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At least 253 records · Page 14

Sensitivity-based Experiment Design Optimization for a Molybdenum Critical Experiment

A lack of intermediate molybdenum benchmarks in the ICSBEP has been identified by LANL, Y-12, and IRSN. This lacking adversely effects criticality safety operations and leaves new differential molybdenum data unvalidated. NCERC is proposing a series of intermediate integral experiments to better the understanding of molybdenum systems. Using MCNP6.2 with the ENDF/B-VIII.0 nuclear data library a single unmoderated and four moderated system designs were identified using a sensitivity optimization method. Each proposed system was found to be at least twice as sensitive to the 95 Mo capture cross section in the URR as the sole existing intermediate molybdenum benchmark in the ISCBEP handbook. The addition of a new molybdenum sensitive intermediate system would improve future nuclear data evaluations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Evaluating the Trustworthiness of Deep Neural Networks in Deployment – A Comparative Study (Replicability Study)

As deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly used in safety critical applications, there is a growing concern for their trustworthiness. Even highly trained, high-performant networks are not 100% accurate. However, it is very difficult to predict their behaviour during deployment without ground truth. In this paper, we provide a comparative and replicability study on recent approaches that have been proposed to evaluate the trustworthiness of DNNs. We find that it is very difficult to run and reproduce the results for these approaches on their replication packages, and it is even more difficult to run the tools on artifacts other than their own. Further, it is difficult to compare the effectiveness of the tools, due to lack of clearly defined evaluation metrics. Our results indicate that more effort is needed in our research community to obtain sound techniques for evaluating the trustworthiness of neural networks in safety-critical domains. To this end, we contribute an evaluation framework that incorporates the considered approaches and enables evaluation on common benchmarks, using common metrics. Using this framework, we run a comparative study of the three approaches.

Trustworthy AI↗

Novel Classifier of Neural Impairment

The proposed research aligns with Ames Core Competency within the area of Intelligent/Adaptive Systems under Human Systems Integration. This will serve as a robust, efficient, and user-friendly human performance assessment tool that could provide immediate neural status of crewmembers in low-orbit and deep space missions. The human operator is a critical element of crew safety and should be evaluated consistently to mitigate potential off-nominal situations propagated from human error. Flagged deficits in oculomotor performance could act as an alert signal for crewmembers to opt out of cognitively demanding tasks or to prevent irreversible compromise in crewmember health.

impairment↗

Ab Initio Evaluation of Plutonium Dioxide $S(α,β)$ and Thermal Neutron Cross Sections

Plutonium Dioxide (PuO 2 ) is an advanced fuel-cycle nuclear fuel material for thermal and fast reactors, with a melting point at 3261.8 K and thermal conductivity above 3 Wm -1 K -1 for temperatures below 1500 K. Plutonium from spent UO 2 is reprocessed to form chemically stable mixed oxide (MOX) fuel. In contrast to metallic fuels, the low PuO 2 conductivity results in high thermal gradients between fuel center and surface, resulting in structural annealing and efficient fission product migration over burnup. Crystal binding affects the doppler broadening of epithermal resonances for nuclear fuels and scattering behavior of thermal neutrons. Currently, there is no ENDF/B Thermal Scattering Law, i.e., $S(α,β)$, evaluation for PuO 2 , only free atom cross sections for Plutonium and Oxygen, respectively, which neglect lattice contributions to total cross section. Herein, ab initio lattice dynamics (AILD) techniques are employed to calculate the phonon density of states (DOS) using spin-orbit-coupling density functional theory (DFT) to predict the PuO2 paramagnetic ground-state structure. These results highlight the evaluation of $S(α,β)$ for Plutonium and Oxygen, respectively in PuO 2 and consequential generation of thermal neutron scattering cross sections for high fidelity criticality safety analysis and reactor calculations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Methodology for physics-informed generation of synthetic neutron time-of-flight measurement data

