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At least 253 records · Page 14

Analysis of Improved Navigation Data for NASA Near Space Network (NSN) Direct-to-Earth (DTE) Ground Stations

Spacecraft navigation is a complex concept that requires a collaboration between network entities and constant corrective action to be successful in the highly variable environment. NASA’s Near Space Network (NSN), Direct-to-Earth (DTE) ground station team is constantly exploring methods to provide better service to NASA spacecraft, including providing radiometric tracking data, subject to cost constraints. Navigation teams, such as the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) Flight Dynamics Facility (FDF), use the tracking data to perform orbit determination to assess where a spacecraft has been, identify where a spacecraft is now, and predict where a spacecraft will be in the future. As NASA plans for more missions beyond low Earth orbit (LEO), there is a need for improved navigation performance which can be directly achieved through improvements in the radiometric tracking data. NASA’s new DTE Ka-band antennas have finer autotrack angle resolution, and the availability of low-cost improved off-the-shelf ground station components, which are involved with producing navigation data. NASA formed a team to provide an assessment of the current NSN, DTE spacecraft navigation service (radiometric tracking) performance baseline with the end goal of defining needed future enhancements to meet the needs for spacecraft above LEO. The communications and navigation community is deriving new techniques in an effort to better service the navigation needs of spacecraft using ground station networks. This paper provides an overview Earth-orbit, direct-to-ground navigation techniques and performance, the development of specifications for new antennas, accuracy of data, spacecraft requirements, accuracy of orbit determination, history of challenges, and considerations for improvements. The discussions in this paper may assist ground station, spacecraft, and mission design teams advance navigation capabilities and more effectively meet requirements.

networks↗

Satellite Gravimetry Improves Seasonal Streamflow Forecast Initialization in Africa

West Africa is one of the poorest regions in the world and highly vulnerable to extreme hydrological events due to the lack of reliable monitoring and forecast systems. For the first time, we demonstrate that initial hydrological conditions informed by satellite-based terrestrial water storage (TWS) estimates improve seasonal streamflow forecasts. TWS variability detected by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites is assimilated into a land surface model during 2003–2016 and used to initialize 6-month hindcasts (i.e., forecasts of past events) during West Africa's wet seasons. We find that GRACE data assimilation (DA) generally increases groundwater and soil moisture storage in the region, resulting in increased evapotranspiration and reduced total runoff. Total runoff is particularly lower at the headwaters of the Niger River, positively impacting streamflow simulations and hindcast initializations. Compared to simulations without GRACE-DA, hindcasts are notably improved at locations draining from large basin areas, in particular, over the Niger River basin, which is consistent with GRACE's coarse spatial resolution. The long memory of groundwater and deep soil moisture, two main TWS components updated by GRACE-DA, is reflected in prolonged improvements in the streamflow hindcasts. Model accuracy at Niamey, Niger, the most populated city where streamflow observations are available, improved up to 33% during the flood season. These new findings directly contribute to ongoing developments in food security, flood potential forecast, and water-related disaster warning systems for Africa.

Augusto Getirana↗

Acoustic Improvements to the 9- by 15-Foot Low Speed Wind Tunnel

A major refurbishment of the 9- by 15-Foot Low Speed Wind Tunnel at NASA Glenn Research Center was undertaken between 2016 and 2019 to improve the acoustic measurement capability of the facility. The principal objective was to lower the background noise in the test section so quiet aircraft propulsors could be tested with good signal-to-noise ratio. The secondary objective was to improve the anechoic quality of the facility so that the measurement uncertainty would be reduced and the data collected would be more accurate. The results of the project were a vastly improved anechoic wind tunnel, with one-third octave sound levels reduced by 8 to 18 dB in the frequency range of interest. The anechoic quality of the test section was improved substantially, reducing the effect of unwanted echoes contaminating the noise measurements, with the error in an impulse response measurement reduced from 0.8 dB to 0.2 dB. This report describes the main acoustic findings and is intended to provide guidance for other facilities requiring a low noise environment

Wind tunnel↗

Improving Computational Efficiency of Prognostics Algorithms in Resource-Constrained Settings

