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At least 253 records · Page 14

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DOE OSTI2020

Decarbonizing US passenger vehicle transport under electrification and automation uncertainty has a travel budget

Abstract The transportation sector is at the beginning of a transition represented by electrification, shared mobility, and automation, which could lead to either increases or decreases in total travel and energy use. Understanding the factors enabling deep decarbonization of the passenger vehicle sector is essential for planning the required infrastructure investments and technology adoption policies. We examine the requirements for meeting carbon reduction targets of 80% and higher for passenger vehicle transport in the United States (US) by midcentury under uncertainty. We model the changes needed in vehicle electrification, electricity carbon intensity, and travel demand. Since growth in fleet penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) is constrained by fleet stock turnover, we estimate the EV penetration rates needed to meet climate targets. We find for a base case level of passenger vehicle travel, midcentury deep decarbonization of US passenger transport is conditional on reducing the electricity generation carbon intensity to close to zero along with electrification of about 67% or 84% of vehicle travel to meet decarbonization targets of 80% or 90%, respectively. Higher electricity generation carbon intensity and degraded EV fuel economy due to automation would require higher levels of fleet electrification and/or further constrain the total vehicle travel allowable. Transportation deep decarbonization not only depends on electricity decarbonization, but also has a total travel budget, representing a maximum total vehicle travel threshold that still enables meeting a midcentury climate target. This makes encouraging ride sharing, reducing total vehicle travel, and increasing fuel economy in both human-driven and future automated vehicles increasingly important to deep decarbonization.

Alarfaj, Abdullah F. (ORCID:0000000157360662)↗

DOE OSTI2021

The future evolution of energy-water-agriculture interconnectivity across the US

Abstract Energy, water, and agricultural resources across the globe are highly interconnected. This interconnectivity poses science challenges, such as understanding and modeling interconnections, as well as practical challenges, such as efficiently managing interdependent resource systems. Using the US as an example, this study seeks to define and explore how interconnectivity evolves over space and time under a range of influences. Concepts from graph theory and input–output analysis are used to visualize and quantify key intersectoral linkages using two new indices: the ‘Interconnectivity Magnitude Index’ and the ‘Interconnectivity Spread Index’. Using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM-USA), we explore the future evolution of these indices under four scenarios that explore a range of forces, including socioeconomic and technological change. Analysis is conducted at both national and state level spatial scales from 2015 to 2100. Results from a Reference scenario show that resource interconnectivity in the US is primarily driven by water use amongst different sectors, while changes in interconnectivity are driven by a decoupling of the water and electricity systems, as power plants become more water-efficient over time. High population and GDP growth results in relatively more decoupling of sectors, as a larger share of water and energy is used outside of interconnected sector feedback loops. Lower socioeconomic growth results in the opposite trend. Transitioning to a low-carbon economy increases interconnectivity because of the expansion of purpose-grown biomass, which strengthens the connections between water and energy. The results highlight that while some regions may experience similar sectoral stress projections, the composition of the intersectoral connectivity leading to that sectoral stress may call for distinctly different multi-sector co-management strategies. The methodology we introduce here can be applied in diverse geographical and sectoral contexts to enable better understanding of where, when, and how coupling or decoupling between sectors could evolve and be better managed.

Khan, Zarrar (ORCID:0000000281478553)↗

DOE OSTI2023

A comparative analysis of US state-level policies and programs to advance energy justice