Accurate neutron cross section data are a vital input to the simulation of nuclear systems for a wide range of applications from energy production to national security. The evaluation of experimental data is a key step in producing accurate cross sections. There is a widely recognized lack of reproducibility in the evaluation process due to its artisanal nature and therefore there is a call for improvement within the nuclear data community. This can be realized by automating/standardizing viable parts of the process, namely, parameter estimation by fitting theoretical models to experimental data. This automation effort could greatly benefit from a synthetic data resource. This work leverages problem-specific physics, Monte Carlo sampling, and a general methodology for data synthesis to generate unlimited, labelled experimental cross-section data that is statistically indistinguishable to the observed data. Heuristic and, where applicable, rigorous statistical comparisons to observed data support this claim. The demonstration is based on/limited to transmission measurements at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) and energy-differential cross sections in the resolved resonance region (RRR). An open-source software is published alongside this article that executes the complete methodology to produce high-utility synthetic datasets. The goal of this work is to provide an approach and corresponding tool that will allow the evaluation community to begin exploring more data-driven, ML-based solutions to long-standing challenges in the field.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Formatting and V&V of Consistent 238,240−24 2Pu $\overline{v}_p$ Evaluated Mean Values and Covariances

This report is in answer to the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program FY24 quarter 4 milestone that requires: “Format and V&V nu-bar means and covariances” for 238,240-242 Pu average prompt fission neutron multiplicities, $\overline{ν}$ p , that were obtained by a consistent evaluation leveraging the fission-event generator CGMF and a detailed uncertainty quantification of experimental data. It is described how nuclear data mean values and covariances were formatted using ENDFtk. Implementing the new 238,240-242 Pu $\overline{ν}$ p into the ENDF/B-VIII.1β 4 library leads to only small overall changes in criticality values of the Jezebel, Dirty Jezebel, Jupiter-001, Jupiter-002, EUCLID 3x2 and EUCLID 8x1 critical assemblies. Simulated k eff uncertainties due to $\overline{ν}$ p covariances change only little if cross-isotope covariances are considered or not for those assemblies with low percentage content of minor Pu isotopes. However, for the Dirty Jezebel critical assembly, that has a sizeable 240 Pu and non-negligible 241 Pu content, the simulated k eff uncertainties due to considering or neglecting cross-isotope $\overline{ν}$ p covariances is 443 versus 374 pcm.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Correlation Calculations for the Russian Pu Metal Fast Experiments

Nuclear criticality experiments are often conducted in campaigns with multiple variations. These experiments reuse the same basic components, like the fuel, moderator, or positioning machines. The components have uncertainties in their geometry and composition that propagate to models of the experiments. Shared components create shared uncertainty between the $k_{eff}$ of benchmarks. The shared uncertainty is commonly quantified with a covariance, or correlation coefficient. These covariances can impact criticality safety and nuclear data validation applications. While benchmark evaluations tabulate an experiment’s uncertainty, they often lack a detailed calculation of correlations between experiments. Even some very commonly used benchmarks, like the Russian Pu Metal Fast (PMF) experiments, have missing correlations. This paper presents our approach to calculate the correlations for five of the Russian PMF experiments. The experiments share hemispherical Pu shells that induce a correlation between modeled $k_{eff}$ values. We estimated the correlations with simplified and detailed models of the experiments through linear-perturbation theory. The correlations between the experiments vary significantly between the detailed vs. simplified models. We also investigate how the correlations affect validation metrics of the experiments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Update of CEA DES Criticality-Safety Activities and Perspectives [Slides]

Neutronics staff at CEA DES are in charge of a whole set of modeling and simulation tools for neutronics: nuclear data evaluation and processing, transport codes development, calculation sequences edition, verification, validation and uncertainty analysis. Advanced user groups are in charge of specific nuclear analysis in reactor physics, fuel cycle, criticality-safety, radiation shielding and nuclear instrumentation for CEA and its partners, at all stages of nuclear facilities life cycle. CEA is willing to participate/collaborate on the following issues: detector design, experiments, analysis and evaluation, DH validation by combining TAGS measurements with Fission Yield variance-covariance matrices.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NA-ESH) [Slides]

This presentation provides an overview of the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program, including its history, mission, vision, organization, measurement and evaluation priorities for FY23, 5-year plan, and cross-cutting nuclear data work.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Zirconium Nuclear Data Campaign: Measurement of 90 Zr ( n, γ ) Cross Section

The isotopes of Zr with A = [90, 91, 92, 94] make up more than 97% of naturally occurring Zr and are important to many nuclear applications such as nuclear reactors. One of the attractive qualities of naturally occurring Zr isotopes is that they have a low σ γ /σ t ratio at most neutron energies. Thus, they improve the neutron economy in reactors by preferentially scattering neutrons rather than absorbing them. This same quality also presents a challenge to measuring the capture cross section, σ γ , of Zr isotopes. The ENDF/B VIII.0 library has a relative uncertainty of approximately 10–20% for incident neutron energies < 0.1 MeV and an uncertainty greater than 20% for energies > 0.1 MeV for the majority of natural Zr isotopes. This motivated the Nuclear Criticality Safety Program to embark on a campaign to accurately measure and evaluate these Zr isotopes. In this work, we demonstrate energy-dependent neutron capture cross section measurements for the first enriched sample to be measured: 90 Zr.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Fitting $\overline{ν}$ for Minor Pu Isotopes