In engineering and aerospace applications, it is vital to operational success to have insight into the expected performance and health of physical systems. The field of prognostics and health management provides quantitative methods for monitoring, predicting, and managing system health. Prognostics algorithms can be employed to assess the current state of a system, propagate the system throughout time, and predict potential anomalies or failures that may occur. While they can provide accurate prediction results, effective prognostics algorithms can be challenging to use in resource-constrained settings due to computational limitations and high computational latency, leading to obsolete predictions. Thus, computationally efficient and accurate algorithms are necessary for future remaining useful life predictions. In this work, we implement new algorithmic approaches for prediction, quantitatively compare them via a battery degradation use-case, and provide recommendations of potential improvements to a prognostics framework. One approach to prediction is through sampling, whereby the current state of a physical system is sampled many times and each sample is propagated forward until failure is reached, resulting in a distribution of failure values. To improve the efficiency of this process, we implemented five new algorithmic approaches to prediction, including three distinct sampling methods (standard Monte Carlo, Quasi-Monte Carlo, and Latin Hypercube Sampling), a variable time step algorithm, and a variable sample size algorithm. To compare the algorithms, we employ a variety of metrics designed specifically to analyze both computational efficiency and model accuracy. Our metrics include accuracy to compare the average predicted value to ground truth, mean absolute deviation to illustrate dispersion, specific percentile error to describe accuracy within a user-defined risk tolerance, and code run-time. To quantitatively analyze our results, we employ a use-case of degradation of a Lithium-ion battery. We use an electrochemistry-based model to describe the current health state of the battery, and implement our prediction algorithms to propagate forward in time until end-of-discharge (EOD) is reached. Notably, through this work it was found that none of our sampling approaches had a significant impact on computational efficiency or model accuracy in predicting EOD of the battery. We find that while the sampling methods are unique, the distributions they generate are similar, ultimately producing final predictions that are nearly identical. In exploring the effect of the time step within the prediction algorithm, we found that prediction accuracy was highly dependent on the time step used, and that implementing a variable time step within a particular prediction may provide an increase in computational efficiency while also maintaining prediction accuracy. Finally, implementing a variable sample size also affected prediction, and our results show that tuning both the magnitude and timing of the sample size adjustment can result in improved computation speed and maintained prediction accuracy. Taken together, our findings highlight the challenge of performing prognostics in resource-constrained settings, and illustrate the potential of developing new prediction algorithms to improve computational efficiency.

prognostics↗

Use of three-cornered hat error estimates in MERRA-2 to guide an improved reanalysis-Part 1

The three-cornered hat (3CH) method estimates the uncertainties of three different co-located model or observational data sets (Anthes and Rieckh, 2018; Sjoberg et al., 2021). Rieckh et al. (2021) used the 3CH method to compare the random error statistics of different global forecast and reanalysis models, as well as radio occultation (RO) and radiosonde observations. That study showed that the MERRA-2 reanalysis, while having smaller errors in the stratosphere than its predecessor MERRA, had larger errors in the troposphere than many of the other data sets analyzed. The MERRA-2 errors were particularly large in the tropics. In a collaborative effort between UCAR’s COSMIC (Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Meteorology) program and NASA’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO), we carried out further 3CH error diagnostics to help isolate the causes of these larger errors and help guide the development of an improved reanalysis. This presentation summarizes random error statistics associated with MERRA-2, ECMWF’s ERA5 reanalysis, and COSMIC-2 (C2) RO observations. We compute 3CH error variance estimates of refractivity, as well as temperature and specific humidity using UCAR’s COSMIC Data Analysis and Archive Center (CDAAC) improved 1D-variational (1D-Var) retrieval (wetPf2) over 15 latitude bands from 45S to 45N. The 1D-Var retrievals of specific humidity and temperature for C2 use NCEP’s Global Forecast System (GFS) as the background. Anthes et al. (2021) showed that it gives accurate estimates of temperature and specific humidity in the tropics and subtropics, even in the challenging environment of intense Hurricane Dorian (2019). This presentation confirms the previous results that MERRA-2 has significantly larger errors in the tropics and subtropics than either C2 or ERA5. Its errors are larger between 30S and 30N compared to 30-45 N-S latitudes, and are also larger over land compared to oceans. Most of the MERRA-2 refractivity errors come from specific humidity, except over land below 3 km where temperature errors are large. These results suggest that moist convection and atmospheric boundary layer physics in MERRA-2 may be responsible for a significant part of the higher uncertainties. These results are being used to guide GMAO in developing an improved next-generation reanalysis, as shown in a companion presentation submitted to this conference (El Akkraoui et al., 2021), which extends this study and describes improvements to MERRA-2 leading to the next GMAO reanalysis.

