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At least 253 records · Page 14

Towards next-generation optical potentials for nuclear reactions and structure calculations

Optical-model potentials (OMPs) are critical ingredients for basic and applied nuclear physics. Present-day computational capabilities allow us to generate data-driven nucleon-nucleus OMPs that are non-local and exactly dispersive (as theoretically required to be), include statistically-sound uncertainty quantification, and are trained on both scattering and bound-state data from a wide area of the nuclear chart. Combined together, these features allow for significant improvement in fidelity and extrapolative power of the model. Here, we present preliminary work toward the development and training of such an OMP. The capability of the model to describe data at this first stage is encouraging.

Perrotta, Salvatore Simone [Lawrence Livermore Nat↗

Benchmark Calculation for Turkey Point Unit 3 Cycles 1-3 Using the SCALE 6.3/Polaris–PARCS v3.4.2 Code Package

Benchmark calculations were performed for Turkey Point Unit 3 cycles 1–3 to validate the SCALE 6.3/Polaris–PARCS v3.4.2 code with the ENDF/B–VII.1 56–group library by comparing the simulated results with the measured data. The benchmark results will be used in evaluating the SCALE/Polaris–PARCS code package’s uncertainties for pressurized water reactor physics analysis. That future analysis will include key nuclear parameters such as reactivity, control bank worth, temperature coefficients, and pin and assembly power peaking factors. The present document details plant and fuel design specifications and input data for SCALE/Polaris, GenPMAXS, and PARCS. Additional details are provided with respect to the input and output files produced for the benchmark calculations. The benchmark results are summarized such that they can be used in evaluating uncertainties with other benchmark results for key nuclear parameters.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Updates to the Regional Seismic Travel Time (RSTT) Model: 2. Path-dependent Travel-time Uncertainty

Abstract The regional seismic travel time (RSTT) model and software were developed to improve travel-time prediction accuracy by accounting for three-dimensional crust and upper mantle structure. Travel-time uncertainty estimates are used in the process of associating seismic phases to events and to accurately calculate location uncertainty bounds (i.e. event location error ellipses). We improve on the current distance-dependent uncertainty parameterization for RSTT using a random effects model to estimate slowness (inverse velocity) uncertainty as a mean squared error for each model parameter. The random effects model separates the error between observed slowness and model predicted slowness into bias and random components. The path-specific travel-time uncertainty is calculated by integrating these mean squared errors along a seismic-phase ray path. We demonstrate that event location error ellipses computed for a 90% coverage ellipse metric (used by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization International Data Centre (IDC)), and using the path-specific travel-time uncertainty approach, are more representative (median 82.5% ellipse percentage) of true location error than error ellipses computed using distance-dependent travel-time uncertainties (median 70.1%). We also demonstrate measurable improvement in location uncertainties using the RSTT method compared to the current station correction approach used at the IDC (median 74.3% coverage ellipse).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Bayesian estimation of the $S$ factor and thermonuclear reaction rate for 16 O(p, γ) 17 F

The 16 O(p, γ) 17 F reaction is the slowest hydrogen-burning process in the CNO mass region. Its thermonuclear rate sensitively impacts predictions of oxygen isotopic ratios in a number of astrophysical sites, including AGB stars. The reaction has been measured several times at low bombarding energies using a variety of techniques. The most recent evaluated experimental rates have a reported uncertainty of about 7.5% below 1 GK. However, the previous rate estimate represents a best guess only and was not based on rigorous statistical methods. We apply a Bayesian model to fit all reliable 16 O(p, γ) 17 F cross section data, and take into account independent contributions of statistical and systematic uncertainties. The nuclear reaction model employed is a single-particle potential model involving a Woods-Saxon potential for generating the radial bound state wave function. The model has three physical parameters, the radius and diffuseness of the Woods-Saxon potential, and the asymptotic normalization coefficients (ANCs) of the final bound state in 17 F. Here, we find that performing the Bayesian S -factor fit using ANCs as scaling parameters has a distinct advantage over adopting spectroscopic factors instead. Based on these results, we present the first statistically rigorous estimation of experimental 16 O(p, γ) 17 F reaction rates, with uncertainties (±4.2%) of about half the previously reported values.