After successful fitting of prompt ν for 235 U, 238 U, and 239 Pu(n,f) using CGMF, we have moved on to the minor plutonium isotopes. Minor isotopes pose a greater challenge both because there is less data available and we do not, by default, have parametrizations in CGMF already. Initially, we had planned to mitigate these challenges—and provide consistency within CGMF—by taking a stepped approach to the optimization. Continuing from the 239 Pu work, we would then fit 241Pu(n,f) $\overline{ν}$, where there is also a number of experimental measurements, keeping consistency between the parameters that are included in the calculation for 239 Pu and 241 Pu. With these parametrizations settled, we could consistently optimize 240 Pu(n,f) $\overline{ν}$. Following that step, we would move on to 242 Pu(n,f) (and increasing neutron number) and 238 Pu(n,f) (and decreasing neutron number). By including the fissioning systems in this manner, we should be able to minimize the unknown parameters in CGMF. We were also able to develop systematics for the CGMF input parameters along the Pu isotopic chain. However, after studies in the beginning of FY23, where we found reasonable agreement between CGMF and experimental prompt neutron multiplicities for 238−242 Pu, using a compound mass dependent parametrization from, and from discussions with I. Stetcu and P. Talou, we instead performed the evaluation of all five isotopes simultaneously. For all parameters in CGMF, they are either the same for each compound nucleus, or have a dependence on the compound mass. The details of these updates are given in. This report builds upon those details. In this short report, we first give an example of how we have updated CGMF to include 240 Pu(n,f) and 242 Pu(n,f), keeping consistency with the current 239 Pu and 241 Pu calculations, but without rigorous optimization (Sec. 2). Then, we will show in Section 3 what experimental data exist for the various isotopes to provide some insight into why 241 Pu and 239 Pu are used as anchor points. The evaluation is detailed in Section 4, and the comparison between CGMF calculations using the evaluated parameters and other prompt observables besides average neutron multiplicity are discussed in Section 2.2. Finally, we present conclusions and future work in Section 5.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

A Resolved Resonance Evaluation for 51 V with Resonance Parameter Covariance

In this presentation the 51 V evaluation in response to NCSP need is completed. Issues in connection to RR representation are addressed. Uncertainty and covariance information derived with the evaluation. Evaluation proposed and accepted for inclusion in ENDF/B-VIII.1 library.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Strategies for Enhancing Battery Life Under Fast Charging: Insights from NMC-Based Cell Cycling

Fast charging improves the usability of consumer electronics and electric vehicles (EVs) by reducing range anxiety and downtime but accelerates battery degradation and raises safety concerns. Optimizing operational conditions during fast-charging is critical to mitigating aging and ensuring safety. This study evaluated multilayer Gr/NMC811 cells under various conditions, including depths of discharge (DODs of 68%, 84%, and 100%), upper charge cutoff voltages (4.1–4.2 V), and post-charge rest periods (2–30 min), using a 20 min fast charging protocol for up to 500 cycles (up to 150,000 miles of EV use assuming 3.3 mi/kWh vehicle level energy efficiency). Surprisingly, higher DODs under fast charging improved battery life and performance compared to lower DODs. Reducing the upper charge cut-off voltage helped mitigate degradation. A brief 2 min rest period after charging further reduced aging effects. The primary aging modes were loss of lithium inventory and cathode active material. Although minor lithium plating was observed within 500 cycles, it did not affect performance significantly. These findings suggest that, with optimized conditions, cells can sustain hundreds of fast charge cycles—equivalent to over 100,000 miles of EV use—without significant adverse effects on performance or longevity.

