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At least 253 records · Page 14

Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones in High-resolution Models in the Present Climate

The global characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) simulated by several climate models are analyzed and compared with observations. The global climate models were forced by the same sea surface temperature (SST) fields in two types of experiments, using climatological SST and interannually varying SST. TC tracks and intensities are derived from each model's output fields by the group who ran that model, using their own preferred tracking scheme; the study considers the combination of model and tracking scheme as a single modeling system, and compares the properties derived from the different systems. Overall, the observed geographic distribution of global TC frequency was reasonably well reproduced. As expected, with the exception of one model, intensities of the simulated TC were lower than in observations, to a degree that varies considerably across models.

Tropical Cyclones↗

Adsorption of Ammonia on Regenerable Carbon Sorbents

Results are presented on the development of reversible sorbents for the combined carbon dioxide, moisture, and trace-contaminant (TC) removal for use in Extravehicular Activities (EVAs), and more specifically in the Primary Life Support System (PLSS). The currently available life support systems use separate units for carbon dioxide, trace contaminants, and moisture control, and the long-term objective is to replace the above three modules with a single one. Data on sorption and desorption of ammonia, which is a major TC of concern, are presented in this paper. The current TC-control technology involves the use of a packed bed of acid-impregnated granular charcoal, which is non-regenerable, and the carbon-based sorbent under development in this project can be regenerated by exposure to vacuum at room temperature. In this study, several carbon sorbents were fabricated and tested for ammonia sorption. Ammonia-sorption capacity was related to carbon pore structure characteristics, and the temperature of oxidative carbon-surface treatment was optimized for enhanced ammonia-sorption performance.

Wójtowicz, Marek A.↗

The CCSDS Next Generation Space Data Link Protocol (NGSLP)

The CCSDS space link protocols i.e., Telemetry (TM), Telecommand (TC), Advanced Orbiting Systems (AOS) were developed in the early growth period of the space program. They were designed to meet the needs of the early missions, be compatible with the available technology and focused on the specific link environments. Digital technology was in its infancy and spacecraft power and mass issues enforced severe constraints on flight implementations. Therefore the Telecommand protocol was designed around a simple Bose, Hocquenghem, Chaudhuri (BCH) code that provided little coding gain and limited error detection but was relatively simple to decode on board. The infusion of the concatenated Convolutional and Reed-Solomon codes5 for telemetry was a major milestone and transformed telemetry applications by providing them the ability to more efficiently utilize the telemetry link and its ability to deliver user data. The ability to significantly lower the error rates on the telemetry links enabled the use of packet telemetry and data compression. The infusion of the high performance codes for telemetry was enabled by the advent of digital processing, but it was limited to earth based systems supporting telemetry. The latest CCSDS space link protocol, Proximity-1 was developed in early 2000 to meet the needs of short-range, bi-directional, fixed or mobile radio links characterized by short time delays, moderate but not weak signals, and short independent sessions. Proximity-1 has been successfully deployed on both NASA and ESA missions at Mars and is planned to be utilized by all Mars missions in development. A new age has arisen, one that now provides the means to perform advanced digital processing in spacecraft systems enabling the use of improved transponders, digital correlators, and high performance forward error correcting codes for all communications links. Flight transponders utilizing digital technology have emerged and can efficiently provide the means to make the next leap in performance for space link communications. Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) provide the capability to incorporate high performance forward error correcting codes implemented within software transponders providing improved performance in data transfer, ranging, link security, and time correlation. Given these synergistic technological breakthroughs, the time has come to take advantage of them in applying them to both on going (e.g., command, telemetry) and emerging (e.g., space link security, optical communication) space link applications. However one of the constraining factors within the Data Link Layer in realizing these performance gains is the lack of a generic transfer frame format and common supporting services amongst the existing CCSDS link layer protocols. Currently each of the four CCSDS link layer protocols (TM, TC, AOS, and Proximity-1) have unique formats and services which prohibits their reuse across the totality of all space link applications of CCSDS member space agencies. For example, Mars missions. These missions implement their proximity data link layer using the Proximity-1 frame format and the services it supports but is still required to support the direct from Earth (TC) protocols and the Direct To Earth (AOS/TM) protocols. The prime purpose of this paper, is to describe a new general purpose CCSDS Data Link layer protocol, the NGSLP that will provide the required services along with a common transfer frame format for all the CCSDS space links (ground to/from space and space to space links) targeted for emerging missions after a CCSDS agency-wide coordinated date. This paper will also describe related options that can be included for the Coding and Synchronization sub-layer of the Data Link layer to extend the capacities of the link and additionally provide an independence of the transfer frame sub-layer from the coding sublayer. This feature will provide missions the option of running either the currently performed synchronous coding and transfer frame data link or an asynchronous coding/frame data link, in which the transfer frame length is independent of the block size of the code. The benefits from the elimination of this constraint (frame synchronized to the code block) will simplify the interface between the transponder and the data handling equipment and reduce implementation costs and complexities. The benefits include: inclusion of encoders/decoders into transmitters and receivers without regard to data link protocols, providing the ability to insert latency sensitive messages into the link to support launch, landing/docking, telerobotics. and Variable Coded Modulation (VCM). In addition the ability to transfer different sized frames can provide a backup for delivering stored anomaly engineering data simultaneously with real time data, or relaying of frames from various sources onto a trunk line for delivery to Earth.

