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At least 253 records · Page 14

Shepherding Metadata Through the Building Lifecycle

Many different digital representations of a building are produced over the course of its lifecycle. These representations contain the metadata required to support different stages of the building, from initial planning and design, to construction and commissioning, through operations, audits, retrofits and maintenance. However, because of differences in the semantics, structure and syntax of these representations, the metadata they contain is not interoperable. We present a novel method for leveraging these representations to create a unified, authoritative Brick metadata model for a building that can be continually maintained over the course of the building lifecycle. A simple synchronization protocol relays inferred Brick metadata from existing metadata sources such as gbXML, BuildingSync, Project Haystack and Modelica to a central integration server, which merges the metadata into a valid Brick model.

Fierro, Gabe↗

Establishing a store baseline during interim storage of waste packages and a review of potential technologies for base-lining

Interim storage is an essential component of the waste management lifecycle, providing a safe, secure environment for waste packages awaiting final disposal. In order to be able to monitor and detect change or degradation of the waste packages, storage building or equipment, it is necessary to know the original condition of these components (the 'waste storage system'). This paper presents an approach to establishing the baseline for a waste-storage system, and provides guidance on the selection and implementation of potential base-lining technologies. The approach is made up of two sections; assessment of base-lining needs and definition of base-lining approach. During the assessment of base-lining needs a review of available monitoring data and store/package records should be undertaken (if the store is operational). Evolutionary processes (affecting safety functions), and their corresponding indicators, that can be measured to provide a baseline for the waste-storage system should then be identified in order for the most suitable indicators to be selected for base-lining. In defining the approach, identification of opportunities to collect data and constraints is undertaken before selecting the techniques for base-lining and developing a base-lining plan. Base-lining data may be used to establish that the state of the packages is consistent with the waste acceptance criteria for the storage facility and to support the interpretation of monitoring and inspection data collected during store operations. Opportunities and constraints are identified for different store and package types. Technologies that could potentially be used to measure baseline indicators are also reviewed. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Investigation of the relationships between DCS cloud properties, lifecycle, and precipitation with meteorological regimes and aerosol sources at the ARM SGP Site

In this proposed research, we will investigate how different meteorological regimes and aerosol sources affect DCS properties, diurnal and life cycles, and precipitation using multiple observational platforms (surface, satellite, and aircraft) and NARR reanalysis at the ARM SGP site. The Feng et al. (2011, 2012) DCS results will serve as a starting point for this proposed research, and help us to address some fundamental issues of DCSs, such as convective initiation, rain rate, areal extent (including stratiform and convective regions), and longevity. Convective properties will be stratified by meteorological regime (synoptic/mesoscale patterns) identified by reanalysis. Aerosol information obtained from the ARM SGP site will also be stratified by meteorological regimes to understand their effects on convection. Finally, the aircraft in-situ measurements and various radar observations and retrievals during the MC3E campaign will provide a “cloud-truth” dataset and are an invaluable data source for verifying the findings and investigating the proposed hypotheses in Objective 1.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Oilwell Conversion (Well API 121913310501) to Geothermal Heat Storage Well for Flexible Electricity Storage