6 ≤ A ≤ 19↗

Critical and Subcritical Californium Source Driven Noise Analysis Experiments with Fresh PWR Fuels Pins

These experiments were performed in 1983 between August 1 and September 16 and used 35 operational days of critical facility time at the Babcock & Wilcox critical facility in Lynchburg, Va. These measurements were to assess the capability of the Cf source driven noise analysis method to measure the subcriticality of light water reactor fresh fuel configurations. This report documents the experiments of 1983 that were not reported at that time. These measurement with 2.459 wt. % 235 U enriched uranium oxide fresh fuel pins started at the delayed critical configuration of the fully assembled pressurized water reactor (PWR) core configuration with 1511 parts per million (ppm) natural boron (19.8 wt. % 10 B) in the water. This was a cylindrical configuration of 4961 fuel pins. After the initial measurements at delayed criticality, subcritical measurements by the Cf source driven noise analysis method were performed in which the number of detectors and Cf source locations were varied. Additional boron was added to the water moderator and reflector to reduce the neutron multiplication factor, with resulting boron concentrations of 1561, 1613, 1765, 1880, 2104, 2384, 2975, 3606, and 4303 ppm. After the completion of these measurements the increased, the boron concentration was returned to that at delayed critical (1511 ppm) and the reactivity was decreased by reducing the number of fuel pins in steps to 3713, 2553, 1281, 749, and 333 fuel pins and then to that (289) of a s ingle square 17 x 17 pin array, corresponding to a single PW fuel element. For all measurement that started at delayed criticality and then reduced the neutron multiplication factor to various subcritical states, inverse kinetics rod drop measurements at the higher reactivities were also performed but not reported here. At all subcritical states the break frequency noise analysis data was fitted to obtain the prompt neutron decay constant. Some data presented in this report are from notes not in the logbook. The purpose of this report is to document the experimental information for the measurements performed so that a later date someone could perform the required uncertainty and calculational analyses and documentation to use these data for an International Nuclear Criticality Safety Benchmark Program (INCSBEP) or Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) benchmark. The data from these measurements is available from the Laboratory Records Department of Oak Ridge National Laboratory and the logbook is available from INCSBEP at Idaho National Laboratory.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Subcriticality Measurements for a Changing Concentration Uranyl Nitrate Solution Tank by Californium Source-Driven Noise Analysis

Subcritical californium source-driven noise analysis (CSDNA) measurements were performed at the Oak Ridge Critical Experiments Facility in 1983 using a stainless-steel tank with an inside diameter of 76.2 cm and a height of 91.4 cm but only filled with a uranyl (93.16 wt.% 235 U) nitrate solution to a height of 76.2 cm for all measurements. The free acid content of the uranyl nitrate solution was less than 0.01 N to minimize hazards in handling. The total available highly enriched uranium for these measurements was 5,296 g. The concentration of the solution was varied from the highest density of 14.71 grams of uranium per liter (g U/L) initially in 16 steps, lowering the concentration to 0.3492 g U/L, and finally using a tank filled with only water. The tank had a Plexiglas lid to minimize evaporation. The Cf source was contained in a re-entrant Lexan tube which could be in the solution parallel to the axis of the cylindrical tank. The detectors were 3 He proportional counters in the solution in shrink-fit tubing to isolate the counters from the fissile solution and adjacent to the outside of the tank. In some cases, the detectors were scintillators adjacent to the outside of the tank. In other cases, the source was external to the tank. Some data presented in this report are from notes and are not in the logbook. The prompt neutron decay constant was obtained from fitting the date from the CSDNA measurements. The purpose of this report is to document the experimental information for the measurements performed so that later, researchers could perform the required uncertainty and calculational analyses and documentation to use these data for an International Nuclear Criticality Safety Benchmark Program (ICSBEP) or a Nuclear Energy Agency benchmark. The prompt neutron decay measurements could be the basis of as International Reactor Physic Benchmark Program. The data from these measurements are available from the Records Management Services Department of Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and the logbook is also available from the ICSBEP at Idaho National Laboratory. Preparation of the present report is part of a larger cooperative effort between Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to document more than 15 undocumented critical and subcritical experiments enumerated in ORNL/TM-2019/18 and performed by ORNL at ORCEF and other USDOE critical experiments facilities using more than 500 operational days of critical facility time.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Multi-fidelity equations of state and transport coefficient datasets for pulsed-power applications