Abstract The US energy system is undergoing massive changes that have environmental, technological, and societal implications. Decisions and actions taken now will dramatically alter the trajectory of our future energy system. Though new technologies can lessen the dangers of anthropogenic climate change, an effective and sustainable transition requires addressing social justice issues as a priority. To this end, many states have implemented policies and programs that address energy justice. A formal survey of state-level energy justice policies and programs is needed to better understand the methods used to assist communities targeted and the impacts of these efforts. Such an analysis should include an analysis of the metrics used to judge the effectiveness of the enacted policies and programs. In this paper, we analyze the energy justice policies and programs of seven different US states. From this analysis, we identify three important aspects of state energy policies. First, most policies and programs do not articulate their goals, nor cite metrics to judge their successes. This lack of transparency and accountability is a major roadblock to truly just solutions. Second, states focus on a very narrow range of solutions for energy justice issues. The most prevalent being utility bill assistance, which does not address the systemic and enduring challenges faced by many low-income or historically marginalized communities. Lastly, comprehensive energy policy does not acknowledge and address housing, employment, education, and healthcare inequities that exacerbate energy system inequities. The work presented in this paper sheds light on the progress of state-level energy justice policies and programs across the United States, and we argue more work needs to be done to understand best practices in energy justice policymaking.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the role of clouds in offshore wind potential off the US West Coast in a changing climate

To meet US goals of deploying additional wind energy as part of the decarbonization strategy, wind plants are being planned for the deep water offshore the western US. The wind flow in that region is complex due to the proximity to the coast, cold water upwelling, and persistent stratiform clouds that interact with radiation in ways that have the potential to destabilize the atmosphere. That flow has the potential to change with a changing climate. To address these issues, we assess the flow and the clouds in that region using downscaled climate model data, under both historic climate (1975–2005) and projected future (2025–2055) conditions. We note that the climate simulations agree fairly well with the cloud patterns observed by satellite data in the nearshore and offshore regions. We then assess the projected changes in clouds, wind speed, and other important variables, noting that our simulations project that the predominant north/northwesterly low-level jet is expected to strengthen and clouds are likely to be commensurately enhanced, although projected changes are within about 10% of current conditions. Our examination of the dynamics associated with the changes in the climate simulations provides confidence in the dynamical consistency of these projected changes.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comparative Analysis of Inter-Area Oscillations in the US Eastern and Western Interconnections

This paper presents a comparative analysis of interarea oscillations in the US Eastern and Western Interconnections using frequency disturbance data collected from the advanced wide-area Frequency Monitoring Network (FNET/GridEye), enabling us to investigate and compare the oscillation characteristics of both regions. The study analyzes the statistical data from the two interconnections, including total oscillation events, average dominant frequencies, damping ratios, and maximum amplitudes. We also explore the impact of seasonal and daily variations on oscillation occurrences and the influence of different grid topologies and operational practices. The results provide insights into both interconnections' stability and control characteristics, offering valuable information for power system operators to enhance grid stability and oscillation suppression measures.

Fu, Hao [University of Tennessee, Knoxville (UTK)]↗

DOE OSTI2021

Lessons Learned From the Prototypes of the MQXFA Low-Beta Quadrupoles for HL-LHC and Status of Production in the US

With the successful test of the first two pre-series magnets the US HL-LHC Accelerator Upgrade Project has started production of the MQXFA magnets to be used in Q1/Q3 inner triplet elements of the HL-LHC. This good start comes after the test of two prototypes with limited performance, and it demonstrates the importance of learning from past issues. Therefore, in this paper we want to share the most important lessons learned so far, focusing on those which may be more interesting for similar projects. Additionally, we will present the status of MQXFA fabrication in the US.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Synchronized Phasor Measurement Unit-based Central Controller for Normal and Contingent Operation of a High-Capacity HVDC Macrogrid for the Continental US

This paper presents a Synchronized Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) based controller to support the coordination and operation of a high-capacity high-voltage direct current (HVDC) macrogrid transmission for the continental US. The proposed controller allows for optimal scheduling of each segment of the multi-terminal HVDC network under normal and contingent conditions, while considering minimum levels of frequency response requirements. The performance of the proposed controller is tested on a 100,222-bus representation of the US Eastern and Western interconnections. Results show that a centralized PMU-based controller improves the frequency nadir of the HVDC macrogrid under contingency conditions by 25.9%. Furthermore, the primary frequency response (PFR) of the HVDC macrogrid is increased by 33.4%. The performance of each interconnection under the largest credible contingency conditions is also discussed.

