properties and behavior of insulators are described. These results describe breakdown behavior and evolution at new temporal and spatial fidelities and provide hypotheses and some answers as to how these breakdowns can occur. This new understanding of the roles of different physics phenomena guide modifications and trade-offs in generating newer insulator stack designs that are smaller and/or have higher electrical stress thresholds.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Hydrogen Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM) (Version 3.0 Technical Reference Manual)

The HyRAM software toolkit provides a basis for conducting quantitative risk assessment and consequence modeling for hydrogen infrastructure and transportation systems. HyRAM is designed to facilitate the use of state-of-the-art science and engineering models to conduct robust, repeatable assessments of hydrogen safety, hazards, and risk. HyRAM includes generic probabilities for hydrogen equipment failures, probabilistic models for the impact of heat flux on humans and structures, and computationally and experimentally validated first-order models of hydrogen release and flame physics. HyRAM integrates deterministic and probabilistic models for quantifying accident scenarios, predicting physical effects, and characterizing hydrogen hazards (thermal effects from jet fires, overpressure effects from deflagrations), and assessing impact on people and structures. HyRAM is developed at Sandia National Laboratories for the U.S. Department of Energy to increase access to technical data about hydrogen safety and to enable the use of that data to support development and revision of national and international codes and standards. HyRAM is a research software in active development and thus the models and data may change. This report will be updated at appropriate developmental intervals. This document provides a description of the methodology and models contained in the HyRAM version 3.0. HyRAM 3.0 includes the new ability to model cryogenic hydrogen releases from liquid hydrogen systems, using a different property calculation method and different equations of state. Other changes include modifications to the ignition probability calculations, component leak frequency calculations, and addition of default impulse data.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Z Facility Sustainment Status (November FY 2024) [Slides]

FY24 sustainment project list has been revised resulting in sixteen projects. Total budget for the finalized project list is $9,570,968 (includes FY23 Carryover and FY24). Key factors for project selection included: risk mitigation to address operations highest failure risk subsystems, purchase of long lead parts to address life limited parts, and completion of multi phase sustainment projects initiated in prior year. Given the backlog of projects and limited FY24 funding, there are identified projects that are not included in the final project list that could reduce future Z facility failure risk. Should additional budget become available, these identified projects can be kicked off.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Stable Glasses of Organic Semiconductor Resist Crystallization

The instability of glassy solids poses a key limitation to their use in several technological applications. Well-packed organic glasses, prepared by physical vapor deposition (PVD), have drawn attention recently because they can exhibit significantly higher thermal and chemical stability than glasses prepared from more traditional routes. We show here that PVD glasses can also show enhanced resistance to crystallization. By controlling the deposition temperature, resistance toward crystallization can be enhanced by at least a factor of ten in PVD glasses of the model organic semiconductor Alq3 (tris(8-hydroxyquinolinato) aluminum). PVD glasses of Alq3 first transform into a supercooled liquid before crystallizing. By controlling the deposition temperature, we increase the glass → liquid transformation time thereby also increasing the overall time for crystallization. Furthermore, we thus demonstrate a new strategy to stabilize glasses of organic semiconductors against crystallization, which is a common failure mechanism in organic light emitting diode devices.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Generative Design for Resilience of Interdependent Network Systems

Abstract Interconnected complex systems usually undergo disruptions due to internal uncertainties and external negative impacts such as those caused by harsh operating environments or regional natural disaster events. To maintain the operation of interconnected network systems under both internal and external challenges, design for resilience research has been conducted from both enhancing the reliability of the system through better designs and improving the failure recovery capabilities. As for enhancing the designs, challenges have arisen for designing a robust system due to the increasing scale of modern systems and the complicated underlying physical constraints. To tackle these challenges and design a resilient system efficiently, this study presents a generative design method that utilizes graph learning algorithms. The generative design framework contains a performance estimator and a candidate design generator. The generator can intelligently mine good properties from existing systems and output new designs that meet predefined performance criteria while the estimator can efficiently predict the performance of the generated design for a fast iterative learning process. Case studies results based on synthetic supply chain networks and power systems from the IEEE dataset have illustrated the applicability of the developed method for designing resilient interdependent network systems.