Jeremiah Sjoberg↗

An Improved Weighted Least Squares Algorithm for the Analysis of Strain-Gage Balance Calibration Data

An improved version of an algorithm is presented that uses a weighted least squares fit of balance calibration data for the generation of the balance load prediction equations. The weighted least squares fit assigns a weighting factor between zero and one to each calibration data point that depends on a simple count of the number of intentionally loaded balance gages. The greater the number of the loaded gages is, the smaller a data point's weighting factor becomes. This strategy has two advantages. First, single-component loads become more influential during the regression analysis of the calibration data. In addition, the negative influence of load schedule asymmetries on the regression analysis results can more effectively be controlled. The original algorithm of 2017 was improved in 2020. Now, gage output differences relative to the natural zeros are exclusively used as input for the determination of the number of intentionally loaded gages. The improved weighted least squares fit can be applied with both the Non-Iterative Method and the Iterative Method that are used for the balance load prediction in the aerospace testing community. Machine calibration data of a force balance is used to illustrate benefits of the application of the improved weighted least squares fit of balance calibration data.

strain-gage balance↗

9- by 15-Foot Low-Speed Wind Tunnel Acoustic Upgrade Part 2: Improvement Comparison

This report describes an acoustic improvement project carried out in the NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) 9- by 15-Foot Low Speed Wind Tunnel (9x15 LSWT) and the effect on the acoustic measurement capabilities of the facility. The improvement project began in June 2017 and ended in March 2019, with some work stoppages in between. The main purpose of the project was to reduce the background noise of the facility to enable better signal-to-noise ratio measurements of quiet aircraft propulsion concepts. The term background noise refers to the noise measured inside the facility without a model installed. This report discusses the details of the project, the motivation for the upgrade and the history of the facility background noise levels that motivated the upgrade. This report is one of a two-volume set documenting the 9x15 LSWT acoustic improvement. The companion report[1] documents the “supporting studies” that were conducted as part of the improvement project, but do not relate explicitly to the 9x15 LSWT. The present report is focused specifically on studies conducted by NASA regarding the 9x15 LSWT and thus may be less broadly applicable to other facilities or projects.

Wind Tunnel↗

MODIS Reflective Solar Bands Calibration Improvements for Collection 7

Calibration of Terra and Aqua MODIS reflective solar bands (RSB) has evolved significantly since the launch of the first MODIS instrument on the Terra satellite more than 21 years ago. In NASA’s current Collection 6 and 6.1 Level 1B products (C6/C6.1 L1B), the RSB calibration algorithm continues to rely primarily on the onboard solar diffuser to calibrate the instrument gain. Lunar observations are used to track on-orbit changes in the response versus scan angle (RVS), and data from pseudo-invariant desert sites are used to apply adjustments to the gain and RVS calibration for select bands. The resulting reflectance products have in general shown a very stable performance. In recent years, some performance degradation has been noted for a few bands and algorithm changes have been tested to further improve the calibration accuracy for the upcoming Collection 7 (C7) L1B reprocess. In this paper, we present the MODIS RSB calibration improvements that will be included in C7. Major improvements include: applying polarization correction to the desert data before using it to generateRVS for Terra bands 8, 9, 3, and 10; using ocean scene data and an interband calibration approach to correct for long-term drift of Terra bands 11 and 12; applying an updated crosstalk correction to Terra SWIR bands over the entire mission; and using data from deep convective clouds in Terra SWIR band calibration, including the addition of time-dependent RVS for bands 5 and 26. All other minor calibration changes are also covered. Overall, the reflectance differences at nadir between C6.1 and C7 are within a few percent, though the differences increase in some cases at large scan angles. The Terra visible (3, 8-12) and SWIR bands (5-7, 26) have the most significant improvements. For all other Terra bands and all Aqua bands, the C7-C6.1 differences are mostly within 1%