Reliably simulating experiments relevant to the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) requires a detailed description of material properties across a wide range of conditions. Such properties include the equations of state, charged-particle transport coefficients, and optical properties like the opacity. Together, these properties make up the material models used in radiation-magnetohydrodynamic simulations of nuclear fusion experiments. Many of these models do not incorporate uncertainties in the data used to produce them. It is unknown whether these uncertainties significantly impact the interpretation of simulation results and diagnostics. The purpose of this work is to quantify how such uncertainties impact simulations of pulsed-power experiments. We accomplished this task by first assessing discrepancies between approaches used to generate the data. This included bringing together members of the high-energy-density community spanning the three NNSA laboratories and multiple universities. Then, using these data, we developed a general framework that systematically incorporates physical uncertainties within the material models suitable for uncertainty quantification analyses. The framework utilizes machine learning, Bayesian inference, and incorporates multi-fidelity datasets. We demonstrated the framework by quantifying the impact that material model uncertainties have on simulations of pulsed-power experiments underway on Z at Sandia National Laboratories. As a result of this work, we discovered that modest uncertainties in material models (roughly 20%) correspond to significant uncertainties in the outputs from simulations. Our framework has enabled rapid construction of material models through an automated procedure and allows for the generation of material models of interest to the NNSA.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Determination of β -decay feeding patterns of 88 Rb and 88 Kr using the Modular Total Absorption Spectrometer at ORNL HRIBF

We report precise determination of ground-state feeding in the β decay of fission products is an important but challenging component in modeling reactor antineutrino flux and reactor decay heat. The Modular Total Absorption Spectrometer (MTAS) is a versatile NaI(Tl) detector array that determines the true β-decay pattern free from the pandemonium effect, including precise ground-state feeding intensities. In this paper, we report MTAS results of the β feeding intensities of 88 Rb and 88 Kr, fission products with large cumulative yields in nuclear reactors. By comparing MTAS results with previous measurements, 88 Rb provides a validation of MTAS's ability to determine ground-state feedings in β decays, while the precision of 88 Kr ground-state feeding is improved when compared with the Evaluated Nuclear Structure Data File (ENSDF). The investigation of sources that contribute to β feeding branching uncertainties in MTAS experiments is discussed in detail. Lastly, the deconvolution of 88 Rb decay spectra suggests that MTAS can distinguish an allowed β spectral shape from a first forbidden unique β spectral shape.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Impact of heavy quark and quarkonium data on nuclear gluon PDFs

A clear understanding of nuclear parton distribution functions (nPDFs) plays a crucial role in the interpretation of collider data taken at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), and in the near future at the Electron-Ion Collider. Even with the recent inclusions of vector boson and light meson production data, the uncertainty of the gluon PDF remains substantial and limits the interpretation of heavy ion collision data. To obtain new constraints on the nuclear gluon PDF, we extend our recent nCTEQ15WZ+SIH analysis to inclusive quarkonium and open heavy-flavor meson production data from the LHC. This vast new data set covers a wide kinematic range and puts strong constraints on the nuclear gluon PDF down to x ≲ 10 -5 . The theoretical predictions for these data sets are obtained from a data-driven approach, where proton-proton data are used to determine effective scattering matrix elements. This approach is validated with detailed comparisons to existing next-to-leading order calculations in nonrelativistic QCD for quarkonia and in the general-mass variable-flavor-number scheme for the open heavy-flavored mesons. In addition, the uncertainties from the data-driven approach are determined using the Hessian method and accounted for in the PDF fits. This extension of our previous analyses represents an important step toward the next generation of PDFs not only by including new data sets, but also by exploring new methods for future analyses.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Validation of Jezebel Reactivity Coefficients and Sensitivity Analysis