Engineering↗

The 2023 Gold Run in the Injectors

RHIC Run 23 used Gold beam from Tandem with an AGS extraction energy of 9.8 GeV. The same basic setup, 8 single bunch transfers from the Booster and a 12-6 merge in the AGS to provide 4 bunches at extraction, had been used before to deliver Tandem Au to RHIC. But in those cases, it was used for low energy runs (3.85 GeV in 2021 and 5.75 GeV in 2020) where extraction was below transition energy (7.9 GeV). Tandem beam was used for this run because the intensity and stability of EBIS Au did not meet the requirements for RHIC. Physics was first declared in RHIC on May 22 nd and on August 1 st the run was cut short by about 2 months due to a major failure in RHIC. Prior to the advent of EBIS as the preinjector in 2012, 9.8 GeV Tandem Au was regularly delivered to RHIC but the setup in the Booster and AGS was quite different: Four Booster transfers of 6 bunches each were merged into 4 bunches using a 24-12-4 merge scheme. The supercycle length was 6.0 sec before June 29 th when it was extended to 6.6 sec to accommodate EBIS commissioning. The Tandem, Booster, and AGS were on user 1 for the 9.8 GeV setup. Some work with EBIS Au 32+ took place on EBIS, Booster, and AGS user 5 using the standard 9.8 GeV injector setup with a 4 to 1 merge in Booster and a 6-3-1 type merge in AGS. The Siemens motor generator was used for the entire run. An intensity limit of 8.0e9 Au 77+ ions in the AGS was in effect during the run to protect the J7 plunging stripping foil and the Copper absorber of the AGS beam dump. This corresponds to a merged bunch intensity limit of 2.0e9 Au 77+ ions for 4 equal intensity bunches. The per bunch intensity limit can be increased to 2.67e9 by reducing the number of BtA transfers from 8 to 6. There was also a Booster Late intensity limit of 16e9 Au ions in effect to protect the BtA stripping foil from damage due to overheating. Lowering the number of transfers also makes this limit less of a constraint. BtA foil 5, which was installed in 2020 and had not been used regularly prior to this run was used all run and showed no obvious signs of deterioration. In May, a Tandem Au 3.85 GeV setup from 2021 was also re-established on AGS user 2. It was used for APEX on May 24 and July 26. Initial work with 3.85 GeV beam was on May 19. Proton beam was also set up during the run and extracted to W dump on July 10. It was used for APEX on July 12. Although the OPPIS source was used the AGS setup was without snakes.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Artificial Reasoning System for Symptom-Based Conditional Failure Probability Estimation Using Bayesian Network

Advances in nuclear power technologies require enhanced capabilities for operator advice and autonomous control. One of the first tasks in the development of such capabilities is the formulation of symptom-based conditional failure probabilities for structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of interest, for which the primary goal is to aid plant personnel in deducing the probabilistic performance status of the monitored SSCs and in detecting impending faults/failure. The task of conditional failure probability estimation is a bidirectional inference problem and shall be logically tackled by the Bayesian network (BN) approach. As a knowledge-based artificial intelligence tool and a probabilistic graphical model, BN offers the capability of reasoning under uncertainty and graphical representation emulating the physical behavior of the target SSC. This paper provides a systematic overview of the BN technique and the software tools for handling implementation of BN models, along with the associated knowledge representation and reasoning paradigm. Both operational data and expert judgement can be readily incorporated into the knowledge base of a BN model. The challenges with data availability are highlighted, and the general approach to target SSC identification is presented. Our focus is upon failure-prone and risk-important balance of plant assets, especially cases having strong operator involvement. An exemplary case study on the failure of a motor-driven centrifugal pump is also conducted to demonstrate the usefulness and technical feasibility of the proposed artificial reasoning system using an expert system shell.