MODIS↗

Improving Cross-track Scanning Radiometers’ Precipitation Retrieval over Ocean by Morphing

Previous studies showed that conical scanning radiometers greatly outperform cross-track scanning radiometers for precipitation retrieval over ocean. This study demonstrates a novel approach to improve precipitation rates at the cross-track scanning radiometers’ observation time by propagating the conical scanning radiometers’ retrievals to the cross-track scanning radiometers’ observation time. The improved precipitation rate is a weighted average of original cross-track radiometers’ retrievals and retrievals propagated from a conical scanning radiometer. The cross-track scanning radiometers include the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) on board the SNPP satellite and four Microwave Humidity Sounders (MHSs). The conical scanning radiometers include the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) and three Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounders (SSMISs), while the precipitation retrievals from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Microwave Imager (GMI) are taken as the reference. Results show that the morphed precipitation rates agree much better with the reference. The degree of improvement depends on several factors, including the propagated precipitation source, the time interval between the cross-track scanning radiometer and the conical scanning radiometer, the precipitation type (convective versus stratiform), the precipitation events’ size, and the geolocation. The study has potential to greatly improve high-impact weather systems monitoring (e.g., hurricanes) and multisatellite precipitation products. It may also enhance the usefulness of future satellite missions with cross-track scanning radiometers on board.

Yalei You↗

CERES FluxByCldTyp NB2BB Fluxes Improvement based on Deep Neural Network

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) product provides over 20 years of accurately observed top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) and surface flux data record for climate monitoring and diagnostic studies. The interaction between clouds and radiation interaction is a key factor that dominate climate feedbacks but is not well understood. To further advance our understanding of the cloud-radiation interaction, a new CERES FluxByCldTyp (FBCT) product has been developed that contains radiative fluxes by cloud-type, which can provide more stringent constraints when validating models and reveal more insight into the interactions between clouds and climate. For CERES partly cloudy and multiple cloud-type footprints, the FBCT product utilizes Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) narrow-band (NB) imager channel radiances partitioned by cloud-type within a CERES footprint to estimate the cloud-type broadband fluxes. The MODIS multi-channel derived broadband fluxes were compared with the CERES observed footprint fluxes and were found to be within 1% and 2.5% for LW and SW, respectively, as well as being mostly free of cloud property dependencies. The FBCT all-sky and clear-sky monthly averaged fluxes were found to be consistent with the CERES SSF1deg product. This study takes advantage of recent progress in machine learning (ML) field by applying deep neural network algorithm to improve fluxes based on MODIS NB radiances. The preliminary study shows ML produce are an improvement over the current FBCT Edition 4 NB2BB algorithm. Furthermore, unlike Ed4 NB2BB, the new ML method convert NB radiances directly to broadband fluxes. For future Ed5, new NB radiances are proposed and used by ML to improve fluxes calculation. Prelimary results show significant LW improvement.