Geothermal growth is limited by a lack of geographically dispersed high-temperature thermal resources and high initial upfront investment in characterization and well construction. This project intended to address the challenges of energy supply intermittency and enhance grid resilience, reliability, and energy security by storing energy provided from currently available renewable resources in the subsurface to harvest it a later time during at-peak energy demand. This project intended to improve geothermal adoption, reduce initial project risk, and improve price competitiveness through utilizing existing oil and gas infrastructure such as non-productive wells, non-economic fields, dry holes, and orphaned wells. The project also intended to address the lack of geographically dispersed thermal resources and enhance grid resilience, reliability, and energy security by introducing an economical method for storing energy from currently available renewable resources in the subsurface for usage during at-peak energy demand. During this research, the project furthered the understanding of the feasibility of utilizing abandoned oil and gas wells as geothermal heat storage wells. The project team investigated the heat storage and hydrogeological characteristics of subsurface reservoirs in the Illinois Basin to evaluate their response to heat injection for determining the evolution of temperature profiles and heat losses over time using existing and available data sets. The project team then performed modeling and simulation to evaluate the heat losses of returning fluids during heat extraction. The outputs were used to select an optimal candidate reservoir and location in Southern Illinois. The team designed and performed a small-scale field test in an existing oil well to refine the model and to demonstrate the permitting and regulatory pathways necessary for the conversion of oil and gas assets to geothermal use. The field test also serves as a proof of concept and can guide the procedures for future research and implementation. Additionally, the project team, conducted initial market research and customer discovery to develop a go to market strategy for an Advanced Geothermal Energy Storage (AGES) system. The project team in this research also identified the parameters to be refined in future research, to improve the current go to market strategy economic model. To this end several subject matter experts were also identified to assist in future research with geothermal infrastructure setup, energy storage policy and law, energy storage market demand, potential siting based on demand etc. Future research will involve further sophistication of the site commercial modeling, implementing a larger-scale test, and further refinement of the thermodynamic modeling/simulation process. The output will be lifecycle costs and economics suitable for comparison to alternative approaches from a validated full-scale demonstration for venture capital investment into this technology. The project successfully demonstrated the ability to leverage existing oilfield infrastructure, permits, and land access and leasing agreements, to enable geothermal storage projects to come online faster and cheaper than a greenfield development could. This technology could allow for greater energy independence and security through long-term energy storage solutions. The longer duration allows for greater storage for renewables currently limited by hours-long storage durations of lithium-ion. The AGES system would support the growth of renewable energy farms, and provide greater opportunities for a cleaner energy infrastructure.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

A functional map of HIV-host interactions in primary human T cells

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) relies on host molecular machinery for replication. Systematic attempts to genetically or biochemically define these host factors have yielded hundreds of candidates, but few have been functionally validated in primary cells. Here, we target 426 genes previously implicated in the HIV lifecycle through protein interaction studies for CRISPR-Cas9-mediated knock-out in primary human CD4+ T cells in order to systematically assess their functional roles in HIV replication. We achieve efficient knockout (>50% of alleles) in 364 of the targeted genes and identify 86 candidate host factors that alter HIV infection. 47 of these factors validate by multiplex gene editing in independent donors, including 23 factors with restrictive activity. Both gene editing efficiencies and HIV-1 phenotypes are highly concordant among independent donors. Importantly, over half of these factors have not been previously described to play a functional role in HIV replication, providing numerous novel avenues for understanding HIV biology. These data further suggest that host-pathogen protein-protein interaction datasets offer an enriched source of candidates for functional host factor discovery and provide an improved understanding of the mechanics of HIV replication in primary T cells.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A Microalgae-Based Platform for the Beneficial Re-use of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Power Plants

This project sought to address the technical and economic barriers to carbon dioxide capture and utilization using microalgae. Operating data were collected in 2016 and 2017 during cultivation of Scenedesmus acutus at Duke Energy’s East Bend Station – a coal-fired power plant located in northern Kentucky – using flue gas as the CO 2 source. Algae were grown in a 1200 L “cyclic flow” photobioreactor (PBR) designed by the University of Kentucky. A key finding was that the harvested algae contained only very low concentrations of heavy metals (As, Cd, Hg, Se), consistent with heavy metals incorporation from the supplied nutrients. This indicates that algal biomass produced from coal-derived flue gas would be suitable for a variety of applications, including the production of bioplastics, use as fertilizer, etc. A lifecycle assessment showed that the UK-designed PBR employed in this work qualifies as a net CO 2 capture technology. Indeed, over a 30-year period, net CO 2 capture would equate to 43% of the targeted amount, i.e., the amount captured from the supplied flue gas. A techno-economic analysis indicated that the minimum production cost of Scenedesmus acutus biomass in the US is in the order of 875 USD/ton, excluding the cost of capital. While this figure is not too dissimilar to values reported for open raceway ponds in similar scenarios, it emphasizes that for current cultivation technology any pathway to economic viability will require applications for which algal boimass can be sold at prices in excess of 1,000 USD/ton. Currently, such applications represent relatively small markets, such as pigments (e.g., astaxanthin) and nutraceuticals (ω-3 unsaturated fatty acids), as well as nutritional supplements (whole algae) for human consumption and for use in pet food. Consequently, the commercialization of large-scale algae-based CO 2 capture and utilization will require the development of new technologies to reduce the cost of algae production and/or the development of new, high-value applications for algal biomass. One of the more promising applications for algal biomass is in the production of bioplastics. In this work, the potential for the algae grown in the East Bend PBR for the production of bioplastic with adequate mechanical properties was clearly shown. Positive features of the produced biomass included a high protein content and a composition that was generally more homogeneous than biomass grown in open ponds (in which many species may be present). The best candidate for further review, after incorporation into ethylene-vinyl acetate, was a lipid and sugar extracted material, which showed the highest extension values with comparable load values to other UK-derived samples. It also demonstrated extension benefits against the Algix Bloom product (currently offered commercially), even though it contained agglomerates which generally exert a negative effect on mechanical properties. This leads to speculation that with enhanced milling that exists on the commercial scale, the sugar and fat extracted product may be even more competitive. This, in turn, points to the need for additional work in order to assess the properties of such optimized algae-based plastics and the price point they can command.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Application of Dynamical System Scaling for Accelerated Fuel Qualification Efforts