Zhao, Xingang↗

Stochastic properties of ultralight scalar field gradients

Ultralight axion-like particles are well-motivated dark matter candidates that are the target of numerous direct detection efforts. In the vicinity of the Solar System, such particles can be treated as oscillating scalar fields. The velocity dispersion of the Milky Way determines a coherence time of about 10 6 oscillations, beyond which the amplitude of the axion field fluctuates stochastically. Any analysis of data from an axion direct detection experiment must carefully account for this stochastic behavior to properly interpret the results. This is especially true for experiments sensitive to the gradient of the axion field that are unable to collect data for many coherence times. Indeed, the direction, in addition to the amplitude, of the axion field gradient fluctuates stochastically. We present the first complete stochastic treatment for the gradient of the axion field, including multiple computationally efficient methods for performing likelihood-based data analysis, which can be applied to any axion signal, regardless of coherence time. Additionally, we demonstrate that ignoring the stochastic behavior of the gradient of the axion field can potentially result in failure to discover a true axion signal

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Game Strategies for Entanglement Paths in Quantum Network Infrastructure

Entanglement distribution is a core function of quantum networks, and the paths used for this purpose are composed of quantum and conventional network components and are routed through physical facility sites. A game theoretic model is formulated for the defense of entanglement paths in a quantum network infrastructure by modeling the correlations and probabilities of reinforcement and failure of its components. A sum-form utility function is used to capture the cost-benefit trade-offs in reinforcing the entanglement path components to defend against their failures and attacks. Under Nash Equilibrium criteria, estimates of survival probabilities of entanglement paths are derived using the parameters and correlations of quantum, conventional, hybrid, and facility components. They provide insights into the dependencies of entanglement paths on its components, including cross-boundary effects of conventional, quantum, and facility components.

Rao, Nageswara [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000234085941)↗

Resilience of Urban Transport Network-of-Networks under Intense Flood Hazards Exacerbated by Targeted Attacks

Natural hazards including floods can trigger catastrophic failures in interdependent urban transport network-of-networks (NoNs). Population growth has enhanced transportation demand while urbanization and climate change have intensified urban floods. However, despite the clear need to develop actionable insights for improving the resilience of critical urban lifelines, the theory and methods remain underdeveloped. Furthermore, as infrastructure systems become more intelligent, security experts point to the growing threat of targeted cyber-physical attacks during natural hazards. Here we develop a hypothesis-driven resilience framework for urban transport NoNs, which we demonstrate on the London Rail Network (LRN). We find that topological attributes designed for maximizing efficiency rather than robustness render the network more vulnerable to compound natural-targeted disruptions including cascading failures. Our results suggest that an organizing principle for post-disruption recovery may be developed with network science principles. Our findings and frameworks can generalize to urban lifelines and more generally to real-world spatial networks.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Collective Summary of sCO2 Materials Development (Supercritical Transformational Electric Power Generation (STEP) Level 2 Milestone Report) (Parts I - II)

Polymers such as PTFE (polytetrafluorethylene or Teflon), EPDM (ethylene propylene diene monomer) rubber, FKM fluoroelastomer (Viton), Nylon 11, Nitrile butadiene (NBR) rubber, hydrogenated nitrile rubber (HNBR) and perfluoroelastomers (FF_202) are commonly employed in super critical CO 2 (sCO2) energy conversion systems. O-rings and gaskets made from these polymers face stringent performance conditions such as elevated temperatures, high pressures, pollutants, and corrosive humid environments. In FY 2019, we conducted experiments at high temperatures (100°C and 120°C) under isobaric conditions (20 MPa). Findings showed that elevated temperatures accelerated degradation of polymers in sCO2, and that certain polymer microstructures are more susceptible to degradation over others. In FY 2020, the focus was to understand the effect of sCO2 on polymers at low (10 MPa) and high pressures (40 MPa) under isothermal conditions (100°C). It was clear that the same selectivity was observed in these experiments wherein certain polymeric functionalities showed more propensity to failure over others. Fast diffusion, supported by higher pressures and long exposure times (1000 hours) at the test temperature, caused increased damage in sCO2 environments to even the most robust polymers. We also looked at polymers under compression in sCO2 at 100°C and 20 MPa pressure to imitate actual sealing performance required of these materials in sCO2 systems. Compression worsened the physical damage that resulted from chemical attack of the polymers under these test conditions. In FY 2021, the effect of cycling temperature (from 50°C to 150°C to 50°C) for polymers under a steady sCO2 pressure of 20 MPa was studied. The aim was to understand the influence of cycling temperatures of sCO2 for typical polymers under isobaric (20 MPa) conditions. Thermoplastic polymers (Nylon, and PTFE) and elastomers (EPDM, Viton, Buna N, Neoprene, FF202, and HNBR) were subjected to 20 MPa sCO2 pressure for 50 cycles and 100 cycles in separate experiments. Samples were extracted for ex-situ characterization at 50 cycles and upon the completion of 100 cycles. Each cycle constituted of 175 minutes of cycling from 50°C to 150°C. The polymer samples were examined for physical and chemical changes by Dynamic Mechanical and Thermal Analysis (DMTA), Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, and compression set. Density and mass changes immediately after removal from test were measured for degree of swell comparisons. Optical microscopy techniques and micro computer tomography (micro CT) images were collected on select specimens. Evaluations conducted showed that exposures to super-critical CO2 environments resulted in combinations of physical and/or chemical changes. For each polymer, the dominance of cycling temperatures under sCO2 pressures, were evaluated. Attempts were made to qualitatively link the permanent sCO2 effects to polymer micro- structure, free volume, backbone substitutions, presence of polar groups, and degree of crystallinity differences. This study has established that soft polymeric materials are conducive to failure in sCO2 through mechanisms of failure that are dependent on polymer microstructure and chemistry. Polar pendant groups, large atom substitutions on the backbone are some of the factors that are influential structural factors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

