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At least 253 records · Page 14

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRS1986

Application of multiple objective optimization techniques to finite element model tuning

This report examines tuning a finite element model using vector optimization techniques. Structural models using finite element theory often need to be adjusted so they can accurately simulate the real structure. The goal is to tune the model such that it will reproduce data derived from structural tests. First, the performance indices are extremized using multiple objective optimization theory, producing a set of possible solutions. Next, the solutions are rank ordered according to a decision maker's preferences to select the best answer. The tuning process was applied to a T-38 horizontal stabilizer. Numerous weighted solutions contained a best static deformation model, a best frequency model and three intermediate combinations of these two models. This automated procedure proved to be a versatile method capable of producing solutions for many types of tuning problems.

Devore, Charles R.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Sensor Fusion for a Network of Processes/Systems with Highly Autonomous Sensors

This paper describes a distributed sensor-data-fusion paradigm and theory based on a previously developed theory to model sensors as highly autonomous units. Generic procedures are defined to reason and make decisions at the qualitative level. This facilitates distribution of intelligence ( code and hardware) to the sensor level and peer-to-peer communication among sensors, controllers, and other devices in the system.

Figueroa, Fernando↗

NASA NTRS2011

Examining the Relationships Between Education, Social Networks and Democratic Support With ABM

This paper introduces an agent-based model that explores the relationships between education, social networks, and support for democratic ideals. This study examines two factors thai affect democratic support, education, and social networks. Current theory concerning these two variables suggests that positive relationships exist between education and democratic support and between social networks and the spread of ideas. The model contains multiple variables of democratic support, two of which are evaluated through experimentation. The model allows individual entities within the system to make "decisions" about their democratic support independent of one another. The agent based approach also allows entities to utilize their social networks to spread ideas. Current theory supports experimentation results. In add~ion , these results show the model is capable of reproducing real world outcomes. This paper addresses the model creation process and the experimentation procedure, as well as future research avenues and potential shortcomings of the model

Drucker, Nick↗

NASA NTRS1981

Automated Decision Making and Problem Solving. Volume 1: Executive Summary

The May 1980 conference is summarized. Related topics in artificial intelligence, operations research, and control theory were explored. Existing techniques were assessed, trends of development determined, and potential for application in NASA automation technology programs were identified. Formal presentations were made by experts in the three disciplines nd a workshop was held in which current technology in automation and possible NASA interfaces with the academic community to advance this technology were discussed.

Heer, E.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Strong Proton‐Phonon Coupling Drives Fast Ion Transport in Perovskites

Conduction of protons in solids is a cooperative process propelled by phonons, with molecular details obscured by the irregular movements in the thermal bath. It is shown that substitution with Y forms an imaginary phonon mode, instrumental for the function as proton conductor and effectively lowering the activation barrier for proton transport. To untangle the interplay in the exemplary proton conductor BaSn 0.9 Y 0.1 O 3 , its crystallographic structure is determined with high resolution neutron diffractometry and its phonon density of states with density functional theory calculations, experimentally validated by element specific nuclear resonant vibration spectroscopy. Based on phonon analysis, a quantitative transport model is present, which predicts the activation energy and performance by the ratio of ionic radii. Rather than individual vibrational modes, it is the oxygen sub-lattice which exerts its momentum on the protons. The extent of this momentum transfer is governed by the ratio of ionic radii. This model extends the transition state theory by the phonon-phonon interaction and complements the previously proposed idea that lattice dynamics is decisive for proton transport and specifies which properties of the material exactly define the vibration properties.

activation barriers↗

DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying the Tangible Value of Public Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure

The lack of an extensive public recharging infrastructure is an important barrier to the growth of the plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market. Because charging infrastructure is likely to be underutilized during the early stages of market development, it is difficult for decision makers to decide how much to invest in public charging stations. Quantifying the value of public charging infrastructure to current and potential future owners of PEVs is essential for estimating the benefits of charging stations to current PEV owners and for predicting the impact on future PEV sales. This paper estimates consumers’ willingness to pay for public charging infrastructure in the context of utility maximization. The objective is to provide a method for valuing charging infrastructure that can inform investment decisions and be used in forecasting models to predict the impacts on future PEV sales. A basic theory of the tangible value of charging infrastructure is developed as a function of PEV type, range, recharging time and existing infrastructure. Existing simulation studies provide functional relationships that quantify the ability of charging infrastructure to enable additional miles of electrified travel. The enabled travel functions are used to predict impact of infrastructure deployment on incremental electrified travel for 1) plug-in hybrids and 2) intra-regional and 3) inter-regional travel by all-electric vehicles. The willingness to pay for increased electrified miles is derived from the willingness to pay for increased electric driving range, based on econometric studies of plug-in vehicle choice. The result is a set of three functions that can be used to calculate the marginal willingness-to-pay for public charging infrastructure as a function of vehicle attributes, existing charging infrastructure, energy prices and annual vehicle travel.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

NASA NTRS1975

Survey of decentralized control methods

An overview is presented of the types of problems that are being considered by control theorists in the area of dynamic large scale systems with emphasis on decentralized control strategies. Approaches that deal directly with decentralized decision making for large scale systems are discussed. It is shown that future advances in decentralized system theory are intimately connected with advances in the stochastic control problem with nonclassical information pattern. The basic assumptions and mathematical tools associated with the latter are summarized, and recommendations concerning future research are presented.