There are considerable ongoing research and testing campaigns to qualify new fuel designs such as metallic fuels for advanced reactor designs and the Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) campaign for light water reactors (LWR). The typical research and development lifecycle needed to qualify a nuclear fuel design, under ideal conditions, can take up to 20-25 years which limits the ability for new fuels to make fast deployments into commercial, test, and research reactors. While there are several efforts to accelerate nuclear fuel qualification through advanced modeling coupled with state-of-the-art experiments, there is not yet a framework to methodically quantify and rank distortions occurring in experimental test specimens needed to validate nuclear fuel performance codes. This study uses the Dynamical System Scaling (DSS) methodology to quantify transient scaling distortions that occur over experiment and simulated transients. DSS analysis metrics provide a researcher with several tools and information embedded within test data to identify dominant phenomena, associated timescales, and quantify a transient?s overall dynamic distortion. This is demonstrated with separate analyses of the SETH-C and CHF-SERTTA thermal-hydraulic experiments in the TREAT facility at Idaho National Laboratory. The outcome of this work is a scaling and data analysis approach to account for the influence a scaled fuel test specimen?s geometric and temporal distortions have on its ability to be representative of the full-scale design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

5G Service Value Chain and Network Slicing Framework using Ecosystem Modeling, Agile Delivery, and User-Story Automation

The 5G technology allows telecommunication operators to provide services beyond data broadband for consumers, employing tailored use-cases for enterprise and vertical markets. As a result, there is an increasing need for a collaborative service development through a de-centralized value-chain, along with new business models and shorter time-to-market. In this paper, a novel, use-case driven framework for a modular 5G service design and delivery is proposed. The framework implements agile and as-a-service principles to provide 5G use-case customers access not only to service usage, but also to design and operation. The framework integrates with the 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) specifications by mapping network-slicing procedures to the designed ecosystem lifecycle operations. The framework allows for any-technology deployment, utilizing the available foundations for domain-specific automation. A structured collaboration between a 5G operator and a use-case user allows for the customization and improvement of the targeted use-case, where 5G network assets are updated with customer’s vertical components through programmable user-stories. Laboratory testing of a 5G network-slicing for a private-telephony and merchandise-tracking service is performed to validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for real-world applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Updated ENDF-6 Format Approval Process [Slides]

The presentation begins by discussing the original ENDF/B-VIII.0 format proposal lifecycle and states that the GNDS Expert Group has developed a gitlab-friendly review process that addresses concerns raised by the format proposal lifecycle. As a result, a revised ENDF/B-VIII.0 format proposal lifecycle has been created. The presentation then discusses the necessary steps in the lifecycle that are as follows: create an issue in the issue tracker, make your changes directly to the manual, submit it for review and final approval. The presentation concludes by discussing two other things, including the transition CI/CD from buildbot system to built-in gitlab CI/CD and that the revised format review process document will follow, pending approval.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Advanced Test Reactor Safety Basis Update for Gas-Cooled Experiments

The Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) supports neutron irradiation of several types of experiments. One such experiment type is referred to as a gas leadout. Gas leadout experiments actively flow gas through the experiment which allows for active temperature control. It also allows for in-situ data of the experiment. For example, fission gas migration through a fuel sample can be monitored via activity of the sweep gas. Historically, ex-pile equipment and fission product monitors were housed in shielded ATR cubicles. Due to other facility updates, cubicle space is no longer available for gas leadout experiment equipment. To support continued operation of gas leadout experiments, ATR completed a safety basis update that supports a new housing for leadout equipment that may process potentially contaminated gas. In addition to the structure and associated equipment, technical safety requirements regarding handling and storage of experiments needed to be revised to support fueled gas leadout experiments and associated outage configurations. The safety basis update addressed the full lifecycle of these experiments, including experiment movement and interim storage, and credible abnormal events such as failures or leaks in contaminated gas tubing in occupied areas. This paper discusses the completed analyses performed to support the safety basis update associated with gas leadout experiments, including thermal-hydraulic evaluation, probabilistic analysis, and dose consequence analyses.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Fracture Toughness Evaluation for Spent Nuclear Fuel Clad Systems Using Spiral Notch Torsion Fracture Toughness Test