Kazz, Greg J.↗

An Assessment of Multimodel Simulations for the Variability of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones and Its Association with ENSO

An assessment of simulations of the interannual variability of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) and its association with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), as well as a subsequent diagnosis for possible causes of model biases generated from simulated large-scale climate conditions, are documented in the paper. The model experiments are carried out by the Hurricane Work Group under the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability Research Program (CLIVAR) using five global climate models (GCMs) with a total of 16 ensemble members forced by the observed sea surface temperature and spanning the 28-yr period from 1982 to 2009. The results show GISS and GFDL model ensemble means best simulate the interannual variability of TCs, and the multimodel ensemble mean (MME) follows. Also, the MME has the closest climate mean annual number of WNP TCs and the smallest root-mean-square error to the observation. Most GCMs can simulate the interannual variability of WNP TCs well, with stronger TC activities during two types of El Niño-namely, eastern Pacific (EP) and central Pacific (CP) El Niño-and weaker activity during La Niña. However, none of the models capture the differences in TC activity between EP and CP El Niño as are shown in observations. The inability of models to distinguish the differences in TC activities between the two types of El Niño events may be due to the bias of the models in response to the shift of tropical heating associated with CP El Niño.

climate models↗

The Impacts of Dry Dynamic Cores on Asymmetric Hurricane Intensification

The fundamental pathways for tropical cyclone (TC) intensification are explored by considering axisymmetric and asymmetric impulsive thermal perturbations to balanced, TC-like vortices using the dynamic cores of three different nonlinear numerical models. Attempts at reproducing the results of previous work, which used the community WRF Model, revealed a discrepancy with the impacts of purely asymmetric thermal forcing. The current study finds that thermal asymmetries can have an important, largely positive role on the vortex intensification, whereas other studies find that asymmetric impacts are negligible. Analysis of the spectral energetics of each numerical model indicates that the vortex response to asymmetric thermal perturbations is significantly damped in WRF relative to the other models. Spectral kinetic energy budgets show that this anomalous damping is primarily due to the increased removal of kinetic energy from the vertical divergence of the vertical pressure flux, which is related to the flux of inertia-gravity wave energy. The increased kinetic energy in the other two models is shown to originate around the scales of the heating and propagate upscale with time from nonlinear effects. For very large thermal amplitudes (50 K), the anomalous removal of kinetic energy due to inertia-gravity wave activity is much smaller, resulting in good agreement between models. The results of this paper indicate that the numerical treatment of small-scale processes that project strongly onto inertia-gravity wave energy can lead to significant differences in asymmetric TC intensification. Sensitivity tests with different time integration schemes suggest that diffusion entering into the implicit solution procedure is partly responsible for the anomalous damping of energy.