Mohan, Nihal↗

DOE OSTI2023

Improved net carbon budgets in the US Midwest through direct measured impacts of enhanced weathering

Abstract Terrestrial enhanced weathering (EW) through the application of Mg‐ or Ca‐rich rock dust to soil is a negative emission technology with the potential to address impacts of climate change. The effectiveness of EW was tested over 4 years by spreading ground basalt (50 t ha −1 year −1 ) on maize/soybean and miscanthus cropping systems in the Midwest US. The major elements of the carbon budget were quantified through measurements of eddy covariance, soil carbon flux, and biomass. The movement of Mg and Ca to deep soil, released by weathering, balanced by a corresponding alkalinity flux, was used to measure the drawdown of CO 2 , where the release of cations from basalt was measured as the ratio of rare earth elements to base cations in the applied rock dust and in the surface soil. Basalt application stimulated peak biomass and net primary production in both cropping systems and caused a small but significant stimulation of soil respiration. Net ecosystem carbon balance (NECB) was strongly negative for maize/soybean (−199 to −453 g C m −2 year −1 ) indicating this system was losing carbon to the atmosphere. Average EW (102 g C m −2 year −1 ) offset carbon loss in the maize/soybean by 23%–42%. NECB of miscanthus was positive (63–129 g C m −2 year −1 ), indicating carbon gain in the system, and EW greatly increased inorganic carbon storage by an additional 234 g C m −2 year −1 . Our analysis indicates a co‐deployment of a perennial biofuel crop (miscanthus) with EW leads to major wins—increased harvested yields of 29%–42% with additional carbon dioxide removal (CDR) of 8.6 t CO 2 ha −1 year −1 . EW applied to maize/soybean drives a CDR of 3.7 t CO 2 ha −1 year −1 , which partially offsets well‐established carbon losses from soil from this crop rotation. EW applied in the US Midwest creates measurable improvements to the carbon budgets perennial bioenergy crops and conventional row crops.

enhanced weathering↗

DOE OSTI2023

Predicting Postoperative Injury and Military Discharge Status After Knee Surgery in the US Army

Background: Researchers have assessed postoperative injury or disability predictors in the military setting but typically focused on 1 type of surgical procedure at a time, used relatively small sample sizes, or investigated mixed cohorts with civilian populations. Purpose: To identify the relationship between baseline variables and injury incidence or military discharge status in US Army soldiers after knee surgery. Study Design: Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Data were obtained from a repository containing personnel, performance, and medical records for all active-duty US Army soldiers. Multivariate logistic regressions were used to estimate the effects of numerous variables on postoperative injury or on medical discharge. Variable selection and model validation were conducted using the k-fold method. Results: A total of 7567 soldiers underwent knee surgery between 2017 and 2019. Meniscal procedures were the most common type of surgery (39%), and approximately 71% of the cohort had a postoperative injury. Significant predictors for sustaining a postoperative injury included having a previous nonknee injury (odds ratio [OR], 1.5), female sex (OR, 1.3), and Black race (OR, 1.2). Within 4 years after surgery, 17% of soldiers were discharged from the military because of knee-related disability. Significant predictors for discharge from duty included enlisted rank (OR, 2.3), recent fitness test failure (OR, 1.9), number of previous knee surgeries (OR, 1.7), and having a previous nonknee injury (OR, 1.6). Conclusion: After knee surgery, nearly three-fourths of the soldiers in this cohort sustained a postoperative injury and almost one-fifth of soldiers were medically discharged from the military within 4 years. This study identified variables that indicate statistically increased risk for these postoperative outcomes and highlighted potentially modifiable factors.