Many radioactive materials within the nuclear fuel cycle present a significant hazard. Such materials include spent nuclear fuel, high-level waste, legacy waste and other nuclear materials. These materials are often held in long-term storage as an interim stage within their lifecycle, including reuse or disposal. Safety and security of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) interim storage installations and follow-on SNF transportations to its final repository sites are very important, due to a great concentration of fission products, actinides and activation products. Fracture mechanics approach in applying to SNF system reliability investigation, especially for the high burn up (HBU) SNF, during SNF long term dry storage or SNF transportation is necessary due to the inherited flaws and inhomogeneity structures existed in a SNF system from the reactor operation. For instance, such as hydride and oxide formation, surface flaw induced by SNF assembly contact interactions, or internal flaws induced by pellet-clad mechanical interaction (PCMI). However, none of the existing fracture toughness data deal with fuel cladding specific geometry or SNF material conditions, such as cladding structure with the segment fuel pellets configuration and the PCMI mechanism. Consequently, the application of existing fracture toughness data to SNF system reliability investigation can be error prone; thus, the development of an industry-wide consensus fracture mechanics approach is needed. The objective of this research is to develop an in-situ fracture mechanics testing protocol, including the associated analytical procedure, that is suitable for evaluating the SNF fracture toughness. Fracture toughness data was obtained under quasi-static fracture loading using Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) developed Spiral Notch Torsion Test (SNTT) technology carried out on a biaxial tension/torsion tester. These data will be used to support SNF reliability investigation during long-tern SNF dry storage stage or in the follow-on SNF system transport to the final repository sites. SNTT has been a recent breakthrough in measuring fracture toughness for different materials, including metals, ceramics, concrete and polymers composites. Due to its high geometry constraint and unique loading condition, SNTT can be used to measure the fracture toughness with smaller specimens without concern of size effects. The application of SNTT to brittle materials has been proved to be successful. The micro-cracks induced by original notches in brittle materials could ensure crack growth in SNTT samples. Therefore, no fatigue pre cracks are needed for brittle materials specimens. The application of SNTT to the ductile material to generate valid toughness data will require a test sample with sufficient pre-crack length to increase the sample localized constraint at crack front. Fatigue pre-crack growth techniques with the associated compliance function estimated was developed for estimating the crack penetration depth to monitor the fatigue crack growth evolution. In order to extend SNTT approach to a thin shell cladding structure material, a new testing protocol and the associated analytical procedure for estimating the SNF fracture toughness was developed. The detailed SNTT approach and its estimated fracture toughness for the Zr-4 cladding structure with segment alumina inserts are presented in this report. The SNTT test results indicate that SNTT method is a reliable test approach with good repeatability in applying to Zr-4 cladding material. For the medium and the short crack length, the estimate J Q upon fracture for the baseline Zr-4 cladding is at 285.7 lb/in with 2-sigma uncertainty of 18.59 lb/in., and the associated K Q is at 61.4 Ksi√in. For a long crack length, the crack initialization orientation is apparently deviated from the principle tensile stress contour – 45° spiral crack front (i.e., Mode I + Mode III failure mechanism); and the estimated J Q is at 108 lb/in., the associated K Q is at 37.7 Ksi√in. The estimate Mode I J Q (along the 45° pitch principle tensile stress contour) is at 200 lb/in.; which indicate a significant reduction in the fracture toughness in a tubing structure under mixed mode loading condition, Mode I + Mode III, compared to that of Mode I (tensile stress dominated) alone.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Evaluation of Component Reliability in Photovoltaic Systems using Field Failure Statistics