Guimond, Stephen R.↗

Flood Hazard Assessment from Storm Tides, Rain and Sea Level Rise for a Tidal River Estuary

Cities and towns along the tidal Hudson River are highly vulnerable to flooding through the combination of storm tides and high streamflows, compounded by sea level rise. Here a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model, validated by comparing peak water levels for 76 historical storms, is applied in a probabilistic flood hazard assessment. In simulations, the model merges streamflows and storm tides from tropical cyclones (TCs), offshore extratropical cyclones (ETCs) and inland "wet extratropical" cyclones (WETCs). The climatology of possible ETC and WETC storm events is represented by historical events (1931-2013), and simulations include gauged streamflows and inferred ungauged streamflows (based on watershed area) for the Hudson River and its tributaries. The TC climatology is created using a stochastic statistical model to represent a wider range of storms than is contained in the historical record. TC streamflow hydrographs are simulated for tributaries spaced along the Hudson, modeled as a function of TC attributes (storm track, sea surface temperature, maximum wind speed) using a statistical Bayesian approach. Results show WETCs are important to flood risk in the upper tidal river (e.g., Albany, New York), ETCs are important in the estuary (e.g., New York City) and lower tidal river, and TCs are important at all locations due to their potential for both high surge and extreme rainfall. The raising of floods by sea level rise is shown to be reduced by approximately 30-60 percent at Albany due to the dominance of streamflow for flood risk. This can be explained with simple channel flow dynamics, in which increased depth throughout the river reduces frictional resistance, thereby reducing the water level slope and the upriver water level.

Tidal river↗

Hurricane Stalling Along the North American Coast and Implications for Rainfall

The average speed of tropical cyclone (TC) translation has slowed since the mid 20th century. Here we report that North Atlantic (NA) TCs have become increasingly likely to "stall" near the coast, spending many hours in confined regions. The stalling is driven not only by slower translation, but also by an increase in abrupt changes of direction. We compute residence-time distributions for TCs in confined coastal regions, and find that the tails of these distributions have increased significantly. We also show that TCs stalling over a region result in more rain on the region. Together, increased stalling and increased rain during stalls imply increased coastal rainfall from TCs, other factors equal. Although the data are sparse, we do in fact find a significant positive trend in coastal annual-mean rainfall 1948-2017 from TCs that stall, and we verify that this is due to increased stalling frequency. We make no attribution to anthropogenic climate forcing for the stalling or rainfall; the trends could be due to low frequency natural variability. Regardless of the cause, the significant increases in TC stalling frequency and high potential for associated increases in rainfall have very likely exacerbated TC hazards for coastal populations.

tropical cyclone tracks↗

Surface Stress in Tropical Cyclone Observed by Scatterometer

Ocean surface wind (U) is air in motion and stress (τ) is the turbulent transport of momentum between the ocean and the atmosphere. While the strong wind of a tropical cyclone (TC) causes destruction at landfall, it is the surface stress that drags down the TC. There was almost no stress measurement except in dedicated field campaigns and the stress we used was almost entirely derived from wind through a drag coefficient (C(sub D)), as defined by C(sub D) = τ / ( ρ U(exp 2)). In TC, there is difficulty in measuring strong wind and large uncertainty in the drag coefficient.

Liu, W. Timothy↗

Using GLM Flash Density, Flash Area, and Flash Energy to Diagnose Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensification

Increased lightning in tropical cyclones (TCs) is typically associated with intensification, but significant lightning outbreaks are also observed in weakening storms. The total number of lightning flashes in a TC is not always a reliable indicator of TC intensity evolution. Issues with the range and detection efficiency of ground-based networks, particularly for intracloud lightning. Physical processes such as vertical wind shear can intensify asymmetric convection while also weakening the TC. The commissioning of the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) aboard GOES-16 and GOES-17 marked, for the first time, the presence of an operational lightning detector in geostationary orbit. In addition to flash density (the number of flashes per unit area per unit time), GLM also provides continuous observations of flash area and total optical energy.