EMP-Resilient Electric Grid Transformer Analysis

The response of a high - voltage (HV) transformer to fast rise time voltages, such as that from a electromagnetic pulse (EMP) can result in interruption of power distribution and possibly system failure. To help identify these potential occurrences, it is necessary to develop a transformer model that not only captures the input/output response of the transformer but also the internal behavior. The model constructed should cover the frequency band of interest while capturing the internal physical and electrical characteristics. This broad-band, high-fidelity model would enable the prediction of unwanted effects through simulation. A proposed modeling scheme for a HV transformer is described in Part 1 of this report. Part 2 of this report details assessments of internal voltage and electrical field holdoff testing of transformer insulation dielectric breakdown, including comparison of low frequency (DC/60 Hz) holdoff to rise times characteristic of lightning (1 s) and EMP E1 transients (10 - 30 ns). This initial project is a path toward establishing electrical grid transformer failure criteria for EMP voltage transients. We developed modeling methods and measured breakdown electrical field statistical distributions for direct current, 60 Hz, lightning and EMP characteristic voltage rise times. Methods of nanosecond-scale capacitive discharge unit high voltage source development, suggestions for derating of 60 Hz insulation maximum electrical fields for EMP nanosecond pulse voltage withstand rating, and potential methods for increasing transformer resilience to such fast rise time pulses are described.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Precise Timing Based on Pulsar Observation for Grid Synchronization

While Global Positioning System signals are widely used as the synchronized timing Sources for wide-area measurement systems for power grid monitoring and control, they are vulnerable to failures and malicious attacks. To address this Problem, an alternative kind of timing sources, the millisecond pulsars, were proposed to serve the power grid as they are more precise and physically indestructible. Millisecond pulsars are a kind of neutron stars that emit radio pulse signals that have extremely stable periods of milliseconds. However, the observed pulse Signals from pulsars cannot be directly used for timing because of their low signal-to-noise ratio and the dispersion effects of interstellar medium. In this paper, the precise timing method based on pulsar observation data is proposed to interpret the pulsar observation data and therefrom to generate precise timing signal for the power grid synchronization. In our proposed method,. incoherent de-dispersion is used on the observation data to mitigate the effect of interstellar medium. dispersion. Then spectrum analysis and segment folding are used to precisely estimate the local pulsar period. Finally the standard pulse per second signal is generated from. the estimated pulsar period and its precision. is analyzed. Experiments with the observation data of the pulsar based timing signal can be more accurate compared to GPS timing signals.

Luo, Xiqian↗

HOSS: Hybrid Optimization Software Suite

HOSS software, developed at LANL, is a powerful, flexible, and parallelized package that enables the user to predict deformation and failure of materials in a variety of situations. LANL’s HOSS software is an R&D 100 finalist that integrates solid mechanics and computational fluid dynamics into a multi-physics platform able to handle millions of interacting and fracturing solids and/or particle systems. This nextgeneration simulation software integrates solid mechanics and computational fluid dynamics into a multi-physics platform able to provide state-of-the-art simulation solutions for a wide field of applications including oil and gas, construction, mining, defense, material sciences, and biomechanics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