Nuclear data validation is often performed today using criticality measurements. The gold standard for criticality measurements is the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiment Project (ICSBEP). The validation specifically focuses on the effective multiplication factor ($k_{eff}$). $K_{eff}$ is a relatively easy parameter to infer and has reduced uncertainty due to being at or above critical. However, while $k_{eff}$ is the most documented parameter and its uncertainties and sensitivities have been evaluated in great detail, it cannot be used as a standalone metric to determine inaccuracies in nuclear data (e.g., cross section data, PFNS, nu), which is based on theory, physics, and differential measurements. The Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in nuclear Data (EUCLID) project aims to identify compensating errors in specific isotope nuclear data by optimally designing experiments that are, or are not sensitive to a suite of measurement parameters beyond $k_{eff}$. By identifying parameters that are sensitive to each other, oppositely sensitive, or have substantial magnitude differences in sensitivity, experiments can be designed to constrain questionable nuclear data. One sensitivity that is of particular interest to this project includes the sensitivity of reactivity coefficients. Reactivity coefficients compare reactivity, which is related to $k_{eff}$ at two different states therefore being sensitive to small changes in the system. The most common type of reactivity coefficient measurements is comparison to void for a small sample within the assembly. It is key that the sample sizes are small enough to not affect the flux of the full system. Reactivity coefficients were evaluated for many early experiments to better understand transport corrected cross sections. In fact, ICSBEP includes reactivity coefficient results as “Supplemental Measurements” in appendices for a handful of older benchmarks. One of those benchmarks is Jezebel, the bare Pu critical assembly. This paper compares new simulations of reactivity coefficients for Jezebel, and explores the sensitivity of reactivity coefficients to small changes in nuclear data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Bayesian Monte Carlo Evaluation Framework for Cross Sections Nuclear Data and Integral Benchmark Experiments

The new Bayesian Monte Carlo (MC) evaluation framework described in this abstract has been conceived as an attempt to improve nuclear data evaluations of differential crosssection data by removing the following two approximations conventionally employed for nuclear data evaluations: all probability density functions (PDFs) of all data and model parameters, both prior and posterior, are assumed to be normal (i.e., Gaussian) PDFs, and all uncertainties and covariances are propagated using a linear approximation. With these approximations removed, the Bayesian MC (BMC) framework could be used to account for nonlinear effects and would enable improved evaluations of differential cross sections and IBE data that are presently performed based on the assumptions itemized above. The BMC would also improve upon the uniform sampling of IBE parameters from within ranges defined by their evaluated uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Fast-Spectrum Critical Assemblies with a Pb-HEU Core Surrounded by a Copper Reflector

The Department of Energy invests tens of millions of dollars each year to develop the next generation of nuclear engineering modeling & simulation (M&S) tools. These M&S tools are used to analyze advanced reactor designs and the safety of current nuclear operations. As computers become more powerful, we are able to enhance resolution in our calculations. This improved resolution is taking us to a point where the limitations of simulation capability are in the quality of data, including our ability to quantify the uncertainty and sensitivity of the data. In order to accurately model systems of interest, the industry must improve key nuclear data measurements and our confidence of how well we understand the data. Thus, M&S tools need evaluated and quality-assured experimental data for validation purposes. The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) compiles benchmark experiment data in a handbook that can be used by criticality safety engineers to validate computer codes and cross-section libraries at nuclear facilities. Both critical and subcritical experiments are included in the handbook. Figure 1 organizes all the benchmark evaluations that have been performed by the isotope of interest, in this case Pb, and the neutron energy within the system. Compared to other isotopes of interest for nuclear applications, there are few benchmark evaluations for Pb systems. This has caused the latest nuclear cross-section libraries to over/underestimate changes in the neutron population compared to experimental results. Therefore, this evaluation fills an important knowledge gap in benchmark evaluations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Why the US Needs an Enduring Plutonium Critical Assembly