Duran, Patrick↗

Status of Analysis and Manufacturability of Superconducting Wires with Low AC Losses

Superconductors can carry an order-of-magnitude higher current than room temperature copper wires and can do so with two orders-of-magnitude lower alternating current (AC) electrical losses. These advantages underlie our estimates that turboelectric propulsion of large aircraft can be enabled by superconducting machines. However, even the much smaller losses of superconductors pose thermal management issues at the low temperatures required for superconductivity, and predicting those losses and validating the predictions has been a developing process at NASA Glenn Research Center over the last decade. Since Glenn’s earliest assessments of the feasibility of fully superconducting machines for turboelectric propulsion, the available models of AC losses in superconductors have changed significantly, as well as the state of development of superconducting wire for the coils of electric machines. While the models available to us have improved significantly, the value of the AC losses predicted by these models have only increased as more fidelity was developed. The fabrication of medium temperature superconducting wires (Tc near 40 K) has advanced, and wires can be produced with finer filaments and tighter twisting than a decade ago. However, the ideal wire configurations, developed decades ago for low temperature superconductors (Tc < 25 K), still elude manufacturers of medium and high temperature (Tc > 77 K) superconductors. This report discusses the developments, the current limitations, and the expectations that future configurations of superconducting wire can yet be produced that will provide suitably low AC losses for the aircraft propulsion application. The report presents a basic discussion of the types of AC losses in superconductors, followed by a discussion of the evolution of our understanding of the practical consequences of those AC losses. Next, there is a discussion of the superconducting wire configurations that have been developed, which were partially guided by that understanding. A brief discussion of the modes of removing the heat produced by the losses is presented. Lastly, a comparison is presented between losses in currently available MgB2 wire and other important cases, including copper at room temperature, copper at liquid hydrogen temperature, and expected future MgB2 wire. Room temperature copper has 100 times the loss of today’s MgB2 and 300 times the expected loss of future MgB2. That implies we can expect much higher efficiency from fully superconducting machines than from machines with copper stators, and high efficiency targets remain the driver behind investment in MgB2 development and medium temperature superconductor research.

superconducting motors↗

A survey of thermocouple anomalies: mechanisms, interpretation, and mitigation

Thermocouples (TCs) are a critical diagnostic sensor for high enthalpy environments including thermal protection systems (TPS) for atmospheric re-entry, hypersonic wind tunnels, and arc jet test facilities. They are used for both evaluating facility environmental conditions (enthalpy, heat flux) as well as for measuring in-situ material thermal response under test conditions (thermal conductivity, heat capacity, B’, etc.). Consequently, accurate TC measurements are fundamental for both material and facility verification and validation (V&V). However, a number of TC anomalies have been observed in both ground tests and flight instrumentation. These anomalies are caused via various coupling mechanisms: electrostatic gradients, temperature-dependent electrical shorts, radio pickup, magnetic induction, and pressure-dependent leaks. All of these mechanisms can, if unaddressed, result in obviously compromised results or worse, non-physical measurements which appear reasonable. This work will survey known anomaly mechanisms and discuss ongoing efforts to quantify and mitigate anomaly mechanisms including anomaly modeling, diagnostics, and new TC designs/development.

thermocouple anomalies↗

A Survey of Thermocouple Anomalies: Mechanisms, Interpretation, and Mitigation

Thermocouples (TCs) are a critical diagnostic sensor for high enthalpy environments including thermal protection systems (TPS) for atmospheric re-entry, hypersonic wind tunnels, and arc jet test facilities. They are used for both evaluating facility environmental conditions (enthalpy, heat flux) as well as for measuring in-situ material thermal response under test conditions (thermal conductivity, heat capacity, B’, etc.). Consequently, accurate TC measurements are fundamental for both material and facility verification and validation (V&V). However, a number of TC anomalies have been observed in both ground tests and flight instrumentation. These anomalies are caused via various coupling mechanisms: electrostatic gradients, temperature-dependent electrical shorts, radio pickup, magnetic induction, and pressure-dependent leaks. All of these mechanisms can, if unaddressed, result in obviously compromised results or worse, non-physical measurements which appear reasonable. This work will survey known anomaly mechanisms and discuss ongoing efforts to quantify and mitigate anomaly mechanisms including anomaly modeling, diagnostics, and new TC designs/development.