Athans, M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

An experimental paradigm for team decision processes

The study of distributed information processing and decision making is presently hampered by two factors: (1) The inherent complexity of the mathematical formulation of decentralized problems has prevented the development of models that could be used to predict performance in a distributed environment; and (2) The lack of comprehensive scientific empirical data on human team decision making has hindered the development of significant descriptive models. As a part of a comprehensive effort to find a new framework for multihuman decision making problems, a novel experimental research paradigm was developed involving human terms in decision making tasks. Attempts to construct parts of an integrated model with ideas from queueing networks, team theory, distributed estimation and decentralized resource management are described.

Serfaty, D.↗

NASA NTRS2003

Collectives for Multiple Resource Job Scheduling Across Heterogeneous Servers

Efficient management of large-scale, distributed data storage and processing systems is a major challenge for many computational applications. Many of these systems are characterized by multi-resource tasks processed across a heterogeneous network. Conventional approaches, such as load balancing, work well for centralized, single resource problems, but breakdown in the more general case. In addition, most approaches are often based on heuristics which do not directly attempt to optimize the world utility. In this paper, we propose an agent based control system using the theory of collectives. We configure the servers of our network with agents who make local job scheduling decisions. These decisions are based on local goals which are constructed to be aligned with the objective of optimizing the overall efficiency of the system. We demonstrate that multi-agent systems in which all the agents attempt to optimize the same global utility function (team game) only marginally outperform conventional load balancing. On the other hand, agents configured using collectives outperform both team games and load balancing (by up to four times for the latter), despite their distributed nature and their limited access to information.

Tumer, K.↗

NASA NTRS2015

Collision Avoidance Short Course: Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis - NASA Robotic CARA: Theory - Part I:

Satellite conjunction assessment is perhaps the fastest growing area in space situational awareness and protection with military, civil and commercial satellite owner-operators embracing more and more sophisticated processes to avoid the avoidable - namely collisions between high value space assets and orbital debris. NASA and Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES) have collaborated to offer an introductory short course on all the major aspects of the conjunctions assessment problem. This half-day course will cover satellite conjunction dynamics and theory. Joint Space Operations Center (JsPOC) conjunction data products, major risk assessment parameters and plots, conjunction remediation decision support, and present and future challenges. This briefing represents the NASA portion of the course.

Conjunction↗

DOE OSTI2021

Prioritizing Countries by Concern Regarding Access to Weapons of Mass Destruction Materials

This article presents a global prioritization methodology that evaluates the relative risks of non-state actor acquisition of materials that could be used in chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear and high explosive Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) from the country’s relevant infrastructure. Prioritization is based on three domains: 1. Assessing relative scale of materials in each country, 2. The country’s corresponding security posture, and 3. The presence of threat actors. The output is a list of countries prioritized from greatest risk to least. Rather than providing an overall 1 to N ranking, however, the results are placed into tiers based upon their natural groupings within the three domains. The countries in the highest tiers are flagged as potential US national security concern; those scoring in the middle and at the bottom are flagged as posing lower US national security concern. A systematic approach assesses each country by leveraging many disciplines, such as risk and decision analysis, as well as expert judgement. A quantitative value model based on Multi-Attribute Value Theory (MAVT) organizes the objectives scoring criteria into a value tree using lessons learned from previous studies, published literature, and expert judgement. The article presents the prioritization categories and corresponding value model scoring criteria to include measurement type, weight, range, and value preference. Country names and data are notional in order to share the details on the underlying methodology and model without identification of actual security risks. A deliberative process addresses factors external to the model and scrutinizes inputs, methodology, model, and results.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2023

SyReNN: A tool for analyzing deep neural networks

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are rapidly gaining popularity in a variety of important domains. Unfortunately, modern DNNs have been shown to be vulnerable to a variety of attacks and buggy behavior. This has motivated recent work in formally analyzing the properties of such DNNs. Furthermore, this paper introduces SyReNN, a tool for understanding and analyzing a DNN by computing its symbolic representation. The key insight is to decompose the DNN into linear functions. Our tool is designed for analyses using low-dimensional subsets of the input space, a unique design point in the space of DNN analysis tools. We describe the tool and the underlying theory, then evaluate its use and performance on three case studies: computing Integrated Gradients, visualizing a DNN’s decision boundaries, and repairing buggy DNNs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Platform Agnostic Streaming Data Application Performance Models

The mapping of computational needs onto execution resources is, by and large, a manual task, and users are frequently guided simply by intuition and past experiences. We present a queueing theory based performance model for streaming data applications that takes steps towards a better understanding of resource mapping decisions, thereby assisting application developers to make good mapping choices. The performance model (and associated cost model) are agnostic to the specific properties of the compute resource and application, simply characterizing them by their achievable data throughput. We illustrate the model with a pair of applications, one chosen from the field of computational biology and the second is a classic machine learning problem.