Ongoing operations and maintenance (O&M) are needed to ensure photovoltaic (PV) systems continue to operate and meet production targets over the lifecycle of the system. Although average costs to operate and maintain PV systems have been decreasing over time, reported costs can vary significantly at the plant level. Estimating O&M costs accurately is important for informing financial planning and tracking activities, and subsequently lowering the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of PV systems. This report describes a methodology for improving O&M planning estimates by using empirically-derived failure statistics to capture component reliability in the field. The report also summarizes failure patterns observed for specific PV components and local environmental conditions observed in Sandia's PV Reliability, Operations & Maintenance (PVROM) database, a collection of field records across 800+ systems in the U.S. Where system-specific or fleet-specific data are lacking, PVROM-derived failure distribution values can be used to inform cost modeling and other reliability analyses to evaluate opportunities for performance improvements.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advancing Organized Convection Representation in the Unified Model: Implementing and Enhancing Multiscale Coherent Structure Parameterization

To address the effect of stratiform latent heating on meso- to large-scale circulations, an enhanced implementation of the Multiscale Coherent Structure Parameterization (MCSP) is developed for the Met Office Unified Model. MCSP represents the top-heavy stratiform latent heating from under-resolved organized convection in general circulation models. We couple the MCSP with a mass-flux convection scheme (CoMorph-A) to improve storm lifecycle continuity. The improved MCSP trigger is specifically designed for mixed-phase deep convective cloud, combined with a background vertical wind shear, both known to be crucial for stratiform development. We also test a cloud top temperature dependent convective-stratiform heating partitioning, in contrast to the earlier fixed partitioning. Assessments from ensemble weather forecasts and decadal simulations demonstrate that MCSP directly reduces cloud deepening and precipitation areas by moderating mesoscale circulations. Indirectly, it amends tropical precipitation biases, notably correcting dry and wet biases over India and the Indian Ocean, respectively. Remarkably, the scheme outperforms a climate model ensemble by improving seasonal precipitation cycle predictions in these regions. The scheme also improves Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) spectra, achieving better alignment with observational and reanalysis data by intensifying the simulated MJO over the Indian Ocean during phases 4 to 5. However, the scheme increases precipitation overestimation over the Western Pacific. Shifting from fixed to temperature-dependent convective-stratiform partitioning reduces the Pacific precipitation overestimation and further improves the seasonal cycle in India. Spatially correlated biases highlight the necessity for advances beyond deterministic approaches to align MCSP with environmental conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Digital Infrastructure Migration Framework Report

This document presents a full-scope Digital Infrastructure implementation and associated lifecycle support recommendations that enable a plant life of 80+ years. Specific technologies and software applications are researched, developed, selected, implemented, and then integrated by utilities to enhance safety, reliability, and economic performance such that the result provides much more than the sum of its parts. Specific selection of these technologies is driven by business case analyses which are utility, station, and unit specific.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Constitutive Model Development for Aging Polymer Encapsulants (ASC P&EM FY2021 L2 Milestone 7836)

This SAND report fulfills the completion requirements for the ASC Physics and Engineering Modeling Level 2 Milestone 7836 during Fiscal Year 2021. The Sandia Simplified potential energy clock (SPEC) non-linear viscoelastic constitutive model was developed to predict a whole host of polymer glass physical behaviors in order to provide a tool to assess the effects of stress on these materials over their lifecycle. Polymer glasses are used extensively in applications such as electronics packaging, where encapsulants and adhesives can be critical to device performance. In this work, the focus is on assessing the performance of the model in predicting material evolution associated with long-term physical aging, an area that the model has not been fully vetted in. These predictions are key to utilizing models to help demonstrate electronics packaging component reliability over decades long service lives, a task that is very costly and time consuming to execute experimentally. The initiating hypothesis for the work was that a model calibration process can be defined that enables confidence in physical aging predictions under ND relevant environments and timescales without sacrificing other predictive capabilities. To test the hypothesis, an extensive suite of calibration and aging data was assembled from a combination of prior work and collaborating projects (Aging and Lifetimes as well as the DoD Joint Munitions Program) for two mission relevant epoxy encapsulants, 828DGEBA/DEA and 828DGEBA/T403. Multiple model calibration processes were developed and evaluated against the entire set of data for each material. A qualitative assessment of each calibration's ability to predict the wide range of aging responses was key to ranking the calibrations against each other. During this evaluation, predictions that were identified as non-physical, i.e., demonstrated something that was qualitatively different than known material behavior, were heavily weighted against the calibration performance. Thus, unphysical predictions for one aspect of aging response could generate a lower overall rating for a calibration process even if that process generated better quantitative predictions for another aspect of aging response. This insurance that all predictions are qualitatively correct is important to the overall aim of utilizing the model to predict residual stress evolution, which will depend on the interplay amongst the different material aging responses. The DSC-focused calibration procedure generated the best all-around aging predictions for both materials, demonstrating material models that can qualitatively predict the whole host of different physical aging responses that have been measured. This step forward in predictive capability comes from an unanticipated source, utilization of calorimetry measurements to specify model parameters. The DSC-focused calibration technique performed better than compression-focused techniques that more heavily weigh measurements more closely related to the structural responses to be predicted. Indeed, the DSC-focused calibration procedure was only possible due to recent incorporation of the enthalpy and heat capacity features into SPEC that was newly verified during this L2 milestone. Fundamentally similar aspects of the two material model calibrations as well as parametric studies to assess sensitives of the aging predictions are discussed within the report. A perspective on the next steps to the overall goal of residual stress evolution predictions under stockpile conditions closes the report.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Report on Simulation-Driven Reliability and Failure Analysis of Large-Scale Storage Systems