Thermocouple Anomalies↗

Design of A Transition-Edge-Sensor-Based Thermal Stabilization Stage

Electrothermal feedback in a transition edge sensor suppresses thermal fluctuations in the TES and regions in close thermal contact. We designed a heavily-metallized, leg-isolated membrane with a TES which serves as a thermal stabilization stage that can be lithographically integrated with other devices. Through modeling, fabrication and test of prototype devices, we examine whether the noise reduction in this stage can reduce thermal fluctuations (e.g. 1/f noise) in the other components by providing a more stable base temperature. In one implementation, a leg-isolated TES bolometer of higher superconducting transition temperature (Tc) is encircled by a second membrane region which is metallized and thermally stabilized by a second, lower-Tc TES. We present fabrication results on the dual-Tc design and testing of the simultaneous biasing of a two-stage, two-TES device. We explore varied heat capacity of the thermally stabilized stage in the single pixel design. We also present other designs to evaluate the use of an outer thermal stabilization stage for multiple pixel arrangements.

Rachel Borrelli↗

Evaluation of the LOFTID Flight Thermocouple Measurements

The Flexible Thermal Protection System (FTPS) on NASA’s Low-Earth Orbit Flight Test of an Inflatable Decelerator (LOFTID) vehicle was instrumented with thermocouples (TC) to measure the in-depth thermal response during entry into Earth’s atmosphere. Accurate flight temperature measurements are critical for verifying vehicle performance during the flight test and reducing uncertainties in the thermal models. The deployable nature of inflatable decelerator technology presents challenges, namely the TCs need to be compactable, cannot damage the FTPS nor the inflatable structure, and need to be able to withstand high temperatures and large thermal gradients over significant running lengths. As previously reported, an extensive ground-test campaign was conducted prior to flight to inform the selection of the LOFTID FTPS TCs which minimized all known potential error sources. Overall, the resulting flight FTPS TC measurements were exceptionally clean throughout the atmospheric entry heat pulse. However, a few of the FTPS TCs still exhibited electrical shorting or other anomalous behavior. This paper presents the flight measurements made by the LOFTID FTPS TCs, identifies anomalous behavior, and discusses potential explanations for the causes of the anomalous behavior. Lastly, recommendations to further mitigate TC measurement error on future Hypersonic Inflatable Aerodynamic Decelerator (HIAD) missions are provided.

Ruth A Miller↗

Flexural Fatigue Testing and Qualification of Hybrid PAN-pitch Composite Materials with High Through-Thickness Thermal Conductivity

Carbon-fiber-reinforced polymers (CFRPs) considered for motor components within future electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) vehicles require not only a high strength-to-weight ratio but also a high through-thickness thermal conductivity (TC) to dissipate heat. Previously, CFRPs incorporating pitch CF interleaves demonstrated an increased through-thickness TC relative to the baseline composite, but the effect on flexural fatigue life was not evaluated. For this work, T700S/TC275–1 braided carbon fiber/epoxy prepreg baseline (no interleave), YSH–60A pitch interleave, and YS–80A pitch interleave configurations were tested for fatigue life. A combination of ASTM International Standards D7264 and D3479 were used to develop a reliable testing method. An Instron® (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) 8501 servohydraulic system with a fatigue test fixture was set up with a 16:1 span:thickness ratio, load ratio R set to 0.1, and frequency of 4 Hz. High-cycle fatigue testing was completed, and it was found that YSH–60A interleave performed slightly better than YS–80A below 100,000 cycles but showed no differences above 100,000 cycles. In all cases, the baseline CFRP had superior fatigue life performance both in terms of stress handled and total cycles to failure. These fatigue testing data will inform future use of hybrid CFRP materials by highlighting the tradeoff between increased through-thickness TC and fatigue life. Testing guidelines, equipment, and parameters for static and fatigue tests were successfully outlined for CFRPs.

composites↗

Ammonia-Removal Efficiency By Full-Scale Carbon-Based Trace-Contaminant Sorbent Monoliths Integrated With the Rapid-Cycle Amine (RCA) Swing Bed