Faber, Clayton↗

NASA NTRS1980

Alias lock behavior of sampled-data Costas loops

The potential false-lock problem associated with the sampled data type of Costas loop implementation is addressed in this paper. The term 'alias lock' is used here to differentiate this type of false lock behavior from the data sideband false lock behavior of analog Costas loops. It is shown that the sampled-data version of the conventional Costas loop, sampled at a rate 1/T(s), can alias lock at frequencies that are multiples of 1/2T(s) away from the carrier frequency. It is also shown that the alias lock problem of the sampled data version of the Costas loop with hard-limited in-phase channel is further compounded by the potential occurrence of false lock frequencies at rational multiples of 1/2T(s) away from the carrier. The false lock S-curves of I-Q loops and decision-directed I-Q loops are investigated in detail, with and without additive noise. Close agreement between theory and earlier experimental results is also demonstrated.

Simon, M. K.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Predictive monitoring research: Summary of the PREMON system

Traditional approaches to monitoring are proving inadequate in the face of two important issues: the dynamic adjustment of expectations about sensor values when the behavior of the device is too complex to enumerate beforehand, and the selective but effective interpretation of sensor readings when the number of sensors becomes overwhelming. This system addresses these issues by building an explicit model of a device and applying common-sense theories of physics to model causality in the device. The resulting causal simulation of the device supports planning decisions about how to efficiently yet reliably utilize a limited number of sensors to verify correct operation of the device.

Doyle, Richard J.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Perseveration effects in detection tasks with correlated decision intervals

An investigation of the behavior of the human decisionmaker is described for a task related to the problem of a pilot using a traffic situation display to avoid collisions. This sequential signal detection task is characterized by highly correlated signals with time varying strength. Experimental results are presented and the behavior of the observers is analyzed using the theory of Markov processes and classical signal detection theory. Mathematical models are developed which describe the main result of the experiment: that correlation in sequential signals induced perseveration in the observer response and a strong tendency to repeat their previous decision, even when they were wrong.

Gai, E. G.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamic probabilistic risk assessment and game theory for cyber security risk analysis in nuclear power plants

Nuclear Power Plants and energy systems have become more prone to cyber-attacks with their digitalization and the increased use of smart equipment. Hence, it is important to quantify the risk associated with cyber-attacks in such systems. Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment which involves studying the evolution of a system due to random events and operator and attacker actions during a cyber-attack by employing a physics-based model of the system is a suitable framework to quantify cybersecurity risk in nuclear power plants. In addition to the plant dynamics, it is also important to model the strategies of the attackers and plant operators for an effective cybersecurity risk assessment. Game theory provides a set of necessary tools to model such strategic interactions. In this research, a framework that integrates dynamic probabilistic risk assessment with game theory for cybersecurity risk analysis in nuclear power plants is presented. The mathematical formulation is derived based on the theory of continuous event trees. We propose a game theory based action model, that utilizes physics-based rewards to define the strategies of attackers and operators at every decision epoch. As a case study, the risk associated with cyber-attacks on the digital components in the secondary side of a pressurized water reactor is studied using a reduced order model. A set of attacker actions and a set of operator actions are defined for the system. The operator and attacker interactions were modelled using simultaneous game, their action policies were computed using the concept of mixed strategy Nash equilibrium and the evolution of the system was studied.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

CDRL: Certification-Driven Reinforcement Learning for Neutrino Flavor Model Discovery

Many scientific discovery problems require searching combinatorial hypothesis spaces under complex domain constraints. Reinforcement learning (RL) offers a promising approach, but existing methods rely on scalar rewards that provide limited information about why candidate solutions fail, leading agents to repeatedly explore invalid regions. We introduce Certification-Driven Reinforcement Learning (CDRL), a framework that leverages structured feedback from symbolic reasoning tools. When a candidate violates domain constraints, these tools produce certificates identifying the actions responsible for failure. CDRL converts these certificates into reusable constraints that eliminate classes of invalid solutions and guide exploration toward valid regions. We evaluate CDRL on neutrino flavor model discovery in theoretical particle physics, where the hypothesis space exceeds $10^{26}$ possible models, and compare it with the state-of-the-art RL approach previously used for this task. Across three theory spaces, CDRL achieves up to 1.95$\times$ higher valid model rates and up to 6.33$\times$ higher neutrino model rates while evaluating up to 4$\times$ fewer candidates. We further extract 40 interpretable rules from search trajectories using a post-hoc decision-tree framework and show that reusing them as soft constraints yields gains of up to 2$\times$ in valid model rates and 3$\times$ in neutrino model discovery across all three theory spaces. These results suggest that CDRL uncovers reusable structure in combinatorial search spaces and provides a general framework for scientific model discovery.

Jha, Piyush [Georgia Tech., Atlanta; Georgia Tech]↗