Orthopedics↗

DOE OSTI2024

CMIP6-based Multi-model Streamflow Projections over the Conterminous US, Version 1.1

This dataset presents an ensemble of streamflow projections covering the conterminous United States (CONUS), developed to support the SECURE Water Act Section 9505 Assessment for the US Department of Energy (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO). Multiple Coupled Models Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) Global Climate Models (GCMs) were downscaled using either statistical (DBCCA) or dynamical (RegCM) downscaling methods, based on two meteorological reference datasets (Daymet and Livneh). Subsequently, the downscaled precipitation, temperature, and wind speed data were used to drive two calibrated hydrologic models (VIC and PRMS), with total runoff routed through the Routing Application for Parallel computatIon of Discharge (RAPID) routing model, producing an ensemble of streamflow projections across 2.7 million NHDPlusV2 stream reaches across the CONUS. Each ensemble member covers the 1980-2019 baseline and 2020-2059 near-future periods under the high-end (SSP585) emission scenario. Additionally, using only DBCCA and Daymet, the projections extend to the 2060-2099 far-future period and encompass three additional emission scenarios (SSP370, SSP245, and SSP126). This dataset is designed to support the SECURE Water Act Section 9505 Assessment for the US Department of Energy (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office (WPTO). For further details, refer to Kao et al. (2022), Rastogi et al. (2022), and Ghimire et al. (2023).

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Autoclave treatment of the classical scrapie agent US No. 13-7 and experimental inoculation to susceptible VRQ/ARQ sheep via the oral route results in decreased transmission efficiency

Scrapie, a prion disease of sheep, is highly resistant to conventional deactivation. Numerous methods to deactivate scrapie have been tested in laboratory animal models, and adequate autoclave treatment can reduce or remove the infectivity of some classical scrapie strains depending on the heating parameters used. In this study, we autoclaved brain homogenate from a sheep with US scrapie strain 13–7 for 30 minutes at 121°C. Genetically susceptible VRQ/ARQ sheep were orally inoculated with 3 grams of the autoclaved brain homogenate. For comparison, a second group of sheep was inoculated with a non-autoclaved brain homogenate. Rectal biopsies were used to assess antemortem scrapie disease progression throughout the study. Five out of ten (5/10) sheep that received autoclaved inoculum ultimately developed scrapie after an experimental endpoint of 72 months. These sheep had a mean incubation period of 26.99 months. Two out of five (2/5) positive sheep had detectable PrP Sc in antemortem rectal biopsies, and two (2/5) other sheep had PrP Sc in postmortem rectal tissue. A single sheep (1/5) was positive for scrapie in the CNS, small intestine, and retropharyngeal lymph node but had negative rectal tissue. All of the sheep (10/10) that received non-autoclaved inoculum developed scrapie with a mean incubation period of 20.2 months and had positive rectal biopsies at the earliest timepoint (14.7 months post-inoculation). These results demonstrate that sheep are orally susceptible to US derived classical scrapie strain 13–7 after autoclave treatment at 121°C for 30 minutes. Differences in incubation periods and time interval to first positive rectal biopsies indicate a partial reduction in infectivity titers for the autoclaved inoculum group.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Animal movement estimation and network-based epidemic modeling: Illustration for the swine industry in Iowa (US)

Animal movement plays a critical role in disease transmission between farms. However, in the United States, the lack of available animal shipment data, sometimes coupled with a lack of detailed information about farm demographics and characteristics, presents great challenges for epidemic modeling and prediction. In this study, we proposed a new method based on the maximum entropy to generate “synthetic” animal movement networks, considering available statistics about the premises operation type, operation size, and the distance between premises. We illustrated our method for the swine movement networks in Iowa and performed network analyses to gain insights into the swine industry. We then applied the generated networks to a network-based epidemic model to identify potential system vulnerabilities in terms of disease transmission. The model was parameterized for African Swine Fever (ASF) as the US swine industry is quite concerned about this disease. Results show that premises with a central role in the network are more vulnerable to disease outbreaks and play an important role in disease spread. Simulations with outbreaks starting from random farms reveal no significant large outbreaks, indicating the system’s relative robustness against arbitrary disease introductions. However, outbreaks originating from high out-degree farms can lead to large epidemic sizes. This underscores the importance for stakeholders and policymakers to continue improving animal movement records and traceability programs in the US and the value of making that data available to epidemiologists and modelers to better understand risk and inform strategies aimed to cost-effectively prevent and control disease transmission. Our approach could be easily adapted to estimate movement networks in other animal production systems and to inform disease spread models for various infectious diseases.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Carbonyl sulfide fluxes and concentrations from midwestern US (Bondville, FermiLab and Chicago)