25 - ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Prognostics Framework for Battery Health Monitoring Integrated with Thermal Modeling

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) promises to revolutionize transportation in major cities, offering passenger travel, cargo delivery, and emergency medical services through a network of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. However, the limited range of current eVTOLs, due to the low specific energy of lithium-ion batteries along with a possibility of thermal runaway conditions poses significant safety concerns, leading to potentially compromising operational safety. To address this critical challenge, researchers are actively evaluating the impact of flight and environmental conditions on onboard lithium-ion battery health. This involves carefully assessing the performance of battery packs under laboratory and operational conditions for developing models to estimate future health using prognostics framework. This study examines the effectiveness of evaluating battery degradation leading to catastrophic failures under varying operational conditions in laboratory. These are captured using physics based models of underlying phenomenons and integrated into the prognostics framework. A fully charged battery undergoes controlled discharge cycles at varying C-rates based on the simulated power draw profile, with current and voltage, temperature data recorded throughout the experiment. The observed data provides valuable insights into how different operating conditions and mission profiles affect battery performance. This information is crucial for developing strategies to optimize battery systems, enhance range, and ultimately ensure the safe and reliable operation of UAM vehicles.

Thermal Modeling↗

A Prognostics Framework for Battery Health Monitoring Integrated with Thermal Modeling

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) promises to revolutionize transportation in major cities, offering passenger travel, cargo delivery, and emergency medical services through a network of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. However, the limited range of current eVTOLs, due to the low specific energy of lithium-ion batteries along with a possibility of thermal runaway conditions poses significant safety concerns, leading to potentially compromising operational safety. To address this critical challenge, researchers are actively evaluating the impact of flight and environmental conditions on onboard lithium-ion battery health. This involves carefully assessing the performance of battery packs under laboratory and operational conditions for developing models to estimate future health using prognostics framework. This study examines the effectiveness of evaluating battery degradation leading to catastrophic failures under varying operational conditions in laboratory. These are captured using physics based models of underlying phenomenons and integrated into the prognostics framework. A fully charged battery undergoes controlled discharge cycles at varying C-rates based on the simulated power draw profile, with current and voltage, temperature data recorded throughout the experiment. The observed data provides valuable insights into how different operating conditions and mission profiles affect battery performance. This information is crucial for developing strategies to optimize battery systems, enhance range, and ultimately ensure the safe and reliable operation of UAM vehicles.

Thermal Modeling↗

A Prognostics Framework for Battery Health Monitoring Integrated with Thermal Modeling

Urban Air Mobility (UAM) promises to revolutionize transportation in major cities, offering passenger travel, cargo delivery, and emergency medical services through a network of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. However, the limited range of current eVTOLs, due to the low specific energy of lithium-ion batteries along with a possibility of thermal runaway conditions poses significant safety concerns, leading to potentially compromising operational safety. To address this critical challenge, researchers are actively evaluating the impact of flight and environmental conditions on onboard lithium-ion battery health. This involves carefully assessing the performance of battery packs under laboratory and operational conditions for developing models to estimate future health using prognostics framework. This study examines the effectiveness of evaluating battery degradation leading to catastrophic failures under varying operational conditions in laboratory. These are captured using physics based models of underlying phenomenons and integrated into the prognostics framework. A fully charged battery undergoes controlled discharge cycles at varying C-rates based on the simulated power draw profile, with current and voltage, temperature data recorded throughout the experiment. The observed data provides valuable insights into how different operating conditions and mission profiles affect battery performance. This information is crucial for developing strategies to optimize battery systems, enhance range, and ultimately ensure the safe and reliable operation of UAM vehicles.

Thermal Modeling↗

Systems Theory Principles and Complex Systems Engineering Concepts for Protection and Resilience in Critical Infrastructure: Lessons from the Nuclear Sector

Part of the Presidential Policy Directive 21 (PPD-21) (PPD 2013) mandate includes evaluating safety, security, and safeguards (or nonproliferation) mechanisms traditionally implemented within the nuclear reactors, materials, and waste sector of critical infrastructure—including a complex, dynamic set of risks and threats within an all-hazards approach. In response, research out of Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) explores the ability of systems theory principles (hierarchy and emergence) and complex systems engineering concepts (multidomain interdependence) to better understand and address these risks and threats. Herein, this Sandia research explores the safety, safeguards, and security risks of three different nuclear sector-related activities—spent nuclear fuel transportation, small modular reactors, and portable nuclear power reactors—to investigate the complex and dynamic risk related to the PPD-21-mandated all-hazards approach. This research showed that a systems-theoretic approach can better identify inter-dependencies, conflicts, gaps, and leverage points across traditional safety, security, and safeguards hazard mitigation strategies in the nuclear reactors, materials, and waste sector. Resulting from this, mitigation strategies from applying systems theoretic principles and complex systems engineering concepts can be (1) designed to better capture interdependencies, (2) implemented to better align with real-world operational uncertainties, and (3) evaluated as a systems-level whole to better identify, characterize, and manage PPD-21's all hazards strategies.

42 ENGINEERING↗