High-performance computing (HPC) storage systems provide data availability and reliability using various hardware and software fault tolerance techniques. Usually, reliability and availability are calculated at the subsystem or component level using limited metrics such as, mean time to failure (MTTF) or mean time to data loss (MTTDL). This often means settling on simple and disconnected failure models (such as exponential failure rate) to achieve tractable and close-formed solutions. However, such models have been shown to be insufficient in assessing end-to-end storage system reliability and availability. We propose a generic simulation framework aimed at analyzing the reliability and availability of storage systems at scale, and investigating what-if scenarios. The framework is designed for an end-to-end storage system, accommodating the various components and subsystems, their interconnections, failure patterns and propagation, and performs dependency analysis to capture a wide-range of failure cases. We evaluate the framework against a large-scale storage system that is in production and analyze its failure projections toward and beyond the end of lifecycle. We also examine the potential operational impact by studying how different types of components affect the overall system reliability and availability, and present the preliminary results

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Application of Structured Decision Making to Hanford Site Radiological Air Monitoring - 17924

Radiological air monitoring is a component of an Environmental Surveillance (ES) program that has been in operation at the Department of Energy Hanford Site for several decades. The primary objectives of the ES program are protection of human health and the environment (on and off-site) as well as regulatory compliance. The ES program was designed decades ago when the plutonium-production reactors and related facilities at the Hanford Site were operational and air emissions were more widespread and significant than today. We employed a structured decision making (SDM) approach that integrates science with values and preferences to a Hanford Site air monitoring program decision. Specifically, a decision was necessary pertaining to the possible replacement of three air monitoring stations located in the 100 Area of the Hanford Site because the power line that supports these stations was near the end of its lifecycle. Although focused on this specific decision, the SDM model is more broadly applicable to decisions pertaining to adapting the air monitoring network to current Hanford operations. The value focused thinking approach that underlies SDM facilitates transparent and defensible decision making, and aids in communicating monitoring rationale. Some of the fundamental objectives elicited from the decision makers regarding management options for the three air monitoring stations included maximizing the ability to measure releases, minimizing environmental impacts, and maximizing social and economic sustainability. The fundamental objectives were linked to six objectives that could be measured (quantified) to allow a decision-analytic solution to the decision problem. Value functions and preference weights were developed for each of the objectives measures based on information obtained during a project workshop as well as by review and analysis of environmental data. Lastly, a set of five management options was identified that might achieve at least one of the objectives. A Bayes Network was developed as a solution to the decision problem pertaining to the three air stations (the 3 air stations decision). The Bayes Network describes the decision model graphically, and also serves as the computational engine for the decision analysis. The Bayes Network defines the relationship among the five management options and six objectives measures. In addition to the weights and value functions noted above, key inputs to the Bayes Network include a set of probabilities related to the different model states defined by the network. These include the probability of a significant release occurring, the probability that a release would be detected under each of the five management options, and the probability of achieving the other objective measures under each management option. In this manner the Bayesian Network captures the uncertainty in the components of the decision model. Replacing the three air monitoring stations with thermoluminescent dosimeters was identified as the preferred management option. A brief report was developed documenting the SDM model, including the workshop notes and analyses that were used to develop the objectives and model input variable values. This application demonstrates SDM's utility for supporting monitoring program decisions and, critically, providing a transparent and traceable basis for the decision. This relatively simple SDM model also provides a basis for an SDM model for monitoring decisions related to the more complex and holistic goal of achieving ES program objectives. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