This data package includes measurements of carbonyl sulfide (OCS) fluxes and concentrations from flux towers in the midwestern US. The measurements were made at AmeriFlux towers and thus the data package also includes a subset of the standard eddy covariance and meteorological data (e.g. VPD and NEE) that are also available from the AmeriFlux portal. The measurements presented here were made to provide an independent constraint on whole ecosystem stomatal conductance from these ecosystems with the goal of testing how the relationship between gross primary production and stomatal conductance varies through the growing season. Furthermore, we derived whole canopy nighttime stomatal conductance estimates to test how stomatal conductance varies between native prairie and maize ecosystems. All data presented here were discussed in the publication "Seasonal evolution of canopy stomatal conductance for a prairie and maize field in the midwestern US from continuous carbonyl sulfide fluxes" in Geophysical Research Letters (doi: 10.1029/2019GL085652).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

AmeriFlux US-ASM USSL San Joaquin Valley Almond Medium Salinity

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-ASM USSL San Joaquin Valley Almond Medium Salinity. Site Description - almond orchard in San Joaquin Valley. Different water source and water quality than adjacent site US-SAH

Anderson, Ray G.↗

DOE OSTI2021

AmeriFlux US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site. Site Description - The Jornada Basin Experimental Range (JER) covers 783 km2 in the La Jornada del Muerto Plain of the northern Chihuahuan Desert and is located 20km of Las Cruces, NM. Extensive livestock grazing at the JER and througout the US Southwest was coincident with large-scale grassland deterioration and transition to shrubland begining in the 1800s. The JER was established n 1912 to investigate these rangeland changes and has since become a central location for understanding dryland ecology. This flux tower monitors CO2 and H2O dynamics in a representative shrubland on the piedmont slope (bajada) of the San Andreas mountains. The dominant shrubs are evergreen Larrea tridentata (Creosote) and winter-deciduous Prosopis glandulosa (Honey Mesquite). Other cover types include Flourensia cernua (tarbush) and patchy occurences of the grasses Muhlenbergia porteri (Bush Muhly) and Dasyochloa pulchella (Fluff Grass). The site is occasionally visited by stray domestic cattle, free-ranging introduced Oryx, and other native herbivores (Jack Rabbits, Desert Pronghorn). Soils at the site are Ustic Calciargids and parent material consists of limestone, other sedimentary rock, and some igneous rock. Virtual Site Visit: https://youtu.be/v1uJCKuicqs

Tweedie, Craig↗

DOE OSTI2021

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Ro5 Rosemount I18_South

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ro5 Rosemount I18_South. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ro5 Rosemount I18_South produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower is located in a farm field farmed in accordance with the dominant farming practice in the region: a corn/soybean rotation with chisel plow tillage in the fall following corn harvest and in the spring following soybeans.

Baker, John↗

DOE OSTI2021

AmeriFlux US-TrS Trout Lake Area South Sparkling Bog

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-TrS Trout Lake Area South Sparkling Bog. Site Description - South Sparkling Bog was plowed after snow events during the winter of 2019/20 as an experimental treatment with Trout Bog (US-TrB) as a control

Stoy, Paul↗

DOE OSTI2021

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-EDN Eden Landing Ecological Reserve

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-EDN Eden Landing Ecological Reserve. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-EDN Eden Landing Ecological Reserve produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower located at Eden Landing Ecological Reserve, a 6400 acres reserve with diked marsh and newly (10 year old) restored salt ponds, managed by the California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) in the San Francisco Bay.

Oikawa, Patty↗