Moguo Sun↗

US-EUSST SSA Data Exchange for Improved Orbital Safety

Data sharing and exchange among different Space Situational Awareness (SSA) data collectors/providers is frequently discussed as a mechanism to improve the accuracy and precision of orbital safety products. Indeed, at the conceptual level this claim is quite sensible: objects with more tracking, and thus presumably better distribution of that tracking about their orbit, should produce updates with smaller epoch errors and more realistic covariances at epoch, which should then translate into better performance in prediction and thus improved close approach calculations. However, this thesis has not been verified with any large study involving two different data providers, through which the amount of realized improvement can be quantified and, perhaps more importantly, the logistics of effecting observation data sharing in a regularized way can be established and circulated to assist others. To create rubrics for helpful data sharing for conjunction assessment applications, and to collect empirical data on the improvements achieved through sharing of measurement data, the US Office of Space Commerce and the European Union Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST) Support Framework have embarked on a joint experiment to collect and exchange satellite metric observations on selected satellites of interest over an experimental period. Each entity will perform orbit determination with their own observations, the other entity’s observations, and with both observation data sets combined. The product results will be compared with each other, showing differences attributable both to the three different data groups and to the two entities’ different approaches to orbit determination. The exemplar satellites include both objects that have external precision reference ephemerides and those that do not, allowing the experiment to exercise both precision-comparison and assimilative-comparison techniques. The present reporting will give preliminary results and a set of lessons learned for data sharing; a second presentation later in 2023 will provide a full accounting of the experiment’s results. The hope is that, through this work, a pathway can be established for the expeditious and fruitful sharing among collection entities, both commercial and governmental.

space situational awareness↗

Improvement of Pressure Sensitive Paint in A Cryogenic Oxygen-Poor Environment

This report details specific improvements to the use of Pressure Sensitive Paint (PSP) in an oxygen-poor environment, with an emphasis on cryogenic PSP in the National Transonic Facility (NTF). For this work, several improvements to the application of PSP and data acquisition have been investigated in the 0.3-m Transonic Cryogenic Tunnel (generally considered a pilot facility for the NTF) and these results will be presented. In addition, several improvements to the existing PSP system at NTF are presented as well as a brief section on further improvements that can be investigated.

Cryogenic ground testing↗

Flux Improvement based on Machine Learning for the CERES FluxByCldTyp Data Product

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) product provides over 20 years of accurately observed top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) and surface flux data record for climate monitoring and diagnostic studies. The interaction between clouds and radiation interaction is a key factor that dominate climate feedbacks but is not well understood. To further advance our understanding of the cloud-radiation interaction, a new CERES FluxByCldTyp (FBCT) product has been developed that contains radiative fluxes by cloud-type, which can provide more stringent constraints when validating models and reveal more insight into the interactions between clouds and climate. For CERES partly cloudy and multiple cloud-type footprints, the FBCT product utilizes Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) narrow-band (NB) imager channel radiances partitioned by cloud-type within a CERES footprint to estimate the cloud-type broadband fluxes. The MODIS multi-channel derived broadband fluxes were compared with the CERES observed footprint fluxes and were found to be within 1% and 2.5% for LW and SW, respectively, as well as being mostly free of cloud property dependencies. The FBCT all-sky and clear-sky monthly averaged fluxes were found to be consistent with the CERES SSF1deg product. This study takes advantage of recent progress in machine learning (ML) field by applying deep neural network algorithm to improve fluxes based on MODIS NB radiances. The preliminary study shows ML produce are an improvement over the current FBCT Edition 4 NB2BB algorithm. Furthermore, unlike Ed4 NB2BB, the new ML method convert NB radiances directly to broadband fluxes. For future Ed5, new NB radiances are proposed and used by ML to improve fluxes calculation. Prelimary results show significant LW improvement.