Jezebel (operated from 1954-1977) has been the primary experiment for fast 239 Pu nuclear data validation for the last 70 years. Validation has included not only k eff , but also spectral indicies, Rossi-α, reactivity coefficients, and neutron leakage spectra. While this has been incredibly valuable to the community, there are three major issues. The first issue is that documentation on many of these experiments were lacking, leading to large uncertainties or (even worse) incorrect assumptions. The second issue is that while there have been many advances in research, there is no way to test those new advances today. The last issue is that since the assembly only operated for 23 years (and at time when 30 other critical assemblies were operating at the same facility and nuclear weapons testing was occurring), there were limited opportunities to observe how any system parameters changed as a function of time. Note that this work is not suggesting that a "Jezebel re placement" used for a limited experiment campaign would have great value. A new enduring (100 year target) plutonium (Pu) assembly with simple geometry and low uncertainties, however, would be extremely valuable. Such a capability would have a transformative impact on many research areas including nuclear data validation, analytical methods validation, dosimetry, reactor kinetics, and materials. The need for a new plutonium assembly is not new: it has been in the DOE Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) Mission and Vision for over 10 years and was also the top priority established at the 2022 National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) Futures meeting. This work will discuss how such a new capability would help ensure that the US retains international leadership in plutonium research. Last, a brief overview of Lilith, a project aimed to design a new enduring plutonium assembly for operation at the NCERC will be given.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Validation of the SCALE/Polaris-PARCS Code Procedure with the ENDF/B-VII.1 AMPX 56-Group Library: Pressurized Water Reactor

This study was conducted to validate the SCALE/Polaris v6.3.0–PARCS v3.4.2 code procedure with the Evaluated Nuclear Data File (ENDF)/B-VII.1 AMPX 56-group library for pressurized water reactor (PWR) analysis, by comparing simulated results with measured data for critical experiments and operating PWRs. Uncertainties of the SCALE/Polaris–PARCS code procedure for PWR analysis were evaluated in the validation for the PWR key nuclear parameters such as critical boron concentrations, reactivity, control bank work, temperature coefficients, and pin and assembly power peaking factors.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Uncertainty-quantified phenomenological optical potentials for single-nucleon scattering

Optical-model potentials (OMPs) continue to play a key role in nuclear reaction calculations. However, the uncertainty of phenomenological OMPs in widespread use—inherent to any parametric model trained on data—has not been fully characterized, and its impact on downstream users of OMPs remains unclear. Here we assign well-calibrated uncertainties for two representative global OMPs, those of Koning-Delaroche and Chapel Hill '89, using Markov-chain Monte Carlo for parameter inference. By comparing the canonical versions of these OMPs against the experimental data originally used to constrain them, we show how a lack of outlier rejection and a systematic underestimation of experimental uncertainties contributes to bias of, and overconfidence in, best-fit parameter values. Our updated, uncertainty-quantified versions of these OMPs address these issues and yield complete covariance information for potential parameters. Scattering predictions generated from our ensembles show improved performance both against the original training corpora of experimental data and against a new “test” corpus comprising many of the experimental single-nucleon scattering data collected over the last twenty years. Finally, we apply our uncertainty-quantified OMPs to two case studies of application-relevant cross sections. We conclude that, for many common applications of OMPs, including OMP uncertainty should become standard practice. Furthermore, to facilitate their immediate use, digital versions of our updated OMPs and related tools for forward uncertainty propagation are included as Supplemental Material.