Results are presented on full-scale performance testing of vacuum-regenerable, carbon based sorbent monoliths for trace-contaminant (TC) removal integrated with the Rapid-Cycle Amine (RCA) swing bed for use in the Portable Life Support System (PLSS) during Extravehicular Activities (EVAs). The current state-of-art in TC-control technology involves the use of a packed bed of acid-impregnated granular charcoal, which is difficult to regenerate. The carbon-based sorbent under development in this project can be regenerated by exposure to vacuum at room temperature. Data on cyclic sorption-desorption of ammonia, which is a major TC of concern, were collected in a simulated PLSS ventilation loop which involved the RCA placed upstream of the Trace Contaminant Control System (TCCS). Results of testing involving pressure-swing operation of the integrated TCCS/RCA system indicate ammonia-removal efficiency exceeding 80% throughout multiple sorption-desorption cycles. This paper presents an overview of the TCCS research, the favorable results obtained, and provides insight into future work needed to further the technology development.

Marek A Wójtowicz↗

The Roles of Climate Change and Climate Variability in the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season

The 2017 hurricane season was extremely active with six major hurricanes, the third most on record. The sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) over the eastern Main Development Region (EMDR), where many tropical cyclones (TCs) developed during active months of August/September, were approximately 0.96 degrees Centigrade above the 1901-2017 average (warmest on record): about 0.42 degrees Centigrade from a long-term upward trend and the rest (around 80 percent) attributed to the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM). The contribution to the SST from the North Atlantic Oscillation over the EMDR was a weak warming, while that from ENSO was negligible. Nevertheless, ENSO, the NAO, and the AMM all contributed to favorable wind shear conditions, while the AMM also produced enhanced atmospheric instability. Compared with the strong hurricane years of 2005-2010, the ocean heat content (OHC) during 2017 was larger across the tropics, with higher SST anomalies over the EMDR and Caribbean Sea. On the other hand, the dynamical/thermodynamical atmospheric conditions, while favorable for enhanced TC activity, were less prominent than in 2005-2010 across the tropics. The results suggest that unusually warm SST in the EMDR together with the long fetch of the resulting storms in the presence of record-breaking OHC were key factors in driving the strong TC activity in 2017.

SST↗

Impact of Assimilating Adaptively Thinned AIRS Cloud-Cleared Radiances in the GEOS

This work examines the assimilation of AIRS (Atmospheric Infrared Sounder) radiances from two points of view: the thinning strategy and the use of cloud-cleared radiances as opposed to clear-sky. Previous published work by this team, based on a very large set of Observing System Experiments performed with a 2014 3DVAR version of the GEOS (Goddard Earth Observing System), has shown that the assimilation of adaptively thinned AIRS cloud-cleared radiances (CCRs) improves the representation of tropical cyclones (TCs) without damaging the global forecast skill. The simple adaptive methodology is based on denser AIRS coverage in moving domains centered on TCs, and sparser coverage everywhere else. Subsequent experiments showed that the adaptive methodology produces good results also when applied to clear-sky CrIS (Cross-track Infrared Sounder) and IASI (Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer) radiances. In addition, the results indicate that the density of all hyperspectral data assimilated over meteorologically inactive areas is excessive, probably because of horizontal error correlation, suggesting that the global thinning should be more aggressive. More recent work focused on the polar regions has shown another positive impact of assimilating cloud-cleared AIRS radiances instead of clear-sky. The results show that high latitude atmospheric dynamics is very sensitive to the representation of the lower tropospheric temperature structure over the Arctic region. Specifically, assimilation of CCRs over areas that are data poor and also affected by broken stratus clouds, and as such minimally observed by AIRS clear-sky radiances, changes substantially the temperature structure over the Arctic low troposphere. Ingestion of CCRs over the region propagates, through hydrostatic adjustments, to mid-tropospheric geopotential height, allowing for better prediction of mid-latitude waves. In addition, adaptively thinned CCRs also improve the representation of mesoscale convective cyclones at high latitudes. An example of an Antarctic low is provided. Finally, recent ongoing work with the hybrid 4DenVAR GEOS, investigating the 2017 boreal TC season, has confirmed the previous results: namely that aggressively thinned cloud-cleared radiances improve TC structure with no loss of global skill.

CCR↗