Moguo Sun↗

Recent Improvements and Verification of A Full Body Model in Opensim

BACKGROUND: The dynamic feasibility [1,2] criterion, that the subject’s Center of Pressure (COP) be located within the Base of Support (BOS) which outlines the feet, has aided in assessing the stability of human motion recorded on earth while performing the recorded tasks in lunar gravity or as countermeasures exercises on a vibration isolation and stabilization system in microgravity. The convex hull of the BOS on the platform under the subject’s feet was estimated using virtual markers on the feet of the scaled subject model. The COP was calculated using the ground reaction forces and moments determined from motion capture data with biomechanical modeling tools [3]. Occasionally, large-amplitude oscillatory spikes or “artifacts” were observed in the subject’s linear and angular momentum derivatives, affecting some COP data derived from motion capture. The purpose of this investigation was to assess and improve the accuracy of model scaling and BOS estimation as well as to determine the efficacy of model adjustments in mitigating artifacts influencing motion capture-derived ground reaction force and COP results. METHODS: To aid evaluation of proposed process and model updates, motion capture data were collected for two subjects during unit test and range of motion trials, lunar tasks, and countermeasures exercise motions. Markers were added to the full body Plug-in Gait marker set [4] during data collection. New markers were placed on the front, back, sides, and top of the head to improve scaling using distances between marker pairs. Medial elbow markers were added to stabilize the upper arm during OpenSim Inverse Kinematics (IK) [5]. Finally, markers were added on the outer edge of the heels and on the outside edges of the first and last toes on each foot. These additional foot markers were made available to test new automated foot scaling techniques and to calculate the error between the subject’s estimated and recorded BOS. The modified unscaled OpenSim Full Body Rajagopal Model [6,7] was adjusted using some previously investigated techniques [8] to mitigate rapid shifts in joint angles occurring during IK, as these were found to cause the spike artifacts observed in subsequent stages of analysis. Since OpenSim models use Euler angles and rotation sequences, the arm axes of rotation were adjusted, and the pelvis order of rotation was changed to minimize the likelihood of encountering “gimbal lock” during common human motion. The model clavicle, arm, elbow, wrist, pelvis, and ankle angle limits were adjusted to better accommodate the full human range of motion seen in exercise and lunar data. The shoulder joint center was calculated using a “pivoting” algorithm [9], and both shoulder joint center and upper arm markers were included during IK to provide additional shoulder stability on a case-by-case basis. The quality of IK results was assessed by three criteria: minimizing error between recorded motion capture markers and model markers, checking for reasonable rates of change in joint angles between fames (i.e., no IK artifacts), and ensuring the absence of spikes in the inertial forces and angular momentum derivatives calculated using a custom OpenSim plugin [10]. RESULTS: The additional markers placed on the subject during data collection allowed the head and feet to be scaled more accurately using distances between new marker pairs. Scaling with BOS markers placed on the subject and removing the limit on subtalar angle resulted in more accurate BOS determination. Unrealistically large changes in joint angles between frames could be reduced by including clavicle, sternum, and medial elbow markers during IK. In cases with large arm ranges of motion, results could be further improved by running IK using medial elbow and virtual shoulder joint center markers. Model adjustments significantly improved the IK results affecting COP calculation and increased the accuracy of BOS estimation.

C A Bell↗

Improvement of Radiative Fluxes for the CERES FluxByCldTyp Data Product Based on Machine Learning Technique

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) product provides over 20 years of accurately observed top-of-the-atmosphere and surface flux data for climate studies. The interaction between clouds and radiation interaction is a key factor that dominate climate feedbacks but is not well understood. To further advance our understanding of the cloud-radiation interaction, a new CERES FluxByCldTyp (FBCT) product has been developed that contains radiative fluxes by cloud-type, which can provide more stringent constraints when validating models. The FBCT product utilizes Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) narrow-band (NB) imager channel radiances partitioned by cloud-type within a CERES footprint to estimate their broadband fluxes. The MODIS multi-channel derived broadband fluxes were compared with the CERES observed footprint fluxes and were found to be within 1% and 2.5% for LW and SW, respectively, as well as being mostly free of cloud property dependencies. The FBCT all-sky and clear-sky monthly averaged fluxes were found to be consistent with the CERES SSF1deg product. This study takes advantage of recent progress in machine learning (ML) field by applying deep neural network algorithm to improve fluxes based on MODIS NB radiances. The preliminary study shows ML produce are an improvement over the current FBCT Edition 4 NB2BB algorithm. Furthermore, unlike Ed4 NB2BB, the new ML method convert NB radiances directly to broadband fluxes. For future Ed5, new NB radiances are proposed and used by ML to improve fluxes calculation. Preliminary results show significant LW improvement.