150 ≤ A ≤ 189↗

Status of the CERBERUS Evaluation for the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook

Modeling & Simulation (M&S) tools are used to analyze advanced reactor designs and the safety of current nuclear operations. As computers continue to improve, we are able to enhance resolution in our calculations. Therefore, the limitations of simulation capability are in the quality of data that is being used, including our ability to quantify the uncertainty and sensitivity of that data. In order to model systems of interest with increasing accuracy, the industry must improve key nuclear data measurements. The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) compiles and evaluates experiment data in a handbook that can be used by criticality safety engineers and others to validate computer codes and cross section libraries at nuclear facilities. Both critical and subcritical experiments are included in the handbook. These experiments, along with differential measurements, can help improve the quality of nuclear data. Concerns regarding the accuracy of Cu nuclear data have been published. The large values and trend of C-E for the Zeus intermediate energy benchmark, being one of the primary examples. Furthermore, very few experiments have been designed to be sensitive to Cu (as shown in Figure 1), so an integral, critical experiment is needed to help resolve these differences.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Light nuclei with semilocal momentum-space regularized chiral interactions up to third order

In this work, we present a systematic investigation of few-nucleon systems and light nuclei using the current Low Energy Nuclear Physics International Collaboration interactions comprising semilocal momentum-space regularized two- and three-nucleon forces up to third chiral order (N 2 LO). Following our earlier study utilizing the coordinate-space regularized interactions, the two low-energy constants entering the three-body force are determined from the triton binding energy and the differential cross-section minimum in elastic nucleon-deuteron scattering. Predictions are made for selected observables in elastic nucleon-deuteron scattering and in the deuteron breakup reactions, for properties of the A = 3 and A = 4 nuclei, and for spectra of p-shell nuclei up to A = 16. A comprehensive error analysis is performed including an estimation of correlated truncation uncertainties for nuclear spectra. The obtained predictions are generally found to agree with experimental data within errors. Similarly to the coordinate-space regularized chiral interactions at the same order, a systematic overbinding of heavier nuclei is observed, which sets in for A~10 and increases with A.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Values of Recovered Uranium from HALEU Used Nuclear Fuels (Rev. 1)

The value of the recovered uranium (RU) from high assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) used nuclear fuels was evaluated. Three utilizations of the recovered uranium were considered in this study, which include the cases that RU is used as a fissile material of nuclear fuel, RU is reused in the original advanced reactor after reenrichment, and RU is reused in conventional light water reactors after down-blending. In this study, the RU values were identified by comparing the cost of making a unit mass of fuel with RU versus the fuel cost with the equivalent fresh enriched uranium (EU). A series of bounding analyses for calculating the fuel costs were conducted using several selected reactor types, which include microreactors, advanced thermal reactors, and fast reactors having a burnup of 2 – 165 GWd/t (with residual U-235 content in discharged fuels of 0.8 - 19.6%). This study concludes that RU having a residual U-235 content higher than ~7% would cost less than the fresh EU. The affordability increases as the residual U-235 content in RU increases. For instance, the fuel cost with RU having the residual U-235 content of 19.6% is about 85% cheaper than the fuel cost with the equivalent fresh EU. This study observed that reusing RU after reenrichment in the original microreactor is impractical because the U-235 content in the re-enriched RU fuel would need to be higher than the limit for low-enriched uranium (<20%) to provide the same burnup performance due to parasitic absorption from U-236. It is noted that this study focused on the recovery of uranium only, and the value of other fissile materials (such as Pu) in the used nuclear fuel was not considered even though those are bred significantly in fast reactors. In addition, the impacts of uncertainties in the cost data and the value of RU of TRISO fuels were not evaluated in this study due to the limited information on the cost data uncertainties and the separation cost from TRISO fuels.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