Sun, Moguo↗

Improvement of Radiative Fluxes for the CERES FluxByCldTyp Data Product Based on Machine Learning Technique

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) product provides over 20 years of accurately observed top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) and surface flux data record for climate monitoring and diagnostic studies. The interaction between clouds and radiation interaction is a key factor that dominate climate feedbacks but is not well understood. To further advance our understanding of the cloud-radiation interaction, a new CERES FluxByCldTyp (FBCT) product has been developed that contains radiative fluxes by cloud-type, which can provide more stringent constraints when validating models and reveal more insight into the interactions between clouds and climate. For CERES partly cloudy and multiple cloud-type footprints, the FBCT product utilizes Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) narrow-band (NB) imager channel radiances partitioned by cloud-type within a CERES footprint to estimate the cloud-type broadband fluxes. The MODIS multi-channel derived broadband fluxes were compared with the CERES observed footprint fluxes and were found to be within 1% and 2.5% for LW and SW, respectively, as well as being mostly free of cloud property dependencies. The FBCT all-sky and clear-sky monthly averaged fluxes were found to be consistent with the CERES SSF1deg product. This study takes advantage of recent progress in machine learning (ML) field by applying deep neural network algorithm to improve fluxes based on MODIS NB radiances. The preliminary study shows ML produce are an improvement over the current FBCT Edition 4 NB2BB algorithm. Furthermore, unlike Ed4 NB2BB, the new ML method convert NB radiances directly to broadband fluxes. For future Ed5, new NB radiances are proposed and used by ML to improve fluxes calculation. Prelimary results show significant LW improvement.

Moguo Sun↗

Regional Impacts of Ice Sheet Surface Representation Improvements in an Earth System Model

Ice sheet surface conditions and their subsequent impact on surface mass balance play an important role in ice sheet dynamics and ice sheet interaction with the overlying atmosphere and surrounding ocean. The NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s (GMAO) Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) ecosystem of models and reanalyses model ice sheet and glacier surface mass balance with a moderately complex snow and ice module, including prognostic surface albedo evolution, fractional snow cover, and snowpack hydrology and meltwater retention. With this configuration, Greenland near surface air temperatures and ice sheet melt are well represented in MERRA-2, GMAO’s current atmospheric reanalysis; however, the similarity to observations in some regions is due, in part, to compensating biases in surface energy budget. Recent improvements to GEOS’ cloud microphysics and longwave radiation parameterizations reduced biases in surface net longwave radiation and exacerbated surface net shortwave radiation biases, effectively increasing near surface temperatures and melting, particularly during the summer months. Here, we demonstrate the Earth system response to an improved representation of the ice sheet surface focused on minimizing the surface energy biases and increasing spatial and temporal representativeness. New changes to the surface albedo parameterization, including the introduction of a prognostic aerosol darkening scheme, help mitigate shortwave biases, while modifications to surface roughness characteristics improve near surface sensible heat fluxes. Focusing on the Arctic and Greenland, we examine the combined impact on these changes on regional weather conditions and ice sheet surface mass balance using a high resolution atmospheric only experiment, and we use a coupled model configuration to assess the impact on oceanic conditions and subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Overall, these improvements increase modeled ice sheet surface realism and provide a strong basis for more accurate ice sheet mass balance in GMAO’s future reanalyses and forecasting systems.

Lauren C Andrews↗

On Generalizably Improving RANS Predictions of Flow Separation and Reattachment

This work presents progress in an ongoing data-driven turbulence modeling effort at NASA Langley Research Center to improve predictions for separated flows. Two augmentation strategies are presented – one to improve predictions for the point of reattachment after smooth-body separation, and another to improve predictions for flow separation due to prolonged adverse pressure gradients. The reattachment augmentation was inspired from lessons learned during attempts at using field inversion and machine learning (FIML); however, it is prescribed as a conventional analytic closed-form expression. Results show that, when introduced into the SST k-w model, it shortens the otherwise overpredicted separation bubble length for three cases characterized by different Reynolds numbers and flow geometries. The second augmentation, which addresses flow separation under prolonged adverse pressure gradients, is inferred via FIML and applied as a neural network within the Spalart-Allmaras model. It uses features that are chosen such that the presented results show an improved predictive accuracy for the training case without affecting other cases where the augmentation is not needed. Further testing is required to establish the generalizability of this augmentation. The rationale behind the chosen features that serve as inputs to both these augmentations is also presented for the benefit of the reader.

machine learning↗